Bitcoin’s Make-or-Break Moment: Eyes on $70KBitcoin price almost reached the $74k support area, which is critical for the bull run continuation.
This zone has acted as a strong resistance in the past, and a clean bounce from here could signal renewed strength and confidence in the market.
However, if this support fails to hold and BTC closes the weekly candle below the $70k level, it would likely mark the end of the current bull phase and signal the beginning of a distribution phase or even the early stages of a new bear market.
That doesn’t necessarily mean Bitcoin will crash straight to $50k — corrections are rarely that linear. But it would drastically reduce the chances of seeing new all-time highs in this cycle.
The next rally, if it happens, would probably be more muted and shorter-lived.
Hopefully BTC will manage to avoid this scenario and hold above the support area.
On the positive side, if BTC holds above $70k and we see strong demand stepping in, it could set the stage for a healthy bounce and continuation of the uptrend.
Still I expect that BTC will test 70k level and if we see strong buying pressure on that level we can expect some recovery.
BTC-D
Bitcoin drops. What's next?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price continues to fall towards the next big support area at 74k-70k.
Currently, there is no sign of BTC reversal, and it seems that this correction phase will last long.
Ideally, the faster BTC finds its local bottom, the faster it starts to rise again.
However, the current market conditions suggest that a period of consolidation might be necessary before a meaningful recovery.
I doubt that the BTC price will fall below 70k despite all the negative sentiment surrounding it at the moment.
More likely, we will see strong buying pressure at those levels, as institutional investors and long-term holders step in to accumulate at what they perceive as a discount.
Also, the stochastic RSI on a weekly scale has dropped to 0, which historically indicates that momentum is oversold and a potential reversal could be near.
If we see a bullish cross on the SRSI on a weekly timeframe, this might act as a catalyst for a price rebound, possibly pushing BTC toward new highs.
Another indication of a possible bottom is the Fear & Greed Index, which currently sits at around 20.
This level reflects extreme fear in the market, a condition that has often preceded local bottoms in previous cycles.
Historically, such extreme fear tends to trigger a shift in sentiment, leading to increased demand and a subsequent price recovery.
Furthermore, on-chain metrics suggest that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent downturn, with exchange reserves continuing to decline. This indicates that a significant portion of BTC supply is being moved to cold storage, reducing selling pressure.
Additionally, open interest in the futures market has seen a decline, which could mean that excessive leverage is being flushed out—a necessary step for a healthier market structure.
If BTC manages to hold the 70k support level and confirms a reversal with increasing volume, we could see a strong recovery phase unfold.
However, if the price breaks below this key support, the next significant area to watch would be around 65k, where additional buying interest might emerge.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
ITS TIME , FINAL WAVE FOR BITCOIN HAS BEGAN The final wave for Bitcoin has officially started; 200k by September 2025 is the call. So far, since October 2024, we have been getting every macro move correct. Going to avoid repeating a lot of content from the previous two TAs; check it out below.
The lower high on the RSI called the momentum shift on this one; it was clear.
December 17th, 2024, calling for a pullback down to 82k for wave 4 to complete; it hit 77k, pretty close.
So last time, I was wrestling with two different dates for a cycle top; the first one was May 2025, and the second was September 2025.
It is clear to me now that mid to late September 2025, Bitcoin will peak at around 200k. It could go slightly higher, but the 185-200k region has a higher outcome.
So, I've been using this small-time Fib, and last time when we hit the 0.618, it was the breakout week for Bitcoin from the long range. We're here again; this week is the big pivot and start of wave 5.
The hash ribbon has confirmed a buy signal, and more importantly, it flashed buy in my Time Fibonacci week. Amazing. If you've been with me for years, you already know that this is the best signal for Bitcoin there is. It is so damn good; this gives so much more weight to my thesis.
Stars seem to align again. They constantly try to shake you out; this is the game. Who is going to fade the hash ribbon buy? It's been the easiest play time and time again.
Seriously, though, for just a moment—are you really going to fade the hash ribbon? :)
BTC is still bullish!!!🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is dipping hard! 🚨
📍 All eyes on $72,000 — this could be the ultimate buy zone:
🔽 Why this level matters:
1️⃣ Bottom of the blue wedge
2️⃣ Flipped resistance → support
3️⃣ Major demand zone
4️⃣ Classic -34% pullback move
📊 This could be a textbook entry point.
Are you ready to catch the bounce?
BTC - One More Leg...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders!
This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 BTC has been overall bearish , trading within the falling channel marked in red.
But the big question is — where could the potential bottom be?
👉 I’m watching the $70,000 zone!
Here’s why:
The $70,000 area is a key confluence zone — it aligns with the lower red trendline, horizontal support, a psychological round number, and a potential demand zone.
📚 According to my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I’ll be looking for bullish reversal setups — such as a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and more.
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
I'm Bullish, but... NEAR / USDTHello again my brothers and sisters,
3 Drive Structure, do I need to say anything else?
I mean, look at this symmetrical triangle, when this blows, in the past, did it only touch base twice? I dont think so, 3 drive structure is needed for this and then we can be extremely bullish!
I'll be loading my boat down there.
If this helped you out, let me know!
Trade thirsty!
I'm Bullish, but... BTC / USDHello my friends,
At a minimum we're looking at 30 days inside this wedge before breaking out and testing the $96k range once again. Trust me, Bitcoin must form a bullish structure before doing anything interesting.
It could wick to FWB:73K but I'm thinking the heavy orders around $75k might hold and we range instead of dumping more.
Keep an eye on this wedge.
Trade thirsty, my friends!
BTC - Slight Distribution After Nearly 10xMorning my fellow traders, and happy new year!
I hope you do not have a hangover right now. But if you do, get a tea going, it usually does the trick for me!
I can't deny the possibilities for another rally to take out the highs, but I'm thinking what the market makers are planning is a simple inverted Adam & Eve pattern that will lead us to new opportunities within the next month or so.
Keep in mind that for sometime now Alts have not been giving, and I believe that after this next Alt season (which I believe we will still get), they will keep giving less and less.
I sold near $100k for probably a couple weeks now. Did not get a perfect $108k sale, which is fine. Now I'll focus on a reentry if this plays out.
Trade thirsty, my friends!
Patience Friends...Howdy again,
As much as the 2.5% is coming we must have patience. It looks like it wants to tough the resistance trend lines once again before actually losing this support here. It also is a double bottom on the weekly which is pretty hard to break, but once it does, not only btc, but the whole market will explode.
Trade thirsty!
P.S: I'll put this as SHORT even though you should LONG usdt and SHORT the market.
Pullback to 80KMorning folks,
So, our long-term bearish journey that we were following for 4-5 weeks comes to an end. BTC more or less hit our 74K target and strong weekly support area .
The next one stands around 69K, but market strongly needs a new driving factor to break ~70K support area, and hardly this will happen this week.
Taking in consideration that market is oversold, now we set a tactical target- pullback to 80K resistance area , and then we will see, should be sell again or not.
Will BITCOIN prove to be resilient amidst this market crash??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just hit its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since September 06 2024, while completing the first 1D Death Cross since August 09 2024. This is a critical double combo development as last time those conditions emerged it was a bullish signal.
Despite the theoretically bearish nature of the Death Cross, the last one on 1D was formed just four days after the market's previous major long-term bottom of August 05 2024. That bottom was exactly on the level that the market hit today, the 1W MA50.
The 1W RSI sequences among the 2 fractals are identical and if it wasn't for the abysmal negative market fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth tariffs, that would be an automatic long-term buy entry, the 3rd on of this Bull Cycle.
The only condition we can technically rely on right now, amidst the stock market crash, is for the weekly candle to close above the 1W MA50, as it did on August 05 2024. In that case and of course if and only if the trade war gets under control (and/ or the Fed makes an urgent rate cut), we can expect a new long-term Bullish Leg to begin towards $150k and above.
Failure to address those concerns and a 1W candle close below the 1W MA50, can result into a stronger sell-off towards $50000 and the next long-term technical Support level of the August 05 2024 Low (49150). That would also be a major Support cluster as the 1W MA200 (gray trend-line) is just below that level (and holding since October 16 2023) and by the time of the drop, the market may test that as well.
So what do you think? Will BTC turn out to be resilient amidst this market crash or will it follow suit and decline towards $50k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Where can Bitcoin turn bullish again? (2D)Before anything, pay attention to the timeframe of the analysis. This is a 2-day timeframe, so it will take time.
The green zone is where Bitcoin can start moving toward the specified targets. If the ATH is broken, Bitcoin could also move toward $120K and $140K. However, based on the chart, there is currently no certainty about Bitcoin’s final target.
Reaching the green zone may take more than 4 to 5 weeks.
We are looking for buy/long positions in the green zone.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin is at a decision point.I would not be surprised if Bitcoin started correction waves from the Fibonacci 1.618 point.
RSI also looks weak.
Less likely, correction waves may begin after Fibonacci rises to 2.618 levels.
Harmonic patterns often target Fibonacci 1.618 levels.
Trump has had a major impact on the world economy and politics recently. This impact has also affected the crypto markets. Therefore, it makes sense to revise our analysis.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
DOGE is approaching my POI, where we can look for spot/longs DOGE is quickly approaching the 3D HOB at 0.12 and 2M Demand at 0.15, which would be a fantastic RR opportunity if in confluence with BTC and TOTAL.
All the information, such as TP, short, and supply, is provided in the chart.
Mark those key levels and keep an eye on them :)
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update. Current Price: ~$78,336
BTC has broken below the symmetrical triangle and is testing the key horizontal support between $78,424 and $79,183.
A wick is visible below the support, but the candle closed within the area, indicating a potential fakeout or demand absorption.
Resistance (downtrend line): ~$85,500
Support Zones:
Primary: $78,424
Secondary: $79,183
Immediate Resistance: $82,000 – $83,000 (recent breakdown zone)
Outlook & Scenarios:
Bullish Reversal Scenario (Green Arrow):
The green arrow projection suggests a potential bounce from this demand zone.
If BTC reclaims $80K+ with strong momentum, it could aim for the descending trendline near $85K.
A bullish confirmation would be a 4H candle close above $80.5K–$81K.
Bearish continuation (if support fails):
If the price fails to hold this support zone, the next downside targets could be:
$76,000
$73,500
Sentiment factor:
The previous sentiment (Fear & Greed Index: 28 – Fear) reflects ongoing market caution.
Price action near key support in the fear zone could trigger a short squeeze or panic sell-off, depending on volume and reaction.
Summary:
BTC is at crucial support, and unless volume confirms a deeper breakdown, the bounce is likely to be short-lived.
Moving back above $80K would signal that bulls are regaining control.
Want any strategy ideas for trading this setup?
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
$BTC Inverse Head and Shoulders Finally FormedAnd just like that, the Death Cross has formed the right shoulder for the Inverse H & S idea I formed on March 14th
We may sit a bit more downside to retest the 50WMA at $76k for confirmation
If we get a V-shaped recovery tomorrow, this very well could be the bottom for CRYPTOCAP:BTC
NASDAQ, S&P 500 and CoinMarketCap movements, Bitcoin chart
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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We need to check the movement after a new candle is created.
USDT, USDC should gap up to know that funds have flowed into the coin market.
On the other hand, if there is a gap down, I think funds have flowed out of the coin market.
Therefore, I think USDT or USDC are showing the size and flow of funds in the coin market.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
If BTC dominance is maintained above 62.47 or continues to rise, altcoins are likely to show a large decline.
Therefore, in order for an altcoin bull market to begin, it must fall below 55.01 and remain there or continue to decline.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
USDT is a fund that has a large influence on the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance rises, it means that the coin market is likely to show an overall decline.
On the other hand, if it falls, it can be interpreted that the coin market is likely to show an overall rise.
In order for the coin market to start an upward trend, it must fall below 4.97 and remain there or continue to decline.
In particular, if the Fibonacci ratio rises above 0.618, the coin market is likely to plummet.
If it remains above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618, it is likely to rise to around 7.14.
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(NAS100USD 12M chart)
It has currently entered the most important support and resistance zone.
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(1W chart)
Therefore, the maximum decline point is expected to be around 14922.2.
In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near the most important support and resistance zone and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
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(SPX500USD 1W chart)
The key is whether it can be supported around 4773.4-4846.1 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If not, the maximum decline is expected to be around 3875.1-4116.0.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
As I mentioned before, since the dotted trend line (1) is not acting as a clear trend line, there is a high possibility of volatility.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator creates a peak in the oversold zone and rises this time, there is a possibility that a trend will be formed as a trend line between lows is created.
However, the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line must be formed in the same direction.
In other words, since the current high-point trend line is creating an upward trend line, the low-point trend line that will be created this time must also create an upward trend line.
In that sense, the 69000-73199.86 section can be seen as an important support and resistance section.
If it falls below 69000, it is likely to touch the Fibonacci ratio section of 0.886 (56227.18) ~ 1 (61338.93), which was the previous high point section.
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(1D chart)
On the last day of this volatility period, it fell below the upward trend line (2), showing a large decline.
Since it fell below the downward trend line, there is a possibility that it will continue to fall further.
At this time, the key is whether it can rise with support near 73499.86.
The next volatility period is around April 25 (April 24-26).
The point of interest is whether the price is maintained near 73499.86 or 89294.25 after the next volatility period.
-
The 73499.86 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising to around 73499.86.
Therefore, if support is confirmed near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, I think it is an aggressive buying period.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is a buying period until it rises again and supports near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
The next time to buy is when it shows support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.886 (56227.18) ~ 1 (61338.93) that I mentioned in the 1M chart explanation.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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LTCUSD Litecoin OH NO TARIFFS! Everyone SELL NOW!The market reacted to the tariffs negatively as expected. I don't think these tariffs will last long. Countries will cave and remove their tariffs. Bottom line is they need us more than we need them. Once global free and easier trade starts you're going to see a boom cycle like never before. This is the bottom and the beginning of the biggest bull run you'll ever see. I don't get involved in politics but this move that Trump made with the tariffs is going to be a major positive for the USA and the world moving forward. This isnt 1929, we live in a much more advanced world now. Collapses and depressions are a thing of the past in my opinion.
As for Litecoin I see it coming down to test around $70 dollars by the middle of April. This is also timed almost perfectly to the 2017 run Litecoin had, coincidentally trump was starting his first term in 2017 as well. Also timed perfectly to when tax day is over for USA.
Many have capitulated and sold everything thinking a giant recession is coming, or a war, or a collapse, or aliens, or you name it people are scared of their own shadows lately. Like a plague of Grackles where one gets spooked and the whole lot of them get scared and take off when they dont even know why. This is how the markets work though, most will make the wrong decision so the few who made the right decision can profit from their mistakes. Once the market starts to run again those who sold will think its just a fake pump or dead cat bounce and wont buy in. Then the market will continue to rise and rise and finally when its near an all time high those who capitulated and sold early will fomo back in and buy the top to provide liquidity for those who were called crazy for buying the bottom. Its a cycle thats been happening since markets started.
So Im sticking with my predictions for Litecoin, I am not falling for this bear trap crap. Im doubling down. This is not financial advice. This is just my opinion.