Bitcoin in lower timeframes (4H)Bitcoin appears to be within a "Trading Range" on lower timeframes.
Within this range, a bearish "QM" (Quasimodo) pattern seems to have formed. To complete the right shoulder of this QM, the price may need to rise to higher levels (red box).
It could move from the green box up to the red box.
Generally, during the year-end holiday period, many large and small traders need cash and sell part of their assets, causing a mid-level correction in the market. During these days, the market seeks liquidity hunts and fluctuations within a specific range. At this stage, it's advisable to reduce the number of your trades and avoid futures trading to some extent.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC-D
Bitcoin Short - Final Squeeze?Negative ETF Inflows and positive ETF Outflows. We go after data right? I'm bearish until ETF data prooves otherwise. Which level will be the final one? I'm deciding on speed and time above 100k. For now target is 104-105.5. If we hover around several days at 100k without hitting any, I'm more into the 103 lvl.
BTC / USDT Update During Christmas Days```During the Christmas holidays, minor corrections occur due to low volume```
A major correction has already occurred from 108K, as predicted. Now, hopefully, one more correction will happen during the Christmas holidays. However, the trading volume during Christmas 🎄🎁 will likely be low. Gradually,is expected to move upward 📈, breaking 108K, creating support at 105K, and then heading toward its next and final leg up to 123.5K, 143.5K, and 163.5K.
After that, the bear market will hopefully begin, likely around March/April, with a maximum extension until May at the latest.
I will update you before the market peaks, the bear market starts, or the time comes to exit the market based on my system.
BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone,BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone, where selling pressure could emerge. If this level holds, the downside target remains at 86,000, which aligns with a significant support level. Keep an eye on price action and momentum indicators for confirmation before entering a position.
Entry Position:
- **Sell Entry:** Around 98,900–99,100 (to account for potential resistance zone fluctuations).
Stop Loss:
- **Stop Loss:** 99,600 (above the resistance zone to manage risk).
Target:
- **Take Profit:** 86,000 (key support zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
- Ensure the risk-to-reward ratio is at least 1:2 to maintain a favorable trading setup. Adjust your position size accordingly.
Keep monitoring for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish divergence, or a breakdown of intraday support).
EIGEN Price Analysis – Key Levels and OutlookRecent Performance:
Retracement: EIGEN has retraced to the midpoint of its November-December rally, testing a critical support zone as it approaches a period of heightened supply due to a token unlock event.
Higher-Timeframe Support: Begins at $3.3792, corresponding to the high of the November 25th bullish gap.
Support Levels:
Primary Support Inside Gap:
$3.3000: November 11th's weekly high, offering initial support within the gap.
$3.1911: November 4th's rejection level, representing stronger secondary support.
Deeper Support: If the gap fails, the next significant zone lies at:
$2.8932: November 24th's bullish gap.
Aligns with November 11th's weekly accumulation midpoint, providing robust support for potential reversal.
Upside Targets:
Short-Term Resistance:
$4.4820: December 21st swing high, where bears’ stops could cluster.
$4.6355: December 14th rejection, likely to act as a significant resistance level.
Long-Term Targets:
$5.0213: December 16th's distribution zone, beyond which resistance appears minimal, allowing for potential price discovery.
Key Considerations:
Token Unlock Impact: Bulls may wait to absorb the newly unlocked supply before initiating significant buying activity.
Breakout Conditions: A decisive move above $4.4820 with volume could trigger a cascade of short covering, driving momentum toward $4.6355 and beyond.
Failure Scenario: A breakdown below $2.8932 would invalidate the bullish structure, signaling deeper retracement and potential accumulation at lower levels.
AUCTION/USDT: Major Trendline Break +90% Upside TargetAUCTION/USDT BREAKOUT TRADE
SETUP
• Major trendline break: $22.54
• Volume spike: 1.4M
• 8-month downtrend reversal
TARGETS
TP1: $33.01 (+46.45%)
TP2: $43.19 (+91.61%)
EXECUTION
Entry: $22.54
SL: Below recent swing low
Scale: 50/50 at TPs
BIAS: BULLISH
✓ Trendline break
✓ Volume confirmation
✓ Higher lows structure
✓ S/R flip zone: $22-28
RISK/REWARD
R1: 1:2.8 (TP1)
R2: 1:4.1 (TP2)
KEY LEVEL: $28.00
Previous resistance becomes support
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
• Not financial advice
• Past performance ≠ future results
• Markets are high risk
• Only trade what you can afford to lose
• DYOR - Do Your Own Research
• Author may hold position in AUCTION
A Bullish Merry BTChristmasGlad this year Christmas isn't different from others before it, for all Crypto traders.
Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC flipped bullish on the eve of Xmas. My Yellow trend line was a huge confirmation for me. It reclaimed and broke above it.
3 Green back-to-back candles in 1 minute ✨✨✨
Happy Merry B-T-C hristmas 🎄🎅
Beautiful trade year for me and the entire Bulls
BTC Bitcoin Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought BTC Bitcoin before the recent breakout:
My price target for BTC in 2025 is $125K, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Regulatory Developments Favoring Adoption:
The anticipated regulatory shifts in the United States are expected to create a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies. With the potential for pro-crypto policies under a new administration, including the establishment of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset by major nations, investor confidence is likely to increase significantly. Analysts suggest that such developments could drive the total cryptocurrency market capitalization from approximately $3.3 trillion to around $8 trillion by 2025, with Bitcoin poised to capture a substantial share of this growth.
Increased Institutional Demand through ETFs:
The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has already begun to transform the investment landscape for Bitcoin, making it more accessible to institutional and retail investors alike. Following the successful introduction of multiple Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, analysts project that inflows could exceed $15 billion in 2025, further boosting demand for Bitcoin. This increased accessibility is expected to drive prices higher as more investors seek exposure to the asset class.
Supply Constraints from Halving Events:
Bitcoin's supply dynamics are fundamentally bullish due to its halving events, which occur approximately every four years and reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. The most recent halving in April 2024 has led to a significant reduction in supply inflation, creating scarcity that historically correlates with price increases. As demand continues to rise while supply becomes more constrained, this fundamental imbalance is likely to support higher prices.
Growing Adoption as a Store of Value"
As macroeconomic conditions evolve, including persistent inflationary pressures and potential monetary policy easing, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a viable store of value akin to gold. This perception is bolstered by its finite supply and decentralized nature, making it an attractive hedge against inflation. Analysts suggest that as more investors turn to Bitcoin for wealth preservation, its price could see substantial appreciation
Bitcoin retreats lower
After completing five waves of accelerated rise, Bitcoin is currently entering a correction downward trend. The current price has broken through the rising channel and rebounded at 92,000, which forms a relatively important support level. If the price falls below this support, the next support range may be close to the starting position of the previous rising wave, around 86,000.
After the price rebounded to 100,000 points, it was under pressure and formed a double top structure. This position is also the previous long-short dividing line. Therefore, overall, Bitcoin is still in the five-wave correction stage in the short term. If 100,000 points cannot be broken, the upward pressure still exists. If the price is suppressed at this position, buying operations will not be considered in the short term.
In the short term, the decline of Bitcoin after the surge is in line with the overall bearish trend. Pay attention to the narrow adjustment of the 97,600-99,500 range above. If it rebounds to this area, you can continue to consider shorting. Downward support can focus on the two key points of 94,800 and 92,600.
If you have any different opinions on the market trend, please leave a message and like it. Thank you
BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point UpdatePreviously I mentioned the weekly was consolidating, but there is potential for this momentum consolidation to have a breakout leg as momentum shifts and the final emotional price movements are played out. I was too conservative in my price projections; a lot more than I used to be- but there wasn't a whole lot of TA involved- I figured the dollar issues would crop up earlier.
Now that the Fed had pivoted. the yields are creeping back up pushing bitcoin back down. The fed doesn't let on just how dire the situation is- and with global tensions rising, the dollar is at significant risk.
I expect a broad correction in all the markets- and cash to become very tight.
There is daily momentum consolidation- and if any other events occur that send yields upward- bitcoin is likely to suffer as a consequence. If instead we sail into the new year unscathed- then this consolidation may provide another leg up; but a break below 88k and a push towards 60k may solidify bitcoins correction.
DAILY
WEEKLY
BTC Long-Term Top Signals, Potentially Headed to $32k in 2026Bitcoin is currently exhibiting several long-term top signals, some of which stretch all the way back to 2019. Those include:
Wave-D = (C+B)/2 in Time
Wave-D = 0.618(B) in Price
Waves a, b, c, f, and g are all time-similar forming a perfect diametric
First Wiseman signals on Weekly, Monthly charts
All three wisemen on Daily charts
HUGE long-term momentum divergences on all long-term charts
Manic market sentiment following Trump's promises and $100k prices (which he may not keep)
I believe a deep, long-term bear market is highly likely from this point. It also appears that the stock market could be falling into a bear market as well.
The invalidation for this forecast will be for BTC to make new all time highs. If we can reverse the wisemen signals and long-term time/price targets that have formed that would be extremely bullish, but at the moment that is seeming less and less likely. For now the probabilities are favoring major downside in crypto, stocks, and real estate.
There's also other possible targets. While $32k in 2 years is close to the worst case scenario, a drop lasting only a few months and forming a smaller x-wave or something else is also possible. It will depend ultimately how this develops. To confirm a long-term bear market we should hit around $62k by end of Q1. If it takes longer than that, it's possible the bear market won't be as big. Right now, the important thing is that the market is at a clear fork in the road. If it can't push new all time highs then the signals clearly say that we are headed down from here based on the momentum, price action, sentiment and wave counts. How far down exactly can be determined in the future when there's more information.
ETH/BTC - Once in a lifetime opportunity#ETH/BTC #Analysis
Description
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+ ETH/BTC pattern looks exactly like the pattern we have seen before 2021 bull run.
+ There is some serious is consolidation that we have seen over the years and price is expecting to be bounced back any time now.
+ I'm expecting the price to move in a pattern which matches with 2020 ETH/BTC pattern.
+ I'm entering some position now to increase my BTC balance.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
ZRX ANALYSIS📊 #ZRX Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart and currently trading around its major support zone🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a breakout
👀Current Price: $0.4695
🚀 Target Price: $0.5920
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ZRX price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ZRX #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
MicroStrategy Long-Term Top Based on Perfect Fib RatiosSeveral long-term signals on Bitcoin are indicating a potential top including long-term price and time ratios, long-term momentum indicators, as well as wisemen on weekly and daily charts. This made me look more closely at MSTR, which is also exhibiting significant signs of a potential top.
Some of these on this weekly chart include:
Larger Degree (red boxes)
Wave-C = 161.8%(B) in price
Wave-C = 138.2%(A) in price
wave-C = 100%(B) in time
wave-A = 25%(B+C) in time
Smaller Degree (green boxes)
Wave-c = 50%(a+b) in time
wave-c = wave-a in price
Complex structure potentially ending with a zigzag
Based on all these factors, the chances of a top here are high. However, if we do make new all time highs it would be a good idea to reverse and go long crypto again, as it would likely mean that all these signals are just a MASSIVE bear trap and there could be significant upside left. For now, as long as we remain directly under these long-term price/time targets on both BTC and MSTR, combined with long-term sell signals, the chances of a trend reversal in crypto is high.
There's also significant bearishness in virtually all global asset markets right now, which could in a worst case scenario last for 1-2 years, and possibly be worse than 2022. It is difficult to say at this point what the trigger for the coming crash could be, possible chaos surrounding the transition to a new administration, high rates putting pressure on commercial real estate and regional banks, some high profile financial failures, a major war, or something else that i can't predict
ZEN - Is It Time for a Correction?It appears that ZEN is in the process of forming a potential ABC corrective structure:
Wave A and Wave B Context:
Wave A (5 impulsive waves down) is complete, forming the foundation of this corrective pattern.
Wave B retracement is currently unfolding, heading toward the golden pocket zone (Fib 0.618 - 0.666). If price extends further to Fib 0.786, this would offer the best short entry with minimal risk and high reward potential.
Ideal Short Entry Zone:
The golden pocket (Fib 0.618 - 0.666) is identified as the optimal area for initiating short positions.
For added precision, consider laddering entries from Fib 0.618 up to Fib 0.786, especially during fast impulses.
Wave C Target Zone:
The projected Wave C target remains the 1:1 trend-based Fibonacci extension at $24.46, with the following key confluences:
Anchored VWAP at $29
Point of Control (POC) from the old trading range
Psychological level of $30
Fib speed fan 0.618 aligning with the support zone
Trading Plan
Short Setup:
Ladder short entries in the Fib 0.618 - 0.786 zone, monitoring price action for confirmation.
Aim for Wave C completion around the $30-$29 support zone
Long Setup (Wave C Completion):
Watch for signs of reversal at the $30-$29 support zone, which offers significant confluence for long entries.
Mastering BTC Levels: Predicting the Next MoveHere's an in-depth look at BTC's key levels 🔍
📍 Bullish and bearish zones mapped out
📈 Using ATR to target potential price ranges
Will BTC break out or stay range-bound? Share your thoughts! #BTC
Context:
Key Levels: The chart highlights major support and resistance zones using green (bullish levels) and red (bearish levels) bands.
Bullish Day/Week Levels: Green zones where bullish momentum could sustain or start.
Bearish Day/Week Levels: Red zones where bearish sentiment could dominate.
ATR (Average True Range): The "Day ATR" and "Week ATR" indicate potential ranges BTC might move within, helping traders set targets or stops.
Price Action: BTC seems to be fluctuating within these predefined zones, offering insights for both breakout and range-bound strategies.
Directional Arrows: Green and red arrows suggest potential bullish or bearish trajectories from current price levels.
Close Day Marker: The "Close Day" line highlights the critical closing price, often serving as a benchmark for future market direction.
Insights:
The chart is ideal for short-term traders looking for high-probability entries and exits.
It emphasizes the importance of respecting these predefined zones to maximize risk-reward.
ZEN Skyrockets 244% – Is a Correction Around the Corner?ZEN has experienced an impressive +244% rally over the past 7 days, completing 7 consecutive bullish days.
Key Resistance Levels:
0.618 Fibonacci Retracement: Reached for the entire structure (logarithmic scale), providing an ideal short entry.
0.666 Fibonacci Retracement: Located at $53.55, perfectly aligning with the previous significant swing high, further strengthening resistance at this level.
Psychological Level: $50 serves as a critical psychological barrier.
The rally suggests an imminent correction due to overextension. Multiple resistance levels indicate a high probability of price cooling off.
Short Setup:
Elliott Wave Completion: 5-wave structure appears completed, signaling the end of the bullish trend.
Take-Profit Targets:
First TP: $39.68 (Fib 0.618 of the current wave).
Second TP: $33.74 (Fib 0.382 of the entire structure).
Risk-Reward Ratio: Targeting 0.382 offers a +25% gain.
BTC Long term analysisBitcoin Weekly Analysis: Ascending Channel in Play
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading within a well-defined ascending parallel channel on the weekly time frame, indicating a strong bullish trend. Here's the breakdown of the setup:
📈 Channel Boundaries:
BTC price is respecting the channel's upper resistance and lower support (yellow lines).
The midline (blue dashed line) acts as dynamic support/resistance, guiding the price action within the channel.
💡 Current Scenario:
The price is trending toward the upper boundary, showing bullish momentum.
A potential retracement back to the midline is expected after touching the resistance, as illustrated by the green path.
🚀 Bullish Case:
A breakout above the upper boundary could signal accelerated bullish momentum.
BTC might continue rallying beyond the channel if volume supports the breakout.
⚠️ Bearish Case:
A breakdown below the lower boundary could signal a trend reversal, leading to bearish pressure.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Upper Channel Resistance: Critical zone for a breakout.
Midline Support: Retesting this level could offer a buy opportunity in case of a pullback.
Lower Channel Support: Watch for potential trend invalidation below this level.
📊 Conclusion:
The ascending channel suggests BTC remains in a strong uptrend on the weekly time frame. Staying within the channel keeps the bullish structure intact, offering opportunities for both breakout and retracement traders.
Do you agree with this setup? Share your thoughts or ideas in the comments! 👍
BTC USD bullish pennant inside a rising broadening wedgeBullish pennant forming for continuation inside a big rising broadening wedge
If successful this pennant could take bitcoin to 102k as first stop before a second consolidation.
Right now trading the pennant, not the broadening pattern, which is still forming but could reach a target around 111k