SIGNUSDT Forming Bullish Pennant SIGNUSDT is currently exhibiting a strong bullish pennant pattern on the daily timeframe—a continuation setup that often precedes substantial upward movement. Following an aggressive price surge, the pair has entered a brief consolidation phase within converging trendlines, suggesting that bulls are simply regrouping for the next leg higher. This is typically a bullish signal, especially when paired with increasing volume and positive sentiment surrounding the project.
The volume has remained healthy during the pennant formation, indicating sustained interest and participation from investors. With a clean technical structure and no major overhead resistance in the immediate zone, SIGN has positioned itself for a breakout move. Based on the height of the flagpole and the pattern formation, a price surge of 40% to 50% is anticipated, with targets aligning near the $0.13 zone. Such a move would mirror the breakout potential we’ve seen in similar setups across the altcoin market.
From a sentiment perspective, market participants have shown growing confidence in the SIGN project. Social mentions, trading volume, and overall engagement metrics are on the rise. This kind of grassroots enthusiasm often precedes strong rallies, and with Bitcoin and Ethereum holding steady, the stage may be set for altcoins like SIGN to shine. Technically and fundamentally, the alignment for an upward push appears to be falling into place.
Traders should watch for a clean breakout with volume confirmation above the resistance trendline. A decisive candle close above the pennant could act as a strong bullish catalyst. Risk management is key, but the risk-reward profile currently leans heavily in favor of the bulls.
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BTC-D
ORCAUSDT Forming Symmetrical Triangle ORCAUSDT is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart, a technical setup that often signals strong breakout potential. This type of consolidation pattern typically indicates a period of indecision that could lead to a significant price move once a breakout occurs. With ORCA trading at the apex of the triangle and volume gradually increasing, a bullish breakout looks increasingly probable in the near term.
The volume profile supports the idea of a coming rally, as we see accumulation within the pattern and recent volume spikes suggesting renewed investor interest. ORCA’s fundamentals and recent market developments are also attracting attention from both retail and institutional players. If the upper trendline of the triangle is broken convincingly, we could expect a 40% to 50% upward surge, potentially reaching near the $4.50 zone.
Technical traders are watching closely, especially with broader market sentiment improving across altcoins. ORCA’s formation of higher lows within the triangle adds confidence to the bullish thesis. The symmetry of the pattern and breakout projection aligns with historical moves in similar market conditions, reinforcing the anticipated gain targets.
Given its current technical posture, ORCAUSDT presents a high-reward setup. A confirmed breakout could trigger momentum buying, driving price rapidly toward the target. Stay vigilant and watch for confirmation signals like increasing volume and a strong close above resistance.
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Bitcoin Strong-Bullish Above 102000, Remember The Bigger PictureWe've defined $102,000 as the strongest support level ever based on the long-term. This number was extracted using the 2021-2022 bear market. It is mapped which a red dotted line on the chart.
On this chart you can see how this level worked as resistance in December 2024 and January 2025, later to become the strongest support ever now, in May 2025. Bitcoin is 100% bullish as it trades above $102,000.
» I should say super-bullish, hyper-bullish, ultra-bullish, etc.
Right now Bitcoin is safe and sound when considering the bigger picture.
The Altcoins market is also safe and we can continue to accumulate; Buy and hold.
If you have any questions do not hesitate to leave a comment.
Please keep in mind that market conditions can always change. In a day without notice.
Thanks a lot for your continued support, it is truly appreciated.
Namaste.
SHORT Bitcoin 10X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers (PP: 175.6%)For experts only. This is not for beginners.
Leveraged trading is ultra-high risk and it is even harder when it comes to shorting.
This is not medical advice. This is not spiritual advice.
This is definitely not financial advice. This is just a chart and some numbers.
How you decide to use these numbers is completely up to you.
I am wishing you tons of luck and success; profits 100%.
This is a strong chart setup. It looks great.
_____
SHORT BTCUSDT
Leverage: 10X
Entry levels:
1) $111,111
2) $109,255
3) $108,000
4) $107,000
Targets:
1) $103,149
2) $101,012
3) $98,790
4) $94.239
5) $89,999
11) $88,888
Stop-loss:
Close weekly above $115,000
Potential profits: 175%
Capital allocation: 4%
_____
Thank you for reading.
If you enjoy the content make sure to follow.
(Leave a comment with your toughts.)
Namaste.
XRP will start to outperform BTC in coming weeks.XRP will start to outperform BTC in coming weeks.
We have a golden cross on weekly timeframe and is reaching big support around 2000 sats also we had a nice reset on rsi levels between January and now.
On the montly timeframe we had nearly 6 months of consolidation. The next move will be a super explosive possibly a new all time high between xrp/btc.
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??GBPUSD has successfully completed its retest of the 1.34300–1.34500 support zone and is now showing strong signs of resuming its bullish momentum. The recent structure confirms a classic bullish continuation pattern, as price bounced cleanly off a critical support level that previously acted as resistance. This level has now flipped into a solid demand zone, giving buyers confidence to push toward the 1.40000 psychological target. Price action continues to respect the uptrend with higher lows forming since mid-April, suggesting strength and institutional accumulation.
From a macroeconomic perspective, the British pound remains fundamentally supported. Recent UK inflation data surprised to the upside, causing the market to delay rate cut expectations from the Bank of England. In contrast, the US dollar is weakening due to rising expectations that the Federal Reserve could initiate rate cuts later this year as inflation cools and labor market data softens. This divergence in policy outlooks between the BoE and the Fed is fueling bullish pressure on GBPUSD, making the 1.40000 level a realistic and high-probability target.
Technical confluence also supports this bullish wave. Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low to the high align closely with the support zone at 1.34300, which acted as a perfect retest before the next leg higher. Additionally, the bullish engulfing candles and consistent daily closes above the support level add further confirmation to the upside bias. As long as the pair holds above 1.34300, the structure favors bulls with strong momentum to test and potentially break the 1.38000 intermediate level on the way to 1.40000.
GBPUSD remains a high-confidence bullish opportunity, aligning both technically and fundamentally. The recent breakout and retest phase is complete, and the pair now appears poised for a sustained rally. With bullish market sentiment, favorable UK data, and USD softness across the board, this setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for medium-term swing traders targeting the 1.40000 zone.
Bitcoin is bearish | stay cautious (1H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We have been warning about a potential Bitcoin correction for some time. It appears that wave G has ended, and key levels have been lost. If the price reaches the red box, it is expected to be rejected downward.
The green zone is a relatively strong support area for Bitcoin, and we should closely watch this level.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
HelenP. I Bitcoin can start to grow from support zone in rangeHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price rebounded from the support zone, which coincided with support level 2, and fell to the trend line. After this moment, BTC started to grow near this line and soon broke support 2. Then it made a correction below the trend line, but soon turned back and continued to grow. Later, Bitcoin reached support 1, which coincided with the support zone too and then some time traded in this area. Price traded between the support area and the trend line, and later finally broke support 1 and entered into a consolidation. In this pattern, BTC rose to the top part of the range and then made a correction to the trend line at once. Soon, Bitcoin broke this line and continued to fall, and at the moment it traded near support 1, which is the bottom part of the consolidation as well. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will correct to the support area and then start to grow. For this case, I set my goal at 109000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTCUSDT on daily support, likely to head to 109kWe have the price revisiting the daily support DS1.
This presents a long opportunity for us.
The price is likely to find support in this zone and bounce from here.
The target of this long trade shall be the daily resistance DR1 marked on the chart. This resistance zone DR1 sits around 109k area.
In case the price reaches there, it is likely to experience some pullback there.
We will reevaluate the price action on DR1 once it reaches there and decide about the next steps.
What do you think about BTC price and this trade setup presented? Share it with me in the comments.
BITCOIN targets 165k based on VIX's 10-year SupportBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started a new (and possibly last for this Cycle) Bullish Leg following April's bottom and has already made a new All Time High (ATH).
The BTC/VIX ratio on that very same day (April 07 2025) hit and rebounded on its 10-year Higher Lows trend-line, a Support level that has been holding since the August 24 2015 market bottom.
Every rebound on this Higher Lows trend-line, has produced a strong medium-term rally, the 'weakest' of which has been the most recent (August - December 2024), which rose by +121.44%. If BTC repeats this 'minimum', we are looking at a $165000 High, which aligns perfectly with the majority of projections for this Cycle's Top.
Do you think we will see that price by October? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Daily Chart Analysis. Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Daily Chart Analysis
Bitcoin has tested the overhead resistance and is currently retracing towards the $104k–$105k support area.
Moving Average (MA 25):
The price is slightly above the moving average, indicating that the medium-term trend is still bullish but faces resistance.
Pattern Formation:
There is a clear breakout from the inverted “V” pattern, and now the price appears to be retesting the breakout zone.
Scenario:
If BTC maintains support at ~$105k and bounces off again, a potential push towards $112k—$115k can be seen.
If the support fails, a deeper pullback towards $100k or below could occur.
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin Weekly, Why $20,000 Is Not Necessary!After closing 7 consecutive weeks green, Bitcoin turned red for the first time. Is this situation bullish or bearish? Will Bitcoin test $20,000 as support before hitting $200,000? Boost & follow to continue reading below.
The fact that Bitcoin found resistance is a non-event. After a very strong rise with 50% growth, it is normal to see a retrace or correction, it is as normal as it gets. Think back to August 2024. Bitcoin crashed and started to recover. The recovery didn't produce one long single up-wave, after some bullish action there was a retrace, this retrace ended in a higher low followed by additional growth. Exactly what I told you would happen if a drop develops. Yes, prices move lower but always end in a higher low. The higher low means that the bullish structure remains intact. An intact bullish structure means that market conditions do not change. This is only negative for those that bought at the top, short-term traders and over-leveraged traders, and those without a plan.
The rest of the market is sound and safe and will continue to profit long-term. Now, how far down will Bitcoin go? Will support be found around $100,000, $90,000, $80,000 or $76,000?
Remember, even if Bitcoin hits $76,000 on a flash crash this is still a higher low compared to $74,500 and thus bullish. We are bullish long-term. So, regardless of the short-term, noise, Bitcoin will continue to grow.
Prepare for the crash.
Buy and hold.
Namaste.
Bearish Bitcoin Confirmed —$20,000 Is Not Possible, Much Higher!After a lower high, Bitcoin is now on three days red. There is nothing bullish about this chart setup.
Think of it this way: Would you trust me to buy Bitcoin when it was trading below 80K? Now, Bitcoin moves from a low point of $74,500 to a high of $112,000 in less than two months. Isn't it normal for the market to look for some relief, a retrace or correction?
Please, do not be offended by me sharing a simple chart, reading a chart. It is very normal and I always mention that the market never moves straight down, nor straight up. Bitcoin doesn't need to crash, but after a rise of 50%, I wouldn't be surprising to see the development of a higher low.
If you are going crazy right now, maybe you didn't do your homework but it is definitely not my fault. The market moves up and down, up and down... It was going up, now, down we go.
Adapt to market conditions rather than fight.
If you are fighting, then you are not prepared.
If you have to write insults in the comments section, then it means you are not doing your homework.
It is your money. Be smart.
Don't be stupid.
You can do this.
P.S. If you can easily see the market fluctuating and this type of post doesn't create a mental breakdown, then all is good. You are great and you will continue to enjoy huge profits in this 2025 bull market.
Prepare for the crash.
Namaste.
#BTCUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Ascending trendline breakdownCRYPTOCAP:BTC lost 50MA that may act as resistance now, retracement down to 200MA support seems next.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (19.0X)
Amount: 5.0%
Current Price:
107480.5
Entry Zone:
108234.7 - 109274.5
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 106010.9
2) 103944.6
3) 101878.3
Stop Targets:
1) 111050.5
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +47.9% | +84.0% | +120.1%
Possible Loss= -40.1%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Bitcoin to $115k or pullback to $91kGood Evening Traders,
First I would like to say, congratulations to all of you who have been in the game for the last 3 bitcoin halving cycles. Through all of the "You buy fake internet money" comments or the never ending explaining of the Tokenomics of different cryptocurrencies, I have to say KUDOS to all of us who saw the vision, stuck to your guns and intricately added to your bags over the years! We are finally here on the cusp of full regulation and a final hush of the naysayers!
Ok, now down to brass tax! On the chart I have Highlighted a few important details. Something I did not point out on the chart is the massive printing of USDT that has been happening over the past few days. It seems to me that we are on the cusp of a massive influx of capital into the alt coin markets. But, for now lets focus on Bitcoin! As stated, you can see multiple points that I have highlighted... These being mostly bearish for the big dog of market cap and the grandfather coins of crypto Bitcoin. The first few things to notice is the bearish divergence on the MACD histogram, the bearish down cross of the MACD line over the signal line on the MACD indicator. You can also note the overbought area on the RSI right above that. In addition to this we do have some gaps on CME:BTC1! Which generally get filled sooner than later on most charts.
With this in mind, it is possible that we could have some good news amongst the movers and shakers down at the Bitcoin conference this week. Yet, we could get some sell the news type events that could ease the price downward to fill in these gaps that we have below. In my experience at the beginning of each alt coin season Bitcoin generally leads the rally and can trade sideways to down during the upward movement of the majority of the altcoin market.
My personal thoughts on the chart currently is shown at the top of the chart. if we close the daily candle underneath the hyperlocal resistance shown on the red line at the top of the chart, then we will most likely start pulling back to fill the first gap that is shown on the chart below in yellow. Albeit, the MACD is a lagging indicator, we can gain a lot of insight using it and my favorite sign on the MACD is using the histogram to point out bearish and bullish divergences. This shows a lack in momentum in the current trend that is shown through the price action of the assets trend. Especially, after a straight run up like we have just experienced as of late.
In conclusion, you can make the assumption that if we close the current day under the red line above it is very possible that we begin what could turn out to be an ABC correction leading us down to fill in the gaps on BTC1! to the downside. If we hold the first support, BTC may show us a little more juice potentially reaching for just under $115k. This in my opinion would likely be a bull trap for the time being. Summers are not the best when it comes to crypto growth and it always seems like we are waiting for the Ground Hog to see its shadow to find out if we are to the moon or back to McDonalds with our friends!
I hope that this analysis has helped you gain some insight in your research. I have added supports to the chart to show you where we may turn around and start heading back into price discovery.
Stay Profitable,
Savvy
BTCUSD: About to explode to 135k by July.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.730, MACD = 3423.900, ADX = 23.501) as it is expreriencing the strongest pullback since the start of its April bottom. Having completed a 1D Golden Cross like on October 27th 2024, this pullback seems a lot like the one that suceeded that Cross, which tested the LH trendline and marginally crossed under it and as it held the 1D MA50, resumed the uptrend and exploded to the 3.382 Fibonacci extension. That is our target on a July horizon (TP = 135,000).
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GameStop (GME) Is the New MSTR — And It Might Moon Harder ! If you haven`t bought the dip on GME:
Now You need to know that GameStop (GME) is the new MSTR MicroStrategy — But With Meme Power!
GME GameStop just made its boldest move yet: the company revealed it has purchased 4,710 Bitcoin, officially entering the crypto game in a serious way. While it hasn’t disclosed the total price paid, the intent is loud and clear — GameStop is transforming into a Bitcoin-holding company, just like MicroStrategy (MSTR) did back in 2020.
This isn’t just about hype. In March, GameStop raised $1.3 billion through a convertible note offering, specifically to help fund Bitcoin purchases. It also updated its investment policy to formally add Bitcoin as a reserve asset — the same exact strategy that led to MicroStrategy’s 10x stock explosion.
But here’s the twist: GameStop brings more than just Bitcoin exposure — it brings meme momentum. Unlike MicroStrategy, which had to win over the market, GME already has an army of loyal retail traders, massive online visibility, and a cultural legacy as the original meme stock. If MicroStrategy was the corporate face of Bitcoin adoption, GameStop is the internet’s version — louder, faster, and potentially more explosive.
Yes, the stock dipped on the announcement — typical for big moves like this — but long-term, the upside is undeniable. Bitcoin on the balance sheet gives GME new life, and volatility is GameStop’s comfort zone. With Bitcoin becoming a political and financial flashpoint — highlighted by major figures like JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr. attending the 2025 Bitcoin conference — GME’s move couldn’t be more timely.
This is more than a pivot. It’s a power play. GameStop is no longer just a nostalgia-fueled retailer — it’s a digital asset powerhouse in the making.
If you missed MicroStrategy’s rise, GameStop might just be your second chance — with even more firepower behind it.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap: Structural Breakout Aligns with Macros## 📊 TOTAL – Crypto Market Cap Ready for Expansion Phase?
---
### 🧵 **Summary**
The crypto market is showing signs of strong macro strength, with TOTAL reclaiming major support levels and forming a structurally bullish setup. Our multi-Fibonacci confluences and hidden bullish divergence point toward the possibility of a sustained breakout and new expansion leg toward \$4.9T and beyond.
This bullish view is further supported by powerful macro fundamentals expected over the next 8–10 months, including:
* Central bank rate cuts and liquidity expansion
* U.S. and EU regulatory clarity (stablecoins, ETFs, MiCA)
* Strong institutional adoption and geopolitical shifts
* Ethereum scaling upgrades and Bitcoin halving cycle effects
Together, these narratives form a compelling foundation for a broad-based market cap expansion.
---
### 📈 **Chart Context**
This is a **weekly chart of the TOTAL crypto market cap**, providing a bird’s-eye view of market cycles, macro structure, and capital flow across the entire ecosystem.
---
### 🧠 **Key Technical Observations**
* **Reclaim of \$3.02T level** (key support/fib level) signals macro bullish momentum.
* Market is forming **higher lows and bullish continuation structures**.
* **Support zones:** \$3.02T (reclaimed), \$2.57T (key pivot),
* **Resistance/TP zones:**
* **TP1 – \$3.75T** (100% trend-based fib + -27% retracement expansion)
* **TP2 – \$4.9T** (161.8% trend-based fib + -61.8% retracement expansion)
* **TP3 – \$6.9T** (261.8% fib extension target)
---
### 🧶 **Fibonacci Confluences and TP Logic**
We’ve employed both **standard Fibonacci retracement** and **trend-based extension** tools to build our target structure. The **1TP and 2TP zones** are defined by confluences between:
* **Retracement expansion levels** of **-27% and -61.8%**
* **Trend-based extension levels** of **100% and 161.8%**
If price reaches 2TP (~~\$4.9T) and **retraces toward the parallel legs** (100%–127%), this would confirm structural symmetry and open the door for a final push toward \*\*TP3 (~~\$6.9T)\*\* — the 261.8% extension.
---
### 🔍 **Indicators**
* **MACD Crossover** and rising histogram bars
* **Hidden Bullish Divergence** between MACD and price – a classic continuation signal
* Weekly trendline breakout from accumulation zone
---
### 🧠 **Fundamental Context**
While not directly charted, key macro catalysts like ETF approvals, global liquidity cycles, monetary easing, and increasing institutional interest will likely play a role in the next phase of expansion. This chart captures the structural readiness for that narrative.
## 📊 Fundamental Context (Extended Outlook: Mid-2025 to Early 2026)
Below is a detailed breakdown of upcoming macroeconomic, geopolitical, and crypto-specific developments sourced from:
* Bitwise Asset Management
* Fidelity Digital Assets
* ARK Invest
* CoinDesk, Reuters, Axios, WSJ
* CapitalWars, Cointelegraph, Coinpedia
* European Commission (MiCA regulations)
* U.S. Congressional records and SEC announcements
These events are chronologically aligned to support a structured macro bullish thesis for TOTAL market cap.
Bullish Crypto Catalysts (June 2025 – Feb 2026)
Summer 2025 (Jun–Aug): Monetary Easing and Regulatory Breakthroughs
Central Bank Policy Pivot: By mid-2025, major central banks are shifting toward easier policy. Market expectations indicate the U.S. Federal Reserve will stop tightening and begin cutting interest rates in 2025, with forecasts of up to three rate cuts by end-2025
bitwiseinvestments.eu
. Declining inflation and rising unemployment are pushing the Fed in this direction
bitwiseinvestments.eu
bitwiseinvestments.eu
. Easier monetary policy increases global liquidity and risk appetite, historically providing a tailwind for Bitcoin and crypto prices
bitwiseinvestments.eu
. In fact, global money supply is near record highs, a condition that in past cycles preceded major Bitcoin rallies
bitwiseinvestments.eu
. Should economic volatility worsen, the Fed has even signaled readiness to deploy fresh stimulus, which would inject more liquidity – “another tailwind for Bitcoin price growth”
nasdaq.com
.
Liquidity and Inflation Trends: With inflation trending down from earlier peaks, central banks like the Fed and European Central Bank are under less pressure to tighten. This opens the door for potential liquidity injections or QE if growth falters. Analysts note a strong correlation (often >84%) between expanding global M2 money supply and Bitcoin’s price rise
nasdaq.com
. There is typically a ~2-month lag for liquidity increases to flow into speculative assets like crypto
nasdaq.com
nasdaq.com
. The monetary easing expected in mid-2025 could therefore boost crypto markets by late summer, as new liquidity finds its way into higher-yielding investments. One projection even models Bitcoin retesting all-time highs (~$108K by June 2025) if global liquidity continues upward
nasdaq.com
– underscoring how “accelerated expansion of global liquidity” often aligns with crypto bull runs
nasdaq.com
.
U.S. Stablecoin Legislation: A landmark regulatory catalyst is anticipated in summer 2025: the first comprehensive U.S. crypto law, focused on stablecoins. The Senate has advanced the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act to a final vote
coindesk.com
. Passage of this bill (expected by mid-2025) would create a federal framework for stablecoin issuers, resolving a major regulatory gray area
coindesk.com
. Analysts call this “one of the most important regulatory developments in the history of crypto” – potentially even bigger than the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in impact
coindesk.com
. By enforcing prudential standards on stablecoin reserves and permitting licensed issuance, the law would legitimize stablecoins as a core part of the financial system. Bitwise predicts that clear rules could trigger a “multi-year crypto bull market,” with stablecoin market cap exploding from ~$245B to $2.5 trillion as mainstream adoption accelerates
coindesk.com
coindesk.com
. A U.S. law would also likely set a global precedent, encouraging other regions to integrate crypto-dollar tokens into commerce. Bottom line: expected stablecoin regulation in summer 2025 is a bullish game-changer, improving market integrity and unlocking new liquidity for crypto markets
coindesk.com
.
Regulatory Clarity in Europe: Meanwhile, Europe’s comprehensive MiCA regulations have fully taken effect as of late 2024, so by summer 2025 the EU has a unified crypto framework. This gives legal clarity to issuers, exchanges, and custodians across the 27-nation bloc
pymnts.com
skadden.com
. The harmonized rules (covering everything from stablecoin reserves to exchange licensing) are expected to expand Europe’s crypto market size by 15–20% in the coming years
dailyhodl.com
. With MiCA in force, firms can confidently launch crypto products EU-wide, and institutional investors have more protection. U.K. regulators are on a similar path – e.g. recognizing stablecoins as payment instruments – further globalizing the pro-crypto regulatory trend. By mid-2025, this regulatory thaw in major economies is improving investor sentiment. Goldman Sachs recently noted that 91% of crypto firms are gearing up for MiCA compliance – a sign that industry is preparing to scale under clearer rules
merklescience.com
merklescience.com
. Overall, the summer of 2025 marks a turning point: governments are embracing sensible crypto rules (rather than harsh crackdowns), reducing uncertainty and inviting institutional capital off the sidelines.
Initial ETF Impact: The first wave of U.S. spot crypto ETFs – approved in late 2023 and January 2024 – will have been trading for over a year by mid-2025
investopedia.com
. Their success is already far exceeding expectations: BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust amassed a record $52 billion AUM in its first year (the biggest ETF launch in history)
coindesk.com
, and other Bitcoin funds from Fidelity, ARK, and Bitwise quickly joined the top 20 U.S. ETF launches of all time
coindesk.com
. These products have unleashed pent-up retail and institutional demand by offering a regulated, convenient vehicle for crypto exposure
coindesk.com
. By summer 2025, ETF inflows are still robust, and many Wall Street analysts expect a second wave of approvals. Indeed, 2025 is being called “the Year of Crypto ETFs”
coindesk.com
. Observers predict dozens of new funds – including spot Ether, Solana, and XRP ETFs – could win approval under revamped SEC leadership in the post-2024 election environment
coindesk.com
. If so, late 2025 could see a broad menu of crypto ETF offerings, widening investor access to the asset class. This steady drumbeat of ETF launches and inflows adds a structural source of buy-pressure under crypto markets throughout 2025. (Notably, Bloomberg data showed over $1.7B poured into spot crypto ETFs in just the first week of 2025, on top of 2024’s flows
etf.com
.) In short, the ETF effect – “shocking the industry to its core” in year one
coindesk.com
– is set to grow even stronger in 2025, channeling more traditional capital into crypto.
U.S. Political Shift (Post-Election): The outcome of the Nov 2024 U.S. elections is a crucial backdrop by mid-2025. A new administration under President Donald Trump took office in January 2025 and immediately signaled a markedly pro-crypto policy stance. Within his first 100 days, Trump’s appointments to key financial agencies (SEC, CFTC, OCC) effectuated a “180° pivot” in crypto regulation from the prior administration
cnbc.com
. Industry observers describe a sharp policy reversal – where previously the sector faced hostility, now it’s courted as an engine of innovation. President Trump has publicly vowed to be “the first crypto-president,” hosting crypto industry leaders at the White House and promising to boost digital asset adoption
reuters.com
. He even floated creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve for the United States
reuters.com
– a striking show of support for Bitcoin’s role as a reserve asset (though it remains to be seen if this materializes). More tangibly, regulatory agencies have begun rolling back onerous rules. For example, the SEC under new leadership scrapped a prior accounting guideline that made bank crypto custody prohibitively expensive
reuters.com
. And the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has “paved the way” for banks to engage in crypto activities like custody and stablecoin issuance
reuters.com
. These changes in Washington brighten the outlook for crypto markets: with regulatory uncertainty fading, U.S. institutions feel more confident to participate. In essence, by mid-2025 the world’s largest capital market (the U.S.) is shifting from impeding crypto to embracing it, a narrative change that cannot be overstated in its bullish significance
coindesk.com
reuters.com
.
Geopolitical Easing and BRICS Actions: Global macro conditions in summer 2025 may also improve due to geopolitical developments. If major conflicts (like the Russia-Ukraine war) de-escalate or move toward resolution by late 2024 or 2025, it would remove a key source of risk-off sentiment. Lower geopolitical risk and easing of war-driven commodity shocks would help cool inflation (especially energy prices) and bolster global growth – factors that support risk asset rallies (crypto included). On another front, the BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa + new members) are continuing their de-dollarization agenda in 2025. At the BRICS summit in October 2024, they discussed creating a new gold-backed reserve currency (“the Unit”) as an alternative to the U.S. dollar
investingnews.com
. They also announced a BRICS blockchain-based payment network (“BRICS Bridge”) to connect their financial systems via CBDCs, bypassing Western networks
investingnews.com
. Going into 2025, these initiatives are expected to progress (with Russia currently chairing BRICS). While a full-fledged BRICS currency may be years away (and faces hurdles
moderndiplomacy.eu
), the bloc’s move to settle more trade in non-USD currencies is already underway (by 2023, roughly 20% of oil trades were in other currencies)
investingnews.com
. Implication: A shift toward a more multi-polar currency world could weaken U.S. dollar dominance over time
investingnews.com
. For crypto, this trend is intriguing – as nations seek dollar alternatives, Bitcoin’s appeal as a neutral, supranational asset may rise. In sanctioned or economically volatile countries, both elites and the public might accelerate adoption of crypto for cross-border value storage. For example, U.S. sanctions on Russia and China have already catalyzed talk of reserve diversification
investingnews.com
. Fidelity analysts note that “rising inflation, currency debasement and fiscal deficits” globally are making Bitcoin strategically attractive for even nation-states and central banks
coindesk.com
coindesk.com
. Summing up: a backdrop of improving geopolitical stability (if realized) plus a weakening dollar regime provides a bullish macro and narrative case for borderless cryptocurrencies as we enter the second half of 2025.
Fall 2025 (Sep–Nov): Institutional Inflows, Adoption & Tech Upgrades
Surging Institutional Adoption: By autumn 2025, the cumulative effect of regulatory clarity and market maturation is a wave of institutional adoption unlike any prior cycle. In traditional finance, major U.S. banks and brokers are cautiously but steadily entering the crypto arena. Reuters reports that Wall Street banks are now receiving “green lights” from regulators to expand into crypto services, after years of hesitance
reuters.com
reuters.com
. Many top banks have been internally testing crypto trading and custody via pilot programs
reuters.com
. As one example, Charles Schwab’s CEO said in May 2025 that regulator signals are “flashing pretty green” for large firms, and confirmed Schwab plans to offer spot crypto trading to clients within a year
reuters.com
. Banks like BNY Mellon, State Street, and Citigroup – which collectively manage trillions – are expected to roll out crypto custody solutions by 2025, often via partnerships with crypto-native custodians
dlnews.com
. The OCC has explicitly authorized banks to handle crypto custody and stablecoins (under proper safeguards), removing a key barrier
reuters.com
. And the SEC’s friendlier stance under new leadership means banks no longer face punitive capital charges for holding digital assets
reuters.com
. The net effect is that by late 2025, institutional-grade crypto infrastructure is falling into place. More pension funds, endowments, and asset managers can allocate to crypto through familiar channels (regulated custodians, ETFs, prime brokers). Even conservative banking giants are warming up: Bank of America’s CEO stated the bank “will embrace cryptocurrencies for payments if regulations permit” and hinted at possibly launching a BOA stablecoin for settlement
reuters.com
. Likewise, Fidelity and BlackRock’s crypto units are expanding offerings after seeing outsized demand. This institutional legitimization dramatically expands the pool of potential investors in crypto markets, supporting a higher total market capitalization.
Crypto ETF Expansion: In Q4 2025, the roster of crypto-based ETFs and funds is likely to broaden further. As noted, analysts foresee 50+ crypto ETFs by end of 2025 under the pro-industry U.S. regulatory regime
coindesk.com
. By fall, we may see Ethereum spot ETFs (building on the successful Bitcoin products) and even funds for large-cap altcoins. For instance, Nate Geraci of The ETF Store predicts spot Solana and XRP ETFs are on the horizon in the U.S.
coindesk.com
. Internationally, Canada and Europe already have multiple crypto ETPs – their continued growth adds to global inflows. With a year of performance history by late ’25, crypto ETFs will likely start seeing allocations from more conservative institutions (insurance firms, corporate treasuries, etc.) that needed to observe initially. Fidelity’s strategists noted that in 2024 much of the ETF buying came from retail and independent advisors, but 2025 could bring uptake from hedge funds, RIAs, and pensions as comfort grows
coindesk.com
coindesk.com
. In summary, fall 2025 should witness accelerating capital inflows via investment vehicles, as crypto solidifies its place in mainstream portfolios. This sustained demand – “2025’s flows will easily surpass 2024’s” according to one strategist
coindesk.com
– provides a steady bid under crypto asset prices, reinforcing a bullish trend.
Nation-State and Sovereign Adoption: A notable development to watch in late 2025 is the entry of nation-states and public institutions into Bitcoin. Fidelity Digital Assets published a report calling 2025 a potential “game changer in terms of bitcoin adoption”, predicting that more nation-states, central banks, sovereign wealth funds, and treasuries will buy BTC as a strategic reserve asset
coindesk.com
. The rationale is that with rising inflation and heavy debt loads, governments face currency debasement and financial instability, making Bitcoin an attractive hedge
coindesk.com
. By Q4 2025, we could see early signs of this trend. For example, there are rumors that Russia and Brazil have explored holding Bitcoin reserves
fortune.com
, and Middle Eastern sovereign funds flush with petrodollars might quietly accumulate crypto as diversification. In the U.S., President Trump and crypto-friendly lawmakers like Senator Cynthia Lummis have openly discussed establishing a U.S. Bitcoin reserve or adding BTC to Treasury holdings
coindesk.com
. Lummis even introduced a “Bitcoin Reserve” bill in 2024, which if enacted would set a precedent for national adoption
coindesk.com
. While such bold moves might not happen overnight, even small allocations by governments or central banks would be symbolically massive. It would validate crypto’s role as “digital gold” and potentially ignite FOMO among other nations (a game theory dynamic Fidelity’s report alludes to). Thus by late 2025, any announcements of central banks buying Bitcoin or countries mining/holding crypto (similar to El Salvador’s earlier example) could spur a bullish frenzy. At minimum, the expectation of this “sovereign bid” provides a narrative supporting the market. As Fidelity’s analysts put it: not owning some Bitcoin may soon be seen as a greater risk for governments than owning it
coindesk.com
. Ethereum & Crypto Tech Upgrades: The latter part of 2025 is also packed with technological catalysts in the crypto sector, which can boost investor optimism. Chief among these is Ethereum’s roadmap milestones. Ethereum core developers plan to deliver major scaling improvements by end-2025 as part of “The Surge” phase
bitrue.com
. This includes fully rolling out sharding – splitting the blockchain into parallel “shards” – combined with widespread Layer-2 rollups, aiming to increase throughput to 100,000+ transactions per second
bitrue.com
. If Ethereum achieves this by Q4 2025, it would vastly lower fees and increase capacity, enabling a new wave of decentralized application growth. For users, that means faster, cheaper transactions; for the market, it means Ethereum becomes more valuable as utilization can skyrocket without bottlenecks. Progress is well underway: an intermediate upgrade (EIP-4844 “proto-danksharding”) was implemented earlier to boost Layer-2 efficiency, and the next major upgrade (code-named Pectra) is slated for Q1 2025 focusing on validator improvements and blob data throughput
fidelitydigitalassets.com
. After that, the final sharding implementation is expected. By late 2025, Ethereum’s evolution – including MEV mitigation (The Scourge) and Verkle trees for lighter nodes (The Verge) – should make the network more scalable, secure, and decentralized
bitrue.com
. These upgrades are bullish for the ecosystem: a more scalable Ethereum can host more DeFi, NFT, and gaming activity, attracting capital and users from traditional tech. Investors may speculate on ETH demand rising with network activity. Beyond Ethereum, other protocols (Solana, Cardano, Layer-2s like Arbitrum, etc.) also have roadmap milestones during this period, potentially improving their value propositions. Overall, the tech backdrop in late 2025 is one of significant improvement, which supports a positive market outlook – the infrastructure will be ready for mainstream scale just as interest returns.
Bitcoin Halving Aftermath: Although the Bitcoin halving took place in April 2024, its bullish impact historically materializes with a lag of 12-18 months. That puts late 2025 into early 2026 right in the window when the post-halving cycle may reach a euphoric phase. By fall 2025, Bitcoin’s supply issuance will have been at half its prior rate for ~18 months, potentially leading to a supply-demand squeeze if demand surges. ARK Invest notes that previous halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) all coincided with the early stages of major bull markets
ark-invest.com
. Indeed, by Q4 2025 we may see this pattern repeating. ARK’s analysts observed in late 2024 that Bitcoin remained roughly on track with its four-year cycle and expressed “optimism about prospects for the next 6–12 months” following the April 2024 halving
ark-invest.com
. That optimism appears well-founded if macro conditions and adoption trends align as discussed. By November 2025, Bitcoin could be approaching or exceeding its previous all-time high ( ~$69K from 2021) – some crypto analysts foresee six-figure prices during this cycle. Importantly, a rising Bitcoin tide tends to lift the entire crypto market cap. Late 2025 could see a broad rally across altcoins, often referred to as “altseason,” as new retail and institutional money, emboldened by Bitcoin’s strength, diversifies into higher-beta crypto assets. The expectation of the halving-driven bull cycle can itself become a self-fulfilling sentiment booster: investors position ahead of it, providing additional buy pressure. In summary, fall 2025 is poised to be the crescendo of the Bitcoin halving cycle, with historical analogues (2013, 2017, 2021) suggesting a powerful uptrend in crypto prices. Reduced BTC supply + peak cycle FOMO + all the fundamental drivers (ETF flows, low rates, tech upgrades) make this timeframe particularly conducive to a bullish market cap expansion.
Winter 2025–26 (Dec–Feb): Peak Momentum and Continued Tailwinds
Bull Market Momentum: Entering winter 2025/26, the crypto market could be in full bull mode. If the above developments play out, total crypto market capitalization may be approaching new highs by late 2025, driven by strong fundamentals and investor FOMO. Historically, the final leg of crypto bull markets sees parabolic gains and surging liquidity inflows. We might witness that in Dec 2025 – Feb 2026: exuberant sentiment, mainstream media coverage of Bitcoin “breaking records,” and increased retail participation. Unlike the 2017 and 2021 peaks, however, this cycle has far greater institutional involvement, which could imply more sustainable capital inflows (and possibly a larger magnitude of inflows). Key macro factors are likely to remain supportive through early 2026: central banks that began easing in 2024-25 may continue to hold rates low or even consider renewed asset purchases if economies are soft. For instance, if a mild U.S. recession hits in late 2025, the Fed and peers could respond with quantitative easing or liquidity facilities, effectively “printing” money that often finds its way into asset markets, including crypto
nasdaq.com
. China’s PBoC could also inject stimulus to boost growth, adding to global liquidity. Such actions would prolong the “risk-on” environment into 2026, delaying any end to the crypto uptrend. Additionally, global equity markets are projected to be strong in this scenario (buoyed by low rates and easing geopolitical tensions), and crypto’s correlation with equities means a rising stock tide lifts crypto too – as was observed in May 2025 when stock rallies coincided with BTC and ETH jumps
blockchain.news
blockchain.news
.
Investor Sentiment and Retail Revival: By early 2026, investor sentiment toward crypto could be the most bullish since 2021. With clear regulatory frameworks, high-profile endorsements (even governments buying in), and tech narratives (Web3, AI+blockchain, etc.), the stage is set for a positive feedback loop. Retail investors who largely sat out during the harsh 2022–23 bear market may fully return, spurred by “fear of missing out” as they see Bitcoin and popular altcoins climbing. This broadening of participation (from hedge funds down to everyday investors globally) increases market breadth and can drive total market cap to climactic heights. Notably, the availability of user-friendly investment onramps – e.g. spot crypto ETFs through any brokerage, crypto offerings integrated in fintech apps and banks – makes it much easier for average investors to allocate to crypto in 2025-26 than in past cycles. The removal of friction means inflows can ramp up faster and larger. Social media and pop culture hype also tend to peak in late-stage bulls; we might see Bitcoin and Ethereum becoming water-cooler talk again, drawing in new demographics. All of this contributes to strong sentiment and capital inflows in winter 2025/26, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Continued Policy and Geopolitical Tailwinds: The policy landscape is expected to remain a tailwind into 2026. In the U.S., if the pro-crypto Trump administration stays aligned with its promises, we could see additional positive actions: perhaps tax clarity for digital assets, streamlined ETF approvals for more crypto categories, or even federal guidelines for banks to hold crypto on balance sheets. Such steps would further normalize crypto within the financial system. Regulatory coordination internationally might also improve – for example, G20 nations in 2025 have been working on a global crypto reporting framework and stablecoin standards, which, once implemented, reduce the risk of harsh crackdowns in any major economy. On the geopolitical front, the BRICS de-dollarization efforts might bear first fruit by 2026, such as increased trade settled in yuan, gold, or even Bitcoin. If Saudi Arabia (a new BRICS invitee) starts pricing some oil in non-USD, that could weaken dollar liquidity at the margins, and some of that displaced value might flow to alternative stores like crypto or gold. Additionally, by 2026 the world will be looking ahead to the next U.S. Presidential election cycle (2028) – typically, in the lead-up, administrations prefer supportive economic conditions. This could mean fiscal stimulus or at least no new financial regulations that rock markets, implying a benign policy environment for risk assets. In Europe, 2026 will see MiCA fully operational and possibly updated with new provisions for DeFi and NFTs, further integrating the crypto market. In sum, early 2026 should carry forward many of 2025’s positive drivers – ample liquidity, regulatory support, and growing mainstream acceptance – giving little reason to suspect an abrupt end to the bullish trend during this window.
Bitcoin Halving Cycle Peak: If history rhymes, the crypto market might reach a cycle peak somewhere around late 2025 or early 2026. Past bull cycles (2013, 2017, 2021) peaked roughly 12-18 months after the halving; a similar timeframe would put a possible top in the Dec 2025 – Feb 2026 period. That could mean Bitcoin at unprecedented price levels and total crypto market cap in multi-trillions, barring any unforeseen shocks. ARK Invest’s analysis as of late 2024 remained optimistic that Bitcoin was “in sync with historical cycles” and poised for strong performance into 2025
ark-invest.com
. By early 2026, those cycle dynamics (diminished new supply vs. surging demand) might reach a crescendo. One metric to watch is the stock-to-flow or issuance rate – post-halving Bitcoin’s inflation rate is below 1%, lower than gold’s, which can drive the digital gold narrative to its zenith at this point. Moreover, Ethereum’s upcoming transition to a deflationary issuance (with EIP-1559 fee burns and Proof-of-Stake) means ETH could also be seeing declining supply into 2026, potentially amplifying its price if demand spikes. Thus, both of the top crypto assets would have increasing scarcity dynamics during the period when interest is highest – a recipe for a dramatic run-up. Importantly, capital rotations within crypto during peak phases often send smaller altcoins skyrocketing (as investors seek outsized gains), temporarily boosting total market cap beyond just Bitcoin’s contribution. All told, the early 2026 period could represent the euphoric apex of this cycle’s bull market, supported by solid macro and fundamental fuel laid in the preceding months. Even if volatility will be high, the overall outlook through February 2026 remains strongly bullish for crypto’s total market capitalization, given the confluence of loose monetary conditions, favorable policy shifts, geopolitical diversification into crypto, institutional FOMO, and major network upgrades powering the narrative.
✨ Philosophical Reflection
In the ever-unfolding rhythm of cycles—accumulation, expansion, distribution, and reset—crypto mirrors the deeper architecture of nature and consciousness. Just as seeds lie dormant in winter awaiting the kiss of spring, so too does capital bide its time in the shadows before surging into momentum. The Fibonacci spirals found in shells, storms, and galaxies reappear in price action—offering not just numbers, but a language of emergence. What we witness in the TOTAL market cap is not just a breakout—it is a reawakening. A collective pulse of belief, liquidity, and intention. In this confluence of technical geometry and macroeconomic tides, the market becomes more than price—it becomes a story, a symbol, a signal. We don’t just analyze this chart—we read it like a sacred map, charting the ascent of value, vision, and velocity.
BTC - Let's Do It Again!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per our last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the lower orange trendline and moved higher as expected! ✅
🔄 BTC is now retesting the lower trendline again, so we’ll be looking for new trend-following buy setups as long as the red structure at $105,000 holds!
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich