BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis Ascending Channel Formation !!
The chart shows a distinct ascending channel, with BTC adhering to the upper resistance and lower support trendlines.
The 21 EMA (yellow line) serves as a significant support level, with the price demonstrating signs of respecting it. The lower boundary of the ascending channel is closely aligned with the current price level, adding another layer of support.
BTC has pulled back to the channel's lower support zone (~$95,700) after struggling to maintain a higher breakout attempt. The green arrow projection indicates a potential bullish reversal.
Although volume data isn't displayed here, a rebound from this level generally requires increased buying activity to sustain a bullish momentum.
Immediate Support: ~$94,000 (channel support and psychological level).
Resistance Zone: ~$98,500–$100,000 (channel top and round-number resistance).
A successful bounce from the support zone could drive BTC towards $98,500 and possibly retest the $100,000 resistance.
A drop below the ascending channel and $94,000 could lead to further declines, targeting the $92,000–$90,000 zones.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
BTC-D
Is It Really Happening: When Altseason Will Begin?Hello, Skyrexians!
Today we will observe the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart, this is the chart which shows the Bitcoin dominance on the crypto market. During last 2 years it has growing slowly, but permanently. It caused to this strange cycle where Bitcoin has broken ATH, while some altcoins set the new low every month. Is this nightmare really finished or altcoins will continue suffering? Let's discuss today.
On the chart you can see weekly time frame which showed two completed altcoin seasons: in 2017 and 2021. Last altseason has started after reaching 0.618 Fibonacci level from the previous altseason. Then we saw the big drop to 40%. Let's notice that this altseason has been started after flashing the signal on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
Currently this indicator has been flashed 2 bearish reversal bars in the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement zone. If today weekly candle closes with this signal and next week there will be the confirmation - 58% breakdown, there is a high chance that real altseason come the market.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach?Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach?
Bitcoin continues its impressive rally toward the psychological barrier of $100,000, driven by both fundamental and psychological factors. The rise in its value is supported by growing adoption, institutional investments, positive market sentiment, and key developments within the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
Adoption and Acceptance
Bitcoin’s growing acceptance by businesses, financial institutions, and individual users is increasing its utility and value. As more entities begin to accept bitcoin as a form of payment, demand naturally rises, solidifying its position as a viable medium of exchange.
Institutional Investments
One of the primary drivers of bitcoin’s growth is the involvement of large institutional investors such as hedge funds, investment firms, and corporations. Their entry into the market significantly boosts liquidity and builds confidence in the cryptocurrency, attracting smaller retail investors in the process.
Planned Regulatory Changes and Strategic Reserves
Future President Donald Trump’s proposals to establish strategic reserves in bitcoin and introduce cryptocurrency-friendly regulations could be game-changing for the market. Such measures are likely to attract new market participants, driving demand and increasing bitcoin’s value.
Media and Market Sentiment
Positive media coverage, endorsements from influential figures, and expert analyses play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment. Media narratives have a substantial impact on perception and can amplify investor interest, fueling price increases.
Technological Improvements
Advancements in blockchain technology and updates to the bitcoin network are improving its efficiency, security, and scalability. These innovations make bitcoin more appealing as an investment asset, contributing to its rising value.
Macroeconomic Factors
Global economic uncertainty, inflation, and the weakening of traditional fiat currencies are pushing investors toward alternative assets. Often referred to as “digital gold,” bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a hedge against currency devaluation and a reliable store of value.
The 2024 Halving
This year, bitcoin underwent another halving – the process that reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half. This reduction in new supply, coupled with sustained or growing demand, has historically led to price increases, and the current cycle appears to be following a similar trajectory.
Infrastructure Growth and ETFs
The cryptocurrency market’s infrastructure is rapidly evolving, making bitcoin more accessible than ever. The growth of exchanges, cryptocurrency wallets, and inflows into bitcoin-based ETFs are driving demand and strengthening the market.
Seasonality and an Unstoppable Trend
Seasonality is also working in bitcoin’s favor. Historically, the final months of the year often see strong performance in the cryptocurrency market. The current upward trend seems difficult to halt, and breaking through the $100,000 level appears to be only a matter of time.
Conclusion
Bitcoin remains one of the most dynamic assets on the market, drawing interest from institutional and retail investors alike. The combination of fundamental, technological, and macroeconomic factors suggests that the rally toward $100,000 could not only materialize but also set the stage for further gains.
Will bitcoin surpass this symbolic threshold, or are there still hurdles ahead? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Bitcoin Likely to Correct to $84K - $87K Before Targeting $100K📊 Bitcoin is currently testing the $96,000 support level , and a price correction seems likely before any further upward movement.
👉🏼 If $96,000 is broken, the price may drop to the $84,000 - $87,000 range.
✅ This correction could provide a foundation for the next potential move upward.
✅ In this scenario, we will analyze Bitcoin's next move after the correction and share it with you.
Bitcoin can correct to support line and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price started to grow inside the pennant near the support line and later reached the 93500 support level, which coincided with the support area. Soon, the price broke this level and continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and even entered to this area, after which it reached the resistance line of the pennant. Then BTC turned around and declined to support line and later exited from the pennant pattern, after which little fell and then rose to the 98500 level. BTC tried to break it, but failed and dropped to support level firstly and soon broke this level too and fell until to 90785 points. Then Bitcoin turned around and rose to the 93500 support level, broke it, and later rose to the resistance level. After this, the price turned around and made correction to support line of triangle, but a not long time ago it turned around and started to grow. So, in my opinion, the price can decline to the support line and then continue to grow to the resistance level. When the price reaches this level, it can break it, thereby exiting from the triangle also and then going next, making firstly retest or without it. For this case, I set two TP: first at the 98500 level, and second at 100500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC December Monthly Open For the last 6 months straight, BTC has pulled back on the monthly open and each time price has recovered and pushed higher. We are currently seeing the first half of that with a rejection off $98,000 so the question is, where does it stop?
The first place of interest is ~$93,500, a bullish orderblock with a strong candle following it. In a Bullrun these areas are expected to give a reaction and so that's my first place of interest.
A deeper pullback would take us the the 4H local low, a bounce here would establish a mini-range/ accumulation zone. Now that would make sense as a base is built to target the big even $100K, after such a strong rally a cool-off and reset of indicators would be beneficial, liquidating late longs would be a bonus (if you're not on the wrong side). This level also co-insides with the 4H 200 EMA, typically in a bullmarket this level holds well and caps off correctional phases. The RSI will then also be near/in the oversold zone as further confluence.
The HTF level that most are interested in is ~$84,000, A clear FVG level. This would be a loss of the 4H 200 EMA and definitely in the RSI oversold zone. We know that there is still a massive demand for BTC on an institutional level, ETFs and retail so pullbacks should be bought up in time, the question is when and where. A fill of this area would be more bullish in the long run as the FVG won't need to be filled later, meaning the potential severity of a crash or pullback in the future won't be as much.
Alikze »» RAY | Failure of the supply areaIn the weekly time, after a complex correction in the limit of 0.13, after the bottoming, it left the density and broke the first supply zone with a kinetic wave, and completed the supply zone with a three-wave pullback correction, and now it can Continue another kinetic wave to the specified areas.
⚠️If the green box area is lost, the transaction can be reversed. Therefore, be sure to pay attention to this point.
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2500+ points captured in BTC againMy sentiment cycle indicator (PAID) is doing its job perfectly to capture big moved. Another big move captured of 2500+ points.. if you look at the red area (sell signal), there were few green candles, still signal was sell because sentiment was still negative.. thats how this indicator gives you confident to hold the trade.. now price is currently sideways. chart is 15m Time frame..
02/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,894.77
Last weeks low: $90,786.17
Midpoint: 94,840.47
Last week was all about altcoins as Bitcoin takes a backseat after a the "Trump pump" rally. Consolidating just under the $100K big even level has seen rotation into Ethereum finally and more surprisingly dino-coins such as XRP, LTC and more.
XRP has rallied to ATH (+300%) in less that 1 month, the news that Gary Gensler will be stepping down and with that the SEC's tirade on Ripple. The momentum and talk of the space is with XRP for now as it overtakes the Mcap of Tether to go 3rd! This comes at a time where typically BTC profits rotate into ETH and yet a lot of the capital has gone into XRP instead and so Ethereum is still way behind, BTC, SOL, XRP are all at ATH.
With the new month beginning we typically see a shaky start to the month, especially after such a strong close. The fear and greed index for BTC is @ 80, that's down from 94 in the week previous (mid November). The drop off is also evident in the BTC.D dropping 3% as alts move up.
This week I'm focused on where we are in the cycle, many alts are climbing and of course the $100K event for BTC. I believe we are not anywhere near the cycle top, any on-chain indicator would support that but that does not necessarily mean we aren't close to a local top. A strong bearish divergence has emerged on the weekly and that is cause for concern, overbought RSI high fear and greed and euphoric sentiment on the TL. Any new longs are extremely risky for now (LTF not HTF) without any fresh bullish news events. Price currently at midpoint, hard to tell how deep the monthly open sell-off will be, a quick wick with fast recovery will be bullish but a slow bleed would be more worrisome.
SOLANA, Where is the best zone to long? SOLUSDT / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
The market is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, The price is rejecting the Previous all-time high. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the breakout zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
1- First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
2- New all-time high
3- The one standard deviation target is shown in the chart.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
BITCOIN $150k doesn't seem so unrealistic now, does it?Almost 4 months ago (August 14, see chart below), we made a bold prediction of a Bitcoin (BTCUSD) target at $150000 by early 2025, while the price was still at $60k:
This was received with a lot of skepticism at the time but with the price now almost on the $100k psychological barrier, the idea looks more and more realistic. It is time to revisit this chart and made some slight modifications based on the price action that was followed.
The price is now off the 0.786 - 1.0 Fibonacci range where it consolidated from March 2024 until October 2024. The enormous rise/ break-out is attributed of course to a large extent on the U.S. elections and the euphoria that followed. We are only 1 month outside this range and the price is already much higher.
Last month's candle is very similar to November 2020 and May 2017. In comparison, that was when the most aggressive (parabolic) rallies of those Bull Cycles started. In 2017 from May to December, it was on a 71.5° angle. On the next Cycle from November 2020 to April 2021, it was on a 68.5° angle, i.e. 3° lower. If that's a progression by any means, then we can assume that the 2024 - 2025 parabolic rally could be on a 65.5° angle (-3° from the previous Cycle). That gives a potential target of $300k as early as May 2025, assuming we could have a Double Top Cycle as in 2021.
In any case, it will be interesting to see if the current Cycle also makes a blow-off top (like the last two) outside/ above the Channel Up that started back on the December 2013 High. Unrealistic as it may seem now, the $150k Target is very plausible technically as it is just below the top of that multi-year Channel Up. If the $300k blow-off top (red Arcs) comes, then all the better, but a long-term investor may consider to start taking profits while the price is inside the Channel Up and starts being cautious once we break above it in the red Arcs.
So what do you think? Do you view $150k as technically realistic as this pattern indicates? And if so, can Bitcoin even make a blow-off top near $300k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Watching for 93.5K supportMorning folks,
Last time we've taken a pause, because of Holiday and some uncertainty as market could form three different patterns. Now the amount of candidates is reduced, so, we could speak more specifically.
In fact, minor upside action that has happened last week, increase chances for upside butterfly. But, since action is relatively slow, we prefer to use lowest Fib support to consider position taking. 93.5K looks to be OK for this. Besides, this is trend line of broken triangle.
Invalidation point of this scenario is lows at 90.5K level. So, not too big risk. If BTC breaks it - we get deeper downside action of a larger scale. In fact, this will erase the butterfly. Upside target is the same 102K.
Is a deeper Bitcoin correction coming?The price has already lost several important lows, lost its long-term ascending trend line and has taken a corrective guard. #Bitcoin may need some rest or correction.
Most likely view: Until Bitcoin consolidates above $96,000, we cannot be optimistic about the rise. For now, I have taken profit on all trades and am ready for the US market to open today to see if we will continue the decline or if the market will make another upward turn with strong and high-volume candles.
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin continue to rise?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H time frame and is trading in its descending channel. Risk ON sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. which will cause the downtrend channel to fail.
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. This path will continue until the bottom of the channel and the specified support range.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
According to a report by Fox Business, informed sources have indicated that the new U.S administration might grant the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) authority to oversee certain digital assets. The CFTC’s expanded role could include regulating cryptocurrency exchanges and cash markets tied to digital assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), which are categorized as commodities. These changes could diminish the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) influence in this sector.
Gary Gensler, the current SEC chairman and a staunch crypto critic, has supported granting CFTC more authority over Bitcoin, deeming it a commercial commodity. In March, the CFTC filed a lawsuit against the crypto exchange KuCoin, also classifying Ethereum as a commodity.
As of November 2024, MicroStrategy owns over 380,000 Bitcoin, valued at approximately $31.6 billion, accounting for nearly 2% of the total global supply. This Virginia-based software intelligence company first began purchasing Bitcoin in 2020 and has since expanded its holdings to 15 times those of its closest corporate competitor, Marathon Digital.
Tesla, which invested $1.5 billion in Bitcoin in February 2024, ranks fourth among public companies in Bitcoin ownership. Around the same time, Tesla also started accepting Bitcoin as payment for its vehicles.
El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele has proposed leasing the country’s 170 volcanoes to Bitcoin miners, granting them access to the geothermal energy.
Dan Morehead, CEO of Pantera Capital, has forecasted that Bitcoin’s price could reach $740,000 by April 2028 based on historical trends. Morehead tied this projection to the election of Donald Trump as a pro-crypto U.S. president and a Congress supportive of digital assets.
He also highlighted that only 5% of the global financial wealth is invested in blockchain-related assets, suggesting significant growth potential for Bitcoin. In his letter, he wrote, “Even after 11 years, Bitcoin is still like a seed sprouting in the soil.” He added that the regulatory challenges faced by blockchain over the past 15 years have now transformed into golden opportunities.
This optimistic outlook aligns with Pantera Capital’s Bitcoin fund, which has delivered strong performance. Launched in 2013, the fund has achieved a 131,000% return over 11 years, excluding fees, primarily due to Bitcoin’s 1,000-fold price increase since the fund purchased it at $74 per BTC.
Morehead emphasized that “it’s not too late to buy Bitcoin.” He added, “Some investors may think that Bitcoin’s doubling this year means they missed the opportunity, but this is a flawed mindset.”
Former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) sparked a debate about meme coins in the crypto space. In a tweet, he criticized meme coins, stating, “I’m not against memes, but meme coins have gotten a bit bizarre. Let’s build real applications using blockchain.”
Meanwhile, Hong Kong has proposed tax exemptions for cryptocurrency activities, aiming to compete with Singapore as a leading financial hub and attract major investors and asset managers. According to the Financial Times, the exemptions cover profits from digital assets, private credits, overseas properties, and carbon credits.
Patrick Yip from Deloitte China noted that this initiative could bolster Hong Kong’s financial industry as family offices in the city allocate up to 20% of their portfolios to digital assets.
During the trading week of November 25–29, U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $138 million in capital outflows after seven consecutive weeks of inflows.
Performance of the top-traded ETFs on Friday:
• Total: $320 million
• BlackRock: $137 million
• Fidelity:
Ethereum $ETH/USDT - 200D SMA Bull Regime DetectionThis indicator helps traders identify market regimes using the powerful combination of 50 and 200 SMAs. It provides clear visual signals and detailed metrics for trend-following strategies.
Key Features:
- Dual SMA System (50/200) for regime identification
- Colour-coded candles for easy trend visualisation
- Metrics dashboard
Core Signals:
- Bullish Regime: Price > 200 SMA
- Bearish Regime: Price < 200 SMA
- Additional confirmation: 50 SMA Cross-over or Cross-under (golden cross or death cross)