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ChainLink | LINK , TRUMP & Grayscale LINK pumped 500% since our last signal so Its time to Celebrate the New Year with Crypto Chainlink isn’t just mooning on price it’s taking the crown in the real world assets (RWA) sector. LINK is leading the pack in development activity, leaving Ethereum based Synthetix (SNX) and the privacy savvy Dusk Foundation (DUSK) playing catch up Price Up, GitHub Busy, and a New Year’s Party to Crash The numbers? Chainlink flexed nearly 394 GitHub events in the past 30 days, compared to Synthetix's 176.6 and Dusk's 34.7. Meanwhile, Polymesh (POLYX) and Maker (MKR) aren’t far behind, clocking in at 25.9 and 21.7, respectively Chainlink’s onchain momentum and fundamentals are bullish as well, growing active addresses and an all time high futures open interest of $770.27M are just tip of the iceberg. Grayscale announced that it has opened Grayscale LINK Trust to qualified investors, a fund that enables investors to gain exposure to XRP in the form of securities. As of December 12, Grayscale LINK Trust had a net asset value of $111.91 per share and $30,468,812 in assets under management Chainlink's LINK token is experiencing a notable increase in price and market activity, fueled by a strategic investment from World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a project backed by Donald Trump’s family. WLFI recently expanded its holdings by purchasing an additional $1 million worth of LINK, raising its total investment in the token to $2 million. LINK is trading at $29.4 (+1.5% over 24 hours), while its all time high of $52.82 (May 2021) is still 44% away. But hey, it's already the life of the crypto party, with a $1.1B daily trading volume and active trading on 99 exchanges, led by Binance. Market cap? A cool $18.6B it’s a good time to toast to LINK’s rise🍾
Long
by moonypto
1
20/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,467.97 Last weeks low: $89,292.15 Midpoint: $97,880.06 The Trump era begins... January 20th 2025 is the date in which America sees its new Republican administration take office. An administration that has promised to embrace crypto instead of demonise it, one that wants the future of crypto to be built in the US, so far Trumps picks for SEC chairman and other important related roles have reflected that pro-crypto belief. However, launching a $TRUMP memecoin and the subsequent $MELANIA memecoins just moments before inauguration in my opinion is a very bad start. Not only did the launch of TRUMP draw out liquidity from the altcoin market, it also damages the broader market just from an optics point of view. The general publics perception of crypto is it's full of scams, pump and dumps etc so to try and change the general publics mind the answer is to... Launch a memecoin... Now I'm fully aware Donald Trump himself probably has very little to do with this, just like most celebrity memecoins but I just don't see how this is a positive start for the administration in proving their pro-crypto stance. Bitcoin did have its highest weekly close of all time @ $106,500, which was $2000 higher than the previous ATH. +20% move from weekly low to high in anticipation for the potential Bitcoin strategic reserve announcement. Avoiding a SFP similar to that of week commencing January 6th will be a priority for BTC, we are in a rangebound environment so a SFP can have the potential to drop back down and undo a lot of the previous weeks progress. Until BTC breaks the rangebound environment and begins a trending move I will treat it as such. For this week I'm keeping a close eye on the Liberty Financial portfolio (ETH,AAVE,LINK,ONDO,ENS) & US based majors (SOL,SUI,AVAX, ADA, STX,INJ) etc. The play is definitely coins that will be directly influenced by this new US administration, at least for now I cannot see any liquidity go towards any other coins for the time being.
by ProR35
BITCOIN AT ATH IS SHOWING WHO IS THE KING OF THE JUNGLETechnical Analysis Rising Wedge Pattern: The chart displays a rising wedge pattern (bearish reversal structure). The price is likely at the breakdown point from the wedge. Key support and resistance lines are marked, showing potential pullback zones. Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): Shows overbought conditions as it hovers near 70. A pullback or consolidation may occur to relieve overbought pressures. Stochastic Oscillator: The oscillator is in the overbought zone, signaling a potential short-term reversal or cooling-off period. Money Flow Index (MFI): Indicates significant inflows of capital, but nearing overbought conditions, suggesting caution. Price Levels: Key support zones: $95,697, $91,721, and $88,671 (blue horizontal lines). Key resistance zones: Wedge top (~$108,000) and further price targets above $112,000 and $120,000. Trend Analysis: The overall trend appears bullish in the medium term. A short-term retracement (to test lower support levels) is anticipated before further continuation upward. The breakout target from the rising wedge suggests a potential correction to the $95,000–$96,000 range, followed by an upward move. Trading Plan Entry Strategy Scenario A: Retracement to Support Zones If Bitcoin pulls back to $95,000–$96,000, consider opening a long position, as this level aligns with historical support and a confluence of demand zones. Scenario B: Bullish Continuation If Bitcoin breaks above $112,000 with strong volume, open a long position targeting $120,000 and higher. Stop-Loss Placement: Place a stop-loss just below $94,500 for long positions to minimize risk, as a breach below this level could signal further bearish movement. Take-Profit Levels: Primary Target: $112,000 (previous high). Secondary Target: $120,000 (psychological level and technical extension). Risk Management: Limit risk to 1–2% of your trading capital per trade. Avoid over-leveraging as the rising wedge breakdown could result in increased volatility. Monitoring the Trade: Keep an eye on macro indicators (e.g., interest rate announcements, broader market sentiment). Watch for divergence in RSI or Stochastic Oscillator, which could indicate trend exhaustion. Bitcoin is at a critical juncture. A short-term correction is likely to test support levels before resuming its bullish trend. The outlined trading plan provides strategies for both pullback and breakout scenarios, ensuring disciplined risk management.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by elfabiiani
3
Bitcoin Bull Flag Signals Next Target Before the Next Big MoveBitcoin's 1-hour chart shows a clear bull flag pattern, signaling potential for further upward movement. The first significant run-up saw prices climb from $99,563.68 to $109,358.62, forming the flagpole. After this, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase, creating a tight flag just below $109,358.62. If the breakout above the flag's resistance is confirmed, the next target price is calculated to be $118,535.53. This target aligns with the typical bull flag projection, where the flagpole length is added to the breakout point. Further continuation could push prices beyond $120,000, depending on market momentum. A breakout needs strong volume confirmation to validate the move. However, caution is always advised traders should keep an eye on key levels and manage their risk accordingly. Bitcoin’s bullish potential remains strong, and this setup could signal the next leg upward.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
2
Bitcoin can enter to seller zone and then start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and then rebounded up, after which it started to trades inside the pennant. In pennant, price at once rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the support line, but soon BTC turned around and made impulse up. Price rose back, after which made a correction to the buyer zone and then continued to grow. Later, BTC reached the resistance line of the pennant, breaking it, exiting from the pennant pattern, and soon breaking the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. Next, the price reached new ATH (108K) and then made impulse down inside the wedge, to support line, breaking the 96500 level. But soon, the price turned around and bounced up, so, after this BTC some time traded between support level until it later dropped to the support line of the wedge again and then started to grow. Bitcoin rose to the resistance line of the wedge, breaking the 96500 level, and then corrected the support line of the wedge, where it made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern. Now, I think that price can enter to seller zone and then start to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 101K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
5
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, waiting for Trump's new policies!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk off sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will allow us to buy it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. Bullish signs are abundant in the cryptocurrency market, as investors observe various factors that favor this sector beyond Bitcoin. While some analysts predict 2025 as the year of altcoins, JPMorgan argues that Bitcoin will remain an attractive option. Market experts point to cyclical trends that could boost altcoins such as Solana and Ripple. These two tokens experienced significant growth following Donald Trump’s election victory, driven by expectations of greater support from the new administration. However, JPMorgan highlights four reasons why investors should approach the altcoin market cautiously. First, future policies remain speculative, with uncertainty surrounding their timing and impact. Although reduced regulatory oversight may improve sentiment across the industry, there is no guarantee that interest in decentralized finance will grow substantially. JPMorgan noted that it is still unclear whether these new regulations will allow the crypto ecosystem to integrate into traditional financial systems or if public blockchains like Ethereum will play a central role in the future. Additionally, the bank stated that ambitious plans for crypto reserves in the United States and beyond are likely to focus solely on Bitcoin. Certain U.S. states have already proposed legislation to hold Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation, a policy Washington might adopt during Trump’s second term. Second, Bitcoin continues to dominate the cryptocurrency fund space. JPMorgan predicts that retail and institutional investors will keep investing in Bitcoin spot ETFs, supported by Bitcoin’s appeal as digital gold. According to a Bernstein report, Bitcoin is expected to replace gold as the primary store of value in the global economy over the next decade. Bitcoin accounted for 35% of the total $78 billion inflows into the crypto market in 2024, according to JPMorgan. By contrast, Ethereum spot ETFs, launched in July 2024, attracted only $2.4 billion. The bank also forecasts that future ETFs for altcoins like Solana may see limited capital inflows. Third, the Bitcoin network is evolving to rival tokens with more specific use cases, such as Ethereum. Historically, Bitcoin was perceived as a buy-and-hold asset with limited functionality. However, developers have been expanding its capabilities, and new smart contract features will help it compete with rivals. JPMorgan also stated that large institutions might overlook public blockchains like Ethereum in favor of private blockchains offering customized solutions for institutional investors. Fourth, new altcoin projects require time to mature and prove their utility. The bank explained that decentralized initiatives often attract initial user attention but then face declining activity and token value. To achieve sustainability, these projects must demonstrate their long-term functional benefits. JPMorgan cautioned investors against expecting a repeat of the 2021 crypto bull market. During that period, projects succeeded through token distribution, but the current industry is more focused on blockchain capability development. The bank further noted that MicroStrategy is still halfway through its plan to invest $42 billion in Bitcoin. This software company has made a name for itself by accumulating vast Bitcoin reserves through equity and debt financing. For the first time in history, over 20% of total spot trading volume is conducted on decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Standard Chartered Bank warned that if the $90,000 support level breaks, Bitcoin could drop to around $80,000. The bank highlighted that Bitcoin ETF purchases have stabilized since the U.S. presidential election, and Jerome Powell’s policy shifts at the Federal Reserve on December 18 have increased selling pressure on digital assets. The bank cautioned that widespread panic could amplify these sell-offs, potentially affecting other cryptocurrencies.Nevertheless, such a price drop could present a long-term accumulation opportunity.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Dogegov ($DOGEGOV): Another 100% + returnI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. ---SEE MY PREVIOUS ANALYS ON PREVIOUS ENTRY--- Dogegov ( KUCOIN:DOGEGOVUSDT ): Awaiting Optimal Entry Amidst Recent Developments Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $0.12455 (Pending Activation) - Stop-Loss: $0.08754 - Take-Profit Targets: - TP1: $0.27494 - TP2: $1.01000 Current Price: $0.23538 Recent Developments: - Department of Government Efficiency ( KUCOIN:DOGEGOVUSDT ): President-elect Donald Trump has announced the formation of the Department of Government Efficiency, abbreviated as DOGE, to be led by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy. This initiative aims to streamline government operations and reduce wasteful expenditures. - Market Reaction: Following the announcement, Dogecoin's value has surged, reflecting increased investor interest and market optimism. Technical Analysis: - Support Levels: Immediate support is observed around $0.20000, with stronger support near the anticipated entry price of $0.12455. - Resistance Levels: Key resistance is identified at $0.30000, aligning with TP1, and a significant psychological barrier at $1.00000, just below TP2. - Moving Averages: The 50-day EMA is trending upwards, indicating sustained bullish momentum. - Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 70, suggesting overbought conditions; a potential pullback to the entry price is plausible. Market Sentiment: The convergence of cryptocurrency culture with political developments has heightened interest in $DOGEGOV. The symbolic association with the Department of Government Efficiency has attracted both crypto enthusiasts and mainstream investors, contributing to increased trading volumes and positive sentiment. Risk Management: The proposed stop-loss at $0.08754 limits downside risk to approximately 30% from the entry point. TP1 offers a potential gain of 121%, while TP2 presents an opportunity for a 711% return, indicating a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for this trade setup. Conclusion: The intersection of recent political announcements and the cryptocurrency market has created a unique opportunity with $KUCOIN:DOGEGOVUSDT. Awaiting a retracement to the entry price of $0.12455 could provide an advantageous position to capitalize on potential upward movements, supported by current market sentiment and technical indicators. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All! *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.*
Long
by SiriusTrading
30
BTC's Situation: What Shall we Expect !!!As I mentioned, the price increased and broke the wedge, but now we are at a very important point that could determine the future of crypto. Tomorrow and the day after, during President Trump's inauguration ceremony, the price might go up a bit more due to excitement. However, we need to pay attention to President Trump's executive orders in the early days of his presidency, as this could have the greatest impact on crypto. So be careful. Hoping for the best. From a technical perspective, the price may undergo a slight correction and drop to the 0.618 line before rising to $109k dollars. previous Analysis Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription: This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan: Analysis: Market Structure: Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows. Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Zones and Liquidity: Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance. Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity. Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower. Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend. Confluences for Short Entry: Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point. The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control. Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias. Trade Plan: Short Entry Setup: Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone). Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs). Take Profit Levels: TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level. TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity. TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward. Risk-Reward Ratio: With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling. Additional Notes: Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character). Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision. Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
Short
by CryptoTrustCapital
2
$BTC Inauguration Day Possible $140k? No I doubt it as this indicator I use isn’t always right at all it’s always either very positive or very negative. However this indicator remains plausible. But the fact we have already gone from FWB:98K to $109k today in only 1 hour. We might expect to see a sharp decline to somewhere like $104-$106k but even then this will be a short intra-day drop before a regaining of the overall bullish trend and sentiment. Do be cautious if you are on the Long and want to make profit soon keep eye on those entry or exit points of yours and don’t fall for any FOMO. Also IMO this is the start. The start of a large growth period. Yes there will be downs and BIGGER DOWNS THAN EVER BEFORE. Because the value and volume is larger than ever. The 10% drops can be $11k instead of at 30k that’s $3k. So remember that the larger loss ot seems from same % drops as before is just an illusion you still loose the same or gain the same amount of CRYPTOCAP:BTC coin. Stay strong KEEP BUYING! Let’s make more supply shock!? It only benefits everyone who owns it!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoFerk
BITCOIN → Correction before further flight to 112-120KBINANCE:BTCUSD surprises everyone again with this week's rally. After retesting the panic and risk zone, when many started selling, the price turned around and flew 18% in a few days.... One week old idea: BITCOIN → Retest of key support. What can happen? There could be several factors behind the gains that have been forged over the past 3 days: New reports point to increased activity from major players, including institutional investors, Trump's upcoming inauguration, the crypto community is expecting the new president to take active steps. And overall, the bullish three-day run is a combination of macroeconomic factors, technical breakdown and fundamental confidence in the future of cryptocurrencies. All of this created a strong bullish momentum that attracted new buyers and increased institutional investor interest. From a technical perspective, the 100K and 102.5K area plays an important role for me. If the bulls can keep the price above this zone, the growth will continue in the medium term. Support levels: 102.5K, 100K Resistance levels: 103.6K, 105.7K, 107.5K Technically, at the moment, a pre-breakdown situation is forming on H1 against the support at 102.8. Accordingly, bitcoin may form a correction to both 100K and 97.5K. But, if the fall will quickly recover or the bulls will keep the defense above 100-102.5K, then further we can count on growth up to 108-112K. Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
12
Hi chances on reversalMorning folks, So, by introducing $Trump Token, old Donny has put the start of global US Dollar devaluation. And Melania probably will add today... All our short-term targets are done - weekly grabbers and H&S failure has worked fine, BTC has challenged the top of 108K. We consider this action as hype and emotional. Mostly due euphoria around D. Trump inauguration. Due to oversold on Monthly and Daily time frames, chances on reversal are significant. So we intend to watch for DRPO "Sell" pattern on weekly chart. Still, Donny could tell us a lot today, and madness could continue a little bit. We do not exclude that BTC could try to reach nearest upside extension around 113.5K before reversal starts. We do not call right now for taking short positions, let's see what will be on Thu, prefer to wait for patterns and signs for reversal first. But we call to consider long positions close or, at least tight stops around them. Take care.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
Public trade #11 - #BTC price analysis ( Bitcoin )At the moment, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is making an A-B-C correction within the channel quite harmoniously. The idea is as follows: 🔽now the market is correcting for a few days and the lower the better. 🔼And then on January 20, Trump will be inaugurated and, as the “messiah,” he will “make life easier” for crypto investors by some decree and the market will break out in growth. 1️⃣ So the first stop of the OKX:BTCUSDT correction should be around $93-94k, and from there, growth can break up to $110k. 2️⃣ The second option is a correction of the #Bitcoin price around $86-87k. ❗️ It's also worth remembering that 29.01.25 is the announcement of the “fresh” Fed Funds rate. And given the fact that inflation has increased this month, the Fed's rate cut is in jeopardy, at best it will be left unchanged. P.S: Please excuse the fact that there are so many levels on the chart, but they work well and can be used in trading!) _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
12
1/20 Weekly Watchlist + NotesWeekly Watchlist and Market Analysis Using #TheStrat Indexes - SPY went failed 2D week following the previous week going 3 and we nearly went 3 on this last week, but came up short with little room to go to previous week highs. This week we look to go 3-2-2U to confirm the month being failed 2D that has now retraced more than 50% of the previous months range, meaning we are now closer to taking out previous month highs than we are to reclaiming previous month lows. With full timeframe continuity green, we know that buyers are full in control at the moment, and this upcoming week looks to confirm that further as we look to target previous weekly highs on our way up to ATH levels. No daily actionable signal and a couple daily gaps to the downside, so we will see what happens Tuesday pre market whether we gap down to give last weeks buyers some corrective activity, whether we gap up, clear weekly magnitude (at the high of the weekly 3 from the week prior to this last week) before seeing if we expand further to confirm the month attempting to go 3 or begin reversing back through last weeks range. Finally, we may just open flat and see where intraday signals and continuity take us. (Slightly pressed for time at the time of writing so I apologize for the lack of detail like my normal posts) Watchlist: Bullish: NVDA - 2-1-2U Daily, 2-2 Weekly. Daily BF looks interesting PLTR - 3-2-2U Weekly. High rVOL WMT - Hammer 2-2 Week, MoMo Hammer Daily. Inside green Month which isn't great this late in the month, but not bad enough to ruin this setup for me DLTR - Hammer 3-2-2U weekly after month went 3. Looking to go back through the months range now. Note: DG full FTFC red so no sector support IONQ - 3-1 Week at M Exhaustion. MASSIVE range on this one. Nearly 30% underlying move from weekly trigger to magnitude HIMS - Hammer failed 2D, Weekly 3-1, Failed 2D month attempting to go 3 Bearish: DOCU - Weekly 3-2-2 Shooter. Daily Big red 3 following double inside day so potential 3-2D daily to trigger shooter week down. Filling in massive gap from the last earnings report Neutral: DAL + UAL: Both have inside weeks. DAL at exhaustion risk. UAL bright green. Relative strength in the airline industry
AMEX:SPYLong
by Alanger17
Bitcoin at Resistance: Expanding Triangle Hold=>Last Chance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($104,700-$101,920) , near the upper lines (resistance role) of the Expanding Triangle Pattern , Monthly Resistance(1) , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to be moving in an Expanding Triangle Pattern during the last 30 days . If the upper line is validly broken, this pattern will be failed. According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin can move in an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) in the 4-hour time frame . Bitcoin is currently completing microwave 5 of the main wave C . If Bitcoin touches $107,000 , the possibility of this corrective pattern being failed is very high. I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,000 . Note: If Bitcoin goes below $107,000, we can expect BTC to make a new All-time High(ATH). Note: There is also the possibility of Bulltrap formation. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
29
Bitcoin: 105K Greater Chance Of Retrace.Bitcoin briefly tested 90K only to show a sharp reversal which has lead to a run into the 105K area resistance. IF momentum continues, 108K can be tested, but IF a bearish reversal appears, a test of 100K is also possible. The key is looking for confirmations on smaller time frames in order to get a better sense of what the market wants to do, not what you think it will do. There is also an important lesson here about chart patterns. First let's address the wave count. My chart shows a "5?" which is potentially the completion of a very broad (monthly) Wave 3. The reason there is a "?" is because in order to confirm, the market needs to do something like clear a major support like 90K. While 89K was actually tested, the swift rejection means 90K is still intact and still the major support area to watch for. This also means the current wave structure going back to the 108K high may still be a Wave 4 and a bullish Wave 5 maybe be developing. 108K will have to be cleared in order to confirm. If this scenario plays out, 113K is the next resistance and profit objective area. The arrow on the chart points to the 105K AREA resistance. From such a level, I anticipate a brief retrace at least (see illustration) over the coming week which can take price back to 100K. Best way to utilize this information is avoid new longs, look to lock in profits, and/or look for trade ideas on smaller time frames. At the moment there are no bearish signs at all so selling in front of such strong momentum is just as risky as buying and expecting a test of 108K. The other key lesson here is the head and shoulders pattern. I specifically mentioned this in my previous article. These patterns can appear randomly just like anything else. Jumping to a conclusion upon seeing a such a pattern is what gets you caught on the wrong side of the market when you have moves like the one that is in progress now. Best way to avoid this bias is to always keep an open mind and do NOT think in absolutes. The head and shoulders in this case was totally meaningless. The confirmation would have been a decisive break of 90K, NOT a brief break, followed by a bullish pin bar. Watch price levels and price structure and let the market choose, our job is to adjust to the market and measure the ever evolving risk. At resistance levels like price is at now, I believe probability favors a retrace. I can be wrong, but if the risk on both sides is high, its better to be wrong and out, than wrong and in. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
5
Need to check the movement of StochRSI and BW(100) Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The StochRSI indicator is showing a change in slope in the overbought zone. However, due to this rise, the StochRSI indicator may touch the 100 point. Accordingly, the StochRSI indicator will soon turn downward. Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend, the key is whether it can be supported around 101947.24-106133.74. - As the BW auxiliary indicator touches the 50 point, the BW(100) indicator is about to be newly created. Accordingly, the direction in which the newly created BW(100) indicator is created based on the current BW(100) indicator point of 106133.74 is the point of observation. Since the BW auxiliary indicator must fall from the 100 point in order for the BW(100) indicator to be created, the price will fall when the BW(100) indicator is created. The BW(100) indicator has currently been on an upward trend. This time, the point of observation is whether the BW(100) indicator can be created above 106133.74. The BW(100) indicator and the BW(0) indicator are paired indicators. Since the BW(100) indicator fell as it was created, the BW(0) indicator was created, so it can be seen that the wave has been initialized. This time, since the BW(0) indicator is rising as it is being created, if the BW(100) indicator is newly created this time, the wave will be initialized. This wave refers to the box section that moves in the BW(0) ~ BW(100) section. The actual wave or trend starts when it deviates from the BW(0) ~ BW(100) section. The HA-Low and HA-High indicators can also be interpreted as BW(0), BW(100). However, the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are more likely to show wider movements than the BW(0), BW(100) indicators, so they are more advantageous in creating trading strategies. In that sense, the BW(0) and BW(100) indicators can be said to be indicators that can be responded to in detail in trading strategies. - The high point boundary section was formed as the HA-High and BW(100) indicators were created. Accordingly, it will enter the high point section only when it rises above the 101947.24-106.133.74 section. If so, the possibility of starting a new upward wave increases. On the other hand, when the HA-Low indicator and BW(0) indicator are generated, a low point boundary section is formed. - Not all indicators move at all times according to the interpretation method. However, it can only help you find a basis for buying or selling when conducting actual transactions. The movement of these indicators can be said to be like finding a lighthouse in the vast sea of ​​​​trading. - The next volatility period is between January 23rd and 30th. We need to look at how BTC moves as it passes through this volatility period. As explained above, since the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought section, it is important to see whether the STochRSI indicator shows a downward trend as it passes through this volatility period. The MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1D chart) indicator is rising to around 97461.86. Accordingly, in order to maintain a short-term uptrend, the price should be maintained above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1D chart) indicator. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an uptrend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend. Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. How to view and respond to this is up to you. When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance. This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci. Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies. 1st : 44234.54 2nd : 61383.23 3rd : 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting) 4th : 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting) 5th : 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
Will BTC continue its uptrend?Hi all, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has broken out of the downtrend line and currently we can see how we are struggling to move towards the recent ATH at $108700. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face: T1 = 106275 USD T2 = 108476 USD Т3 = 112839 USD Т4 = 115756 USD Т5 = 118876 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 102746 USD SL2 = 100744 USD SL3 = 99094 USD SL4 = 97479 USD SL5 = 95161 USD It is worth taking a look at the MACD indicator, which shows that we have entered an uptrend again, and here we have a visible place for this trend to continue. Additionally, on the SMAs 20 and 50 we can see how we are getting closer to returning to a strong uptrend.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk