Bitcoin price is on a crossroadHello, Traders!
After reaching a new ATH at $108k, Bitcoin experienced a significant drop following Jerome Powell's speech that the Fed cannot hold Bitcoin and is not seeking to change that, which seems to have caused some uncertainty in the market. As a result, BTC price saw a steep decline, but it recently rebounded, almost touching the $100k level again.
The current focus for Bitcoin is a critical support area at around $91k. This area has held up well in recent price action, and we saw a recovery bounce from this region again. There is a strong chance that BTC could revisit this support area in the coming days, and it could provide another opportunity for a potential rebound. This support area is essential because it represents a significant price range where buyers have stepped in to defend the uptrend.
If Bitcoin does test this zone again and holds above $91k, the probability of a further upward move remains high.
In addition to the immediate price action, there’s a key factor to consider: the monthly candle close. Bitcoin needs to close the current monthly candle above $96k for the market to maintain its bullish sentiment. A green monthly close at this level would provide strong confirmation that the overall trend remains intact and that BTC is on track for further price appreciation.
The next few days are critical for determining whether BTC can sustain momentum to close the month in the green. If Bitcoin can hold above $96k by the end of the month, it would signal that the upward trend is still in play and that a continuation toward higher levels could be on the horizon.
Looking ahead to next week, there are two possible scenarios:
1. Continued Support Test: Bitcoin may dip back towards the $91k support area. If this area holds strong, it could set up another bullish reversal, targeting a move back toward the $100k area or even beyond.
2. Break Below Support: If Bitcoin fails to maintain support in the $91k area, we could see further downside, potentially testing lower levels. In this case, caution is warranted, as the next major support zone would be considerably lower.
Conclusion
The next week could be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. A monthly candle close above $96k would reinforce the bullish outlook, but if Bitcoin fails to hold support or closes the month in red, we may see more volatility in the near term.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
BTC-D
Bitcoin’s December Outlook: Consolidation or Trend Reversal?Bitcoin Bull Market: Is It Over? A Closer Look at December's Impact
Bitcoin (BTC) has demonstrated resilience in December, with a modest decline of less than 2.5% as traders anticipate the crucial monthly and yearly candle close.
BTC Price Performance in December
Despite being approximately $15,000 below its recent all-time highs, BTC/USD has only depreciated by 2.4% compared to its December opening. This positions Bitcoin as a strong performer in 2024, with the broader bull market narrative remaining intact upon a long-term perspective. Analysts project a potential 145% price increase for Bitcoin from this year's levels.
Key Insights for the Week
The coming week holds significant importance for Bitcoin's trajectory. A weekly candle close below $92,800 could signal the start of a bearish trend, potentially driving prices toward $79,580 and $71,400 in January. Conversely, if Bitcoin stabilizes above $92,800, it is likely to trade within the range of $92,800 to $103,760.
For a renewed bullish outlook, a daily candle close above $103,560 is critical, as it would pave the way for upward movements toward $127,510 and $149,100.
Key Levels to Watch
Pivot Line: $92,800
Support Levels: $79,580, $71,400, $64,920
Resistance Levels: $103,757, $127,511, $149,100
Trend Outlook
Consolidation: Between $92,800 and $103,760
Bearish Trend: Below $92,800
Bullish Momentum: Above $103,560
LPTUSDT Ecpecting 30%+ Gain LPTUSDT, currently trading at $18. Analysts predict a target price of $26, indicating a potential gain of over 30%. This forecast is based on the coin's price movement, which is following a support and resistance pattern. Specifically, the price is bouncing off the support level, suggesting a potential upward trend. Investors may consider buying LPTUSDT at its current price, with the goal of selling at the target price to realize the predicted gain. To manage risk, a stop-loss order can be set below the support level. Overall, the investment strategy for LPTUSDT carries a medium to high level of risk.
BTC vs USDT.D - Who Follows Whom?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
I always keep an eye on USDT.D to gauge the overall sentiment of the crypto market.
📚 Today, I want to demonstrate the correlation between BTC and USDT.D:
- A couple of weeks ago, BTC was rejected at the $108,000 zone, while USDT.D bounced off the 3.6% support.
- BTC is currently hovering around the lower bound of its rising wedge, while USDT.D is approaching the upper bound of its falling wedge.
- As long as BTC doesn't close a full day below the blue trendline and USDT.D doesn't close a full day above the upper red trendline, this phase can be considered a correction.
- Conversely, if both trendlines are breached, expect a momentum shift, potentially leading to a deeper bearish movement in the crypto market.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BITCOIN in a LIVERMORE FunnelThe accumulation and distribution volume matches the positive and negative money flows of the first 5 waves in a Jesse Livermore stock cylinder.
Will wave 6 see a rush of positive money flow into #Bitcoin into the end of the year?
Let's see
If it does
then that will further cement this pattern of accumulation , sideways movement then breakout with continuation of buying power into the Bull market top.
Let's observe this in real time shall we?
Should be a fun few months ahead of us after a long period of churn.
S/O to @arvine11 for bringing up the Livermore stock trend analysis.
Bitcoin can little correct and then continue to grow in rangeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price declined to the resistance line and rebounded at once and made impulse up. BTC rose to a support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, but firstly it made a small correction and some time traded below the 92500 level. Soon, the price broke this level, after which it started to trades inside the range, where it at once made a retest and tried to grow, but later corrected the support level. Next, the price continued to move up and reached the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, after which corrected the resistance line. After this movement, BTC at once rebounded and rose to the seller zone and even higher, breaking the 103500 level. But soon, the price turned around and dropped to the support level, breaking the resistance level with the resistance line. Then the price turned around and a not long time ago started to grow. For this reason, I think that Bitcoin make a small movement down to almost the support level and then continue to grow to the 103500 resistance level inside the range. That's why I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSDT Long - Short SqueezeFunding rate at its lows. I am expecting a short squeeze from the marked area. I'm bearish overall and will short around the marked levels (from 103k) based on the ETF inflows / outflows. Time / speed above 100k will tell which level will have the biggest chance of being the top.
Critical Bitcoin Support Levels: A Key Test for the FutureI was reviewing some of my old charts and came across this one because the patterns here are really interesting. Back on November 15th, I posted a head and shoulders pattern, but as you can see, it didn’t play out as expected. Every time Bitcoin made a new high, it got rejected and pulled back to the support level. This has happened multiple times Bitcoin goes up, makes a new high, and then retraces all the way back down to the same support level.
What’s different this time is that Bitcoin tried to push for new highs but failed, instead forming a lower high. Now, it’s testing a critical support level, marked by the two white trend lines on the chart. Bitcoin is currently at the support level, but the real test will come when it reaches that point of support. That’s the key support area that Bitcoin must hold.
Bitcoin really needs to maintain this support. If it breaks through, we could see a significant drop, potentially all the way down to $77,085.65. I don’t want to sound overly negative, but I’m just giving you a heads-up on what could unfold in 2025. All eyes will be on the $91,541.87 level this is the crucial support level. If Bitcoin can’t hold that area, it could trigger a further decline. Keep a close watch, as this could be a pivotal point for the next major move.
Potential bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 92,651.63
1st Support: 87,516.30
1st Resistance: 99,246.82
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After the volatility period around December 27th...
(Title) What will it look like after the volatility period around December 27th
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Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a good day today.
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USDT is currently showing a gap down, although small.
USDC is showing a gap up steadily.
The gap up of USDT and USDC means that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think the start of the altcoin bull market should be below 55.01 and maintained or show a downward trend.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
If it rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to experience a sharp decline and the coin market is likely to show a downward trend.
If USDC continues to fall, it is likely to fall to around 2.84.
After that, it is expected that the coin market will gradually show a downward trend while rising.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of being created at the 94742.35 point.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is generated, it is important to see if it can be supported near that area.
If it falls without being supported, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
Before meeting the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is necessary to check if it is supported near 87.8K-89K.
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The Momentum indicator is showing a continuous downward trend.
We need to see if it shows an upward trend when a new candle is created.
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Looking at the overall picture of BTC, it is still in the sideways section.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether it can rise above 97821.58-98892.0 by rising near 92K-93.5K.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Bitcoin DominanceMaximum suffering is nearing completion for #alts
While the major correction that occurred in #Bitcoin recently will cause a major upward phase for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , it will also be left behind as a healthy RETEST for the supply zone lost on a monthly basis and the rising wedge.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance confirms retest for retracement on monthly basis heikin ashi candles!
BTC/USD Short: FibCloud Rejection and 200MA TargetOn the 8-hour BTC/USD timeframe, I have executed a short position following a clear rejection from the FibCloud, signaling strong resistance at this level. The price action showcases a classic flip of old support into new resistance, further solidifying bearish momentum.
My target for this trade is the $90,000 price zone, aligning with the 200MA on the 8-hour chart. Additionally, order flow data confirms significant sell-side activity, with large orders clustered between the $90,000 and $89,000 levels, providing further confluence for this setup.
The trade is structured to capitalize on the retracement move, with the potential for price consolidation or reversal upon hitting the $90K psychological and technical support zone.
Technicals:
• Entry Trigger: Rejection from FibCloud and resistance flip.
• Target: $90,000 (aligned with the 200MA and key order flow levels).
• Stop Loss: Positioned above the FibCloud to mitigate risk.
• Order Flow Insight: Large sell orders between $90,000–$89,000 add weight to the bearish scenario.
This setup emphasizes a disciplined approach to risk management, leveraging technical and order flow alignment for optimal execution. Stay sharp, and remember to pay yourself!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Bitcoin still showing weakness despite 4h oversold conditionsBTC is struggling to find support, giving the market some really good opportunities to accumulate. Although the 4h oscillators look bottomed out, the daily keeps me critical of the current market conditions. The daily timeframe seems as if it wants to get its full reset, this would result in more downside across the crypto market. Are you ready?|
BTC enters the parabolic stage of the bullmarketPredicting the tops and bottoms of Bitcoin - in a macro sense - is not that easy. But some indicators can give us a clue or kind of sense of caution warning when to exit or enter the market.
One of them is the "MVRV Z" indicator. It is a chart indicator that uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where BTC is extremely over or undervalued relative to its "fair value".
Historically it has been very effective in identifying periods where market value is moving unusually high above realised value. It also shows when market value is far below realised value, highlighted by the green lines. Buying Bitcoin during these periods has historically produced outsized returns.
This chart indicator is generally useful for predicting Bitcoin price at the extremes of market conditions. It is able to forecast where price may need to pull back when the score enters the upper red hot periods and also when price may rally after spending time in the lower green band.
Historically it has picked major Bitcoin price highs to within 2 weeks.
So far BTC has done a great job holding in the middle value band. It's in the stage of taking the next leap breaking out of it to the upside completing the bullmarket, also referring to past historical breakouts which happenend in similar fashion after a long lasting bearmarket.
READY FOR A NEW ATH ❇️♨️ READY FOR A NEW ATH AND CYCLE COMPLETION? ♨️❇️
📊 Latest #Bitcoin Analysis by #Bersipa 📊
🔥 After months of detailed trend analysis, today—December 23, 2024—we bring you the latest update. The analysis suggests Bitcoin is heading toward a new All-Time High and the final cycle peak in the next year!
🔰 Suggested Plan:
✅ Buy Zone: Accumulate in the FWB:83K – GETTEX:92K range over multiple levels.
✅ Sell Zone: Sell 40% at $112K–$124K (two levels). Hold the remaining 20% at your own risk until $138K, then sell.
🔺️ Disclaimer:
⛔️ All trades are made at the trader's own risk.
⛔️ Futures trading based on this or any analysis is highly risky.
📌 Timeline:
While no exact dates can be guaranteed, we anticipate achieving the new ATH and completing the cycle within five months.
🚀 Stay tuned for more updates and trade responsibly!
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #ATH
DNX/USDT: Bottom Formation with 3-Wave 111% ExpansionHere's a professional TradingView analysis for Dynex/USDT:
DYNEX/USDT Analysis - Potential 111% Growth Setup
Pattern Setup:
• Bottom formation confirmed at 0.215
• Triple target structure identified
• 4H timeframe showing reversal signals
Key Price Levels:
🎯 Entry Zone: 0.2150-0.2200
🎯 TP1: 0.3250 (+50%)
🎯 TP2: 0.4000 (+80%)
🎯 TP3: 0.4750 (+100%)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 0.2000 (-8%)
Wave Structure:
1. First impulse targeting 0.32 zone
2. Second wave aiming for 0.40 resistance
3. Final wave projection to 0.47 area
Volume Analysis:
• Declining volume in downtrend
• Potential accumulation phase beginning
• Watch for volume confirmation on breakout
Risk Management:
• R:R Ratio for TP1: 1:6.25
• R:R Ratio for TP2: 1:9.5
• R:R Ratio for TP3: 1:13.9
Key Invalidation Points:
• Break below 0.20 invalidates setup
• Weekly close below entry zone cancels pattern
• Failure to break TP1 requires position review
Trade Management:
1. Scale in: 0.21-0.22 zone
2. Move stop loss to break even after TP1
3. Trail stops for remaining position
4. Take partial profits at each TP
Timeframe:
Position duration expected 4-6 weeks into early 2025
Note: This forecast based on technical analysis. Always manage risk appropriately and DYOR.
#Crypto #DYNEX #USDT #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading
BTC : All Time High IN - OR Multimonth Playout?Bitcoin has begun a steep drop, and it's likely that the ATH is priced in. This fits my previous idea that the ATH would either be just over or just under 100k.
There is, ofcourse, another option as well - a continuation over the next few months. This is likely if the price of BTC follows a fractal of the previous cycle. It would become likely if we see a strong bounce around the 81-82K zone, pushing us up into the 90's.
But, at the moment, I'm leaning towards the idea that the ATH is in.
It would also makes sense for the ATH to be in, from an Elliot Wave Theory perspective, since we've made a perfect 5 waves. If this is indeed the case, we can look forward to a few more rallies in the altmarket.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
doge long midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
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