Speculating Bitcoin's Cycle Top!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📚 Back to basics.
🗓️ This is the BTC monthly log chart.
📊 By applying two simple channels—one short-term (🔴) and one long-term (🔵)—we see both upper bounds aligning right around the 💰 $300,000 mark. A classic case of confluence at a key psychological level 🧠✨
👇 What do you think—are we headed there this cycle, or is it just hopium? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC-D
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍
📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date.
This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future.
📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event.
You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
LAYERUSDT → Far retest of key resistance at 1.400BINANCE:LAYERUSDT.P is forming a realization within the uptrend. The coin is stronger than the market, but the initial reaction to the strong resistance at 1.400 may be in the form of a false breakout and a pullback to 1.275 or 0.5 fibo
Since the opening of the session, LAYERUSDT has passed the daily ATR, but after reaching the resistance, the coin may not have the potential to continue rising. Liquidity above the 1.400 level may hold this area and prevent the coin from breaking through this zone the first time around.
Bitcoin is testing trend resistance at this time and could likely form a rebound or a continuation of the decline, which could affect altcoins accordingly!
Resistance levels: 1.400
Support levels: 1.2932, 1.2747, 0.5 fibo
BUT ! Everything depends on the price reaction at 1.400. A sharp and distributive approach with 90% probability will end in a false breakout and correction to the mentioned targets.
But, if LAYER starts to slow down and consolidate in front of the level, an attempt of breakout and struggle above 1.400 is possible and further movement will depend on it.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?Finally, the price broke the wedge, and the price experienced a significant drop. I think now is the time for Bitcoin to rise again to 89K . STRONG SUPPORT 0.382=82500
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
A new ATH is waiting for Bitcoin (2D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This analysis is still valid.
When everyone is discouraged and caught up in emotions, the BehDark team relies on the chart to publish analyses.
We have also added a new target to the chart. Based on recent candles in the multi-timeframe, there is a possibility of reaching 120K.
We are still waiting for the green zone and looking for buy/long positions within it.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Rising wedge breakdown may take BTC below 84K and lowerCRYPTO:BTCUSD has broken down from a bearish wedge in hourly. I expect it to do at least 38.2% retracement around 84k, though it could likely go lower around 50% as well which is around 82,600. Closing below 80k might open doors to resumption of downside trend.
Long Entry Signal for BTC/USDTBTC/USDT - Bullish Setup (Daily Chart)
Symbol: BTC
Timeframe: Daily
Analysis:
MLR > SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), signaling a bullish trend.
MLR > BB Center: MLR exceeds the Bollinger Bands Center Line (orange), showing strong bullish momentum.
PSAR: PSAR dots (black) are below the price, reinforcing the uptrend.
Price > SMA 200: Price is above the 200-period SMA (red), indicating long-term bullish strength.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Consider a long position at the daily close.
Stop Loss: Place SL at the current PSAR level to limit downside risk.
Follow Me: Follow me for exit or profit-taking opportunities.
Outlook: All indicators align for a bullish move. Stay alert for reversal signals or trend shifts.
Risk Warning: Not financial advice, trade at your own risk
BITCOIN BEARISH WEDGE BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN made a bearish
Breakout of the bearish wedge
Pattern which reinforces our
Bearish bias and we will be
Expecting a further move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC/USDT: Strategic Entry Points for a Potential Bullish ReversaAnalysis of Key Positions in the BTC/USDT Chart
The chart provided shows a 30-minute timeframe for Bitcoin (BTC) against Tether (USDT) on Binance. The chart includes two labeled positions ("Position 1" and "Position 2") that highlight key areas of interest for traders. Below is a detailed breakdown of these positions:
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1. Position 1
- Location: Near the horizontal green support line, around the $83,600 level.
- Significance:
- Support Zone: This area acts as a strong support level, where the price has previously bounced back after testing it. The horizontal green line indicates that this level has held firm multiple times, suggesting it is a critical zone for buyers.
- Potential Entry Point: Traders can consider entering long positions near this support level if they believe the price will reverse higher. This is a classic "buy the dip" strategy.
- Stop-Loss Placement: To manage risk, traders should place stop-loss orders slightly below this support level (e.g., $83,200–$83,400). If the price breaks below this level, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend.
2. Position 2
- Location: Near the descending blue trendline, around the $85,000–$86,000 range.
- Significance:
- Resistance Zone: The blue trendline acts as dynamic resistance, and the price has been bouncing off this level multiple times. A breakout above this trendline would be a strong bullish signal, indicating that buyers have overcome short-term selling pressure.
- Potential Entry Point: Traders can consider entering long positions after a confirmed breakout above the trendline. A breakout is typically confirmed when the price closes above the trendline on a candlestick.
- Stop-Loss Placement: For safety, traders should place stop-loss orders just below the trendline (e.g., $84,800–$85,000). This ensures that the trade is exited if the breakout fails and the price reverses lower.
---
Comparison Between Position 1 and Position 2
- Position 1 (Near Support):
- Risk Profile: Lower risk, as it is closer to a well-defined support level.
- Reward Potential: Moderate, as the upside target would likely be the next resistance level (e.g., the trendline or Fibonacci retracement levels).
- Strategy: Suitable for traders who want to enter at a cheaper price but are willing to take on some downside risk.
- Position 2 (Near Trendline Breakout):
- Risk Profile: Higher risk, as it requires waiting for a confirmed breakout.
- Reward Potential: Higher, as a successful breakout could lead to a stronger upward move.
- Strategy: Suitable for traders who prefer confirmation before entering long positions.
---
Actionable Insights
1. For Short-Term Traders:
- Entry Strategy: Look for pullbacks to the $83,600 support level to enter long positions. Use tight stop-loss orders below the support to manage risk.
- Exit Strategy: Set profit targets based on Fibonacci retracement levels or previous highs (e.g., $85,000–$86,000).
2. For Long-Term Traders:
- Entry Strategy: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the blue trendline ($85,000–$86,000) before entering long positions. This ensures that the bullish trend is sustainable.
- Exit Strategy: Use trailing stops or take profits at key resistance levels (e.g., $87,000–$88,000).
---
Risk Management
- Always use stop-loss orders to protect against unexpected price movements.
- Consider using position sizing to limit exposure to market volatility.
- Monitor volume and momentum indicators to confirm the strength of any breakout or reversal.
---
Conclusion
The two positions highlighted in the chart provide distinct trading opportunities:
1. Position 1 (Near Support): A potential entry point for aggressive traders looking to buy the dip near $83,600.
2. Position 2 (Near Trendline Breakout): A safer entry point for traders who prefer confirmation before entering long positions near $85,000–$86,000.
By combining these positions with proper risk management and technical analysis, traders can increase their chances of success in the BTC/USDT market.
---
Final Answer: The two positions indicate key trading opportunities:
- Position 1: Near the $83,600 support level, suitable for traders willing to buy the dip.
- Position 2: Near the $85,000–$86,000 trendline breakout, ideal for traders seeking confirmation before entering long positions.
$BTC multi-timeframe analysisCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently at a critical juncture, with three distinct trends emerging on the same chart:
Weekly Bearish Downtrend (Green):
This 1W bearish channel remains intact. Despite bullish optimism, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has not broken out of this green channel, meaning we are technically still in a bearish trend.
Daily Recovery Bullish Uptrend (Red):
On the 1D timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been following a recovery bullish channel. However, this channel is now colliding with the top of the bearish weekly channel, creating significant resistance.
Hourly Bearish Downtrend (Yellow):
A new bearish downtrend on the 1H timeframe has formed as a result of CRYPTOCAP:BTC failing to break through the top of the 1W green bearish falling wedge.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario 1:
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks through the $90k resistance level and exits the weekly bearish channel (green), it could signal a strong long position and confirm the end of the downtrend, marking a reversal.
Bearish Scenario 2:
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to follow the yellow downtrend and breaks down through the red recovery channel, this would invalidate the recovery and indicate further downside potential.
Outlook and Timeframe:
In my bearish warning from February 2025, I projected the end of the bearish consolidation by May 2025. If the bearish Scenario 2 plays out, it will confirm that this early warning was once again accurate.
However, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC manages to pump above $90k and sustain this level for at least a week, it would signal an early consolidation (one month ahead of schedule) and suggest that we are out of trouble.
Conclusion:
Watch for a confirmed breakout or breakdown.
Patience is key; wait for confirmation before making significant moves.
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Bitcoin - This Is Just Wonderful!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates textbook market stucture:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The entire stock market is selling off significantly but Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies are still holding their strong levels. This is clearly a sign of bullish strength and even if we see a retest of the previous all time high, the overall uptrend remains perfectly valid over the next months.
Levels to watch: $70.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTCUSD: Such consolidations end up very well for Bitcoin.Bitcoin just turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.578, MACD = -918.200, ADX = 29.021) and with 1W still neutral, we are again on strong long term buy levels. Today's chart is yet another illustration of the market dynamics and the similarities with the previous Cycle. The market is well on its way towards the 1.618 Fibonacci extension target, which now translates to $175,000. Unless the 1W MA50 support breaks, BTC is a buy opportunity on every pullback.
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BTC - Is BTC going lower?Since the end of January 2025, BTC has been in a downtrend. However, over the last couple of weeks, BTC has been following an upward trend (rising wedge). This rising wedge has now been broken, as it tested the downward sloping trendline that has been in place since the end of January.
On the daily timeframe, the Stochastic RSI is crossing down from the overbought zone, indicating that the momentum is shifting to the downside. This suggests that bearish pressure could persist in the coming days or even weeks.
While it is possible that BTC could recover from this level and target higher prices. however, my base case is that BTC will continue to form a bearish structure over the next few days or weeks, potentially making a higher low or even a lower low. Time will reveal how the price action unfolds. Until then, the bias remains bearish unless proven otherwise.
It is important to be aware of your risk management when opening positions at this moment, as market conditions can be volatile and unpredictable.
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BTC/USD 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the downward trend channel, in which we turn back at the top edge of the channel. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = 87100 $
T2 = 89945 $
Т3 = 93556 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 81739 $
SL2 = 77307 $
SL3 = 74353 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As we came again to the center of the range at which we could again experience the price of price.
Gold’s Last Bull Run? Bitcoin’s Big Move Is Coming!Strong institutional money is flowing into gold and precious stones. Historically, this has been a sign of a prolonged bear market in traditional markets. In other words, strong hands have sold stocks at high prices, securing significant profits, and are now moving to the ultimate safe haven: gold, which has been considered a store of value since ancient Egypt.
However, in my opinion, Bitcoin still has hope. When the Buy Climax happens in gold, Bitcoin will rise quickly. I believe this will take a few weeks or months to unfold. In other words, Bitcoin needs to consolidate first and accumulate enough while they sell their gold bars—especially the Chinese.
Gold is likely in its last bull run of the century. I believe that by the end of April or beginning of May, gold should form a top, although I'm not certain. And since Bitcoin typically shines after gold finishes its distribution, Bitcoin is likely in its last bull run of the decade.
Bitcoin’s Next Move – Another Attack to Heavy Resistance Zone!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) was successful in three moves , as I expected in my previous post . I still think Bitcoin will NOT stop trying to break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) .
Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($87,100_$85,800) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($86,376_$85,411) .
Regarding the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
If we look at the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart on the 4-hour time frame , USDT.D% is pulling back to the Uptrend line and is currently in the Resistance zone(5.30%-5.15%) . There is a possibility of completing the Bearish Flag Pattern .👇
I expect Bitcoin to rise again in the coming hours and attack the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Resistance lines , Monthly Pivot Point , and 50_SMA(Daily) .
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,400, we can expect more dumps.
Market Developments:
GameStop announced BTC adoption as a treasury asset, signaling growing corporate interest.
Trump Media partnered with Crypto to launch crypto ETFs, adding institutional momentum.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BITCOIN Is it owed a parabolic rally based on the GoldBTC ratio?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading on a highly structured manner within a Channel Up for the entirety of its Bull Cycle since the November 2022 bottom. We've discussed before how this is the smoothest Cycle of all.
What we didn't bring into the mix before was the Gold/BTC ratio (black trend-line), naturally negatively correlated to Bitcoin, which has been trading within a Channel Down since its January 2023 Top. As you can see it posts the same pattern on every Cycle: Channel Down (blue), followed by its bearish break-out and a huge drop (red ellipse) that prices the Bull Cycle Top on BTC.
So far every BTC Cycle had its parabolic rally (green ellipse) when the Gold/BTC ratio broke downwards. Does the market owe one this time also? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN - Price can reach support level and then start to growHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, the price long time traded near $83700 level, broke it and started to grow inside an upward wedge.
Firstly, BTC rose to the resistance line of the wedge and then corrected to the support level, after which it reached the $87800 level.
After several attempts to break resistance, price turned around and dropped, thereby exiting from wedge.
Now it is correcting and approaching support level, slowly moving toward $83700 key support level.
In my opinion, when BTC reaches $83700 level, it can turn around and start to grow to the $87800 resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️