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BTC - Is this rally sustainable and what to expect?In the past two days, Bitcoin has experienced an impressive surge in price, exploding from around 85k to over 94k, showing strong bullish momentum. This rapid movement has certainly caught the attention of many traders and investors. However, while the price action has broken through previous lower highs, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment, it's crucial to approach this rally with caution. Although the recent price increase indicates that bullish momentum is in play, it's important not to overlook the possibility of a short-term pullback or consolidation. The market has shown volatility before, and while breaking the lower-high structure is a positive sign, it doesn’t necessarily guarantee sustained upward movement. In this analysis, I will dive deeper into the current price action and what it means for BTC short-term outlook. We’ll explore the factors to watch in the coming days and the potential risks that could challenge the bullish trend. ------------------------------------------ What will we discuss: - Golden Pocket fibonaccy with resistance - Point of Control - Stochastic RSI - The deathcrosses ------------------------------------------ Golden Pocket fibonaccy with resistance The golden pocket Fibonacci zone (0.618–0.65), measured from the highs to the lows on the higher timeframe, is located between 96,450 and 97,580. This area aligns with a key resistance level that previously triggered a strong move down in BTC. The golden pocket often acts as a strong rejection zone, and bears are likely to try defending this level again. So be careful on how price will move into this level and how it reacts. ------------------------------------------ Point of control (POC) The Point of Control (POC) for the entire trading range from November to the present is located precisely at 96,450. This level is particularly significant as it aligns with multiple technical factors, creating a strong confluence zone. Not only does it coincide with a well-established resistance area that previously initiated a sharp move to the downside, but it also sits within the golden pocket Fibonacci. The POC marks the price level where the highest volume of trading activity has occurred during this entire range, indicating a strong area of interest for both buyers and sellers. High-volume nodes like this often act as magnets for price and tend to offer either strong support or resistance depending on the context. In this case, with the POC positioned within a broader resistance zone, it becomes an even more formidable barrier. ------------------------------------------ Stochastic RSI The Stochastic RSI on the daily timeframe is currently in the overbought zone, where it has remained for approximately 10 consecutive days. This prolonged stay in overbought territory suggests that bullish momentum may be weakening and the indicator is beginning to show signs of exhaustion. Typically, when the Stochastic RSI hovers in this upper range for an extended period without a meaningful pullback, it signals that a reversal or at least a slowdown in the prevailing trend could be imminent. The oscillator appears to be running out of steam, and barring a sudden surge in buying pressure, it is likely to start curling downward in the coming days or within the next week. This could imply a shortterm correction is luring. ------------------------------------------ Deathcrosses this cycle A deathcross is a bearish technical indicator (lagging) that occurs when a shorter-term (50-day MA) crosses below the longer-term (200-day MA). Deathcross 1 At the time of the first death cross, the price of BTC had already formed a local low before the crossover occurred. Following the death cross, BTC experienced what is commonly referred to as a "death cross rally" — a counterintuitive move where price rallies shortly after the bearish signal. This rally was significant, as it broke short-term market structure to the upside and eventually found support at the 50-day MA, the same level that previously acted as resistance. That support held, even during a brief rejection, and marked a key shift in momentum. From there, BTC continued its upward move and eventually went on to make new highs, effectively invalidating the immediate bearish expectations typically associated with a death cross. Deathcross 2 The second death cross in this cycle occurred after Bitcoin had already established a local low and began moving back upward toward the death cross. Initially, BTC struggled to break above the 50-day MA, but it eventually managed to push through. However, this time, during the subsequent correction, Bitcoin was unable to hold the 50-day MA as support. Instead, it formed a higher low, indicating a shift in market dynamics and suggesting that the selling pressure may have been weakening. This higher low marks a crucial point in the price structure, as it hints at potential bullish momentum building, despite the earlier bearish signal from the death cross. Deathcross 3 This time, the low was established right at the moment of the death cross, and BTC began to move upward immediately after the crossover occurred. After initially struggling to break above the 50-day MA, BTC surged higher and managed to surpass both the 50-day and 200-day MA. Currently, BTC is facing strong resistance at these levels. The question now is whether BTC will correct and find support at the 50-day MA once again, as it did during the first instance, or if it is aiming to form a higher low, similar to the second occurrence. In both scenarios, Bitcoin has historically experienced a pullback after a few days of upward movement, so a correction at this point would not be surprising. ------------------------------------------ Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
100
FARTCOIN → Moving into the realisation phase. A rally?BINANCE:FARTCOINUSDT.P has entered the buying zone, or the realization phase, after breaking through the resistance of the ascending triangle. The altcoin is within an upward trend. Bitcoin continues to consolidate ahead of a possible rise. FARTCOIN has entered the buy zone at this time. The realization of Bitcoin could trigger continued growth in altcoins FARTCOIN is entering the realization phase after consolidating within an uptrend and an ascending triangle. The coin looks quite positive overall, but a retest of 1.2100 may form before growth. Resistance levels: 1.2933 Support levels: 1.0719, 1.0632 There is significant resistance ahead on D1, and a small correction to the nearest liquidity zone at 1.2097 may form. However, consolidation against 1.2933 is expected before a breakout and continued growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
ETHEREUM vs BITCOIN fractals you'd never thought to look at!Odd comparison but you'd be lying if you say those fractals between Ethereum (ETHUSD) 2024 - 2025 and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 2021 - 2022 don't look similar. But if you do believe it, can this mean ETH is about to see a rally to a new All Time High? Anyway as the title says, this is fun fractal for comparison purposes only. The conclusion is yours! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
by TradingShot
4
BTC REBOUND? 〉$140,000 NEXTAs illustrated, I'm visualizing what the next impulsive wave could look like. Price has broken out of a major daily trend line. It makes sense for the week to have started trading lower to find it's low and potentially bounce with strength sometime this coming up week and into the next. The next pivot area is between the $82,000 - $80,000 range based on previous week's lows and daily low levels. An interesting buy opportunity is forming and the potential entry is illustrated as the "pivot area" marked in yellow. Then we have a major pivot range near the $100,000 psychological price. . This could be a price where some short term traders get out "in case it's just a pull back before a collapse" type of decision. We can't ignore how much price consolidated between 100,000 and 96,000; and so that is the next stepping stone for BTC before breaking to ATH's of at least $120,000. My personal target is set at the 161.8% extension level as illustrated. -- GOOD LUCK! Persa
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDLong
by PersaGold
1
98+ actionMorning folks, So, market mostly stands at the same place where we leave it last time :) But now our monthly bullish pattern is officially confirmed, so mid term direction is up with 110K target at least and potential progress up to 127K. Now we see a lot of minor bullish signs pointing on upside breakout attempt. Last time we talked about 3-Drive, but today it seems that it could go out of its limits. Not just to 97K but up to 103 K AB-CD upside target. Until price is above 91.5K lows we do not consider any shorts. Following expected downside pullback is still on the table but not for this week probably. We return to it later as soon as upside action will be over.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
NZDJPY DETAILED ANALYSIS TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS NZDJPY is currently trading near 85.80, forming a textbook falling wedge pattern on the daily chart. This structure typically signals a bullish reversal, and price action is nearing the apex, suggesting an imminent breakout. A confirmed breakout above the upper trendline could initiate a strong bullish wave, with a medium-term target set at 95.000. Fundamentally, the New Zealand dollar is supported by expectations of stable monetary policy from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, while the Japanese yen faces pressure due to the Bank of Japan's continued dovish stance. This divergence in monetary policies favors NZD strength against JPY, aligning with the bullish technical setup. Technical indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), are showing signs of bullish momentum. A decisive close above the wedge's resistance line would confirm the breakout, potentially attracting further buying interest and accelerating the move toward the 95.000 target. In summary, NZDJPY is poised for a bullish breakout from the falling wedge pattern, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Traders should monitor for a confirmed breakout and consider positioning accordingly to capitalize on the anticipated upward movement.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
Check if it can rise along the rising channel Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) This volatility period is until April 30th. The point to watch is whether it can rise along the newly created trend line (4) or whether it can rise along the rising channel consisting of trend lines (2) ~ (4). - If it falls near Fibonacci 3.14 (93570.28), it seems likely that a new HA-High indicator on the 1D chart will be created. Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created, the key is whether there is support near it. That is, we need to check whether there is support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 3 (92026.52) ~ 3.14 (93570.28). If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the trend line (2). - The next volatility period is around May 19. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range. Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section. To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the downtrend starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
1
BTCUSD: The final 7 months of the Bull Cycle have begun.Bitcoin remains on excellent bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 65.277, MACD = 2917.800, ADX = 44.478) as it is recovering from this months Low. A recovery that will close today the monthly candle in green, the first after 2 bearish 1M candles. This has technically kickstarted the final 7 months of the Bull Cycle, which have historically been a straight rally to the Cycle's Top. The last 2 Cycles took 35 months from bottom to top and based on that we expect the current one to peak in October (2025). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make correction to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. The market behavior of price has been quite telling recently. After a significant rally from the lower support area around 81200 points, the price gradually established an ascending trend line, forming a steady bullish structure. The rise was confirmed multiple times by the trend line acting as dynamic support, allowing buyers to push the price toward the higher zones. However, after reaching the local peak close to 95300, the bullish momentum slowed down. Price formed a range and began showing early signs of weakness. Despite attempts to move higher, each push was met with resistance, causing smaller impulses than earlier moves. Currently, Bitcoin is trading just under the 95300 - 95500 zone, near the upper boundary of the recent range. I expect BTCUSDT can face further rejection here and initiate a correction. The nearest key target is the 92000 points, located close to the ascending trend line and matching the support structure below. Given the fading momentum, recent price action, and important technical levels nearby, I anticipate a downward move toward 92000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
9