BTC - The Perfect Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
🔄Is history about to repeat itself?
If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈
What’s next? A dip toward the $87,000 - $88,000 zone would be the perfect retest to look for trend-following longs and expect the start of Phase 3.
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC-D
BRIEFING Week #18 : Waiting for RotationHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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BTCUSDT to head towards 106kBTCUSDT is currently trading inside weekly resistance zone WR1 and currently holding inside this zone. However, since it has not been rejected outrightly from there showing the strength and a high probability of it breaking this resistance and moving to the upside towards 106k area. Later we can see pullback from there towards WR1+DS1 zone testing as support and then bounce again from there towards clear sky as depicted on the chart. This structure will also create a giant inverse head and shoulder fueling the upward move later on. However, those we will assess later after more price action is there. But for now, lets focus on this long trade from weekly resistance zone WR1 to 106k.
NZDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??NZDJPY has successfully completed a bullish breakout from the descending channel structure that has been forming since mid-2024. The price action respected the trend boundaries flawlessly, and the breakout above the upper trendline confirms a reversal from the previous downtrend. Now trading around 86.200, this pair is showing strong momentum, supported by both technical breakout validation and fresh bullish sentiment in the market.
The pair is now targeting a measured move towards 93.000 in the coming weeks. The breakout is supported by increasing risk appetite across markets, as investors shift from safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen toward riskier assets such as the New Zealand Dollar. The sharp rejection from the lower trendline and the steady climb through April and early May marks the beginning of a potential bullish cycle. Traders should watch for retests and bullish continuation patterns to ride this wave.
Fundamentally, the New Zealand economy is seeing upward momentum with recent improvements in dairy exports and a surprise drop in unemployment to 3.8%, beating expectations. On the other hand, Japan’s stagnant inflation data and dovish Bank of Japan stance have weakened the Yen further. The widening interest rate differential between the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Bank of Japan continues to favor the Kiwi. This macro backdrop aligns with the technical breakout, offering additional conviction to bullish traders.
With technicals and fundamentals now in alignment, NZDJPY offers a high-probability long setup. Breakout traders and trend followers should consider riding this move toward the 93.000 target, with trailing stops to lock in profits as momentum continues. Keep an eye on global risk sentiment, commodity prices, and upcoming economic data from New Zealand for confirmation along the way.
Bitcoin BTC Has Started CorrectionHello, Skyrexians!
Hope we understood what is going to happen with the Bitcoin dominance, if briefly we are waiting for correction and this dominance dump will likely happen on BINANCE:BTCUSDT dump.
Let's take a look at the impulse which has been started at $75k, it looks like this impulse has been finished already with the 5 Elliott waves cycle. At the very top we can see the bearish divergent bar and bearish divergence with the Awesome Oscillator. Moreover oscillator started to print red columns, it means that momentum is gone and now it's time to go down.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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BTC HAVE A HIGH PROBABILITY TO FALL DOWN!!!The BTC starts looking weak and it's perfect time to long for a short. We are almost at the top of this run from last weeks and we can see that BTC made a perfect divergence pattern. My indicator shows me also that we are entering a mid-term bearish trend and there is a high chance that we are gonna fall much deeper than in last weeks. My target is clear and I'm holding my strategy so I wait for the price to hit my SMA line like it was in the last days but now I wait for the price to hit the SMA line at 4H chart because we didn't hit it since 2 weeks so in this moment we can see even in a few candles that the price is gonna touch it. I am actually in the short and waiting for the price to go for my target, we also have a weekend so the price will be probably slow but everything can happen. In my opinion next week are gonna be red and the price should touch my target. I recommend to watch a 1H and 2H chart and looking when price will hit the SMA line on these timeframes because my target is set in a 4H chart but we can book profits even when the price will hit the SMA at 1H and at 2H chart. Be careful and stay focused.
Bitcoin Range-Bound in Heavy Resistance – CME Gap Still Open!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), like Gold , has been moving in a Range for the past 5-6 days and is currently in a Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) , as it has been in the past few days .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure can take two forms: Double Three Correction(WXY)_Expanding Flat(3-3-5) .
I label this analysis " Short " for the following reasons:
Due to Bitcoin's higher correlation with the S&P 500 Index ( SP:SPX ) these days, I am short on the S&P 500 Index.
China’s president Xi Jinping says Trump lied about them having a phone call ; it is NOT good news for the S&P 500 Index and Bitcoin .
CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) has NOT filled yet, and I think Bitcoin will NOT start the next bullish rally before filling the CME Gap.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $92,830 and then decline to the Support zone($92,000-$91,400) if the Support lines are broken.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $96,741-$95,520
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $97,000, we should expect more pumping.
Note: If Bitcoin goes below the 100_SMA(Daily), we should expect a fall.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin, Repeating Patterns (Support Turned Resistance)On the way down, Bitcoin found support in a price range between $94,000 and $98,000 between 3 and 21 February. This support zone was weakened by repeated challenges and then it broke. Bitcoin went on to produce its 2025 pre-bull market correction bottom and low. Then the dynamics are reversed.
On the way up, the same price range that worked as support is now working as resistance, between $94,000 and $98,000. The more this range is challenged the weaker it becomes. Bitcoin will continue to weaken it until it finally breaks and we see additional growth. It is the same.
Just as prices found support for a while before moving lower, Bitcoin is challenging resistance before moving higher. What is certain is that the end result is higher prices.
Bitcoin is going up, ignore the short-term.
There can be small swings while this resistance zone is challenged, but it will definitely break. A higher high will happen next.
» Retraces and corrections are an opportunity to buy-in, rebuy and reload.
» Bitcoin is still a bargain below $100,000.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
$BTC - Weekend OutlookCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 1d
We'll see how the 92–90k zone reacts this weekend, but I think the deepest this pullback might go is around 89–87k. We don't really wanna see price breaking the 86k level for a potential higher low
I’m not really expecting a push to 200k–300k in the coming weeks. We already frontran the 70k-68k area (htf demand), and I think we’re just forming a broader distribution range here. It’s possible we take out the highs and deviate up to 114–118k
Let’s see. Enjoy your weekend everyone!
Top of ABC correction on Bitcoin ~ ShortBitcoin has had quite the run up since 2023 and is currently in an ABC corrective pattern after a 5 wave impulse. The January high was the starting point. The April low was A. Now is the top of B which happens to be 0.618 retracement of the A wave. What follows is a down move for C which should end somewhere between 63k and 53.5k. This will make a bottom and will stay in accumulation until late 2027 early 2028 before shooting to the upside in anticipation of the next halving.
Rare Signal Confirms Bitcoin "As Bullish As It Gets" Michael SayThis is a rare signal. Bitcoin hardly ever closes four consecutive weeks green. When this event happens, it means the market is as bullish as it gets.
How are some people still bearish when the market is closing green four weeks straight?
How is that even possible? Continued growth for so long... It is obvious is what I say.
» Bitcoin will soon be trading above 100K.
Bitcoin is moving above $120,000 in May and will hit around $130,000 or can be higher; do you agree?
The bulls are in—the bullish bias is confirmed Bitcoin has been growing for an entire month. The best part is that it is still early, let me explain. Notice the trading volume, it is still so very low. This means that nothing has happened yet, there will be a major advance... So strong, it will break all resistance in a matter of days.
» Bitcoin is bullish now. The Altcoins are bullish now.
You can be certain that we are going to see growth daily, weekly, monthly long-term.
Bullish is good.
Adapt to the market. If it is bullish, don't fight it just join the wave.
Bitcoin is bullish now. 1,000,000%.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make movement up and then start to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Price continues to move inside a rising wedge, gradually climbing higher while respecting the boundaries of the formation. After a strong impulsive breakout above the 93000 level, the market has entered a phase of sideways consolidation just below the upper boundary of the pattern. This area acts as a pressure zone, where bullish attempts are becoming weaker, and the price starts to lose momentum. What's important is how clearly the trend line has been respected, with multiple touchpoints confirming its significance. Recently, BTC tested the lower boundary of the wedge near 93000, rebounded, and made another push upward. However, despite this growth, the price is nearing the resistance formed by the wedge's upper boundary, and this structure often implies a potential reversal once the market loses steam. Given this setup, I expect BTCUSDT to reject the upper edge and correct toward 95000, my short-term goal. This level aligns with the trend line, making it a logical area for the price to seek equilibrium again. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin may rebound from seller zone and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. In the past, the price had been consolidating within a broad range, repeatedly rejecting support and resistance zones. The buyer zone between 79100 - 80300 provided a strong base, and from there, BTC began to grow, forming a bullish structure that led into an upward wedge. This growth accelerated once the price broke through the support area and continued upward until it approached the resistance level at 95500, which also overlaps with the seller zone. As the price moved inside the wedge, the bullish impulses weakened. Buyers lost strength near the resistance line of the wedge, and recent price action suggests that sellers are stepping in at the top. We’ve now seen multiple failed attempts to break higher, and the price is consolidating under resistance, forming pressure to the downside. This entire consolidation near the wedge resistance, especially inside a confirmed seller zone, indicates a likely reversal. The current structure shows signs of exhaustion, and if the support line of the wedge breaks, that would trigger a significant correction. Given this context, I expect BTC can make a bearish move toward TP1 at 91500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Sell in May and go away, but when? 🧭 Current Situation:
📈 Market remains bullish, but I anticipate possibility for S&P500 to drop on US open. If that happens, BTC can also make a dip, but since it looks much stronger than stocks, that drop might not be a big one. Nevertheless area around 95k looks very attractive.
⚠️ Price will need to show stronger bearish pressure to trigger any real panic or sell-off. Until then, this looks more like healthy volatility within trend continuation.
🧱 The breakout level at 95770 was already re-tested, so it’s now off my watchlist. The next meaningful support is around 95K flat.
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🔥 CME Gap Update:
4H CME gap has expanded — now stretching from 95280 to 96560
This zone will act as a magnet in the coming sessions until it gets filled.
Just a quick reminder — 4H CME gaps are not as strong or reliable as Daily gaps. They don’t carry the same close rate or magnetism.
However, they can still offer directional hints and serve as target zones, especially in short- to mid-term setups. Use them as guidance — but don’t treat them like guaranteed gravity wells.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
• Bullish Targets: 97666 / 98500 / 99431
• Bearish Targets: 94971 / 94125 / 93550
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🔥 BTC Liquidation Heatmap
Above: 97530 / 98191 / 98998 / 100100
Below: 96063 / 95623 / 94670 / 93715
BITCOIN - Price can exit from wedge and rose to $102K pointsHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, the price declined to $81600 level, after which it bounced and rose to $88500 points and then started to fall.
Also price entered to wedge pattern, where it fell to support line, breaking support level, but soon turned around and bounced up.
Price broke $81600 level again and continued to grow next, but later it corrected to support line.
Then, BTC rose from this line to $93000 level, broke it, and reached resistance line of wedge, after which corrected.
After correction, BTC fell to $93000 level and then rose back to resistance line of wedge, where it trades close.
In my mind, price can correct to support line and then bounce up to $102000 points, exiting from a wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
$BTC Huge Daily Close Above the .618 Fib !Very BIG Daily Close for ₿itcoin above the .618 Fib 🥵
CRYPTOCAP:BTC needs to close the next week in or above the green box demand area in order to keep the rally alive and flip resistance into support.
As I originally mentioned in my idea, PA either needs to correct accordingly or this is the long-awaited PARABOLA in the making.
I still stand with my original belief on how this will play out, and have numbered my ideas accordingly.
1. Correct to 200DMA
2. Correct to 50DMA
3. Inverse Head and Shoulders reversal pattern
4. PARABOLA 🚀
I hope it's time to MOON more than anyone!
but I still have a good chunk of cash on the sideline in case the market needs more time 🤓
$MARA $14.5 call *This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
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*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
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BITCOIN Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is trading in an
Uptrend an the coin made
A bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level of 94k$
Which is now a support and
Is now going up again so we
Are bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTCUSD: The catching up to Gold has started.Bitcoin is having an excellent day turning almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.867, MACD = 3107.700, ADX = 41.327) and that is normally a signal for more upside to come. Adding Gold to the mix, we see that in recent past when Gold topped, Bitcoin was at the start of its uptrend and eventually caught up to Gold. Today's rise is probably similar to early November 2024, so we expect another 1.5 - 2 month upside before the next short term pullback.
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Bitcoin the Big Bearish TrapIn my opinion we are forming an extended right shoulder on the weekly
1 Scenario: It's expected to see an impulse to 107-112k area but I wouldn't buy spot/long btc in here under any circumstance.
Based on weekly RSI, we might top somewhere there, or sooner
2 Scenario: We don't go above 100k and start a sudden move down, as SPX just retested it's previous highs and a retrace is expected as well.
Regarding Altcoins, if btc goes above 115k, it's worth the risk with proper management but not sooner, or you risk being the exit liquidity in a very big downward move.
Or, btc retraces to sub 80k and we have one more leg left of 20-30% on alts before doom