Bitcoin’s Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown – How Low Can It Go?Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to fall, as I expected in the previous post ; the question here is whether the fall continues or not .
Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin for you in the 15-minute time frame .
Bitcoin was able to break the Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and important Support line .
Bitcoin also seems to have formed a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern and was able to break the lower line of the triangle.
Educational Tip : The Symmetrical Triangle is a continuation pattern where the price consolidates into a narrowing range with lower highs and higher lows. It indicates indecision, with a breakout in either direction confirming the next trend.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to the targets that I specified in my chart.
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $95,850, we can expect more pumps.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
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Btc-e
Bitcoin can continue to decline inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A short while ago, the price started to rise within a pennant and soon reached the resistance level, aligning with the seller's zone. After breaking this level, BTC continued upward, testing the resistance line of the pennant before reversing and beginning a decline. Not long after, Bitcoin dropped, breaking out of the pennant to the downside and even dipping below the 101900 level before quickly recovering. The price then climbed to 106500 points but soon pulled back to the buyer's zone and dropped even lower, breaking through the resistance level once again. Following this move, BTC reversed direction, made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, and then started declining within a downward channel. Inside this channel, the price fell to the buyer's zone and attempted to bounce but failed, rapidly returning to the buyer’s zone, which coincided with the support level. After that, it rebounded, reached the resistance line of the channel, and then corrected downward. At the moment, Bitcoin is still declining inside the channel. I expect a slight rebound before further downside movement toward the support line of the channel, breaking the support level. In this scenario, my target is set at 92200 points, which aligns with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BITCOIN → Testing $88K - $90K. False or true breakdown?BINANCE:BTCUSD enters the risk zone and forms a false breakdown of the key support zone. All eyes are on the bulls, whether they can keep their defense on the market or not....
On D1 - W1 price in global consolidation after strong growth. The focus is on 90-91K, a zone that is a strong support for the global trend. A false breakout is forming at the moment.
On the Local timeframe H1 - H4 the price is testing the local channel support, as well as the risk zone 89400.
If the bulls can keep the defense above 89400 - 90K, bitcoin may strengthen. The primary target in this case could be 94K
Support levels: 91280, 89400
Resistance levels: 94800, 99200
Statistically, the strongest dvjeniyas are formed after a false breakdown. But there is another question here, what kind of breakout will be - true or false.
In our case, we need to wait for confirmation, namely, for the price to consolidate above the key zones and levels. Emphasis on 89400, 90000, 91300
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN Is this a healthy Bull Cycle pullback or new BEAR CYCLE?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the $90k barrier, reaching so far today 89000. The market is undeniably bleeding and this is roughly a -19% price decrease from January's All Time High (ATH). Talks about the end of this Bull Cycle have resurfaced again, but is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or simply a usual technical pull-back during a Bull Cycle?
Well we can find the answer by examining the 3 most recent Bull Cycles. As you can see, such declines are common during Bull Cycles, and they've been very well present on the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle as well.
Going back to the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can see four -40% corrections, with an average Cycle decline of -35.28%. The average in the following Bull Cycle (2019 - 2021) declined to -26.12% with many -30% corrections this time. On the current Cycle, the average is so far -23.60% with the vast majority of corrections being around -20%, which is exactly what we are up against at the moment.
As you realize, the corrections have been greater in the past, which is natural as so were the total Cycle gains, so the higher the rallies, the stronger the corrections have been. As Bitcoin started to normalize, become mainstream and adopted, the Cycles returns started to diminish, offering subsequently smaller/ more manageable pull-back phases.
As a result, it is very likely for BTC to be experiencing at the moment a typical Bull Cycle pull-back and equally probable not to diverge much from the -20% mark of the current Cycle standard.
But what do you think? Is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or just a Bull Cycle pull-back? And if it's the latter, will it stop around the current -20% levels? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin is Bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!As you can see, in the previous Correction of Bitcoin, Bitcoin dropped by about $25,000 and then experienced a potential growth. Now, the price has fallen by about $25,000 from its all-time high (ATH) until now. If we consider the previous correction of Bitcoin, this could be a very strong signal for an increase in Bitcoin's price.
What do you think about it ?
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
$BTC bearish outlook: $2B selling pressure incomingI am bearish on CRYPTOCAP:BTC for the following reasons:
1️⃣ The $Bybit hack resulted in a loss of $1.4B worth of $ETH. To continue trading, Bybit is currently bridging liquidity with Binance. However, this is only a temporary solution. Eventually, they will need to buy back $1.4B in ETH, and the only reserve asset large enough to cover this is Bitcoin. I expect at least SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B of BTC to be sold on the market to acquire the necessary ETH.
2️⃣ The hackers are liquidating their $1.4B in stolen ETH. Since smart contract-based assets can be traced and frozen, their best option is to swap to CRYPTOCAP:BTC , which is harder to track and cannot be frozen.
In total, Bitcoin faces a potential selling pressure of over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , which is enough to significantly impact its price.
📉 Given that Bitcoin is already in a consolidation phase, this pressure could push the price down to $93K or even $91K.
📊 Expect dead cat bounces, where traders can profit, but be cautious—this selling pressure is real. Bybit needs to resolve its liquidity issues quickly, and the hackers are racing to cash out ASAP.
⚠️ DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
A bit of Hopium - FTX payouts tomorrow. What's next for the mark8 months to the assumed end of the cycle.
ETFs and everything else are already priced in. However, incoming money flows are not yet factored into the price of the cryptocurrency market. This creates a unique opportunity for those who can anticipate where liquidity will flow next.
I think you all have noticed that capital/liquidity from Bitcoin is not moving into altcoins — at least not yet. Bitcoin remains the "safe haven" for institutional investors, while altcoins remain underappreciated. But if ETFs for altcoins are approved, it will be a very different situation. The floodgates could open, and we might see unprecedented inflows into projects like Ethereum, Cardano, and even meme coins like Dogecoin.
FTX payouts are on February 18 — that's tomorrow.
This event is critical. Many creditors have been waiting for years to recover their funds. With Ethereum staking ETFs potentially approved in the second quarter, this could coincide with the next FTX payouts, creating a perfect storm of liquidity entering the market.
Let’s remember the 2020 FTX debt buybacks at $0.3 per dollar, then $0.4, and the last one I heard was at $0.8 per dollar. Someone had a lot of confidence that payouts would be made. And where do you think the $10–15 billion of capital will go? Most likely to altcoins, because Samuel Bankman-Fried was the king of altcoins.
There is an assumption that if something triggers the printing press or quantitative easing, but nobody believes in that now.
Central banks are tightening monetary policy, and inflation is slowly coming under control. However, the crypto market operates differently. It thrives on speculation, innovation, and adoption. All of the top altcoins will be priced significantly higher as new narratives emerge.
The challenge is to hold our portfolios! Volatility is inevitable, but patience will pay off.
If there is a correction in early March, here are the projects with potential ETFs:
ETH staking
LTC
ADA
DOGE
XLM
XRP
HBAR
This is in case there is a drop in March. Corrections are healthy for the market, allowing new buyers to enter at lower prices.
Spring can turn positive very quickly.
The best scenario is a green close of the February candle — momentum on Bitcoin. If BTC holds above key support levels, we could see a bullish Q2.
In the second half of March, we need to get in what we didn’t manage to get in the market, in case there is no drop in early March. Timing is crucial, but so is preparation.
Additional Catalysts to Watch For:
There are many catalysts that I don’t write about, but they could happen:
Introduction of Basic Income
Unexpected ETF bids: Regulatory approvals often come faster than expected.
Countries building reserves of BTC or other altcoins : Nations like El Salvador have already started adopting Bitcoin. Others may follow suit, especially as geopolitical tensions rise.
It’s going to be a super positive year. Stay positive.
The future is very clear, but for some reason, a lot of people are losing faith.
Prices go up — I’m sure of this scenario. Prices go down — I’m sure of this scenario. There’s no point in making a fuss when you know what’s ahead. I don’t know why people lose faith in their beliefs in the moment.
In a market like this, when it’s suddenly not obvious, it’s because you’re competing with a completely different category of players. Believing in your beliefs will be an advantage in this market, especially for people who are not big capital.
Stay strong and focused.
Best regards EXCAVO
Bitcoin Overextended? Key Levels & 15-Min Chart Setup Revealed!📈 Bitcoin seems overextended right now. 🔑 In my opinion, it's testing key support levels. I'm watching for a retrace into the midpoint of the previous price swing for a potential short opportunity. 🎥 In the video, I break down key insights on the trend, market structure, and price action, and show exactly what I'm looking for on the 15-minute chart for an entry. 🚨 Not financial advice! 📉
HelenP. I Bitcoin may correct to support level and rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Analyzing the chart, we can observe that the price initially climbed to the trend line before reversing and dropping to the resistance level, which aligned with the resistance zone. After spending some time trading near this level, the price made a corrective move downward, briefly breaking the level before bouncing back up. Following this, BTC once again tested the trend line before falling to the support level, breaking through the resistance level in the process. The price dipped slightly below this area but then made a sharp upward move toward the 101500 resistance level before starting to decline. Bitcoin then dropped to the support level, immediately rebounded, and attempted to rise, but eventually fell back to the 94200 level. After this, the price started to recover, rising close to the trend line before turning downward again. At this point, I anticipate that BTCUSDT will move down to the support level before beginning a new upward push toward the trend line. Therefore, I have set my goal at 98800, which aligns with this trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?Because of politics and misleading news, we are now witnessing these prices, and this caused most of my analyses to be wrong and not go according to my thoughts. However, now the price has a strong support area that if it reacts to it, the price will go up to $95,000 and create a V pattern. Since this market is filled with some politicians and some Persons & their misleading promises, maybe the price will drop again and go down to $79,000 and then grow again.
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The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin Final UpdateEverything on the charts...
Up to you now... Yes... I believe it's just Reaccumulation
Look at the previous posts for more explanation and all perspectives
I'm holding and I'm bullish...We will witness an alt season this year (those saying we won't will be proven wrong...)
BTC.D will fall and strong alts will rise (with massive returns)
Until Next Time...
Bitcoin(BTC): Sellers Are Dominating / Final Drop Incoming!Finally, we got our breakdown where, after touching 200EMA on the 4-hour timeframe, we had a 10% drop ever since.
This breakdown is not just a liquidity grab, as we can see but a full-scale movement where now our next target is $85K (which is the 200EMA on the 1D timeframe).
Swallow Team
$BTC: Key Levels to Watch in the MarketKey Levels to Watch in the Market
📉 Bybit hack aftermath:
Destroyed market sentiment
Shook institutional confidence
Killed the national reserve idea (US states considering Bitcoin reserves have now canceled their votes)
🚀 The last push to $99K was all Michael Saylor, spending SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B alone.
Is he insane? Buying at the top of the market?
Painful Consolidation Ahead?
We’re sitting at $91K—a crucial support. If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, expect a freefall to $85K, then possibly $81K (major support zones).
From there, Bitcoin can either:
✅ Bounce into a relief rally
❌ Break down into a full bear market if it falls below Support 3
Tough Times for Crypto
Meme coin frenzy scared off retail investors after massive losses.
Presidents rugging people doesn’t help trust in the industry.
Trump’s tariff policies could push inflation up, forcing the FED to hike interest rates.
Any Good News? Nope.
📉 SPX500 is also dropping.
🔍 TruthLabs warns that if a bear market starts, most exchanges and DeFi protocols won’t survive —they aren’t backed 1:1. This could trigger the worst bear market ever.
(See their warning here: x.com)
Final Thoughts
⚠️ Watch $91K—if it breaks, exit the market and wait. No need to get rekt in this toxic environment.
And pray that Tether has enough liquidity to handle the mass exodus. Put your funds on Binance or another reputable exchange.
🔍 DYOR
Solana - Likely to hold the 50% level at $138Solana at $139
50% level from top 2021 to bottom 2022 is at 138. Most likely this is the bottom area and we should eventually bounce form here. If it takes days or hours is hard to say. But for the bulls this is the area to hold.
For the bears you want to break below and hold below for days.
Im bullish. Total 3 going down on low volume is also a bullish sign for the market. Im buying.
Are you buying?
Next Volatility Period: Around February 24
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Both the upper and lower lines of the Price Cannel indicator have been touched.
The point of interest is in which direction it will diverge after this convergence.
The next volatility period is around February 24 (February 23-25).
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The key is whether it can receive support near 92792.05-94742.35 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
If not, it is expected to re-determine the trend by touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015 following a pattern.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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BTCUSD: These are historically the best conditions to buy.Bitcoin has turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.940, MACD = -1745.600, ADX = 37.260) and neutral on its 1W (RSI = 50.407). These are historically the best conditions to buy. Neutral long term, oversold short term. Last time the 1D RSI was oversold was on the August 5th 2024 low, which was the bottom of Bitcoin's prior consolidation phase. At the time, the market was again inside a Channel Down, and the rebound after the August bottom, immediately targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci. Consequently, our first target is the 0.786 Fib at the top of the Channel Down (TP = 102,000) and after it breaks, we expect a rally similar to October-December 2024.
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Bitcoin broke down- Is 75k next target?Over the past three weeks, Bitcoin has remained virtually unchanged, trading within a range of 95K–97K.
However, yesterday, the price broke below this range, dropping to the 91K confluence support—a key level I’ve highlighted in previous analyses.
After briefly spiking as low as 87K, BTC has rebounded to around 90K, but if we analyze the price action objectively, there are no clear bullish signals.
From a technical perspective, the three-month trading range has broken to the downside, suggesting a continuation of the downward trend.
I anticipate further losses for BTC, and a drop to 75K in the coming months wouldn’t be surprising. 📉
BITCOIN Can it reach 200k by the end of the year?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under a heavy consolidation for the whole month of February bringing discomfort to the market, which thought that an immediate rally in 2025 was in order. Libra's rug pull and last week's ByBit's hack didn't help, quite the contrary, the first calls of a Bear Market have started to resurface again.
This chart on the 1W time-frame however, pays good justice as to the situation BTC is currently facing. First of all, the price has dropped below the Mayer Multiple 1SD above (grey trend-line), which is not encouraging as in the previous Cycle this only happened in mid-May 2021 and in the two Cycles before, didn't happen until the new Bear Cycles started.
This isn't however that alarming as it was natural for Bitcoin to be more aggressive during its first years, with the price so low (and with much greater potential ahead of it) and the market capitalization still in infant stages.
This is why, as you may notice, the Parabolic Channels get less and less aggressive on each passing Cycle, with the current one being the most 'conservative' of all. This explains why last Cycle 'only' hit the MM 2SD above (orange trend-line), while the two Cycles before that easily hit and broke above the MM 3SD above.
Naturally, we may assume the following to parameters for the remainder of the current Bull Cycle:
a) It is not necessary to hit the MM 2SD above again, in fact it is more likely not to do so.
b) Since the last two Cycles both lasted 1064 days (152 weeks) from their Bear Cycle bottom to the Bull Cycle top, we can expect the current one to top around October 06 2025.
Despite those limitations, BTC can hit the $200k mark based on the tranjectory of the current Parabolic Channel, which would still be considerably below the MM 2SD above, by the end of 2025.
Do you think that's realistic to expect or $200000 is too much to expect during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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