Big test for BTCMorning folks,
So, we're almost there - 100.5K area that we've discussed last time. BTC is almost completed the predefined XOP extension.
Why this level is so important. Because it determines the results of H&S daily pattern - whether it will work or fail:
Correspondingly, it tells where BTC will go - either back to the 108K top (or even higher) or starts deeper retracement to ~82-87K area.
Besides, it is important to us because we have to make a decision on short position taking. Here we also could use 1H potential H&S pattern, with 99K area of the right arm and potential level for decision making. This is just to not risk too much.
So, watching for completion of XOP, then 1H H&S - if everything goes as it should, thinking about short entry. If not - then start watching North.
Btc-e
BTC short idea - target $87,000BTC confirmed its break down from the rising channel on the 8hour time frame.
The break down target is between $87,000 and $84,000.
Invalidation of this trading idea is accepting BTC price above $100,000. So check for at least 4 hour candle close an above $100,000 to invalidate this.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Technical Analysis UpdateCurrent Technical Setup:
Rectangle Formation: BTC’s price is consolidating in a continuation pattern, signaling that the prevailing uptrend remains intact.
The longer this consolidation lasts, the more powerful the potential breakout due to the buildup of momentum.
Upside Targets:
A breakout from the rectangle could propel BTC towards $125,000–$130,000, aligned with Fibonacci extensions and prior bullish projections.
This would mark a continuation of Bitcoin's impressive rally while remaining technically structured and sustainable.
Support Levels:
$78,000–$80,000: Critical support zone to maintain the bullish structure.
Higher Low Formation: Reinforces buyers’ confidence and indicates the rally is built on a solid foundation.
Market Implications:
The current consolidation serves to stabilize the market, reducing the likelihood of a sharp correction.
Sustained buying interest at current levels suggests healthy accumulation, further strengthening the bullish narrative.
Outlook:
As long as BTC holds above $78,000–$80,000, the technical picture remains firmly bullish. A breakout above the rectangle’s resistance could trigger a swift move toward six-figure levels, marking the next phase of the uptrend. Patience is key, as extended consolidations often lead to explosive upward moves.
Professional Technical Analysis for Bitcoin + trade planTechnical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)
Resistance Level:
The red trendline indicates a strong resistance around $100,000 to $100,500.
Bitcoin has tested this resistance and is showing signs of a possible reversal.
Support Levels:
Immediate support is around $98,000 (green horizontal line).
Stronger support is in the orange zone between $96,000 and $97,000.
Volume Analysis:
Volume spikes are visible during resistance testing, suggesting selling pressure near $100,000.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: Showing bearish momentum divergence at the peak, indicating potential downward pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Around 67, nearing overbought territory but not yet overextended.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Indicates mild outflows, confirming weakening buying pressure.
Stochastic RSI: Overbought levels, crossing downwards, further supporting a short-term pullback.
Price Action:
The price has been forming higher highs and higher lows, but the rejection from resistance hints at a temporary retracement.
The projection shows a potential dip into the support zone ($96,000–$97,000) before resuming an uptrend.
Trading Plan
Short-Term Trading Plan:
Entry Point:
Wait for Bitcoin to retrace into the orange support zone ($96,000–$97,000).
Place a buy limit order within this zone to capitalize on the anticipated bounce.
Stop-Loss:
Set a stop-loss slightly below $95,500 to mitigate risk in case the price breaks key support.
Take-Profit Targets:
First Target: $100,000 (resistance retest).
Second Target: $103,000 (continuation breakout above resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Maintain a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3 for this trade.
Medium-Term Trading Plan:
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
If Bitcoin breaks above $100,500 with high volume, enter a momentum trade targeting $103,000–$105,000.
Use trailing stop-loss to secure profits in case of reversal.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown
If Bitcoin closes below $96,000 with increasing volume, consider a short position targeting $93,000 as the next major support.
Key Trading Notes:
Monitor market sentiment and news, as fundamental factors can influence Bitcoin’s direction.
Watch for divergences in the indicators (e.g., RSI, VMC Cipher) for early signs of trend reversals.
Adjust position sizing based on risk tolerance and volatility in the crypto market.
Could the Bitcoin reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 101,945.49
1st Support: 91,763.50
1st Resistance: 108,400.14
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bitcoin on critical level Bitcoin is currently testing a critical resistance level, which is a price point where it often encounters significant selling pressure. This level acts as a barrier, and if the price successfully breaks above it, it could signal strong bullish momentum in the market. Such a breakout would likely attract more buyers, leading to notable upward price movements. On the other hand, if the resistance holds, Bitcoin might face a pullback or consolidation. Therefore, it’s essential to monitor the price action closely at this level, as it could indicate the next significant move in Bitcoin's trend.
Bitcoin is on critical level be careful Bitcoin is currently testing a critical resistance level, which is a price point where it often encounters significant selling pressure. This level acts as a barrier, and if the price successfully breaks above it, it could signal strong bullish momentum in the market. Such a breakout would likely attract more buyers, leading to notable upward price movements. On the other hand, if the resistance holds, Bitcoin might face a pullback or consolidation. Therefore, it’s essential to monitor the price action closely at this level, as it could indicate the next significant move in Bitcoin's trend.
Bitcoin Breaking the Horn or Sounding the Trumpet?In my last post on November 28, 2024, I discussed Bitcoin’s rising wedge and wondered if the “horn of doom” would break bearish or bullish. Since then, Bitcoin has surged, flowing its trumpet all the way to $108,388.88.
Fast forward to today, and Bitcoin is once again at a critical juncture. For the past few days, it’s been trying to break through resistance at $99,264.37 the Fibonacci 0.786 level but has failed repeatedly.
The big question is:
👉 Will Bitcoin blast through this key level and flip the trend around?
👉 Or are we looking at a possible retest of the Fibonacci 0.5 level?
This could be the moment where Bitcoin either reignites its bullish momentum or takes a breather before the next big move.
What do you think?
📉 Bearish retest or 📈 bullish breakout?
Drop your comments below and share your thoughts!
Alikze »» PEOPLE |Corrective structure in ascending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Corrective structure in ascending channel
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the daily time frame.
- At present, the supply area is faced with sales pressure.
- According to the downward momentum, it can have a pullback with a broken structure.
💎Possible scenario: Therefore, any attempt to the supply zone, if it does not break it upwards, can continue the downward path and touch the 0.04880 range first.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if the region breaks the supply, it can grow to the next region.
🛑 Resistance range: 0.10986 - 0.12207
🟩 Support range: 0.03662 - 0.04272
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
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Alikze.
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$BTC Cheat Sheet They Don't Want You To See!THE CRYPTO CHEAT SHEET
After seeing this, don't let anyone tell you that trading the market is hard.
All you need is a 4-year mindset.
Sell in November (the latest) post-halving year, ie 2025
Buy in November the year after, ie 2026
It really is that simple.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 👑
Bullish Cases for ENA/USDT#Bull_Insights #014
Coin Ticker : #ENA
Market : Binance
Time Frame : 1 Week.
This report analyzes the bullish indicators for ENA/USDT as depicted in the provided chart, highlighting potential upward trends and investment opportunities based on technical analysis.
Key Observations:
Volume Surge : There's a noticeable increase in trading volume at the end of 2024, which often precedes significant price movements. High volume can indicate strong buying interest, suggesting a potential bullish trend.
Price Consolidation : The price has been consolidating within a tight range, marked by the red dashed lines (approximately $1.2 - $1.4 USDT). Consolidation after a downtrend and rebound can lead to a breakout, often upwards if accompanied by increasing volume.
Support and Resistance: The consolidation area acts as a strong support level. If ENA breaks above the resistance with significant volume, it could signal the start of a new uptrend.
Moving Average Cross: Although not explicitly shown, the price action near what appears to be a moving average specifically on the daily time frame confirms a golden cross (short-term MA crossing above long-term MA), a bullish signal.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) : The RSI, if considered, rebound from the oversold area and currently showing bullish sentiment with a divergence in the formation (not visible in the chart). An RSI moving upwards from an oversold condition or showing bullish divergence could confirm buying momentum.
Pattern Formation : The price action seems to be forming a potential double bottom or and in some particular cases inverse head and shoulders pattern, both of which are bullish reversal patterns. Confirmation of these patterns with a breakout above the neckline or the red rectangle resistance area would be a strong bullish signal.
Fibonacci Retracement: The price is currently near the 1.68 Fibonacci extension level. A bounce from these levels could indicate the resumption of the forming uptrend.
🔼Bullish Cases:
Breakout Scenario: A breakout above the current resistance with high volume could lead to a target price calculated by the height of the consolidation range, potentially pushing ENA towards $1.6 - $1.8 USDT in the short term and will pave a way for the long term ATH move for the coin.
Pattern Confirmation : If the patterns mentioned (double bottom or inverse head and shoulders) are confirmed, this could lead to significant price appreciation, targeting levels beyond the previous highs.
Volume Confirmation: Continued increase in volume alongside price movement will validate the bullish case, suggesting strong market interest and potential for sustained growth.
Fundamental View on the future of MIL:ENA :
▶️ Sector: DeFi
▶️ MC: $3.73B
▶️ FDV: $18.58B
▶️ Unlocked supply: 20.22%
- Ethena is a synthetic dollar protocol built on Ethereum.
- It offers a crypto-native solution for money that doesn't rely on traditional banking infrastructure.
- Additionally, it provides a globally accessible, dollar-denominated savings instrument — the "Internet Bond."
Conclusion:
The current technical setup for ENA/USDT shows several bullish indicators. However, investors should watch for confirmation through volume and price action before making investment decisions. Always consider broader market conditions and news related to ENA that could affect its price independently of technical indicators.
Recommendation:
Monitor ENA/USDT closely for breakout signals above the current resistance. If confirmed with volume, consider entering long positions with stops below the consolidation area for risk management.
Bitcoin: Bullish Until 90K Is Broken.Bitcoin has found support in the low 90K area (read my previous week's analysis). As long as 90K stays intact it is within reason to continue to have bullish expectations. Also wrote in the previous article that overly optimistic expectations are not in line with the developing price structure. Based on the inside bar formation that is developing now (see arrow), price is likely to test the 102,500 area minor resistance. IF it gets there, and what happens after is anyone's GUESS. The idea here is to be prepared for the coming week by coming to the market with a sense of context while at the same time being open to ANYTHING. The market decides what actually happens, the only thing we can do is adjust and follow.
I like to think of everything within a limited range of scenarios. "If this scenario, then that" or "if this other scenario, then that other outcome". For example, IF the current candle closes as a doji and the high is cleared over the next day, price is likely to squeeze into the next resistance area which happens to be in the 102Ks (see thin rectangle). This information can help you to prepare for bullish setups and confirmations on smaller time frames to capture a portion of the 4K point potential. This is where a confirmation tool like my Trade Scanner Po comes into play. You come to the market with an idea and the tool provides an objective confirmation with defined risk and profit objective.
IF the current candle develops into a bearish engulfing instead, that would cancel out the bullish idea and increase the likelihood of price retesting the 90K AREA support zone. A location where long setups should be anticipated UNTIL the level is compromised. Again the market moves first, and then from there we can better anticipate the following movement.
At this point there is not much to do but wait for a confirmation one way or the other. The 100K area may also act as a psychological resistance so taking swing trades or positions with longer time horizons carries a lot more risk compared to signals around the low 90ks.
How you navigate the market depends heavily on the time horizon you choose. Smaller time horizons have smaller associated risk, but a larger amount of noise and false signals. Larger time frames are less noisy and offer larger movements, but the risk is much greater. It is possible to operate on multiple time frames but requires a decent amount of experience.
And while Bitcoin is still generally bullish, that does not mean it will stay that way. It is better to keep an open mind than to get married to an opinion ESPECIALLY if the source of that opinion came from some "expert". For better perspective, keep an eye on the weekly or monthly time frame. If the low of the current monthly candle is compromised, some kind of corrective move is likely to follow, NOT BTC 1.2 million.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
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BTC Neural AI Strategy tuned for ETH crypto showing buy signalHey everyone. Here's a new trade idea potentially for ETH. I created a a new trading strategy script for Bitcoin, and I tuned the parameters for ETH. The original script is called the "BITCOIN BTC Neural AI Strategy." It creates a neural network using RSI, MACD, and EMA which are weighted and undergo a mathematical transformation to result in a single value. Plotting the single value, and adding thresholds gives you the ability to trade. This is the strategy script, but I also have the indicator script which can be used to automate buy and sell signals directly to your phone, email, or your bot.
After adapting the parameters for ETH, I get a winning backtested strategy (see attached image):
Based on the backtest, and the average winning trade, I feel like this could be an area where ETH continues to increase. Since the Buy signal was triggered, ETH already went up but I believe there is more growth especially since the sell signal has not yet been triggered yet, and the Neural Proxy line is showing it is closer to ANOTHER buy signal instead of a sell signal.
I don't want to explain the script and how it works since this is a 'publish idea' and not a 'publish script' post, but I'll link the original script publication, or you can just find it on my profile :)
How to Use The Indicator/strategy
Look at the Neural Proxy line—it’s color-coded and easy to spot.
For traders who only trade long:
When the Neural Proxy line is above 0.5 = buy
When the Neural Proxy line is below -0.5 = sell
For traders who only trade short:
When the Neural Proxy line is above 0.5 = exit the short
When the Neural Proxy line is below -0.5 = enter the short
This strategy (and the pairing indicator script) is able to be used to trade long only, short only, or both long & short to maximize trade opportunities.
$BTC - Quick Market Updates CRYPTOCAP:BTC stalled or consolidating at the high, retesting its immediate resistance at 98.5k
98.5k remains to be the trouble zone that we need to reclaim. If we continue to reject at this level (m_rvwap) , we might test 96.6k (npoc) to 96.1k (poor low)
Would love to see we hold the value area low, but we'll see how the weekly closes!
Doge Showing BUY signal While Using Easy Machine Learning Method
TL:DR
Currently Analyzing DOGE because one of my clients asked me to create a customized indicator and parameter set for him, and these are the results. Long story short, a backtest shows that the custom indicator and parameter set will yield 7000%+ profit compared to buying and holding DOGE which only resulted in 400%+ profits. According to that indicator, DOGE is currently in another buy state. Let me walk you through how I did it, the details and nuances, and next steps. Please let me know if you agree or disagree with me. I have a breakdown of the script and here is the link for it:
www.tradingview.com
Here is my general process for validating whether a script will be successful:
1) Determine performance vs buy and hold
In the world of technical analysis, you must have a benchmark to compare your results to. Depending on your goals, that benchmark can vary. For my goals, I believe it makes sense to compare indicators directly to the buy and hold scenario, but in some scenarios, it makes sense to use other metrics to compare your indicator against (I'll discuss this in a future post.)
When comparing your indicator to a buy and hold, I PREFER to use a 100% order size and this is obviously UNREALISTIC because there aren't many traders who dump 100% of their equity into a single investment. However, because I am doing a comparison test, it is important to max out the indicator since we are comparing it directly to the buy and hold. Similarly, we don't add in any trade costs, which mean I am neglecting the commission, fees, and slippage, which again show this is unrealistic. Again, the reason I do this method is so that I can verify if the indicator is any good or not. A "good" indicator will have consistent results and beat the buy and hold over the course of a long duration with a large number of trades. a "bad" indicator will be inconsistent, which may refer to huge drawdown, or periods of time where it is unsuccessful/unprofitable. The difference between a 'good' indicator and a 'bad' indicator in this context is that a 'good' indicator will be able to absorb some of the trade costs (mentioned earlier) whereas the 'bad' indicator can't be fixed. Trade costs, especially commission and fees, are highly dependent on number of trades. So if a 'good' indicator performs well on a 1 minute chart against the buy and hold, but it starts to fail when trade costs are accounted for, then you can still adjust the indicator or timeframe so that you perform less trades, which will reduce the trade costs, but still maintain the profits. Again, a 'bad' indicator is dead in the water if it can't outperform buy and hold in the first place.
In this example, we have DOGE performing at +400% profits. In the same time period, this strategy would have yielded 7000%+ profits in the same time period. Therefore, these results show that the customized parameter set and indicator work well, and should be considered as a 'good' indicator to use for DOGE. The next step is to add in trade costs, and modify the timeframe IF NECESSARY. Most likely, from my experience, a strategy that yields 7000%+ profits won't suffer significantly from trade costs, and will still be SIGNIFICANTLY better than the 400% DOGE buy and hold scenario, which ultimately leaves my client and I with what he requested: a solid and profitable strategy that he can use to alert him when to buy and when to sell DOGE.
🔔If you'd like me to come up with a custom indicator and parameter set for whatever you trade, please send me a message and I'll work on it ASAP and make a post about it!
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Cup & Handle Pattern has yet to see its full potential.Bitcoin has been forming a massive cup-and-handle pattern, which I pointed out a long before it was common knowledge. Even with the new all-time highs it has already set, broken, and set again, it has still yet to realize its full potential.
Many are just now starting to realize that the bull run we are currently experiencing isn't like previous bull run cycles and is operating in a way that's unlike anything we've seen before. 'Altcoin season' may very well end up becoming a permanent Bitcoin season if this trend continues.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
HIVE ANALYSIS (UPDATE)📊 #HIVE Analysis : Update
✅As we said earlier, #HIVE performed same. Around 96% move done in #HIVE. There was a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a breakout🧐
Current we can see a little retest and then we could target for resistance 2
👀Current Price: $0.5932
🚀 Target Price: $0.7130
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #HIVE price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#HIVE #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
What’s Your Bullish Price Target for ETH?
Ethereum has been trailing behind some of the alts in the top 100 and even BTC when it comes to parabolic runs. However, I’ve been analyzing the charts, and things are starting to look VERY interesting. Here’s my take:
- On the **3-day chart**, I see a strong **resistance level around $3,830**.
- Using a **Fibonacci extension**, the **1.6 level targets just over $5,000**—a number that feels astronomical but achievable in a bullish scenario. 📈
- The **daily MACD** is screaming **LONG**, indicating potential upward momentum.
### **Positive ETH Data to Back It Up**
Ethereum's fundamentals are stronger than ever:
1. **Total Value Locked (TVL):** Ethereum continues to dominate DeFi, holding **58%+ of all DeFi TVL** at ~$24B.
2. **24H Trading Volume:** Ethereum sees an average of **$6-8B traded daily**, showing its massive liquidity and adoption.
3. **Burn Mechanism:** Since the London Hard Fork (EIP-1559), over **3.9M ETH (~$6.3B)** has been burned, contributing to its deflationary narrative.
4. **Staked ETH:** With **32M ETH staked**, nearly **26% of the supply** is locked up, reducing selling pressure.
### **What's Driving the Bullish Sentiment?**
Recent activity in the **layer-2 ecosystems** is fueling optimism:
- **Optimism (OP)** and **Arbitrum (ARB):** Both L2s have seen substantial adoption, with millions of dollars in daily transactions and climbing TVL.
- **Lido Finance (LDO):** The largest liquid staking protocol continues to thrive, with **~30% of all staked ETH** on its platform.
These projects are growing **on Ethereum**, reinforcing the network’s pivotal role in the crypto ecosystem.
---
What’s your price target for ETH in a bull run? Do you see $5,000 as achievable, or do you have even higher targets in mind? Let's discuss!
AVAX's current situation✅ The AVAX currency has created a trading range of $33.5 to $42 on the four-hour timeframe, and has reacted to the top and bottom of this range several times.
✅ It is currently trying to break the $42 ceiling, and by stabilizing above this level in the short term, it can move towards the following goals:
48.1, 55.8, 65.2
✅ Minor support for AWAX on the four-hour timeframe is at 38.96 👌
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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