Why is BTC losing volume?!After establishing a new higher high on the rally, we have run into an old bearish zone from April 2nd and losing gas. This is about the end of this bullish cycle is seems and we are getting hourly chart candle indications of this.
As you see there is a small bit to go before we can establish ourselves back above the bearish fair value gap (balance).
Apparently this bearish FVG was still chock full of pending shorts. We are getting multiple failures to displace above highs I was triggered short.
As we close below the highest bullish candle, we should see a mass closing of longs from its low. First target is the inefficient range below (blue) around 84K
I believe we must go back to around the50% Fib retracement range as always and correct all imbalances and collect all lows within that range. Therefore I am short after the 11p candle pushed up out of the 10p candle but failed to close above.
As always I use failure displacement as a cue to look for a good LTF entry 🫡
4H Review shows massive bearish imbalance:
Btc-e
BTC REBOUND? 〉$140,000 NEXTAs illustrated, I'm visualizing what the next impulsive wave could look like.
Price has broken out of a major daily trend line.
It makes sense for the week to have started trading lower to find it's low and potentially bounce with strength sometime this coming up week and into the next.
The next pivot area is between the $82,000 - $80,000 range based on previous week's lows and daily low levels.
An interesting buy opportunity is forming and the potential entry is illustrated as the "pivot area" marked in yellow.
Then we have a major pivot range near the $100,000 psychological price.
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This could be a price where some short term traders get out "in case it's just a pull back before a collapse" type of decision.
We can't ignore how much price consolidated between 100,000 and 96,000; and so that is the next stepping stone for BTC before breaking to ATH's of at least $120,000.
My personal target is set at the 161.8% extension level as illustrated.
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GOOD LUCK!
Persa
BITCOIN - Price can correct and then bounce up from pennantHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price moved inside a rising channel, holding a bullish structure and making higher local lows.
Then, BTC exited from the channel and dropped to the $76600 support area, forming a new local bottom range.
After this, the price bounced strongly and started to form a pennant pattern with gradual pressure to the top.
Recently, it reached the resistance level at $82200 and tested the $83100 zone, but it has not made a breakout yet.
Now, BTC trades inside a pennant pattern and holds close to upper resistance without losing upward momentum.
In my mind, Bitcoin can break the resistance and reach the $86700 target as the next leg in its bullish direction.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) - A Deep Dive Trading GuideIntroduction
Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) are an advanced price action concept rooted in Smart Money theory. Unlike standard Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), IFVGs consider the idea of price revisiting inefficiencies from an inverse perspective. When price "respects" a previously violated gap from the opposite side, it creates a powerful confluence for entries or exits.
This guide will cover:
- What an IFVG is
- How it differs from traditional FVGs
- Market context for IFVG setups
- How to trade them effectively
- Real chart examples for clarity
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What is an IFVG?
An Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when price trades through a traditional Fair Value Gap and later returns to that area, but instead of continuing in the original direction, it uses the gap as a support or resistance from the other side.
Standard FVG vs. IFVG:
- FVG: Price creates a gap (imbalance), and we expect a return to the gap for mitigation.
- IFVG: Price violates the FVG, but instead of invalidation, it respects it from the other side.
Example Logic: A bullish FVG is formed -> price trades through it -> later, price revisits the FVG from below and uses it as resistance.
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Structure and Market Context
Understanding structure is key when trading IFVGs. Price must break structure convincingly through a Fair Value Gap. The gap then acts as an inversion zone for future reactions.
Ideal Market Conditions for IFVGs:
1. Market is trending or has recently had a strong impulsive move.
2. A Fair Value Gap is created and violated with displacement .
3. Price retraces back to the FVG from the opposite side .
4. The gap holds as support/resistance, indicating smart money has respected the zone.
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Types of IFVGs
1. Bullish IFVG: Price trades up through a bearish FVG and later uses it as support.
2. Bearish IFVG: Price trades down through a bullish FVG and later uses it as resistance.
Note: The best IFVGs are often aligned with Order Blocks, liquidity levels, or SMT divergences.
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How to Trade IFVGs
1. Identify a clear Fair Value Gap in a trending market.
2. Wait for price to break through the FVG with momentum .
3. Mark the original FVG zone on your chart.
4. Monitor for price to revisit the zone from the other side.
5. Look for reaction + market structure shift on lower timeframes.
6. Enter trade with a clear stop loss just beyond the IFVG.
Entry Confluences:
- SMT divergence
- Order Block inside or near the IFVG
- Breaker Blocks
- Time of day (e.g., NY open)
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Refined Entries & Risk Management
Once the IFVG is identified and price begins to react, refine entries using:
- Lower timeframe market structure shift
- Liquidity sweeps just before tapping the zone
- Candle closures showing rejection
Risk Management Tips:
- Set stop loss just beyond the IFVG opposite wick
- Use partials at 1:2 RR and scale out based on structure
- Don’t chase missed entries—wait for clean setups
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Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Confusing IFVG with invalidated FVGs
- Trading them in low volume or choppy conditions
- Ignoring market context or structure shifts
- Blindly entering on first touch without confirmation
Tip: Let price prove the level—wait for reaction, not prediction.
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Final Thoughts
IFVGs are an advanced but powerful tool when used with precision. They highlight how Smart Money uses inefficiencies in both directions, and when combined with other concepts, they can form sniper-like entries.
Practice finding IFVGs on historical charts. Combine them with SMT divergences, OBs, and market structure, and soon you’ll start seeing the market through Smart Money eyes.
Happy Trading!
What now BTC?This fibonacchi spiral i drew on #bitcoin chart based on nikkei crash, says many things. Look, how this fib. spiral played out perfectly on #btcusd .Spiral revels the confirmation of grand correction of summer 2024, the top of the elections rally in Jan 2025 and price declinations to present. Now, #btc price is about to decide the the path. An incoming trend reversal or correction continuation to 66K?
Well.. There are some positive and negative facts on market. To think positive, 74K may be the tariff capitulation played in, markets eager to normalize, gold top may be in etc. A bullish divergence has formed in lower time frame CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart.
So, BTC must crush 91K with permanent daily and weekly closes. Losing 73K will deepen the correction.
Not financial advice.
BTC – Restabilization after this massive drop?Market Context:
BTC has broken below a key support level, indicating potential for continued downside. Price is currently retracing after a sharp sell-off, but the overall structure remains bearish unless significant levels are reclaimed.
Technical Overview:
- The previous support zone has been broken, turning it into potential resistance.
- Price is now entering a lower Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could serve as a reaction zone.
- A larger FVG higher up, aligning with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, presents a more significant area to watch for a possible reversal.
Scenario:
Price may retrace into the lower FVG and continue pushing up toward the premium FVG zone. This area coincides with the 0.618–0.65 Fib levels, where a shift in momentum or bearish confirmation could trigger a move lower.
Key Points:
- A potential rejection could occur from the premium FVG zone.
- If an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) forms in that area, it would support a short setup.
- Alternatively, if price prints a lower low before reaching the upper FVG, that would also open up short opportunities.
- Patience is key—wait for structure to align or a momentum shift before considering entries.
Outlook:
The bias remains bearish unless the structure is reclaimed decisively. Current price action suggests the retracement is corrective, and the next impulse may resume the downtrend once premium levels are met.
Bitcoin in a Descending ChannelHello guys!
BTC is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows since mid-March.
Descending Channel: The upper and lower boundaries have acted as reliable resistance and support zones.
Double Bottom Pattern: Price action recently formed a double bottom near the $75,000 zone (marked "HUNT2"), which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
Breakout Target: The neckline breakout from the double bottom targets the $85,000–86,000 zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel — a confluence resistance.
Fakeouts (HUNT1 & HUNT2): These "hunt" zones likely represent liquidity grabs or stop-loss sweeps, indicating strong institutional manipulation before major moves.
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🔮 What's Next?
🎯 Bullish Scenario: After touching the lower level of the neckline, it goes to touch the top line of the channel and touches the target of the pattern.
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⚠️ Bearish Scenario: Rejection from the $85K zone could send BTC back down toward FWB:73K –$ 74 K. Further downside could bring the $69K–$70K zone into focus.
The last 4 previous Stockmarket Fear spikes were great buys...for Bitcoin, allowing investors to enhance their long-term holdings.
Purchasing risk assets when the #VIX exceeds 50 and over 20% of stocks fall below their 200-day moving average has consistently yielded positive returns, with a success rate of one hundred percent when evaluated one week, one month, and three months later.
This particular scenario has only happened 11 times in the history of the S&P 500, and the reading from Monday, April 7th, marked one of those rare instances.
#BTFD
BTC - has she bottomed? Welp, this is the 1st structural signs of life I have seen in BTC in a long time. There is almost zero chance she can go make a new low any time soon. At worst she goes sideways. At best she works through this blue down channel, and takes a solid rally. Either way. Shorts should be closing. And long positions should be opened. Breaks over $85K become Uber bullish. But we are also right now Uber bullish short term.
BITCOIN SENTIMENTPrice recently broke structure to the upside but is now showing signs of a pullback. I’m expecting a drop toward the support zone, which is highlighted with the white marker. This area aligns with a volume cluster and previous structure, making it a strong candidate for a bullish reaction.
Higher timeframe sentiment remains bullish, so I’ll be watching this level for a potential bounce and continuation to the upside. If this zone fails, deeper support levels come into play.
Bitcoin BTCUSDT – 4H Technical Analysis
Bitcoin is currently approaching a key downtrend resistance line that has been respected several times since early February. The price action suggests a potential rejection from this level, which could lead to a move toward the lower boundary of the broader descending channel.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the resistance holds, we may see a continuation of the downtrend with possible targets near the $71K– FWB:73K region.
🔹 Bullish Invalidator: A confirmed breakout above the trendline would invalidate the bearish setup and could signal a shift in market structure.
⚠️ Watch price action closely around this level for potential rejection or breakout confirmation.
BTC — Bulls in Full Control | Next Stop $87K+?Bitcoin just smashed through the resistance around $84,300, and the bullish momentum is 🔥
Now we’re heading straight into the next key zone at $87,000–$88,765, which lines up perfectly with previous supply.
If bulls keep this pace — a clean push toward 87K looks very real in the coming sessions.
Entry: $84,500 – $85,500
TP: $86,800 – $87,000
SL: $83,500
More thoughts in my profile @93balaclava
Personally I trade on a platform that offers low fees and strong execution. DM me if you're interested.
BITCOIN → Testing trend resistance. Will there be a breakout?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is approaching trend resistance and most likely it may test the liquidity zone and risk zone for sellers (liquidity hunt ?), but does the market have the potential to support the upside?
Bitcoin is strengthening and channel resistance may not stop this growth. Based on the nature of price movement (smooth, gradual, consolidating), bitcoin may test liquidity 84.7K - 88.8K. But it is too early to talk about further growth
On W1, the price is in a trading range (consolidation) between the previously broken global consolidation support and the current support. Short bodies, long shadows speak about consolidation. Also worth noting are the relatively long tails to the downside and the weak market reaction...
Fundamentally, the cryptocurrency market (community as a whole) for the past week did not get anything positive as from the very beginning of this year, the growth can be attributed to the 90-day technical break by Trump, but there are a number of nuances:
- the fire has not yet been put out
- just because they gave a 90-day break doesn't mean everything is fine. It's just a head start for the U.S. to prepare for the situation more thoroughly
- The escalating conflict between the U.S. and China has investors looking for less risky assets like gold. Cryptocurrencies are definitely not on that list.
- Rumors of a US interest rate cut are likely to provide support as well.
Resistance levels: 84700, 88800
Support levels: 78200, 73-74К, 66500
I would not hurry with conclusions about further growth. Growth could be considered if bitcoin overcomes 88800 and consolidates above this zone. But a sharp approach or a false breakout of one of the mentioned liquidity zones may provoke a reversal and fall.
Regards R. Linda!
BTC - breakout or bull trap in progress?Yesterday, Bitcoin broke out of the descending trendline it had been respecting for several days, forming a clear double bottom in the process — a classic reversal pattern suggesting bullish intent. Since then, price action has shifted into a consolidation phase, hovering just beneath a key liquidity zone filled with stop-loss orders from prior short positions.
This area aligns closely with the previous 4H lower high, above which lies a fair value gap (FVG) that hasn't yet been fully filled. A move into this region seems likely, especially with liquidity resting above the prior high. We could see BTC targeting a partial fill — around the 50% mark — of that 4H FVG before any significant reaction occurs.
On the way up, BTC also created another 4H FVG. It’s likely that price could revisit and partially fill this imbalance before continuing its move higher. This zone could serve as an ideal retracement area for bulls to re-enter, especially if the market seeks to rebalance before making a stronger push.
Looking ahead, the $85.5K level stands out as a highly probable target. It marks a key psychological and technical resistance zone and is a magnet for liquidity. With momentum building and the current structure leaning bullish in the short term, a sweep of that level in the coming days is entirely plausible.
However, it's important to zoom out. Despite this bullish momentum, the broader market structure remains bearish. Unless BTC breaks above and holds above this larger structure convincingly, rallies are more likely to be liquidity grabs rather than true trend reversals. Once $85.5K is tagged, there's a real possibility of a sharp rejection — potentially sending price back toward local lows or even printing new ones.
Bitcoin update 10.04.2025 - BTC - 98k in May🔥 The Markets Are on Fire — and We Know Who Lit the Match.
The last few weeks have been pure chaos.
Markets are crashing, confidence is shaking, and crypto is confused.
And let’s not pretend we don’t know who’s behind it.
Donald Trump.
Even a Korean guy selling panda souvenirs on the street told me:
“This Trump is ruining everything.”
And he’s not wrong.
Billions wiped. Positions wrecked.
But here’s the thing — this isn’t random. This is tactical drama.
Trump sees himself as a master negotiator, and here’s how he plays the game:
🎭 The Trump Cycle (Get Ready for the Loop)
Pressure — tariffs, chaos, media hysteria. We’ve seen it.
Relaxation — 90-day delays, fake calm.
Talks — and boom, “positive developments.”
Good News —
• “Bitcoin added to U.S. reserves.” in MAY?
• “Americans to receive new stimulus.”
• “China’s our friend again!”
Charm & Flirt Mode — improving global relations, smiling at cameras.
More good news — stock markets fly, crypto rips and everyone screams, “New bull run!”
And then?
💥 Back to pressure.
📆 September 2025 is the punchline.
That's when this cycle hits the weaker economies like a freight train:
✅ Broken supply chains
✅ Collapsing currencies
✅ Defaults
✅ And where there’s chaos — there’s war. Expect escalation in fragile regions like the Middle East.
✅ Crude oil falling to 40$
Markets will top on pure euphoria.
The reversal begins when everyone’s drunk on hopium and “good news”.
💼 My Plan? Ruthlessly Simple:
🔹 May I will participate in the first Offline/Online International Crypto Trading Cup 2025 by WhiteBIT
🔹Jun-August -Euphoria in the market
🔹 September - Take profits
🔹 Either short — or sip something cold on a quiet beach. But we will see
We’ve officially entered the Turbulence Zone.
The following 10 years will be insane — for those who adapt, evolve, ride the trends, and harness AI and tech.
If not?
You get left behind.
It’s not the strongest who survive — it’s the fastest to adapt.
Best regards, EXCAVO
BTC - Will it be able to close above 86k?As long as BTC holds above $84,000 (the current VAH/POC cluster), we may see continuation toward $86,300–$87,500 where previous inefficiencies and liquidity lie. A failure to hold $84,000 may trigger a retracement back to $82,600–$81,800 zone where buyers could defend again. Short-term bias remains bullish, but volume tapering suggests the move could slow down soon unless new buyers step in with momentum.
this is what the Profile says, but my doodle is prediciting this, offcourse with a news! Drawn is two outcomes to get settled!
Bitcoin’s 80-Day Correction Ending!?(Signs)Today, I want to share with you a mid-term analysis of Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), I hope it will be useful for you.
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin started to fall last week due to the tariffs that Donald Trump imposed on countries around the world. In general, since last week, Bitcoin has become more correlated with US stock market indices (such as FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) than before.
But yesterday, Donald Trump postponed the implementation of tariffs for 90 days , except for China , which caused the US stock market indices to grow rapidly, and Bitcoin did not miss out on this growth. So, for the next 90 days , we should wait for news of bilateral tariffs between China and the US , which is likely to make an agreement between the two countries. What do you think!?
Also, just minutes ago, key U.S. inflation data was released — and it came in softer than expected.
The CPI m/m dropped to -0.1%, and Core CPI m/m slowed to 0.1% , both missing forecasts. This drop in inflation significantly reduces immediate pressure on the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance . With inflation cooling off, the market is now pricing in a more dovish Fed , which has historically been a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin .
Also, in the last 24 hours , another positive news came for Bitcoin: " China and Russia are using Bitcoin to settle energy trades ," which could be effective in increasing the price of Bitcoin .
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Now, based on the above explanation, let's focus on analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 12-hour time frame .
Bitcoin started to rise quickly after touching the Heavy Support zone($73,780-$59,000) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and 50_SMA(Weekly) . It seems that the Important Uptrend line breakout has NOT been successfully completed. One sign of a return could be the formation of a Morningstar Candlestick Pattern , which has also been accompanied by good volume .
Bitcoin has been moving in a descending channel for the past 80 days since its All-Time High(ATH=$109,588) , so a break of the upper line of this descending channel could be a significant sign of a rebound for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is trying to break the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) . The price that is important for Bitcoin right now is $84,000 ; if Bitcoin can close a candle on the 4-hour time frame above the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) and $84,000 , we can hope for a breakout of the descending channel.
In terms of the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have been in a Double Three Correction(WXY) for the past 80 days. A break of the descending channel could reconfirm the end of this correction.
I expect Bitcoin to fill the CME Gap($85,940-$85,240) after breaking the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) in the first step and make the first attack on 50_SMA(Daily) . If the descending channel breaks, the second target could be around $88,000 , where there is an important Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($89,319-$88,375) .
Also, if Bitcoin moves in a range between $90,000 and $85,000 , we can expect an Altseason , given the conditions of BTC.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ). What do you think?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $77,200, we should expect further declines.
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,000-$88,500), we should expect a new All-Time High(ATH).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 12-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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