$BTC at the start of the next parabolic run!Bitcoin's parabolic run in 2017 continued on MA11 and with the breaking of the middle band of the mass index indicator, the second parabolic run continued and now we are at the same stage.
Btc-e
DOGE RUN IS OVER! TAKE PROFITS OR HOLD YOUR BAGS TILL 2025!Its clear that the doge run is pretty much over. DOGE is headed back down to $.05 and possibly lower over the next few years to maybe below 1 cent, till the next potential crypto run around 2025. These little pumps from Elon and friends is all just a joke so they can empty their bags and have the liquidity to do it while everyone else is buying in to these hypes. I said this weeks ago if you look at my other chart that this thing needs years to consolidate and correct. It outpaced the market in its run and went straight up and in this market anything that goes straight up comes straight down. Also there is no use case and DOGE is not being used, this is all a hype run and a get rich quick pump and dump. Once the rest of the market starts the next run up DOGE may have a bounce but only in dollar value as everything is pegged to Bitcoin but its BTC/DOGE ration will fall. If you believe in the tech then hold your bags and stop looking at the price. If you are just trying to make some money then this may be the time to get out and take profits if you haven't already or cut your losses if you bought in at the top. Good Luck.
If you have any questions or just appreciate this idea then leave me a comment. Follow me for frequent updates as well and if you have a chart you would like me to look at then let me know. Thank you all and good luck.
NOT FINANCIAL OR TRADING ADVICE JUST MY OPINION.
LUNC Luna Classic Is About To DieA lot of these tokens in the next couple years are going to bleed out to zero. With the new Bitcoin ETFs and big money in the space they arent buying Luna, or BNB, or name your coin. They are buying what regulators have allowed them to buy. So far thats only Bitcoin,Ethereum, Litecoin, and Bitcoin Cash. This next bullrun will be utility, and regulatory based for the big players.
People holding these tokens like LUNC are going to eventually dump. Luna will never go to even a penny never mind a dollar. Its looking extremely bearish to me. Maybe one more dead cat bounce before Luna falls into the shadow realms. LUNA wont be the only one suffering this fate either. This next bullrun and after is going to delete most of the crap out there. You'll always have the casino where people play hot potato with the meme coins that come out every minute of the day. Real money is not going into this stuff though. Good luck and I wish you all the best, hate to see LUNA get rugged a second time, that would be some serious salt in the wounds. Not financial advice.
Descending triangle and Stoch RSI pointed straight down.
BTC shows signs of Downward trend with truncated wave5Bitcoins price uptrend from its recent lows appears to be out of gas. This can be shown using the elliot wave theory on the recent impulse wave where BTC price has produced a truncated wave 5
A truncated fifth wave signals exhaustion in the prevailing trend and warns of an imminent reversal. This pattern demonstrates that buyers (in an uptrend) or sellers (in a downtrend) lack conviction to push prices to new extremes. Truncations precede significant corrections or reversals.
The strength of Wave B (reaching higher than the truncated Wave 5) suggests significant countertrend momentum. This often occurs in flat corrections.
Typically, C waves extend to specific Fibonacci levels:
100% of A wave - This would target approximately $78,500
1.618 of A wave - (common C wave extension) - This would target around $76,000-$77,000
2.618 × A wave - (extended C wave) - This could reach as low as $73,000-$74,000
This seems to coincide with what I've been saying these past 3 months that the 74k level needs to be reached and the liquidity that price wants to take advantage of will need to be confronted before BTC will be able to reach this market cycles ATH.
BTC TRIANGLE CHART PATTERN IN 15-MHello Guys Here Is Chart Of BTCUSDT in 15-M AT
Entry Level: SELL Around 84500
Resistance: The upper trendline of the Triangle 84800
Support: Around below our Target 82000
Target Will Be : 82600
If BTC breaks below this level, the Triangle pattern and,And then it went to more further downside could.
EURUSD UPDATED Strategic Outlook 2025: 0.9000 PT BEARS 📉 **EUR/USD Weekly Outlook Update**
🔹 **Downtrend Intact**: The **EUR/USD** downtrend has been well-defined since **2009**, and a recent **strong rejection** after a period of distribution confirms bearish momentum.
🔹 **Technical Target 🎯**:
- **Short-term Outlook**: EUR/USD is set to hit **0.95** by **summer 2025**.
- **Year-End Projection**: Expected to end **2025 at 0.9000**.
- **Upside Cap**: Limited to **1.13** at most in 2025.
🔹 **Key Reasons for Further Decline** 📉:
- **Strong USD (DXY Strength) 💪**
- **Firm U.S. Political Leadership 🇺🇸** vs. **Weak EU Leadership 🇪🇺**
- **Fragile Eurozone Economy 🏦**
## 📊 **Why the Eurozone is Set for Further Decline**
🔻 **Slow Economic Growth ⏳**
- The **Eurozone's economy** is growing at a sluggish pace compared to other regions.
- **Weak domestic demand**, **low productivity growth**, and **high export dependency** on slower-growing markets (e.g., China 🇨🇳) weigh on investor confidence and euro demand.
🔻 **Demographic Challenges 👴📉**
- Aging populations in **Germany, Italy, and Spain** reduce the labor force.
- Higher pressure on **social services & pension systems** slows long-term growth potential.
🔻 **High Energy Prices & Inflation 🔥📊**
- The **energy crisis** (exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine war 🇷🇺🇺🇦) raises business costs.
- **Inflation remains high**, limiting the **ECB’s ability** to stimulate growth without worsening price pressures.
🔻 **Geopolitical Tensions & Economic Risks ⚠️🌍**
- The **Ukraine war & energy disruptions** hit Europe harder than other regions.
- **Reliance on Russian energy** led to severe **supply shocks**, further weakening the eurozone economy.
🔻 **Eurozone Structural Issues 🏗️❌**
- Economic **imbalances between member states** (Germany & France strong, Italy & Greece weak).
- **Common monetary policy** limits individual governments’ ability to react to crises.
- **High debt burdens** in weaker economies drag down overall performance.
🔻 **Tight Fiscal Policies 💰🚫**
- **EU fiscal rules** restrict deficit spending, limiting government stimulus efforts.
- **Lack of fiscal unity** prevents stronger coordinated responses to economic downturns.
📌 **Bottom Line for EUR/USD Traders**
✅ The **downtrend remains dominant** 📉.
✅ **Technical & fundamental** factors favor a **weaker euro**.
✅ Expect further declines **toward 0.95 by summer & 0.90 by year-end**.
✅ Limited upside beyond **1.05** in 2025.
🚀 **Stay updated & trade wisely!** 💹
Weekly Market Analysis - 16th March 2025 (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC)This is weekly market analysis of a few pairs (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC).
I haven't done one of these in a while, but here it is!
I would have done more pairs but the video was already 30 minutes long and I went into more teaching rather than pure analysis.
I hope you found it insightful to your own trading, because what I teach is the truth of the market regardless of whatever specific strategy you use for trading.
Anything can make money in the markets, but of course, risk management and discipline rule all.
- R2F Trading
Trading opportunity for BTCUSDT BitcoinBased on technical factors there is a Buy position in :
📊 BTCUSDT
🔵 Buy Now
🪫Stop loss 82000.00
🔋Target 89900.00
📏 R/R 2,4
💸RISK : 1%
We hope it is profitable for you ❤️
Please support our activity with your likes👍 and comments📝
Bitcoin Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Here's My Trading Plan! Analyzing BTC on the higher timeframe, we observe a clear structural shift in the prevailing trend 📊. Dropping down to the 4-hour chart, there is a decisive bullish break 📈, leaving behind an imbalance following the initial move—an area that could serve as a retracement target 🎯. Notably, this imbalance aligns with a Fibonacci retracement into equilibrium 📐, adding confluence to the setup.
I am considering a long position 💰, but only if the key conditions outlined in the video materialize ✅. If those conditions fail to align, I will discard this trade idea ❌.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
$BTC MACD on weekly show a bearish trend. Read.You can see on the chart that in May 2024 I issued a warning, and look at what happened over the next five months.
The same pattern is repeating now, and there’s a high probability we’ll see a similar result.
Back in May 2024, the usual crowd—MMCrypto, That Martini Guy, Ash, Crypto Rover, etc.—were all saying things like, “We’re going to 110k,” “To the moon,” or “A huge bullish breakout is coming.”
What did we actually get? Five months of consolidation and an -80% drop for most altcoins.
So consider this a warning. The MACD on the weekly chart is a reliable indicator of the trend. Exchanges aren’t going to go against the trend. Even if there’s a ton of liquidity at 107k, they won’t risk buying billions worth of Bitcoin just to get wrecked by the prevailing trend and be forced to sell at a lower price than they purchased.
Those pointing to the liquidity map at 107k are missing the point. Exchanges take the easier path. Going from 97k to 107k is plausible in an uptrend, but in a downtrend? No chance.
What to Expect Now?
Since this chart is on the weekly timeframe, there will be daily bounces. Some altcoins may see 10-20% gains if you time the bottom and top correctly.
However, for holders, this is not a good time to hold.
Is Invalidation Possible?
Yes, but consider this: they’ve tried to break the trend five times and failed. The chance of a reversal now is about 1 in 9. It’s possible, but unlikely.
Key Support Levels
Support levels to watch are 95k, 91k, 85k, and 70k. While we might not drop as low as 70k, it’s better to be prepared.
What’s Next?
By May 2025, we’ll likely reach the end of this bearish trend, followed by a one-month altseason and a big BTC pump. However, starting in July 2025, we’re likely to face another five months of bearish consolidation.
The introduction of ETFs has shifted the crypto cycle into a new paradigm of five months of consolidation followed by one month of pumping.
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
BTC BOOM to 87.1k!SOOO I am back and i was so busy with so many things, DAANG! OKAy so BTC nPoC 86.5k and it always will unleash the heath and break it off to the stiuplated position as mentioned below, Look for the arrows and plan accordingly!
BTC & GOLD (XAU) CorrelationWith this idea I am not trying to prove anything.
Recently I bumped into the idea about Bitcoin and Precious metals correlation and BTC/GOLD looks interesting.
Topic is open for discussions, what you think ? Do we still have a room for further price surge in terms of Bitcoin ?
Please share your ideas in comments.
Good Luck everyone on this choppy market.
Bitcoin Teeters on $80K Edge: Will It Hold or Fold?Bitcoin is currently priced at $81,145, reflecting a volatile recovery after dipping to $78,000 recently. This movement comes amid a broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with the total market cap dropping 4.4% in the last 24 hours, dragging down major altcoins and fueling a cautious mood among traders. The lack of strong bullish momentum suggests Bitcoin may struggle to push higher unless market sentiment shifts significantly.
Technical Indicators and Key Levels
Technically, Bitcoin is hovering near a pivotal support at $80,000, a level with both psychological and historical significance. The price is trading below the 20-period moving average of around $81,500, signaling a short-term bearish tilt. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45 shows neutral momentum, with no immediate signs of exhaustion in either direction. Resistance looms at $82,000, a barrier that previously halted upward moves. A decisive move above this level could spark optimism, but failure to defend $80,000 risks further declines.
Potential Scenarios and Trading Considerations
Two scenarios dominate the 1-hour chart. A hold above $80,000, followed by a break past the 20-period moving average, could pave the way for a push to $82,000, especially if volume picks up to validate the move. On the flip side, a drop below $80,000 might accelerate selling, targeting $78,000 or even $75,000, particularly if volume surges on the downside. Given the current volatility, traders should prioritize tight stop-losses and avoid excessive leverage to manage risks effectively.
Broader Context and Final Tips
Despite short-term uncertainty, Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend remains intact, as historical patterns suggest resilience over time. However, external triggers, like regulatory updates or economic data such as upcoming US inflation figures, could sway the market in either direction. Traders should monitor volume closely for confirmation of any breakout or breakdown and focus on how Bitcoin reacts at $80,000 support and $82,000 resistance. Staying disciplined, keeping risk in check, and adapting to real-time developments will be critical in this setup.
Note: Volume spikes are your cue, watch them to confirm any significant price action.
ROAD TO 130K !!!Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to 130k . it might happen.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Litecoin LTCUSD Completing Final Leg Down Before LaunchAs you can see Litecoin is forming a very similar pattern. I think the rest of March will be corrective. Litecoin will likely come down and bounce off the trend line which coincidental also is a major support level. April will be slightly bullish, May and June will be majorly bullish which I believe Bitcoin will also fly up to 140k as well in this time. I believe Litecoin will outperform the majority of the market. Major hyperinflation will begin this summer which will be very positive for crypto. Many cryptos will die in this hyperinflation period. Only some will survive. Dollar is going to crash. Get ready for a wild ride into 2026. People calling for a bear market are ill informed and will kick themselves for selling. This is the beginning of the biggest run in some cryptos, we've ever seen. Buckle up. Good luck. Not financial advice.
BITCOIN - Price can reach resistance line of wedge and then dropHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to decline inside falling channel, where it aat once boucned from support line and rose to resistance line.
Then it continued to fall and reached $91300 level, broke it soon, and continued to decline next.
Price exited from channel and started to trades inside wedge, where it at once made upward impulse to $91300 level.
After this, price some time traded near $91300 level and then in a short time declined to support area.
But soon, BTC bounced from this area and recently it started to grow from $80000 support level.
In my mind, Bitcoin can rise to resistance line and then drop to $77850 support line of wedge pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?! (Local View)BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?! (Local View)
Let's take a look at local movements on INDEX:BTCUSD .
Since last post Bitcoin moved in our favor, reached 38,500$.
We have a strong bounce here, which is heading towards upper 40s as long as daily close was above big red candle.
There is a probability, that Bitcoin is going to draw lower high which can be anywhere from 38.2 to 61.8 (Golden Pocket) Fib. In confluence we have several magnets at this range.
Possible stop losses around 43,500$
Fair Value Gap around 44,500$. Possible liquidations Across top 3 exchanges (Binance, OKX, Bybit) totaling around 4.0 Bln. USD. (This number covers last 30 Days Data)
Hence we should take into consideration, that huge amount of liquidity is sitting down in the previous reaccumulation zone. (Suggesting to check out Liquidity Heatmap . Putting link because I am not able to add screenshot.)
- - - - - - - - -
Next I want to mention one weird thread I bumped into on Twitter.
It’s about HTX (ex Huobi), which is owned by Justin Sun. They turned off their proof-of-reserves system, what hints about their insolvency. Onchain analysis say that they have problems with ETH holdings.
Also this is not connected to only HTX, things are being wrong with TUSD and stUSDT (Stacked USDT receipt on TRON Network).
For further details about this event please read thread from adamscochran on twitter . Hence there was around 600 Mln. USDT transfer to JustlandDao yesterday.
In the end, I want to mention, that there is no 100% accurate analysis.
We are dealing with probabilities, just with analysis we are shifting probabilities to our favor.
Best Wishes.
Tether Dominance, Weekly OutlookAs we see USDT.D Bounced from long formed Support / Resistance zone, while tested it with long wicks several times.
- RSI Divergence
- Bounced From Support
- Below 21 Week EMA
USDT.D hinting of a massive cryto market reversal ↑. GET SEEDED!USDT.D an inverse confluence of the crypto market has predicted the major correction before it happened. It has gone parabolic for a few weeks tapping its favorite resistance roof line aT 5.50%.
Now, based on the last weekly close, USDT.D is hinting of a major market reversal to the upside. (USDT.D falling = crypto market rising). It means USDT.D in red means, more cash are being converted to crypto holdings.
The first descending shift line at the upper channel has been registered. First time since September 2024. This is already conveying of a major shift in trend and a weighty series of price growth from here is forthcoming in the next coming weeks.
Best season to get seeded again on the market -- moreso scale in on the bluechip ones, BTC ETH ADA XRP.
It's that season again. A very green one.
Spotted at 5.30%
Mid target at 3.50%.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
$BTC Closed Above 200DMA + Bullish DivergenceCRYPTOCAP:BTC closed the day a tick above the 200DMA.
Need to trade a few days above $85k to show strength for Bulls.
Ideal setup would be an inverse H & S from here.
RSI showing Bullish Divergence.
BTCUSD: Phase 4 of Bull Cycle just started.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.562, MACD = -3343.000, ADX = 34.423) as it is making a big 1W comeback on this week's candle following a nearly perfect touch of the 1W MA50. Every test of the 1W MA50, as well as every test of the S1 1W RSI level, has been a straight buy opportunity inside the Bull Cycle's Channel Up since the very begining of the November 2022 bottom.
As first the price action was concentrated on the lower half of the Channel Up (green zone) but since February 2024 it has been primarily on the upper half (blue zone) as the rallies got more aggressive, with the only exceptions being the 1W MA50 tests such as the current one (green Arcs). Every bottom rebound has increased by at least +98.76%, so that gives us a peak estimate of TP = 150,000. An temprary high around 120k and pullback to 100-90k is a possible scenario based on all previous rallies/ Phases. Phase 4, which should technicall be the final of the Bull Cycle, has just started.
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KAVA ANALYSIS🔮 #KAVA Analysis
💲💲 #KAVA is trading in a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. If the price of #KAVA breaks and sustain the higher price then will see a pump. Also there is an instant strong support zone. We may see a retest towards the support zone first and then a reversal📈
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#KAVA #Cryptocurrency #Support #Resistance #DYOR
BTC: Overbought & Losing Momentum – Drop to Support Incoming?Almost a perfect gap fill in the 85000-86500 zone, followed by a strong reaction off the level. RSI is in overbought territory.
Expecting a quick drop to support levels at 80174 / 78947 / 76449
Short entry point: 84300
TP: 80174 / 78947 / 76449
Stay tuned for more setups, follow me so you don’t miss them. Also, check out my X profile, big things coming soon!
