BTC—Bearish Divergence Spotted BTC To Continue Fall?Bitcoin is near the $80k area. After making a high of $109,588 on 20th January, BTC has shown weaken momentum and an indication of plummeting from the peak.
Bitcoin has recently broken its support of the sideways range of $89,427.
Due to global tension and overall economic turbulence, BTC is witnessing a fall.
As per experts, this is a failure of the bull run in BTC.
Using the Relative Strength Index, we can observe the Bearish Divergence on BTC.
The next possible level for BTC to halt is near $73,690.
Let's see where BTC takes a halt.
Note: This is not a financial advice but an analysis to explain the current situation of BTC. Kindly consult your financial advisor before investing.
Btc-e
Bitcoin Has Dropped $20K in a Single Week! Where’s the Bottom?Hey followers,
Crazy times, huh? I was just looking at the Bitcoin chart, and I don’t see any other week in history with a $20K retracement, absolutely wild.
I haven’t done much BTC analysis lately, but the last time I did, I warned: “Money on your screen won’t feed your family—turn it into real gains.” Well, here we are. Once again, two simple criteria have proven their ability to predict profit-taking areas and potential corrections:
📌 Channel projection
📌 Equal waves
Now, with this massive sell-off, it’s time to hunt for strong support zones. Percent-wise, the weekly drop might not be extreme, but in raw dollar terms, it should be the biggest in BTC’s history. So, where could this madness stop?
For me, the 48K–$66K range is where things get interesting. Somewhere inside this zone, I expect a reaction, and I’ll be looking for possible reversal setups. Let’s break down the key reasons why this area is a potential landing spot:
🔹 1. Previous yearly highs acting as support
In 2021, Bitcoin saw two major sell-offs in the $60K–$70K range. Then, in early 2024, the same zone acted as a strong resistance before BTC finally broke through.
When a zone like this is left untested, it often pulls the price back like a magnet for a retest, a classic case of liquidity seeking validation. That’s why this area forms the foundation of my support box.
🔹 2. Short-term trendline alignment
This trendline, drawn from wick touches, is valid because the third touch happens higher than the peak between the first and second touches, comes to retest the trendline from higher high levels (HH). Even though it’s short-term, it perfectly aligns with the horizontal support zone, adding extra confluence.
🔹 3. 50% retracement from the all-time high
From my past crypto analysis, BTC loves its 50% retracements from all-time highs—like clockwork. And guess what? This level perfectly overlaps with the marked support zone, reinforcing its strength.
🔹 4. The psychological $50K level
Round numbers play a big role in trading, humans love them. Back in August 2024, $50K acted as a key level. I even mentioned on a local radio station earlier that year that buying the dip around here could be a smart move… and, well, lucky me, it worked out. :)
So once again, this simple but effective criterion strengthens the case for this area.
Putting all these criteria together:
Summary:
The more confluences in a single price zone, the stronger it is. Sure, we could add some fake trendlines or EMAs, but for me, price action and human psychology tell the real story. Think of it like tracking footprints in the snow, BTC leaves clues, and it’s our job to follow them.
- For long-term believers, this zone could be a solid place to accumulate more BTC.
- For those looking to enter Bitcoin for the first time, this is the area to watch.
What do you think? Are we heading lower, or...
🚀If you like the analysis, hit the boost as well🚀
Cheers,
Vaido
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Daily Market Outlook: BTC, DXY & Gold Analysis (#8)The market has been highly reactive following yesterday’s GDP and Unemployment Claims report. The DXY strengthened sharply, reaching a key resistance at 107.474. Previously, this level acted as a strong support and has now turned into a major resistance zone.
DXY Analysis
We need to consider multiple scenarios for the dollar index:
Most Likely Scenario: If DXY gets rejected from 107.474, we can look for short positions below 107.063, anticipating a continuation of the secondary downtrend in the daily timeframe.
Alternative Scenario: If DXY breaks above 107.474, it could continue strengthening toward 107.767, confirming that the correction is over and resuming the major uptrend.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis
Gold dropped below 2878.87, entering a price correction phase. Key support levels to watch:
2841.25 (Fib 50%)
2811
2790 (Strong demand zone)
Short Position Plan (1H Timeframe)
If gold finds support at 2855 (35% Fib), and later breaks it, a short entry could be considered.
If the drop continues, the next major short opportunity is at 2841.89 in the 4H timeframe.
Long Position Plan
A confirmed breakout above 2879.26 will indicate strength, making it a valid long entry point.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis
BTC has been experiencing significant downside pressure, aligning with the February 26 analysis where I highlighted the potential for a price correction within its major uptrend.
As mentioned earlier, losing 80-82K support would shift the market bias to bearish, favoring short positions. If you shorted BTC from 85K, this could be a great area to secure profits.
Currently, BTC lacks a clear structure, so I’m waiting for more confirmation before taking new positions.
What’s Next for BTC?
If BTC closes below 80K, we will need to reassess the market structure and update our strategy accordingly.
If BTC holds above this level, there is still a chance for a recovery and potential upside continuation.
However, if 80K is lost, the recovery process could take much longer than expected.
Final Thoughts
Stay patient and wait for clear market structures before entering trades. If you’re already in positions, manage them carefully based on these levels.
I’m Skeptic , and I’m grateful to be on this journey with you all. Trading is tough, but growing together makes it worthwhile. Stay profitable and see you tomorrow! 🚀💡
Is Bitcoin Topping Out? Critical Levels to WatchSince the low of $15,476 on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has surged to an all-time high of $109,588 on January 20, 2025. That’s an incredible +608% increase over 791 days. We also hit the long-anticipated $100K mark. But for almost three months now, Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $90K and the all-time high, showing some indecision in the market.
Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends
Bitcoin spent over 250 days consolidating between $50K and $70K before finally breaking out in November 2024, right around the U.S. election. That breakout triggered a massive rally, pushing Bitcoin to 100K in just one month. Since then, bulls and bears have been battling it out, trying to establish control over this crucial psychological level.
A look at the pitchfork tool shows that Bitcoin has been rejected at the 0.618, 0.666, and 0.786 levels multiple times while trying to push higher. Recently, we lost the median line of the pitchfork and dropped below 100K, suggesting bullish momentum is fading. The 233 SMA/EMA on the 4-hour TF as well as the 21 EMA/MA on the daily TF has also flipped into resistance, adding to the bearish pressure.
Is February Shaping Up to Be a Bearish Month?
If we compare the current cycle to the 2020 bull market, the price action looks similar, forming a top where Bitcoin struggles to break higher. February could bring a healthy correction before any new leg up.
Key Support Zones & Confluences
Here’s where we could see solid support:
Unfilled CME Gap at $77,930 – Historically, Bitcoin tends to fill these gaps over time
Pitchfork Lower Support Line (~$80K) – If Bitcoin drops, this level aligns with multiple confluences by late February or early March
Fib Speed Fan (0.618 from $50K to ATH) – Perfectly lines up with the pitchfork lower support around $80K
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.618) – Another confluence at the $79K mark
Fib Retracement (0.5 from $50K to ATH) – Adds more support at $79.3K
Negative Fibonacci Retracement (-0.618) – Lands right at the open gap, reinforcing this zone
Daily 233 EMA/MA – Sitting at $81.3K and $76.4K, further supporting this region
Key Support Zone: $80K - $78K – With all these confluences, this is a strong area for a potential long setup
Additional Support Zone: FWB:88K - $86K – Another important region to watch for a bounce
Resistance Levels & Confluences
Psychological Resistance at 100K – A major battle zone between bulls and bears
Daily 21 EMA/MA (~$99.5K - 101K) – A key resistance level that could cap any upward movement
233 SMA/EMA on the 4H Timeframe – Now acting as resistance, adding pressure to the downside
Potential Trade Setups
Long Setup #1: A potential entry from FWB:88K - $86K
Long Setup #2: $80K - $78K support zone with confirmation could present a high-probability trade
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at 100K, with multiple technical indicators suggesting a possible pullback. While the bigger trend remains bullish, February might bring a correction, providing great long opportunities around the FWB:88K - $86K and $80K - $78K region. Keep an eye on key support zones and look for confirmation signals before jumping into trades.
New Indicator Release
The 4H, Daily, and Weekly support zones seen on the charts are from my new indicator, which I released for free a few days ago. Feel free to check it out and incorporate it into your analysis.
DOGE vs BTC: MACD DivergenceHello,
They may bothe be dropping against the inflated dollar, but this indicates that DOGE is becoming stronger in the battle of David vs Goliath. Thats me… im Dave, and Doge is the coin that I am manifesting will lead us into the 5D world of the new earth. I believe that BTC is grossly tied to the corrupt money markets… and that DOGE will remain the favor of crypto investor’s hearts.
I believe that the crypto world will pull the biggest pump and dump of all time on the corporate / military industrial complex, and walk away from BTC, leaving them with an empty bag of old school blockchain tech.
This double stacked MACD DIVErgence corroborates this awareness of hte future.
I remember form last time (not in this linear life) that Doge bites BTC on the way off the cliff…. But let’s go and shakes free of the mammoth Goliath of crypto as it crumbles! I remember the way it felt before…. And i know im on a higher vibrational level this life. Surrendered to love. And Doge invokes the emotion of … Unconditional Love.
As more of us gain these awareness, we will see a massive migration of wealth from BTC, and its evil little step sister ETH, over to DOGE. Cause it represents the hard earned work energy credit of the common person here on earth. There is not blood of war on the doge books.
Oh… my MACD observations are color coded for you.
If you want to see what DOGE is doing Ont eh long range… check the linked post i put up yesterday… ish…. Within the last sleep cycle or two anyhow.
Sending Love, and a reminder of the only true universal law on earth:
May All beings live happy and free and may you cause no harm by action or thought to to any living being, or their belongings.
BTC on 6h chart Hello, my dear friends!🫶 I’m so happy to see You here again! I’m especially grateful for Your feedback—some of You mentioned, that were waiting for me and missed me.🥲 Your words truly touched my heart—thank You so much!😊 I’m thrilled to be drawing charts for You once again; every post I share here holds a piece of my soul. Thanks for Your support—it means the world to me!💋
🔴 We’re currently sitting between a major resistance level (a trendline dating all the way back to 2017) and strong support at 72,000.🔴
The price is at a fascinating crossroads: if the 96–94–93 levels hold and the price consolidates there, we could see a climb toward the significant resistance zone (marked by the pink 🟣 dot) at 107–108k. From there, it’ll be crucial to watch closely—if the price breaks through those levels with ease, a rally could be in the cards.🚀
However, if the 96–94–93–92 levels fail to hold, we’re likely in for a deeper correction. In that case, we could see the price drop to the support zones at 86k, or possibly even lower, to 77k–73k.📉
Thank You for being part of this amazing community—it’s a privilege to share ideas and grow alongside You all. No matter what the charts look like, stay focused, stay patient, and keep believing in your abilities. Success belongs to those who persevere.
Always sincerely yours, Kateryna 💙💛
Bitcoin (BTC): Bloody Monday!On smaller timeframes, we can see the true meaning of "Bloody Monday."
Sellers started to sell aggressively, liquidating a lot of buyers who were FOMO-ing near top.
Now this might be just the beginning, as we are looking for the $91K zone to be reached, which will be the next zone where major moves will happen.
So far everything seems decent so let's wait now to see if the Monday candle will close!
Swallow Team
BTC: Lost Key Support! What’s Next?🚀 Hey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥
🚨 BTC Breakdown Alert!
BTC has lost the critical GETTEX:87K -$90K support in the daily timeframe—a level it held strong for over 3 months! Now, it's looking like a bearish retest, which could lead to another leg down. 📉
🔻 Next Major Support: $72K-$75K
✅ Bullish Reclaim? BTC must close above GETTEX:87K on the daily to confirm this as a fakeout—until then, the bias remains bearish.
🔥 What’s your take? Are we heading lower, or will BTC reclaim its lost ground? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️🔥
BTC. Beginning of a global downtrend or correction before ATH?If #Bitcoin down trend continues, there is chart area from which a Fibonacci price rebound is highly likely to occur. On the other hand, CRYPTOCAP:BTC price may not reach there, experiencing a sideways movement for some time. Beginning of a global downtrend or correction before ATH?
INJ Long OpportunityMarket Context:
INJ has retraced into a strong support zone, presenting a high-probability long trade for a potential rebound.
Primary Trade Setup:
Entry: $13.00 - $12.00
Take Profit Targets:
$16.00
$18.00
Stop Loss: Below $11.30
Secondary Trade Setup (Deeper Support):
Entry: $10.00 - $9.50
Take Profit: Adjust based on price action
Stop Loss: Below $9.00
This setup targets a bounce from major support, with the potential for a stronger rally if bullish momentum returns. 🚀
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trading PlanBitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trading Plan – February 28, 2025
Market Overview
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price is currently trading at $79,770, showing a -0.74% decline in the latest 4-hour candlestick. The chart illustrates a falling wedge trading pattern, which is considered a bullish reversal signal. The price is approaching the lower boundary of the wedge, signaling a potential breakout to the upside.
Technical Indicators & Key Observations
Falling Wedge Pattern:
The price has been making lower highs and lower lows within a falling wedge formation (red and green trendlines).
A breakout above the upper boundary of the wedge could trigger a strong bullish rally.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate support: $76,665
Major support: $67,679
Key resistance levels:
$88,671
$91,271
$95,497
$108,329 (Major long-term resistance)
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): 22.26 (oversold), indicating potential upward momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: 16.14, also in the oversold region, confirming a possible reversal.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Showing weak inflow, but a reversal at these levels could indicate increasing buying pressure.
Cipher_B Divergences: Potential bullish divergence forming, adding confluence to the breakout scenario.
Professional Trading Plan
Entry Strategy
Aggressive Entry: If Bitcoin closes a 4-hour candle above the wedge's upper trendline (~$80,500), an early entry can be considered.
Conservative Entry: Wait for confirmation above the $82,000 level with strong volume before entering a long position.
Profit Targets
First Target: $88,671 (previous local high)
Second Target: $91,271 (psychological level)
Third Target: $95,497 (strong resistance)
Ultimate Target: $108,329 (major long-term resistance)
Stop-Loss Strategy
For aggressive traders: Below $76,500 (recent low)
For conservative traders: Below $74,000 to reduce risk exposure
Risk Management
Risk-to-reward ratio: 1:3 or higher (entry should be calculated to maintain proper risk-reward)
Position Sizing: Allocate 2-5% of capital to this trade, considering volatility.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently trading at a critical support level within a falling wedge. The RSI, Stochastic, and MFI indicators suggest oversold conditions, indicating a potential bullish breakout. Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout above the wedge with strong volume before entering a position. Targets remain between $88,000 and $108,000, with well-defined stop-loss levels to minimize risk.
💡 Recommendation: Monitor price action closely, especially in the next few 4-hour candles. If BTC breaks above the wedge, prepare for a bullish move towards resistance levels.
General Market Analysis - SMC Point of ViewIn this video I go through an analysis of DXY, EURUSD, USDCHF, OIL, and BTC. I also delve into why I think some short-term manipulation is happening and share my narrative.
I am not fond of giving a long description here when I give my analysis in the video, so please enjoy and share your thoughts.
- R2F Trading
Bitcon currently filling the CME futures gapWe knew it was likely this would happen at some point in the near future from when the gap was formed and it appears like now is the time. Price action needs to dip as low as $77,920to fill the gap entirely. History tells us the correction should be over with not long after the gap is filled. The only way this isn’t the case is if the top of the bull market was indeed already in, which is a very minute probability but not impossible. *not financial advice*
Market Update & Crypto OutlookMarket Update & Crypto Outlook
Tariffs & Economic Impact
Trump is leveraging tariffs as a negotiation tactic to pressure adversaries into deals. While Europe is reluctant to concede outright, they have little choice. These tariffs are shaking the markets, and we all know how sensitive elites are about their portfolios. By hitting them where it hurts—their wallets—Trump is forcing them to the table.
In my opinion, this strategy will work. Over time, Europe, Ukraine, and even China will likely agree to compromises. As these agreements unfold, market uncertainty (FUD) will ease, restoring investor confidence.
Inflation & Market Sentiment
Markets are pricing in expected quantitative tightening , meaning no interest rate cuts for at least two years. However, I don’t believe tariffs will fuel inflation as much as feared. Reduced government spending and a stronger USD could offset price increases, maintaining purchasing power without printing money.
Until markets realize this, we’ll see uncertainty, but inflation numbers may not be as catastrophic as expected , helping stabilize sentiment.
Crypto & Market Cycle
The bull market isn’t over, but Bitcoin finally experienced real consolidation —without heavy ETF purchases propping it up. The ETF FOMO is over , and that’s actually a good thing. Now, Bitcoin can continue its rally naturally , setting up for its final, most parabolic leg.
Altcoins & The Spark for Altseason
As I mentioned before, a strong dollar combined with the upcoming $5,000 stimulus checks will ignite true altseason . This influx of cash will likely fuel a major altcoin rally later this year , after the new administration distributes the payments.
Conclusion
Yes, it’s been painful—altcoins are bleeding, portfolios are down, and sentiment is low. But capitulation marks the bottom .
Expect a bumpy March , but April and especially May* could be parabolic , making today’s struggles a distant memory. 🚀
(Everything is on the chart, check the arrows)
BTC to $72k-$73k to test major supportWe tried to break out of this long term channel and we were rejected like a nerd on prom day. We were tracking a short/medium term descending channel and now we have broken out of that and fast heading for bottom of overarching ascending channel. another really bit of ominous sign is we lost our 200 day moving average, this also puts us at threat of a death cross over the next month or so. Also note the rest of the crypto market for the most part, looks worse than BTC, many are at multi year lows, many have broken their multi-year ascension, few charts look appealing in crypto right now... But we are still inside that long term ascending channel and therefore, still in a bullish trend overall but a lot of things are piling up against it.
So we will look to catch support at around $72- FWB:73K and then hopefully climb back up this channel. If we break the bottom of this two year ascending channel the lows could be a lot lower. The only thing that makes this a little shaky right now is that Ethereum just broke its two year ascending pattern, could it be a sign of whats to come for BTC?
Stay vigilant, personally I would not consider a long before we test that bottom of channel, and even there I would urge tight stop losses for those trying to take advantage of the situation. That also stands for any crypto, never trade any alts and such without also watching BTC, when BTC is unhappy, generally the rest of the market is even more unhappy.
As always, my posts are informational, DYOR.
(BTC) bitcoin "its nothing"People are wasting their time with bugging out about the price of BTC losing. It's nothing. The price lost like -12%. If someone bought at the peak the price is down like -25%. Compared to all the super inconsistent tokens, memes, and thought bubbles of people creating small and micro cap strategies behind cryptocurrency others. Cryptocurrency has a problem with all the ideas following the movement and price of BTC. Either the people who invest in BTC are also heavily invested in alt coins, tokens and memes, or the real truth; there is no way large institutional banks are invested in most of the tokens. Tokens should not be so easily knocked down. How many years are we going to see the inconsistency of tokens and alt coins before the world of cryptocurrency investors remove the framework where people tend to believe BTC controls the prices and movements of all cryptocurrency. BTC lost a tiny amount compared to the larger losses continually accruing by miniscule cryptocurrency market caps.
Will the bitcoin bloodbath send prices below its 200-day SMA?Currently lower for a sixth day, bitcoin futures have just tested the 200-day average for the first time this year. This clearly marks a pivotal moment for bulls and bears over the near term, but we also have to factor in the higher timeframes.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
$BTC sideways for now, long-term uptrend intactI’m waiting for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to tap 102k again, or for the yearly open at 93k. Not much happening at the moment, but I see it moving higher.
Most likely, we’ll trade within January’s candle and form an inside bar. The inflection point will be at the extremes of that candle for short-term trades. If it decides to break January’s low, I’d see that as a potential re-entry point.
So, in short:
Continuation above 102k
First possible entry at the yearly open (I think many are watching that area)
Second entry at January’s low (optimal for me)
For now, it’s just consolidation.
BTC Price Target #2: A Bounce Off the 200 MA or Golden PocketA case more bullish than an undoing of the move of BTC from $60K to six digits...
Price action could plausibly retrace to the 200d MA or Golden Pocket of the move from the 10/10/24 Swing Low and find support on either.
This case would likely play out as a violent wick down and v-shaped return to VAL of the volume profile. If we are talking a Golden Pocket retracement, a noteworthy CME Gap would be filled.
Bitcoin: Wave 4 or Wave goodbye...to this variantIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bitcoin Wave 4?: Key Levels & Critical Juncture
Bitcoin’s recent price action has put traders on edge, as we continue to push into the deeper reaches of the Wave 4 territory. The market rejected 99-100K, aligning with expectations, but it took a deeper path than my bullish outlook preferred. While I caught the correct direction, this move is now at a critical juncture where bulls need to step up—this is their last chance to hold this count as a probability and regain momentum, IMO.
Losing Ground on This Count
A clean break above 99K never materialized, reinforcing bearish sentiment and increasing the likelihood of further downside. The bulls have struggled to gain control, and without a strong push, this count risks full invalidation. At this stage, I remain cautious, knowing that sticking to weak counts is a losing game.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 86.6K – Immediate obstacle for bulls to reclaim 📈
🔹 92K – The real test; a reclaim here would suggest bullish intent 🎯
🔹 75K – Next major support if bulls fail to hold structure ⚡
What Comes Next?
If this variant is going to stay on the probability list, it has to prove itself now. It was cautiously at the top of the list, but has broken the key levels and ideal price action I was looking for to keep it there.
Bitcoin is at a make-or-break moment—will it find strength, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know your thoughts in the comments. 🚀
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.