Next Volatility Period:Around January 23rd - Around January 30th
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
There are 3 major rising channels.
The key is whether there is support at the HA-High indicator point of 94742.35.
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(1D chart)
Since a short-term downward channel has been formed, the point to watch is whether it breaks out of this short-term downward channel.
The key is whether it can rise with support at the important support and resistance zone (93576.0-94742.35).
If it falls below the BW(0) indicator, it is likely to fall to around 87.8K-89K.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, it must rise above 97461.86 and maintain the price.
Since the slope of the StochRSI indicator is changing, we can see that support is important around 93576.0-94742.35.
Since the BW and DOM indicators are below 0, we can see that the decline is strong.
This volatility period is until January 11.
Because all indicators are showing a decline, caution is required when trading.
It is recommended not to conduct new transactions during the volatility period if possible.
The reason is that there is a high possibility that the movement will be different from the direction you thought.
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The next volatility period is around January 23-30.
Therefore, the point of observation is which direction the price can be maintained by moving away from the important support and resistance range (93576.0-94742.35) after this volatility period.
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If the BW(100) indicator is created and falls and meets the BW(0) indicator, the wave can be considered closed.
Therefore, if it receives support from the BW(0) indicator and rises, it will meet the BW(100) indicator again and close the wave.
If the HA-High indicator is created and falls, it will meet the HA-Low indicator and close the wave.
Since it is currently experiencing resistance near the HA-High indicator and falling, if it fails to rise above the HA-High indicator, it will eventually meet the HA-Low indicator.
The four circle sections marked on the chart correspond to the support and resistance sections.
Therefore, it is expected that a trend will be formed when it breaks out of these four circle sections.
Therefore, it is expected that the future trend will be determined depending on which direction it breaks out of the 87.8K ~ 106133.74 section.
If the OBV indicator does not fall below the Lowest, BTC is likely to maintain its current upward trend or move sideways.
It is easier to interpret the trading volume with the OBV indicator than to interpret the distribution of trading volume.
It should be noted that the rise and fall of OBV does not necessarily lead to a rise and fall in price.
To overcome this, we made it easier to observe by displaying the Highest and Lowest to determine whether the latest high or low is broken.
It is difficult to interpret the indicator as a single indicator.
Therefore, we created the BW indicator or the DOM indicator to supplement this.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support or resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Btc-e
$BTC - Every shallow bounce is purely manipulationAfter hours of aggressive selling, it seems like every shallow bounce is just manipulated (bounce then fade!), yet the price is still holding up 92k.
If we can manage to keep this level, there's a good chance we might retest the supply zone 97.3k-98.7k to form a lower high.
Any rejection at the supply zone, I think sweeping those local lows of 88k-86k is imminent. I wouldn't expect us to drop below 85k just yet (we'll save that for later), so let's see how 88k-86k reacts.
#HBAR easy target coming soon.I had talked about #HBAR couple years ago when price was couple of pennies.
Looking at H4 chart for COINBASE:HBARUSD with same KRI technique, 1.272 extension will be .46 cents and 1.618 extension will be .55 cents with the support at .23 cents
There are lot of positive news for HBAR lately so jump on the wagon before it moons.
Easy TP: .46 and .55 cents with support .23 cents
Sometimes the simplest trade is the best trade | BTC $97K NEXT
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the hourly chart, indicating weakening selling momentum. We've also seen a local higher high, suggesting the dip may be over.
Despite bearish news such as unconfirmed rumors about government sales and concerns over jobs and interest rates, the price is still recovering. This suggests that higher highs are likely ahead.
However, be cautious of weekend trading with lower volume, though I don't believe it will significantly impact the overall trend.
I know what's NEXT for Bitcoin!I recently shared two thoughts on Bitcoin price action to come..
In one of them I call for a retrace to 85K or lower, in the other I call for a new ATH. I know this might be a bit confusing so let's shed some more light on it.
Here you see BTC on the 1W Timeframe. I am using the Dynamic Fib Retracement indicator to do some trend analysis based on Fibonacci.
The blue colored zone/band is the golden pocket as calculated by the indicator from pivot highs/lows within a certain lookback range. The lines are the 0.236 (Preliminary), 0.382 (Secondary) and 0.5 (Median) Fibonacci retracement lines calculated in the same way. The purple line is the 1.618 retracement line (aka the ''Target Line'').
Now you understand this I can explain my thought process:
Scenario A (Bullish)
If price can manage to get back above the blue preliminary fib line and hold that range (around $98,550), I am convinced we see a new ATH for Bitcoin. The purple target line suggests the target for that would be around $117,000+ USD per BTC.
Scenario B (Bearish)
If price cannot get back above the blue preliminary fib line and finds resistance in that range around $98,550, I am convinced we see a bigger retracement for Bitcoin. The blue zone/band suggests the target for that would be around 80-83K USD per BTC as of right now, but this golden pocket band will slightly adjust higher so lets say $85,000 per Bitcoin.
Do you agree or do you have other ideas? Let me know!
Deceptive market at the beginning of the yearThe first week of the new year is coming to an end, I want to review the market situation. The year for ether and bitcoin opened in the 90-95k and 3250-3500 flat zones. Due to this, the new annual candle is swinging quite calmly. However, in my opinion, this lull is deceptive. The current wave of purchases is so far only a retest of the key 100k level for bitcoin, from where the probability of a bear attack is high. For many altcoins that have shown growth to date, this is also only a retest of the last resistance.
The foreign exchange market also closed the first week extremely negatively, with a steady rise in the dollar. In my opinion, from the current pullback in the crypt, there is a high probability of a resumption of sales, which we observed at the end of the year, with an attempt to continue the trend in bitcoin in order to work out a retest of 75-85k. In this case, today or tomorrow, the crypto market may align with the currency, with significant sales, up to the turning point of the week for individual coins.
In an optimistic scenario, ether will hold 3500 and open a new week higher, by increasing the gap in the eth/btc pair, due to the opening of the year above 0.0035. In this case, with smooth stable sales of bitcoin, altcoins will have opportunities for growth and a further 15% increase in the altcoin index. In my opinion, the probability of this scenario still prevails.
In a more negative scenario, sales of bitcoin and ether will be more aggressive. In this case, bitcoin can show a sharp increase in dominance and money from the market will be used to smooth out the fall of bitcoin. At the same time, the altcoin index may drop down to a 9% retest, which will lead to fractures for most coins.
With the current picture and the threat of a 75k hike in bitcoin, I still recommend carefully weighing money management and reducing positions for those who did not do so in the wake of growth before the new year. Next week, it will be possible to weigh the activity of sellers and make more confident forecasts.
As I expected, there was another manipulation of binance tags this week. It was not for nothing that before the change of year I recommended sales for troy with a likely hike to 0.0025, even then it became obvious that there was no working out of higher goals and a reversal to retest loyalties. After assigning the tag, a test of 0.0015-25 is likely.
As I wrote in the last article, if there is no assignment of the monitoring tag, vib becomes the most interesting tool in the current market. If binance did not consider the dynamics of the token too weak, there is a high probability of continued growth to reverse the medium-term bullish trend with an exit to 0.25+ and the addition of futures. There has already been a successful cancellation of year-end sales and an attempt to return to the trend. With an optimistic scenario and an exit above 0.00000100 for vib/btc, there is a possibility of a powerful impulse to break last week and pair with udt. In the current overbought market, vib remains the most oversold token on binance, which retains a high growth potential. There has also been a rise in vib against bitcoin more than once, creating a gap in vib/btc. A similar pattern could happen again this week. In case of a successful breakdown of vib, vite can also show pleasant dynamics, which also remains the most oversold on binance, having very high technical targets for retest. But because of the monitoring tag, vite growth attempts most often occur last before the week closes.
On average, for most altcoins, I still expect synchronous movement with the altcoin index, before determining further dynamics in the tops in the new week. In my opinion, the probability of fashionable breakouts or steady growth ahead of the altcoin index in the new week is rather weak.
Bitcoin BTC Has Almost Finished Correction: $89k soon!Hello, Skyrexians!
In our recent analysis we told that this correction will not be finished without reaching GETTEX:89K , it almost impossible! Several days ago BINANCE:BTCUSDT surges above $102k which caused a lot of optimism on the market, but all these traders has been banished by the sudden dump. Why this drop was expected and promised GETTEX:89K will be reached anyway.
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. We can see the after reaching wave 3 top corrective wave 4 has been started. Wave 4 is a zigzag ABC. Corrective wave B has been finished exactly at 0.61 Fibonacci. Now price is forming wave C. This wave has the minimal target at 0.38 Fibonacci at $89k. There we can expect the signal on Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy to make sure with the high probability that correction is over and the next target is $120k. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView . You can see the sniper entries for this indicator before.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BTC.D - Still in the ascending channelCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D remains firmly within its long-standing ascending channel. The recent “fake breakout” below the channel has been invalidated as dominance swiftly returned to the channel, showing a strong reaction and confirming the channel’s validity.
This suggests:
✅ Bullish Implication for BTC: Bitcoin is likely to continue gaining dominance in bullish moves, outpacing altcoins in performance.
✅ Bearish Impact on Altcoins: In downturns, altcoins are expected to experience sharper declines compared to Bitcoin.
Traders should monitor this channel as a key indicator for market behavior, especially for Bitcoin and altcoin strategies.
SOL Long OpportunityMarket Context:
SOL is experiencing a retracement alongside the broader market, approaching a key support zone that offers a strategic entry for a long spot trade.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Between $160 – $170
Take Profit Targets:
$200 – $220
$260 – $280
Stop Loss: Just below $138
This trade leverages SOL's pullback to a critical support area with strong upside potential for continuation. 📈
BITCOIN - THE KING OF CRYPTO (TECHNICAL ANALYSIS + TRADE PLAN)Descending Trading Channel:
Bitcoin is currently in a descending trading channel, indicating short-term bearish pressure but within a larger bullish structure.
The breakout above the channel's resistance line signals a potential reversal to an uptrend.
Support Zone:
A strong support zone is marked around the $92,000–$94,000 range, where demand is evident, as indicated by price consolidation.
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI near 47 suggests the asset is in neutral territory but trending upwards, moving away from oversold conditions.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Bullish crossover near 66 indicates increasing momentum toward an overbought state, confirming the breakout possibility.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
Rising MFI implies capital inflow, supporting the likelihood of upward price movement.
VMC Cipher B Indicator:
Bullish divergences are forming, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
Volume Profile:
While not explicitly shown, the lack of significant volume during the recent decline confirms a corrective phase rather than a bearish trend.
Target Zones:
Initial target post-breakout: $100,000 (psychological resistance).
Secondary target: $108,000–$112,000, where historical resistance might emerge.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Enter once Bitcoin decisively breaks above the descending trading channel resistance with strong volume confirmation.
Support Buy:
Accumulate near $92,000–$94,000 if the price retests the support zone.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place stop-loss below the $90,000 mark to minimize risk if the breakout fails or support zone does not hold.
Short-Term Target:
Set take-profit at $100,000, just below psychological resistance to ensure execution.
Medium-Term Target:
Partial profit at $108,000 and $112,000 for extended upside.
Risk Management:
Limit exposure to 1-2% of total capital per trade.
Maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:3 to optimize profitability.
Watch for increased volume during breakout confirmation.
Monitor macroeconomic factors and news affecting Bitcoin, as sudden events may invalidate technical setups.
Bitcoin Trajectory for Q1 and Q2 2025Hey everyone, it’s been a while! 👋
Let’s dive straight into the Bitcoin outlook and my vision for the months ahead. 🚀
Key Observations 📊
Patterns : Rounding Top & Bottom.
Rebound Levels:
Alt. 1: $101,000
Alt. 2: $82,000
Moving Averages : EMA50 & EMA188.
Target Area : $135,000+ 🔥
Pro Tip 💡
I'm setting an alert for the EMA188 cross on BTCUSDT to stay ahead of the game.
Stay tuned for more updates and insights! 💬
All you need for Bitcoin to see top, bottom or a crash.These charts show everything you will ever need to buy and sell Bitcoin.
5 day BTC chart.(right chart)
Orange vertical lines on chart show when the RSI touches the pink horizontal line after it touches the top red horizontal line. This indicates a bear market.
Yellow vertical lines on chart show when RSI rose above orange line after touching the blue line but failed to touch the red horizontal line before hitting the pink horizontal line. This indicates a crash is coming.
The green arrows on chart show whenever the blue EMA8 goes below the yellow MA55 after being above it.
This indicates either BTC has entered a bear market or a crash like setup similar to covid. If we get another green arrow you will know what to do as it will be a crash or bear market.
The green trendlines on chart show each bull run Bitcoin touches this trendline 3 times or more before it has a parabolic move. The anamoly being the covid crash. So far this bull run it is only twice that Bitcoin has touched the green trendline.
On the LMACD the green vertical lines show everytime the 5day LMACD crosses down (blue LMACD line going under orange LMACD line) when it is above the horizontal yellow line. This has happened 21 times with only 1 time (red vertical line) where price did not drop to the EMA21 (orange moving average line) on the chart.
BTC just did this cross on LMACD so it has a 95% chance of moving down to touch the orange EMA21.
Based off all this clear evidence it is easy to see that you sell Bitcoin when RSI hits red horizontal line. Confirmation of bear market is as per indicators mentioned above.
You buy when RSI touches blue horizontal line.
You won't sell the exact top or buy the exact bottom but very close to it. You would need a different chart to calculate the exact top.
This chart will stand the test of time if history keeps rhyming for Bitcoin.
Monthly BTC chart.(left chart)
On the monthly chart the orange vertical lines indicate whenever the Stoch RSI went above the green horizontal line. The yellow vertical line on the chart shows the covid crash as the Stoch RSI did not stay above the green horizontal line for very long.
The green arrow on the Stoch RSI shows when it fell straight through the red horizontal line after being above the green horizontal line. This indicated a bear market.
The pink arrows on the Stoch RSI show the crossover of the Stoch RSI (blue RSI line crosses under orange RSI line) after it fell below the green horizontal line and bounced off the blue or red horizontal lines. This indicated the top and a bear market.
After seeing this current information on the Stoch RSI (bounce off blue line) it looks like the upcoming crossover will be a pink arrow.
These arrows indicate time to exit the market as you can see.
Bitcoin is Ready to Pump Again==>>Short-term!!!As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) fell to the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) .
Bitcoin is moving in a Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) near the Support line .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has completed the first 5 downward waves , and we can wait for upward corrective waves . Bitcoin has completed two corrective waves in the 15-minute time frame , and we can wait for the next corrective wave .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has formed a Falling Wedge Pattern in the 15-minute time frame , and if Bitcoin breaks the upper line of this pattern, we can confirm this pattern.
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $95,170 AFTER breaking the Upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the support line, we can wait for the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) to break.⚠️.
⚠️Note: In general, if you open a Long position, you can keep it up to the Resistance zone($96,680-$95,520) or Risk-Free your position.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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AIXBT/USDT: 30% Breakout Potential From Range Consolidation Here's a simple trading idea for AIXBTUSDT 🎯
AIXBT Breakout Play Setup 📈
AIXBTUSDT 1H Chart
Strategy: Bullish Breakout from Consolidation
Entry Zone: 0.28-0.29
Target: 0.38 (30.75% potential)
Stop Loss: Below 0.27 - 4H CLOSE
Key Points:
- Price consolidating in range
- Strong uptrend support
- Clear breakout structure forming
Wait for convincing break above 0.31000 with volume before entry.
Risk responsibly! Not financial advice." DYOR ---
This is a straightforward breakout trade setup with clear entry, target, and stop levels. The idea is easy to follow and execute for traders of any experience level. Would you like me to explain any part in more detail?
Analyzing Symmetrical Triangle Breakouts: A Bearish Setup for USUS30, representing the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, is currently trading at 42,500 with a target price of 41,500, indicating a bearish outlook. The price action is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, a technical setup that reflects market indecision as it consolidates within converging trendlines. This pattern typically precedes a breakout, which could occur in either direction, though in this case, traders are anticipating a bearish breakout. A decisive move below the triangle's lower trendline would confirm the breakout, signaling a continuation of the downward trend. Once the breakout is validated, the price is expected to head toward the target of 41,500, offering a potential opportunity for short positions. Confirmation of the breakout is essential to avoid false signals, and traders should watch for strong momentum and volume supporting the move. This setup highlights the importance of monitoring key technical levels to capitalize on market movements.
Falling wedge on Bitcoin - A bullish signal - End of correction?I can see a falling wedge or flag pattern on the BTC-USD chart. The price hit the support zone around 92K and triggered a bullish price action that might be the end of the correction. I expect a short-term reversal from a bearish to a bullish trend in a neutral medium-term trend as long as the price stays within the wedge or flag. If the price breaks the pattern up, the medium-term trend could change into bullish again. If the trends turn bullish, the price might attempt to break the resistance zone around $105k by March 2025.
ALTSEASON to $3 Trillion with BITCOIN at $200k??This is not the first time we make the comparison of the current Altcoin (Crypto Total Market Cap excluding top 10) Cycle with the 2014 - 2017 one. But it is the first time that we make this comparison, including Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles.
As you can see, there are striking similarities between the Alt Cycles:
a) Both bottom formations were in the form of a Cup pattern
b) A Pivot trend-line that turned from Resistance to Support
c) The MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting once broken until the next Bear Cycle
d) A Bull Flag after the MA50 break-out found support on the MA50 and 0.382 Fib and started the Altseason (green Channel Up)
e) That Bull Flag started with a MACD Bearish Cross and ended on a Bullish Cross
It appears that we are now on the stage where Alts have the 1st consolidation of the Parabolic Rally. What's remarkable and the key difference between the two Cycles, is that this time BTC has diverged massively and made a new All Time High (ATH), while alts haven't.
Of course this is directly attributed to the Bitcoin ETF, which attracted enormous amounts of capital that pumped the asset beyond the technical restrictions of this model. This may be an indication however, that part of this capital may be diverted to Alts, once partial BTC profit taking takes place, as it has happened during every Altseason.
In any event, if the Cycle continues to replicate the 2017 rally, it should reach the -1.5 Fibonacci extension, which would translate to at least a $3 Trillion Altcoin Market Cap, while Bitcoin would be close to the $200k level! That may seem unrealistic in terms of market cap, but so did the levels during the 2020/21 and 2017 rallies. It all depends on whether Bitcoin can continues to attract outside capital with this pace, which will in turn grow interest on the rest of the crypto market and also on the rate of adoption (companies, consumer use of crypto).
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BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Please note that we are in complex corrections, and trading in these areas requires thorough analysis. We aim to update our analyses step by step. In such conditions, it’s better to analyze the data rather than make predictions.
According to the previous analysis, we expect the price to reach the green zone.
The demand and supply zones in this analysis have been updated.
On the green zone, the price could potentially bounce upwards.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will negate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC rebounds from lows
Judging from the chart, BTC/USDT has shown a clear falling wedge pattern in its recent trend and has touched an important support area (around US$92,500). The price has now rebounded from this support and is gradually moving upwards towards a potential resistance area (around $100,000).
Key Support: $92,500, which has been tested multiple times and has served as a significant support.
Key Resistance: The $100,000 area, located near the 0.5 retracement level ($100,388) and 0.618 ($102,259), are the key levels that the bulls need to overcome in order to rebound.
The price moved from a high of $108,318 to a low of $92,458 with 0.5 and 0.618 acting as strong resistance levels. The current price is hovering around the Fibonacci 0.236 ($96,201) and if the bulls can break above this level, the next targets are $98,516 and $100,388.
From the chart, we can see that the price trend has broken through the wedge boundary after running inside the wedge.
1. The current phase may see sideways movement between $92,500 and $100,000.
2. If the $100,000 resistance level is broken, BTC is expected to start a new round of upward trend, and the target price may point to $102,000 and higher.
Although the specific indicators are not shown, combined with the morphological analysis:
If the breakthrough of the resistance level is accompanied by a large volume, the validity of the rise is confirmed.
A break of the lower support ($92,500) will lead to further declines.
Overall, BTC may fluctuate between $92,500 and $100,000 in the short term. Breaking through $100,000 will open up upside potential, while falling below $92,500 may lead to a further pullback. Investors are advised to pay close attention to the Fibonacci retracement lines and volume changes to confirm the breakthrough signal.
Long order operation suggestion: When BTC pulls back to the support level of 93200-92800 area, participate in long order layout. On the upside, focus on 95400 and 96200.
Suggestions for short position operation: Layout short positions when BTC surges to 96200-95800 area. On the downside, focus on 94200 and 92000.