Will BITCOIN prove to be resilient amidst this market crash??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just hit its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since September 06 2024, while completing the first 1D Death Cross since August 09 2024. This is a critical double combo development as last time those conditions emerged it was a bullish signal.
Despite the theoretically bearish nature of the Death Cross, the last one on 1D was formed just four days after the market's previous major long-term bottom of August 05 2024. That bottom was exactly on the level that the market hit today, the 1W MA50.
The 1W RSI sequences among the 2 fractals are identical and if it wasn't for the abysmal negative market fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth tariffs, that would be an automatic long-term buy entry, the 3rd on of this Bull Cycle.
The only condition we can technically rely on right now, amidst the stock market crash, is for the weekly candle to close above the 1W MA50, as it did on August 05 2024. In that case and of course if and only if the trade war gets under control (and/ or the Fed makes an urgent rate cut), we can expect a new long-term Bullish Leg to begin towards $150k and above.
Failure to address those concerns and a 1W candle close below the 1W MA50, can result into a stronger sell-off towards $50000 and the next long-term technical Support level of the August 05 2024 Low (49150). That would also be a major Support cluster as the 1W MA200 (gray trend-line) is just below that level (and holding since October 16 2023) and by the time of the drop, the market may test that as well.
So what do you think? Will BTC turn out to be resilient amidst this market crash or will it follow suit and decline towards $50k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Btc-e
Where can Bitcoin turn bullish again? (2D)Before anything, pay attention to the timeframe of the analysis. This is a 2-day timeframe, so it will take time.
The green zone is where Bitcoin can start moving toward the specified targets. If the ATH is broken, Bitcoin could also move toward $120K and $140K. However, based on the chart, there is currently no certainty about Bitcoin’s final target.
Reaching the green zone may take more than 4 to 5 weeks.
We are looking for buy/long positions in the green zone.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin is at a decision point.I would not be surprised if Bitcoin started correction waves from the Fibonacci 1.618 point.
RSI also looks weak.
Less likely, correction waves may begin after Fibonacci rises to 2.618 levels.
Harmonic patterns often target Fibonacci 1.618 levels.
Trump has had a major impact on the world economy and politics recently. This impact has also affected the crypto markets. Therefore, it makes sense to revise our analysis.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
DOGE is approaching my POI, where we can look for spot/longs DOGE is quickly approaching the 3D HOB at 0.12 and 2M Demand at 0.15, which would be a fantastic RR opportunity if in confluence with BTC and TOTAL.
All the information, such as TP, short, and supply, is provided in the chart.
Mark those key levels and keep an eye on them :)
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update. Current Price: ~$78,336
BTC has broken below the symmetrical triangle and is testing the key horizontal support between $78,424 and $79,183.
A wick is visible below the support, but the candle closed within the area, indicating a potential fakeout or demand absorption.
Resistance (downtrend line): ~$85,500
Support Zones:
Primary: $78,424
Secondary: $79,183
Immediate Resistance: $82,000 – $83,000 (recent breakdown zone)
Outlook & Scenarios:
Bullish Reversal Scenario (Green Arrow):
The green arrow projection suggests a potential bounce from this demand zone.
If BTC reclaims $80K+ with strong momentum, it could aim for the descending trendline near $85K.
A bullish confirmation would be a 4H candle close above $80.5K–$81K.
Bearish continuation (if support fails):
If the price fails to hold this support zone, the next downside targets could be:
$76,000
$73,500
Sentiment factor:
The previous sentiment (Fear & Greed Index: 28 – Fear) reflects ongoing market caution.
Price action near key support in the fear zone could trigger a short squeeze or panic sell-off, depending on volume and reaction.
Summary:
BTC is at crucial support, and unless volume confirms a deeper breakdown, the bounce is likely to be short-lived.
Moving back above $80K would signal that bulls are regaining control.
Want any strategy ideas for trading this setup?
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
$BTC Inverse Head and Shoulders Finally FormedAnd just like that, the Death Cross has formed the right shoulder for the Inverse H & S idea I formed on March 14th
We may sit a bit more downside to retest the 50WMA at $76k for confirmation
If we get a V-shaped recovery tomorrow, this very well could be the bottom for CRYPTOCAP:BTC
NASDAQ, S&P 500 and CoinMarketCap movements, Bitcoin chart
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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We need to check the movement after a new candle is created.
USDT, USDC should gap up to know that funds have flowed into the coin market.
On the other hand, if there is a gap down, I think funds have flowed out of the coin market.
Therefore, I think USDT or USDC are showing the size and flow of funds in the coin market.
-
(BTC.D 1M chart)
If BTC dominance is maintained above 62.47 or continues to rise, altcoins are likely to show a large decline.
Therefore, in order for an altcoin bull market to begin, it must fall below 55.01 and remain there or continue to decline.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
USDT is a fund that has a large influence on the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance rises, it means that the coin market is likely to show an overall decline.
On the other hand, if it falls, it can be interpreted that the coin market is likely to show an overall rise.
In order for the coin market to start an upward trend, it must fall below 4.97 and remain there or continue to decline.
In particular, if the Fibonacci ratio rises above 0.618, the coin market is likely to plummet.
If it remains above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618, it is likely to rise to around 7.14.
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(NAS100USD 12M chart)
It has currently entered the most important support and resistance zone.
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(1W chart)
Therefore, the maximum decline point is expected to be around 14922.2.
In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near the most important support and resistance zone and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
---------------------------------------------
(SPX500USD 1W chart)
The key is whether it can be supported around 4773.4-4846.1 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If not, the maximum decline is expected to be around 3875.1-4116.0.
---------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
As I mentioned before, since the dotted trend line (1) is not acting as a clear trend line, there is a high possibility of volatility.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator creates a peak in the oversold zone and rises this time, there is a possibility that a trend will be formed as a trend line between lows is created.
However, the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line must be formed in the same direction.
In other words, since the current high-point trend line is creating an upward trend line, the low-point trend line that will be created this time must also create an upward trend line.
In that sense, the 69000-73199.86 section can be seen as an important support and resistance section.
If it falls below 69000, it is likely to touch the Fibonacci ratio section of 0.886 (56227.18) ~ 1 (61338.93), which was the previous high point section.
-
(1D chart)
On the last day of this volatility period, it fell below the upward trend line (2), showing a large decline.
Since it fell below the downward trend line, there is a possibility that it will continue to fall further.
At this time, the key is whether it can rise with support near 73499.86.
The next volatility period is around April 25 (April 24-26).
The point of interest is whether the price is maintained near 73499.86 or 89294.25 after the next volatility period.
-
The 73499.86 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising to around 73499.86.
Therefore, if support is confirmed near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, I think it is an aggressive buying period.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is a buying period until it rises again and supports near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
The next time to buy is when it shows support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.886 (56227.18) ~ 1 (61338.93) that I mentioned in the 1M chart explanation.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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LTCUSD Litecoin OH NO TARIFFS! Everyone SELL NOW!The market reacted to the tariffs negatively as expected. I don't think these tariffs will last long. Countries will cave and remove their tariffs. Bottom line is they need us more than we need them. Once global free and easier trade starts you're going to see a boom cycle like never before. This is the bottom and the beginning of the biggest bull run you'll ever see. I don't get involved in politics but this move that Trump made with the tariffs is going to be a major positive for the USA and the world moving forward. This isnt 1929, we live in a much more advanced world now. Collapses and depressions are a thing of the past in my opinion.
As for Litecoin I see it coming down to test around $70 dollars by the middle of April. This is also timed almost perfectly to the 2017 run Litecoin had, coincidentally trump was starting his first term in 2017 as well. Also timed perfectly to when tax day is over for USA.
Many have capitulated and sold everything thinking a giant recession is coming, or a war, or a collapse, or aliens, or you name it people are scared of their own shadows lately. Like a plague of Grackles where one gets spooked and the whole lot of them get scared and take off when they dont even know why. This is how the markets work though, most will make the wrong decision so the few who made the right decision can profit from their mistakes. Once the market starts to run again those who sold will think its just a fake pump or dead cat bounce and wont buy in. Then the market will continue to rise and rise and finally when its near an all time high those who capitulated and sold early will fomo back in and buy the top to provide liquidity for those who were called crazy for buying the bottom. Its a cycle thats been happening since markets started.
So Im sticking with my predictions for Litecoin, I am not falling for this bear trap crap. Im doubling down. This is not financial advice. This is just my opinion.
BTCUSDT – Short Setup Brewing at FVG with IFVG ConfirmationMarket Context:
Bitcoin (BTC) continues its retracement phase following a sharp decline, now approaching a high-probability reaction zone. Price is climbing back toward a previously identified Fair Value Gap (FVG), positioned within the premium Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a potential area for distribution and bearish continuation.
Technical Breakdown:
- Price bounced off a well-defined support zone, beginning a recovery toward the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone, where the FVG exists.
- An additional Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) has now formed just beneath the FVG zone, creating a dual-layer of imbalance—offering even more potential confluence for a reversal.
- A short position idea is highlighted with a trigger condition: **“If the gap inverses, possible short entry”**—meaning traders are looking for the IFVG to act as resistance following the FVG reaction.
Price Behavior & Trade Setup:
The green path illustrates the anticipated move higher into the FVG zone, likely grabbing liquidity above recent highs. Should price tap this supply zone and then reject into the IFVG, it would present an ideal scenario for a short entry confirmation.
Key Considerations:
- The presence of both FVG and IFVG increases the likelihood of strong resistance forming in this region.
- Rejection at this level would imply smart money distribution, and a renewed bearish leg could develop.
- Patience is key here—entry should only be considered if the IFVG confirms its role as resistance following the sweep into FVG.
Conclusion:
BTC is in a critical retracement phase, and the overlapping FVG and IFVG zones mark a high-confluence area to watch. If price shows weakness after filling the gap, it sets up a clean short opportunity targeting a return to lower support levels. Until that bearish confirmation appears, bulls still have short-term control, but risk is growing as price approaches imbalance zones.
Bitcoin: 76K Test Watch For Reversal.Bitcoin has broken the 81,500 minor support and is now in the process of testing the recent swing low 78K to 76K AREA. With the lower high structure at the 88K area (see arrow) in place, a lower low is likely to follow in the coming week. The question is how much lower? One reasonable estimate is a test of 73K (the previous all time high before November). The current area between 79 and 76K does present a buying opportunity on multiple time horizons (investment, swing trades, day trades) but the key to timing this WAITING for confirmation.
From the investing perspective, this is an attractive low because this may establish a reversal formation (double bottom) which may be the bottom of Wave 4. IF this turns out to be true, Wave 5 can potentially begin here. Price can probe as far as 64K before overlapping with Wave 1 of this impulse. Stepping into this our placing a limit order at a lower price is reasonable, but managing risk on this time horizon has a lot to do with your sizing strategy (I have explained this on many streams). Keep in mind price can BREAK and test 73K or lower and you must consider that possibility into your sizing strategy.
As far as swing trades, its the same idea except this is where a defined risk (stop) and profit objective has to be assigned (Trade Scanner Pro shines here). While the level is ideal for a double bottom or failed low (see illustration), there is NO confirmation. So it is still highly risky to step into this, especially in light of the stock market situation, etc. Wait for a bullish pin bar, engulfing candle, etc. You can define risk from there and utilize at least a 2:1 or greater profit objective.
For day trades, its the same process just on smaller time frames, (1 min to 15 min). Just on the day trade time frame, at this time, SHORTS can still be attractive on minor retracements because momentum on these time frames is CLEARLY bearish. If 79K breaks, there is a greater chance momentum continues toward the 76K AREA low.
I realize there must be some news catalyst in play to spark such a move. DO NOT react to the news, this is often a mistake. It doesn't matter what it is because this is a game of recognizing herd mentality behavior and identifying potential opportunities in this context. You want to anticipate an inflection point, WAIT for price behavior to confirm. At that point you can identify risk, and profit expectations. THIS is a MORE objective process compared to "thinking" you know how the news will affect a market. Keep decision making as simple as the "IF this, then that" framework which gives you a more accurate view of market intent since it encourages a more passive view rather than asserting your own irrelevant opinions.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Secure profits of SHORTAbsolutely — let’s dig in **properly** now. You’re right: the **last active signal is SHORT**, not long, and that **matters a lot** right now. Let me break this down with full precision and give you exactly what’s happening, why it matters, and what **smart money and miners might be scheming** right now.
---
## 🔥 **BitcoinMF PRO Market Analysis – April 6, 2025**
**Chart: BTCUSDT (1D) | Bybit | BitcoinMF PRO ver 2.4 + Fisher + Linear Regression + Error Bands**
---
### 📍 **1. Most Recent Signal: SHORT**
- ✅ **Last BitcoinMF PRO Signal:** **Short**
- 🎯 Entry was likely between **$84,000–$86,000**
- 📉 Current Price: **$79,723**
- ✅ **Trade is in Profit**
- 📛 But here’s the catch: **price is sitting just above the LR channel bottom** and **volume is drying up** — **do NOT get greedy here.**
---
## 💣 Why It’s **CRUCIAL to Secure Profits Now**
We're bouncing **near the lower band of the long-term Linear Regression (LR) channel**, which has:
- 🔹 Rejected price in mid-2023 (as resistance)
- ✅ Caught price cleanly in **Nov 2023**, **Jan 2024**, and **March 2025**
This level is not just “technical fluff” — it’s where **smart money buys** and **weak shorts get wrecked** if they overstay.
🧠 **Bottom Line:** If you're short from $84K+, you're already +5–6%. Secure partials, trail your SL, or exit. **Smart money doesn’t wait for a full reversal to stop them out.**
---
## 📉 **Fisher Transform Analysis (Bottom Indicator)**
- 🟦 Current Fisher Signal: Crossing upward
- 🔻 Fisher Level: **Oversold**
- 📊 Qualitative Reading: **Super Low**
➡️ This means momentum **is already shifting**, and a **bounce** is becoming increasingly likely. It’s not an entry zone for fresh shorts — it's where you **prepare for a bullish fakeout or reversal**.
---
## 📏 Linear Regression Channel (Macro Bull Trend Still Intact)
- Price **hasn’t broken below** the long-term LR channel.
- This is a **critical inflection zone**.
- A decisive break below $76,600 would flip **macro trend structure** bearish.
So unless you believe we’re entering **a full bear cycle**, this is the **lowest-probability area to initiate fresh shorts.**
---
### ⚒️ **MINERS: Strategy Watch**
Here’s where it gets interesting. With **Trump’s new proposed tariffs on China and crypto hardware components**, miners are under pressure:
#### 🇺🇸 Trump’s Tariff Impact:
- New **25% import duties** on mining rigs, ASICs, and cooling units could:
- Inflate **capex costs** for American miners
- Force miners to **shift operations overseas** or **delay hardware upgrades**
#### 🧠 What Smart Miners May Do Now:
1. **Dump some BTC here** to shore up liquidity before summer tariffs take effect.
2. Use **OTC desks** to sell without crashing market.
3. **Pause major expansions** → reduce network hash → reduce mining difficulty → short-term pressure release on price.
💥 Miners selling **just before key support zones** (like where we are now) often triggers short traps → **fueling bounces**.
---
## 🔮 Fibonacci Zone Breakdown
| Level | Type |
|--------------|-----------|
| $102,148 | Major Resistance (1.618 ext) |
| $96,190 | Heavy Supply |
| $91,082 | Pre-breakdown Zone |
| $85,000 | Immediate Resistance |
| **$78,314** | ⚠️ Stop Loss Zone |
| $76,687 | LR Bottom Support |
| $71,739 | Max Drawdown Zone |
| $69,967 | Flash Crash Catch |
We’re hovering **right above $78,314–$76,687** → this is **liquidity magnet territory**.
---
## 🐋 Whale Activity & Volume Psychology
- 📉 Volume = Decreasing
- 🧠 Smart money never sells heavy near the bottom of trend channels.
- Likely outcome: **Sideways compression → fake breakdown → bounce → liquidity sweep**
Contrarians are already scaling into **early longs** with tight SLs below $76K.
---
## ✅ Market Setup Summary
| Aspect | Status / Insight |
|---------------------------|--------------------------------------------------|
| 🟢 Signal | ✅ **Short** (Active, Profitable) |
| 🎯 Fisher | Oversold → **Reversal Zone** |
| 📉 Volume | Declining = Potential Bear Trap |
| 📏 LR Channel | Testing Macro Bull Support |
| 🪓 Trump Tariffs | Pressuring Miners → Strategic Sell Risk |
| 💰 Miners | May hedge or dump here before tariff damage |
---
## 🤖 Most Probable Move: Bounce or Fake Breakdown
📊 **Probability Rating:** **6.5/10 for Bullish Reversal**
(Bounce or sideways grind before decision at $76.6K)
**Why?**
- Profitable short signals
- Oversold Fisher
- Near LR support
- Shrinking volume
- Potential miner hedge flows
for more checks links in profile.
BITCOIN → The price is consolidating, but there is a BUT!BINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a consolidation after a false breakout of trend resistance. Against the backdrop of the global market crash (stock market, futures, forex) bitcoin looks quite strong, but I wouldn't get excited ahead of time
Bitcoin is trading inside a downtrend and also inside a range (global 81200 - 88800 and local 81200 - 85600). As long as the price is inside the local range and below trend resistance it is worth considering selling. There have been periods in history when the price seemed strong in the moment, but then, bitcoin caught up with the fall of indices...
The fundamental background for bitcoin is unstable:
First of all, the price has hardly reacted in any way to the introduction of tariffs, backlash and economic data. The Fed is not giving a clear signal, the market is in uncertainty. Any info noise ( China, Fed rhetoric, company reports ) can cause shake-ups. But at the same time, the same old problems remain: the crypto community is not getting any support. Bitcoin's dominance is growing against the backdrop of its decline. Altcoins continue to storm the bottom.
Technically , the situation is weak, the price cannot update local highs and consolidate above any strong support. It is possible to retest the trend resistance, or the zone of interest 85590 before the reversal and fall. Or, emphasis on the trigger 81187. A breakdown will provoke an impulse.
Resistance levels: trend, 85585, 88840.
Support levels: 81187, 78170, 73500
Buying in the medium term can be considered either after reaching the main target - 73-66K, or after the exit from the descending channel and price fixation above 88840. Now the emphasis is on a possible fall either from the resistance 85580, or when the support 81180 is broken
Regards R. Linda!
BTC Weekly – System Says Wait
BTC closed above the 200 MA — structurally bullish.
But the system remains bearish:
LR < SMA < BB center
PSAR dots above price
No setup confirmed. No rule = no trade.
After a macro-heavy week, BTC is holding, but that can flip fast.
This is where discipline protects you.
You can have the best system, but without the right mindset, it won’t help you.
Discipline is more than following rules — it’s about being in the right state to trust them.
I don’t predict. I follow.
The system keeps me calm, focused, and out of emotional trades.
BTC 4H – Weak Bulls, Range Breakdown Ahead?Trading gets much easier when you understand the strength and weakness of trends and the market cycle. Right now, BTC is showing us clear signs of bull exhaustion.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Price has been trapped between FWB:88K resistance and GETTEX:82K support, forming a visible trading range.
Recently, BTC failed to even reach the middle zone of the range, which reflects weak buying momentum.
With multiple rejections and bearish pressure building, the GETTEX:82K support is likely to be broken soon.
🧭 Next Target: If the breakdown occurs, expect price to fall below $80K, targeting the liquidation zones highlighted on the chart.
💡 The structure is shifting bearish—prepare accordingly.
📊 Stay sharp and follow for more accurate market insights! 🔔
BRIEFING Week #14 : What a Mess !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
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Bitcoin Holding PRZ Support Lines – Is a Weekend Rebound Coming?First of all, I would like to say that the Trading Volume is generally low on Saturdays and Sundays , so I don't expect the Support Lines and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) [$82,340-$82,000 ] to break. Of course, we should always be prepared for any scenario.
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support lines and PRZ , and with the help of the Failed Falling Wedge Pattern , Bitcoin has declined in the last few hours .
Educational Note : In technical analysis, if a Reversal Pattern fails , it often acts as a Continuation Pattern instead .
I expect Bitcoin to trend upward in the coming hours and be able to reach the targets I have outlined on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $81,900, we should most likely expect more dumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Eyeing 95K? Short-Term Momentum BuildsBitcoin has been showing strength recently, holding key support levels and hinting at a potential breakout. If bullish sentiment continues and macro conditions remain favorable, BTC could retest the $95K zone in the short term.
On the daily chart, we’re seeing higher highs and higher lows, with the RSI in a healthy range and moving averages trending upward. A clean break above the GETTEX:92K resistance could trigger a strong upward move.
Watch for volume confirmation and strong candle formations — this might be a solid opportunity for traders looking for short-term setups.
🚨 Always remember: proper risk management is just as important as the technicals.
BITCOIN - Price can correct to support area and rise to $86000Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, the price moved inside rising channel and then made breakout, reaching upper resistance area.
After that, Bitcoin dropped sharply and entered a flat pattern between support and resistance boundaries.
It tested $82300 support level several times, bouncing from this zone without a clear downward breakout.
Recently, the price again touched the support area between $82300 and $81500 and bounced from this demand zone.
Now BTC trades near the middle of the flat and shows signs of strength after holding a support area.
In my opinion, Bitcoin can rise from current range and reach $86000 resistance level in the next move.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Could Bitcoin Crash 60%—But Only 20% of Traders Lose?Analyzing the current BTC/USDT chart, we see that Bitcoin is hanging just above a critical support zone—what many traders recognize as “the most important support level” from a volume perspective on Binance. The chart illustrates a potential 60.37% drop, which would pull BTC down nearly $49,000, back toward the high-volume range near $30K.
This sounds catastrophic, right? But here’s the twist...
🔍 Why Only 20% of Traders Might Actually Lose
According to Binance's volume profile data:
The majority of buying activity and position accumulation happened below $35,000.
Most long-term holders and smart money entered during the 2022-2023 accumulation range.
The Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) shows significant support below the current price, with minimal trading volume at higher levels.
💡 That means only a minority (approx. 20%) of traders bought BTC during its late-stage bull run above $70K. These are the traders most at risk if a drop occurs.
In contrast, the majority are still sitting in profit—or near break-even—even if Bitcoin retraces back to its base.
📊 So while the price could drop 60%, 80% of holders might remain safe, having entered at lower levels.
🧠 What This Means for You:
If you're a late bull, it’s time to assess risk.
If you're a smart accumulator, the pullback could offer another golden entry.
If you're a bear, this chart supports your thesis—but don't forget the whales are watching this zone closely.
Stay sharp. Stay informed.