Bitcoin Crashes To $81,346.77? Good News & Bad NewsBitcoin is crashing... ? Not really, Bitcoin continues really strong above $100K.
We have good news and bad news.
Bad news. The very ultra-strong, long-term unbreakable support zone is being challenged. This is the $100,000 - $102,000 price range.
God news. It holds. This support zone is being challenged but so far it holds.
So far there is nothing unexpected here we know the market can shake, the market is bound to produce swings. If 100K breaks though this would be a completely different story. If it breaks, Bitcoin continues bullish producing a retrace only to end as a higher low followed by additional growth.
Will support break or hold, is there a way to know?
Bitcoin's retrace after the all-time high so far amounts to -10%. A standard retrace can easily push prices between 0.382 and 0.5 Fib. retracement. Anything lower and this would be a correction rather than a retrace.
Will it break?
It is possible but so far 100K is a very strong support. We have EMA55 here as well as several Fib. levels but if Bitcoin remains below $102,000 then it can definitely break.
The next major support below 100K sits at MA200 or $95,000. This is in-between 0.382-0.5 Fib. retracement. This can be used as the higher low zone and re-entry zone. But, Bitcoin is really strong and demand is big, so we have to wait for the weekly close.
Remember, Bitcoin will continue slightly bearish, consolidating, until the Fed decision. After the event, it is very likely to go full blown bullish. The altcoins will grow as well.
Watch the market shake just to recover the next day.
Are you a weak hand or a strong hand?
Do you have a trading plan?
If you do, nothing changes, simply short-term noise.
If you don't have a plan, right now you might be thinking that the world is close to its end. It isn't, Bitcoin will continue to grow, it takes time for the bulls to recharge before the next wave of growth.
Focus on the long-term.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Btc-e
Bitcoin's Roadmap: Price Structure, Fair Value & Market RhythmSince bottoming on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has embarked on a remarkable bull run, rising +623.5% over 927 days and reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of ~112K.
When compared to the previous bull cycle, spanning 1061 days and producing a +2086% gain, this current rally shows signs of diminishing returns, a typical behaviour of maturing markets. Traders now face a critical question: has Bitcoin peaked for this cycle, or is another surge toward ~120K+ possible?
Historical Echoes: Elliott Wave Comparison
The 2018–2021 bull market formed a five-wave Elliott structure. That cycle ended with a -77.5% correction. The current cycle similarly traces out a completed five-wave advance from the $15.5K low, suggesting we may now be in a corrective phase.
Current hypothesis: Bitcoin is in Wave B of an ABC correction, with Wave C potentially targeting $64K–$70K.
Harmonic Confirmation: Cypher Sigma Pattern
A refined harmonic formation, I call it the Cypher Sigma Harmonic Pattern (CSHP) and it has proven highly effective in volatile assets like Bitcoin. It differs from the classic Cypher by:
BC projection: 1.07–1.136 of XA (vs. 1.272–1.414)
CD retracement: 0.786–0.886 of XC
BD extension: 1.272–1.618 of BC (not present in traditional Cypher but often targets 1.272-2.0)
In 2022, this pattern predicted the bottom near $16K. Currently, another Cypher Sigma is potentially forming, pointing to a possible correction to ~$64K. This target aligns with historical level (the 2021 ATH zone) and represents a possible -40% pullback.
Multi-Layered Technical Confluence
Pitchfork Resistance: Bitcoin rejected the upper resistance (Fib 1.0–1.136 zone)
Pitchfork Golden Pocket Support: ~$64K matches the golden pocket and high-liquidity area
Fibonacci Circles: Rejection precisely at the 1.618–1.65 circle arc (~$112K)
Speed Fan 0.618: Key structural support intersects projected retracement zone
Previous 2021 ATH
Together, these tools strongly support the hypothesis of a macro top forming.
Fair Value Trend Model (FVTM) – New Indicator
As part of ongoing research into Bitcoin’s long-term valuation, I developed the Fair Value Trend Model—a logarithmic regression-based indicator tailored for Bitcoin. Here is an example on the monthly timeframe.
Key Features:
Computes a log-log regression: ln(Price) vs ln(Days since inception)
Yields a power-law growth curve: F(t) = C · ^b
Includes dynamic channel bands at user-defined percentage offsets
Projects the trend forward in time with linear extrapolation
I have just freshly published this indicator for free on TradingView. Visit my profile, add it to your chart, and explore how Bitcoin consistently revisits its fair value in bear markets before launching new macro waves.
Use Cases:
Identify overextensions above the fair value channel
Spot mean-reversion setups near the lower channel band
Gauge long-term trend continuation via slope and forecast
The indicator is best used on daily, weekly and monthly charts, and it supports both all-time and rolling-window modes.
Educational Insight:
The Fair Value Trend Model isn’t just a tool! It's a lens to view the long-term rhythm of the Bitcoin market. By understanding where the fair value lies, you gain the clarity to separate short-term volatility from long-term opportunity.
Every great trader starts with a desire to understand. If you're learning, experimenting, and observing patiently—you’re on the right path. Let this model be your guide through the noise. Trust the math, respect the cycles, and never stop refining your edge.
Study day and swing trading, improve your technical and psychological skills, and wait patiently for high-probability trade setups, whether short-, medium-, or long-term. Being patient is key.
Psychological Insight: Mastery Over Impulse
The greatest returns favour the patient. Traders who ignored the noise in 2022 and accumulated around $16K were rewarded exponentially. As Bitcoin potentially enters a correction, the same principle applies: monitor, learn, and prepare—not panic.
Top-tier traders execute based on structure, not emotion. This cycle will reward those who:
-> Study multi-timeframe confluences
Outlook: Bearish Retracement, Bullish Opportunity
While a push to $120K+ is possible, the confluence of Elliott Wave, harmonic patterns, and macro tools suggest a potential 40% retracement into ~$64K by end of 2025/early 2026. This aligns with historical patterns and may offer a great buying opportunity.
This cycle isn’t about catching the exact top—it’s about navigating it intelligently. Use tools that reflect structural value, not just reactive price action. Combine the Fair Value Trend Model with other tools to gain clarity. Most importantly: remain curious, remain disciplined.
Happy trading.
Thanks for reading =) stay sharp, stay patient, and keep evolving 🚀
_________________________________
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis – 15-Min Chart | Short-Term Bearish The current price action of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) shows a sustained bearish trend within a well-defined descending channel. Following a temporary bullish correction in the form of a rising channel, the price faced strong resistance around the $107,000–$110,500 supply zone and is now showing signs of a bearish breakout.
📉 Key Technical Observations:
A clear rejection from the upper resistance zone has led to a breakdown below the rising correction channel.
Immediate support zones are identified around $99,600 (TP1) and $94,300 (TP2), where price may potentially stabilize or bounce.
The bearish momentum remains dominant unless a strong reversal above $107,000 occurs.
📌 Scenarios to Watch:
Bearish Scenario: Price could continue falling toward TP1 and possibly TP2 if momentum holds and no strong reversal signals appear.
Bullish Reversal Scenario: A bounce from support levels with higher lows and a break above $107,000 could signal the beginning of a new bullish phase.
🔔 Disclaimer:
This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
EURCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURCAD is currently consolidating within a clean symmetrical triangle formation on the 8H chart, tightening between dynamic support and resistance. Price is hovering around 1.56200 and coiling at the apex of the triangle, suggesting a breakout is imminent. With this structure developing over several weeks, this setup is primed for a high-probability directional move. The overall technical picture is showing compression, and the bullish bias becomes more likely if price breaks and closes above 1.56900.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining moderate strength as the ECB is maintaining a cautiously hawkish tone while assessing economic recovery and inflation persistence. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar is facing downward pressure following the Bank of Canada's recent interest rate cut — a shift that surprised many traders and sparked risk-on flows away from the loonie. Crude oil prices, which often support CAD, have also turned volatile with no sustained bullish momentum, weakening CAD’s support base.
This triangle pattern reflects indecision but also the perfect setup for breakout traders waiting for volatility expansion. A confirmed bullish breakout would likely target 1.59200, with short-term resistance levels offering minor friction around 1.57800. The breakout aligns with a well-balanced risk-reward setup, with a stop area potentially below 1.56000. Price action has respected this structure consistently, adding further confluence for a clean technical move.
As EURCAD inches toward a decision point, traders should be on high alert for breakout confirmation and follow-through momentum. This is a textbook volatility squeeze pattern — when it resolves, it tends to run fast and far. With favorable macro fundamentals, this setup has the potential to deliver a solid trend continuation wave in the coming sessions.
#BTC/USDT: Head & Shoulders Breakdown – $95K Incoming?Hey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver!
Bitcoin just broke below the neckline of a clear Head & Shoulders pattern on the 4H timeframe — a classic bearish signal.
As long as price stays below the neckline and fails to reclaim the $106.5K zone, we could be heading for a deeper correction toward the $95K–$98K support range.
Key Levels:
Breakdown Zone: ~$103.9K
Downside Target: $95K–$98K
Invalidation: Reclaim above $106.5K
Market is showing consistent weakness — small bounces are quickly sold off.
Let the pattern play out and manage your risk accordingly.
What do you think — short-term dip or deeper breakdown loading?
2️⃣ Who's Next? Or: Operation: "Saving Private Saylor2️⃣ Who's Next? Or: Operation: "Saving Private Saylor"
❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To fully and completely understand what is being discussed here, please refer to the root idea via the link:
1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents
📰 Forbes: Your Cover – Our Margin Call. Saylor, Get Ready!
You've heard it, haven't you? Those stories about Forbes covers and the subsequent fall of crypto empires? It's no longer a superstition; it's, damn it, statistics:
Changpeng Zhao (CZ), Forbes, February 2018: "Binance's Crypto King!" – the headlines screamed. And what then? He served four months in prison. Well, not immediately, of course, but the "seed" of the curse was sown.
Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF), Forbes, October 2021: "The New Warren Buffett of Crypto!" – the fanfares shrieked. And what was the result? He's sitting pretty now, enjoying prison romance.
And now, our incomparable Michael Saylor enters the stage! Forbes puts him on the cover in January 2025 "Michael Saylor: The Bitcoin Alchemist"!
Why a Forbes cover is not glory but a warning for Michael Saylor (and a signal for the US government): This is not just a coincidence; it's a systemic pattern. Forbes, whether out of naivety or, conversely, subtle calculation, acts as an unwitting harbinger. They choose those who are at the peak of hype, those who have "believed in themselves" and are ready to tell the whole world about their "brilliant" strategy. And the peak of hype, as we know, is the beginning of a fall. And this is where it gets interesting. The US government, which carefully reads such magazines (after all, they write about "financial stability" and "national interests" there), sees Michael Saylor on the cover and thinks: 💭 "Well, well, this guy has accumulated half a million Bitcoins. And he's currently at the peak of self-admiration. Excellent! Get ready for 'Operation: Coercion to Stability'!"
❌ Why this cover for Saylor is not just a photoshoot, but a "liquidation marker" for the US government:
"The Forbes Curse" as a "Market Overheat" Indicator: For our financial strategists from the Treasury and the Fed, Saylor's appearance on the cover is not just a signal of "overheating"; it's a green light for activating the "Crypto-Reserve" plan. They see: "Oh, this guy got too relaxed. He has too much 'digital gold' at an average price of $74,000. And we love to buy at a discount, especially if the discount can be 'arranged'!"
Recession and Crash as "Natural Selection": Remember that TBAC in its documents constantly reminds us of Bitcoin's "volatility" and the "necessity of hedging." The perfect storm for Saylor is an "unexpected" recession in the US and a sharp stock market crash. At this moment, Bitcoin, which has always historically behaved as a "high-beta" asset (DA&TM, p. 5), will fall even faster. When BTC is in the range of $30,000 - $40,000, this will not just be a "loss" for Micro Strategy – it will be absolute financial hell for their leveraged positions, which they so "cleverly" accumulated.
Margin Calls: Music to Regulators' Ears: Saylor's average purchase price of $74,000, and Bitcoin has fallen to $30-40k? This is not just "oh, we're in the red" . These are massive margin calls and the threat of liquidation of MarginCallStrategy MicroStrategy's positions, which mortgaged its shares and Bitcoin itself to buy even more Bitcoin. The banks holding them as collateral (and which are, of course, "friendly" with the Fed) will start to get nervous. And then, as if by magic, the "saving hand" of the government will appear.
"Humanitarian Aid" (at a Bitcoin price of $30-40k.): They won't come waving checkbooks to buy Bitcoin for $100,000. They will come when Saylor is on the verge of collapse, and they will say: 💬 "Michael, we see your pain. To avoid 'systemic risk' and 'protect investors' (who are in your fund because you bought so much Bitcoin), we are ready to 'help'. We will 'acquire' your Bitcoin at a 'fair' price (which, of course, will be significantly lower than Saylor's purchase price) to 'stabilize' the situation. Naturally, this is not a purchase, but 'crisis prevention'."
Bitcoin in the "Crypto-Reserve": Mission Accomplished! Thus, the government, without directly buying a "speculative asset," will receive half a million BTC at a "bargain" price, using market crashes and financial pressure. And then they will be able to proudly declare: "We have 'digital gold' that will protect our financial system from external shocks. And yes, it is now in our hands, not some 'Alchemist's'."
✖️ The Forbes Curse: When a Magazine Becomes a Catapult for Crypto-Kings
The cover of Forbes magazine is not just paper and ink; it's the financial equivalent of an "X" on your back, appearing exactly when "Big Brother" decides you've gotten too big for your "digital gold" britches. Let's recall the chronicles of this "curse" to understand what awaits our Michael Saylor:
1. CZ (Changpeng Zhao), Binance:
▫️ Forbes Cover: Feb. 2018. Headlines trumpeted "crypto-king."
▫️ BTC Price: $11,500. The entire crypto-brotherhood rejoiced, thinking the moon-run was endless.
▫️ What happened next: By the end of 2018, Bitcoin plummeted to $3,000. A -73% drop. And Changpeng, after several years of legal battles, eventually ended up behind bars for 4 months.
2. SBF (Sam Bankman-Fried), FTX:
▫️ Forbes Cover: Oct. 2021. "The Billionaire Saving the Crypto World!" indeed.
▫️ BTC Price at the time: Around $60,000. The market was at its peak; everyone was talking about $100k, "diamond hands," and a "new financial era."
▫️ What happened next: A year later, by the end of 2022, Bitcoin was already around $16,000. A -75% drop. And Sam? Sam is enjoying government cuisine and the company of cellmates, sentenced to 25 years (but according to recent data, the term may be reduced by 4 years).
3. Michael Saylor, Micro Strategy:
▫️ Forbes Cover: Jan. 2025. Our "Alchemist" Michael, with brilliance and faith in his eyes, has concocted somewhere around half a million bitcoins and has finally received this "honor."
▫️ BTC Price: As of today, around $100k. Imagine the hype! Saylor tells everyone that "we've only just begun," that Bitcoin is "financial sovereignty" and "the future of humanity," whose price is about to fly to $500k without you! Buy now, don't miss out!
▫️ What will happen next (according to the "Big Brother" scenario): If history is not just a collection of boring dates, but a cyclical performance with notes of tragicomedy, then the following awaits us. A year after the Forbes cover, by early 2026, the price of Bitcoin in this scenario could plummet by -70% from its ATH. This means Bitcoin would be in the range of $30-40k. dollars. And what about Michael? I don't want to jinx it, but if CZ served four months, Sam will likely serve 4 years, then how long will our BTC-prophet and "crypto-Moses" get? Forty?
In conclusion: The Forbes curse is not magic; it's a harbinger of a systemic blow. So, when you see another crypto-hero on the cover of Forbes, don't rush to rejoice for him. Most likely, it's the last call before the "system" begins its complex, multi-step plan for "coercion to cooperation."
So, let's dream. No, not about flights to Mars, but about much more down-to-earth, but far more probable scenarios, where Washington finally gets its hands on "digital gold." After all, as stated in DA&TM, Bitcoin is "a store of value, aka 'digital gold' in the decentralized world of DeFi" . Well, since it's "gold," it should be in our "gold reserve," right? But to buy it directly? Oh no, that's a "speculative asset," it's "volatile" ! But "acquiring" it at a discount – that's a whole different song.
📝 The "Digital Couping" Scenario (or how to take Bitcoin without buying it on the open market):
◻️ Phase 1: Deflation of the US Stock Market Bubble
▫️ "Recession? Stock market crash? Perfect time for 'healing'!" The government and banksters will always find a way to "help" the market. If the American economy, as many are whispering now, faces a serious recession, and the stock market tumbles, then Bitcoin, as a "high-beta" asset, may well follow suit. Remember how Bitcoin reacted to "crashes" in 2017, 2021, 2022 (DA&TM, p. 5, chart). If Michael Saylor's average purchase price is $74,000 today, then a drop into the $30,000 - $50,000 range is not just a "correction"; it will be an absolute financial hell for his margin positions, which he so "cleverly" accumulated.
▫️ Margin-call for Micro Strategy. Michael Saylor didn't just buy Bitcoin; he bought it with borrowed funds, collateralizing his shares and even Bitcoin itself. In the event of a deep market downturn and, consequently, a fall in BTC's price, Micro Strategy will face serious problems servicing its debt and maintaining collateral. The banks that issued them loans (and these are, most likely, banks very "friendly" to the government) will start to get nervous. And then the most interesting part will begin.
◻️ Phase 2: "Operation: Buyout"
▫️ "An offer you can't refuse." When Micro Strategy is on the verge of default or bankruptcy due to its Bitcoin positions, "saviors" will appear on the scene – perhaps some specially created "Digital Asset Stability Fund" or even directly "government-friendly" large financial institutions that have received a "green light" and, possibly, even funding from the Fed (naturally "to ensure financial stability").
▫️ "We are not buying; we are 'stabilizing'!" They won't say: "We are buying Bitcoin." They will say: 💬 "We are preventing systemic risk! We are providing liquidity to the market during a crisis, buying back their 'high-beta' asset at a 'fair' price (which, of course, will be significantly lower than Saylor's purchase price)." And this is where the "digital gold" narrative, which has already permeated even official documents (DA&TM, p. 2), will come into play. "It's gold, and gold should be in the state reserve, shouldn't it? "
◻️ Phase 3: Nationalization of 'Digital Gold' and control over the narrative
▫️ "Congratulations, Michael, you've become a 'pioneer'!" After most of Saylor's Bitcoins are "saved," they will end up in the hands of, say, a "special depository" or a "strategic digital asset reserve." At the same time, the government will not "own" them in the traditional sense, but will "manage" them for "national interests."
▫️ "Now we have 'digital gold,' and it will work for us!" With this significant reserve of Bitcoins (576k "taken" from Saylor + 200k "confiscated" Bitcoins earlier – that's no joke), the US government suddenly becomes the largest sovereign holder of an asset that they will now officially recognize as "digital gold." This will allow them to:
▫️ Influence the market: If necessary, they will be able to use this "crypto-reserve" to "stabilize" prices, intervening in the market (for example, by selling small portions to curb too much growth, or conversely, by buying if the market falls sharply, but through their affiliated structures).
▫️ Legitimize "digital gold": If the US government has a Bitcoin reserve, then it's no longer "speculative nonsense," but part of the official financial system. This will open doors for broader institutional adoption, but on their terms.
▫️ Pump capitalization through stablecoins for national debt: A crucial strategic step will be to use this new "digital gold standard" to address the growing national debt. By aggressively legitimizing Bitcoin as "digital gold" and creating controlled mechanisms for its storage and trading (e.g., through regulated ETFs and tokenized assets), the US government will create a powerful incentive for capital inflow. In parallel, by strengthening regulation and encouraging the growth of fiat-backed stablecoins, collateralized by short-term US Treasury bonds (T-Bills), a colossal "cushion" of demand for US national debt will be created. The larger the capitalization of stablecoins, the greater the need for T-Bills to back them. The goal is to first build up a large BTC reserve, then, by boosting stablecoin capitalization, inflate the overall crypto market capitalization and the price of Bitcoin itself, to ultimately create a new powerful tool for "monetizing" or, at least, facilitating the servicing of US national debt. This will look like a brilliant financial maneuver, turning "wild" cryptocurrency into a tool for strengthening US financial stability and national security.
◽️ A rescue that looks like a robbery. So the scenario is not that the US government will "pump" Bitcoin by buying it expensively; the scenario is that they will create conditions and wait for the market to "drown" the most ambitious hodlers, and then come to the rescue to "save" their assets. And this "help" will look like the acquisition of a strategic asset at a bargain price, using existing market pressure mechanisms and crisis phenomena. This is a classic "good cop, bad cop" game, where the "bad cop" is an "unexpected" market recession, and the "good cop" is the government that "saves" assets to then use them for its geopolitical and financial interests. And all this under the guise of "financial stability" and "national security," of course. After all, who better than the government can manage your "digital gold"? Of course, no one!
❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To learn more, refer to the root idea via the link:
1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents
BITCOIN Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN keeps falling down
And the coin is almost 9%
Down from the recent highs
So BTC is oversold and
After it hits a horizontal
Support of 100,800$
We will be expecting a
Local rebound and a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$BTC correction has just started. What is coming next?As I previously stated in my CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , and CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 analysis — this move was expected. Check out my other ideas for more detailed breakdowns.
So, what’s happening?
Bitcoin maximalists have been buying heavily at the top, right when RSI and MACD were in overbought territory, creating a clear bearish divergence.
Something Saylor and others seem to ignore: you can't defy mathematics — what needs a correction will correct.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC still looks bullish on the weekly timeframe, so we’re not entering a bear market. However, the pump is over, key supports have broken, and altcoins are correcting — some by -25% in a single day.
Purely from a charting perspective, we can identify multiple potential support levels for CRYPTOCAP:BTC :
$101K, $94K, $89K, $87K, with a lower-probability retest down to $75K.
We’re likely entering a 2-week correction, after which CRYPTOCAP:BTC could resume its uptrend — potentially closing June at a new all-time high.
DYOR.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Altcoins #CryptoCrash #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCdominance #TOTAL2 #BearishDivergence #Saylor #RSI #MACD #ATH #DYOR
HolderStat┆BTCUSD pennant pauseCRYPTOCAP:BTC cools under 106 k inside a narrowing pennant pinned to its long-term rising rail. Successive ascending consolidation triangles hint at continuation, projecting a thrust toward the 111 k resistance shelf. Holding the pattern’s base keeps breakout odds tilted north.
BTC (Y25.P2.E6).Likely fractalHi Traders,
I'm looking at this level as a likely scenario.
Why?
Its happened x2 in the past when we made ATH.
A 12 and 14% retracement.
The liquidity is there, the incentive is there and a low like this will make people sell as to think the bull run is over.
We have our levels to trade for shorts and longs but ultimately, I think it will make its way down to here.
As per my post, this current level was a long entry and I'm in a long, however its not the response I was hoping for.
So its likely a scalp trade and hence I will be looking for a short as well.
All the best.
S.SAri
Y24, March ATH
Y21 ATH
current support, AvWap
LINK Long Setup – Retrace to Key Support After Strong RallyLINK saw a strong rally from April to mid-May, and is now undergoing a healthy retracement. Price is approaching the $13.00–$13.50 support zone, offering a potential long spot entry as the market cools.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $13.00 – $13.50
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $15.00 – $16.00
o 🥈 $17.00 – $18.00
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $12.00
$BTC 2025: The road to $444,000As predicted by @JoshMandell6 on X earlier this year, this chart is an entirely theoretical exercise (a pure hopium mind-burp if you will) to explore the remote possibility that a CRYPTOCAP:BTC price of $444K might even be achievable in any scenario. I simply drew a line from the Pi Cycle top in 2017/18, to the top in March 2021 and projected on to now (June 2025). I then marked off the $444K prediction made earlier this year by @JoshMandell6 (the yellow horizontal, dashed line). I then checked prior BTC cycles to see there are any examples where BTC was able to climb this distance within 2 monthly candles. Interestingly, if you take the last 2 monthly candles from the 2017/18 cycle (before and including the topping candle), it does line up pretty well. This suggests it is theoretically possible for BTC to reach $444k by August 1st 2025 - I know this is highly unlikely of course; but interesting all the same.
For additional context to this theory: the specific post I'm referring to was made by Josh Mandell (@JoshMandell6) on X (formerly Twitter) on November 5, 2024. In this post, Mandell presented a poetic prediction stating that Bitcoin would reach $84,000 on March 14, 2025, and subsequently surge to approximately $444,000. The prediction included symbolic phrases like “three four, times a thousand,” suggesting a target price of $444,000.
Mandell's forecast gained significant attention when Bitcoin indeed closed near $84,000 on March 14, 2025, aligning with his prediction. This accuracy bolstered his reputation, especially considering his background as a former trader at Salomon Brothers and Caxton Associates. He has also been transparent about his trading activities, publicly sharing his portfolio, which reportedly grew from $2.1 million to over $22 million by March 2025.
en.bitcoinsistemi.com
For a more in-depth understanding of Mandell's prediction and its implications, you might find this video insightful: youtu.be
This is a deception or maybe a technique !!!I think this head and shoulders pattern is trying to deceive us and is fake. I expect the price to drop to the support line and then rise to $109k. WAIT FOR IT....
Give me some energy !!
The Crypto Market Game: How to Win Against Fear and Manipulation
Did you really think profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they’ll let you buy low, hold, and sell high without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win.
They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will create panic, causing you to sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there’s fear, not sell—because your panic gives them cheap assets.
This is how the game works: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sell-off. They make it look like the end of the world so you abandon everything. And when the market rises again, you’re left sitting there asking, “What just happened?”
This is not an accident. It’s a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear, forcing you to give up. When you panic, they profit. They don’t just play the market—they play you. That’s why most people never succeed: they fall into the same traps over and over again.
People don’t realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They block out the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever.
We’ve seen this play out hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them back to you at the top—leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened.
Don’t play their game. Play your own.
Weak bearish contextMorning folks,
Not many changes since our last discussion. Yes BTC moved slightly lower, as we suggested, but you can see by yourself - action is very slow and lazy. Usually when bears control the market, action has to be stronger.
It means that overall context remains bearish but it is weak and not very attractive for trading, although it is not forbidden of course. We consider upside breakout of 107-108K area as a vital moment for this context. While downside target is around 97-98K.
ETHEREUM → Consolidation amid a bull marketBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating in the range of 2400-2750, and locally, the coin looks quite promising even against the backdrop of Bitcoin forming a correction...
ETH is forming a strong consolidation within which it confirms a bullish market structure. After a false breakout of resistance, there is no sharp decline and the price returns to retest resistance.
If the bulls hold their defense above 2530-2550, then in the short and medium term, ETH may demonstrate growth towards the intermediate target.
Resistance levels: 2738, 2855
Support levels: 2525, 2470, 2400
A retest of support at 2525 - 2470 is possible, and if the price holds above this support zone, ETH may try to surprise us. There are good chances for growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
$BTC UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $104,987 support in effect, previous weekly closed with bearish engulfing, 4h closed with bullish engulfing - current 4H trying to follow thru. $107,461 support needed to push for $110,423 resistance, and then the new ATH. $103,093 current support, $99,361 key support from here. Watch given S/R
Sell Bitcoin and buy Altcoins!🚨 Controversial Take Ahead – Packed With High-Value Insights 🚨
Let’s dive deep.
👨💻 A bit about me:
I’ve been riding the tech wave since the beginning:
Programmed video games in the 80s and 90s
Built VSTi plugins in the early 2000s
Started creating websites when Internet Explorer 1.0 launched
Sold 3D assets when Unity 2.5 (first PC version) dropped
Launched my own blockchain in 2016
Deployed smart contracts on TRON in 2018
I don’t follow trends—I predict them. My instincts are backed by decades of hands-on experience.
Now, here’s what I see coming:
⚠️ 1. Sell Your Bitcoins
Yes, Bitcoin is obsolete. It’s a technology—not a precious metal—and like all tech, it must evolve or die.
Ask yourself:
Do you use a Blackberry today?
Still flying in 1930s planes?
Gaming on an Atari or Commodore 64?
Surfing the web with Lycos or Altavista?
No? Then why are you betting on a 2009 technology?
Most people don’t even understand how Bitcoin works—ask around what SHA256 or RSA means.
Crypto is misunderstood, and that’s dangerous.
Back in 1998, I created the UPL library, which handled data compression & encryption using all major algorithms—Huffman, LZSS, DES, RSA, etc. I’m not just throwing words around—I’ve built this stuff.
Politicians and financial institutions (yes, even Saylor) are 15 years late to Bitcoin. They're missing the truth: BTC’s upgrades failed (Ordinals, Runes, etc). Its value holds due to FOMO from the uninformed, not innovation.
One day, your Bitcoins will be as worthless as mp3.com stock. That’s not opinion—that’s technological reality.
🪙 2. Buy Altcoins
Not every altcoin is a winner—but that’s where the real opportunity is.
Remember:
Nokia and Blackberry ruled before Samsung and Xiaomi.
The next Amazon, Google, or Nvidia already exists—and it's trading for pennies.
When people laugh at altcoins, that’s the time to buy low.
Altcoins like CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:SUI , MIL:UNI could 100x… even 100,000x.
Bitcoin might double—and then crash.
Smart traders buy when everyone else is mocking.
🌍 3. Consequences of the BTC Collapse
This collapse will come at a turning point in global power.
Wall Street and U.S. states are heavily exposed to BTC. If it crashes, the Western financial system could implode—a dot-com-level disaster.
China, on the other hand, is stable, adaptive, and tech-forward.
Crypto without staking, DeFi, NFTs, GameFi, smart contracts? That’s not the future—that’s Bitcoin. Altcoins are the future.
Bookmark this post. Re-read it in 10 years.
You’ll remember I said it first: Innovation is unstoppable.
Enjoy the last Bitcoin pump. Then watch what comes next.
DYOR.
#CryptoRevolution #AltcoinSeason #BitcoinCollapse #Web3Future #BlockchainInnovation #SellBitcoin #BuyAltcoins #CryptoTruth #DeFi #GameFi #SmartContracts #CryptoShift #UnstoppableInnovation