Bear trap or the beginning of a bear market?A bear trap is on the border between a bear and a bull market. If it is really just a trap, then after a false breakout through support there should be a pullback and a subsequent run to the heights without any chance of buying on suitable positions. However, if it is not a bear trap, then it will only be a confirmation of the beginning of a bear market.
Btc-e
BTCUSD The Week Ahead 10th march '25Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 91,900 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 82,563, followed by 79,428 and 76,000.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 91,900, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 95,126, with further resistance at 98,500.
Conclusion:
The price remains at a pivotal level, with 91,900 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
And Then One Time Bitcoin Went From $30k To $30 MillionNever say never! I know it sounds crazy but what if this whole bitcoin move that we saw from inception to today was one giant cycle? What if this is the bottom of a larger cycle and we are about to see numbers that no one could ever even imagine are possible? What if everyone who is predicting Bitcoins's next move is near sighted and need to zoom out allloot further and see the larger cycle? What if Im crazy? Its all possible, and that would put Bitcoin's market cap at $600 TRILLION. Not impossible in my opinion. This is just my opinion and a wild one at that so dont take this as any sort of financial advice, Im just having fun here. Good luck out there.
BITCOIN - Price can continue to grow inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, price entered a falling channel, where it reached resistance line and then continued to fall.
In a short time, price declined to $98000 level, after which rose a little and then dropped to support line of channel.
After this, price rose to resistance area and soon broke $98000 level and continued to decline next.
BTC fell to $83600 level and even lower, thereby exiting from falling channel and started to grow in another channel.
In rising channel, Bitcoin grew a little and then corrected, after which it continued to move up.
So, I expect that Bitcoin can correct a little and then rise to $98000 resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BTC ANALYSIS🔮 #BTC Analysis
💲💲 #BTC is trading in a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. If the price of #BTC breaks and sustain the higher price then will see a pump. Also there is an instant strong support zone. We may see a retest towards the support zone first and then a reversal📈
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #Support #Resistance #DYOR
BITCOIN Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to 130k . it might happen.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BITCOIN $BTCUSD | BTC BEARISH TREND & STRATEGIC BITCOIN RESERVEBITCOIN BITSTAMP:BTCUSD | BTC BEARISH TREND & STRATEGIC BITCOIN RESERVE Mar09'25
Sparros Exchange Trend Table:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Weekly: Bullish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Daily: Bearish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 4H: Bearish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 1H: Bearish
Bitcoin Zones:
Bitcoin BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $90,500 - $106,000
Bitcoin DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $84,000 - $90,500
Bitcoin SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $69,000 - $84,000
Bitcoin is currently trading at $86,000, reflecting a bearish trend after reaching its all-time high nearly two months ago. The cryptocurrency has experienced substantial volatility, with the price having previously consolidated in higher ranges.
As of recent developments, the U.S. government has announced a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve," indicating the government’s growing commitment to digital assets. This move is seen as part of a broader strategy to strengthen the U.S.'s position as a leader in the global digital currency space, though no specific amount of Bitcoin has been disclosed for this reserve.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Bitcoin at Critical Support: Technical Analysis and Trade Idea📊 Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at a critical support zone, offering potential opportunities for both counter-trend trades and short setups! 🚀 In this video, we break down Bitcoin's price action and market structure on the daily and four-hour timeframes, focusing on key areas such as liquidity zones, bearish imbalances, and Fibonacci retracement levels. Discover how to identify higher highs, higher lows, and potential trade setups for both long and short positions. 💹 Whether you're an experienced trader or just getting started, this analysis will give you the tools to navigate Bitcoin's current market dynamics with confidence. 🔄 As always, this content is for educational purposes only—trade wisely and stay safe! 💡
Bitcoin: 120 In April, 140-150 In MayIt is time to connect. It is time to participate, to be around and to be in the market. The time to be out is already gone, this was between December - February. Now it is wise to be in and participating, in order to have an early start.
It is truly a life changing opportunity, being present and participating in the Cryptocurrency space. We are approaching to the best ever, the biggest event this market has to be offer, it is wise to be first.
Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
Bitcoin closed last week at $94,000. The week prior, $96,000. This week, what will it be?
Last week Bitcoin opened at $96,000 but crashed toward $78K. It then recovered and closed at 94. The bearish action was nothing more than short-term noise. Similar things can happen this week. Bitcoin is ultra-bullish when it trades monthly above $80,000. Please keep this in mind. We are in the buy-zone.
Bitcoin is great now and soon it will be going up.
Based on very rough estimations, we are going to be seeing Bitcoin trading around $120,000 in April 2025. That's my prediction if the action develops as I've been saying lately. If Bitcoin closes this week at 85,000, 88,000 or 92,000 makes no difference at all. What matters and what is really important is long-term growth.
What difference would it make if the week closes at 87,000 but next week Bitcoin trades at 98k? What difference would it make? None. We are going up so it is better to focus on the long-term.
By the month of May, mid/late, we can have Bitcoin trading at $140,000 or $150,000, this would be pretty good. Any retrace or correction will be fast or slow, we are set to experience long-term growth.
The final target for the cycle top is likely to happen late this year, we will adapt if market conditions change. The bull-market can become an "extended bull-market," let's hope this is the case.
The Altcoins will blow up. Major projects such as Ethereum, Cardano, XRP and Solana will reach numbers not possible to predict with a chart. This is all great.
Trading volume is very low this week and last week as the market turns red. When the market is green, volume goes up. This reveals a bullish bias. Bullish means growth.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
You are appreciated. :)
Namaste.
DXY (Dollar Index) and Pamp/Dump BTC. Markets Cycles.USA Dollar Index + Bitcoin Pamp/Dump Cycles. Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Minima and maxima of bitcoin secondary trends are shown. Everything is detailed and shown, including what everyone always wants to know. Cyclicality. Accuracy.
This is what it looks like on a line chart to illustrate simple things.
$BTC Bearish Divergence on the Weekly !? NO!!!Someone on Twitter sent me a chart showing Bearish Divergence on the Weekly for BTC and asked me to analyze it.
(hopefully this link shows the chart)
pbs.twimg.com
My response is below.
---
This is a really good question!
Caught me off guard for a second and I had to really analyze it.
That chart assumes we’re at the end of the cycle, so its showing bearish divergence prematurely in Mar ’25.
But the fractal it’s being compared to shows divergence with the peak in Nov ’21.
Here’s the correct way to draw the trends.
If you draw from the bear market low to current date, you see we are just getting warmed up.
This cycle is mimicking 2017 as I’ve mentioned a lot over the past year.
I marked where we are so you can see the Feb - Mar ’21 dip in RSI.
Imagine tapping out right before the moonshot!
It’s easy to get caught off guard with that chart, as the fractals from ’21 and ’25 on the RSI do look strikingly familiar, but notice how the right shoulder on the RSI falls in Nov 21’ , but the right shoulder on the RSI in Dec ’24 is going higher, pointing to the RSI following the ’17 uptrend.
I wonder if the person who made that chart actually thought that was the correct way to analyze the chart, or if that’s just a troll bear-posting.
I could see someone like CredibleCrypto or an XRP-maxi posting that.
BRIEFING Week #10 : Dollar reversed, WTI may be nextHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Bitcoin Butterfly Harmonic Pattern – Multi-Fibonacci Confluence!A potential Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is developing, with point D yet to be completed. If price action reaches the harmonic completion zone, it could present a high-probability long opportunity near a stacked Fibonacci confluence zone.
The D-leg aligns beautifully with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 5-wave Elliott structure from the macro low at $15,476 to the all-time high of $109,588. A level that has acted as key support in the past. Multiple additional Fibonacci confirmations further strengthen this potential bullish reversal zone.
Pattern Breakdown – Bullish Butterfly Formation
The Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is a structured reversal setup, often forming at market extremes before trend shifts.
1️⃣ XA Leg – The initial impulse.
2️⃣ AB Leg – A retracement of 0.786 – 0.886 Fibonacci of XA.
3️⃣ BC Leg – A counter-trend move retracing 0.382 – 0.886 of AB.
4️⃣ CD Leg – The final move, typically extending 1.618 – 2.618 Fibonacci of XA.
📍 In this developing setup:
✅ B-point retraces 0.806 of XA → Butterfly pattern remains valid.
✅ C-point retraces 0.838 of AB → Strengthening structural alignment.
✅ D-leg projection target 1.695 XA extension, converging with multiple key Fibonacci levels.
Fibonacci Confluence – Strong Potential Reversal Zone ($73,783.52 - $73,157)
As price moves toward potential point D, multiple Fibonacci levels create a high-probability reversal area:
0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 5-wave Elliott structure ($73,637.22)
Negative -0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $73,251.43
Negative -0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $73,157
Trend-based Fibonacci Extension 1:1 at $73,783.52
📍 Potential Reversal Zone: Between $73,783.52 and $73,157
Trade Setup – Waiting for Confirmation
Since point D has not completed yet, we should wait for bullish confirmation signals in the reversal zone before entering.
Entry Zone (if price reaches D): Between $73,783.52 and $73,157
Stop Loss: Below $73,157 (D-point invalidation)
Take Profit: B-point resistance
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3:1 if TP at B-point
⚠️ Key Reminder:
🚨 The pattern is not confirmed yet. A reaction in the potential reversal zone (e.g., bullish divergences, strong buying pressure, or reversal candlesticks) would strengthen the case for a long position.
Are you watching this level for a potential reaction? Will point D complete? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀🔥
Short Term Could Drop Be Careful Here - Possible $100Some bad news came out. Bybit got hacked for a lot of Ethereum. How this happens I dont understand but more than likely an inside job. These run out a basement exchanges are dangerous never leave your crypto on an exchange, NONE OF THEM.
Anyways I dont like the break of this rising wedge or potential bear flag. If this deosnt break back into the wedge and close in it then we could se another drop to about 100 or so if the measured move plays out. Be cautious here.
Not Financial advice.
BITCOIN may take 1 month to form bottom but upside is huge.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is consolidating on the 1 stdev below following February's pullback.
With the 1day RSI rebounding after turning oversold, this reminds us of all the previous major Lows of the current Bull Cycle.
Those took around 1.5 - 2 months to be priced, so don't be susprised if Bitcoin doesn't rise before mid April.
The upside until the end of the year remains huge however and if it 'only' tests again the Mean MM, it can reach $140k.
If it approaches the 1 stdev above, the estimated value can be as high as $180k.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Breaking: Bitcoin Ordinals ($ORDI) Dips 6% Today- What Next?The Bitcoin inscription token Ordinals ( SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ORDI ) has plummeted drastically the start of this year. From an all time high of $96.17 SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ORDI tanked -90.5% losing more than half of its value currently trading at $9.69.
From the first week of February, SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ORDI has been on a consolidation channel before the Break of structure (BOS) at the $11 point that saw SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ORDI dipped to current market value.
For Ordinals ( SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ORDI ), in the case of further selling pressure, immediate support point lies in the 1 month low point but SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ORDI chart pattern shows signs of a bullish engulfing pattern. a trend reversal might be looming ahead and a breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement pattern would validate the move.
With a total supply of 21 million, this cool off should be seen as a reprieve towards a massive surge in the long term.
ORDI Price Live Data
The live ORDI price today is $9.65 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $132,216,659 USD. We update our ORDI to USD price in real-time. ORDI is down 4.79% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $202,546,795 USD. It has a circulating supply of 21,000,000 ORDI coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 ORDI coins.
BTCUSD – Descending Broadening Wedge With Key Buy ZonesBitcoin is trading within a Descending Broadening Wedge on the 6-hour timeframe, a pattern that typically signals increasing volatility before a potential breakout. The price is fluctuating between two diverging trendlines, with several critical buy levels forming along the structure.
Descending Broadening Wedge Resistance Breakout at 94,543
The upper boundary of the wedge, around 93,000 to 94,500, serves as dynamic resistance. If Bitcoin pushes through this level, it could trigger a breakout toward the first target at 108,000 and possibly extend to 124,407. Volume has been increasing near resistance, indicating strong market participation.
Ascending Trendline Rebound at 84,536
This level aligns with an ascending support trendline inside the wedge. Bitcoin has previously bounced from similar trend structures, making this an important zone to watch for a potential reaction.
Double Bottom Possibility at 79,006
The 79,000 level has acted as support in previous price movements, creating a possible double bottom scenario. If the price stabilizes here, it could be an early sign of trend reversal within the wedge.
Descending Broadening Wedge Support at 75,092
The lower boundary of the pattern, around 75,000, remains a major support level. This is where previous downward movements have found buying interest, making it a crucial point for potential price reversals.
Stop Loss at 69,000 to 68,000
A drop below this range would indicate that the wedge structure has failed, opening the possibility for further downside movement.
Bitcoin remains within a widening consolidation phase, with increasing volume showing heightened market activity. As long as the price respects the wedge boundaries, these key levels present potential opportunities for positioning ahead of a breakout.
Bearish scenario for BTCIn trading and crypto world you have to be open to all possibilities. As we are seeing significant drop among alts and market makers manipulation. Money is withdrawed from markets and price is failing.
BTC price action reminds me 2021 year when after ATH there was a 50% drop.
Lot of similarities there - completed 5 waves, bearish div on higher timeframes, greed above 70/75, bullish sentiment, news etc.
On the other hand, current drop already liquidated more than 2b usd in one day...
We need to watch it closely and do not overtrade or do stupid FOMO.
In these time lev trades are not recommended.
THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
MANAGE YOUR RISK AND ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS
UNI Trade Setup: Key Support RetestUNI has pulled back into a primary support zone at $7.20, a critical area for bulls to hold. A bounce from this level could trigger upside momentum, while a breakdown could invalidate the bullish structure.
🛠 Trade Details:
Entry: Around $7.20
Take Profit Targets:
$9.00
$10.00
$13.00
Stop Loss: Daily close below $6.50
If buyers step in strongly at support, UNI could stage a significant recovery. Keep an eye on market conditions! 🚀
Bitcoin: Mastering the Art of Resistance and SupportBitcoin recently broke below a 105‐day trading range, anchored by the critical 90K level. After the breakdown, it found support around 80K, prompting a sharp rebound back toward the previous range. This rebound, however, was short‐lived: BTC tested 95K, then quickly retraced, only to rally again toward 90K, where it trades at present.
Overview of BTC’s 105‐Day Range Break and Retest:
Yearly Open at $93,576: This is the single most important level to watch. Price currently sits below the yearly open, suggesting that, for now, bears hold the upper hand. If bulls cannot reclaim this threshold, the yearly candle remains vulnerable to turning red.
90K–95K Resistance Zone: With Bitcoin failing to sustain gains above 95K, this band becomes a natural focal point for potential short entries. Bears are expected to defend this region aggressively.
The question: Where do we go next? Let’s break down both the resistance (short setup) and an upcoming support zone (long setup), incorporating a variety of confluences—from volume profiles and trend lines to Fibonacci retracements and pitchfork alignments.
1. Resistance Analysis & Short Thesis
1.1. Double Top Target at $72,800
A double top pattern has formed, suggesting a measured‐move target near $72,800. While not a guaranteed endpoint, this target serves as an early directional clue. Price could still find support at higher levels, so we use this only as one piece of a larger puzzle.
Double Top Pattern with $72,800 Target:
1.2. The 105‐Day Trading Range & Retest
Bitcoin spent over 100 days ranging between roughly 90K and 105K. The downside break turned that prior range into a new resistance zone—specifically 90K–95K, with an even stronger cluster up to $96,418 (Point of Control from that range).
Fixed Range Volume Profile: The POC (Point of Control) from this 105‐day period lies at $96,418.05, further extending our resistance zone. Price retesting anywhere between 90K and the POC around 96K sets up potential short entries.
Fixed Range Volume Profile Showing POC at $96,418.05:
Stop Loss Guidance: Given the possibility of wicks or “stop hunts,” a safer invalidation point sits above 98K. That buffer allows the trade room to breathe without prematurely stopping out on minor spikes.
1.3. Daily & Weekly Moving Averages
In addition to the above factors, both the daily 21 EMA/SMA and the weekly 21 EMA/SMA are converging in the 90-92K region, acting as additional resistance.
1.4. Bearish Trend Line & Pitchfork Alignment
Bearish Trend Line: Connecting the all‐time high at $109,588 and the swing high at $106,457.44 yields a downward sloping line. This trend line has already acted as resistance near 100K on February 21.
Pitchfork (Modified Schiff): Anchoring from the all‐time high (109,588) to the swing low (97,777.77) and back up to 106,457.44 confirms the same bearish trajectory, aligning neatly with the trend line around 95K.
Bearish Trend Line & Pitchfork Convergence Around 95K:
1.5. Monthly Order Block & Fibonacci Confluence
Monthly Order Block: Spanning from the yearly open (93,576) up to the POC (~96,418), this monthly order block forms a substantial supply zone. Price often gravitates toward the median line of an order block, which sits near 94–95K.
Fibonacci Retracement (0.786): From the swing high at 99,475 (Feb 21) down to the low at 78,258.52, the 0.786 retracement is at 94,934.67—almost exactly the median line of the monthly order block.
Monthly Order Block, Median Line, and 0.786 Fib at ~94,934.67:
When price rallies swiftly to the 0.786 for the first time, it often presents an ideal short entry—especially under a confluence of bearish signals:
2. Short Trade Setup: Laddering In & Out
2.1. Scaling In (Entries)
We allocate $25,000 (from a $100,000 account) and ladder our entries from 89,736 up to 96,206:
Short Trade Laddered Entries:
Stop Loss: $97,560 (slightly below the higher “breathing room” area of 98K).
Max Risk: Approximately $1,028.16 (about 4.11% of the GETTEX:25K position, or 1.03% of the $100k account).
2.2. Scaling Out (Exits)
We plan to take profits in increments as price drops, aiming for an average exit around $79,822.10:
Potential Profit: Approximately $3,704.16 on a $25,000 position, which is +14.82% (or +3.70% of the $100k account).
Risk‐to‐Reward Ratio: 3.60, an attractive R:R for a swing trade.
3. Support Analysis & Long Thesis
Having addressed the downside retest and short scenario, let’s turn to potential support where Bitcoin might reverse for a long trade.
3.1. Double Top Target & 5‐Wave Structure
The double top projected target near $72,800 aligns with a broader Elliott Wave possibility, where BTC may have completed a 5‐wave structure from the low at $15,476 to the all‐time high at $109,588.
A typical Fibonacci retracement of this 5‐wave move suggests the 0.382 level at $73,637.22, which sits near a notable swing high of $73,777—coincidence?
5‐Wave Structure & 0.382 Fib Retracement at ~$73,637:
3.2. Monthly Bullish Order Block & Further Fib Confluence
Monthly Bullish Order Block: Located around $71,280, historically a place where buyers have stepped in.
Fib Retracement (49K to 109K): The 0.618 retracement lands at $72,144.62, adding further confluence around the 72–73K zone.
Taken together, we begin to see a support band forming between $73,777 and $71,280.
Monthly Bullish Order Block & 0.618 Fib ~$72,144.62:
3.3. Fib Speed Fan & Bullish Trend Line
Fib Speed Fan (0.7): On higher timeframes, the 0.7 fan lines up with the same 71–73K region if BTC dips this month.
Bullish Trend Line: Connecting the lows at 49K and 52,550 also aligns with this zone, reinforcing the idea that a cluster of support awaits if price slides that far.
Bullish Trend Line & Fib Speed Fan ~$71–73K:
3.4. Potential Long Trade Setup
Entry Range: Ladder in from 76K down to 71K (or adjust according to personal risk appetite within that 73–71K zone).
Stop Loss: Below 70K, providing sufficient buffer.
Target: At least the monthly open ($84,350), or higher if momentum supports a stronger bounce.
Risk‐to‐Reward (R:R): Aim for 2:1 or better, depending on exact entries and the final target.
4. Summary
Short Trade:
Resistance Zone: 90K–95K, extending up to $96,418 (POC) and with the daily/weekly 21 EMA/SMA acting as additional resistance in the 90-92K region, plus a stop‐hunt buffer above 98K.
Laddered Entry: GETTEX:25K allocated, averaging around $93,706, with a stop near $97,560.
Scaling Out: Average exit near $79,822, netting a +14.82% gain on the position (+3.70% on account).
R:R: 3.60—solid for a swing setup.
Long Trade:
Support Zone: Between $73,777 and $71,280, with multiple Fibonacci and structural confluences.
Laddered Entry: Potential DCA from around 76K down to 71K, with a stop under 70K.
Target: At least $84,350 (monthly open), likely offering a 2:1 or better risk‐to‐reward.
Sharp moves up or down have been the norm lately, often gravitating to the 0.786 fib retracement on each leg, so remain vigilant for sudden volatility.
Ultimately, flexibility is key. If Bitcoin reclaims the yearly open at $93,576 and pushes decisively above 95–98K, the bearish case weakens. Conversely, a significant drop below 80K brings the deeper support zone near 73–71K into sharper focus.
Always be prepared for shifts in market conditions—confirm each setup with multiple indicators and chart patterns before entering any trade. Stay up to date with evolving market dynamics and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Happy trading!
P.S. If you have any coin requests, feel free to share them in the comments. I will be selecting one or two for the next technical analysis.