BTC Cycles & TA: 3/4/25 Well well well... as I mentioned in one of my last video titles, the stage was set for a drawdown and sure enough, indicators and cycles called it AGAIN!! lol but as an investors, I did not partake in trading this down or shorting.. I am simply looking for re-entry points and we have come coming up soon, real soon.
Btc-e
Trade Setup: XRP Short OpportunityMarket Context:
Following Sunday’s full retrace, XRP appears to have set in a complacency bounce. Price action is weakening into mid-range, suggesting a potential short opportunity after one more push higher.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $2.70
Take Profit Targets:
$2.10
$1.55
$1.00
Stop Loss: Daily close above $3.10
This setup anticipates further downside once momentum shifts, confirming a clean rejection from resistance. 🔥
Bitcoin 10X Trade-Numbers (1,375% Potential)The low is in and this is the perfect timing for a long-term LONG on Bitcoin (BTCUSDT and other trading pairs).
This is for experienced traders and can end up producing huge profits, great growth, amazing results —great entry timing.
__
LONG BTCUSDT
Leverage: 10X
Entry levels:
1) $85,000
2) $83,000
3) $81,000
3) $78,000
Targets:
1) $94,810
2) $98,804
3) $101,058
4) $104,266
5) $108,353
6) $112,859
7) $115,648
8) $120,154
9) $132,643
10) $139,250
11) $158,347
12) $165,345
13) $189,212
14) $200,000
Stop-loss:
Close monthly below $78,000
Potential profits: 1375%
Capital allocation: 5%
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Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
As you can see in this analysis, the demand zone from the previous analysis was slightly hunted, but it is still valid and considered a demand zone.
We have reduced the timeframe slightly (4-hour).
Our expectation for price action is to see a slight bounce upward in this zone with some time consolidation.
After consuming the buy orders in this area and spending some time, Bitcoin may even move toward lower zones.
Let’s see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BITCOIN UPDATE TODAYHere's the latest update on Bitcoin:
Current Price
The current price of Bitcoin is around $83,780.61, with a daily high of $93,721.37 and a daily low of $82,464.84 .
Market Trends
Bitcoin's price surged 10% after President Trump's Crypto Strategic Reserve announcement, with some analysts predicting a potential breakout past $100,000 ². However, others warn that the rally may be temporary due to regulatory hurdles.
Key Levels
- Resistance: $90,000 - $100,000
- Support: $80,000 - $83,000
News
President Trump's executive order established a Crypto Strategic Reserve, which will initially include Bitcoin (BTC), Solana (SOL), Ripple (XRP), and Cardano (ADA) . This move is seen as a positive development for the cryptocurrency market.
MSTR IS JUST GETTING STARTED - ONLY FOOLS SELL NOW!MSTR and Bitcoin are gearing up for the biggest bull run you've ever seen. Its unbelievable how many people are selling now thinking the bear market is starting and the bull run is over. Its crazy how many bears are flooding X and other platforms. It makes me laugh people calling Saylor a top signal and stupid. Saylor is not stupid and to think that you're smarter than him is just dumb. These rich dudes and hedge funds know whats going on, way better than anyone on here or any other platform. They control the markets, they have the money to make the charts do what they want. Dont be fooled.
None of this is financial advice. Just my opinion. Follow me for more charts and updates.
ETHUSD (Ethereum)A follow up from this:
Looking at the upmove from the $880 bottom in June'22, it's tough to consider an impulsive count. Since ETH has lagged compared to Bitcoin, the so called Alt season may take much longer than expected. Bitcoin completing it's cycle doesn't necessarily mean the Alt season begins simultaneously.
It will be interesting to watch this in the next few months. If this turns out well, I would expect a very sharp fall in the coming weeks (a noticeable quality in Wave c). However, those levels would give amazing opportunities in Eth and the other few good Altcoins.
BTC Bitcoin Dont Panic Here This Is A Perfect Measured MoveI like the line chart because it filters out the noise and only shows the close prices. As you can see Bitcoin plays out these double top measured moves almost to the T perfectly. I can go back further but I dont need to its fairly similar.
Bitcoin will bounce around here for a bit and come dow to close the 5 day at the measured move around 82k then its back to the races. We're not going to crash, its just getting started. It may wick below 82 but on a closing basis on the 5 day, which has been very accurate in its history, 82k is where the measured move is. Dont fall for the bearish we're gonna crash stuff. Bitcoin has a long way to go before any top.
Not financial advice just my opinion.
Bitcoin may rebound up from buyer zone to 94100 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A few days ago, the price was moving inside a downward channel, where it reached the support line and immediately bounced back up to the channel’s resistance. After that, BTC continued its decline, testing the resistance level, which aligned with the seller zone. The price briefly dipped below this level but quickly reversed and rebounded. Eventually, Bitcoin exited the channel and moved into a range, reaching its upper boundary before turning downward again. In a short period, the price dropped to the seller zone, where it consolidated for some time. BTC then attempted to push higher but failed and resumed its decline. Breaking below the 94100 resistance level, the price moved further down, fluctuating between support and resistance lines. Bitcoin eventually fell to the support line, breaking through the 83400 support level, which aligned with the buyer zone. However, this breakdown turned out to be a false move, as BTC immediately rebounded and surged back above that level. Currently, BTC is continuing its upward movement. I anticipate that the price may first test the buyer zone before resuming its growth. Additionally, if it manages to break through the resistance line, it could keep climbing higher. With this in mind, my TP is set at the 94100 resistance level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Why USDCAD Dropping? Technical and fundamentalsUSDCAD is currently trading around 1.44200, facing strong resistance at this level. The pair has tested this resistance multiple times and is showing signs of rejection, indicating a potential bearish reversal. If sellers gain control, we could see a downward move toward the 1.42200 target. This setup aligns with key technical patterns, suggesting that the rejection from resistance could drive further downside momentum.
From a technical perspective, the resistance level at 1.44200 has proven to be a strong barrier for buyers, leading to repeated pullbacks. If price fails to break above this zone, bearish pressure is likely to increase. A confirmed rejection with a strong bearish candlestick formation could provide further confirmation of a downtrend, making this a high-probability short setup.
Fundamentally, USDCAD’s movement is influenced by the strength of the US dollar and oil prices, as Canada’s economy is heavily linked to crude oil. Any rebound in oil prices could strengthen the Canadian dollar, adding to the bearish case for USDCAD. Additionally, market expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate policy and economic data releases could play a crucial role in shaping the pair’s next move.
In summary, USDCAD is facing significant resistance at 1.44200, with clear rejection signals indicating potential downside toward 1.42200. Traders should watch for further bearish confirmations while considering fundamental drivers like oil price fluctuations and central bank policies to validate the trade setup.
Bitcoin & Trump Effect: A Short-Term Pump or Sustainable Rally?Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to rise as I expected in the previous post , but Donald Trump helped double the momentum of Bitcoin yesterday. But the question here is whether the correction of Bitcoin is over or if this is an increase in the chance of exit.
Bitcoin is trying to break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,250) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing wave 4 and we should wait for wave 5 .
Note : Due to the high momentum of wave 3, it is possible that wave 5 is a truncated wave.
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $95,000 in the coming hours. The next target of Bitcoin can be Resistance lines and 100_SMA(Daily) .
What do you think about Bitcoin movement? Time to escape or wait for a new All-Time High(ATH) to be created?
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $89,000, we can expect Bitcoin to decline and the big CME Gap($91,610-$84,830) to be filled.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
B e sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
levels to watch I previously mentioned that a broader market correction was highly likely, predicting that after the market coiled within the 95k-100k range, a downturn would be inevitable. The correction was expected to bring the market down to around 75k.
As we’ve seen, the market fell to 78k but has since rallied back to 92k. However, for the market to regain renewed momentum and strength, it would need to close above the 95k level. If that happens, there’s a possibility that the market could test the 108k range once again. On the other hand, if the market fails to break and hold above the 95k mark, sellers are likely to return, leading to a potential retest of the 75k level.
LONG ON BITCOINIts Timeeeee.....
Bitcoin has tapped into a major demand zone and has given us a change of character/structure to the upside.
It has pulled back to discount price all day today and is now ready to head back up to 100k.
I am purchasing bitcoin now at 83k expecting it to get back to 100k buy the end of the week. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin Final UpdateEverything on the charts...
Up to you now... Yes... I believe it's just Reaccumulation
Look at the previous posts for more explanation and all perspectives
I'm holding and I'm bullish...We will witness an alt season this year (those saying we won't will be proven wrong...)
BTC.D will fall and strong alts will rise (with massive returns)
Until Next Time...
BTC support level - break or bounce?BTCUSD on the 1D chart is sitting at 200DMA line. It first broke through on Feb 28, 2025 and closed above. Weekend news on crypto reserve from President Trump generated a quick pump and dump.
As of late day March 3, it touched the 200DMA again and has held above.
Next move:
On a break, next major support is around 72870.
On a bounce, target at congestion zone between 96000 to 100000, with significant ceiling from the 50 and 100DMA at 97000 and declining.
Market-moving fundamental news can be expected around the U.S.crypto summit on March 7th. BTC may be (relatively) range-bound until then.
How are 'Stategic Reserve' assets going to react?? Weve had plenty of scepticism come out over inclusion of altcoins in the strategic reserves. News reports on it undermining the reserve.
We have also had Trumps cost cutting and tariffs pushing bearish pressure on the market. While ADA+XRP+SOL are sitting on previous all time highs. Even more troublesome is the unwinding of USDT.
This may pull away one of the largest liquidity providers to the crypto space. This can be extremely bearish.
I am myself however still bullish. I see rising fundamentals and a lot of room for upside in L1s and applications token price.
Trump's Bombshell Strategic Reserve Announcement.Let's summarize the situation.
We were on the edge of slipping into a bear market, with CRYPTOCAP:BTC under heavy selling pressure and looking bearish on daily, hourly, and weekly timeframes.
A lot of people were caught off guard, selling their crypto to prepare for shorts and ending up sidelined—I was one of them, and I’m pissed. Since I live in Asia, I was asleep when it happened, and so was the entire Asian market.
Then, conveniently, Trump announced the strategic crypto reserve, which was originally scheduled for Friday to coincide with the White House crypto summit. Meanwhile, the tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday.
On the global stage:
- The rejection of Zelensky has pushed Europe to react, with some leaders now considering sending troops to Ukraine. This could seriously complicate things for the Trump administration and potentially escalate into WWIII. No joke, this is a serious situation.
- Israel has decided to destroy Gaza completely and is now enforcing a full-scale siege, which will cause massive international backlash. The situation there never been so bad.
- Recession fears are mounting, and we can see markets starting to shake and correct.
And then Trump drops his crypto reserve announcement…
- This was a sloppy reveal—posted only on his own platform, not on X—which caused panic, as people scrambled to verify the source, thinking it was fake news.
- Even worse, the initial announcement didn’t mention Bitcoin or Ethereum! Instead, they listed CRYPTOCAP:XRP , Cardano, and Solana as part of the reserve, which made people think their accounts were hacked. Later, they corrected it, clarifying that CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH are at the "heart" of the reserve.
So yeah… Sunday night, completely unexpected, and poorly executed.
What does this mean for CRYPTOCAP:BTC ?
- Weekly timeframe: Nothing has changed—it’s still in a serious correction, and a 10% daily pump isn’t enough to reverse the trend. My previous analysis is still valid.
- Daily timeframe: The MACD has reset, and RSI is now in a neutral zone. This suggests a potential short-term pump over the next few days.
- Key levels: Supports at $91k and $80k are back, but $99k remains a major resistance and could reject $BTC.
- Leverage & liquidity: A massive $4.3 billion in longs has been built up, meaning we’re likely to retest the downside to liquidate them.
- CME gap: We just created a 10%+ CME gap, which will most likely be filled.
Conclusion:
Optimism is back, and we could see a short altseason as capital flows into altcoins, now that some are officially part of the U.S. national reserve.
BUT the global situation remains extremely concerning:
- War tensions in Europe and the Middle East
- Recession risks still on the table
- Uncertainty about how this crypto reserve will actually work
This is great news, but going all-in on longs at this point seems risky. How long will this momentum last? More than a week? I’m not sure.
Technically, the correction isn’t over. Unlike December 2024—when Trump’s election happened at the end of a correction, with a bullish MACD crossover—we are now at the START of a weekly correction, which could last until May 2025.
So yeah, fundamentally bullish, but technically, the correction still has room to go.