Btc-e
BTC SHORT FRACTALShown in different colors to be more visual, but I recommend that you take and copy the pattern through Bars and overlay, maybe you will notice something for yourself. Also taking into account that this is a classical pattern, there were ideas earlier on this pattern. Now the situation is short, very
Where is the Indices going and Bitcoin? This is my opinion of what I think will happen in March after February sell off. I have bullish bias for both indices and Bitcoin as long as 80K Level stays intact in case of BTC.
Also RSI and Volume divergence can be seen for extra confirmation
Disclaimer: Not a financial advice. Do your own analysis
UniversOfSignals | MKRUSDT 70% Move?Let's analyze and review one of the best coins in the DAo area together and find another entry point together and update our previous triggers
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting today's altcoin analysis, let's look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Since yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a correction, which was necessary for the market, and it pulled back to the 102135 range. The next trigger for a long position will be a breakout above 104714.
Yesterday's correction, coupled with an increase in Bitcoin dominance, caused noticeable declines in some altcoins. This highlights the importance of monitoring BTC pairs in your checklist these days.
MakerDAO’s sharp increase in fees and growth in Total Value Locked (TVL) has fueled demand. On February 20, $156.77 million of MKR was burned, reducing supply. Growth in active addresses and trading volume has driven the price higher. Strong resistance at $1,800 may limit further growth. MakerDAO’s emergency offering has raised concerns about $3.1 billion USDC exposure.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, the token has seen a 95% gain on the coin, which is a good sign in these market conditions!
Also, in this timeframe, we are in an opening triangle, which is characterized by high volatility, and we are constantly moving towards the bottom and top of this triangle, regardless of the ceiling and floor or support and resistance, and the exit from this triangle will also be sharp.
In this timeframe, we did not have a trigger in advance to say that we could buy or anything else, and it moved very sharply. If you lose, it is normal and do not blame yourself and your strategy.
After exiting this triangle and breaking 2.182, we can have a good trigger to buy, and for now, if you bought and held during this fluctuation and are in profit above 50%, it is logical to save profit, but if you did FOMO and bought, it is better not to continue trading and be busy watching the tutorial for now.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends!
UniversOfSignals | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #20Let's dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices, where I will, as usual, review the futures triggers for today's New York session. The market had an upward and corrective movement yesterday, rising from the support at 78,940. Today, I aim to examine the market conditions for you.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, the price has risen from the support at 78,940 and managed to exceed the area of 83,779. A V pattern has formed and has been activated, moving the price upward. It appears that the break of 83,779 so far was a fake break.
🔼 If 83,779 is broken again, you can enter a short position targeting 78,940, but keep in mind that since the price has already faked a break, there might be an upward momentum entering the market. If 82,770 breaks, you could consider taking the risk of opening a long position.
⚡️ Personally, I prefer to open a long position with the minimum risk allowed by my strategy, but if 83,779 breaks, I will open a short position with usual risk. As you can see, the price has also hit the SMA 99 and seems to be getting rejected from it.
📉 This could be another suitable confirmation for a short position, and if the price cannot stabilize above this SMA and gets rejected from this area, breaking 83,779, we could even expect the next bearish leg towards lower lows, although the first target for us would be 78,940.
✅ The RSI oscillator has also moved out of the oversell zone and above the 50 area. A break of the 50 zone could reintroduce bearish momentum into the market.
📊 Keep in mind that today is Saturday, considered a holiday, and the market volume is very low. I generally prefer the market to range on such days and then start moving afterward.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to analyzing Bitcoin dominance to see how Bitcoin's dominance over the market has changed compared to yesterday. As you can see, after being supported at 60.48 and breaking the 60.91 area, it's moving upwards again.
💫 As I mentioned, a range box has formed between 60.48 and 62.19, and I told you yesterday that if the dominance stabilizes above 60.91, it could start moving towards the box's ceiling.
🎲 As you can see, this movement has started, and so far, the dominance has reached 61.21. We need to see how the dominance reacts to this area. If this area breaks, the next resistance levels for dominance will be 61.49 and 62.19.
🧲 I have nothing more to say about Bitcoin dominance. It seems to be forming an upward structure, and if this upward structure coincides with the next bearish leg of Bitcoin, altcoins could provide very good short positions and experience sharp declines.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let's move on to analyze Total2 to see what the triggers for altcoins will be. As you can see, Total2 was supported from 1.01 and has moved upward to 1.09, where it is currently being rejected.
🔍 As you observe, the SMA 99 in Total2 has reached the price and the price has reacted to it. We have a very risky trigger for a short position on Total2, which is the break of 1.06; this position is very risky and can be opened as a scalp in lower timeframes.
🚀 The highest target I can consider for this position will be the area of 1.01.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let's move on to the analysis of Tether dominance. As you see, Tether's dominance was rejected from 5.50 and has moved downward, reaching back to 5.21. This index, like Bitcoin and Total2, has reached the SMA 99 and been supported from this area, and could perform its next bullish leg after breaking 5.21.
💥 In this case, you could confirm the bullish turn of Tether's dominance and validate this dominance for the next bearish leg of the price.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
USDT.D Macro Update ( Alt Season ? )everything on the charts
I'm still holding my alts
For traders, this is one of the best charts in town (to find local tops and bottoms for potential swing opportunities)
This tells the whole story
If Invalidation occurs, I'll reconsider all my traders.
(not in the mood of writing much, check out the previous posts for more explanation + everything's on the chart)
BTC.D - Alt Season (Rotation from BTC to ALTS about to begin)only 3 charts you should care about from now = BTC.D , USDT.D and Total 2 (/3/others)
strong utility tokens will win from here
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is weak, (IT WILL DEFINITELY HAS ITS LAST RALLY THOUGH - check out my EW count and the target I've been speaking since 5th Aug)
either it consolidates here and complete its subwave 5 of macrowave 5 later or do it now and distributes later, the time for alts to shine has come...
Few more weeks of pain left. I don't recommend selling here, keep the HODL
but rotation has almost started... whales are taking profits on Bitcoin and time for our shitcoins to outperform from here...
PS. We might see new lows (than 3rd Feb) but the RR is not worth it, never sell in the middle (unless you are invalidated)
Look at the Macro chart for in-detailed analysis on BTC.D I did a few weeks ago
$BTC Macrolast idea remains intact—we are still bullish. Alts have held strong while BTC plunged. (I don’t own any BTC, and neither should you above $100K.)
I predicted the exact $15.5K bottom on X, as well as the August 5th crash and bottom. Unfortunately, I wasn’t on the charts in December and missed the biggest, clearest signal on USDT.D for a potential local top, which otherwise would have 2x'd my current portfolio but mistakes were made)
BTC taking the hits while alts hold steady is a strong sign that whales are taking profits from Bitcoin and preparing for "rotation".
Most traders believe the cycle is over—and there are valid reasons for that (some of them are):
- A monthly bearish engulfing candle
- A structure resembling the 2021 top, suggesting one last rally before the bear market
- Worst of all, double bearish divergence on the monthly, which worries me too
However, there are strong counterarguments.
The biggest? The cycle has never topped with BTC.D this weak. That’s why I’m still leaning toward a bullish scenario until proven otherwise.
Update on the above chart:
The parabola is intact with a beautiful reaction. That doesn’t mean we can’t still visit the red box—there’s only air between them—but I’m holding, and that remains my primary scenario.
Alts can make new lows, but RR isn’t worth it. As I’ve said before, the time to sell spot bags has passed. You don’t sell in between unless invalidation occurs.
Timing is everything. We failed to time this market, assuming it would mimic past cycles—but everyone was wrong. Traders won this cycle, while investors (except BTC holders) struggled... until now, at least.
ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOTH SCENARIOS (MENTIONED ON CHART) FOR ALTS?
You have to wait way longer on the second scenario but both would take us to our goal.
Worst case? We break and HTF close on USDT.D - last hope, officially ending bull market!
HelenP. I Bitcoin may continue move down to $80KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Not long ago, BTC dropped to the first resistance level, which aligned with a key resistance zone, before reversing and climbing toward the second resistance level, which also coincided with another resistance area. After breaking through this level, Bitcoin continued to rise, reaching the trend line, but soon started to decline. In a short time, the price fell back to the resistance level, eventually breaking below it. However, BTC quickly rebounded, not only recovering its losses but also pushing above the trend line. After that, it reversed direction once again, dropping back to the first resistance level. Following this movement, Bitcoin bounced back, climbed to the trend line, and then began to decline while hovering near it. At one point, BTC temporarily broke above the trend line and traded within a range for some time. Later, it reversed again, falling back to the trend line, breaking through the first resistance level, and recently even dropping below the trend line. At this stage, I believe the price might push slightly above the trend line before resuming its decline. With that in mind, my goal is set at 80K. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BlackRock & BitcoinA giant's journey into the world of blockchain!
This post highlights how BlackRock's balance sheet and profits have changed since the introduction of the Bitcoin ETF. The data is collected from the Arkham platform. The information will be updated periodically.
28.02.2025
Current balance: 577.9K BTC
Total Profit: +11B USD
This rapid growth underscores BlackRock's confidence in bitcoin's long-term potential and signals a new era of institutional growth. Take a look at the chart to see the trend of balance sheet growth since the ETF's launch. Will BlackRock continue to grow Bitcoins? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Data has been verified through Arkham Intelligence. Updates will follow.
Alex Kostenich,
Horban Brothers.
SONIC ( PRE FTM )Analysis of the FTM OR Sonic currency
It seems that a trend reversal has formed and has completed 5 microwaves in the form of a larger wave 1
Next we need to see if it can break the major ceiling to confirm the new move
If you liked the analysis, share it with your friends and write down your comments
XRP ANALYSISVery important #XRP analysis on the daily time frame
Which in my opinion is one of the most important time frames to understand and comprehend the next movement of this currency.
So stay with us to be aware of the Ripple trend
If you liked this analysis, share it with your friends
Thank you
Bitcoin BTC Is Ready To Take Off!Hello, Skyrexians!
Yesterday we pointed out that 0.5 Fibonacci has been reached at $80k and this dump will not continue. Today we have a great bounce above $85 and the great chart to be sure that our previous scenario is right.
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. As usual we have the 5 Elliott wave cycle which has been started at GETTEX:49K and finished at $110k. Then the current correction has been started. Yesterday this ABC zigzag has reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and bounced back. The great thing is the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator inside the target zone. This gives us 90% probability that price has found the bottom and ready for the next huge wave to the upside.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Next Volatility Period: Around March 4th (March 3rd-5th)
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Please click "Boost" as well.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Since the RSI indicator has fallen below 30, if the price maintains or rises at the current position, the HA-Low indicator is expected to be generated.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported near the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.24 (83646.12).
In order to turn upward, it must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
However, in order for a full-scale uptrend to begin, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and be maintained.
In this regard, I think that the Fibonacci ratio range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0) is an important support and resistance range.
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The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it has escaped the low range, so it can be used as a basis for creating a trading strategy.
However, if it falls without support near the HA-Low indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Bitcoin Looks Good: Trading Cryptocurrency Talk TherapyTo me, Bitcoin looks really good. The month closed above $80,000. Soon we will have the weekly close. There can be some bearish action as it happened recently but when prices recover, all ends up being just noise. Truly noise when you consider what was being said in the press. "The correction is just getting started." "Bitcoin will go down for months, until May-June." "The bull-market is over."
Some people are talking about risk management and whatnot when Bitcoin hits 80K. It is bad advice they say to tell people to hold. What is the right choice in this type of scenario?
The basics require a strategy before trading, a plan. The plan is simply defining which actions you would take based on different scenarios. If you bought Bitcoin at $50,000 and failed to sell when Bitcoin was trading at $100,000 for more than two months, it is very unwise to talk about risk management or selling when Bitcoin hits bottom. Sell when the crash is on? Makes no sense to me.
If you didn't sell on the way up, you didn't have a strategy, then the best move is to hold. Normally, we would sell portions at each resistance level until all of our coins are gone. When the correction comes, we buy at support.
If you didn't sell when prices were high up, near resistance, then the opportunity is missed. Nothing happens but the right choice is to wait. This time around, prepare a plan beforehand, when to sell and how much? That's the question you need to answer before the bullish cycle reaches its end.
Since the action is already on-going, Bitcoin traded sideways for more than two months, when the crash is on, the best choice is to hold. FOMO or panic anything won't produce any positive results. Selling at the bottom is a waste of time, energy and money, because whatever you sell will soon start to grow. All the other pairs are in the same situation. To avoid being in this position, plan ahead of time.
There will be a new bullish cycle, a new advance and a new bullish wave. There will also be a new peak and a new correction, so plan now to avoid falling victim to the same mistakes.
It is alright to get it wrong. It is not right to make the same mistakes over and over. Sell when prices are high, buy when prices are low.
We buy when prices are trading at the bottom or near support. The Altcoins already hit bottom and that's our buy zone. Right now is the time to accumulate. If Bitcoin looks hard, there thousands of Altcoins that look ready to grow and strong.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC Rebalance in Play? Key Retrace Setup Unfolding!Bitcoin has tapped into a bullish imbalance on the weekly timeframe—a natural move as the market seeks to rebalance. 🔄 We often see reactions around the midpoint of these levels.
If price starts ranging sideways and breaks structure to the upside, we could consider a counter-trend trade on the retrace, then look for another sell opportunity as it pulls back. 📊
I’ll aim to follow up with a video over the weekend. Stay tuned! 🎥
Not financial advice. ⚠️
$BTC Critical Support Retest at 50WMA - Must Read!50WMA is a CRITICAL SUPPORT to watch for ₿itcoin.
Historically, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC closes below it for more than one week, it signals the beginning of the BEAR MARKET.
We’ve only seen BTC close beneath the 50WMA once in its history during a Post-Halving year, and that was in 2021, but then rallied to a new ATH.
People often ask me what would invalidate my bull market thesis;
this is one of them.
I’ll be watching this support very closely, and if BTC closes below it for more than 2 weeks, i’m probably selling a good portion of my stack until we get more clarity in the market.
However, this could very well have been the bottom of this correction.
BTC is known to have a big Q1 drawdown in Post-Halving years.
2013 was a massive -82% correction over a week.
2017 gave us two.
January -34% over 7 days.
March -33% over 14 days.
January 2021 gave us -31% over 14 days.
The current correction we’ve seen with BTC has been the longest over 35 days with -28%.
$75k would be a -31% correction, which would line up perfectly with the previous cycle.
That’s the line in the sand for me.
If we did see the bottom with this 28% correction, that would line up with the diminishing return theory.
THAT WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT BTC IN 2025Professional Technical Analysis & Trading Plan for BTC/USD (Hypothetical 2025 Data)
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1. Technical Structure & Key Observations
A. Price Context:
- **Current Price:** ~84,197 (below SMA 81,998).
- **SMA (Simple Moving Average):** 81,998 (likely 200-day SMA, acting as dynamic resistance).
- **Volume:** 52K (low volume suggests consolidation; watch for spikes to confirm breaks).
C. Key Levels (From Data):
- **Resistance:**
- Immediate: 81,998 (SMA).
- Major: 90,000, 100,000, 130,000 (swing highs).
- **Support:**
- Near-term: 74,000 (psychological),
---
2. Advanced Indicator Analysis
A. Momentum (RSI & MACD):**
- **RSI (14):** Likely near 40–45 (neutral-bearish zone). A break below 30 signals oversold; above 55 confirms bullish momentum.
- **MACD:** Bearish crossover possible (signal line above MACD line). Watch for reversal above SMA.
B. Volume Profile:
- **Low Volume (52K):** Indicates weak participation. A surge above 100K on a breakout/breakdown would validate direction.
- **Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP):** If price trades above VWAP, bullish bias strengthens.
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3. Trading Strategies
Scenario : Bullish Reversal (30% Probability)
- **Trigger:** Daily close above SMA (81,998) with volume >100K.
- **Entry:** Long at 74,500 (confirmation of strength).
- **Targets:**
- TP1: 90,000 (8.5% move).
- TP2: 100,000 (19% move).
- **Stop Loss:** 71,500
---
5. Sentiment & Catalyst Watch
- **Bullish Catalysts:** Institutional ETF inflows, Fed rate cuts, Bitcoin halving momentum.
- **Bearish Risks:** Regulatory crackdowns, exchange hacks, macro recession.
-Conclusion
BTC/USD is at a critical juncture. *Trade the SMA break/breakdown with volume confirmation*, and prioritize risk-reward ratios. Always cross-verify with real-time data and news.
Disclaimer: Hypothetical analysis for educational purposes. Not financial advice.* 🚀
MicroStrategy $MSTR | MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Bet Sees 20% DropMicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR | MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Bet Sees 20% Drop Feb28'25
With recent downturns in the crypto market, Bitcoin's sharp drop has significantly impacted companies like MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR , which has heavily invested in crypto. I've kept this analysis updated for my students throughout the week and figured I'd post it publicly.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Bitcoin Finds Strong Support – Is a Reversal on the Horizon?hello guys
Bitcoin recently completed a crown pattern, a bearish reversal formation that signaled a downward move. As expected, BTC followed the pattern structure and reached its target.
Currently, the price has touched two critical technical levels:
✔ The balance line – A key horizontal support zone
✔ The ascending trendline – Acting as dynamic support from previous lows
This confluence of support suggests that BTC might be at a potential reversal zone. However, while the conditions seem favorable for an upward movement, we need additional confirmation. Possible bullish signals to watch for include:
A strong bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing, pin bar)
Increased buying volume
A break above the nearest resistance level
If BTC maintains this support, we could see a recovery towards $90K+ levels in the short term. Otherwise, a breakdown below the trendline may trigger further downside.