Btc-e
R2F Weekly Analysis - 10th November 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
This video will be a special "The Leap" edition.
- R2F
$BTC the bull run is NOT finished, reminder to stop FUDIn another idea (check my idea), I had forecasted a -50% dump of CRYPTOCAP:BTC , and we are close. I also highlighted that on a weekly timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:BTC had been oversold due to ETF hype, which forced CRYPTOCAP:BTC to consolidate mid-bull market to reset the MACD and RSI to lower levels, just like in 2021.
Here was the idea:
Additionally, this idea perfectly forecasted what is happening now:
I also correctly predicted that all these CRYPTOCAP:BTC owned by external actors would have to be sold on exchanges to reach the market, negatively impacting the price action.
Now, here is an updated chart to my previous idea that accurately forecasted the current situation.
What is coming next?
Check the MACD. On the weekly timeframe, we are close to the same situation as in 2021 when CRYPTOCAP:BTC bounced back to go parabolic. The yellow line shows the level where the MACD could cross and reverse to finish this bull run successfully.
In the worst-case scenario, we might continue the downtrend pressure while the RSI and MACD reset lower.
This pressure counterbalances the bull run and is the reason why CRYPTOCAP:BTC does not have the energy necessary to pass over the top resistance and is ranging.
This range will continue until the weekly MACD crosses over and the RSI reaches the oversold territory.
The good news is that the more time it takes, the lower the MACD and RSI will be, the longer the final bull run will become, and the higher CRYPTOCAP:BTC will go.
MT.Gox, Germans, Genesis, and Grayscale have done their dumping, so the sky is getting clearer, and the sun is starting to shine.
I do not think this bull run will be canceled; there is no way it can happen. It can be delayed by external factors, but the charts are clear and clean. We are moving forward in a massive way as soon as CRYPTOCAP:BTC gets oversold.
From the chart, a true reversal in the trend should happen between 2 to 10 weeks.
Be patient, do not panic, do not sell your coins; your portfolio will turn back to green soon. DYOR.
Alikze »» ETH | Ascending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel and corner alcove formation in the green support box area
- Continuing the analysis of the previous post , the Ethereum currency faced selling pressure after reaching the daily and weekly supply range.
- After the formation of a Double Top pattern, it has had a zigzag correction to the green box range.
- It is currently moving in an ascending channel, where the recent correction has intersected with the bottom of the channel and the green box.
- Therefore, I expect it to grow up to Fibo 0.78 and the dynamic trigger after the swing breaks and creates a higher LH.
- In addition, a corner pattern with higher bottoms of the ascending channel is also formed.
💎 Alternative scenario: If it fails to break the swing and does not stabilize above it, and also sharply corrects towards the green box, it is most likely that it will break it and continue correcting towards the Buyer Zone.
💎 Probable scenario: Currently, the probable scenario is the bullish scenario according to the bullish channel and also the corner pattern pattern. Therefore, after reaching the goal, the dynamic update will be done again.
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BINANCE:ETHUSDT
#BITCOIN is down today BUT #FDIG suggests upsidefor the #crypto space
as are the #BTC miners which are performing admirably.
So we have a disconnect going on between wall st and the overall crypto space which is non euphoric and has completely reset sentiment since March.
My view this gets resolved to the upside , follow the smart money.
#HVF
@TheCryptoSniper
Monthly chart bullflag has a breakout target around 115kIhave arbitrarily placed the measured move line for the bullflag breakout in the month of October but there’s always a chance it stays in the flag longer than that, in which case the measured move line would get moved over to the right and slightly lower each time it does. If it breaks up by october and validates that breakout the measured move target will be around 115k. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin Where Next?As of November 8, 2024 , Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $74,120.87 , reflecting a 24-hour trading volume of $105.81 billion.
Our proprietary W.ARITAs algorithm has identified a pattern in Bitcoin's price movements that closely mirrors historical trends observed between April 8, 2020 , and January 7, 2021 . This historical pattern began with a significant price surge in April 2020 , following the announcement of the third Bitcoin halving event, which reduced the mining reward and increased scarcity. This event was a catalyst for a bullish trend that culminated in an all-time high (ATH) in January 2021 .
Similarly, on March 9, 2024 , Bitcoin experienced a notable price increase, coinciding with the anticipation of the fourth halving event scheduled for April 19, 2024 . Historically, halving events have led to substantial price appreciations due to the reduced supply of new Bitcoins entering the market.
Our analysis indicates that the current pattern, which commenced on March 9, 2024 , is expected to complete its formation by December 12, 2024 . Based on this pattern and historical precedents, we anticipate that Bitcoin will surpass its previous ATH resistance level of by the end of this year.
It's important to note that after reaching the ATH in January 2021 , Bitcoin experienced a significant price correction. This downturn was influenced by various factors, including profit-taking by investors and regulatory concerns.
In conclusion, while historical patterns and upcoming events like the halving suggest a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, investors should remain vigilant and consider potential market corrections. Continuous monitoring of market developments and regulatory news is essential for informed decision-making.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult with a financial advisor to assess your individual risk tolerance and objectives before making any investment decisions.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will correct to support zone and continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price declined to the trend line and then at once rebounded up and rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Soon, the price broke this level, made a retest, and continued to grow, but later turned around and made a correction movement to support 2. Then, BTC tried to grow again but made a correction one more time to the trend line, and then it finally started to rise. In a short time, BTC grew to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone, some time traded near and then dropped to the trend line. Price some time traded between this line and later made a strong impulse up, breaking support 1 and even rising higher than the support zone. At the moment, the price continues to move up and I expect that BTCUSDt will correct to the support zone and then continue to move up. For this reason, I set my goal at 77400 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BITCOIN - Price can bounce from resistance line and start fallHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to rising channel, where it at once bounced from $63600 level and started to trades below.
Price some time traded below and even declined almost to support line of channel, after which bounced and started to grow.
Soon, price broke $63600 level and later reached resistance line of channel, but then turned around and made correction.
After correction, BTC turned around and in a short time rose to $73600 level, but at once made correction to support line.
But then price made impulse up, thereby breaking $73600 level and now it trades near resistance line of channel.
BTC can bounce from resistance line and start decline to $72600 which is located support area.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Three days after elections and one after FED cutStarting with #VIX the value decreased a lot after elections showing the decrease in investors fear
With less fear we can follow the #SPX #DX1! #BTC1! which strongly rise their value.
Commodites in general seems to had loss some points with Dollar strength, in this chart we can watch #GC1! and #BZ1! as benchmark
In the case of Brent we can see a double top even with line chart.
#US10Y decreased after 25bp cut nevertheless with Trump election US will probably activate more worldwide tariffs and this can lead to an increase in prices, and so the next couple months CPI will be a important measure to look at US economy in the future. So even it's decreasing and bonds are inversly to prices, I should keep an eye on it
TIA/USDT 4H Celestia is a project that has a lot of potential this Bullrun, we saw an early surge in the beginning of the year once the project was released nearly one year ago. A modular blockchain network, first of its kind is an exciting new technology and we've seen how well new projects do during their first Bullrun often outperforming their older rivals.
I would like to see the bullish pennant formation playing out now. The bearish downtrend breakout caused by a republican victory results in a breakout & retest of the BULLISH OB as new support. Now a bullish pennant has formed midway up the mini range, normally this is a continuation pattern and with the bullish narrative in play I think it's probable we see this pattern play out fully with the resulting rally hitting resistance around the $6 mark (BEARISH OB).
IF deciding to take the trade once the parameters are met a conservative 2.25R trade is in play , once the first TP is hit the larger SL can be moved to Break Even . I do believe that TIA continues to move beyond the $6 mark however there is a lot of resistance there for now. A separate trade outlook will be needed to tackle that area.
Bitcoin Price Set for Rally as Falling Wedge Pattern Conforms In the latest bullish developments for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), the accumulation of $145 million in BTC by new wallets is driving market optimism, suggesting an impending rally. This fresh wave of buying has coincided with a technical breakout, solidifying sentiment that BTC could potentially soar to $100,000 by the end of the year. Here’s a deep dive into the technical and fundamental factors fueling this optimism.
Fresh Wallets Signal Strong Bullish Sentiment
According to a recent report from Lookonchain, 10 new wallets have collectively accumulated 1,910 BTC, valued at approximately $145 million, from the crypto exchange Binance. This massive purchase not only highlights heightened demand from high-net-worth investors but also signals broader market confidence. On-chain data shows a parallel drop in BTC exchange reserves, reflecting strong accumulation patterns—a bullish indicator that demand is outpacing supply.
This buying spree comes as the crypto market enjoys a wave of institutional interest, partly driven by recent inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Notably, Farside Investors reported that the US Spot Bitcoin ETF saw over $1 billion in inflows on November 7, marking a record since its inception in January. BlackRock’s BTC ETF accounted for $1.11 billion of this influx, underscoring increasing institutional faith in BTC as a long-term investment.
Macro Environment
Following Donald Trump’s recent victory in the U.S. presidential election, hopes are rising for a favorable regulatory landscape. With his support for Bitcoin and digital assets, Trump’s administration could be instrumental in shaping clear regulations, which would benefit the broader crypto market. This political shift has sparked optimism, as it aligns with heightened activity from whales and institutional players who are eyeing BTC’s potential to reach new highs.
Technical Analysis
On the technical front, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has confirmed a falling wedge pattern, a formation typically associated with bullish reversals. This pattern suggests that CRYPTOCAP:BTC may break out to higher levels, with many analysts eyeing $100,000 as a near-term target, potentially by the end of 2024.
At the time of analysis, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading around $76,209, up 1.6% from the previous day, with an all-time high (ATH) of $76,943 reached in the last 24 hours. Notably, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 66—approaching the overbought territory—indicating strong upward momentum. Additionally, a doji candlestick pattern on the chart reflects indecision in the market; however, this is often followed by a breakout, particularly in an established bullish trend like the one BTC is in now.
Further strengthening the outlook is the potential formation of a golden cross, where Bitcoin’s moving averages (MA) have crossed above each other, historically a powerful bullish signal. This pattern, combined with increased whale activity and institutional inflows, paints a promising picture for BTC in the short and long term.
Market Sentiment and Price Predictions
Current trends and market sentiment are highly favorable for BTC. If BTC can maintain its crucial support level of $71,489, analysts expect it could rally to $80,000 in the coming weeks. Some even project a target of $88,000 by the end of November, bolstered by the steady increase in BTC Futures Open Interest, which has risen 1.7% in the last 24 hours. This rise in open interest is another indicator of strong market confidence.
However, the recent surge has brought sharp volatility into focus. While the rally is expected to continue, investors should remain cautious, as significant price increases can lead to profit-taking, which may result in price corrections.
Economic Indicators and Future Outlook
Upcoming U.S. inflation data, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), may influence market sentiment. Positive inflation data could create further tailwinds for BTC by reinforcing its role as a hedge against inflation. Furthermore, political support from Trump’s administration is expected to provide a regulatory boost, potentially fostering a more robust digital assets market in the U.S.
Conclusion
With technical indicators aligning with strong fundamental factors, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) appears poised for a substantial rally. The recent accumulation by new wallets, coupled with favorable macroeconomic conditions and strong institutional support, sets the stage for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to potentially reach the highly anticipated $100,000 milestone.
As always, investors are advised to monitor the market closely, as rapid price changes can trigger volatility. Yet, the ongoing surge in institutional interest, whale activity, and positive regulatory developments suggest that CRYPTOCAP:BTC could be on the brink of a historic rally.
Don't F@ck up the Banana zone!This is the Others marketcap vs the Bitcoin Market cap chart.
With their respective Banana zones for the past couple cycle and the current one we have already started.
The KEY takeaway is you should be feeling the FOMO and kind already have been deployed into your favourite #Alts
This #altseason may yield one of the worst performances in a cycle --- which I have warned a few times now. And finish sooner than you think.
If you had waited for confirmation of a altcoin breakout and rotated/bough at the sad face this how your returns would have been crippled.
21 X ----> 5.8X 2017
6.4X ----> 3X 2021
3/4X -----> 1.75X/2.3X 2025
Drastically different.
I hope you have found this chart informative. Smash the likes.
BITCOIN Weekly line charttells a story of 4 discernible patterns and 4 log targets.
1) The inverse head & shoulders to end the bear market
2) A broadening rising flag .... which at the time, many thought it was head and shoulder's top on the candle chart.
3) A small sideways flag
4) and the current frustrating broadening descending bull flag. Which has cause much grief to participants but will likely gives an explosive quick large moves.
As you can see putting the chart can help in identifying trends.. key highs and lows and also gives patterns that may not be visible on a candle chart.
Another tool in your toolbox.
Never HODL at the highest point even if the profit is small
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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I used TradingView's INDEX chart to see the overall flow of BTC.
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Let's take a look at the section that showed a big movement.
(1M chart)
- 13888.32
- 57789.06
- 71320.68
The three points above are where the BW(100) line was created.
The fact that the BW(100) line was created means that a high point section has been formed, so there is a high possibility of a decline.
Therefore, based on the previous two experiences and looking at the current movement, we can see how important the 71320.68 point is as a support and resistance point.
Therefore, we should sell when it falls below 71320.68 in order not to HODL in the high range.
In the big picture, the stop loss point has been confirmed.
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(1W chart)
From the 1W chart, we can see that the 68376.06 point is an important stop loss point.
Therefore, we should decide to sell depending on whether there is support in the 68376.06-71320.68 range.
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If the BW(0) line is created after the price falls, then it is a strong buying period.
Therefore, we should check whether there is support and see if we can buy.
The reason is that after buying at the 37929.90 point, there is a possibility that it will fail to rise above the MS-Signal indicator and continue to decline.
Therefore, you should not forget that you need to cut your loss when it falls below 37929.90 after buying.
If you have a lot of cash left after distributing your investment weight well, you can buy more when the next BW(0) line is created to lower the average purchase price.
However, since it is a 1W chart, such a transaction is not easy, so I think it is better to buy again after cutting your loss.
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(1D chart)
Since BW(0) and BW(100) lines are often created on the 1D chart, it is recommended to use the BW(0) and BW(100) lines created at the current price position for trading.
As mentioned earlier or in the chart, you can see that the BW(100) and BW(0) lines appear after the arrows are created, and there is a decline and rise.
Therefore, since the arrows are created near the current price, you can see that the BW(100) line is likely to be created soon.
Therefore, if you are trying to make a new purchase now, I think it would be better to lower the investment ratio or not to make a transaction at all.
In any case, when the BW(100) line is created, you have to stop the transaction in progress or sell some of it.
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It is not much, but I think it can be a good reference for trading.
If you look at the StErr Line, HA-High, HA-Low, BW(0), and BW(50) indicators together to make this judgment, I think it will be a great help in your trading strategy.
Since these indicators can be used on all time frame charts, I think they can help you get an eye for selecting support and resistance points.
If you use too many indicators, you can trade incorrectly.
Therefore, you should think about how to use the indicators, which indicators to apply to which trading strategy, and think about how to use them accordingly.
I hope that this time, you will trade without HODLing at the high point.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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BTC - Bullish Phase Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard.
🗒 Do you remember this post from 2023?
and this post from last month?
📌 It is confirmed. Pattern 1 Activated after breaking above the red channel and 70k.
❗️N.B. Always remember, nothing moves in a straight line, so we might see a correction (in the form of a higher low) along the way.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
🗒 All strategies are good, if managed properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin is both a bullish flag and a cup-and-handleBitcoin is currently displaying both a bullish flag pattern and a cup-and-handle pattern, signaling a strong confirmation of a bullish trend. These patterns, especially when seen together, often indicate solid upward momentum and are widely recognized as bullish reversal signals. With Bitcoin entering its 4-year cycle phase, traditionally marked by significant price growth, the technical indicators align favorably for potential long-term gains.
Additionally, recent news and market developments are reinforcing the positive outlook, supporting the upward trend. This combination of technical signals and external factors could attract more investors, sparking renewed confidence in Bitcoin’s next major rally. As anticipation builds, these signals may well mark the beginning of a substantial growth phase, capturing attention from both seasoned investors and new entrants looking to capitalize on this momentum.