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Bitcoin BTC price analysis by the end of 2025🕯 July is coming to an end, with 3 weeks of OKX:BTCUSDT consolidation between $117k–121k. Tomorrow begins the last month of summer — and it promises to be "hot" as, according to our earlier published calendar Trump's administration plans to send letters with new, increased tariffs to "all countries" on 01.08. 💰 Also, take a look at Bitcoin Monthly Returns. In our view, 2025 resembles 2020 the most. What do you think? 👉 According to this dynamic, the real "hot" may come not in summer, but late autumn. 💰 We've also tried to find a price fractal for #BTCUSD that fits the current structure — and for now, it looks plausible: ◆ In the coming days, CRYPTOCAP:BTC should not rise above $121k. ◆ A low of correction might hit mid-September around $93k. ◆ A cycle top for #BTC could arrive to the end of 2025, near $147k. 📄 Now that you've seen our version — share your forecasts on future #BTCUSDC price action in the comments 👇
by P_S_trade
Keep following to the H&S PatternMorning folks, To be honest, not too many things to talk about. We've prepared our scenario with H&S is still valid. Reaction to GDP numbers was quite welcome as it set the right arm's bottom. The only thing that we have to be busy with is to control its validity - reaching of the neckline and price standing above 116 lows and right arm. At the first signs that market is start falling back - do not take any new longs. H&S failure is also the pattern and in this case we get deeper correction. But daily chart still makes me think that bullish context is here
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
XRPUSDT → Range formation. Retest of resistanceBINANCE:XRPUSDT.P , after a false breakout of the daily resistance level of 3.352 and the elimination of traders, has entered a correction phase. The trading range shown below has been formed, with an emphasis on resistance... XRP previously formed a false breakout of the daily resistance level of 3.352, as indicated in the idea above. After changing its market character, the price entered a correction phase. Focus on the range of 3.00 - 3.264. A retest of resistance (zone of interest and liquidity) is possible before falling to 3.161, 3.05 or to the liquidity zone of 3.00. There are no technical or fundamental reasons for exiting the consolidation; most likely, a retest of the zone of interest may end in manipulation and a pullback to support... Resistance levels: 3.1609, 3.264, 3.352 Support levels: 3.05, 3.00 I do not rule out the fact that a retest of the 3.264 resistance level may have a breakout structure and the price will continue to rise, but based on the price behavior pattern on D1, the market structure, and market stagnation, I conclude that at the moment, the chances of seeing a correction from resistance are higher. Further developments will need to be considered after the retest of key zones on the chart... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
12
#BTC Update #12 – July 31, 2025#BTC Update #12 – July 31, 2025 Bitcoin is currently at the upper boundary of the channel it has been following. It may experience a pullback from this upper boundary. This pullback is estimated to reach the $116,800 level. If it wants to go lower, it could drop as far as the $114,500 level. There is a significant amount of liquidity between $121,000 and $117,000. Bitcoin may also try to sweep this area. However, despite 4 or 5 attempts, it still hasn’t managed to break above the upper resistance zone. Therefore, a pullback should always be taken into account. Overall, Bitcoin is still in a correction within a correction. That means no impulsive move has occurred yet. It’s not at a suitable point for either long or short positions. You may choose to trade within this range, but keep in mind that it's quite risky.
by BTCETH2X
BTCUSD – Descending Channel or Bullish Flag?BINANCE:BTCUSDT – Market Maker’s Game Inside a Descending Channel Timeframe: 2H | MJTrading View Market Structure Overview: Bitcoin recently printed a new ATH at $122,000 after a parabolic run from the previous ATH at $111,937. Since then, price has been consolidating inside a descending channel, which could act as a bullish flag in higher timeframes. Liquidity pools are clearly formed: Above $122K – resting stops of late shorts. Below $115K–$114K – weak long stops and untapped demand near the Order Block (OB). Key Levels & Liquidity Zones: Upside: $122K Liquidity Pool → If swept, could trigger momentum towards $124K–$125K. Downside: $116K OB → First defensive zone for bulls. $112K Strong Support → Aligns with previous ATH breakout base. Market Maker’s Dilemma: If you were a market maker… which liquidity pool would you hunt first? Price is coiling tighter within the channel, and both scenarios are possible: Upside Sweep → Rapid breakout above $122K to clear shorts, then potential continuation. Downside Sweep → Sharp drop into $116K–$112K liquidity, flushing longs before any recovery. ⚡ MJTrading Insight: This is the classic market maker compression – first sweep likely determines direction. Patience here is key; let the liquidity tell the story. #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #Liquidity #SmartMoney #PriceAction #MJTrading #ChartDesigner #CryptoAnalysis Psychology Always Matters:
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MJElahifx
2
Important Volatility Period: August 2nd - 5th Hello, fellow traders! Follow us for quick updates. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M Chart) Let's take a moment to check the trend before the new month begins. There have been two major declines so far, and a third major decline is expected next year. For the reason, please refer to the "3-Year Bull Market, 1-Year Bear Market Pattern" section below. - My target point for 2025 is around the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92). However, if the price surges further, it could touch the Fibonacci range of 3 (151018.77) to 3.14 (157296.36). If it rises above 133K, it's expected that prices will never fall below 43823.59 again. Since the HA-Low indicator hasn't yet been created on the 1M chart, we need to monitor whether it appears when a downtrend begins. Based on the current trend, the HA-Low indicator is expected to form around 73499.86. More details will likely be available once the movement begins. - The basic trading strategy involves buying in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and selling in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range. However, if the price rises above the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a step-up trend is likely, while if the price falls below the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a step-down trend is likely. Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach. The further away from the HA-High indicator, the more likely it is that the DOM(60) indicator will act as a strong resistance when it forms. Therefore, if the current price and the HA-High indicator are trading far apart, and the DOM(60) indicator forms, it is expected to face significant resistance. - Looking at the current trend formation, the high trend line is drawn correctly, but the low trend line is not. This is because the StochRSI indicator failed to enter the oversold zone. Therefore, the low trend line is marked with a dotted line, not a solid line. Therefore, what we should pay attention to is the high trend line. We need to see if the uptrend can continue along the high trend line. - (1D chart) If we use the trend lines drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to predict periods of volatility, the periods around August 5th and August 13th are significant periods of volatility. By breaking this down further, the volatility periods are around July 31st, August 2nd-5th, and August 13th. Therefore, trading strategies should be developed based on the assumption that the volatility period extends from July 30th to August 14th. The current price is moving sideways in the 115,854.56-119,177.56 range. This range, the HA-High ~ DOM (60), is a crucial area to consider for support. This will determine whether the price will continue its upward trend by rising above 119,177.56, or whether it will turn downward by falling below 115,854.56. If the price falls below 115854.56, it is expected to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and reestablish the trend. The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is forming at 99705.62, and the DOM (60) indicator on the 1W chart is forming at 119086.64. Therefore, when the price declines, it is important to check where the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart forms and determine whether there is support near that point. - The On-Board Value (OBV) indicator within the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing a downward trend. If the OBV falls below the Low Line, the price is expected to plummet. Therefore, it is necessary to closely monitor the movements of the OBV indicator. The Trend Check indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the StochRSI, PVT-MACD Oscillator, and On-Board Value (OBV) indicator. The TC (Trend Check) indicator interprets a rise from the 0 point as a buying trend, while a decline indicates a selling trend. In other words, a rise from the 0 point is likely to indicate an uptrend, while a decline is likely to indicate a downtrend. Currently, the TC (Trend Check) indicator is below the 0 point, suggesting a high probability of a downtrend. However, if the TC (Trend Check) indicator touches a high or low, the trend may reverse. In other words, touching a high increases the likelihood of a reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend, while touching a low increases the likelihood of a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. When such movements occur, it's important to consider the support and resistance levels formed around the price level to determine a response. In other words, consider the support and resistance levels formed at the current price level. As a significant period of volatility approaches, prepare to transition from box trading to trend trading. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - Here's an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
BTCUSDT | Bitcoin needs liquidity to be able to go up more🚀 Trade Setup Details: 🕯 #BTC/USDT 🔽 Sell | Short 🔽 ⌛️ TimeFrame: 1H -------------------- 🛡 Risk Management: 🛡 If Your Account Balance: $1000 🛡 If Your Loss-Limit: 1% 🛡 Then Your Signal Margin: $1204.82 -------------------- ☄️ En1: 118829.28 (Amount: $120.48) ☄️ En2: 119162.54 (Amount: $421.69) ☄️ En3: 119400.34 (Amount: $542.17) ☄️ En4: 119638.61 (Amount: $120.48) -------------------- ☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then: ☄️ Average.En: 119283.83 ($1204.82) -------------------- ☑️ TP1: 118025.43 (+1.05%) (RR:1.27) ☑️ TP2: 117427.5 (+1.56%) (RR:1.88) ☑️ TP3: 116671.89 (+2.19%) (RR:2.64) ☑️ TP4: 115717.73 (+2.99%) (RR:3.6) ☑️ TP5: 114673.35 (+3.87%) (RR:4.66) -------------------- ❌ SL: 120276.34 (-0.83%) (-$10) -------------------- 💯 Maximum.Lev: 66X ⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading ‼️ Signal Risk: ⚠️ High-Risk! ⚠️ 🔎 Technical Analysis Breakdown: This technical analysis is based on Price Action, Elliott waves, SMC (Smart Money Concepts), and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. All entry points, Target Points, and Stop Losses are calculated using professional mathematical formulas. As a result, you can have an optimal trade setup based on great risk management. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly. 💡 Stay Updated: Like this technical analysis? Follow me for more in-depth insights, technical setups, and market updates. Let's trade smarter together!
Short
by MergicNet
Major test for crypto bulls - BTC and ETH Bitcoin has dipped below $118,000, putting pressure on the bullish structure that’s held for the past two weeks. The attempted breakout above $121,000 has failed, and price is now breaking down through the middle of the consolidation range, threatening short-term higher lows. On the 4H chart, this move resembles a failed breakout with a potential double-top near $121,000. If Bitcoin can’t reclaim $116,000 quickly, the next downside levels to watch are $114,000 and $110,000. Ethereum, meanwhile, has stalled just below $3,800 after a strong rally this month. Price action has flattened out over the past few days, with several failed attempts to push through that level. The key upside trigger remains $4,000. But if $3,700 gives way, ETH may slide back to the $3,450–$3,300 region, where previous resistance and the rising trendline converge.
BLACKBULL:BTCUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
BITCOIN → Correction within a downward channel. 112K or 125K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating. However, a local downward trading range is forming relative to the current setup. What is the probability of a correction continuing to 112K or growth to 125K? Daily structure: a local correctional channel within a global bullish trend. We have cascading resistance at 119.2, 119.6, 120, and 120.8. It will be quite difficult to break through this zone on the first attempt, but MM can use it to form traps and collect liquidity. At the bottom, everything is simpler — a breakdown of the local bullish structure, the formation of an intermediate minimum, below which there is a void down to 112K. Yesterday, relative to 115-116K, mm staged a massacre (trap) on both sides of the market. Liquidity collection, return to the range, and growth. The reaction to the false breakdown of support is quite strong. Since the opening of the session, Bitcoin has been heading towards resistance, but there may not be enough potential to break through the upper resistance conglomerate, so I expect to see a pullback or decline to 116-115-114. Resistance levels: 119.2, 120.1, 120.85 Support levels: 116.37, 115.67, 112 Technically and fundamentally, I do not see any drivers that could support the market (I am talking about Bitcoin, since the driver for altcoins is the decline in Bitcoin's dominance). It is possible that this may appear later. In the current situation, I am considering a false breakout and correction, as the market has not yet finished consolidating or correcting, and the current downward trading range may be extended. PS: As the price moves towards resistance, it is necessary to monitor the reaction. The market itself will show what it is preparing for... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
30
BTCUSD Market Breakdown – Liquidity Sweep Incoming?BTCUSD Market Breakdown – Liquidity Sweep Incoming? 🔍 Technical Analysis (July 29, 2025) Chart Observations: 1. BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple BOS events are identified, confirming key directional shifts in market structure. The last BOS near the support zone signals bearish intent. 2. Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG): A clean bearish FVG is left behind after a sharp drop on the 25th, indicating institutional imbalance and potential retracement area. Price rejected from that FVG later. 3. Equal Low & Sellside Liquidity: The highlighted equal lows around July 25-26 mark areas of resting liquidity—prime targets for smart money manipulation. 4. New FVG Formed (July 28): Another bearish FVG appears just before the projected breakdown, strengthening the case for a bearish continuation. 5. Support Zone Target – $115K: A clean support zone (marked between 114,500–115,500) sits directly below the current market price. This is the likely liquidity target after sweeping equal lows. 6. Volume Profile (VRVP): Low-volume nodes between the current price and support suggest minimal resistance to a sharp downward move. ⸻ 🎯 Conclusion: The structure, FVGs, and liquidity pools all point toward a liquidity raid below the equal lows, aiming for the support target near $115K. Traders should watch for a decisive break below the current range, especially if the FVG acts as resistance again.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
2
btc buy midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Long
by Golden_candle
2
BTC 4H – Retest Holding, But Golden Pocket BelowBitcoin’s 4H chart is at a key decision point. After a strong breakout in early July, price has been consolidating just above the prior resistance zone — now acting as support. This white box represents a major reclaim level that has held multiple times, but buyers are starting to look fatigued. Below this support lies a clean Fibonacci retracement zone: 0.5 at 110,971 0.618 (Golden Pocket) at 108,072 0.786 deeper pullback at 103,945 The structure remains intact for now, but a loss of the current level could trigger a deeper sweep into one of these fib levels — especially with momentum (Stoch RSI) resetting from oversold. A potential bounce here keeps the uptrend alive. However, if the zone breaks, the .618 area may be the magnet. 📊 Watching for: Strong reaction or absorption at this support Bullish divergence forming Sweep into golden pocket followed by reversal structure This setup blends price action, key S/R levels, and Fib confluence — a great chart for anticipating the next move, not reacting to the last one.
by Quant_Trading_Pro
3 Bitcoin Tops, Weak Green Candles, and What’s Next? If you're closely monitoring the Bitcoin (BTC) market, patterns often begin to reveal themselves in surprising ways. In the attached chart, I’ve highlighted three major local tops that Bitcoin has made, each marked by a weak green daily candle. What’s even more striking is what comes next: a dramatic increase in trading volume, followed by steep corrections. Spotting the Pattern: Weak Green, Heavy Volume At each pointed top (see red arrows), BTC formed an all-time high (ATH) with a relatively weak green candle, hardly the sign of euphoric buying strength. Look closely at the volume bars below (blue arrows). Each time, as price struggled to push higher, volume surged after the top, often a signal of major sellers stepping in or longs closing en masse. What followed? Significant corrections: -13.6%, -29.2%, and, now it might be shaping up for another potential drop (-24.1%) if history rhymes. Why Does This Matter? From a technical analysis perspective, volume is the fuel behind price moves. When a new high is reached with limp buying (weak green candles) but is swiftly met with rising volume on the way down, it’s a classic sign of distribution, a strong hand selling into retail euphoria. Is Another Drop Coming? Given the consistency in behavior, it’s not unreasonable to ask: are we about to witness another similar correction now that BTC has again hit a top with a weak green candle and volume is ticking up? The historical evidence certainly makes it plausible. Long-Term Perspective: Still Bullish Despite these corrections, my long-term outlook remains bullish. Every cycle has corrections, they’re opportunities for healthy consolidation, allowing strong hands to accumulate and the market to reset for its next leg higher. *not investment advice #crypto #btc #bitcoin #finance #trading
Short
by signalgo
1
Bitcoin: Pennant - Bullish Continuation PatternI spotted a bullish continuation pattern called Pennant in Bitcoin chart Support and resistance are marked with yellow trendlines There is also a Flag Pole (white trendline) The model is clean as we already see a bullish breakup and a textbook pullback to the broken resistance. The target is established at the height of the Flag Pole applied to the broken resistance at $135k. For final confirmation the price should overcome the top of breakout at $119,800 The invalidation point is located at the bottom of the Pennant at $114,700
by aibek
2
White House Crypto Report Incoming: Will BTC Pump from Support? One of the important news for Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) that was released today was that " White House confirms first Bitcoin and crypto report will be released TOMORROW ". Bitcoin is likely to rise with the release of the White House report . What do you think? At least a temporary pump may be in store for Bitcoin. Bitcoin fell to the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) and filled the New CME Gap( $119,500-$118,295) as I expected in the previous idea . Bitcoin is currently moving near the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($116,828-$115,710) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . I expect Bitcoin to rise from the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) to at least $118,680(First Taregt) . Second target: Upper line of the descending channel Note: Stop Loss: $114,680 = Worst Stop Loss(SL) CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $118,827-$118,298 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $120,144-$119,200 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18
BTC - Bulls vs Bears: who will win?Market Context Bitcoin is trading in a tight consolidation just below its all-time high after a strong impulsive rally. This phase represents a balance of power between buyers and sellers, with neither side able to take control yet. Such a pause in momentum at this key level often builds pressure for a breakout move as liquidity pools accumulate above and below the range. Consolidation Phase The current range is clearly defined by a resistance area at the top and a support area at the bottom. Price has been oscillating within these boundaries without any sustained breakout attempts. This range-bound behavior is an essential part of the market cycle, as it allows larger players to build or distribute positions. The longer price stays in this box, the more significant the breakout that follows tends to be. Bullish Breakout Scenario If price breaks out decisively above resistance, it would indicate buyers have absorbed all the supply at these levels. Such a breakout opens the path to a new all-time high and could potentially extend far beyond as trapped shorts are forced to cover. For traders, a retest of the breakout level on lower timeframes could provide a low-risk entry point for continuation to the upside. Bearish Breakout Scenario On the flip side, if support fails, the market will likely gravitate toward the unfilled Fair Value Gap left behind during the previous rally. This inefficiency becomes a natural draw for price, offering a logical downside target for a corrective move. A clean break below the range followed by a retest from underneath could present shorting opportunities for those aiming to capture that move into the FVG. Final Words Patience and precision are key when dealing with setups like this. Let the market come to your level — and react with intent. If you found this breakdown helpful, a like is much appreciated! Let me know in the comments what you think or if you’re watching the same zones.
by Louigi_24
147
Bitcoin Passes Stress TestOn July 25, 2025, Galaxy Digital executed one of the largest Bitcoin sales ever recorded: 80,000 BTC, valued at approximately $9 billion , on behalf of a Satoshi-era investor. Despite the size, the market absorbed the flow with minimal volatility—Bitcoin dipped from around $119,000 to $115,000, then rebounded above $119,000. Liquidity Maturity in Motion Analysts called the trade a significant demonstration of market maturity, noting that 80,000 BTC was absorbed in days with barely a market blip. Crypto infrastructure has also evolved: algorithmic liquidity providers, institutional desks, and OTC channels handled the load without triggering cascading funding rate hikes or forced liquidations. Ongoing Risks Event-Driven Stress: During macro shocks or sharp sell-offs, liquidity may thin, and the same level of absorption might not persist. OTC vs Exchange: This large sale was managed mostly off-exchange. A similar-sized on-exchange dump could still trigger stop-run cascades. Retail Complacency Risk: The stability seen now can be deceptive, as retail may misinterpret low volatility as a safe leverage zone, only to be caught off-guard. Projections: Watching the 23.6% fib retracement level in line with the $116,600 price level. Anticipate the resistance level of $120,000 to be retested. If price breaks above $120,000, we could see a significant move toward $130,000 The $9B BTC sale went through without materially impacting price is considered a milestone in crypto market evolution. It reflects institutional-grade liquidity and sentiment maturity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by JinDao_Tai
1