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Bitcoin BTC price analysis, FOMC 19/03 - FED rateOur previous idea for OKX:BTCUSDT worked out 10 out of 10 Well, let's try to hit it again !) Yesterday, CRYPTOCAP:BTC price showed growth despite the fact that the Fed left the rate unchanged yesterday #FOMC In short, Powell said that he was "hesitant" to cut the rate now because it is not known how the economy will be affected by the new "economic tariffs and economic wars" that come into effect in early April. In the US, one "grandfather" does not know what to expect from the other "grandfather" )) Nevertheless, #BTCUSD price has every chance of reaching $94k in the coming days. And then, I would like to see a decline in BTC.D and USDT.D, which in turn will allow altcoins to "stop collapsing", and some low-liquid ones, which are easier to pump, will show good growth, such as X Empire. 👀 In general, the last 2 months have been: "not about making money, but about surviving and keeping the deposit, even with a drawdown", but the next 3 months may be very much about making money. _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
12
BITCOIN The Ultimate Cycle Model calls for $160k!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rebounding following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. Technically the rebound has already started 10 days ago after the market nearly bottomed on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). This is the strongest long-term Support level, as it is where BTC priced Lows and rebounded on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023, but it is not the only one. With the current 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle pattern being a Channel Up, this is the absolute and ultimate model that has been guiding the price action and can help estimate any future moves. Given that, it's also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level that supported both Lows (as well as the current one) on the 1W MA50 mentioned above. As a result, we are so far on a double Support cluster. The 1W RSI comes in as the 3rd Support, as it hit and is rebounding now on its 2-year Support level, where the bounces of September 07 2024 and September 11 2023 happened. It is also important to mention that the Channel Up can be divided into two phases, Phase 1 (green Channel Up), which traded within the 0.0 - 1.0 Fibonacci range and Phase 2 (blue Channel Up), which trades within the 0.5 - 1.5 Fibonacci range. The symmetry within those patterns are so high that the two Bullish Legs of Phase one have both rallied by +100.64%. If Phase 2 follows the same dynamic, and there is no reason to assume it won't as the Bearish Legs have been almost identical, we can assume that the Bullish Leg that has just started will rise by +121.48%, same as the previous one (Aug - Dec 2024). That gives us a Target estimate of $160000. So do you think that BTC has bottomed on this Triple Support Cluster and if so, can it reach $160k by the end of this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
Volatility Period: Around March 22-25 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) I think it always falls less than expected and rises more than expected. Therefore, trades should always be done in split trades. This volatility period is expected to last from March 21st to 26th. Therefore, the key is whether it can break out of the downtrend channel and maintain the price after this volatility period. In order to do that, it is important to see if it can be supported near the Fibonacci ratio range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0). If it breaks out of the downtrend channel and falls, if it does not fall below the downtrend line, it is expected to rise. In other words, we need to check if it is supported near the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.24 (83646.12). If not, if it falls, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. In other words, it is expected to touch near 73499.86. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
The Fed Cuts Balance Sheet Runoff by 80% - BULLISH!RISK-ON 🚨 I’m seeing so many people incorrectly analyzing the September 2019 emergency repo OMOs, which were short-term liquidity injections from the Fed, and then comparing it to the price of BTC going down, before QE officially started in March 2020 because of the pandemic. Here’s what really happened. September 15, 2019 was a tax deadline, pulling ~$100B out of markets as large corporations paid the IRS and funds flew into the TGA. Meanwhile, the Treasury issued new T-Bills to rebuild cash reserves following the post-debt ceiling resolution in August, draining another $50-100B as big banks and institutions absorbed the securities. During this time, the Fed continued reducing its balance sheet (QT) down to $3.76T, but the balance sheet did not leave enough slack for unexpected cash drains to the system, such as corporate taxes and Treasury issuance. Unfortunately, the Fed was flying blind and did not have a hard number estimate for “ample reserves” in the banking system. These reserves were largely hoarded by a few of the larger banking institutions due to Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) rules and a higher IOER at 2.1% vs the ON RRP rate of 1.7% - a 40 bp spread. This caused a liquidity crisis in the US repo market because bank reserves held at the Fed ($1.36T) were too low and repo lending dried up. Banks weren’t able to access each other’s reserves to fund daily operations. SOUND FAMILIAR !? The US just resolved its CR to avoid a government shutdown, and they will be refilling the TGA by issuing new T-Bills. The reverse repo facility is also nearly drained. Today, we heard the Fed will be reducing its securities runoff from $25B - SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B on April 1st, an 80% adjustment. One of the main drivers is they wanted to get ahead of another 2019-style repo crisis (although they won’t say this), rather than being reactive and having to perform emergency OMOs once again. Now to go back to my original point with people saying the Fed reducing its balance sheet runoff is a big nothingburger based on BTC price action in 2019. BTC dumped because of the repo crisis, NOT because markets needed QE. By early 2020, the liquidity crisis was resolved, and BTC pumped ~45% before the pandemic hit in March and nuked the chart. Proof is in the pudding - just look at the 2017 bull market. QT started in October 2017, and the market ripped until early 2018. The Fed reducing its balance sheet runoff by 80% is definitely a signal of risk-on for educated market participants, as it leaves more reserves in the financial system, which gives banks more liquidity to loan the market. i.e. M2 go up. But keep listening to your favorite large accounts who are all of a sudden macro gurus, what do I know 🤓
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
#BTC #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #Scalp #Scalping #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #Scalp #Scalping #Eddy BTCUSDT.P Scalping Long Setup Important areas of the upper time frame for scalping are identified and named. This setup is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this scalping setup to enter the trade. Don't forget risk and capital management. The entry point, take profit point, and stop loss point are indicated on the chart along with their amounts. The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management. Be successful and profitable.
Long
by Eddy_Trade_
2 Paths for Bitcoin in this 60-Day CycleThere are two possible scenarios for the rest of this cycle: 1️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Most Likely) Bitcoin hit a cycle low at $78,000 on February 28th. It initially showed strength but quickly reversed, forming a failed cycle. This suggests a lower low is likely before the cycle ends. If holding BTC, the best strategy is to sell at the next 3-day Cycle high (message me if you don’t have access to the Cycle indicators), expected next week. 2️⃣ Bullish Alternative If the recent drop was caused by macro factors rather than natural cycle movement, we could still see a higher high before the cycle ends. The 1-week Cycle (red line) is forming a bottoming pattern, which could indicate upside potential toward $90,000+. How I’m Approaching This Cycle I purchased BTC below the current price and plan to hold through this cycle. My reasoning: We are currently at the bottom of the mid-term trend, and I expect a strong rally in the near future. As mentioned in my previous newsletter, it’s crucial to combine the 60-day cycle with other timeframes: 2-week, 1-week, 3-day, and 1-day cycles all provide additional confirmation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheStrategyMaster
BTC - In depth analysis leading up to the FOMC decision today!BTC Price Action Analysis Ahead of the Fed Decision In this analysis, we will discuss the current price action of BTC leading up to the Federal Reserve's rate decision later today. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is set to release its rate decision and Dot Plot. Following this, Jerome Powell will hold a press conference. Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to maintain the current federal funds rate within the 4.25% to 4.50% range. This decision aligns with the Fed's cautious approach amid ongoing economic uncertainties, particularly those stemming from recent trade policies and tariff implementations by the Trump administration. Investors and market participants are eagerly awaiting the Fed’s updated economic projections, which will offer insights into the central bank’s outlook on growth, inflation, and employment. These projections will be crucial in assessing how the Fed plans to navigate current economic challenges. 4H BTC Chart Analysis Currently, BTC is forming a tightening consolidation pattern, characterized by equal highs and higher lows. This suggests that BTC could potentially break to the upside by taking out liquidity above resistance. There are numerous stop-loss orders accumulating just above this resistance level. If BTC manages to trigger these stop-losses, it is likely to revisit the Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 - 0.65). Meanwhile, the Stochastic RSI is rapidly rising towards the overbought zone, indicating that if BTC reaches the Golden Pocket, we could see a retracement from that level. The overall price action remains bearish until BTC clears the 92k level. Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily timeframe, BTC’s price action remains bearish until a higher high above 92K is established. During this correction, BTC has formed a clear downward trendline. We need to wait for a breakout above this trendline and 92K before considering long setups on higher timeframes. The Stochastic RSI on the daily chart is also moving into the overbought zone, indicating that BTC’s momentum may peak in the coming days, potentially leading to downside pressure. Because of this, the 73K support zone remains a key level to watch. For now, a temporary bounce could occur, but further downside remains likely. Traders should focus on risk management when opening long positions at these levels. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment! Lets chat in the comment section. See you there :)
by Youriverse
9
CRV Trade Setup: Potential Relief RallyWith seller exhaustion appearing across multiple projects, CRV could be positioning for a relief rally. If the market structure shifts bullish—forming a higher high and successfully retesting support—we may see a move into upside liquidity zones. 🛠 Trade Details: Entry: Around $0.46 (Support Level) Take Profit Targets: $0.57 (First TP - Initial Resistance) $0.67 (Second TP - Mid Liquidity Zone) $0.77 (Third TP - Strong Resistance Area) Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.39 Watching for bullish confirmation before entry. 🚀
Long
by Richtv_official
Bitcoin at the D-Point of a Bullish Gartley – What’s Next?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading near the Support zone($80,600_$79,000) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Support line . Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern . Educational Note : The Bullish Gartley is a harmonic pattern that signals a potential reversal in an uptrend after a corrective move. It consists of five points (X-A-B-C-D) and follows specific Fibonacci retracements, with the D-point acting as a key buying zone. Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin is completing the microwave B of the main wave Y . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect Bitcoin to rise at least to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage . If the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) is broken, we can expect further increases in Bitcoin . Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($80,600_$79,000), we can expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
16
Inverse Head & Shoulders in Play – Bitcoin’s Bullish Setup!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched $84,500 as I expected in my previous post (even higher). Right now it seems like Bitcoin has managed to break the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) and the 200_SMA(Daily) . The formation of the classic pattern , the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern , could be a sign that Bitcoin is preparing to break the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) . Another Classic Pattern that we can see on the one-hour Bitcoin chart and hope for an increase in Bitcoin is the Fan Principle at the Bottom Pattern . Educational tip : The Fan Principle at the Bottom is a bullish reversal pattern where the price forms a series of downward trendline breaks, signaling weakening bearish momentum. As each trendline is broken, buying pressure increases, leading to a potential uptrend. According to Elliott Wave theory , with the resistance zone broken, we can expect Bitcoin to enter the next impulsive wave , which will likely continue to at least $86,300 . Also, Today's U.S. economic data release could significantly impact financial markets, including Bitcoin : UoM Consumer Sentiment : 57.9 (Forecast: 63.1 | Previous: 64.7) – A sharp decline, indicating consumer pessimism about the economy. UoM Inflation Expectations : 4.9% (Previous: 4.3%) – A worrying increase, which could push the Fed toward a more hawkish stance. Declining consumer sentiment may pressure the Fed to adopt a more accommodative stance, which is positive for risk assets like Bitcoin. Rising inflation expectations could increase demand for inflation-hedge assets like Bitcoin. However, if the Fed sees inflation rising as a concern, they may maintain a tighter policy, which could weigh on markets. Today's data presents mixed signals, but falling consumer confidence and rising inflation expectations could ultimately fuel Bitcoin's next leg up. Based on the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the upper resistance zone($87,000_$85,820) after completing its pullback and complete the mission of filling the CME Gap($86,400_$85,595) . Of course, a CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) has also formed. In your opinion, has Bitcoin finished its correction or created an opportunity for us to escape again? Note: If Bitcoin falls below $81,300, we should expect further declines. Note: If Bitcoin goes above $87,800, we should expect further increases. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
54
$BTC Bitcoin at critical point... Head and shoulder Pattern!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bitcoin is at a critical point Current price: 91000 Bitcoin has retraced over 16% from an all time high of 108k, Price action is currently forming a head and shoulder pattern which is usually a bearish pattern! #btc needs to remain supported around 90.5k to continue its uptrend to all time highs at 119k If MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN price action loses support at 90.5k then expect prices to retest supports at 85k and then 80k. Definitely a critical point to watch! What do you think?
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Ifiok-2sydes
DOW JONES This is why chances of a brutal rebound are so high.Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 31 2023 High and last week it hit (marginally breached) its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of October 30 2023. The price went on to test the bottom of the Channel Up and rebounded back above the 1W MA50. This is an incredibly strong long-term bullish signal and it is not the only one. The market also made a Lower Low rebound on the 3-month trend-line while the 1W CCI got oversold below -150.00 and is rebounding. The last time we got these conditions fulfilled was exactly 2 years ago on the March 13 2023 Low. That was when the index made a similar Megaphone Lower Low rebound on oversold 1W CCI that initiated a +13.57% rally. Both Megaphone fractals emerged after Dow rose by +21.00%. In fact, every oversold 1W CCI rebound has produced very aggressive rallies. Based on those similarities with the March 2023 fractal, we expect the index to hit 46150 (+13.57%) minimum by July. If the more aggressive scenario of the November 25 2024 rally that made a Channel Up Higher High on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension prevails, then our more optimistic scenario is 48900 (Target 2) by September, which could technically be the end/ Top of the current Bull Cycle. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US30Long
by TradingShot
1
BITCOIN The 2021 Pivot trend-line that is coming to its rescue.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has stayed stable after last week's rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the level that offered support on the Bull Cycle Channel's previous Higher Low (August 05 2024). Technically however, that is not the only major Support level that may be coming to BTC's rescue as we've identified the Pivot trend-line that started on the April 12 2021 High as a Resistance and since then made another 2 contacts (as rejections). This is the first time now that is being tested as Support. During the previous Cycle (2018 - 2021) a similar Pivot trend-line was the level that supported Bitcoin during the last year of its parabolic rally on January and June 2021. The June 2021 contact in particular tested the 1W MA50 as well, which is the exact situation we're in right now. That double support hold initiated the final rebound towards the Cycle's new All Time High (ATH). Check also how similar the 1W CCI patterns between the two fractals are and based on that, a 1W CCI reading at 200.00 would be a solid level to sell and take profit. As a result, we expect this Cycle's Channel Up to accelerate the current rebound, technically its Bullish Leg and make a new ATH, which would be the Cycle's new Top, ideally with a CCI at 200.00. So do you think this cyclical Pivot trend-line is coming along with the 1W MA50 to BTC's rescue? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)Given the reduced downward momentum, the bullish Ichimoku on the chart, and the formation of support zones, Bitcoin is expected to move toward the identified supply level. Currently, the price is in a discount zone, and an upward move toward premium levels is anticipated. A 4-hour candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this setup. Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
Long
by iMoneyTeam