GOLD Trading: trategy: Look to SELL at resistance zone,downtrend🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone (Sell Limit): 3,353 – 3,357 USD
Stop Loss (SL): 3,375 USD
Take Profit (TP): 3,280 – 3,283 USD
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3 → suitable for 2–4 session swing trades.
📊 Technical Analysis:
1. Overall Trend:
GOLD is clearly in a downtrend, confirmed by:
A descending trendline connecting recent lower highs.
Price consistently forming lower highs and lower lows.
2. Indicator-Based Analysis:
🔹 SMA 89 (Purple Line):
Price is trading below the 89-period SMA, confirming bearish momentum.
SMA89 acts as a dynamic resistance, and the 3,353–3,357 zone aligns with this resistance level.
🔹 BB20 (Bollinger Bands):
The upper band sits near 3,383, close to the SL zone → validating 3,375 as a proper stop.
Price is currently bouncing from the lower BB, so a rejection from the mid-to-upper band is likely, supporting a SELL setup.
🔹 Volume Analysis:
Volume is decreasing during this recent rebound, indicating:
Weak bullish pressure, typical of a corrective move.
The rally lacks conviction → strengthens the bearish case.
Btc-e
SOLANA → BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is consolidating after breaking through trend resistance. The market trigger is 148.0, and Bitcoin is provoking the market to recover...
The market is buying back all the losses. SOL breaks the local downward resistance and forms consolidation with a trigger of 148.0. The market has come to life following the rallying Bitcoin. If the general trend continues, SOL may break out of the accumulation zone and form a distribution towards 154.0
The latest retest of resistance is provoking a correction. Before rising, the price may test the zone of interest at 144 or the lower boundary of consolidation at 142.2. The ideal scenario would be a false breakdown of support at 142.2 before rising.
Resistance levels: 148.0, 154.2
Support levels: 142.2, 137.5
Fundamentally, the situation for the crypto market is improving. Technically, the market is also showing positive dynamics. SOL is consolidating after growth, which is generally a positive sign. Now we need to wait for the price to break out of consolidation and continue its growth. One of the signs of this is a rebound from the 0.5 range and a quick retest of resistance with a gradual squeeze towards the trigger.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SPX is overheated, a correction is necessary📉 Market Update: No, It Has Nothing to Do with Trump
This move has nothing to do with Trump’s dramatic announcements. The reality is simple: the MACD on the daily chart is overheated, and a healthy correction is needed — likely down to the 5,520 level — before resuming the uptrend.
Now, does it surprise anyone that Trump acts like a PR agent for his investors? He always seems to drop “bad news” at the exact moment the charts call for a pullback. My guess? They're shorting right now.
🪙 Bitcoin Stalling
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also losing momentum, and looks like it’s in need of a short-term correction as well. This suggests a week of consolidation ahead for the whole crypto market.
But let’s be clear:
🚀 The Bull Market Is Not Over
The weekly charts remain very bullish, and this trend could last another 4–6 months. The macro bullish structure for crypto remains intact.
However, in TradFi, there are cracks:
🔻 20-year bonds sold at 5.1% — a major recession red flag
💸 Tariffs are putting pressure on global trade
📉 The entire traditional market is starting to de-risk
🔮 What to Expect
Short-term correction to ~5,518 (first bottom target)
A possible rebound after healthy consolidation
A continued uptrend in crypto unless key support breaks
I’ll publish a new update when conditions change.
📌 Follow me to stay ahead of the market. And as always: DYOR.
#CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCorrection #BullishTrend #RecessionWarning #TradFi #Altcoins #BTC #MarketUpdate #TrumpEffect #DYOR
Next Volatility Period: Around July 2nd
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise above 108316.90 and find support.
When OBV rises above the High Line, we need to check if the PVT-MACD oscillator switches to above the 0 point.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is currently showing signs of entering the overbought zone, I think there is a high possibility of resistance.
We need to check for support in the 108316.90-111696.21 zone, which is the high point boundary zone.
- If OBV fails to rise above the High Line,
- If the PVT-MACD oscillator fails to remain above the 0 point,
- If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and switches to a state where K<D,
It is highly likely that it will eventually encounter resistance in the high point boundary zone and fall.
Therefore, what we need to do is to check for support near 108361.90-108353.0.
If it rises after that, we need to check for support near 111696.21.
Entering a new purchase in the high point boundary section is a very risky transaction.
Therefore, a short and quick response is required when making a purchase.
The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
Do not forget this.
However, since the HA-Low or HA-High indicators are intermediate values, they may move in the opposite direction.
In other words, there is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will receive resistance and fall, showing a stepwise downtrend, and the HA-High indicator will receive support and rise, showing a stepwise uptrend.
Therefore, you must check whether there is support in the low point boundary section of the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section or the high point boundary section of the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
To do this, you must trade in a split transaction method.
-
The next volatility period is expected to start around July 2 (July 1-3).
The reason why we calculate the volatility period is because it can be a turning point of the trend.
Therefore, making a new trade during the volatility period means that there is a high possibility of being caught in a fake.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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Descending broadening wedge after peak BTC/USD 4hCurrently BTC/USD is in a descending broadening wedge after a peak.
This means high chance of upward breakout. Price increase from breakout point is usually the difference from pattern top to pattern bottom, which would mean a price of $123000.
Not financial advice. There is a chance of this not playing out, even though the chance is small.
BTC/USD 1D Chart📊 1. Technical formation: Downtrend channel marked with orange lines
Upper trend line (resistance): ~108,200 – 110,000 USD
Lower trend line (support): ~98,455 – 97,000 USD
➡️ Such a formation usually ends with a breakout. The direction of the breakout will be key – currently, the price is testing the upper resistance line.
💵 2. Support and resistance levels
📈 Resistance:
108.202 – currently tested
112.037 – psychological level
114.816 – local top
📉 Support:
105.300 – SMA 50 + local support
103.424 – local lows
100.510 – key psychological support
98.455 – lower edge of the triangle
📉 3. Moving averages (SMA)
SMA 50 (green): currently as dynamic support (~105.300)
SMA 200 (blue): far below the price (~96.000), inactive in the short term
SMA 20 (red): price broke through it upwards – a signal of bullish strength
➡️ A bullish crossover took place between SMA 20 and SMA 50 → bullish signal.
📉 4. MACD (Momentum)
MACD line is approaching the intersection with the signal line from below.
The histogram is becoming less and less red → a potential intersection and a bullish crossover signal may occur any day now.
📉 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently: 57.19
RSI is rising and approaching the overbought zone (70), but it is not overheated yet.
Exceeding 60 would be a signal of further bullish strength.
🔍 6. Volume and context
There is no volume marking on the candles, but:
The current bullish candle is strong and breaks through the key averages (SMA 20, 50).
This indicates buyer activity with technical support.
🟢 Bullish scenario (if a breakout occurs up)
A breakout above 108.200 with a close of the daily candle could open the way to:
112.037 (next resistance)
then even 114.816
🔴 Bearish scenario (false breakout)
A rejection from 108.200 and a drop below 105.300 → a possible return to:
103.424 or even 98.455 (lower triangle line)
Premium zone tagged — now we watch how the Smart Money reactsBitcoin just tapped into the 108,151 level — the top of a measured premium range and a likely area where profit-taking begins and fresh distribution footprints form.
This run-up wasn’t random. Price surged from inefficiency, cleanly filled the fair value gap (FVG), and is now flirting with a key liquidity pocket.
Here's what the structure says:
Premium reached: 108,151 (0% fib)
If rejection holds, Smart Money looks to discount entries:
0.236: 106,136
0.382: 104,889
0.5: 103,882
Deep retracement zone: 0.618 at 102,874
Final defense for bulls? The unmitigated FVG block between 101,440 → 99,613
Possible Playbook Scenarios:
Quick retrace → higher high:
Bounce off 104,889 or 103,882 before attacking 108,967+
Deeper sweep:
Into 102,874 (0.618) before Smart Money steps in again
Invalidation:
Break below 99,613 closes this bullish narrative and confirms a structural break
TL;DR Execution Logic:
Wait for retracement into 0.5–0.618 fibs
Look for bullish reaction (engulfing or SFP)
Upside targets:
108,151 (retest)
108,967 (liquidity sweep)
Further upside if momentum sustains
1 Year of Bitcoin Bull Run Remaining? In the chart above, we’re analyzing Bitcoin’s historical cycles to see if the current cycle follows a similar pattern.
Bear Run (1 Year): In each of the last three cycles, Bitcoin experienced a bear market lasting exactly 1 year from the all-time high (ATH). This phase saw a significant drop in price as the market corrected.
Bull Run from Bottom (1,064 Days): In the last two cycles, once the bottom was established, Bitcoin entered a consistent bull market that lasted approximately 1,064 days. During this period, the price gradually climbed, eventually reaching new highs.
Current Bitcoin Cycle:
So far, the current cycle appears to be following the same pattern as previous cycles. We’ve already experienced a 1-year bear market after reaching the previous all-time high (ATH).
Currently, we have completed 2 years of a bull run from the bottom, aligning with the 1,064-day bull run observed in past cycles. Based on this historical pattern, we may have 1 year of bull run remaining, which could potentially push Bitcoin to new highs by late 2025.
If this trend continues, it suggests a strong opportunity for growth over the next year, mirroring the end phase of past cycles.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Regards
Hexa
DEFI the Next Crypto Sleeper? Trump Jr. & O’Leary Back on Stage!Fundamental Bullish Case:
1. Huge Names Are Paying Attention
Earlier this year, De.Fi held a high-profile event attended by Donald Trump Jr. and Kevin O’Leary. Regardless of political views, this kind of exposure brings:
Mainstream visibility to a previously overlooked microcap.
Credibility among non-crypto retail investors.
The possibility of future partnerships or integrations with major capital players.
When figures like O’Leary (a former FTX critic turned crypto backer) show up, it means the project is on the radar.
2. De.Fi = A Web3 Security & Aggregator Suite
The DEFI token powers the De.Fi “super app”, which combines:
Smart contract security auditing (via their Scanner tool).
Cross-chain asset dashboard — track DeFi investments in one place.
Swap and bridge functionality — a unified DeFi experience.
In a post-FTX world, security + simplicity is the future of Web3 adoption — and De.Fi is positioning itself at that intersection.
3. Microcap with Moonshot Potential
Market cap under $3 million, fully diluted cap still under $30 million.
Token has already proven it can reach $1.00 — and even a partial recovery gives 100x potential from current prices.
Strong upside asymmetry compared to overbought majors.
4. 2025 = Altcoin Season Potential
As Bitcoin cools and liquidity rotates, microcaps historically outperform in the late-stage bull cycle. DEFI could ride this wave as attention flows from BTC to altcoins with good narratives and active dev teams.
Technical Analysis: Reversal in Progress?
All-Time Low was just 2 days ago ($0.0016).
Since then, price has jumped over 57%, showing early-stage accumulation and short-squeeze activity.
A move above $0.0030 could confirm a breakout from this capitulation bottom.
If momentum sustains, initial resistance targets are $0.006, $0.01, and $0.025 — still just a fraction of ATH.
Price Target Scenarios:
Target % Upside from $0.0026 Reasoning
$0.006 +130% Technical breakout level
$0.01 +280% Psychological + chart level
$0.10 +3,700% Mid-tier recovery, low float
$1.00 (ATH) +38,000% Full retrace (moonshot)
Final Thoughts:
DEFI is not a sure thing - it’s volatile, it’s tiny, and it was forgotten for months. But with renewed attention from major names, an actual working product in the DeFi space, and a chart that just bounced 50% off its lows, it may be gearing up for a new chapter.
If you're looking for an early-stage altcoin with real upside potential in this cycle, DEFI is one to watch.
I don't know why ???Bitcoin is now at a point where it cannot be ignored! In my view, the bullish wave has started after the corrective wave ended. This wave could continue until it breaks the ascending triangle, then with a slight correction, push the price upward again. The current period and the coming days could be crucial in determining the market's trend.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
UNEXPECTED RISK CRASH FREE FALL AFTER TREND DATA FOR TH NEXT 48HDepending on our study, BTC has a high chance of a new crash below 100K.
The next 48 hours are important for the trend change of BTC, which can allow the trend to free-fall below 100K
BTC is at a top, and it did recovery always recovered on the M volume top., We are now again on the same trend.
BTC can return below 100K as this update shows, with the possibility of targeting the main target 85K - This is the trend zone for new interest.
The reason for this crash is that BTC has not confirmed the cycle, which means the end of the cycle. There is always possibility that the market can act green, but we expect it can show an unexpected breakdown.
BTC Consolidates Above Pivot – Bullish Momentum Toward 113,770?BITCOIN OVERVIEW
Crypto Breakout or Crash? Powell's July Message Becomes the Deciding Factor
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill has intensified the uncertainty surrounding risk assets.
He emphasized that while inflation has eased significantly since mid-2022, it remains “somewhat elevated”, and the Fed is in no rush to shift its policy stance.
This leaves markets with a binary outcome: crypto breakout or macro-driven pullback—and July may be the turning point.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – BTC/USD
Bitcoin remains in bullish momentum, having stabilized above the pivot level at 107,750.
The price is currently pushing toward the key resistance zone between 108,950 and 110,360.
A breakout above this zone would likely lead to continuation toward the next ATH target at 113,770.
However, consolidation is expected between 108,950 and 106,320 until a breakout occurs.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 107,750
Resistance: 108,950 → 110,360 → 113,770
Support: 106,320 → 104,150
2/1/15I’ve found a fractal on Bitcoin. Today is June 25, 2025, 13:22 — I’m analyzing the 2-hour timeframe from the high on May 22 up to today, and the same pattern of pre-accumulation is forming as in 2024, from March 13 to July 29, 2024.
We are also inside a pattern I named “Dragon’s Wings.” It forms two peaks at the highs after a strong rally, and the shared low between them creates a deep retracement.
Whether this pattern leads to the beginning of a major drop and a bear cycle, or whether it’s a pre-accumulation structure in a buffer zone, depends on the area in which it forms.
In this case, the 93–74K zone is potentially a re-accumulation zone, with a reversal to the upside — possibly taking Bitcoin above $140,000.
Bitcoin Update 25.06.2025 —Altcoins, Top Altcoins Choice & MoreGood morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a nice week and a wonderful day.
We have good news to start today and it is all based on Bitcoin's price action. This is going a bit deep on the daily noise, price swings.
Price action analysis
Bitcoin went deep on its sideways range and tested below 100K. This is normal for a sideways market. The positive news comes from the fact that Bitcoin is once more trading above $106,000 and already hit above $107,000. This type of action reveals a bullish bias.
If the market was mainly bearish with a major drop on the deck, say going below 90K or 80K even, then Bitcoin would not be allowed to go beyond $105,000. In fact, any bounce or small recovery would be quickly sold as bear would be active, waiting and selling each time prices move up.
The fact that Bitcoin can grow day after day and consume all selling pressure while doing so, reveals a strong presence from buyers. We know this to be true because Bitcoin is now in a new phase in its evolution and growth cycle. It is truly a young technology that only now is being fully accepted with plenty of room available for growth.
We have three instances where Bitcoin moved above 110K. The selling that happened afterward is not filled with pressure, instead you can see some standard candles as prices continue to consolidate.
On the other hand, notice the last session from 21-June (21-24 June —3D candles). You can see a long lower shadow, a bullish hammer; there was definitely strong buying pressure as soon as Bitcoin reached below support.
Altcoins market action
Some altcoins continue to produce multi-months high. The highest price since January 2025. These altcoins recovered, started to rise and continue rising in clear, standard bull market fashion. Literally straight up.
Some altcoins did even better and grew as high as December or November 2021. The highest price in almost four years. This is very important when we go deep into the chart and price action because it is the main revealing signal. The altcoins simply do not go on a major bull market before a market crash. If the altcoins are recovering or rallying, it is because the market is set to "buy." The Cryptocurrency market is in bullish mode.
If the market was set to drop long-term then we would be experiencing a rise that is running out of momentum. This rise would later peak and a surprise sudden flash crash would signal the start of a major downturn. This is not what we see.
Inversely, if prices are going to rise strongly we start by seeing some form of retrace or correction, this event losing momentum and volume and then finally a strong bullish jump as soon as support is confirmed. This bullish jump would signal the start of a major market move. This is what we are experiencing today.
Bitcoin & Altcoins
Bitcoin and the altcoins move together. Bitcoin leads the altcoins, the altcoins reveal what Bitcoin will do when the action is sideways.
We can always say that Bitcoin is leading the altcoins of course because Bitcoin has been growing non-stop since November 2022. The major trend being bullish the altcoins are set to follow at some point.
Now, when Bitcoin goes sideways, by definition, anything goes. The market can break-down just as it can break-up. This is where the altcoins become useful.
If smaller Cryptocurrency projects are moving ahead, strongly and even producing 3-4 multi-year highs, it reveals what Bitcoin will do once its consolidation period ends.
Buying Bitcoin
In short, Bitcoin is going up. The next major market move is a rise and we have proof coming from the signals, the altcoins and the charts.
Never again in its history Bitcoin will trade below 80K. 90K soon to be gone... Once the action starts, you will look like a genius for buying below $110,000.
What to choose: Bitcoin or altcoins?
Now, my personal suggestion is different. If you are not a whale, the way to go are the altcoins. Why? Because there is more room for these to grow. We can say that the altcoins are riskier, but risk is almost non-existent with spot. We can simply focus on the pairs that have been filtered by the major exchanges. Reputable pairs with a long track record and plenty of room available for growth. You can't go wrong with those.
If you are ready for the 2025 bull market, leave a comment below.
Altcoins analysis by request
I think it is time for a new Your Top Altcoins Choice, session. It is always wise to do these when the market hits bottom or before a major bullish wave, that's exactly where we are now. If you agree and would like to see a new session, leave a comment saying "Yes! Top Altcoins Choice." If there is enough interest we can work together and find many hidden gems. It can be done with your support.
Namaste.
What now BTC?#bitcoin price has been moving in an ascending wedge for a few days. Although ascending wedges may end up bearish, there' s another chance for #btc price to break out this wedge and catch upper liquidities above 108K. But, also there' s a bearish divergence has been forming in this lower time frame chart of #btcusdt .
Maker may ignore this divergence and allow bots to print another HH but it' s now wise to be careful and watch out. The reverse is acceptable for #usdt dominance chart.
Breaking out 110K is the temporary invalidation of bull trap and above 120K is the complete invalidation.
Bitcoin Roadmap: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to pump as I expected yesterday , of course, the main catalyst could have been the ceasefire announcement between Iran and Israel , which had a major impact on high and medium risk assets in the financial markets .
Bitcoin is once again moving near the Heavy Resistance zone($110,720-$105,820) and the Resistance zone($107,520-$106,100) after breaking the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that given Bitcoin’s bullish momentum , Bitcoin has completed the main wave 3 and is currently completing the main wave 4 on the 1-hour time frame . The corrective wave structure of wave 4 could be a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again near the Support zone($104,380-$103,060) , 50_SMA(Daily) , Support lines , and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($104,412-$103,812) to rise at least to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance lines .
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $102,600 = We can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSD – Price Approaching The Edge of the Channel📍 BTCUSD – Price Approaching The Edge of the Channel
Bitcoin has surged sharply from the lower boundary of its descending channel and is now reaching another “Edge” — the upper resistance line.
🎯 Two Key Scenarios:
🟩 Bullish Breakout: A clear breakout above ~$108,000 with strong volume could initiate a new leg toward $111K and beyond
🟨 Bearish Rejection: Failure to break the channel may lead to a corrective wave back toward $103K or lower
This is a classic "decision point" — where market structure and momentum meet supply and resistance.
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#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TheEdge #ChannelTrading #EMA #BitcoinResistance #MJTrading #CryptoSetup #SwingTrade #MarketStructure #BreakoutOrRejection #KeyLevel #TrendWatch
CLSK Finally Ready for a strong move up?Price printed a textbook motif wave 1 and ABC wave 2 correction ending at the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement golden pocket and High Volume Node (HVN) major support.
Price continues to flirt with weekly 200EMA and looks ready for another test as resistance on the local chart.
The weekly pivot still looms above but if price is in a macro wave 3 we should punch through these resistances over the next few weeks and head towards long term target of $80.
Wave 2 can extend all the way $1.80 before invalidation, though the lower prices goes, the lower the probability of the analysis being correct
Safe trading
A Disciplined Approach to BTC/USDT - Wait for the Right Set Up!Right now, I’m closely monitoring BTC/USDT — and what immediately jumps out is how aggressively this rally has pushed upward 🚀. We’ve seen price climb into a key external range high, taking out liquidity that was likely sitting just above those prior highs 💧.
This kind of move is often where institutional players step in to offload positions, as the liquidity makes it easier to find counterparts for previous accumulation phases 🏦. The way this price action is unfolding, I wouldn't be surprised to see a correction or retracement soon.
With the market this stretched, I’m not looking to get long here — especially not while BTC is trading at such a clear premium 🎯. No edge in chasing the highs.
Instead, I’ll be sitting back, waiting for a healthy pullback and a confirmed bullish structure shift before considering any entries 🔄📊. There’s no need to force trades in these conditions. Patience protects capital 🛡️.
⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just my current market perspective.
BITCOIN Major Pivot bounce eyes $140000!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started off the week with a huge 1W candle bounce on the former Lower Highs trend-line (that started on its All Time High), which has now turned into a Pivot. That trend-line held both last week and 3 weeks ago.
The very same Pivot test took place (October 2024) at the start of the previous Bullish Leg, resulting into a massive rebound that peaked upon a +108.08% rise. That was even higher than the Bullish Leg before it (+92.12%), which also started after a 1.5 month consolidation (Dec 2023 - Jan 2024).
Interestingly enough those Legs show an amazing frequency as the Time Cycles show on their bottoms. Assuming the current Bullish Leg will follow the 'bad case' scenario of +92.12%, we should be expecting to see at least $140000 before the next pull-back/ consolidation.
Do you think such Target is feasible by the end of August? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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103 to 101K trade and reverse H&S patternMorning folks,
So, our Thu setup is done perfect, both targets are met and even more. Now we consider two different fast trades on BTC.
Now context remains bearish and 103K is rather strong 4H resistance area. So, first trade is scalp "Sell" from ~ 103K with "at least" target of 101K. In fact, choosing of 101K as a minimal target is based on the 2nd trade.
2nd trade is potential reverse H&S is sentiment on the market will start changing. But this is not the fact yet. That's why I place downside arrow here as well, if H&S will not be formed or start failing, BTC could drop lower so, downside trade might be even better.