BTC/USDTWe made a correction at 05 on the OTE, with the reversal point possibly being the complete or partial overlap of the weekly FVG or the monthly OB.
Btc-e
Bitcoin BTC price analysis😕 Yesterday's news of a higher-than-expected CPI increase seems to have been "digested" by the market.
We liked that most of the alts held up quite well (all compared to last week) - there was no more panic.
1️⃣ On the one hand, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is being pushed to the “critical triangle” below which the OKX:BTCUSDT price may go to close the CME GAP formed last year.
But BTC.D is also dropping, albeit reluctantly, a little bit.
2️⃣ On the other hand, maybe it's time to stop focusing on that bourgeois #Bitcoin ).
It's time for the altcoins to take "the pitchforks" into their own hands!)
😱 Some #CAKE and #Bake are showing good growth and even the “heavy” CRYPTOCAP:BNB is climbing despite them.... and all because #CZ decided to return to the “big” game and will present a photo of his dog in a few hours....
We are re-reading this sur and our eyes are twitching.... but these are the realities of the crypto world now...)
⁉️ So, what do you think, which memecoin from СZ will blow up the information space and pull all the market liquidity to itself in the coming hours/days?)
BTC PoV The projection of a potential rise in Bitcoin (BTC) starting from liquidity points at 75K, 65K, and 57K suggests a recovery dynamic from a bearish phase. If BTC were to rise above the 75,000 USD level, it could trigger a significant bullish push, as this is an important resistance level that, once broken, would open the way for new highs. This would mark the end of a correction and the resumption of the bullish trend. On the other hand, if the price were to drop to 65,000 USD, this level could represent an accumulation opportunity, with a potential recovery from this zone, confirmed by an upward movement. In a worse-case scenario, if BTC were to fall to 57,000 USD, it would be a key support level, a zone where the market could attempt a rebound. If the buyers' response were positive, BTC could find the strength to rise again and resume its bullish trend. Essentially, the liquidity points at 75K, 65K, and 57K are critical levels in determining the future direction of BTC, with a potential recovery depending on the market’s reaction to these supports and resistances.
In parallel, a potential recession in the United States could directly impact the value of the dollar, with significant implications for Bitcoin. During a recession, the Federal Reserve's monetary policies could become more accommodative, with interest rate cuts to stimulate the economy. This increased liquidity could drive investors toward assets like BTC, as Bitcoin is seen by many as a hedge against inflation and the depreciation of the dollar. If the recession were to weaken the dollar, BTC could benefit from increased demand for cryptocurrencies as an alternative to the traditional monetary system. However, if the Fed were to counter the recession with policies that strengthen the dollar, possibly to attract foreign investments, the price of BTC could suffer, as a stronger dollar might reduce Bitcoin's appeal as a safe-haven asset. In conclusion, BTC's future direction depends not only on its technical levels but also on global economic policies and macroeconomic dynamics, which could favor a BTC rally if the recession weakens the dollar, or slow its growth if the dollar maintains strength.
Bitcoin can fall to buyer zone and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A while ago, the price entered a downward channel, where it immediately rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the resistance level, which aligned with the seller zone. After that, BTC bounced back up, rising to the resistance line of the channel before falling to the support line. However, it quickly climbed back to the seller zone before continuing its decline within the downward channel. Later, the price reached the 99000 resistance level, reversed, and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Eventually, it broke through this level, exiting the downward channel. After that, Bitcoin started trading within a triangle pattern, where it made a sharp upward impulse from the support line to the resistance line, followed by a correction to the 84400 support level. Recently, BTC rebounded from this level and attempted to grow but failed, and now it is trading near the support line of the triangle. In my view, Bitcoin could decline to the buyer zone, breaking out of the triangle pattern before beginning a new upward movement. Based on this, my target is set at 93000. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin, Trump Crypto conference today what to expect?Bitcoin, Trump Crypto conference today what to expect?
i think with bigger chance trap will happens
trend is down
better to follow it until it breaks
Bitcoin - Short after pullbackBitcoin - Short after pullback
price took swing low
at this moment better to creat a pullback and after look for a new short
Nothing !!!Maybe this pattern(V) will happen again...
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
❗Disclaimer
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
41K is Coming?Will the 200-week simple moving average waiting around 41K meet us or will we continue to rise with a reaction from the fib levels? My personal opinion is that the bull never started. We just made a new high. Now it's time for a new low.
Bitcoin Forecast by NEoWaveIn the previous analysis, I said that we seem to be in wave-(e) of D. We considered wave-D as a diametric, which seems to have ended with the drop in Bitcoin price and we should consider the diametric to be over and change the labeling a little. Currently, considering what happened, we have two scenarios:
Scenario 1
In this scenario, if the Bitcoin price is maintained above $70,000, there is a possibility of a double combination pattern, the second pattern will probably be a Diametric or Neutral Triangle or a Reverse Contracting Triangle, and wave-D (higher degree wave) will continue. In this case, the price could touch $150,000.
Scenario 2
In this scenario, if the price goes below the key level of $70,000, we should consider wave-D to be over and the price could decline to the range of $49,000-43.00 and wave-E will be completed.
POPCATUSDT → False breakout of bearish trend resistanceBINANCE:POPCATUSDT.P is testing trend resistance on the 4H timeframe. A sharp approach and a false breakdown of the upper boundary of the channel may provoke a correction or continuation of the decline
The global trend is downtrend, the locational trend also coincides with the global trend. Bitcoin cannot become a bullish driver for altcoins yet. Yesterday's economic news also had a negative impact on the market. In addition, the cryptocurrency community was betting big on Trump, but he has put cryptocurrencies on the back burner.
Technically, POPCAT is testing the channel resistance with a false breakout within the downtrend. Consolidation of the price below 0.322 could trigger further selling.
Resistance levels: 0.322, correction resistance
Support levels: 0.2386, 0.1596
I do not exclude the possibility of retesting the resistance of the correction channel, but due to bearish pressure and weak market the decline may continue.
Regards R. Linda!
MSTR📊 MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) – Technical & Simple Fundamental Analysis
1️⃣ Technical Analysis
🔍 Overall Trend Analysis
Long-term uptrend remains intact, but the stock is currently in a pullback phase from its $500 peak.
Testing 50-day EMA support ($238.91) – a key level for bulls to defend.
Short-term momentum is bearish, with declining RSI and a bearish MACD crossover.
📌 Key Levels
✅ Support Zones:
$230 - $240 → Testing 50-day EMA, crucial support.
$180 - $200 → Stronger demand zone if $230 fails.
$120 - $140 → Near 200-day EMA ($118.00), deeper correction level.
Below $120 → Supports at $100, $80, $60, $40 (historical levels).
🚀 Resistance Zones:
$280 - $300 → Immediate resistance after rejection.
$340 - $360 → Next resistance from recent peaks.
$420 - $500 → All-time high resistance.
📉 Indicators & Volume
📊 Moving Averages:
9-day EMA: $297.18 (short-term resistance).
20-day EMA: $297.58 (confirming short-term bearish trend).
50-day EMA: $238.91 (being tested as support).
200-day EMA: $118.00 (long-term uptrend remains intact).
📉 RSI (43.94) → Approaching oversold territory.
📉 MACD → Bearish crossover, showing downward momentum increasing.
📊 Volume → Selling volume increasing, but not extreme yet.
🔭 What to Watch Next (Technical)
✅ Bullish case: Price holds $230-$240 & reclaims $280.
⚠️ Bearish case: Break below $230 → Potential drop to $200 or lower.
2️⃣ Fundamental Analysis NASDAQ:MSTR (Simplified)
📌 Revenue: $57.53M (-3% YoY), Net Loss: -$670.8M in Q4 2024.
📌 Bitcoin Holdings: 478,740 BTC (~$45.1B market value, acquired for $31.1 billion).
📌 Capital Raising: Issuing $21B in preferred securities to fund further Bitcoin purchases.
📌 Stock Performance: Down last 3 months
📌 Workforce Cuts: Laid off 20.7% of employees in 2024.
📌 Rebranding: Now officially called "Strategy", symbolizing its Bitcoin-focused direction.
🔭 What to Watch Next (Fundamental)
✅ Bitcoin price movement – heavily influences MSTR.
✅ Earnings improvements – need to reduce losses.
✅ Institutional buying trends – support or sell-off?
🔥 Final Thoughts: MSTR is at a critical support zone. If Bitcoin remains strong, a bounce is possible. However, a breakdown below $230 could trigger deeper downside. 🚀📊
Bitcoin will be super bullish soon (1D)The market maker has created a scenario that makes everyone believe the bear market started a while ago. However, there are signs on the chart showing that Bitcoin may register a new ATH.
The best zone for rebuying Bitcoin is the green area.
From the green zone, we expect Bitcoin to move toward the specified targets.
The closure of a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
BTC - the path to $72k This trade continues. And started months ago.
BTC is in a deep bear market.
And has more room to run.
$68,600 is now really looking like the 1st stabilization point. There will be rallies in between, but there is a lot of slow grinding pain ahead. Elliot Wave, Murrey Math and Kumar wave being used for the forecasts. Comments always welcomed. Happy Trading.
BTC, seed at 78k.. we are goin for new ATH again this year! BTC, corrected heavily after tapping a parabolic ATH high at 108K levels which warranted a mid term trim down -- which is healthy and sustainable.
Price overextended to unforeseen numbers to 70k range to tap 77k levels. An exact precision tap of 61.8 FIB extension zone -- which replicated the same scenario during the 50k era pre-surge season before the massive rally to 100k. Both are bouncing off in this 61.8 fib area with laser accuracy precision which just manifested last night.
We are now at the rare accumulation zone signal -- a pre surge basing area where long term buyers converge after that 61.8 fib perfect tap.
The diagram above is already showing hint of initial shift of the current metrics. The visual clarity of the signal is day and night. You can decipher it easily. This signal never missed since 15k era. Batting average is 4 out of 4.
Ideal seeding was the lowest at 77k.
Target: ATH retap at 108k
Mid target 120-140k levels.
TAYOR.
Trade safely.
Bitcoin will reach at $221,0001. Overview of the Chart
Asset: Bitcoin (BTC) / USD
Timeframe: Daily (D)
Platform: TradingView
Date Range: Approximately mid-2023 to March 11, 2025
Current Price (as of Mar 11, 2025): $76,697.39 (shown in the top right corner)
2. Price Movement
Historical Trend: From mid-2023 to late 2024, Bitcoin shows a steady uptrend with some corrections. The price rises from around $25,000–$30,000 to a peak near $100,000 by late 2024.
Recent Action: After hitting a high around $100,000 in late 2024, the price corrects downward, dropping to around $75,000–$80,000 by early 2025. The current price as of March 11, 2025, is $76,697.39, indicating a slight recovery or stabilization after the correction.
3. Technical Patterns
Ascending Triangle
Formation: The chart shows an ascending triangle pattern from mid-2024 to late 2024. This pattern is characterized by:
A flat resistance line around $95,000–$100,000 (the horizontal line where the price struggles to break through multiple times).
An ascending support line (sloping upward), indicating higher lows as buyers step in at progressively higher prices.
Breakout: In late 2024, the price breaks above the resistance of the ascending triangle, reaching a high near $100,000. This breakout is typically a bullish signal, often leading to a continuation of the uptrend.
Target Calculation: The target for an ascending triangle breakout is often calculated by measuring the height of the triangle (from the base to the resistance) and projecting it upward from the breakout point. The height of the triangle appears to be roughly $30,000 (from the base around $65,000 to the resistance at $95,000). Adding this to the breakout point of $95,000 gives a target of approximately $125,000. However, the price only reached around $100,000 before correcting, suggesting the breakout may not have fully played out or was interrupted by market conditions.
Trendline
Upward Trendline: A long-term upward trendline (drawn in orange) connects the higher lows from mid-2023 onward. This trendline has acted as support during the uptrend.
Current Position: As of March 11, 2025, the price is testing this trendline around the $75,000–$80,000 level. This is a critical area to watch, as a bounce from this trendline would confirm continued bullish momentum, while a break below could signal a deeper correction.
4. Support and Resistance Levels
Support:
The long-term trendline around $75,000–$80,000 is a key support level.
If this trendline fails, the next significant support could be around the base of the ascending triangle, near $65,000.
Resistance:
The previous all-time high around $95,000–$100,000 is now a resistance zone. The price struggled to break above this level multiple times before the breakout and may face selling pressure if it approaches this zone again.
5. Price Action Analysis
Post-Breakout Correction: After breaking out of the ascending triangle, Bitcoin hit a high near $100,000 but failed to sustain the momentum, leading to a correction. This is not uncommon after a breakout, as markets often pull back to retest previous resistance (now support) or other key levels like the trendline.
Current Position: The price is at a critical juncture as of March 11, 2025. It’s testing the long-term trendline support around $76,000. The fact that it’s holding above this level (at $76,697.39) is a positive sign for bulls, but confirmation of a bounce with strong volume would be needed to signal a resumption of the uptrend.
Best time to Buy BitcoinBitcoin is forming a correction and has scared retailers out of the market, so this could be the perfect momentum to catch before it makes a bigger movement to the upside.
Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation AnalysisQuick analysis of BTCUSD downside targets. Remains to be seen whether the near-term Bitcoin lows will hold, but if they don't, a "bear trap" setup could be in play. There's a daily demand zone (77075-74305) wedged between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements. The bear trap will be dependent on momentum, but watch this area if we get a flush below 78180. If bullish divergences form, bulls could look to trap bears and buy within said range.
That said, keep the focus on longer-term charts. Larger timeframe buy zones are ~70K. Should the weekly RSI take a dive < 40, look for reversal signals on smaller timeframes before getting long. The high of the corrective segment denoting ideal buys is 73808 and the anchor low securing the long-term uptrend is 49351. Entries within that range, which is wide, are viable. Also multiple support/resistance "flip zones" in play circa the abovementioned levels.
Bitcoin found some support ~50% Fib retrace, anchored VWAP, and sub-daily demand. It could hold here (trying to put in a intraday higher low as I type this), but I'm hoping it trades lower before higher.
Godspeed!
JHart
$QQQ Things looking Grim for the next week - $450 ExtremeWell... I've done my absolute best to figure this out... I have my bearish outlook, although I will post another to add to this, as the bar pattern can extend much lower. Bounce regardless, after 3/14, says most of the charts I have.
Bitcoin falls amid disappointment with Trump’s crypto policy
Bitcoin fell as investor hopes for a US strategic reserve plan were let down. Rather than accumulating cryptocurrencies, the US government held only its previously seized assets, triggering a price decline. However, large investors viewed the dip as a buying opportunity. Data reveals that whale and shark wallets acquired 5,000 Bitcoin during the downturn, reflecting confidence in the market despite the drop.
BTCUSD tested the 77,500 support level after failing to reclaim the EMA21. The widening bearish EMAs suggest a potential continuation of the downtrend. A sustained recovery and a close above 80,000 could lead to a retest of the next resistance at 82,500. On the other hand, if BTCUSD fails to hold above 77,500, a further drop toward 75,000 may follow.
$SPY Short Term Bullish atm.. idea for BullsWell... seeing is we hit my target, I thought I might bless the Bulls with a little bit of Eye Candy.... This is what you want...
The Fib breakdown of the Golden Pocket above at the 1.61... we hit the retracement... and now back to the .78
We hold here and it can get bullish quick.
Bearish Path in Next post... otherwise we make a lower high and fall to $525 and fast.
Bottom Still Not in, Drop could hit low 70kBTC is falling due to markets and investor fear. The Bottom still hasn't travelled the length of the the FVG on the Weekly Chart that will be attractive to smart money and institutional investors
When looking at the Historical Data it shows that the price had a pullback and found resistance at the Weekly 21 day RMA .
Currently that looks like a point where Resistance once again will be established when combined with the FVG on the Weekly, Price will likely fall below and recover to hold the 21d RMA
Dead Cat Bounce BTCUSDT🚨 High-Risk Analysis 🚨
This setup isn’t for the faint-hearted. It’s like trying to catch falling knives while blindfolded. But for those who thrive on risk—here’s the analysis.
📉 We've reached the second bottom.
(No one truly knows how deep the rabbit hole can go…)
Despite the uncertainty, we take control of our trade, set a strict stop-loss, and see if our cat still has one more jump left.
🔥 Factors in Favor of a Bounce:
✅ Deviation from the sloping trendline
✅ Formation of a second bottom
✅ Reversion to the mean price
✅ Approach to a major level, allowing for a tight stop-loss and an optimal risk-reward setup
✅ Candle wicks signaling potential price movement
⚠️ Bearish Risks:
Strong trend pressure could push lower
Lack of volume may fail to drive momentum
Final Thoughts:
This remains a high-risk trade, but with a strong profit potential, as long as stop-loss discipline is maintained.
🎯 Good luck to those taking the risk. Victory will be ours! 🚀🔥
Possible top for BTC for this cycle?Trying to see what the bullish outlook is for #BTC, however I am finding a lot more bearish arguments at this stage then bullish.
Looking at the Daily, Weekly and Monthly Chart:
- RSI printing Bearish Divergences
- Failing to break above the heavy pitch-fork channel formed since 2017 Highs through to the highs in 2021.
Daily:
- 50MA is approaching closer and looks to roll back around.
- Super Guppy band is starting to tighten and turn neutral.
- 5th Wave of Elliot has finished, with a truncated top.
- Double top pattern
- Wyckoff Distribution looks to be in play
Of course if we can break out of this massive channel, this bearishness is no longer valid.
What case for Bullishness can you give me for BTC?
