BTC - Two Bullish Scenarios...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 BTC has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel marked in red.
The $70,000 area is a key confluence zone — it aligns with the lower red trendline, horizontal support, a psychological round number, and a potential demand zone.
📚 According to my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I’ll be looking for bullish reversal setups — such as a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and more.
🏹In parallel, for the bulls to take over long-term, and shift the entire trend in their favor, a break above the last major high marked in red at $88,888 is needed!
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Btc-e
BTC Analysis - Bullish BiasMy current outlook on Bitcoin remains bullish, anticipating a move towards higher price levels.
I am specifically watching for the potential formation of a Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Should an FVG form, I will be looking for price to potentially retrace and touch this gap.
Upon a successful interaction with the FVG, my expectation is for price to then continue its ascent towards the higher levels I have marked on my chart.
I am focusing on identifying confirmed long opportunities based on this potential FVG setup and retest.
Trade safe!
Do you think I'm joking ???Chart is speaking itself...
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Ethereum Bitcoin pair bottom confirmed!As confirmed by CRYPTOCAP:ETH \ CRYPTOCAP:BTC momentum, we can say that a local bottom was seen at 2019 accumulation levels. With a major reversal from the current region, we can see major movements across Altcoins, with Ethereum being an undeniable leading force and leader for altcoins.
BTC has just bounced, game a long entry from weekly support..110
“🔍 BTC has just bounced off our weekly support—here’s why I’m eyeing $110k next…”
Analysis bullets:
🛑 Risk: stop-loss around $78–80k (weekly close below red band)
▶️ Entry: current weekly close above the descending trendline
🎯 Target: $110k resistance (green zone)
Call to action:
“What do you think — will we break out or retest lows? Comment below! 👇”
unpublished Bitcoin navigator BTC update 21.04.2024
I just realized I posted a private chart yesterday.
I'll republish it so that the entire @TradingView community can see it
Click👇🏻
So, after deep analysis
Which, surprisingly, coincides with my previous publications.
I won't add them to this post.
The base case scenario is to reach BTCUSD 96-98
Why?
1. Need to reach the highest volume level of the year
In May, and with a high probability, a correction down to the level I have indicated with the yellow box
At least 4 out of 5 models point to this
The models are these transparent dotted lines that are barely visible.
And then ATH
Interesting Question, where is ATH?
I have shown on the chart a dashed line that tapers off the two previous peaks. I have seen many times how this line did not work and was broken by a big Liquidating candlestick up and down, so graphically, you can guess my conservative targets.
When writing this text, I wondered what could explain the fall in the price of Bitcoin after adding it to the reserve, other than speculation and liquidity gathering, and I have no other answers. But in this case, when they start releasing news about the Bitcoin reserve, they will buy it en masse, after this official announcement. Some time will pass, and a 20% drop, then most of the industry will be disappointed and start blaming Trump - he failed again, even with the Bitcoin reserve. So after that, we should quickly rise on this emotion.
Best regards EXCAVO
BTC Next Move - Bulltrap or Take-off?In todays overview, we will discuss the price action of BTC and what we could expect in the short-term.
What will we discuss?
- Bitcoin approaching key resistance
- Daily trendline break - But no higher high yet
- Stochastic RSI overbought on the daily timeframe
- Defining the daily range
- Downside targets within the range
- Final thoughts
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Bitcoin Approaching Key Resistance
Bitcoin is now pressing up against a significant resistance zone in the $88,000 to $89,000 range. This area is dense with liquidity, and many stop-loss orders have likely accumulated just above the previous local wick. It's not uncommon in these scenarios for price action to briefly push higher, grabbing that liquidity and triggering those stops, before reversing direction. A short-term stop run followed by a move to the downside wouldn’t be surprising and would align with typical market behavior in these conditions.
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Daily Trendline Break – But No Higher High Yet
On the daily chart, BTC has managed to break above a descending trendline that had previously capped price action. While that initial breakout was a promising sign for bulls, price has since been consolidating outside the trendline without yet printing a higher high. Until that happens, the overall market structure remains bearish on this timeframe. A confirmed higher high would be needed to shift the daily trend back to bullish.
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Stochastic RSI Overbought on Daily Timeframe
The Stochastic RSI on the daily chart has been in overbought territory for more than a week, which is typically unsustainable for long periods. This kind of prolonged overbought reading often precedes a pullback. The key question is not if a correction will happen, but how deep it will go. Ideally for bulls, a minor pullback followed by a higher high would be constructive and could signal the beginning of a stronger upward move. But until then, caution is warranted.
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Defining the Daily Range
Currently, Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined range between $75,000 and $88,000. This is the key zone that traders should be paying attention to. As long as price remains within this bracket, we are in a ranging market, not a trending one.
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Downside Targets Within the Range
If price does get rejected at the resistance zone, downside targets to watch include support levels at $84,000, $80,000, and $75,000. These levels could provide bounce opportunities within the range. There’s no need to speculate on price moving significantly below $75,000 unless that level is cleanly broken. Similarly, upside targets beyond $89,000 shouldn’t be considered until we see a proper breakout and continuation.
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Final Thoughts
We should treat the current market as range-bound until proven otherwise. That means respecting the range: moves into resistance zones near FWB:88K – GETTEX:89K are potential selling opportunities, while dips into support around $75K–$80K may be areas to look for buying setups. Until either support or resistance gives way, expect this chop to continue, and trade accordingly.
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BTC - Distribution Confirmed After Accumulation Cycle CompletionThis 4H chart is a textbook illustration of how smart money cycles play out over time—starting with accumulation, leading into a sharp markup, and culminating in a deceptive distribution phase characterized by manipulation and false breakouts.
Let’s dissect each stage of this engineered move:
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1. Accumulation Phase Following a Double Bottom
At the left of the chart, price forms a clear double bottom —a classic retail reversal signal.
- Smart money likely used this area to absorb sell-side liquidity, building long positions while retail traders expected further downside.
- This base formation set the foundation for the upcoming accumulation range , marked by sideways price action and multiple rejections from both highs and lows of the range.
The purpose of accumulation is simple: transfer supply from weak hands to strong hands. Every dip in this range allowed large players to fill bids without driving price too aggressively.
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2. Sharp Markup and Resistance Interaction
Once positions were fully loaded, price launched into a strong impulsive move upward , confirming the transition from accumulation to markup.
- The move stalled at a clear horizontal resistance zone—marked as an area of prior supply and potential seller re-engagement.
- Price consolidated just below this resistance, building tension and liquidity in the form of breakout longs and stop orders from early shorts.
This led to the final stage of the cycle: distribution via manipulation.
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3. Manipulation Above Resistance: The Fakeout
What followed was a classic fakeout above resistance .
- Price briefly broke above the key resistance area, attracting breakout buyers who assumed the trend would continue.
- In reality, this move served as a liquidity sweep and exit trap , allowing institutions to offload long positions accumulated earlier.
- The immediate rejection from this fakeout confirms a bull trap —a hallmark of distribution.
This is where smart money transitions from buyers to sellers while retail is left holding the bag.
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4. Gap Inversion: Confirmation of Distribution
Post-fakeout, price creates a gap and immediately inverts back into the prior range , invalidating the breakout and forming a clear distribution schematic .
- The gap acts as a volume void or inefficiency , often revisited in reversal models.
- Once this area is rejected and price fails to reclaim the resistance zone, it becomes clear that distribution has been finalized.
- This breakdown marks the beginning of a markdown phase—typically faster and more violent than the markup.
The rejection confirms that price is now being delivered to the downside.
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5. Narrative: From Accumulation to Redistribution and Collapse
This setup isn’t random—it’s narrative-driven:
- Double Bottom → Accumulation → Breakout → Manipulation → Distribution → Reversal
Each phase builds on the previous one, guided by smart money's intent to trap liquidity and maximize profit during transitions.
Now that distribution is confirmed, the expectation is continued downward delivery as price seeks out untapped liquidity and rebalances imbalances left behind during the markup.
---
Conclusion:
This 4H structure is a clear representation of the Wyckoff distribution model in action:
- Accumulation fuels markup.
- Breakout entices buyers.
- Manipulation traps them.
- Distribution unloads supply.
- Reversal completes the cycle.
The move down is not a random pullback—it is the deliberate continuation of a planned liquidity cycle . Expect further downside unless this structure is invalidated with a reclaim and break of the prior fakeout zone.
BITCOIN New Update (4H)Before anything else, we shouldn't forget that through multiple analyses shared from the bottom on higher timeframes, we knew Bitcoin was highly bullish.
The red zone from the previous analysis has been engulfed and cleared | a lot of sell orders have been absorbed, leading to a pumpy move. It’s better to wait for a pullback now.
The price has now reached a resistance zone, where a large number of sell orders have been absorbed, leading to a pumpy move.
Also, the diametric pattern is still visible, and after the completion of wave F | which has just occurred | a reversal is expected for wave G.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BITCOIN Well well well.. The break-out happened..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed a massive break-out yesterday as it convincingly left the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) behind on its strongest 1D green candle since . The foundation of this was a 1D RSI Bullish Divergence on the April 08 2025 Low.
This is the same kind of Bullish Divergence that took place on the September 06 2024 Low and resulted in a similar Lower Highs bullish break-out. After an October 02 2024 re-test of the 1D MA50, the trend-line became the new Support all the way to the 3.382 Fibonacci extension (measured from the last Lower High).
As a result, we expect BTC's next medium-term Target to be $130000 (just below the new 3.382 Fibonacci extension).
So do you think the pattern will be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Is the Altcoin Season Over?Is the Altcoin Season Over?
What's truly unfolding for Bitcoin is precisely the weekly analysis I've laid out for you. While many of you might be eagerly anticipating an extraordinary altcoin season, the harsh reality is that there isn't going to be one. Instead, we've been riding a Bitcoin-dominated season. And once the trend you see in the chart plays out, the market will essentially come to a close, paving the way for a heavy downward spiral for both altcoins and Bitcoin. It's a bitter truth, but it's the reality we're facing
BITCOIN RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅BITCIN is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 94,900$
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target at 91,000$
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTCUSDT – Absorption in progress...📊 BTCUSDT – Absorption in progress, swing high targeted before a potential dump?
Price is moving in a clean bullish structure with a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS),
but under the surface, we can clearly see signs of absorption, which could signal an upcoming reversal.
📈 Open Interest is rising sharply
🟢 CVD Futures & Spot are both rising → real buying pressure
🔴 Funding remains negative
📊 85% of open positions are longs
🐋 Top traders are massively short
🧱 ➤ Clear absorption: price goes up… but someone is selling into it hard
🎯 Current hypothesis:
🧠 Longs are being absorbed,
suggesting a short-term rejection is likely,
but before that, price might push higher toward the swing high (92.5–93.5k) to:
Hunt liquidity
Trigger stop losses
Finalize the short trap
📌 Trade plan:
✅ Spike above the swing high
✅ Final absorption / wick trap
✅ Dump back into the Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6%)
❗ Rule: don’t front-run – wait for confirmation:
Sharp rejection after the spike
Spot CVD divergence
Loss of structure + drop in OI
⚖️ The market is tense.
We are likely between the top of absorption… and the beginning of the flush.
Stay patient. Watch closely. Only act on clear confirmation.
🔽Fr🔽
📊 BTCUSDT – Absorption en cours
Le prix évolue dans une structure haussière propre avec un Break of Structure (BOS) validé,
mais les dessous du marché révèlent une absorption nette, qui pourrait annoncer un retournement.
📈 Open Interest en forte hausse
🟢 CVD Futures & Spot haussiers → pression acheteuse réelle
🔴 Funding négatif persistant
📊 85 % de longues sur le marché (Kingfisher)
🐋 Top traders en short massif
🧱 ➤ Absorption claire : le prix monte… mais la contrepartie absorbe tout
🎯 Hypothèse actuelle :
🧠 Une absorption des longs est en cours,
ce qui laisse penser qu’un rejet est probable à court terme,
mais avant cela, le marché pourrait encore pousser vers le swing high (92.5–93.5k) pour :
Chercher la liquidité
Déclencher les stops vendeurs
Finir le short trap
📌 Plan envisagé :
✅ Spike au-dessus du swing high
✅ Absorption finale / mèche piégeuse
✅ Dump en direction de la Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6 %)
❗ Règle : ne pas anticiper – attendre confirmation :
Rejet brutal après le spike
Divergence CVD Spot
Perte de structure + chute OI
⚖️ Le marché est tendu.
On est probablement entre le haut de l’absorption… et le début de la purge.
Rester patient. Observer. Agir sur signal propre.
$BTC: We Are in a Bear Market Until Proven Otherwise🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC : We Are in a Bear Market Until Proven Otherwise 🚨
📌 Follow-up to my December 2024 post:
🔗
Despite record-breaking bullish news, Bitcoin is not at an all-time high. Why? Because we’re still in a bear market—until the charts say otherwise.
✅ Bullish Factors:
Michael Saylor continues buying billions
President Trump & family pushing crypto/meme coins
Rumors: Fed buying CRYPTOCAP:BTC with gold?
Trump pinned the Bitcoin white paper at the White House
U.S. banks fully onboard with crypto
ETFs accumulating CRYPTOCAP:BTC
National crypto reserve announced
❌ Bearish Signals:
Fear & Greed Index in "extreme fear" for 30+ days
Price is below the EMA50 on weekly
Monthly MACD nearing bearish crossover
Trading volume decreasing
Crypto search interest at multi-year lows
Retails not buying — this is all institutions
Powell confirmed we're in a recession
Desperate whales calling for $5M–$9M BTC to bait retail
🧭 Monthly chart check the MACD:
🔗
⚠️ Key Insight:
Every cycle, people confuse a relief rally for a new bull run. This isn't new.
A relief rally = short-term price recovery in a bear market.
(AKA a dead cat bounce or sucker rally)
📊 Past relief rallies (check the chart):
+45% (Feb 2022)
+32% (June 2022)
Current one: only +16% — still within bear territory.
📉 Price could hit $91k and still drop lower while staying in an ongoing bear Market..
🧨 Bear Market Target: GETTEX:25K – FWB:27K
📈 Invalidation? Only if we close above $101K
Don’t trade your emotions. Trade the charts. They never lie.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTC #BearMarket #CryptoAnalysis #SPX500 #CryptoTrading #Recession2025 #BTCPrice #CryptoCrash #CryptoNews #MichaelSaylor #TrumpCrypto #BTCBearMarket
BTCUSD Intraday Move 22-04-2025📊 BTCUSD Analysis – April 22, 2025
Price action is currently forming a rising wedge, typically a bearish pattern, indicating that a short-term correction may occur before the next bullish impulse. The structure shows consolidation with weakening momentum, suggesting that a pullback to demand zones is likely.
We have two strong support zones identified:
Zone 1: 86,400 – 86,800 — minor support from recent consolidation.
Zone 2: 84,700 – 85,100 — major demand area aligned with previous breakout and price reaction.
A retracement into either of these zones offers high-probability buy opportunities for continuation toward the upper resistance trendline and prior high near 89,700.
📈 BTCUSD Buy Signal:
Buy Entry #1: 86,400 – 86,800
Buy Entry #2: 84,700 – 85,100
Take Profit: 89,700
Stop Loss:
For Entry 1: Below 86,200
For Entry 2: Below 84,500
Trade Idea: Wait for bullish price action (engulfing candle, pin bar, or volume spike) before entering.
#BTC Market Update – April 22, 2025Current Price: $90,700 (+4%)
📊 Technical Overview
• 200-Day MA: $88,356 – BTC is trading above it → Bullish sign
• RSI: 78 – Overbought zone → Possible pullback
• Resistance: $90,000 – Key psychological level
• Support: $85,000 – Watch this level on retracement
🔗 On-Chain Insight
• Long-Term Holders: Some distribution happening → Profit-taking
• Network Activity: Steady → Healthy usage
• Sentiment: Bullish → Weak USD + institutional inflows
🧭 Macro & Fundamentals
• U.S.–China tensions + Fed uncertainty → BTC seen as safe haven
• Institutions are increasing their exposure → Positive market signal
✅ Summary:
BTC shows strong bullish momentum, but RSI is overheated. Stay alert for potential short-term correction. Key levels: $85K support / $90K breakout.
Bitcoin: The Grand Ascension Blueprint - Ready for Lift-Off!
The Most Important Bitcoin Chart You'll See This Year.. As we said before in pervious idea for enrty in 74,500
and that what happen in one month
Looking at this daily BTC/USD chart, we're witnessing the formation of a powerful technical setup that could define the rest of 2025. This isn't just another prediction—it's a strategic roadmap based on key technical levels that smart money is watching.
📊 What The Chart Is Revealing:
🔷 Perfect Channel Formation
* Bitcoin has established a massive ascending channel (gray boundaries) with textbook precision
* Current price ($77,626) testing the critical lower boundary support
* Previous touch points have all resulted in significant bounces
🔷 Triple Target Trajectory
* TP1: $82,400 - Initial relief target (conservative)
* TP2: $85,700 - Mid-channel equilibrium zone
* TP3: $89,100 - Upper resistance test before potential breakout
🔷 Historical Context Matters
* We're constructively holding above the December 2023 breakout level
* Current consolidation mirrors the pre-pump phase from late 2023
* Blue trendline break served as the first warning of trend change
Why This Pattern Has MASSIVE Implications
⚡ The Timing Effect:
The current position at channel support presents a rare low-risk, high-reward opportunity with clear invalidation points. The pattern suggests accumulation before a potential explosive move toward $130,000 by August-September.
⚡ Macro Alignment:
This technical setup coincides perfectly with post-halving supply dynamics and institutional capital flow patterns. The projected move higher follows the historical post-halving performance cycles.
⚡ Risk Management Precision:
* Invalidation point: Clear break below $74,000 with volume
* Ideal entry zone: $74,800-$75,500
* Risk:reward ratio at current levels: approximately 1:5
he Hidden Message Most Traders Are Missing
This isn't just about price targets—this formation suggests Bitcoin is preparing for its largest percentage gain phase of this cycle. The projected path (purple forecast line) indicates a potential 68% move from current levels in just 90-120 days.
Institutional positioning data supports this view. The methodical stair-stepping pattern in the forecast line suggests strategic accumulation phases between aggressive price advancement.
📊 SEE YOU AFTER 3-4 MONTHS .. FOLLOW ME FOR MORE DETAILS 📊