Stromm | BITCOIN Are You BULLISH Enough? When you zoom out to the 12-hour chart , Bitcoin actually looks really clean right now. Since my entry at $75,800, we’ve seen a solid 25% rally that’s clearly shifted the momentum back to bullish. -
But even with that move, I’m not fully convinced yet that we’re on our way straight to a new all-time high.
There’s still a lot of work to be done before that happens.
Right now, I’m watching the zone between $96,400 and $102,300 as a potential reaction area — basically a spot where we could see Wave B complete.
We’re hovering around the Yearly Open, which historically acts as both strong support and resistance, and we’re also right at the Previous Monthly High.
If BTC can hold this zone, we absolutely could push higher toward $102K.
However, I don’t think it’s realistic yet to expect a clean shot to $110K without a deeper pullback first.
Most likely, we’ll need another flush lower to reset before any major breakout.
That said, I’m still long and staying patient.
If we do somehow rip toward $120K, I’m already well-positioned.
And if we get another sell-off?
I’ll be adding even more — no hesitation there.
Of course, a lot of this depends on how the political and macro situation evolves.
There’s definitely a world where the perfect narrative gets laid down, and we rocket to $120K.
But there’s also a world where that doesn't happen — and it’s important to stay mentally flexible between "must happen," "could happen," and "might not happen at all."
Btc-e
BTC Overextended: Awaiting the Perfect Pullback for a BuYBTC/USDT Analysis – 1D Timeframe
Bitcoin is currently looking overextended on the daily chart 📈, with price action pushing directly into a well-defined key resistance level 🚧. This area has historically acted as a strong supply zone, and with momentum appearing stretched, I’m anticipating a potential retracement in the near term.
My plan is to wait for BTC to pull back towards previous support zones Around the 61.8 Fibo level🛡️. I have a clear Point of Interest (POI) marked out, where I’ll be watching for price to react. If we see a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) on the pullback—I’ll be looking for a long entry from this area 🎯.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: Current daily highs (where price is overextended) 🚩
Support/POI: Previous consolidation and demand zones below, which have shown strong buying interest in the past 🏦
Trade Plan:
- No FOMO entries at resistance! ❌
- Wait for a clean retrace into my POI
- Look for bullish confirmation (BOS) on lower timeframes before entering long ✅
- Manage risk accordingly and trail stops if the move plays out
Summary:
Patience is key here. I’m not interested in chasing price into resistance. Instead, I’ll let the market come to me and only act if my criteria are met. If BTC gives us the pullback and a bullish BoS, I’ll be ready to take the trade. Until then, I’m on the sidelines and monitoring price action closely 👀.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk appropriately. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. 🚨
Later, Bitcoin!Bitcoin remains in a long-term bullish trend, but it currently appears significantly overvalued relative to gold. The recent breakout, followed by a re-test of the upsloping wedge formation, suggests that bullish momentum may be waning. This could indicate that capital is beginning to rotate out of Bitcoin. As a result, it may be more prudent to revisit the market in one to two years ahead. This shift may also mark the beginning of a potential altcoin season.
Bitcoin Hits PRZ — Reversal or Breakout?As I expected in my previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) . One of the news that pumped Bitcoin was " Arizona Becomes Second U.S. State to Adopt Bitcoin for State Treasury "
Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and near the upper lines of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern , Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, we can see a Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
From an Elliott wave theory , it seems we should wait for corrective waves because the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,888-$99,826) is very important and I DO NOT expect it to be broken by a single attack .
Another point we can pay attention to is the existence of two small CME Gaps , the first CME Gap($98,430-$98,380) is likely to be filled.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $98,100 in the coming hours, and if the Support zone($97,900-$97,240 ) is broken, we should expect further declines, so I will label this idea as ''Short' '.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $98,500-$97,514
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) with the good volume, we can expect a new All-Time High(ATH).
Do you think Bitcoin is on track for a new All-Time High(ATH)?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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USDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSUSDJPY is currently trading around 145.300 and showing clear signs of bearish pressure from the upper resistance of a broad ascending channel. The market structure suggests a potential rejection, and price action confirms the formation of a rising wedge pattern—a classically bearish setup indicating an upcoming correction. With momentum slowing and sellers starting to step in, I anticipate a move toward the 143.500 zone as price seeks support near the lower trendline.
From a fundamental standpoint, the US dollar is experiencing slight weakness today following softer-than-expected jobless claims data and a cooling CPI projection. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is finding strength from renewed risk-off sentiment and speculation that the Bank of Japan may subtly shift its ultra-loose stance if inflationary pressures persist. This macro backdrop adds more weight to the potential downside in USDJPY over the next few sessions.
Technically, the price has tested the 146.000 resistance zone multiple times but failed to break above it with conviction. This repeated rejection near the top of the channel adds credibility to the bearish outlook. A breakdown from the rising wedge would likely accelerate selling pressure, pushing USDJPY toward the 143.500 level, which aligns well with previous demand zones and the channel’s lower boundary.
I’m closely watching for confirmation below the 145.000 level, which would act as a trigger for short positions. With risk-reward favoring the bears and fundamentals aligning with the technical setup, this is a solid opportunity for those looking to capitalize on a potential pullback in USDJPY.
Whether it can be supported and rise at 102429.56 is the key
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
If USDT dominance is maintained below 4.97 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to enter an upward trend.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
However, I think that for the altcoin bull market to begin, BTC dominance must be maintained below 55.01 or continue to decline.
If USDT dominance falls and BTC dominance rises, most altcoins are likely to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
In other words, it is highly likely that only BTC will continue to rise.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
Based on the current position, in order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101784.54).
If not, it is likely to fall to around the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 (89050.0).
If the uptrend continues, the point to watch is whether it can renew the new high (ATH) this time.
-
(1W chart)
It is rising after touching the 73499.86 area.
It is showing a large increase as it breaks through the HA-High indicator point of 97226.92 on the 1W chart.
Since the StochRSI indicator is expected to enter the overbought zone, it is highly likely that the future rise will be limited.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained above the left Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101784.54).
If it falls, you should check whether it is supported near 97226.92.
If it falls below 97226.92, you should check whether it is supported in the 1st and 2nd sections marked on the chart.
You should check where the StochRSI 80 indicator is formed when the next candle is created.
The StochRSI 80 indicator on the 1M chart is formed at the 102429.56 point.
Therefore, we need to check whether the StochRSI 80 indicator point on the 1W chart is formed around the 102429.56 point.
-
(1D chart)
Since the StochRSI indicator on the 1D chart is located below the midpoint, we need to focus on finding a buying point.
With this rise, the StochRSI indicator is expected to rise above the midpoint.
If the StochRSI indicator is located above the midpoint, we need to focus on finding a selling point.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether the price can be maintained around the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101784.54) as we pass through the next volatility period around May 19.
-
Among the interpretation methods of the OBV indicator, there is an interpretation method that there is a possibility of an increase or decrease when the previous high or low is broken.
This time, it showed an upward break through the upper line of the OBV and broke through the lower line of the previous OBV.
In other words, it showed an upward break through the A section.
If this upward break through the B section is continued, it is expected to renew the ATH.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Bitcoin Just Blasted Through $100K – Why $108K & $115K Are Next!
Summary
Bitcoin has staged a clear turnaround after holding support near $76K in April and reclaiming critical dynamic resistances at $89.3K and $96.7K. On May 8, BTC printed a powerful rally candle that peaked at $102.7K, signaling a potential shift from range-bound chop back into an up-trend. This piece unpacks the price structure, macro drivers, and key levels, and lays out the scenarios for the next leg higher or a corrective pullback.
Macro & Sentiment Backdrop
Macro liquidity ebb & flow: Recent dovish commentary from the Fed reduced forward rate-hike risk, restoring confidence in risk assets.
Regulatory clarity: transparent guidelines in major markets continue to draw fresh institutional capital.
Network health: On-chain metrics such as rising active addresses and declining exchange inflows reinforce supply scarcity narratives.
Chart Structure & Technical Evolution
Declining volatility and volume contraction characterized the consolidation phase.
Dynamic Resistance Breaks
R1 (~$89.3K) & R2 (~$96.7K) (grey/green labels) had capped rallies in mid-April and late-April.
The decisive May 8 candle surged through both, converting them into short-term support pivots.
Current Momentum
A long green daily bar with above-average volume implies genuine buying demand (not a thin-market spike).
Price now trades above $100K, a major psychological and technical threshold.
Key Levels & Zones
Level Type Significance
$108K Static Supply Prior swing high; first major profit‐taking zone
$102.7K Recent Peak Near‐term resistance; tag of psychological $100K
$96.7K Dynamic R2 → Support Ideal retest area for dip buyers
$89.3K Dynamic R1 → Support Secondary support if $96.7K fails
$76K–$78K April Range Support Invalidation zone for bullish thesis
Bullish vs. Bearish Scenarios
Bullish Path
Retest & Hold: A pullback into $96.7K–$100K on lighter volume that finds support would validate the breakout.
Accelerate Toward $108K: A sustained move above $102.7K with daily closes above $104K clears the way to challenge the $108K supply zone and beyond.
Bearish Risk
Rejection at $102.7K: Failure to close convincingly above peak time resistance could trigger profit-taking and a swift drop to $96.7K.
Breakdown Below $89.3K: A daily close back under the first support zone would re-trap bullish participants, risking a deeper pullback into the April range near $76K–$78K.
Is $108K or $115K Next? No one knows
Follow the momentum and Trend
$BTC Trump Pump $100k Target HitTRUMP PUMP IS BACK 🔥
$100k target hit ✅
Another massive rip for CRYPTOCAP:BTC closing within the golden zone 🏆
Need some consistent PA in here or a rip and close above the .786 fib.
200DMA (now sitting at $90,861) is still my base case as mentioned in my original analysis several weeks ago.
IF this is the start of the PARABOLA, and you have some dry powder, a retest of ATH ~109k and then correction to .786 ~$101k would be your entry, with a SL just below the .618 ~$93k
Exciting to watch either way it goes!
This is why you always prepare for both scenarios 🤓
BTCUSD: Reclaimed 100k after 3 months! Next wave to $190k.Bitcoin has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.178, MACD = 2904.000, ADX = 30.769) as it reclaimed the $100,000 marke after exactly 3 months. This is a very structured bullish pattern that consists of a Bullish Wave that peaks and leads to a Megaphone consolidation, which in turn starts the next Bullish Wave. Both waves so far have been around +16.30%. As the 8H MA50 perfectly held Tuesday's low, the pattern has already started the new Bullish Wave, which technically aims for yet another +16.30% rally (TP = 109,000).
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If Ethereum behaves like $BTCIf Ethereum behaves like CRYPTOCAP:BTC , which after breaking through the downward channel continued to grow without a rollback, then soon we will see our Favorite Ether at $2500.
The altcoin season will come after the growth of Ether, but there will not be enough Liquidity for everyone!
Projects that are alive, working, and earning will grow.
Projects should have realized - It's time to take responsibility and independently ensure the Liquidity of their Tokens at the expense of income from the Business Model, and not live at the expense of VCs with a printing press.
#RateXAI #RAA token
KAS – Long Spot Trade Setup (Structural Recovery in Play)KAS is beginning to show early signs of reversal, reclaiming the 20-day SMA after forming a double bottom near the $0.087 zone. This signals a potential shift in momentum and offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity.
🔹 Entry Zone:
$0.087 – $0.094
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $0.108 – $0.120
🥈 $0.133 – $0.154
🛑 Stop Loss:
Just below $0.080
Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D analysisCurrently, the maximum of BTC.D was 65.38% and the absolute maximum is very close, and then the capital will start flowing into altcoins.
We will have to keep a close eye on where the capital will go: only to highly liquid altcoins, or to a certain industry, or to a narrative, as it was before: “defi”, “memecoin”, and so on...
Do you have any ideas where the capital can go? Write in the comments!
❗️ Also, it is worth noting that such a popular term as "alt-season" lasts less and less, and you have to wait longer and longer for it!
It seems that this time the "alt-season" has every chance to last until the end of 2025, and then... it will be seen. Perhaps the market will gain capital and new powerful players who will set a new vector and new rules by 2028....
But first... we have to live to see it!)
_____________________
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Bitcoin's 100K Resistance Breaks Down, New ATH May '25 +AltcoinsIt only took a few days and the final barrier for a new All-Time High is now broken. Bitcoin is set to hit a new All-Time High now, in May 2025 to later continue growing; month after month after month, long-term. This is only the start.
Bitcoin challenging and breaking $100,000 easily with a full green candle is the most important bullish signal we can find. The indicators and candles are great of course, don't get me wrong, but nothing is more important than the actual price, and prices have been growing for more than a month.
— Altcoins Market Update
Most of the Altcoins market is still trading at bottom and this is only as good as it gets. Trading at bottom prices means that these Altcoins will produce massive growth in the coming weeks and days; straight up for sure, the bullish bias is confirmed.
As Bitcoin hits $100,000 and moves beyond, the entire Altcoins market is set to follow.
As Bitcoin approaches a new All-Time High in a matter of days, the Altcoins will be growing between 100, 200 and even 300% in the coming days. Think about it, 200-300% up this very same month. This is an amazing opportunity, an opportunity that you should grab; buy and hold.
Feel free to make your analysis request by leaving a comment on the Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick trade-idea, it is live today.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
It is truly appreciated.
We win again.
Namaste.