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$BTC 12-Week Lead Correlation w/ Global Liquidity, M2, GOLD, DXYHere’s a look at Bitcoin's price action against Global Liquidity, Global M2, GOLD and DXY - all with a 12-Week Lead. Notice GOLD has a bit more of a deviation from the BTC price than the others. This is because GOLD is used as a store of value asset, whereas the others are predicated on Central Banks expanding and contracting their money supply and balance sheets. The key here is to smooth out the signal and ignore the noise. Notice the convergence between these metrics the past couple months.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by jonnieking
Bitcoin: Bear Flag Formation Implies Weakness.Bitcoin has retraced as anticipated in my previous article (see Wave 5). So much for all the nonsense hype at the Bitcoin conference. Bitcoin has tested the 103K area and found some support but is developing a mini bear flag (see arrow). IF the 103,500K level is broken, that confirms the corrective structure is still in play and a test of 102 to 100K can still be the dominant scenario for the coming week (NFP this week). This means for swing traders on this time frame, it is likely too early for longs. The 102 to 100K area is still the major support that I anticipate. A long signal here can look like a pin bar on this time frame, or a double bottom formation on a 4h or 1h chart. It often pays to wait for these scenarios but there is always a risk of missing the move if price confirms a reversal pattern sooner. IF the current candle closes much higher (above 106K) then it will invalidate the bear flag. This means the bullish continuation would be in play. In my opinion this is a lower probability, but you have to be open to it. In the bullish scenario a test of 110 to 112 servers as a profit objective. While a breakout beyond 112 can happen, the more you expect, the more RISK you must be exposed to. A test of high is more probable than a new high. Along with that, I suspect current price action is more likely to consolidate rather than continue high over the short term because 5 waves are clearly in place. That usually means a corrective structure is likely to follow, and that is what we are currently in. The bullish candles are too early to buy into. If the bear flag plays out, there will be more attractive prices to wait for reversal formations. Otherwise, work smaller time frames, look for small bites going either way and keep the size small. This is not an easy environment.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
4
CADJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISCADJPY has successfully broken out of a well-defined falling wedge pattern, confirming a bullish reversal setup on the daily timeframe. Price action has not only cleared the descending trendline but has also completed a clean retest of the breakout zone near 104.000–104.500. This retest held firmly, showing strong buyer interest, and the pair is now poised for a continuation toward the next key resistance level around 110.000. The technical structure is now favoring bulls, with momentum shifting upward after a prolonged corrective phase. Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar is gaining strength supported by rising crude oil prices and stronger-than-expected economic data from Canada. The Bank of Canada’s recent tone remains relatively hawkish compared to other central banks, which adds further support to CAD. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen continues to remain under pressure due to the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy stance. With Japan’s inflation struggling to sustain above target, the BOJ is showing no urgency to tighten, which keeps JPY weak against higher-yielding currencies like CAD. The breakout from the falling wedge is also being supported by volume and bullish daily candles, suggesting a solid shift in market sentiment. The pair has formed a higher low and higher high, officially transitioning into a bullish structure. With the retest of the breakout structure now complete, there’s a high probability for continuation toward 108.000 initially and a full extension to 110.000 in the coming weeks. Traders should closely monitor any dips as potential buying opportunities as long as CADJPY holds above 103.500–104.000 support. The reward-to-risk ratio remains favorable for swing traders aiming for medium-term targets. With strong technical confirmation, supportive fundamentals, and risk appetite returning to markets, CADJPY is setting up for a potentially profitable bullish wave.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
BTC eliot wave prediction 106,600$ → 100,300$ → 116,000$ The third extended wave of Bitcoin has completed, and it is now going through a correction phase. Wave 4 corrections often retrace to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. Therefore, a price drop to that level is expected — around $106,600. This correction is unfolding as a W–X–Y pattern. In wave W, the internal ABC subwaves completed with wave C reaching 1.618 times the length of wave A. Currently, Bitcoin is in the rising phase of wave X. No one knows how high wave X will go, but what’s important is that after wave X finishes, one more lower low is expected — again around $106,600. At that price level, I plan to open a $2 billion long position with 10x leverage.
Short
by SPOONY1004
Bitcoin Wasn't Built for Bull Runs — It Was Built for This MomenDear traders, You may be witnessing a “first” — a pivotal moment right before things begin to spiral. We’re not fortune tellers. We don’t claim to predict the future. But what you’re about to read is based entirely on **publicly available data**, interpreted not through speculation, but through a deep, rational analysis of interconnected facts — the kind of connections that most overlook, and few dare to question. We may not know how the future is being orchestrated behind the scenes... But one thing seems certain: **crisis always comes first...** and *then* we are given a **narrative** to justify it — be it war, a pandemic, or a "global emergency." This is the correct sequence... and it’s the one they never teach you. Yet for those of us who navigate the financial markets, one question matters more than all others: **How do we profit from this?** --- We recently shared an important setup on the **Nasdaq index**, the benchmark that reflects — to a large extent — the true state of the U.S. economy. As a proxy for the 100 largest American corporations, the Nasdaq plays a critical role in signaling macro trends. And while some are just now waking up to the storm ahead, **our outlook has been clear since October 2022**: A major economic crisis was not only probable… it was **inevitable**. Some analysts chalk this up to uncontrolled money printing post-2019 as governments tried to patch the damage from the COVID-19 crisis. That’s one explanation. But at **Glich**, our vision is different. More complex. And for now… **not something we can fully release**. --- For years, strong correlations between **risk markets** — especially U.S. equities and crypto — held firmly in place. But something changed on **May 30th, 2025**. Completely and unmistakably. The link was severed. Now ask yourself: **Why was Bitcoin created in the first place?** It wasn’t just digital money. It was a bold, revolutionary idea. A system designed for a future economy no longer shackled by inflation, central banking failures, or hidden agendas. A fluid, transparent, and secure network for a world in desperate need of change. The current financial model is obsolete. It’s no longer evolving — just surviving. And it can no longer answer the challenges of what's to come. **2008 was not the collapse; it was the setup.** A convenient pretext to slowly roll out something **new**. And "Satoshi Nakamoto"? Well, let’s just say... **That name means more than you think.** _"HIDDEN INFORMATION"_ 👁️ --- What does NEO mean when he says: > "This has all happened before… yet it’s happening for the first time"? And what does that have to do with us? This analysis is *not* just about charts or setups. It’s a **hidden message** — a spotlight on a once-in-a-generation opportunity lying in plain sight. But not everyone is trained to read between the lines. --- Let us ask: - Why was **Donald Trump** specifically pushed into position? - Why is crypto — after being suppressed, banned and attacked worldwide — now being quietly **promoted** and fast-tracked in legislation during 2024 and 2025? Something’s moving beneath the surface. --- ### 🔍 In summary: - Expect a tidal wave of **global crypto legislation** to pass in the coming **days/weeks/months**. - Crypto — particularly **BTC and ETH** — will become silent **stores of value** during the economic storm. - Expect record-breaking levels: **$400K for Bitcoin**, **$40K for Ethereum**. Yes, this may sound like science fiction… But keep your eyes and ears wide open. 👁️ - And brace yourself for a **historic collapse** in U.S. equities. Possibly… something we’ve never seen before. --- The show is starting. And we won’t spoil the ending — because watching it unfold is part of the experience. But here’s what we *can* say, thanks to our proprietary **algorithmic system**: - The **U.S. economy will bleed**. - And crypto will blow past expectations — fulfilling the very purpose it was built for. --- 🛒 Load your bags in the coming days... Because when this train leaves the station — It won't be stopping for anyone.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by LEETALGOCONCEPT_Mentor
Bitcoin Wyckoff Distribution Complete – Markdown Phase Ahead?This chart is a technical analysis of **Bitcoin (BTC/USD)** on the **4-hour timeframe** from Binance, illustrating **Wyckoff Market Cycle Phases** applied to recent price action. ### 🧠 Chart Description: The chart identifies and labels key **Wyckoff phases**: * **Accumulation (April)**: Price consolidates in a range after a downtrend. This phase marks strong hands accumulating Bitcoin from weak hands. * **Reaccumulation (late April to early May)**: A bullish continuation pattern where the price pauses temporarily before resuming the uptrend. * **Distribution (mid-May)**: The price enters another consolidation phase, but this time smart money begins offloading holdings at elevated prices to retail traders. ### 📉 Projected Move: * A breakdown below the current support is anticipated, leading to a **markdown phase**. * The red path suggests a significant decline, potentially toward the **\$85,000–\$90,000 range**, indicating bearish momentum. * After the markdown, **accumulation is expected to resume**, setting the stage for the next potential markup. ### 📊 Supporting Visual: On the right side, there's a reference schematic titled **“Market Phases” by Readtheticker.com**, which summarizes: * Accumulation → Markup → Distribution → Markdown → Accumulation cycle. * It also highlights buying/selling pressure dynamics and behavioral patterns at each phase. ---
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Ttrade-With-Logic
1
Bitcoin Mixed: Below Resistance, Above Support (Altcoins Update)I hope you are having a good Saturday and weekend my dear friend, I have a quick update on Bitcoin and the Altcoins market today. Good news and bad news. Let's start with the good news. The Altcoins are producing a higher low and bullish. This means that we will continue to see growth as expected. The market went through a shakeout, nothing more. On the Bitcoin side, we have the bad news which is not that bad. The action is happening above support (grey dashed line on the chart) but below local resistance. The market just went through a major shakeout. I shall explain. People got greedy and ended up putting too much leverage on their positions, when this happens, the market needs to balance things out because it cannot grow in this way long-term. And thus the shakeout. 1 billion dollars worth of LONGs were liquidated. The good news is that once this process is over, the market can resume with its usual cycle but... The situation is tricky now but I can tell you exactly what will happen. Bitcoin will consolidate before additional growth. While Bitcoin consolidates, the Altcoins will move up. Plan and simple. What happens next with Bitcoin, down or up? As long as Bitcoin trades above $100,000-$102,000 weekly/monthly the chart and market bias is considered ultra-bullish . This means that Bitcoin is ultra-bullish right now. If the action moves and closes weekly below 100K, nothing happens. A simple retrace that ends in a higher low followed by additional growth. The market is bullish now and will continue bullish. The Altcoins are a good buy and this recent flush gives an opportunity for those that missed early prices. Market conditions remain the same. We are bullish and set to grow long-term. We are 100% bullish on Bitcoin and the Altcoins market. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
13
Check support: Fibonacci ratio 1.902(101978.54) ~ 2(106178.85) Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) A new month begins. The OBV indicator is currently rising again near the High Line. We need to see if it can continue to rise by breaking above the High Line. If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85). If it declines with strong trading volume, there is a possibility of a decline near the StochRSI 20 point of 97209.25. Therefore, we need to respond depending on whether there is support in the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85). The most important support and resistance area on the current 1M chart is 69000-73499.86. - (1D chart) It is showing a downward trend below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart. Accordingly, the possibility of a short-term downtrend is increasing. However, as mentioned earlier, the key is whether it can rise with support in the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85) section. If not, it is likely to fall to around 97226.92. - The next volatility period is expected to be around June 6. Accordingly, the current trend is likely to be maintained until the next volatility period. In order to turn into an upward trend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart and maintain it. However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at the point of 108316.90, it is highly likely that the uptrend will begin only when it rises above this point. Therefore, we need to check if it rises above 108316.90 and receives support. - In my chart, the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. However, if it receives support from the HA-High indicator and rises, it is likely to show a stepwise uptrend, and if it receives resistance from the HA-Low indicator and falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend. The end of the stepwise uptrend is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend. Therefore, in order to establish a buying strategy, we need to meet the HA-Low indicator. In other words, if the HA-Low indicator is newly created as the price falls, it is important to see whether there is support near it. - If it falls below the dotted line indicated on the OBV indicator, it will fall below the previous High Line, so there is a possibility that it will lead to an additional decline. In particular, if it falls below the Low Line, the price is likely to fall. However, since the channel of High Line ~ Low Line is still showing an upward trend, I think the overall movement is still maintaining an upward trend. In order for the channel of High Line ~ Low Line to turn downward, it must fall to the area indicated by the arrow. - To summarize the above, - Check for support in the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902(101978.54) ~ 2(106178.85) section - The start of the uptrend is when the price rises above 108316.90 and maintains it - Check for support near 97226.92 in the event of a further decline - If the HA-Low indicator is newly generated in the event of a further decline, focus on finding the time to buy based on whether there is support near that area - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin Monthly Outlook – Long-Term PerspectiveBitcoin Monthly Outlook – Long-Term Perspective Regardless of the daily fundamental noise—ranging from institutional interest to global policy shifts—technical analysis also supports the possibility of further growth in Bitcoin over the long term. Currently, Bitcoin remains in its primary bullish trend and is still moving within a rising channel structure. Even if a pullback occurs toward the $39,000 level, the overall trend structure would remain intact, and the risk-to-reward ratio could still be considered favorable (approximately 4:1 in this context). Of course, the market is driven by probabilities, and deeper corrections are always possible. However, both positive news and technical structure continue to signal a potential continuation of the upward movement. 📌 Based on this structure, key long-term support levels to watch are: $70.000 $50,000 $40,000 📌 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📝 Follow for updates and long-term crypto insights.
Long
by karaco2022
BTC/USDT: Correction to H1 Demand Zone? Multi-Timeframe Strategy🔹 H1 Context (Bullish): - Demand zone (green) below Fib 0.5: Key support. - Breakout (BOS) suggests bullish continuation *after possible correction*. 🔹 M5/M15 Situation (Short-Term): - Price rejecting red zones (immediate resistance). - Scenario 1 (Bearish): → If price respects red zones: Correction toward H1 demand ($103K). → Action: Short trades in M5/M15 targeting green zone. - Scenario 2 (Bullish): → If red zones break: Confirmation of strength (new highs target). 🔹 Risk Management: - Short entries: Rejection at M5/M15 red zones + M1 confirmation. - TP: M15 lows ($103.5K) or H1 demand zone ($103K). - SL: Close above red zones. 🔹 Technical Key: - H2 Order Block as dynamic support: If respected, prevents drop to H1. - Confluence: H1 demand + Fib 0.5 = High-probability area. #BTC #Bitcoin #Trading #Crypto #H1 #M15 #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci
Long
by RentCash
BTC/USD 4h Char ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC taking into account the 4-hour interval. We can see how the price is maintained just below the upward trend line, while a downward trend channel may be forming locally. Here you can see how the price decline is maintained in a strong support zone from $ 105,000 to $ 103,150, however, if the support zone is broken, the price may quickly fall to the support area at $ 100,700 Looking the other way, you can see that when the trend reverses, we first have resistance at $ 106,560, the next is at $ 108,590, and then you can see very strong resistance at the level of the last ATH in the area of ​​$ 112,000. On the MACD indicator and the RSI indicator, you can see how we are maintaining in the lower part of the range, which indicates that the price bounce is still taking place to continue the growth.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
1
SPELLUSDT Forming Bullish Falling WedgeSPELLUSDT is currently exhibiting a bullish falling wedge pattern, a formation that often precedes a significant upward breakout. The price has been gradually compressing between converging trendlines, and recent candles suggest growing bullish pressure near the wedge’s support. With a good volume profile backing this consolidation, the chart structure is lining up for a potential breakout that could yield a projected gain of 90% to 100% in the near term. Spell Token (SPELL) powers the Abracadabra.money ecosystem, a DeFi lending protocol that allows users to borrow stablecoins using interest-bearing assets as collateral. As DeFi begins to regain traction in the broader crypto market, SPELL is drawing more investor attention due to its utility and role within a growing protocol. This resurgence in investor interest is aligning well with the technical setup, indicating strong potential for bullish price action. Technically, a breakout from the falling wedge pattern with sustained volume could confirm the bullish reversal. Once the resistance line is breached, it may trigger an impulsive rally with minimal overhead resistance, creating an ideal scenario for swing traders and short-term investors targeting explosive moves. The projected upside from the current pattern breakout points toward levels not seen since previous local highs, reinforcing a bullish narrative. In summary, SPELLUSDT is showing strong signs of a trend reversal with an ideal bullish chart pattern and healthy volume. The convergence of technical indicators, pattern formation, and growing market interest sets the stage for a potential high-reward setup in the coming weeks. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
Bitcoin Bullish, Will Not Hit $200,000 This Cycle, $137,000 NextBitcoin is still bullish. A higher low is a bullish development. If Bitcoin stops bleeding at around a price of $88,888.88 this would be a strong, perfect, higher low compared to 7-April and it would match perfectly a classic correction because this price sits at the Fibonacci golden ratio. Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, timing is important and we got perfect timing on this retrace. How far down will it go? It is still too early to say but we know that below $74,500 isn't possible because that's the last low. $78,000 is possible but not necessary so we are betting that the lowest ever will be above $80,000. Remember, Bitcoin will never ever trade below $80,000 in its history. Sorry, but these prices are gone, nobody can buy this low again. There is good news though. You can still buy when the next low is established. It is impossible to predict the exact price when Bitcoin will stop dropping, but it is possible to see a support level being developed. So when the next support is in, we can cover (close the SHORT) and go LONG again. Pretty simple. Buy when prices are low, sell when prices are high. A new all-time high is pretty high and thus we sell (sold). When the next support level is established, we buy again. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Each Altcoin needs to be considered individually because some will grow while others move down. We are more advanced now in this bull market cycle. You can visit my profile for more. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
11
Maybe your biggest risk is your biggest chance !!!The price is currently forming the second corrective wave, and a slight price drop to reach higher levels is normal. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
2
Be careful with BTC !!!Finally, the price broke the wedge, and the price experienced a significant drop. I think is the time for btc to rise again to 111k after more correction . STRONG SUPPORT 98k Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard