Bitcoin are you Worried ?Everything is in chart.
- Like i said many times, more you look from far, more it's easy to predict the future.
- This Monthly Chart combinated with indicators show you how BTC moved in 2016-2017 BullRun so keep eyes open and you will find the way for 2020-2021.
- We cannot compare a Bullrun from 400$ to 20,000$ with a Bullrun From 4000$ to 3XX,XXX+$, the chart will be exponential. We are now playing with big numbers.
- imo right now we are in fake bear market stage, this stage happened also in 2016-2017 pre-bullrun ( but Numbers were smallers...), whales are just trying to create fear and remove retails investors.
- Actual stage could be a Consolidation Phase, if Whales see there's a lack of interest, they will push BTC up, or we could get a quick fast Trap to 20,000$ if Whales feel Retails not fear enough (Not sell their BTC).
- 100 000$ Target is still very preservative, past this stage it will be the FOMO Stage to go Higher!
TheKing is dead??? Long live TheKing!! :D
Happy Tr4Ding !
Btc-e
HelenP. I Bitcoin will drop, thereby breaking trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Recently, price has been trading in a narrowing structure, forming a triangle pattern with a strong ascending trend line acting as support. This bullish line began developing after the price reversed from the 78500 - 79000 support zone, where buyers showed a clear reaction, initiating a sustained upward move. As the price kept bouncing along the trend line, it gradually climbed toward the upper boundary of the triangle. Eventually, Bitcoin reached the resistance area near 86500, which aligns with the broader resistance zone between 86500 and 87000 points. This zone has previously acted as a ceiling for price action, and once again, it triggered selling pressure. After the rejection from this area, the price corrected back to the trend line and is now hovering near it, testing its strength. Given the structure of the triangle, the repeated rejection from the resistance zone, and the current consolidation under resistance, I expect BTCUSDT to break below the trend line and decline. That's why I set my goal at 82000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTCUSDT – System-Based Long Signal (3D Timeframe)
📅 April 19, 2025
Yesterday’s 3D candle closed with a clear PSAR flip, shifting from bearish to bullish — an early signal of potential trend reversal.
In addition, price is now trading above the 200 MA, which confirms a return into long-term bullish territory.
🟢 Based on these two system signals, we have a valid long entry setup forming.
However, the system is not fully aligned yet:
⚠️ MLR < BB Center < SMA
This suggests the internal momentum structure is still weak.
We are above 200MA and have a PSAR trigger, but the trend metrics aren't in full confluence.
📌 Strategy suggestion:
- Consider a partial spot entry only
- Avoid leverage until full confirmation
- Wait for MLR to flip above BB Center for added strength
This is a trigger-before-confirmation type of setup — and in such cases, discipline > excitement.
Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Resolution: Breakout or Breakdown?BTC/USD H4 Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Resolution: Breakout or Breakdown?
📊 Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe
Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a clear symmetrical triangle, with price tightening ahead of a potential major breakout. The chart shows price testing the upper boundary of the triangle, supported by MA13 and MA34 from below.
Key resistance zones: 86,594 and the extended target zone at 88,753. A successful breakout above this region could trigger a strong rally toward 90,000+.
Key support levels: 81,397 – 78,725 – 75,102, acting as critical retracement zones in case of downside rejection.
The structure suggests two primary scenarios:
Bullish breakout to 86,594 → 88,753, followed by a pullback and continuation higher.
False breakout or breakdown, leading to a sell-off toward 78,725 and possibly down to 75,102 if market sentiment deteriorates.
🌍 Macro Context & Market Sentiment
Investor sentiment remains fragile, impacted by ongoing geopolitical risks and the Fed’s cautious stance on monetary policy.
Altcoins are underperforming, signaling that capital rotation remains limited – often a precursor to short-term correction or distribution in BTC.
Volume is fading as price coils inside the triangle, typically a precursor to a sharp move in either direction.
🧠 Trading Strategy Ideas
Watch closely for price action near 86,594 – 88,753. If rejection or wick rejections occur, short-term pullback trades may be viable.
A breakdown below the triangle support (~84,000 area) could open up downside targets at 81,397 and 78,725.
A clean breakout with volume confirmation? Look for retest buys around 86k with continuation potential.
⚠️ Caution Advised
BTC is in a “calm-before-the-storm” zone. This is not the time to chase moves or overleverage. Let the market confirm direction and trade based on structure, not emotion.
💬 Are you leaning bullish or bearish on BTC’s next move? Will we see 90k or a drop back to 75k? Share your thoughts below! 👇👇👇
levels to watch The market has formed a W pattern and is currently trading above the neckline. The measured move from this pattern points to a target of 91,300.
What’s particularly interesting is that 91,300 also coincides with the neckline of a previous top, which could act as a significant resistance level — likely sparking a strong battle between buyers and sellers at that point.
If the market manages to reclaim and hold above 91,300, we could see a continuation toward the 108,000 and 125,000 levels.
I’m currently long on BTC from 78,000. My plan is to take partial profits around 88,130 and close the remainder at 91,300. From there, I’ll reassess based on the market’s reaction and look for the next directional cue.
BTC.D Wave 5 is formingWe are now in the final wave of the btc.d market share
The black V wave is in the final stage
In my opinion, btc.d is in the red wave 4 and is expected to have another red uptrend to complete 5 waves and at the same time, it will also have 5 black V waves
If all the waves are complete, we will have a btc.d break and the altcoin season will take place
We can see that altcoin is at the bottom and is recovering, this uptrend is likely to increase (because btc.d is decreasing wave 4) then btc.d goes up to the red wave 5 as analyzed above, the altcoin will test the possible double bottom pattern (with some strong coins that can slightly recover to the 50% fibonacci and then go up)
to go up, the weaker ones can have triple bottoms
Anyway, we are at the end of btc.d and it is also the altcoin season that is about to begin
Bitcoin is currently trading around 85,269.35 USDT. Bitcoin is currently trading around 85,269.35 USDT.
Support Zone: A crucial support zone marked in green suggests strong buying interest between 80,000 and 81,000 USDT.
Resistance: The upper trend line indicates resistance; if Bitcoin can break it, it could target levels close to 88,000 USDT.
Bullish Case: A breakout above the upper trend line could lead to an upward rally towards 88,000 USDT or above.
Bearish Case: If the price breaks below the support zone, a downward move towards 75,000 USDT can be expected.
Monitor the trade closely to see how it reacts around these crucial levels. Adjust your strategy accordingly based on the price action. If you have further questions or need analysis on specific indicators, feel free to ask!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Global M2 MONEY SUPPLY VS GLOBAL LIQUIDITYWhich is the best to track ₿itcoin price action?
Lots of macro gurus have been arguing over the two.
For comparison, I have indexes for both metrics on a 12-Week Lead, tracking the 4 largest central banks:
The Federal Reserve (including TGA & RRP), People’s Bank of China, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan.
Let’s start by defining each.
Global M2 Money Supply covers physical cash in circulation and cash equivalents such as checking and savings deposits, as well as money market securities.
Global Liquidity covers a broader measure of liquid assets driven by central bank balance sheets, private sector financial activity (e.g., lending, corporate cash), and cross-border capital flows.
Historically, both move closely in lock-step and act as a great leading indicator for ₿itcoin, however we can see that Global Liquidity can have more drastic fluctuations.
We saw a large divergence in CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA with both metrics when the Blackrock iShares ₿itcoin ETF appeared on the DTCC list, a procedural step signaling progress toward potential approval.
When you look at the charts of all three, you can see there are points where either metric might follow CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA a bit closer, so in the end I would say it’s best to track both to find confluence in the signal.
BITCOIN's secret catalyst. The Gold-to-Crypto Rotation Is ComingBitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to form a new medium-term bottom here, following the Tariffs-led sell-off of the past 2 months. While the crypto market is consolidating and accumulating, the Gold market is smashing every historic All Time High (ATH) after the other.
This is not the first time we see this divergence between Gold and BTC and this is what historically delivers what we call 'Gold-to-Crypto Rotation'. This happens when Gold peaks, making its Bull Cycle Top, initiating a capital transition to BTC, hence starting the final rally of its Bull Cycle.
This has already taken place 3 times in its short history and Gold's sheer ferocity of the 2025 rally, indicates that we may possibly be about to repeat another one.
So what do you think is Gold about to top and offer a mass exodus a capital to Bitcoin, hence kickstarting a massive rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN - Time to buy again!I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
NEIROUSDT → Countertrend momentum. Is the reversal close?BINANCE:NEIROUSDT.P is one of not many coins that is growing. But the only disadvantage is that the coin is at the bottom. Most likely it is forming a set of liquidity before continuing to fall.
NEIRO is strengthening and heading towards the resistance of the range while bitcoin continues its correction.
Strong resistance and liquidity zone at 0.187 is ahead. Strong gains could be stopped by a false breakout and reversal
Just because a coin is at the bottom doesn't mean it has nowhere to fall. Yes, there is.
At the moment the price is in the range on the background of a strong downtrend, within which the price does not show signs of life. The previous buyback ended with a strong sell-off.
Resistance levels: 0.000187, 0.0002045.
Support levels: 0.000169, 0.000154
In the short term, we should expect a false breakout, reversal and price drop to the support of the range.
I do not rule out a prolonged struggle in the resistance zone, within which the price may go higher and test the 0.00020 liquidity zone before continuing to fall, within which it may renew the bottom.
Regards R. Linda!
ALCHUSDT → Rally to the liquidity zone. False breakout?BINANCE:ALCHUSDT.P is one of not many coins that looks strong amid the bearish cryptocurrency market. But how long will this energy last? There is strong resistance ahead....
A local pre-breakdown consolidation relative to the intraday level is forming. In general, this is the state of the market, ready to continue its growth within the distribution.
Thus, the breakout of 0.1590 resistance will provoke the continuation of growth up to the liquidity zone at 0.177. But already at 0.177, due to the fact that it is an important and strong intermediate resistance level, we should expect a false breakout and a pullback, for example, to 0.159 or 0.5 fibo.
Resistance levels: 0.159, 0.177, 0.23
Support levels: 0.1516, 0.5 fibo
The distribution is already 53% since the breakout of the consolidation resistance. By the time the resistance is approached, it will be 77% and the market may use up all the accumulated potential, so liquidity above 0.177 is likely to stop the upward rally and turn the coin down.
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSDT – Shallow Pullback Holding | 1.618 Extension in SightBitcoin made a strong move from 73K to 106K, setting a new high after months of sideways action. Since then, we’ve seen a pullback, but it's been controlled. The retracement has landed right on the 0.236 Fib level, around 75.4K — and price is starting to base above it.
That’s often a sign of bullish strength. Shallow retracements like this can fuel the next leg up.
🔹 Short-Term Fib (Blue)
This Fib is drawn from the recent move:
73K (0) → 106K (1)
Key level:
0.236: 75,409 → currently acting as support
1.618 extension: 139,977 → potential next target if the uptrend continues
So far, price is respecting the structure.
🟡 Macro Fib (Yellow)
Drawn from a larger swing:
39.5K (0) → 73K (1)
That move already completed and topped out near the 1.618 extension at ~106.7K — which lined up closely with the current ATH. It’s not active anymore, but it gives important historical context.
🎯 What I’m Watching:
Holding above 75K keeps bulls in control
Breakout above 95K could send price back to test ATH at 106K
If momentum builds, 139K (blue 1.618) becomes the next technical target
Drop below 73K? Structure breaks, and we reassess the trend
📌 Final Take:
BTC is holding strong where it needs to. It’s not moon-mode yet, but the structure favors continuation. As long as the 75K area holds, I’m leaning bullish — targeting a breakout toward 106K and possibly 139K.
Let’s see if Bitcoin’s got another leg in it.
Thoughts? Long or waiting on a dip? 👇
continue sideways, BTC accumulates below 88K💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (April 18)
The recovery of the D frame shows the optimistic sentiment of the market, believing that in the second quarter of 2025 the market will heat up again. The FED lowers interest rates, the group raises tariffs.
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC:
Recent trends suggest that Bitcoin ETF sell-offs during price surges often foreshadow significant market pullbacks. Notably, substantial outflows were recorded from BlackRock’s IBIT and Ark Invest’s ARKB ETFs, each losing over $113 million in assets.
Should the sell-off by seasoned U.S. institutional investors persist into Thursday, cautious sentiment may spread to strategic retail and mid-tier traders, deterring them from initiating large bullish positions. This risk-averse stance could help explain Bitcoin’s current stagnation near $84,600, even as top-performing altcoins like Solana outpace it with stronger gains over the past 24 hours.
TECHNICAL VIEW
BTC price needs to surpass 92-93K to enter the next big growth period. However, political instability and tariffs are holding back BTC's breakout. Price will continue to sideway and accumulate around 82-86K
Short time frame, sideway around 84k, slow liquidity.
==> Comments are for reference only. Wish investors successful trading
Bitcoin & ... Top Altcoins Choice— Your Pick (Session 2—2025)Bitcoin continues to do great and today moved for the first time above $86,000 after the 7-April 2025 market correction bottom and low. This is the lowest price before the 2025 bull market bullish cycle, phase and wave.
The 2025/26 bull market will be an extended bull market. The next All-Time High is likely to happen around late 2025 or March 2026.
When Bitcoin is really strong, trades above $80,000, the Altcoins tend to follow. Most of the Altcoins already hit bottom and started to grow. With Bitcoin on a path toward 100K and beyond, this can result in a massive bullish wave across the entire market. It will be awesome.
Knowing that Bitcoin and the Altcoins market bullish bias is confirmed, I would like to know your Top Altcoin Pick.
» Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 2)
Let's start a new session, which pair is your Top Altcoin Choice? With Bitcoin doing great, the Altcoins are bound to the same. Let's try and find together many hidden gems.
I will do a full chart analysis for your chosen Altcoin and publish in my profile. It can be any pair that is available for trading within the Cryptocurrency market. There is one condition though, the pair must be available here on TradingView for me to do an analysis and the chart must have at least 6 months of data.
Instructions:
1) Leave a comment with your desired pair. Example: ETHUSDT, BTCUSDT, SOLBTC, etc.
2) Make sure to add any questions you have about the pair in question in the comments so that I can answer in the analysis.
3) If you see any pair that you like from other users, make sure to boost their comments. The comment with the most boost will get published first.
Notes:
➢ I will take anywhere between 50 and 100 requests.
➢ I will pick and choose. The pairs with the best looking charts, high growth potential and strong signals, will be selected.
➢ Maximum one trading pair per person/user.
➢Those that didn't participate in the last session will have priority in this session.
Your support is highly appreciated.
I am looking forward to review your Altcoins.
Namaste.
BTCUSD: 4H Golden Cross to skyrocket it to $100kBitcoin has stabilized from the strong correction earlier in the month and that is reflected on its neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.619, MACD = 70.800, ADX = 32.691). This suggests that the market has priced a bottom and since it already broke over the LH trendline, the 4H Golden Cross that was just formed today may be the trigger to resume the long term bullish trend. The bottoming pattern is a very favorable Inverted Head and Shoulders, which technically targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. With the 1D RSI already on a HL bullish divergence, we are buying this breakout, aiming at the 2.0 Fib extension (TP = 100,000), which is very conveniently just under the 0.786 Fib from the ATH, typically a recovery's first target.
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Bitcoin can exit from triangle and drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The chart shows how the price previously made a strong decline, followed by a sharp rebound from the buyer zone between 77800 - 79000 points. This recovery formed a short-term uptrend, which led the price back into the seller zone, where bullish momentum slowed down. After testing resistance, BTC formed a wedge pattern that eventually broke to the downside, causing a new wave of correction. Following this drop, the market rebounded again from support and began forming a triangle pattern. The triangle developed inside the same larger resistance area that had already rejected price action before. The structure of the triangle shows lower highs with clear resistance along the 88500 level, reinforcing bearish pressure. Currently, BTC is trading near the apex of this triangle, and the price just bounced down again from resistance. This reaction suggests that the market is struggling to push higher and could be ready for a breakdown. Based on the triangle structure, the seller zone rejection, and the multiple failed attempts to break higher, I expect BTC to move downward toward the 80000 points, which I consider as TP1. The 79000 - 80000 area also coincides with the next major support and previous accumulation zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC 4H VS 1D 200 EMAIt's quite a rare occurrence when the 200 EMA finds itself in a very similar position but right now BTC has that exact setup.
On the 4H BTC is fighting the moving average for the 12th time since losing the support level at the beginning in February. At this time the bearish trend channel upper limit also coincides with this level now, IMO a big move is being setup, but the direction is unsure.
On the daily we're seeing the moving average also in line with the trend resistance however the curve itself differs to the 4H in the way that it's levelling out from an uptrend, not levelling out from downtrend.
Bullish scenario - Breaking out above the moving average and trend channel with strength I believe would start to bring buyers back. Now I would not expect buyers to come flooding in at once as many have been burned too many times trying to long a breakout only for it to be a fakeout. I could see many looking for a form of confirmation, be that a retest as new support or a new HH & HL structure.
Bearish scenario - Yet another rejection off this level would be continuation of the downtrend with many adding to their shorts. This to me would be tied to the SPX/ Tradfi movements although those markets are much stronger than this time last week.
In conclusion there is no clear sense of direction just yet but I think it's coming very soon. The chop we are seeing at the moment is a symptom of a lack of confidence and uncertainty in market conditions. Naturally this lends itself to a continuation of the downtrend but all it takes is a catalyst and some big believers to push BTC out above the downtrend to continue the bullrun. I think we get our answer soon.