BTC/USD Local work. Clamping 2.37%/18 days. Stop-Loss zonesLogarithm. Time frame 1 day. Local trend.
Clamping the price in a narrow range of 2.37% for 18 days. Stop-Loss zones (market fuel), due to which the impulse will occur, was shown on the chart. Previously showed more than once such trading situations and their solutions, the sense of such manipulation in such zones. I will not repeat it.
In your work to observe the risk management, it is advisable not to work with large leverage because there can be significant volatility in both directions. Instead of a logical profit in the trend, you will get a loss on the spot.
237/18
A line chart to understand the trend direction of this zone.
The previous idea of a secondary trend of two months ago, which shows this zone 1618 0
BTC/USD Secondary trend. Double bottom zone.
The main bitcoin trend (almost all of it). The time frame is 1 month.
BTC/USD Main trend. Cycles. Halving BTC. Surrender zones.
This idea of a long-term trend shows capitulation zones in secondary trends and the percentage of price decrease from the highs. Bitcoin's halving. Cyclicality. Note that unlike past cycles, the price has been under the uptrend line zone for a very long time.
Btc-e
BRIEFING Week #4 : Complex Week AheadHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Vine/USDT PRICE PREDICTION 2025 $3.50 2025Vine/USDT PRICE PREDICTION 2025
Means for long-term follow, and where the possibility is for this coin 2025
The best way to enter volume is in steps.
Depending on the 2025 protection for this coin, we expect this is a good chance this coin can gain over $3.50
It can take time, and the price can even breakdown more before it can increase
This update will stay a prediction, do always your study and manage the risk.
Expect nothing from the market, but more see the possibilities.
TRUMP | Donald Trump signs RADICAL Crypto Executive OrderPOTUS Donald Trump has issued an executive order aimed at creating a streamlined regulatory framework for digital assets, with a focus on cryptocurrencies.
One of the key elements of the order is the creation of a National Digital Asset Stockpile. This initiative is intended to establish a strategic reserve of digital assets to enhance economic security and encourage innovation in the sector. Additionally, the order calls for the formation of a specialized working group to develop a federal regulatory framework for digital assets, including stablecoins. This group will be led by David Sacks, the White House's AI and Crypto Czar, and will include senior officials from the Treasury, the U.S. SEC, and other key agencies.
Notably, the executive order explicitly bans federal agencies from initiating or supporting the development of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), maintaining a focus on decentralized cryptocurrencies. The creation of the Presidential Working Group on Digital Assets is expected to significantly influence the future of cryptocurrencies, NFTs, stablecoins, and other blockchain technologies.
The order also reverses previous directives from the prior administration that hindered innovation in digital assets. These outdated frameworks had prompted many U.S.-based crypto companies to relocate to more favorable jurisdictions, such as the UAE or Singapore.
President Trump's recent executive order is likely to have significant effects on both Bitcoin and Trumpcoin.
Bitcoin:
This pro-crypto stance including the establishment of a National Digital Asset Stockpile and the creation of a federal regulatory framework, could encourage investor confidence in Bitcoin. This supportive regulatory environment may lead to increased institutional adoption and public trust, potentially driving Bitcoin's price higher. However, the market's reaction has been mixed and we're not seeing an immediate result reflecting in the price just yet.
Trumpcoin:
Trumpcoin could experience heightened interest due to the executive order. The administration's favorable view on digital assets might attract investors to Trumpcoin, anticipating that it will benefit from increased visibility and potential use cases.
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BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Gold XAUUSD | SELL After Elliot's 5-WaveWave Analysis:
Wave 1 (Initial Upswing):
Price moved from 2661 to 2723, marking the start of the bullish trend.
This wave is typically smaller as the market begins to establish direction.
Wave 2 (Correction):
A corrective pullback, retracing part of Wave 1.
Price moved down but respected the Fibonacci retracement zone (likely between 50% and 61.8%).
Wave 3 (Strong Upswing):
The strongest and most extended wave, moving from 2695 to 2759.
This wave aligns with higher momentum, reflecting a surge in bullish sentiment.
Wave 4 (Consolidation):
A sideways or shallow pullback, correcting Wave 3.
This wave is less aggressive than Wave 2, often reflecting profit-taking and market indecision.
Wave 5 (Final Push):
The last leg of the upward impulse, with prices rising from 2743 to 2786.
Momentum begins to weaken, and divergences on indicators like RSI or MACD might appear, suggesting exhaustion of the trend.
Current Market Outlook:
Trend Exhaustion:
The completion of Wave 5 at 2786 suggests that the bullish trend is nearing its end. The possibility of a trend reversal or a corrective move downward is high.
Potential Correction:
After the completion of the impulsive wave, an A-B-C corrective structure is likely to unfold.
Wave A could lead to an initial sell-off.
Wave B might be a temporary rebound or retracement.
Wave C would finalize the correction, potentially testing the 2661 level (Wave 1 origin).
Key Support Levels:
2743 (Wave 5 origin): The first major support.
2695 (Wave 3 origin): The second support level to watch for.
2661: A full retracement target if the correction deepens.
Resistance:
2786 (Wave 5 high) remains the key resistance level. A break above this might indicate an extension of the bullish trend.
Trading Signal:
Sell Entry: Upon confirmation of a break below 2743.
Targets:
First Target: 2710 (Wave 4 area).
Second Target: 2695 (Wave 3 origin).
Third Target: 2661 (Wave 1 origin).
Stop-Loss: Above 2786 to avoid risk from a potential upward extension.
Alternate Scenario:
If prices break and sustain above 2786, it could indicate the continuation of the bullish trend. Look for further upside toward 2800–2820.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to have completed its five-wave impulsive structure. The next likely scenario is a corrective A-B-C wave formation or a trend reversal. Monitor key levels and confirmation signals before executing trades.
GIGA Long Swing OpportunityMarket Context:
GIGA stands out as one of the strongest meme coins, holding within a major support zone despite market fluctuations. This support area offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio for a long swing trade.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $0.05 (support zone)
Take Profit Targets:
$0.071
$0.095
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.045
This trade leverages GIGA's resilience, with profit targets set at key resistance levels. Exercise disciplined risk management! 📈
Anticipated ZEN Drop Hits Target – Long Now?The anticipated drop I was watching has played out, providing excellent long setups across many coins, including ZEN. ZEN retraced perfectly to the POC at $17.07, aligning with the fib retracement 0.85
This confluence makes it an ideal long setup, offering great potential gains
Long Entry: $17.3
Target 1: $21 (R:R 2.5)
Target 2: $27 (R:R 6)
Bitcoin - 4H let's understand the where we are!Following the USA election, the crypto market experienced a significant rally, seemingly pricing in expectations around the Inauguration of Donald Trump. As the market has likely anticipated much of the impact from potential upcoming policies, we could see oscillations between sharp rises and falls in the coming days. A downward correction appears more probable as the immediate effects seem baked into current prices.
Technical Analysis: BINANCE:BTCUSDT broke out of a trading range, achieving its target with a ~9% rise, equivalent to the range's height.
The price hunted liquidity above the previous highs, which reinforces the possibility of a fall.
A decline from the current zone is likely, with key support zones highlighted on the chart.
📈 Watch for reaction near $102,600 and $100,100 zones.
💬 Like, follow, and comment for more timely market insights! 🚀
BTC - 1H Buy OpportunityBINANCE:BTCUSDT has been consolidating in a trading range for the past two days. As seen on the heat map, the price hunted liquidity below the range, making a strong case for a reversal. Now, BTC could target the liquidity above the trading range, which is spread across two key zones.
This setup indicates a bullish opportunity as the market moves toward these liquidity areas. Watch for price action confirmation and manage risk carefully when taking long positions.
Stay tuned for updates and trade wisely! 🚀
BTC: broadening wedge or channel retest? Bullish or bearish?There are three possible patterns in formation right now, two of the which would be bullish and one bearish. I'm not 100% on which one I'd pick so I'll present here the three cases.
right-angled broadening wedge (the bullish case):
- check the following links www.forex-central.net and www.centralcharts.com
In this case we should expect a dump to the 86K levels and then a bounce back to breakout and push price to 125K:
right-angled broadening wedge (the bearish case): see the previous links for the examples. In this case the wedge support wouldn't hold breaking down and bringing price to the 75K area. Notice that the upper resistance of the wedge shows alsoa double top which is a very bearish pattern:
descending channel retest: for this case I've used the coinbase's chart, it's just because the chart is less messy. As you can see the break out happened already days ago and this could be the retest of the previous R. This is a bullish case that would make price bounce to 109K
At the moment I don't know where to lean because my gut says market are overreacting to this AI fuss so I stay open to any possibility and I'm not doing any margin trade, just buying what I think has potential.
Good luck
Key to upcoming price action pathHere are 2024 September - November USDt rally metrics:
66 days, 4.6 Trillions volume.
The first sub wave of micro degree is 1.39 points or 20.85% length.
The third sub wave of micro degree is 2.32 points or 35.7%. Which led to +89% at BTC, from 52k to 99k.
The triangle in fourth position has 0.75 points - 16.77% min basement or 0.97 - 20.69% max height. Triangles usually precede the last wave in the direction of the main trend. The terminal point for this triangle may reach 3.15% dominance and last in approximately the next 80 days.
The dominance of USDt on RSI 2D TF signals a downward divergence.
I think the signal line could reach ~22% before meeting the support trend line and reversing. It is -18% from the current point.
These values coincide with trend lines on Bitcoin, about 155k, or +55% from the current point.
Dodgecoin in percentage terms does move about 2x further.
This is a third confirmation proving upcoming rise in all crypto assets.
keep in mind that there is always place for an alternative waves count, but i bet that the analysis results worth millions!
So, wish you safe trading, fat profits and see you again :)
Bitcoin TA Alert: Perfect $97K Long Setup Incoming?Bitcoin remains range-bound between $107K and $100K as we approach the weekend. Let’s break down the current key levels and trade setups based on the data available.
Support and Long Setup
The GETTEX:97K level emerges as a strong support zone for a long trade setup:
0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high aligns perfectly at GETTEX:97K
The POC (Point of Control) from the 70-day trading range also sits at this level, adding confluence
If the price reaches GETTEX:97K by Sunday or Monday, the trendline support will further strengthen this zone
A laddered long position can be placed around GETTEX:97K , with:
Stop-loss: Below $93K
Take Profit: around $113K
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4:1 - an attractive trade setup
Resistance and Short Setup
For the short trade setup, the current price around $106K offers an opportunity:
Enter a short trade targeting the GETTEX:97K level
Stop-loss: Above the all-time high (ATH) at $107K
Take Profit (TP): GETTEX:97K
R:R: 2:1 - reasonable given the tight risk management
DEEP Key Levels - Weekend Trade SetupsDEEP has been consolidating in a 6-day trading range and as we move into the weekend, lets look at the setups.
Short Trade Setup
Resistance Zone: The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement aligns with the POC of the 6-day range at $0.304, making it an ideal short entry
Target: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.208, where liquidity has built up below
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): This short offers an impressive 10:1 R:R if the setup plays out
Long Trade Setup
Support Zone: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.208 also serves as a key support level
Anchored VWAP from the recent highs provides additional support near this level
Stop Loss: Stop just below $0.195
Take Profit: TP at round 0.24
27/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $109,555.48
Last weeks low: $99,643.66
Midpoint: $104,599.57
A new Bitcoin ATH as President Trumps second term officially begins! Just shy of $110K with a much tighter range of $10k from range low to high leaves Bitcoin in a very interesting place going into what has been called the first "pro-crypto" administration.
Now the weekly close is an interesting one as there is a clear sell-off that has continued at time of writing bringing the price down below the weekly low. This has been a common theme in recent weeks as either a bearish SFP of the weekly high early in the week resulting in a sell-off for the remaining days. Or the opposite were a sweep of the weekly low early on results in a recover rally for the rest of the week. As of right now the later is in play but what is causing this sell-off this time?
The AI issue:
The recent headlines have been that the US wants to win the AI war and be the dominant force in what is possibly the most important product of the future. OpenAI, Grok, Meta etc all have AI products and services and the US government hope that by backing these companies the US can be the victors of this race. However, the game has changed with the release of "DeepSeek R1" a chinese AI competitor with some remarkable attributes that has the US stock market very worried as reflected in the pre-market.
DeepSeek R1 was reportedly built for $6m, now this is a Chinese company and therefor any numbers should be taken with a pinch of salt but OpenAI has raised $17.9B for ChatGPT and many now see DeepSeek as a superior product in many ways:
- Less GPU intensive due to a more efficient and streamlined model, this is mainly why NVIDIA pre-market is down 11% at time of writing, investors are seeing that perhaps US companies have overblown the demand for GPU's as the product they are making is not optimised in comparison.
- Considerably cheaper due to this streamlined approach, personally this is a symptom of how America has been operating as a nation since the pandemic, a severe lack of efficiency made up for by throwing insane amounts of capital at the problem with no thought as to where the money comes from (printed via QE & tax payer funding). DeepSeek just proved why Trumps planned approach of getting value for money and increasing efficiency is a winning formula, anything else is unsustainable.
- Open source code, we would expect the company called OpenAI that was founded on the basis of transparency and the mission to do good as a non-profit would be the product that has publicly available code, but no that would be DeepSeek... This further compounds just how out of touch the US based AI companies have got, the quest for revenue has taken over as the mission goal, which in the case of AI is very dangerous.
To conclude the AI problem, the Chinese AI product is cheaper, more efficient and more transparent that current US based products and that is why indirectly BTC took a tumble.
On the data news this week FOMC is on Wednesday, the forecast is for interest rates to remain unchanged however the volatility of FOMC often leads to interesting price action, this could be another reason for the sell-off as de-risking takes place.
For this week I am looking at using the chaos to find goo d long entries, I still think that Feb-March looks good until I have reason to think otherwise. Weekly low is a key S/R level that will determine by bias in the short term until then.
TL;DR
- DeepSeek R1 worrying investors of US AI companies as the Chinese AI product is far cheaper, more efficient and more transparent. US stocks down on pre-market.
- FOMC midweek, first of Trump admin, volatility expected.
- Weekly low key S/R level for BTC
VIRTUAL - A Long Opportunity or More Pain Ahead?VIRTUAL has dropped over 50% from its all-time high of $5.14, now trading around $2.50. A head and shoulders pattern has formed, with price currently testing the neckline, a bearish sign that could signal further downside. Let’s break down potential targets and trade setups.
Key Levels and Support Zone:
1.) POC from December 2024 Range:
Located at $1.67, a significant level from previous trading activity
2.) Anchored VWAP:
Taken from the lows, currently around $1.62, reinforcing the $1.66 zone as strong support
3.) Fibonacci Retracement (Log Scale):
The 0.382 Fib from the recent wave sits at $1.77, providing additional confluence for the support area
4.) Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension:
The 0.786 Fib aligns at $1.71, further strengthening the $1.70–$1.80 range as a reliable support zone
Trade Setups:
Short Setup:
Entry: $2.836 (Fib retracement 0.618 from the current downtrend)
Target: around $1.80
Stop Loss: Above $3
Risk-to-Reward: 5:1
Potential Drop: 30–40% from the entry level
Long Setup:
Entry: $1.70–$1.80 range
Target: Depends on confirmation and take profit areas. A realistic initial target could be around $2-$2.30
Stop Loss: Below $1.52
Risk-to-Reward: 2:1 or better depending on take profit strategy
XRP - Key Levels to WatchXRP recently broke its all-time high (ATH) from 2018, touching $3.317. This key resistance was fiercely defended by bears, offering a strong short opportunity on the first break. Now, after consolidating for over 10 days, let’s dive deeper into the key levels and confluences to plan trades.
Resistance Levels
All-Time High (ATH) - $3.317
Key resistance from the recent ATH breakout, strongly defended by bears
Support Levels and Confluence
Fibonacci Retracement: 0.618 retracement of the recent impulse wave aligns at $2.74078
Weekly Level: A strong weekly level at $2.75 provides further support
Daily Level: The daily level at $2.72763 lies within the support zone
Swing High from the Previous Trading Range: The December 2024 swing high at $2.725 adds more confluence
Volume Profile (VAH): Value Area High (VAH) of the previous trading range aligns with the support zone
Fibonacci Speed Fan: The 0.618 speed fan intersects at $2.7, depending on the timing (late January to early February)
Pitchfork: While not plotted, it aligns closely with this zone, further supporting the level
Support Zone: $2.75-$2.71
Short Trade Setup
The first short opportunity arose at the ATH of $3.317, providing an excellent risk-to-reward ratio. If missed, another short trade setup can still be executed at the current price:
Entry: Enter at the current price
Stop Loss: Above $3.29
Take Profit: $2.80
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 2:1
Long Trade Setup
Entry: Ladder longs between $2.75 and $2.71
Stop Loss: Below $2.63
Take Profit: $2.95
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3:1 or better
XLM - Will XLM Find Strength or Stumble?XLM has been in a downtrend for the past 10 days after rejecting from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance. The price action shows lower highs and lower lows with no significant volume, signaling a potential continuation of the trend. Let’s identify the key support and resistance zones and possible trade setups.
Support Zone
A strong support zone lies between $0.3725 and $0.3695 based on multiple confluences:
Monthly Level: At $0.3725
Anchored VWAP: From the very low, the VWAP aligns with the monthly level
Fibonacci Retracement: Drawing the fib retracement from the year’s low to the recent high, the 0.75 Fibonacci level lies at $0.3695
Resistance Zone
Key Level: Price data highlights $0.435 as a significant S/R zone
Fibonacci Retracement: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the current wave aligns with the key level
Short Trade Setup
Entry: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement/key level at around $0.435
Stop Loss: Above the previous high
Take Profit: Target the support zone at round $0.3725
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4.5
Long Trade Setup (on confirmation)
Entry: Long position between the support zone of $0.3725 and $0.3695
Stop Loss: 3% SL
Take Profit: around 0.39/0.4
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 2 or better
ETH Rejected at POC – Bears Eye $3000 againOver the past two days, Ethereum struggled to maintain momentum above the Point of Control (POC) of the current range. Price action formed wicks above the POC but closed below, signaling clear rejection at this level.
Key Support Zone
The $3000 area holds significant support, bolstered by several confluences:
Fibonacci Levels: The 0.786 fib retracement ($3045) aligns with the old 0.618 fib retracement ($3025)
4H Bullish Block: A strong demand zone on the 4-hour timeframe supports this level
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: 1:1 extension lines up perfectly with the 0.618 fib retracement
Psychological Level: The round number at $3000 adds psychological strength to this support
Short Setup:
Entry: POC of the range
Stop Loss: Above the recent high
Take Profit: $3000 zone
Risk-Reward: 3:1, offering a solid trade opportunity
Long Setup (Confirmation Needed):
Entry: Between $3025–$3000, upon bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below $2900
Take Profit: open
Skyrexio | Scared Already? The Worst Is Coming!Hello, Skyrexians!
First of all we want you to make calm: BINANCE:BTCUSDT is still in huge bull run and $140k target is still actual. The main question, how it plans to reach this level. Now we have two scenarios and one of them you will now like.
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. The bad signal are two red dots at the top on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . It could be waves 3 and 5. In this case impulse of higher degree is finished and market is entering the major correction. If our assumption about bull run continuation is right, BTC usually tends to reach 0.38 Fibonacci level. Now this level is at $80k. This is the worst scenario. After that $140k is reachable target.
We also have not so painful scenario. Price now is at the local Fibonacci level. If $96k is going to be hold we can see the extended wave 5, which will reach $140 in the nearest future.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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