Thoughts on a BTC correction. DailyGap is there. linear regression channel support. L4ish on monthly. Decreasing volume with growing sell volume. PPO reading top. so is my TKE occilator over it. and the daily fisher transform seems to be flipping and its be at the 2nd deviation for a minute. and the red + sign is a daily wave trend cross.
Also since we are losing monthly H3 the typical camarilla pivot play would be to fade for other side of range
Btc-short
Is It *Finally* Time to Short BTC?A downward channel appears to have formed on the daily chart. Whereas $10,000 to $10,500 was the previous and impregnable resistance, bulls seem to have backed off. $9500 is the new $10k, and price seems to have tarried in the $9150 to $9400 range, which previously looked like a neutral zone between bears and bulls. At the moment, we are rejecting off that $9150 on the daily. There is much resistance below $9k, and price could well go sideways for a while, BUT July has not been a good month for BTC in the past, and the drive past $10k seems to have petered out. A short position bought into between $9150 and $9500 may pay off in the near term. Targets start at $8800, then $8500. If $8500 breaks, possible stops at $8200 and $7700 would follow. If $7700 breaks, we might be in for a monster crash. Will update as and if we approach that level. The white ellipse corresponds to the first three days of July, and at the time of posting, look interesting as a potential break point for BTC below $8700.
Let me know if you are following along and how your trade goes.
3 SCEANRIOS WITH LONG TERM BULLISH BIAS - YOU DECIDE 10500 is a historical resistance that we've already been rejected from.
7800 - 8100 is needed in order for the structural integrity to be maintained in a healthy way.
Ever since 10k we've slowly bled all the way to 9k (where we're currently stuck under 9300 and above 8800 support.
In my view of perspective, market makers & exchanges cooperate with each other in order to push price up higher to trap new traders into thinking it'll break the 10k historical resistance. Is this still possible? OF COURSE. Is this the trade I'd take? Nope, I'd rather wait til 10000 held on a daily candle before even considering bullish bias.
It's easier for whales to dump the price $1400 to $7800 then it would be to break the historical resistance at 10500.(where my bias is originating from)
In conclusion, I've created 3 scenarios for price action to lead towards. Why?
I want you guys to read the chart and make your own bias! I'm here to create the visuals to help you see key area's.
BUT it's your job as traders to do what works for you!
Either see you guys below 9000 or above 9300.