Btc-short
BTC ShortMy $BTC Trade Plan via Butterfly Harmonics bearish pattern (4H TF). Confirmed point B precise retracement to Fib 0.786 (Fib ret XA). Short $BTC to 19K-18.5K. Long, at the bounce within Fib 0.618-0.786 (Leg C), to Fib 1.272 (Fib ext AX). Once Leg D is formed, short $BTC from that point again. Invalid if current price moves above point B. Butterfly Pattern invalid if price retraced lower than Fib 0.786 (Fib ret AB). Thank you :) BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC Short Position Levels to look forThese are the levels I am watching for over the next couple weeks. At Yellow marked levels I expect to see some leveling out in lower accumulation prices. Eyeing 14k after 18k.
Hoping this helps some make sight of the larger macro downtrend picture.
Overall 14k is where I believe ETH and BTC will start to see each other in a closer price match.
BTC will bottom at 12k, accumulation 12k and 19k, 2025 135kIf we break 20k and flip it to resistance then we will indeed go to 12k levels, where there is big support.
This is possible from fundamental analysis
1. more rate hikes for about three quarters
2. stock market has not bottomed out, there is support coming in, though
3. borrow protocols like celsius and 3ac who needs to be liquidated
4. 4 year cycle respected
Adam and Eve inverted pattern is also very strong, don't underestimate it
BITCOIN QUO VADIS ? TO 12,000 !You are probably wandering HOW FAR WILL BTC FALL ?? WHERE WILL IT STOP ?
Or as the name of a classic HISTORICAL movie "QUO VADIS ?"
There's some HISTORICAL FACT to give us the answer.
The previous bottom was at about 3500 $ while the MAXIMUM stood at 19,197 $.
Thus THE RATIO of
MAXIMUM / MINIMUM = 5.485
As the present MAXIMUM was 66,000 $ dividing it by the above RATIO gives the
PROJECTED MINIMUM = 12,033 $
This is again a conservative estimate, that UNDERESTIMATES the DELEVERAGING of the MARKET.
As we all know the post-corona economy has received HUGE STIMULUS resulting now in strong DELEVERAGING, and RETURN TO BASE.
As to historical analysis - Remember, those that don't learn from HISTORY are bound to repeat it.
BTC LOGARITHIMIC CHART EXT./RETRACEMENTExtension/Part 2 of my BTC's Logarithmic Chart. Looking at past retracement pattern we see btc retraces 30-40% after every bull market, so if we follow that btc's bottom will be 20k or more, but for that we might need a push back upwards, above the 70k range, around 80k which can be possible if we get a reversal from this current consolidating range, but keeping the macro economic conditions in place a 50% or more retracement is quite possible