Wild S&P Nonsensery Who could have guessed markets would rally in an ocean of bad news:
Worse than expected CPI
Worse than expected PCE
Worse than expected Chicago PMI
Joblessness Rising
Missed Earnings
Q2 GDP Contraction in Recession
Collapsing Home and Auto Sales
Who knew you could miss earnings, lose millions in revenue and your stock price rallies like Microsoft, Boeing, and Google. BestBuy which is a horrible performer in economic downturn also slashed guidance and their stock price rallied 10%. This market has become an utter joke and its pure manipulation due to QE and Buy Backs. At this point, I'm bullish. The more the bad news, the higher the market goes.
Targets for S&P
- 4209
- 4293
- 4340
If we break the dotted yellow line, we could see this going up towards the 4300 mark to the MA of 4350ish. If WWIII gets announced, I suspect this will rally to well over 7,000 or higher. There is no danger of a double top either at 4200, that is now a myth. Recession is a myth. Americans are actually FLUSHED with cash and prices aren't high enough and things in the US couldn't be better.
BTC-USD
BTC and the DXYOvernight as the DXY strengthened massively, Bitcoin fell to retest the support level of 22,000. Hence, again highlighting the relationship between BTC and DXY.
Bitcoin has become a popular alternative investment option that has garnered the attention of traders worldwide.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index ( DXY ) remains a crucial benchmark for the strength of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies.
Although Bitcoin and the DXY may seem unrelated at first glance, there is evidence of a negative correlation between the two.
One reason for this correlation is that Bitcoin is often viewed as a hedge against inflation and a safe haven asset in times of economic uncertainty. As the value of the US dollar weakens due to inflation or other factors, investors may turn to Bitcoin as a store of value.
Additionally , monetary policy decisions made by the Federal Reserve can have a significant effect on the value of the US dollar. When interest rates are low, investors may seek higher returns in alternative investments, such as Bitcoin. On the other hand, when interest rates are high, investors may prefer to hold US dollars, leading to a positive correlation between the DXY and Bitcoin.
Lastly , another factor influencing the correlation between the DXY and Bitcoin is the increasing use of Bitcoin as a means of payment and store of value in countries experiencing economic turmoil. In these cases, a weaker local currency may drive demand for Bitcoin as a more stable alternative, leading to a negative correlation between the DXY and Bitcoin.
So, how can traders make use of this information?
One way is to monitor the DXY and Bitcoin charts and look for signs of correlation or divergence. For example, if the DXY is showing signs of strength, traders may consider reducing their Bitcoin positions or even shorting Bitcoin. Conversely, if the DXY is showing weakness, traders may want to increase their Bitcoin positions or go long on Bitcoin.
Furthermore, traders can also use technical indicators, such as moving averages and Relative Strength Index (RSI), to identify potential trend reversals in the DXY or Bitcoin.
By combining technical analysis with an understanding of the correlation between the DXY and Bitcoin, traders could make more informed investment decisions.
Ultimately, the negative correlation between the DXY and Bitcoin is a crucial relationship that traders should monitor. And by understanding the factors that influence this correlation, traders can make informed investment decisions and adjust their strategies as market conditions change.
Bitcoin Outlook 7th March 2023Following the news that Silvergate Capital Corp suspended its crypto payments network and expressed doubts over the viability of its business, Bitcoin and most other crypto currencies crash to trade significantly lower.
Before the news, Bitcoin was trading slightly above the 23,400 price level with market expectations that the price could reach 25,000.
However, Bitcoin broke below the 23,000 support level to trade down to the 22,000 support level following the Silvergate news.
Currently consolidating along the 22,500 price level, it is more likely that Bitcoin could see further downside, especially if the price breaks out of the consolidation to the downside.
Beyond 22,000, the next key support level is at 21,400.
BTCUSD Potential Forecast | 3rd March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. Cryptocurrency movement continues to be muted.
2. Bitcoin have a long way to retrace further.
Technical Confluences
1. Price has rejected off a H4 area of resistance.
2. Strong bearish momentum ensued.
3. Currently price is flirting the H4 level of support at 22500.
4. Price have potential to come lower to the next H4 level of support at 21400.
5. Price is resting well below the ichimoku cloud, signifying bearish intent.
Idea
Looking for short positions to enter into the market to take price down to the H4 level of support at 21400.
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BTCUSD Potential for Bullish Rise to recent swing high Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSD is bullish. As there is an ascending trend line, expect the price may head back to retest at the ascending trend line, before it goes up. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 22816.75 where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is, take profit at 25174.19 where the recent overlap swing high is. and stop loss at 22055.12 where the overlap support is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
BTCUSD Futures ( BTCUSD ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: BTCUSD Futures ( BTCUSD ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 25270.00
Pivot: 23815.00
Support: 21376.00
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSD is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a possible shift to bearish market structure. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to drop from the pivot at 23815.00 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line and overlap resistance is and continue heading down towards the support at 21376.00 where the previous swing low was. It’s worth noting that there is an intermediate support at 21939.00 which price might struggle to break through.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back up towards the resistance line at 25270.00 where the recent high is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
BTCUSD Potential for Bearish Drop | 27th February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSD is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a possible shift to bearish market structure. Looking for a sell entry at 23815.00 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line and overlap resistance is. Stop loss will be at 25270.00, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 21376.00 where the previous swing low was. It’s worth noting that there is an intermediate support at 21939.00 which price might struggle to break through.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
You all ready for thisLets talk about a healthy market. In a healthy market we cant expect 100% all the time what goes up must come down.
I could be posting this to have the market prove me wrong, by watching what i post and going the opposite way.
but with such a strong increase we almost want bears to come out and take this down a notch only so we can watch the bull market fire back.
one of my favorite videos is listed in this link about bitcoin.
click it or dont click it but its pretty damn funny and the way of the market
www.youtube.com
same video with the share link
youtu.be
BTCUSD Futures ( BTCUSD0 ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: BTCUSD Futures ( BTCUSD0 ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 28972.4
Pivot: 25359.0
Support: 23864.4
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSD0 is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to rise from the pivot at 25359.0 and continue heading down towards the overlap resistance at 28972.4
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to retest the support line at 23864.4 which is the overlap support and 38.2% Fibonacci line.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
BTCUSD Potential Bullish Rise to Overlap resistanceLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSD is bullish. As there is an ascending trend line, expect the price could possibly head up to the recent overlap resistance. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 23393.69 where the 50% Fibonacci line is, take profit at 25206.78 where the recent overlap swing high is, and stop loss at 22834.51 where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
BTCUSD Futures ( BTCUSD ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: BTCUSD Futures ( BTCUSDT ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 228990.4
Pivot: 25299.4
Support: 23854.8
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSDT is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to rise from the pivot at 25299.4 and continue heading down towards the overlap resistance at 28990.4
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to retest the support line at 23854.8 which is the overlap support and 38.2% Fibonacci line.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
BTCUSD Potential For Bullish Rise to overlap resistanceLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. Looking for a buy stop entry at 25270.00, where the recent high is to ride the bullish momentum. Stop loss will be at 23815.00, where the overlap support is. Take profit will be at 28686.37 where the overlap resistance is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
BTCUSD Futures ( BTCUSD ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: BTCUSD Futures ( BTCUSD ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 228990.4
Pivot: 25299.4
Support: 23854.8
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to rise from the pivot at 25299.4 and continue heading down towards the overlap resistance at 28990.4
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to retest the support line at 23854.8 which is the overlap support and 38.2% Fibonacci line.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
BTCUSD Potential For Bullish Rise to overlap resistanceLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Looking for a buy stop entry at 25270.00, where the recent high is to ride the bullish momentum. Stop loss will be at 23815.00, where the overlap support is. Take profit will be at 28686.37 where the overlap resistance is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
BTC 21'500 nextyesterday we created a CHoCH and now we came back up to our OB.
In the NYC session we created a BOS and now we waiting for BTC to come up to 24'800 and then we can see the price moving down to 21'500
What do you guys think?
Please leave a like and comment what you think! Thanks and have a great Weekend!
BTCUSD Futures ( BTCUSD ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: BTCUSD Futures ( BTCUSD ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 23563.5
Pivot: 22761.0
Support: 21416.5
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect the price to retrace and retest from the pivot at 22616.58 and continue heading up toward the overlap resistance at 25216.69.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down towards the support line at 21515.36 where the recent swing low is.
Fundamentals: There is no major news.
BTCUSD Potential For Bullish Rise to overlap resistanceLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 22896.54, where the overlap support and 23.6% Fibonacci line are. Stop loss will be at 21635.17, where the recent low and 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 25152.46 where the overlap swing high is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
BTCUSD Potential for Bullish Rise to 61.8% Retracement Level Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSD is bearish. As there is an ascending trend line, expecting the price could possibly head up to the 1st resistance at 24234.83, looking for a buy entry at 24998.73. take profit at 29159.36 where the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement is, stop loss place at 22491.32.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.