Btc-usdt
USDTUSD@coinbase as Short Term Gauge for BTCUSDT@binance dear fellows,
we've recently identified a leading to coincident relationship between BTCUSDT@binance and USDTUSD@coinbase.
although they do not always match, BTCUSDT tends to converge to USDTUSD in a matter of hours, when there is a gap, and follow it closely or soon after, otherwise.
we've observed that new lows or new highs in USDTUSD are indications of immediate revisiting tops and bottoms in BTCUSDT.
thank you and best regards.
BTC Bullish 10 14 2022If you love the spot-on analysis done so far, please boost, share, comment, and follow for more.
Analysis:
On the 3 min charts, BTC 3 confirmation occurred at around $19,350. This implies a current oversold condition. Furthermore, 5 min chart was observed to see if conditions were met there, and they were.
The condition we are looking for is the gold moving average between the center fibs, and above the purple moving average. For safekeeping, one can also wait for a 2-candle confirmation on the 5 minutes chart above the yellow moving average and a 3-candle confirmation above the lower dotted fib line on the 3 min chart. This will be the safest oversold position.
based on this analysis, we should expect around 1.5% to 2% upward movement for BTC from this point. if you are really bullish, a 4% bullish move is within the realm of possibility between today and tomorrow.
Baseline Information:
The strategy used for this analysis takes into account the following factors:
Timeframe: 3min and 5 min
Symbols: BTCUSDT , ETHUSDT , BTCDOWN, and ETHDOWN
Exchange: Binance
Indicators: For obvious reasons, precise indicators names can not be provided, but this analysis makes use of VWAP, moving averages, and Fib charts.
Chart Count: 8
Disclaimer:
The information and publications are not meant to be or constitute financial, investment, trading, or other advice or recommendations.
ETHW BOTTOM IS IN! NEXT RUN UP ABOUT TO START, ALL ABOARD!ETHW looks like its about to make its next run up. This will be wave 3 and the previous high around $14 will be a blip on the chart. I can see ETHW running to about $40 on this next run and possibly higher depending on how much attention it receives. I think the bottom was around $7.60 like I predicted in my previous chart which was major support. Invalidation of this idea would be a break of $7.50 and a close on at least a 4 hour. If that happens then I would expect a move down to next support around $5 with wicks down to about $4. At that point we will revisit and re-evaluate. I dont think this will happen though, I think ETHW has found its bottom on this wave 2 correction. This is not trading or financial advice this is just my opinion. Thank you and if you like my work, please support me by giving me a boost and follow me. Good luck out there everyone.
This was my previous charts showing the move that was just completed.
BTC Between MA21 and MA50 (Day TF) - Good Chance for LONGHello, I am Tommy.
I am using a Naked-Chart! It's very easy to follow.
BTC is moving between MA21 and MA50 (of Timeframe Day). The price is currently at a slight support area ~ 19,5xx
In my experience, when the price enters this area (between the MA21 and MA50) from below both lines, and not for the first time, there is a high probability that the price will touch and tend to break out of the MA50.
> Our first target will be at the MA50 for a long position.
> Entry at 19,500
> STL: 19,100 (Day candle closes below MA21)
Happy trading!
BTCUSDT LONG @20750 SL18750 TP27750BTC is around 20300 USD right now. This is also 8W MA level.
The price is about to break the 67k-17k downtrend.
If and only if, BTC goes above 20750 USD in the coming 2 days, then I'll take a long position, by expecting BTC to go around 28K fibonacci level.
#Long @20750
SL: 18750
TP1: 24750
TP2: 27750
RR will be around 2.75-3.
New Crypto Millionaires are almost ready to be bornA finfluencer said today on his Instagram reels: 'On the topic of Bitcoin dominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) I really dislike this metric. I don't think that is very relevant any more. The reason why I say is that because 1. it includes stable coins, which stable coins have an enourmous market cap and continue to grow as market matures. The issue with including all altcoins is that is very easy to create new ones that don't necessarily have any true value but they get included in the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D calculation thus lowering it despite not actually making any major difference'.
I was curious and felt challenged. What I have found out was similar to Einstein's Eureka moment. The claim is that USDT market cap ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT ) plays a significant part in CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D but it gives an distorted image. I distracted CRYPTOCAP:USDT from CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to see till what extent there is a relation by using their relative strengthness.
There is not much data and because it probably happens in every Bitcoin cycle only, next conclusions I can draw:
1. if CRYPTOCAP:USDT crosses up CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and maybe as 2. condition at the same time BTC price crosses up EMA 21, you can start hodling;
2. as long as the CRYPTOCAP:USDT remain above CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D no need to panic as long as you are a day trader: every time BTC price close below EMA 21 you can take profit on your spot position and/or consider short and every time price close above EMA 21 you can buy spot and/or consider long position;
3. if CRYPTOCAP:USDT crosses down CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D you stop/continue hodling and/or consider a short position;
4. as long as the CRYPTOCAP:USDT remain below CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and the BTC price hits EMA 21, consider this as to open short position;
5. if the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is decreasing below 50% level and the BTC price is increasing and remains above EMA 21 (see arrows): the best moments to create altcoin baskets.
Hopefully the history will repeat!
Weekly Analyze of the Crypto Investing in September, 2022
Date: Sep 26,2022- Sep 30, 2022
This week, the cryptocurrency market continued its weak and volatile trend, and the trend reciprocated many times.
BTC’s weekly line is under pressure from the trending average. If we refer to the trend of the same period in 18 years, such a narrow range must be sorted out before going out of the bigger market. The daily line is near the end of the triangle convergence pattern, fluctuating in the low zone, and maintaining a weak rebound above 18000-18500. Otherwise, there is another drop. The support range is 17500-18000, and the resistance range is 20500-21000.
ETH is expected to close a non-trend repair K-line similar to last week with a small entity with upper and lower shadows this week, with a critical range of 1420-1450. The daily line has received dojis one after another, and the horizontal consolidation is within the range of 1250-1350. It is expected to get rid of the weakness after the breakthrough. The support range is 1150-1200, and the pressure range is 1450-1500.
Vtrading is a crypto trading platform providing smart coin trading strategies for every trader. If you are using Vtrading smart crypto trading bots, the Grid and Martin strategy are suggested for spot market, and the SMT strategy for futures market.
(All for reference only, plz invest rationally)
US500, DXY, USDT.D, BTC Analysis To Feel The Market!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for US500, DXY, USDT.D and BTC.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
LUNA CLASSIC LUNC > CZ BINANCE PRICE MANIPULATION > BURNS MATH!Hello everyone. So this morning CZ from Binance came out in a tweet and said that he would burn all the transaction fees from LUNA spot and margin trading. Now lets look at this for a minute. So first CZ tweeted he would support the burns making everyone think that he was going to implement the 1.2% burn on all the transactional volume on Binance, the price rocketed up. Then he came out and said he would not support the off chain burns and only the on chain burns, then LUNA dumped. Then he came out in an AMA and said he wouldnt be doing the 1.2% burn on the trading volume one more time, because for some reason there was alot of confusion about it, then the price dumped a little more. Then he came out and said the same day he would implement a feature to opt in to the burn tax for any trader who wanted to and then the price pumped a little. Then as LUNA came all the way down to the .618 around .00018 and Binance tweeted again this morning at 5:30 AM EST saying he was going to implement a burn mechanism to burn all the trading fees from LUNA trading and the price went up more than 50 percent in an hour. Shorts got liquidated and now on the drop Longs will be liquidated too.
So I did the math for you all so you can see how big of a deal or not a big deal this extra burn of the trading fees is
Average volume of Binance for LUNA currently is about 1 Billion daily. The total trading volume across all exchanges is an average of 2 Billion daily for now. This wont always be like this. The hype will eventually die down and the trading volume will diminish dramatically, maybe to at most 1 Billion daily across all exchanges. Now for the math, Im going to even look ahead and assume that all exchanges trading LUNA will follow Binance and Im going to round up the trading fee percentage to .2% although Binance is only .12%, because some exchanges may charge more.
2,000,000,000 x .2% = $4,000,000
$4,000,000 / PRICE OF LUNA = TOKENS BURNED
PRICE TOKENS BURNED DAILY BY ALL EXCHANGES
.0003 = 13,400,000,000
.0004 = 10,000,000,000
.0005 = 8,000,000,000
.0006 = 6,700,000,000
.0007 = 5,700,000,000
.0008 = 5,000,000,000
.0009 = 4,450,000,000
Lets do this with one less zero
.001 = 4,000,000,000
.002 = 2,000,000,000
.003 = 1,340,000,000
Lets do this with 2 less zeros
.01 = 400,000,000
Now he said that the first set of burns is from 9/21 to 10/1 thats 10 days
BINANCE SPECIFIC BURNING FOR THIS TIME PERIOD
.12% FEE ON TRADES AVERAGE
1 BILLION DAILY VOLUME AVERAGE
THAT'S 40 BILLION LUNA TOKENS BURNED IN 10 DAYS BY BINANCE
SOUNDS LIKE ALOT HUH? ITS NOT!
AS THE PRICE OF THE TOKEN GOES UP THE AMOUNT OF BURNS WILL BE MUCH LESS. ALSO THE VOLUME WILL NOT ALWAYS BE 2 BILLION DAILY ACROSS ALL EXCHANGES. THIS VOLUME WILL EVENTUALLY DROP TO MAYBE A BILLION TRADING VOLUME DAILY. AT THE CURRENT PRICE AND WITH JUST BINANCE BURNING THEIR TRADING FEES AND THE ON CHAIN BURN WE WILL BURN ABOUT 6 BILLION TOKENS DAILY.
SO TO BURN 90% OF THE SUPPLY WHICH IS 5.4 TRILLION TOKENS AT THE CURRENT RATE OF 6 BILLION TOKENS BURNED DAILY (WHICH WILL DROP DRAMATICALLY ONCE PRICES INCREASE) IT WOULD TAKE 900 DAYS. NOW THAT IS ASSUMING THAT THE BURNS WOULD BURN 6 BILLION A DAY WHICH IS NOT THE CASE, AND THAT WOULD STILL LEAVE 600 BILLION TOKENS WHICH WOULD BE THE ABSOLUTE BEST CASE FOR $1, BUT VERY VERY DOUBTFUL. EVERY TIME THE PRICE DOUBLES THE BURN NUMBERS GET CUT IN HALF. SO AT .0006 LIKE I SHOW ABOVE LUNA WOULD ONLY BE BURNING 3 BILLION A DAY, AT .0012 LUNA WOULD BE BURNING 1.5 BILLION A DAY AND SO ON AND SO FORTH .
SO HERE IS THE CONCLUSION. IF EVERY EXCHANGE IMPLEMENTS THE TRANSACTION FEE BURN, AND LUNA CONTINUES TO HAVE 2 BILLION DOLLAR TRADING VOLUME THEN IT WOULD STILL TAKE APPROXIMATELY 3000 DAYS TO BURN 5.4 TRILLION COINS.
THAT'S ALMOST 10 YEARS AND REALISTICALLY IT WOULD TAKE MUCH LONGER, AS VOLUME DECREASED AND PRICE INCREASED.
ALSO THATS ASSUMING THAT BINANCE WILL KEEP THIS GOING INDEFINITELY WHICH I DOUBT AS WELL. NO ONE WANTS TO THROW AWAY 4 MILLION A DAY IN FEES. HES DOING THIS FOR HIS OWN AGENDA. HES MADE MULTIPLE BILLIONS MORE OFF PUMPING AND GOING LONG AND DUMPING AND SHORTING WITH THIS COIN THAN HE EVER WOULD HAVE MADE SELLING HIS STASH AT THE TOP WHICH WAS WORTH 1.6 BILLION I BELIEVE. HES MAKING 10S OF BILLIONS OF DOLLARS MANIPULATING LUNA WITH HIS TWEETS, TAKING EVEN MORE FROM INVESTORS THAT ALREADY LOST A LOT ON THIS THING. LUCKILY I WAS NOT ONE OF THEM, BUT I FEEL FOR EVERYONE WHO HAS, AND I AM SORRY YOU HAD TO GO THROUGH THAT. DON'T GO THROUGH IT AGAIN THOUGH WITH THIS HYPE TRAIN, PUMP AND DUMP.
THIS BURN IS STILL NOT ENOUGH IN THE GRAND SCHEME OF THINGS. ALSO UST IS STILL DE-PEGGED AND NO ONE IS BUILDING ON TOP OF LUNA AT THE MOMENT. THERE IS NO REAL USE CASE FOR THIS OTHER THAN A HYPED UP PUMP AND DUMP. I USED TO THINK LUNA WAS GOING PLACES BUT I REALLY THINK THAT IT WAS JUST A PUMP AND DUMP BY DO KWON IN THE BEGINNING AND NOW CZ OF BINANCE IS PUMPING AND DUMPING IT AS WELL. THOSE TWO SHOULD HAVE A JAIL CELL TOGETHER WITH ONE BED!
MY STRATEGY IS TO TRADE THIS UP AND DOWN BECAUSE THERE IS A TON OF LIQUIDITY AND VOLATILITY . I DO NOT USE LEVERAGE WITH VOLATILE TOKENS LIKE THIS EVER! ITS A VERY RISKY STRATEGY SO DO SO WITH CAUTION BECAUSE WILD PRICE SWINGS ARE EXPECTED FOR A WHILE.
So for the price action short term. I think the hype will die down again once people realize this burn is just a drop in the bucket. My targets are .00026, and then .000235 before another run up
If LUNA can rally up to .00035 with strength then we may see a run to previous highs, perhaps for a double top , I do not think LUNA has started a new bull rally to new all time highs. I don't think this will happen though I'm leaning more towards the bearish case because essentially nothing has changed as far as how long it would take to burn the tokens. This is just a suckers rally and boy are there a lot of suckers out there. Jokers coming out of the woodwork again screaming $1 LUNA with no idea of how to do math.
THIS IS NOT TRADING OR FINANCIAL ADVICE THIS IS JUST MY OPINIONS AND SPECULATIONS
LUNA CLASSIC LUNAC Breaking News For LUNA! BINANCE NO BURNS!There was a live AMA just a few minutes ago with CZ of Binance. He just smashed everyone's hopes of off chain burns, and Luna is now dumping. No trader in their right mind would ever trade Luna with that type of burn. Cant steal from Peter to pay Paul. I told you guys this would happen, and if I was you and I was still holding bags, then I would take profits now before Luna dumps down to .00008 and everything is lost. There will be heavy selling coming soon. Once Luna breaks .0002 then everyone will get scared and dump at the same time. Luna burning at the rate its burning now on chain will take 20 years to burn down to 10 billion. If CZ of Binance is not going to support the off chain burns then no one with any decent volume will either. Hype is over, time to move on to the next hype coin!
We broke support and next support is down at .00014 on the 4 hour and then .000085. I hope everyone is able to take some profits before this thing hits the floor. They should have named this coin TERROR LUNA for how much its terrorizing people. I wish you all the best of luck. This is not trading advice, this is just my opinions and speculations. Thank you
ETHW & ETC AWESOME FRACTAL! MIGHT WANNA LOAD UP ON ETHWI went back to when Ethereum Classic originally forked from Ethereum back in the day and wanted to see what the price action was like then to see if I could compare it to the new fork ETHW . What do you know the fractal looks eerily similar just on different time frames. Might be a good potential long here on ETHW . This is not trading or financial advice this is just my opinion. Thank you
DGB DIGIBYTE About To Run 500% BULLISH DIVERGENCE RSI+MACD $.042Digibyte has corrected more than 90% since its high at 18 cents. I think DGB has hit its bottom and is about to explode. There is 3 drives of Bullish divergence on the RSI and MACD going all the way back to January on the daily. I think $.042 cents will be the shorter term target with potential longer term targets much higher if we break past resistance there. A wick to about 5 cents is easily possible as well. Don't forget DGB is one of the only actually decentralized, longest running, advanced POW coins out there with privacy features, and is 40x faster than bitcoin. Its mining is super efficient and can be mined with 5 different methods, making it possible for more people to mine with their rigs. Digibyte came out in early 2014 and DGB break in has just finished, its time for it to shine. The world will realize how important POW is once they see what happens with ETH POS. Digibyte has done amazing work over the years and even all through this massive multi year bear market it has been in. I would say that DGB is in an accumulation zone now and wont go much lower if at all lower. In a perfect world it would be BTC, LTC, DGB as the main 3, for everything! This is not financial or trading advice this is just my opinions and speculations.
IF YOU APPRECIATE MY WORK THEN PLEASE LIKE AND FOLLOW. COMMENT BELOW AND LET ME KNOW WHERE YOU THINK DIGIBYTE IS HEADED IN THE FUTURE. LETS SPECULATE TOGETHER. GOOD LUCK MY FRIENDS
BULLISH DIVERGENCE ON THE MACD:
BULLISH DIVERGENCE ON RSI:
VOLATILITY INCREASING ON BBWP:
SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ON THE 4 HOUR: