BTCUSDT - fractal from ATH I think this is a classic pattern now, and we are repeating the situation in the same price range that we had half a year ago when the ATX was forming. That is, we will not update the high or will do it a little bit, and after that we will go to the zone of 93 thousand plus minus and from there will be a significant reversal to 102 thousand, after that it is difficult to predict what will happen next. Either strongly down or strongly up, until then we can safely work on the fractal and after that I will give an update of the idea.
BTC
19/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $105,46
Last weeks low: $100,751.75
Midpoint: $103,372.10
In my weekly outlook post from last week I mentioned how there was a clear pattern of consolidation with a tight range for a week with a week of expansion that followed, and that if the pattern were to continue we would see BTC consolidate around the weekly high. The theory was proven correct on this occasion with a tight range between weekly high and the 0.75 line, as theorized with only momentary dips below the 0.75 line. Now if the pattern were to continue this week would be expansion week, but for me this time it's slightly different as BTC approaches ATH there is a massive level of resistance just above this weeks weekly high. We've seen an initial early attempt to breakout above weekly high and that attempt has so far failed quite aggressively, which leads me to believe there will be volatility this week as both bulls and bears contest this very important area of the chart.
For the bulls maintaining momentum and breaking into price discovery with acceptance above $109,000 would be incredibly, the headlines will read new ATH, FOMO kicks in and retail follows etc, we know the drill. For the bears the objective is to hold the line and reject weekly high ($106,000) at all costs and print a strong SFP and unfortunately this does seem viable with $97,000 being the target area IMO. RSI on the daily is around the overbought level, combined with key resistance level a pullback would make sense.
For me this week I want to see how ETH and other major alts react to any pullback, do they get bought up with purpose? Is the structure strong to maintain this move or is this a HTF lower high? An interesting week coming up I'm sure.
Good luck this week!
HolderStat┆BTCUSD channel grind toward 110 kCRYPTOCAP:BTC price has stair-stepped out of March’s strong consolidation triangle and is now travelling inside a neat rising channel. Each mini flag has resolved higher, with the latest squeeze holding the mid-line near 102 k. As long as that trend-line underbelly and the diagonal support from April lows remain intact, bulls retain control and can probe the 108-110 k supply zone highlighted on the chart. Only a daily close back inside the lower rail would threaten the current bullish momentum.
BTC/USDT Breakout Signals Bullish Continuationhello guys!
BTC/USDT broke out of a symmetrical triangle on the 1H chart, signaling a bullish continuation. Price is currently around $105,471, with a projected move toward the $106,500 resistance zone. A retest of the breakout area ($104,500–$104,800) is possible before further upside.
BITCOIN forming 1st 1D Golden Cross in 7 months! New ATH ahead??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to form its first Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame in 7 months (since October 27 2024). This comes with the price very close to its $109k All Time High (ATH), following a relentless rebound and recovery from the Trade War correction.
Within the Bull Cycle's 2.5-year Channel Up, all 1D Golden Crosses have delivered higher prices instantly and the minimum % rise one has given before a new 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) pull-back, has been +33.11%.
This gives us an immediate Target of $135000 and is very much in line with a number of previous projections that the date show within this Target Region. Notice also how on all 3 last 1D Golden Crosses, a 1W MACD Bullish Cross precedes it. Basically that is the double confirmation of the medium-term bullish extension.
So do you think this 1D Golden Cross is such a strong buy signal and if yes, is $135k the bare minimum Target short-term? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - Bitcoin is Fighting Its Previous High!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its medium-term ascending channel. A break of the drawn trend line will lead to a decline in Bitcoin. If Bitcoin moves downwards towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying opportunities. If Bitcoin is above the resistance range, it will lead to it reaching Bitcoin's previous ATH.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and observing capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
According to data from Bitwise, corporate purchases of Bitcoin in 2025 have exceeded newly mined Bitcoin by a factor of 3.3. This significant gap between supply and demand signals a rising interest from institutional players in acquiring Bitcoin.
After reclaiming its $2 trillion market cap, Bitcoin surpassed Amazon and reentered the top five global financial assets. Just a week ago, Bitcoin was ranked seventh and only a month prior, it had barely managed to edge past Meta to secure a spot on the list.
The surge in Bitcoin’s price during late 2024 coincided with a sharp increase in the number of new meme coins being launched. There appears to be a clear correlation between Bitcoin’s price action and the number of tokens launched via meme coin launchpads on the Solana network.
Interestingly, this uptick in meme coin activity began in late March—well before Bitcoin’s price began its upward movement in mid-April. This early momentum is largely attributed to the rising popularity of newer launchpads such as Believe, LetsBonk, and Boop, which are now emerging as serious competitors to the well-known Pumpfun platform.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis - be careful📉 The cryptocurrency market is forming an "order" for "Red Monday".
On the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, the "Triple Top" pattern is probably nearing completion - its recognizable feature is the more lower central top and the right “powerful shake out” (for more details, if you are interested, you can read Encyclopedia of chart patterns/Thomas Bulkowski)
🆗 So, the minimum target for this pattern is $96100 per CRYPTOCAP:BTC
❗️ Confirmation of the "Triple Top" pattern development - after the base breakout and the inability to consolidate higher on the retest.
💰 Globally, we wrote our thoughts on the possible price of #Bitcoin in May/June a week earlier 👇
Also, to make trading decisions and determine which direction to trade, you need to analyze the situation on the charts:
1️⃣ BTC.D 👇
and
2️⃣ USDT.D 👇
_____________________
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Bitcoin Not Looking Good At AllSome degree of 5 waves completed yesterday and reversal signs are there. Now, this 5 waves up could be just 1st leg of larger 5th or the 5th itself since this leg was 2.6 times of leg 1. Either way, we are heading towards 90K and if this was larger 5th that got complete then it's time for "serious worry", specially if you are a HODLer.
Deeper retracement is possible. 104-105.2 for short entryMorning folks,
So, last setup worked just partially - action started from 101K as suggested but BTC completed only 1.27 butterfly target, showing sharp reversal.
Current reversal is important because market is neither on some target, resistance or overbought. It means that reversal is driven by external factors. Although our long-term bullish view is still valid, with "at least" 110K target, the road to the target might be bumpy, with moderate pullback first.
It means that right now weekly/daily traders should sit on the hands and wait when retracement will be over. While daily/intraday traders could consider short entry from 104-105.2K resistance area by our view.
$BTC - Lower Timeframe OutlookCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 1h
Didn't expect such a strong rejection, another push back to 107k now seems unlikely
If we get a reaction at 102k to 101.5k ( val) , we might see a complacency bounce into 104.5k–105.3k to fill some inefficiencies.
That'd be a solid short, targeting 95k–94k
2025.05.19 bitcoin analysis
Here is the current Bitcoin chart.
The daily ascending trendline previously mentioned has now been broken.
However, I still believe there is a chance for a rebound because the support zone around 102,500 (highlighted with the purple circle since May 16th) is still holding.
From my perspective, a minor rebound is underway, but I expect Bitcoin to drop down to the red box zone, which was the previous consolidation area after the uptrend.
Whether this red box zone holds or not will be crucial.
If it breaks down, as mentioned yesterday, there’s a high chance of further correction toward 100,678 → 98,800 → 94,450.
Conclusion:
The daily uptrend line is broken. (As this is a very critical zone, I personally recommend closing positions if in profit.)
A bounce occurred from the support zone, but if it comes down again, it may break the previous low and head toward 100,678.
A break below 100,678 would likely signal a full trend reversal.
BITCOIN CORRECTION AHEAD|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN keeps growing in a
Strong uptrend in a narrowing
Bearish wedge pattern and the
Coin has reached a horizontal
Resistance level of 108000$
So IF we see a breakout from
The wedge a local bearish
Correction is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin Retests Ascending Trendline After BreakoutBTCUSD daily chart shows price action respecting a rising trendline, following a successful breakout from previous pattern. This ascending trendline now acts as a key dynamic support and serves as a central guide for the medium-term bullish structure.
Currently, price is consolidating just below the $107,000 resistance area. There are two primary scenarios to consider:
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout and daily close above the $107,000 resistance could trigger another bullish leg, targeting the next level near $120,000.
Mild Bearish / Pullback Scenario:
If the price gets rejected again, it may retrace towards the ascending trendline around $95,000, which aligns with previous horizontal support and could serve as a solid buy-the-dip zone.
Trade Plan:
Buy Entry Option 1: On a breakout above $107,000 → Target: $120,000
Buy Entry Option 2: On a bounce from the trendline near $95,000
$BTC up to $107-108k?While I do think CRYPTOCAP:BTC will ultimately still see a larger correction, I can't deny that the chart looks bullish here.
I think we're likely to see a final move over the next week or two up to $107k-108k to retest the prior highs. I think the middle resistance at $108,183 is the most likely target for the move.
After we hit that, that's where I'll start to position short on BTC.
Let's see how it plays out over the next week or two.
$SPY Daily Chart Taz Plan - May 2025 into June-July Breakdown📉 SPY Daily Chart Trading Plan — May 2025
Thesis:
Price has returned to the exact level ($594.20) where the February impulse breakdown began. This zone is acting as a Lower High rejection within a broader bearish structure. A clean rejection here opens the door to multiple inefficiency fills below.
🔍 Structure Breakdown:
Feb High (ATH): $613.23
Feb Open: $592.67
Feb Close (last green candle before impulse): $594.20
Current Price: $594.20
Marked LH: $592.50
This is a rally back into rejection, not strength.
📉 Key Zones & Gaps:
🔺 Gap Supply: $566.48 – $578.50
🔺 Wick Gap: $558 – $566 → Needs a full-body candle to initiate fill
🟥 FVG (4/22): $528 – $541.52
🧱 Major Support: $481.80
🧠 Trade Plan:
Short Entry 1 (Confirmation-Based):
🔻 Red candle rejection under $592.50 = starter short
🔻 Watch RSI and MACD for momentum fade
Short Entry 2 (Gap Breach):
🔻 If $578 is broken and retested → scale in
🔻 Gap fill expected quickly once triggered
Short Entry 3 (Wick Gap):
🔻 Body close through $558 = last add
🔻 Sets up for final flush to FVG
🎯 Targets:
$578.50 → $566.48 (Gap Fill)
$558 → $541.52 (Wick Gap & FVG Top)
$528 – $530 (FVG Close)
$481.80 (Long-Term Panic Target)
❌ Invalidation:
Daily close > $595.50 = Pause thesis
Weekly close > $600 = Structural shift, short squeeze zone
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This isn’t just a gap fill play — it’s a structural fade from a lower high back into memory. The Feb impulse wave left behind layers of inefficiency, and price just tapped the origin of the breakdown.
Momentum is peaking. If this is a trap, the downside should begin immediately.
Let the chart prove it.
Heading into pullback resistance?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which. is also a pullback support.
Pivot: 108,391.05
1st Support: 98,383.98
1st Resistance: 119,108.79
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Bitcoin Analysis: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for a Smart Entry!🚀 BTCUSDT Outlook: Bullish Momentum, But Waiting for Value 📉💰
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) continues to push higher, showing strong bullish momentum across the daily and 4H timeframes. That said, current price action appears to be overstretched—in my view, it’s trading well into premium territory 📈⚠️.
💡 Although I maintain a bullish outlook, I’m now eyeing a pullback toward a more balanced zone—ideally between the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. This would bring BTC closer to equilibrium and offer a more strategic opportunity to engage with the trend.
🔎 In this video, we break down:
- The dominant trend and current structure
- How to identify potential market structure shifts
- My buy scenario, which depends on a retracement forming a bearish short-term move (e.g. on the 30-min chart), followed by a bullish break of structure 📊✅
🕒 Timing is everything. Let price unfold—we’re not predicting, we’re preparing. Entries should only be considered when price action confirms the scenario laid out in this video.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is intended for educational purposes only and reflects my personal analysis and opinion. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
Bitcoin Hits New ATH on Candle Close & New 2025 ATH ProjectionsThis week Bitcoin produced its highest weekly candle close ever at $106,454. 12-May 2025 weekly session.
The previous ATH based on candle close happened on the 9-December 2024 weekly session at $104,464.
The current high is 1.91% higher than the previous one. Volume is still basically zero on this chart...
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader—likely to be morning by the time you read this—how are you feeling in this beautiful day?
Bitcoin actually did better than expected but this is not surprising, because Bitcoin is always a surprise on the positive side. This already tells us that the new bullish cycle top can turn out being something completely unexpected, the institutional wave.
The volume...
There are many ways to extract targets so don't mind me using different methods and showing the different possibilities. It is good to have a broad market perspective. Instead of just one option, we can look at all the possible scenarios.
The standard All-Time High based on the previous cycle sits at $155,601. Four years later, hyper hidden inflation, etc., we know this is not it. This same level based on dollars value, $155,000, would be something like $189,000 or $206,000 today, so we are not going to consider this level to be the end of the 2025 bull market.
There is no 180K in this setup. The next target is the 3.618 Fib extension and goes to $209,125. This is more like it. This is a very strong level and there is possibility that Bitcoin can peak right below it.
The next one and last one is the 4.618 Fib extension at $262,649... Let's consider this number for a few minutes. Close your eyes, breathe... Think of Bitcoin, late 2025 or early 2026 and consider this number. Do nothing and just let any impressions come to you. Can be visual, auditory, kinaesthetic or just mental chatter, logical. Yes, it is possible! We keep beyond $250,000 on the cards. Share your impressions in the comments section by the way.
Low volume is natural. If you look at this chart from March 2020 through November 2021 there is no significant spike in volume. It is neutral. So this signal has no use for us at this point. The data-based conclusion is the fact that Bitcoin has been going up for six weeks and volume continues to be low. It was only high when the market hit bottom in 2022 and when it broke up above the 2017 peak in early 2023, that's the highest volume.
Look at this black line:
This is the golden ratio, 1.618 Fib extension in relation to the previous market cycle. It is very interesting. This same level from years ago worked as resistance in late 2024/early 2025.
Last week Bitcoin closed above this level and this week it wicked below and finally closed above. Definitely the action happening here around $102,000. So these numbers are good.
We have a certain price of $155,601 in the coming months, this will be a very strong resistance, the midterm bull market correction can happen here. After the correction bottoms, we will have wave 5 and this one must go beyond this level in order to be real, so this opens up $209,000. Unless $155,000 is the cycle top and ATH, we are set to experience Bitcoin trading above 200K.
My friend, it is my pleasure to write for you again today. Its been so long, I cannot believe we are still seeing each other, exchanging, talking, chatting, trading, reading, writing, fighting and making up just to keep on growing together. Where were you 7 years ago? Where are you now?
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Hits Highest Prince Since JanuaryThis is a pattern breaker. Volume is rising together with prices.
There was a rejection right below 106,000 but rather than a rejection a bear-trap & shakeout.
The move higher now confirms this.
Bitcoin is now trading with a full green candle and continues to challenge resistance. As prices move to $106,000, this is the highest since January 2025. A full recovery and a challenge of resistance leading to a new All-Time High.
It seems the new week, 19-May, will be the week when Bitcoin makes history again. This is all positive.
This is a short-term chart; 1H.
Many shakeouts are happening now, both bears (LONGs) and bulls (SHORTs) are being liquidated. Liquidation can only happen with positions using too much leverage. Everybody with 5X or lower is extremely safe long-term and can rest easy. Only the gamblers are having a hard time right now.
The market will continue to shake. Volatility can go up. Regardless of the short-term, Bitcoin is set to grow.
Namaste.