BITCOIN 2025 - THE LAST HOPECRYPTOCAP:BTC currently finds itself at the intersection of geopolitical tensions and broader macroeconomic uncertainty. Although traditionally viewed as a hedge against systemic risk, it is presently exhibiting characteristics more aligned with high-risk assets. The FED's forthcoming policy decisions will likely play a pivotal role in determining whether Bitcoin stabilizes or experiences further downward pressure.
The chart represents the most optimistic scenario for Bitcoin to date
BTC
BTCUSD: We haven't seen the real Bull yet.Bitcoin is under heavy volatility and yesterday's gains from the moment of the tariff pause announcement are almost all wiped out, which is reflected on its 1D technical outlook which turned bearish (RSI = 42.714, MACD = -1766.300, ADX = 26.356). Nonetheless, it is still holding its 1W MA50, the key support of this Bull Cycle, which might have not shown its strongest rally yet.
And the reason is a pure look at the 2015-2017 Bull Cycle, which is on a similar Channel Up and 3W RSI pattern. 11 weeks between the Channel's last two corrections, same level with the RSI bottoms. This indicates that this April could be similar to April 2017 that started the strongest rally of the Cycle.
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SUI Long Spot Trade Setup – Oversold Bounce PotentialSUI has dropped into a key support zone ($1.60 – $1.96) after an extended selloff. The price is showing oversold conditions, making this a potentially high-reward setup if a bounce confirms from this zone.
📌 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $1.60 – $1.96
Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $2.50 – $2.90
🥈 $3.25 – $3.60
Stop Loss: Just below $1.50
ETH Long Term Prediction - Ethereum Game Plan ETH broke the bullish weekly structure and is currently retracing lower. I don’t see any signs of strength on the chart yet.
I expect the price to first hit $1250 and see a rejection there a possible bounce.
However, the real target is $870 (2022 low). That level holds significant liquidity, so I expect it to be taken out, triggering a potential capitulation. I’ll be looking for spot buys and long-term long setups in anticipation of another possible bull run.
1050 days of bull, 380 days of bearPlanning for the afterlife already. Each cycle fits quite neatly into ca. 1050 days of bull market and 375 days of bear. The big bounce should happen just before the summer, then consolidate, and the last leg up should come after, and we peak in late October. Let's try this
Bitcoin will continue to fall inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price entered to downward channel, where it once declined to the channel's support line, which coincided with the resistance level and seller zone. Next, the price some time traded inside this area and even little declined below, but then it turned around and in a short time rose to the resistance line of the channel and made a fake breakout, after which it made a correction. Bitcoin long time traded inside seller zone and then broke 82000 level and declined to support level, which coincided with buyer zone. Then it made upward movement, after which it turned around and declined back to 75000 level. Recently, BTC bounced and started to grow, but in my mind, Bitcoin can rise a little more and then continue to decline inside a downward channel. Bitcoin will break the support level and fall to the 71800 support line of the channel, where my TP is located. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Short-Term Setup: Watch $79K Resistance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall again ,as I expected in the previous post .
This post is also a short-term analysis and is on the 15-minute time frame .
Bitcoin is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a 5-wave downtrend on the 15-minute timeframe.
I expect Bitcoin to continue its upward trend in the coming hours , at least to the Resistance zone($79,350-$78,540) .
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $75,470, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin Prediction - Crypto MarketBitcoin has broken the weekly structure to the downside, and we’ve been bearish since then.
However, the monthly chart still looks bullish, and I expect the price to return to the monthly demand zone and get a reaction from there.
I believe the crypto market could turn bullish again by the end of summer 2025.
Possible scenario:
We short from the current levels down to the monthly demand zone, sweeping the engineered weekly liquidity (by 'engineered,' I mean a level designed to push price higher). That level is around $67,000.
I’ll be watching for LTF confirmations to take longs from that zone.
Most likely, the monthly demand zone will hold and send us toward new all-time highs.
80K pullback is done, but it is not for selling anymoreMorning folks,
So, the upside bounce to 80K resistance that we were watching is done now. It has happened even twice. D. Trump so efficiently tarrifying markets, and them provides them the relief that BTC mostly is just a hostage of this so called "news stream". Actually as well as all other markets.
Once 90 day tariffs postpone has been provided, stocks jumped and liquidity returns, supporting all other things around. It might be temporal? Sure. But nobody knows what in the old Donny's head.
By looking at current action, it seems that 80K support is more reasonable to use for long entry with 85.5 target at least. Definitely it would be better to not sell by far...
BITCOIN Are we back in business?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a miraculous comeback yesterday as it rebounded with force almost +12% from its session Low, following the 90-day tariff pause news. This rebounded has been performed on both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the key long-term Support of this Bull Cycle, but also on the previous High line, which is the trend-line coming from the previous Higher High of the Bull Cycle that has now turned Support.
As you see, during every Bull Cycle correction, this previous High line held both times before and it is doing so this time also. This justifies the incredible symmetry of this Bull Cycle but it doesn't only stop on the uptrend structure but goes back to the downtrend structure of the Bear Cycle. As you see, the extension of those previous High lines intersect the Lower Highs of the Bear Cycle. Symmetry at its very best.
At the same time, back to the current Bull Cycle, we see that the Vortex Indicator (VI) has already diverged, which has been consistent to both previous bottoms.
As far as what the target of this potential rebound/ rally can be, both previous main rallies hit at least the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That sits now at $175000.
So do you think this Double Support rebound combo is putting BTC back in Bull Cycle business for a rally to $175k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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07/04/25 Weekly Outlook Last weeks high: $88,502.90
Last weeks low: $77,786.89
Midpoint: $83,144.89
Never a dull moment in this game, last week we saw a relatively flat move from Bitcoin as traditional markets continued their heavy sell-offs thanks to the tariff trade war. The high of the week coming from the run up to Trumps tariff announcement, that then retraced as the speech went on and as the week closed a heavy capitulation move down.
As the week begins BTC's price hit as low as $74,500 barely frontrunning the HTF goal of $73,500 to close the inefficiency wick from the US election 6 months ago. For me this is where I start to pay attention to where buyers may be stepping into the market at this HTF support area. Obviously the worry is still in Tradfi, just how low will the SPX, DJI etc go? That's hard to tell but there is certainly a huge amount of fear in the market and fear brings opportunity.
The NY open should be an interesting one and should set the tone for the week, A reclaim of the weekly low sets up yet another SFP long opportunity to then go and test the midpoint, acceptance under the weekly low may provide one last push to close tout the move to $73,000.
The Federal Reserve is having am emergency closed board meeting today too, if an emergency cut to interest rates comes of this to boost growth then BTC will definitely see the benefits of this.
Good luck for the week ahead!
Bitcoin H4 | Approaching an overlap supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 80,285.10 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 74,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 88,532.50 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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WHY NZDUSD BULLISH ?? DETAILED TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALSNZDUSD has just completed a clean technical retest at a key demand zone around the 0.5560–0.5600 region and is now showing signs of a strong bullish reversal. The recent structure formed a classic “V-shape” recovery, and price is holding firmly above the psychological level of 0.5700. The market has now reset its lower time frame structure and is preparing for a potential bullish continuation toward the 0.6100 target zone in the coming sessions.
Technically, the pair respected its support zone perfectly after a sharp corrective move from the March highs. The retest confirms previous support turned demand, with the 12H chart indicating a potential bullish breakout setup. With the rejection wicks and impulsive bullish engulfing candle seen in the latest session, the momentum has clearly shifted back in favor of the bulls. I'm eyeing a steady climb toward the 0.6000–0.6100 range, especially if we break above the 0.5800 resistance level decisively.
On the fundamental side, the US dollar is showing signs of exhaustion ahead of key inflation data. Market sentiment is slightly dovish on the Fed’s rate trajectory due to softening labor data and a cooling services sector, while New Zealand is holding a relatively steady economic outlook. Although RBNZ remains cautious, commodity demand and improving risk sentiment are currently supporting the Kiwi. Traders are pricing in reduced rate hike expectations from the Fed, which gives NZD a comparative edge in short to mid-term flows.
With positive technical confluence, shifting fundamentals, and improving global risk appetite, NZDUSD looks poised for a solid upside run. As long as the price stays above 0.5600, I remain bullish. A break above 0.5800 could act as the catalyst for acceleration toward 0.6100, providing a favorable risk-reward opportunity in the current market conditions.
Could the Bitcoin bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 80,393.27
1st Support: 77,842,40
1st Resistance: 84,559.23
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Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Pre-2025 Bull-Market)Conditions are slightly different now because Bitcoin just closed last week below 80K, but this does not change the bigger picture or long-term perspective, that is, Bitcoin is growing next.
This is Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe, notice how its price trades safely above EMA55. Also notice how this level worked as support in 2023, launching the 2024 bullish phase, and also in late 2024, producing the final advance to ~110,000 before the present corrective cycle:
A correction is good because it opens the doors for new, great entry prices.
A correction is good, because after a correction, the market always grows. The market fluctuates between down and up. It doesn't matter how long it takes nor how hard the market shakes, it is cyclical in nature and this gives us the necessary strength to buy and hold long-term.
Back to the weekly timeframe. Bitcoin is also trading above SMA200 which sits around $45,000. The current drop is quite steep and it forms a falling wedge pattern. This wedge pattern is a bullish development and tends to lead to a reversal once the action reaches the apex of the channel.
Let's consider the daily timeframe:
Bitcoin just produced a new low and the lowest price since early November 2024. It is also the first time ever that Bitcoin closes weekly below 80K, a break of strong support.
The current low hit very close to the high hit in March 2024. Bitcoin hit a low of $74,500 today while the 2024 March peak price sits around $73,800, this is the strongest support zone due to it being a long-term All-Time High.
A great piece of news and something that confirms the market is about to turn is the trading volume. Notice the volume dynamics as Bitcoin moves lower and lower. This can indicate that the bears are losing strength. We are seeing new lows but each new low with decreasing volume. This means that a reversal will happen next. Bitcoin will grow in 2025, make no mistake.
To close this chapter and move to the Altcoins, consider the RSI; strong bullish divergence. Divergences tend to happen when the trend is about to change.
Namaste.
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick
Let's start the much awaited Pick Your Altcoin session. I will do a full chart analysis just for you. You make a choice, your top choice, and I will publish in my profile; you need to follow.
Instructions:
1) Pick any Cryptocurrency pair you like and leave a comment with the ticker. There is one condition though, the project/trading pair must be available on TradingView for me to be able to do the analysis. The chart also needs to have at least 6 months of data.
2) If you see a comment that has a pair that you like, make sure to boost it. The comments with the most boosts will get published first.
3) Maximum 3 pairs (Altcoins/projects) per person. Maximum 700 total chart analysis. Once we do 700 charts, I will not take anymore requests.
4) I will publish in my profile up to 10 charts daily. This is the posting limit. Once the limit is reached, I will start answering in the comments section. Once the comments limit is reached, we can continue the next day.
If the pair looks really good and has great potential for the 2025 bull-market, I can save it to publish in my profile. I will take my time to try and produce a high quality analysis. Your support is highly appreciated.
5) If you share a few details about yourself, your trading journey, your strategy, what you would like to see on the analysis or anything related to finance and Cryptocurrency, I can better connect with your mind and produce a more personalized analysis.
Bitcoin will recover and grow. This is easy.
The Altcoins will also grow.
2nd-May 2025 is a great date.
The accumulation phase continues. The time to buy is when the market is red.
Buy and hold —focus on the long-term.
Thank you for reading.
You deserve the best!
Namaste.
$BTC Not Out Of The Weeds Yet - Must Break $84kIf CRYPTOCAP:BTC can break back above ~$84k then we could continue to follow my OG setup (yellow) and rip,
but since PA dumped slightly below the 50WMA it technically invalidated my inverse h & s idea.
A rejection of $84k would dump us back to ~$78k to form the right shoulder (red) and complete the setup.
nonetheless, i believe we've seen the bottom 👋
Litecoin LTCUSD Completing Final Leg Down Before LaunchAs you can see Litecoin is forming a very similar pattern. I think the rest of March will be corrective. Litecoin will likely come down and bounce off the trend line which coincidental also is a major support level. April will be slightly bullish, May and June will be majorly bullish which I believe Bitcoin will also fly up to 140k as well in this time. I believe Litecoin will outperform the majority of the market. Major hyperinflation will begin this summer which will be very positive for crypto. Many cryptos will die in this hyperinflation period. Only some will survive. Dollar is going to crash. Get ready for a wild ride into 2026. People calling for a bear market are ill informed and will kick themselves for selling. This is the beginning of the biggest run in some cryptos, we've ever seen. Buckle up. Good luck. Not financial advice.
Check support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
-
(1W chart)
Indicators indicating lows on the 1M chart and 1W chart, i.e. BW(0), DOM(-60) indicators, are not created.
Therefore, caution is required when trading as it can fall at any time.
This movement is likely to occur until the trend line corresponding to the trend line (1) on the 1M chart is created as a solid line.
-
(1D chart)
There are several trend lines drawn, but the important thing to consider is whether there is support near the section marked with a circle.
Among them, the section that must be broken to create a trend is 89294.25 and 73499.86.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and rise above 89294.25.
Therefore, the next volatility period is from around April 14th to 17th, and we need to check whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If it fails to rise, there is a possibility of falling again to around 78595.86 and 73499.86.
The important thing to consider is whether there is support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
-
(30m chart)
The following applies to all time frame charts.
Trading strategies can be created based on whether there is support near the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
Here, we refer to the movements of the Trend Cloud and StochRSI indicators.
Currently, the HA-High indicator has risen above it and the Trend Cloud indicator is thick, so it can be interpreted that the upward trend is likely to continue.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has fallen in the overbought zone, the upward trend may be limited.
Therefore, it can be interpreted that the support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is important.
If it continues to rise further, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If it rises or moves sideways, the Trend Cloud indicator will eventually become thinner.
If the Trend Cloud indicator shows resistance while being thin, the possibility of a decline increases, so at that time, you should refer to the various indicators that are generated and respond according to whether there is support near those indicators.
-
If you predict the movement in advance and proceed with the transaction, you may be subject to psychological pressure and may proceed with the wrong transaction, so you should always be careful.
In the HA-Low ~ HA-High indicator section, a trading strategy in the sideways or box section is required.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator, a trading strategy in the trend is required.
The current example chart is a 30m chart, so this chart requires a trading strategy in the trend.
Therefore, if it shows support above the HA-High indicator, you can create a trading strategy and proceed with the transaction.
Since it is currently located near the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart, whether there is support near this area is the first trading strategy period.
-
For reference, HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created to create trading strategies, and M-Signal indicators on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are indicators created to identify trends.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
BTC - Key support retest and potential short squeeze in play!Over the last several trading sessions, Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a notable pullback, retracing nearly 10% from its recent highs. This correction brought the price down below the previously established support level at $76.7K, a critical area that had previously acted as a base during prior consolidations. At first glance, this breakdown appeared to signal a potential shift in market structure, potentially opening the door to deeper downside movement. However, price action suggests there may be more nuance to this move.
Despite the intraday dip below $76.7K, Bitcoin managed to recover into the close, with the daily candle finishing with its body above the prior wick at that level. This forms what’s known as a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), a bullish reversal signal that occurs when price breaks below a key low (or above a key high) only to reclaim it by the candle close. This type of setup often traps breakout traders on the wrong side of the move and can lead to a sharp reversal as positions unwind.
Today’s price action adds further interest to this setup. Bitcoin dipped again to retest the $76.7K level, which not only lines up with the previous wick low but also coincides with the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement zone, typically measured from the recent local low to the high of the previous move. This 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci range is often viewed as a high-probability area for reversals or continuation moves, particularly in trending markets.
The confluence between the golden pocket and the psychological $76.7K level strengthens the idea that this zone could serve as a reliable support in the short term. If BTC can continue to hold above this area, we may be witnessing the formation of a local bottom, which could lead to a relief rally or short squeeze in the coming days.
SFP :
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$BTC consequences of the Trump 90 days tariff pauseCan It Last? Is This a Trend Reversal?
Today, #Bitcoin surged over +8%, but surprisingly, #Tesla outperformed with a massive +20%—almost as much as $FARTCOIN! 🤯
History is being written, and we’ll remember this day… but is this truly the end of the consolidation phase?
What to Watch:
📈 Price Action: Bitcoin must break above the descending trendline (in green) and close a daily candle above it to flip resistance into support. The price to watch is $84.5k. Closing under 80k would invalidate this pump.
📊 RSI: Currently in mid-range—could swing either way.
🔁 MACD: Was turning bearish. We need a clear bullish crossover to confirm a trend continuation.
Conclusion:
With all the recent global tensions, many investors are feeling a sense of relief, especially as the trade war appears paused until September. This gives markets some breathing room to recover.
However, it’s not all clear skies yet:
Bitcoin is still stuck inside the descending bearish channel.
The recession risk hasn't gone away.
Trump may have been pressured to offer good news to avoid a full-blown market crash.
🕵️♂️ Let’s see how the weekly candle closes after this sharp move to the upside.
BTCUSD: Attacking the 2025 Resistance looking for huge breakout!Bitcoin turned neutral on both its 1D (RSI = 47.243, MACD = -1813.400, ADX = 31.557) and 1W (RSI = 45.530) technical outlooks following the 90-day tariff pause. Technically it is going after the LH top of the Falling Wedge from its ATH and the 1D MA50, which has been the main Resistance since February 4th 2025. There is a key Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI too, being on HL as opposed to the LL of the Falling Wedge. A breakout above the Wedge typically sets a technical target on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which falls just under the ATH Resistance Zone. Be ready to go long if the breakout takes place (TP = 106,000).
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