BTC Bitcoin Warning: No Clear Setup — Don’t Get Trapped!🚨 BTC Market Outlook: Analysis & Key Warning for Traders 🧠💡
Currently keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) 🔍. Previously, we saw strong bullish momentum propelling price upward 📈. However, that momentum is now under pressure — especially when you zoom into the 4-hour timeframe. We've seen a clear break in market structure, with lower highs and lower lows forming 🔻.
Right now, there’s no clean trade setup on the table. Price has pulled back, and we’re at a key inflection point — either we see a bullish breakout, or further downside could unfold 📉.
This video is more of a technical warning ⚠️ for traders feeling the urge to jump in early. The current structure is risky, and taking impulsive trades here could do more harm than good.
In the video, I also cover how to identify the highest-probability setups — particularly when price consolidates in a range and then breaks out in the direction of the prevailing trend. These continuation setups offer far better odds than guessing mid-range.
📌 Be patient. Let the setup come to you. Don’t force trades when conditions are unclear.
💬 If you’ve watched the analysis or have thoughts on BTC’s next move, comment below — I’d love to hear your view.
❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Everything shared is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and trade responsibly. Risk management is key.
BTC
BITCOIN Will it catch up to the rising Global Liquidity again?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to stage yet another short-term rally on its Tariff War recovery Bullish Leg but the picture is even more interesting on the long-term.
This is a simple yet very powerful and explanatory chart where it shows that every time the Global Liquidity (blue trend-line) led the uptrend and started rising before BTC on this Bull Cycle (since the November 2022 bottom), BTC eventually caught up to the trend and closed the Gap.
This time Global Liquidity has been rising since the start of the year (early January) while Bitcoin only started to do so since April 07. Even if the Global Liquidity pauses here, Bitcoin still has the potential to continue rising irrespectively.
How high do you think this can go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Technical Analysis – HBAR/USDT + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis – HBAR/USDT (Daily Chart as of June 4, 2025)
Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish)
The chart indicates a classic falling wedge pattern, often interpreted as a bullish reversal signal.
This pattern is marked by descending converging trendlines, suggesting declining volatility and potential breakout.
Breakout point is illustrated just above the wedge’s resistance line, with a bullish breakout expected.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support Zone: $0.1625 – $0.1723 (blue zone)
Primary Resistance Targets:
Short-term: $0.1849 (top of Bollinger Band)
Mid-term: $0.2070 – $0.2200
Long-term: $0.3400 (strong historical resistance)
Indicators Summary
Bollinger Bands: Price near the lower band, indicating potential upside volatility.
Volume Profile: Slightly increasing near wedge apex, often a precursor to a breakout.
VMC Cipher_B: Multiple green dots signal bullish divergence; momentum may be reversing upward.
RSI (14): Currently recovering from oversold territory (~39.5), suggesting bullish momentum building.
Money Flow Index (ArTy): Moving back into the green, indicating capital inflow and potential accumulation.
Stochastic RSI: Crossed upward from oversold zone (currently ~23), a common signal for trend reversal.
Trading Plan
Long Position Setup (Swing Trade)
Entry Zone:
$0.1650 – $0.1725 (upon retest of breakout from wedge or candle close above wedge resistance)
Stop-Loss:
$0.1580 (below wedge support and key structure low)
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $0.1850 (Bollinger Band and resistance zone)
TP2: $0.2070 (resistance from March 2025)
TP3: $0.2200 – $0.2400 (target zone for full wedge breakout)
TP4: $0.3400 (macro-level resistance, if rally continues)
Risk-to-Reward:
Minimum R:R of 1:2.5 to 1:5 depending on TP level.
⚠️ Risk Management & Strategy Notes
Wait for confirmation breakout candle with strong volume above wedge resistance before entering.
Scale in gradually between $0.1650–$0.1725 if confirmed.
Trail stop-loss after reaching TP1 to lock in profits.
Monitor Bitcoin price trend and overall market sentiment—HBAR tends to follow macro market structure.
The combination of the falling wedge, bullish divergence, and oversold momentum indicators supports a strong potential for bullish continuation. However, conservative confirmation is essential before committing capital.
Outlook: Bullish bias, pending confirmation breakout above the wedge resistance.
Bitcoin Brewing - A large move is coming!Bitcoin has been under pressure over the last few trading sessions.
Despite the equity markets going higher this asset is stuck in a holding pattern.
We are currently forming a wedge pattern that has given us a directional bias to trade.
Price action is at a 50/50 in terms of falling lower or rallying higher.
Being the fact that the bulls have been forming higher lows & higher highs, we have to give them due respect.
However understand this BTC is showing some distribution signs and is likely going to have a decent selloff within the next 15-45days. We may have 1 more spike higher but we may not.
1 note of interest is the 7day & 20 day moving average just signaled a bearish crossover which is something you need to monitor closely.
I do think the upside is limited to about 115K if we have 1 more move higher.
Check support near 106775
Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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(MBT1! 1D chart)
The prerequisite for the previous ATH to rise above is that the OBV must rise above the High Line and remain there.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported and rise near 106775.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to fall to the 96600-101495 area.
The 96600-101495 area is an important support and resistance area for continuing the uptrend.
Therefore, if it falls in the 96600-101495 area, it is likely to fall sharply.
If it falls,
1st: Around 89745
2nd: M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart or 74105-79025
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd areas above.
Therefore, the 96600-101495 area can be seen as an important support and resistance area.
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(30m chart)
It played the role of support and resistance by touching the area around 105385 several times.
It is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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BTCUSD: This part may be the most exciting of all.Bitcoin is on an excellent bullish 1W technical outlook (RSI = 65.366, MACD = 6742.800, ADX = 33.478) unphazed by the recent short term pullback. This is because the Cycle is only now starting is strongest phase, at least based on the historic price action of the former Cycles. After the U.S. elections in November 2024, we've crossed above the Bear Cycle neckline and on all previous Cycles, that is where the parabolic rally started. How high it can go is anybody's guess and depends largely on fundamentals (adoption, ETF, Rate Cuts) but we can agree that we will see at least 150,000 before this Cycle ends.
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BTC 12H – Slightly Different Picture
The 12H chart tells a slightly different story.
From the PSAR point of view, price has tapped it twice, but that’s not enough for confirmation.
From the system perspective, price is trading above the BB center, with both MLR and SMA also above it—this could justify small scaling.
From the S/R view, price is currently testing weekly resistance and the dotted line marking the daily close. That’s a strong reason to apply proper risk management.
Let’s see how this unfolds.
Scaling in may be a valid option for those considering long exposure—if risk is managed properly.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
BTC Daily – Mixed Signals, Patience Required
From the PSAR perspective, BTC remains in a bearish phase. We need to wait for a PSAR flip to green before considering new long entries.
From the second system view, we’re also still in bearish territory. The setup will shift once MLR crosses above the SMA and BB centre. Currently, price is holding the SMA as support and has paused at the BB centre.
Looking at S/R levels, we’ve seen a solid bounce from the 3D + 5D support and are now holding at the weekly support zone.
Let’s see how this unfolds.
Scaling in may be a valid option for those considering long exposure—if risk is managed properly.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
BTC - Will BTC fill the 4H inbalance at $107.400Bitcoin (BTC) is currently exhibiting a clear downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe. During the most recent downward move, it left behind an imbalance, specifically, a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which the price is now retracing toward. This area represents a potential zone of interest for entering a short position, given the prevailing bearish structure.
At the same time, BTC is approaching the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement, a level often watched by traders for potential reversals. This zone coincides with a former support level that provided multiple bounces in the past, but has now flipped into a potential resistance. The confluence of these factors could add significant selling pressure.
It’s important to note that BTC does not necessarily need to reach the imbalance zone to resume its downward movement. However, the presence of that FVG remains a relevant detail to monitor in case price action does continue higher before reversing.
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Bitcoin Looks Set for a Dip Before Its Next Big MoveRight now, Bitcoin is showing signs of cooling off after a solid run-up over the past few weeks. Looking at the chart, it seems like BTC is struggling to break through that descending trendline—it’s been rejected there more than once, and now it's likely heading lower in the short term.
Here’s what seems most likely: price pulls back toward the $99,000 support zone (highlighted in purple on the chart). That area has acted as a solid floor before, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see buyers step in again.
After that? If support holds and we see some momentum return, BTC could start climbing again. the chart suggests a potential breakout to the upside, maybe even pushing toward a new all-time high (ATH) above $114,000.
In simple terms: expect a short-term dip, but keep an eye out for a strong bounce—this could just be a healthy pullback before the next big leg up.
for summary:
Short-term dip likely, targeting ~$99K
Strong support there—watch for a bounce
If it holds, BTC might push toward new highs
PENDLE – Bullish Continuation Setup from Key Support ZonePENDLE remains one of the standout performers in the crypto space, maintaining its bullish market structure even amid broader market uncertainty. With price currently holding well above key support, this presents a favorable opportunity for a swing long position, especially if the broader market stabilizes.
📥 Entry Zone:
$3.50 – $4.30
🔹 Confluence with previous resistance turned support
🔹 Demand zone within bullish structure
🔹 Ideal for scaling in
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $5.45
🥈 $6.30
🥉 $6.85
🛑 Stop Loss:
Daily close below $3.00
Structure breakdown
RNDR (Render) – Higher Low Setup for Potential Upside ExpansionRENDER is holding strong above the $3.50–$4.00 support zone, forming what appears to be a higher low — a classic sign of potential trend continuation. This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with clearly defined invalidation and upside targets.
📥 Entry Zone:
$3.50 – $4.00
🔸 Holding above demand
🔸 Prior resistance now acting as support
🔸 Potential higher low setup
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $6.00 – Previous local top / liquidity pocket
🥈 $8.00 – Major resistance zone from prior cycle
🥉 $10.00 – Psychological round number + HTF extension target
🛑 Stop Loss:
Daily close below $2.50
Clears invalidation of the structure
Below HTF support base
Bitcoin's Battle: $107K Resistance or $100K Support?Bitcoin is currently trading at $106,522, showing a consolidation pattern after a recent rally. The price has been moving between $103,000 and $107,000, with $107,000 acting as a strong resistance level. This ceiling has been tested several times but hasn’t been convincingly broken yet. On the flip side, $100,000 has proven to be a solid support, with buyers stepping in whenever the price dips near this key psychological level. If BTC breaks above $107,000, it could target $110,000 or higher; however, a drop below $100,000 might see it test $97,000 or lower.
From a technical standpoint, the 4H chart shows a short-term bullish trend line around $105,800, which has been holding the price up during small pullbacks. That said, there are signs of weakening momentum, the 30-day Rate of Change (ROC) is flashing a bearish divergence, hinting that the upward push might be losing steam. On the daily chart, the MACD has turned negative, which could signal a broader trend shift. For now, traders should keep an eye on whether BTC can push past $107,000 or if it falls below $100,000, as these breaks will likely dictate the next big move.
Looking at the bigger picture, Bitcoin’s price is being shaped by several external factors. Recent news, like the SEC dropping its lawsuit against Binance and a new crypto market structure bill in Congress, could bring more regulatory clarity and lift investor confidence. Economic uncertainty and tariff relief are also driving some to see BTC as a hedge, much like gold. Stablecoin market caps have hit all-time highs, suggesting more liquidity in the crypto space. But there’s a flip side: China’s heavy gold buying and the US-China tariff war could throw a wrench into BTC’s trajectory.
Analyst sentiment is split. Som e see a bearish flag pattern pointing to a potential drop to $97,000, while others are betting on a bullish surge to new highs, maybe $120,000 or even as far as $325,000. This consolidation phase could be the calm before a major breakout, either up or down. Keep an eye on volume and those key levels ($107,000 and $100,000) for hints about what’s next. As always, stay sharp, manage your risk, and keep up with the latest market updates!
AAVEUSDT → A false breakdown provokes a change of characterBINANCE:AAVEUSDT.P maintains a bullish market structure. The coin is consolidating, with bulls trying to hold their ground above the key support line.
Against the backdrop of a correction, the price is testing liquidity, with a false breakdown of support provoking a change in character to bullish within the local timeframe. Bulls are trying to maintain the bullish structure.
The price is breaking through the resistance of local consolidation, forming a change in character, but before growth, the market may close the gestalt in the form of an order block or liquidity located in the 249.5 zone.
Support levels: 249.11, 240.0
Resistance levels: 274.27, 280.47
Technically, the coin looks quite good and promising overall. If the bulls hold their ground in the 249-250 zone, then in the short to medium term, we could see good movement with the possibility of new highs...
Best regards, R. Linda!
HolderStat┆BTCUSD stairway to athCRYPTOCAP:BTC marched out of strong consolidation, sliced a falling wedge, then keeps stacking bull-flag consolidations on an ascending trendline. Uptrend channel, breakout energy and 100 k support line up for an assault on the 112 k ATH level — bullish momentum in full swing.
BTC: Still in the Grip of Wave BBitcoin is holding steady near the same levels seen at the time of yesterday’s update — and so is the structure. According to our primary scenario, we expect the current corrective wave B to complete soon within the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Once that happens, a wave C selloff should follow, likely targeting the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. That said, our alternative scenario (30% probability) remains intact. In that case, the high of blue wave (i) has yet to form — a breakout above $130,891 would confirm that view and open the door to further upside before a correction resumes.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BITCOIN Is this even a possibility?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently on a short-term pull-back, following the impressive rally to new All Time Highs (ATH) from the April 07 bottom. This first 'serious' short-term relief correction has stopped on the former Lower Highs trend-line, which previous acted as a Resistance and is now holding the price from further downfall, acting potentially as Support.
This is the exact same price action that BTC had during its break-out from the previous Lower Highs trend-line last October. The symmetry between the two fractals is remarkable as not only did they both form their 1D Death Cross patterns on their bottoms and their 1D Golden Cross patterns on the Lower Highs break-out but also their Phase 1 rallies (1st Bullish Leg) have been exactly the same: +49.58%.
As a result, as long as the Pivot holds, there is a good chance we see a strong rebound, which if it holds the same total symmetry of the previous fractal, it should peak at +120%, which gives a $164000 Target.
Do you think that's even a possibility? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin may break support level and continue to fall in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Previously, price was moving inside a horizontal range, consolidating between resistance and the buyer zone near 103500 - 102900. The market lacked clear direction, and price repeatedly rebounded within this structure, failing to build strong momentum either way. Eventually, BTC exited the range and began forming a downward channel. This shift introduced a clear bearish bias, with each high being lower than the previous one. Price action started respecting the descending resistance and support lines, confirming the structure. Sellers consistently stepped in from the seller zone near 109000 - 109500, pushing the price downward with each retest. Currently, BTC is hovering around the support level at 103500 points, showing short-term weakness. The latest reaction from this area didn’t generate significant bullish follow-through. In my view, BTC is likely to break through this support and continue falling inside the channel. That’s why I’ve placed my TP at 100600 points, which matches the support line of the channel and offers a logical downside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC Educational Idea by 1PercentFundedBTC Update : These are the possible scenarios for BTC based on 2021
Scenario A. BTC rejects 108/109k (Purple Arrow) & retest 98k (High Probability)
Scenario B. BTC retest 110/111k (Black Arrow) & creates a double top before dumping to 88/98k
Our team will be building shorts at 108k onwards & will add if 111k is given. 117.5k invalidation.
Technical Analysis: Worldcoin (WLD/USDT) + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis: Worldcoin (WLD/USDT)
Chart Overview
Pattern: A falling wedge formation is clearly visible, typically a bullish reversal pattern.
Potential Breakout: The price has broken above the upper wedge resistance line, indicating a potential bullish breakout.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones:
$1.26 (SMA50)
$1.55–$1.65 (major supply zone)
$1.80–$1.90 (final resistance target)
Support Zones:
$1.18 (local support)
$1.00–$1.10 (strong green demand zone)
$0.90 (final downside support)
Indicators & Oscillators
Volume
Volume shows moderate rising interest during breakout—confirmation would be stronger with larger volume spikes.
VMC Cipher B
Momentum waves and money flow are turning bullish.
Green dots at the bottom suggest bullish divergence and likely upward momentum.
RSI (14)
Currently at 52.77, crossing above 50—a bullish signal.
Not yet overbought, so there's room to move upward.
Money Flow Index (MFI)
Reading at 63, indicating strong inflows and increased buying pressure.
Stochastic RSI
Bullish crossover, currently at 66.78/75.27, heading upward—supports the breakout scenario.
Trading Plan
Scenario A: Bullish Breakout Confirmation
Trigger: Close above $1.20–$1.22 with rising volume and continued RSI/MFI strength.
Buy Zone (Spot 1): $1.18–$1.22
Buy Zone (Spot 2): On pullback to wedge breakout line ($1.15–$1.17)
Targets:
TP1: $1.26 (SMA50)
TP2: $1.55–$1.60 (supply zone)
TP3: $1.80 (long-term resistance)
Stop Loss: Below $1.10 (to invalidate breakout)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2 for TP1, up to 1:4–1:5 for TP3
Scenario B: Failed Breakout / Bearish Rejection
Trigger: Rejection at $1.20–$1.26 and fall below $1.15 with increasing sell volume.
Short Entry (only for experienced traders): Under $1.15
Targets:
TP1: $1.05 (mid-demand zone)
TP2: $0.95–$1.00 (major demand zone)
Stop Loss: Above $1.22
Note: Prefer to stay out if volume is low—wait for clearer structure.
Risk Management & Strategy Notes
Use position sizing: No more than 3–5% of capital per trade.
Be patient—wait for candle close confirmations.
If the price consolidates near $1.20 and volume increases, a strong upward move is likely.
Avoid emotional trading—react to price action, not assumptions.
Worldcoin (WLD/USDT) is showing strong bullish potential with a confirmed breakout from a falling wedge. Indicators support upward momentum, and the structure favors a move toward the $1.50–$1.80 range. Monitor volume and key support levels to manage risk and confirm trend continuation.
GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY is currently respecting a clean ascending triangle formation on the 4H chart, with the 193.00 area acting as a strong support zone and higher lows continuing to form. This structure signals bullish pressure building up, and a breakout above the key resistance near 196.50 could trigger the next impulsive leg toward the 198.00 target. Price action is compressing along a clear trendline, and bulls are steadily stepping in on each dip—showing a textbook bullish continuation setup.
From a macro perspective, the yen remains fundamentally weak as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose monetary stance despite global tightening cycles. In contrast, the British pound is drawing strength from resilient UK economic data and expectations of at least one more rate hike from the Bank of England due to sticky core inflation. The widening yield differential between UK gilts and Japanese bonds continues to support GBPJPY upside, which is also visible in the broader risk-on market sentiment as equities hold firm globally.
Technically, GBPJPY has consistently respected trendline support and is coiling tightly under a known resistance zone, signaling that momentum is building for a significant move. Once the pair clears the 196.50 liquidity area, price is likely to surge quickly toward 198.00 as buy stops get activated. The 191.70–192.00 region remains the key invalidation level for this bullish outlook, and as long as that support holds, this setup remains highly favorable for bulls.
This pair is showing strong confluence of technical structure and fundamental drivers. A breakout above the triangle’s upper boundary could present a high-probability long opportunity with minimal drawdown. With momentum aligning and market sentiment supporting GBP strength, this could be a prime move to capture in the coming sessions.