Bitcoin (BTC):Buy The Rumour, Sell The News / Sellers DominatingAnother week of volatility is here! Last week's candle (which is marked as a candle of inauguration) made a new ATH before all the liquidity hunting, and now eventually we see price is seeing some decent selling pressures.
Now our view on the bigger picture has not changed; we are still looking for some proper downfall to happen, which would shake out all the new traders and gamblers.
We like to call this scenario "Buy the rumour, Sell the news."
Now rumours are over so now the only thing left is action.
Swallow Team
BTC
NO. 1 IS BITCOIN (STILL) BITCOIN-ALTCOINS-MEMECOINS THIS IS PLANDescending Trading Channel IS IN PROGRESS.
Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, characterized by lower highs and lower lows.
The resistance line at the top of the channel is acting as a barrier to upward momentum.
The support line at the bottom of the channel provides a temporary floor for price movement.
Current Price Action:
The price is near the channel's lower support, indicating a critical decision zone for traders.
The presence of high volume at support suggests potential buying interest.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: Shows momentum divergence, signaling a potential reversal near the current level.
RSI (14): Reading of 27.94 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a possible bounce.
Stochastic Oscillator (14,3,1): Extremely low (17.32), aligning with the RSI to indicate oversold conditions.
ArTY Money Flow Index (MFI): Neutral, showing neither significant inflow nor outflow of capital.
Key Levels:
Support: $98,282 (current zone within the channel support).
Resistance: $107,153 (aligned with the channel's resistance and previous consolidation).
Breakout Zone: A break above $107,153 could signal bullish momentum toward higher resistance zones ($112,000–$120,000).
Breakdown Risk: A breakdown below $98,000 may trigger bearish continuation to the $90,000 support zone.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy
Long Position:
Enter near the support zone ($98,000–$99,000) with tight stop-loss at $97,000.
Confirm reversal with bullish candlestick patterns or volume breakout above $100,000.
Short Position:
If the price breaks below $98,000 with strong volume, consider shorting with a target of $92,000.
Take-Profit Levels:
For long trades, scale out profits at:
$105,000 (minor resistance).
$107,150 (channel resistance and key breakout level).
$112,000 (next major resistance).
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place stops 1–2% below the support level ($97,000 for long trades, $99,000 for short trades).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Aim for a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:3 (risk $1,000 to make $3,000).
Trade Management:
Monitor volume closely; rising volume during upward movement strengthens bullish conviction.
Use trailing stops to secure profits if the price moves favorably.
Breakout Trading:
If Bitcoin closes above $107,153 with strong momentum, consider entering a breakout trade targeting $112,000 and $120,000.
Contingency Plan:
Stay out if the price consolidates without clear direction near the current levels.
Avoid over-leveraging and stick to predefined risk parameters.
Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment within a descending channel. The oversold indicators and support proximity suggest a high-probability bounce, but traders must remain cautious of breakdown risks. The trading plan emphasizes disciplined risk management and capitalizes on both breakout and breakdown scenarios.
Bearish adventure startsMorning folks,
So, here we go... downside action starts as we've discussed last time. On weekly chart we still wait for confirmation in a way of price close below 3x3 DMA.
While on a daily one price hits oversold level. Those who know about this - we have DiNapoli bullish "Stretch" pattern for now, suggesting the pullback. That's why we do not consider immediate short entry.
Our 4H Diamond has worked just perfect. So everything goes absolutely fine.
For now we consider no longs on daily/weekly basis and waiting for the bounce, supposedly to ~102.20K area. Scalp traders on 1H TF and below could consider scalp long position with the same target.
I mark this setup as bullish because of this pullback. But, in general we keep bearish view...
It's disappointing !!!Once again, The price action could drop to $95K and then return to its peak. It will take some time to recover from the damage that these sh*t meme coins have done to the crypto market.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
what is the most effective indicator?There isn’t a single "most effective" trading indicator that works for everyone, as effectiveness depends on your trading style, strategy, and the market conditions. However, some indicators are considered more versatile or reliable when used correctly. Here's a breakdown to help you choose:
Most Effective for Trends:
Moving Averages (EMA or SMA):
Simple and effective for identifying trends.
Works well in trending markets but less reliable in sideways or choppy markets.
Pro Tip: Combine short-term and long-term moving averages for crossovers.
Ichimoku Cloud:
A comprehensive indicator that provides trend direction, support/resistance, and momentum.
Effective but requires practice to interpret correctly.
Most Effective for Overbought/Oversold Levels:
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
One of the most popular and effective indicators for spotting overbought or oversold conditions.
Works well in both trending and range-bound markets when combined with other tools.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Similar to RSI but includes %K and %D lines for crossovers.
Effective for momentum confirmation.
Most Effective for Volatility:
Bollinger Bands:
Great for identifying periods of high or low volatility and potential breakout zones.
Useful for sideways (range-bound) markets and trend reversals.
Average True Range (ATR):
Excellent for setting stop-loss levels and identifying market volatility trends.
Works well in conjunction with trend indicators.
Most Effective for Momentum:
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):
Ideal for spotting trend reversals and momentum shifts.
Effective when used with a confirmation indicator like RSI.
Parabolic SAR:
Simple for identifying trend direction and potential exit points.
Works best in trending markets.
Combination for Higher Effectiveness:
Trend + Momentum: Combine EMA with MACD to identify trends and entry/exit points.
Overbought/Oversold + Volume: Use RSI with Volume Indicators (e.g., OBV) to confirm breakouts or reversals.
Volatility + Trend: Use Bollinger Bands with Ichimoku Cloud to spot breakout opportunities with clear trend guidance.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Breakout Potential and Targeted Upsidehello guys!
The Bitcoin (BTC) price chart shows a strong upward trend after breaking out from a key resistance level. The breakout occurred around January 20, 2025, when the price surged through a horizontal resistance zone. The bullish momentum suggests that the price is headed toward the next significant resistance level near $110,000, marked by a potential target zone highlighted on the chart.
what I see:
Breakout Confirmation: BTC has successfully broken out from a consolidation zone, as indicated by the strong upward movement after the breakout.
Bullish Channel: The price is trading within an upward-sloping channel, with the breakout occurring near the middle of the channel. This suggests that the market has significant upward potential.
Potential Resistance: The next critical resistance lies at the $110,000 level, and if the price continues to gain momentum, it could reach $115,000, as seen in the forecasted range.
Support Level: A major support level lies near $99,000, which could provide a strong base for any short-term pullbacks.
GBPAUD Retesting Resistance with a Potential for Price ReversalGBPAUD is currently trading at 1.981, with a target price set at 2.000, indicating a potential gain of over 200 pips. The market analysis is based on the support and resistance pattern, which suggests key price levels where the pair may react. Currently, the pair is in a retesting phase, meaning it is testing the resistance level after a previous breakout or price movement. This retesting phase helps confirm whether the resistance holds or breaks. If the resistance holds, it signals a potential reversal, leading to a price drop. Traders are advised to closely monitor this retesting period for confirmation before taking positions. A rejection at the resistance level could trigger a bearish move. Patience during this period is critical to avoid premature entries. This setup reflects a potential opportunity for experienced traders following technical analysis strategies.
Bitcoin is gearing up for a rally. 120K target Bitcoin after the false breakout of resistance, which is associated with Trump's inauguration did not fall, but only consolidates near resistance. And this, I believe, is a very good sign that the price may continue its trend after exiting the triangle.
Scenario: Since after the strong growth and after the false breakout there is no fall and consolidation is formed, we can expect the continuation of the growth because I also point out a few more things:
- strong trend on senior timeframes
- locally the price does not update the minimums
- resistance retest is formed
- consolidation on the background of the uptrend.
Correspondingly: a break of the triangle resistance may increase buying interest, which may lead to another rally to ATH and even update it to 120K.
Gold XAUUSD | SELL After Elliot's 5-WaveWave Analysis:
Wave 1 (Initial Upswing):
Price moved from 2661 to 2723, marking the start of the bullish trend.
This wave is typically smaller as the market begins to establish direction.
Wave 2 (Correction):
A corrective pullback, retracing part of Wave 1.
Price moved down but respected the Fibonacci retracement zone (likely between 50% and 61.8%).
Wave 3 (Strong Upswing):
The strongest and most extended wave, moving from 2695 to 2759.
This wave aligns with higher momentum, reflecting a surge in bullish sentiment.
Wave 4 (Consolidation):
A sideways or shallow pullback, correcting Wave 3.
This wave is less aggressive than Wave 2, often reflecting profit-taking and market indecision.
Wave 5 (Final Push):
The last leg of the upward impulse, with prices rising from 2743 to 2786.
Momentum begins to weaken, and divergences on indicators like RSI or MACD might appear, suggesting exhaustion of the trend.
Current Market Outlook:
Trend Exhaustion:
The completion of Wave 5 at 2786 suggests that the bullish trend is nearing its end. The possibility of a trend reversal or a corrective move downward is high.
Potential Correction:
After the completion of the impulsive wave, an A-B-C corrective structure is likely to unfold.
Wave A could lead to an initial sell-off.
Wave B might be a temporary rebound or retracement.
Wave C would finalize the correction, potentially testing the 2661 level (Wave 1 origin).
Key Support Levels:
2743 (Wave 5 origin): The first major support.
2695 (Wave 3 origin): The second support level to watch for.
2661: A full retracement target if the correction deepens.
Resistance:
2786 (Wave 5 high) remains the key resistance level. A break above this might indicate an extension of the bullish trend.
Trading Signal:
Sell Entry: Upon confirmation of a break below 2743.
Targets:
First Target: 2710 (Wave 4 area).
Second Target: 2695 (Wave 3 origin).
Third Target: 2661 (Wave 1 origin).
Stop-Loss: Above 2786 to avoid risk from a potential upward extension.
Alternate Scenario:
If prices break and sustain above 2786, it could indicate the continuation of the bullish trend. Look for further upside toward 2800–2820.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to have completed its five-wave impulsive structure. The next likely scenario is a corrective A-B-C wave formation or a trend reversal. Monitor key levels and confirmation signals before executing trades.
OP/USD. It's time to RETURN! Technical analysis from 27.01.25Hello everyone, dear friends!
While bitcoin is holding in the phase of uncertainty, I suggest to consider the Op/Usd pair.
The price has been trading in a wedge structure for a long time, having formed a divergence. The spring is compressed for a long time and at the current moment I expect a breakdown on volume of the upper boundary of the triangle. Targets, entry point and stop loss are indicated on the chart.
From the recent:
Ldo from January 19:
Current picture:
Want more and, most importantly, for free, write in private messages, I will give access because here is forbidden advertising of third-party links.
Happy bidding!
ETH Rejected at POC – Bears Eye $3000 againOver the past two days, Ethereum struggled to maintain momentum above the Point of Control (POC) of the current range. Price action formed wicks above the POC but closed below, signaling clear rejection at this level.
Key Support Zone
The $3000 area holds significant support, bolstered by several confluences:
Fibonacci Levels: The 0.786 fib retracement ($3045) aligns with the old 0.618 fib retracement ($3025)
4H Bullish Block: A strong demand zone on the 4-hour timeframe supports this level
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: 1:1 extension lines up perfectly with the 0.618 fib retracement
Psychological Level: The round number at $3000 adds psychological strength to this support
Short Setup:
Entry: POC of the range
Stop Loss: Above the recent high
Take Profit: $3000 zone
Risk-Reward: 3:1, offering a solid trade opportunity
Long Setup (Confirmation Needed):
Entry: Between $3025–$3000, upon bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below $2900
Take Profit: open
XLM - Will XLM Find Strength or Stumble?XLM has been in a downtrend for the past 10 days after rejecting from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance. The price action shows lower highs and lower lows with no significant volume, signaling a potential continuation of the trend. Let’s identify the key support and resistance zones and possible trade setups.
Support Zone
A strong support zone lies between $0.3725 and $0.3695 based on multiple confluences:
Monthly Level: At $0.3725
Anchored VWAP: From the very low, the VWAP aligns with the monthly level
Fibonacci Retracement: Drawing the fib retracement from the year’s low to the recent high, the 0.75 Fibonacci level lies at $0.3695
Resistance Zone
Key Level: Price data highlights $0.435 as a significant S/R zone
Fibonacci Retracement: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the current wave aligns with the key level
Short Trade Setup
Entry: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement/key level at around $0.435
Stop Loss: Above the previous high
Take Profit: Target the support zone at round $0.3725
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4.5
Long Trade Setup (on confirmation)
Entry: Long position between the support zone of $0.3725 and $0.3695
Stop Loss: 3% SL
Take Profit: around 0.39/0.4
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 2 or better
Avax analysis and review: another rise or fall?hello guys
We came with Avax analysis.
This coin has been suffering for almost 35 days after its price drop, and now that the price is at the bottom of the trading range, it is expected that we will have an upward movement by maintaining the support range up to the ceiling of the trading range.
In case of failure, we will give you a new update.
*Trade safely with us*
Bitcoin, BTC, BearishDespite the abundance of positive news and expectations, I would say it's more probable for Bitcoin to dive down to fil the LVN area between 77K and 86K to rebalance the price offerings there and quickly return to POC level at around 97K.
The asset will always move quickly through an LVN area and only stabilize or "park" at a HVN or POC levels, but the problem with the next HVN for BTC is that it's too low, around 65K, which although not impossible yet not probable.
Sentiment Cycle Indicator update on BTC rallyDid you catch the move today? What a rally in BTC! It’s been an incredible day. Well played by sentiment cycle indicator (PAID). We received the signal right from the top, and the price surged all the way to the 1,750,000 level—a massive 4,400+ points move and further 2000+ points!!
After that, the price started pulling back, but notice there were no red background. That’s because the volume in that area wasn’t strong, and the sentiment hadn’t developed enough to confirm a trend shift. The indicator only provided a signal when a strong sentiment was detected. Look at the candles without any red areas, and then observe the first red signal—it was precise and aligned with the conditions.
Now, the price seems to be testing the last red candle, which could indicate a potential momentum shift. From here, it might turn sideways or attempt a pullback. How far could the pullback go? It could reach as high as 99,619, and if it closes above this level, the next target could be 1,02,569.85. At that point, we’ll analyze the price action again.
If it breaks out further, it could revisit the range around 1,05,000 or possibly between 1,06250 . However, in that range, a rejection could also occur. Let’s see how the price develops from here!
stay up to date by following me on tradingview!!
Bitcoin (BTC): Bloody Monday!On smaller timeframes, we can see the true meaning of "Bloody Monday."
Sellers started to sell aggressively, liquidating a lot of buyers who were FOMO-ing near top.
Now this might be just the beginning, as we are looking for the $91K zone to be reached, which will be the next zone where major moves will happen.
So far everything seems decent so let's wait now to see if the Monday candle will close!
Swallow Team
DOGE potential for 19% short term gain based on Neural Network
Hi all, I developed an simplified AI indicator and I applied it to the DOGE 4 hour time frame chart and got positive results. On average, the backtest is showing roughly a 19% gain per LONG trade. According to the script, we just exited a short trade, and entered a long trade, and the average long trade yields 19%.
Looking at DOGE’s recent price action and leveraging my custom neural network backtest, there's a strong possibility that the coin could see a short-term gain. The model has been extremely accurate in predicting these types of moves, taking into account factors such as market momentum and volume patterns. With the technicals aligning, it appears that DOGE is positioned for a bounce, especially with the broader crypto market showing positive signals.
Keep an eye on DOGE, as the bullish momentum might just surprise us with something bigger.
Bitcoin Update: Bears Nightmare!Bitcoin decently moved as expected according to my last analysis and now is ranging between 90 - 107K for almost 2 months and now I expect the price to make another last correction to GETTEX:97K and grab the liquidity to make a new leg up to the new all-time high of $130K and start the main move to my ultimate target of $150K. The zone between 154 - 172K will be the final top for BTC in this cycle in my opinion and I will fully close all my positions and execute my profits whenever the price hits this zone. I hope you guys all be in profit and stay safe and always DYOR.
VIRTUAL - A Long Opportunity or More Pain Ahead?VIRTUAL has dropped over 50% from its all-time high of $5.14, now trading around $2.50. A head and shoulders pattern has formed, with price currently testing the neckline, a bearish sign that could signal further downside. Let’s break down potential targets and trade setups.
Key Levels and Support Zone:
1.) POC from December 2024 Range:
Located at $1.67, a significant level from previous trading activity
2.) Anchored VWAP:
Taken from the lows, currently around $1.62, reinforcing the $1.66 zone as strong support
3.) Fibonacci Retracement (Log Scale):
The 0.382 Fib from the recent wave sits at $1.77, providing additional confluence for the support area
4.) Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension:
The 0.786 Fib aligns at $1.71, further strengthening the $1.70–$1.80 range as a reliable support zone
Trade Setups:
Short Setup:
Entry: $2.836 (Fib retracement 0.618 from the current downtrend)
Target: around $1.80
Stop Loss: Above $3
Risk-to-Reward: 5:1
Potential Drop: 30–40% from the entry level
Long Setup:
Entry: $1.70–$1.80 range
Target: Depends on confirmation and take profit areas. A realistic initial target could be around $2-$2.30
Stop Loss: Below $1.52
Risk-to-Reward: 2:1 or better depending on take profit strategy
Even if it falls, you should prepare for an uptrend
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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The High Boundary Zone has been changed to the 101947.24-103706.66 range.
Therefore, anything above 103706.00 is considered a high range.
However, the basic 106133.74 point is likely to act as resistance.
-
The StochRSI indicator is showing a decline to the 50 point range.
Therefore, since volatility is likely to occur, a quick response is required when trading.
Therefore, the point of observation is whether there is resistance near 106133.74.
When a new candle is created, if the StochRSI indicator falls below the 50 point, the key point is whether there is support near 101947.24-103706.66.
If there is support, I think there is a high possibility that the uptrend will continue.
If the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone and falls below 101947.24 and shows resistance, you should check whether it touches the BW(0) indicator or the HA-Low indicator.
The 93576.0-34742.35 zone is expected to be an important support and resistance zone.
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It seems that a lot of funds have flowed into the coin market through USDC.
Accordingly, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend soon.
As I said before, for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and remain there or show a downward trend.
The maximum decline point of USDT dominance is expected to be around 2.84.
After that, since USDT dominance is expected to show an upward trend, the coin market is expected to show a downward wave.
If it goes up by 4.97 or more, I think you can definitely tell that a downtrend is in progress.
-
Based on the above coin market cap chart, this uptrend is expected to be the last uptrend.
Therefore, even if the price falls, a trading strategy that prepares for an uptrend is needed.
The point to watch is whether this uptrend can rise to the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.24 (116940.43).
This volatility period is expected to continue until January 31.
The next volatility period is expected to be around February 9-16.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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HelenP. I Bitcoin can correct to support level and start to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In this chart, the price declined to the trend line and then rebounded and started to grow inside the pennant, where it soon reached the support level. After this movement, the price broke this level, which coincided with the support zone and made a retest, after which continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Then BTC made the small correction, after which in a short time, it rose to the resistance zone and then made a correction movement to the 99500 support level. Next, the price made a strong impulse up to 109560 points (NEW ATH), breaking the resistance level, but soon turned around and dropped back to the trend line. Price some time traded near the trend line and then rose to the resistance zone, after which turned around and started to decline. In a short time, BTC fell to the trend line, broke it, thereby exiting from the pennant pattern also, and then continued to fall. At the moment, the price continues to decline and I expect that BTCUSDT will decline to the support level and then start to grow to the resistance level. For this level, I set my goal at 105800 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC Update (4H)Bitcoin seems to have made a strong bullish move, and an important knot has been cleared. This clearing will likely retrace downward but with a time correction.
The target is the green circle.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You