Bitcoin Breaks Resistance – Bullish Flag in Play(Short-term)!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise and pump after '' the Mastercard Plans to Enable 3.5 Billion Cardholders to Transact with Bitcoin and Crypto, " and the US indexes movements and managed to break the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580) .
Bitcoin is moving near the Monthly Pivot Point and Support lines .
Bitcoin seems to be completing the Bullish Flag Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to reach the Targets I have outlined on the chart in the coming hours and most likely fill the CME Gap($86,620_$86,565) .
There is a possibility that Bitcoin will fall again after this increase. What do you think!?
Note: The Crypto market is full of excitement. Please pay more attention to capital management than before.
Note: This analysis could be a short-term Roadmap for Bitcoin .
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $83,500, we should expect further declines, possibly heavy declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
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BTC
BTC update 28.03.2025The zone of interest I have outlined, when internal liquidity is achieved. In the same zone we have horizontal volumes.
So I'm waiting for a reaction from this zone
We are still continuing to form the bottom of the correction.
The next 4 days will be a struggle to close the monthly candle, it should close green.
Bets Regards, EXCAVO
BTC 4H Technical & Fundamental AnalysisTRUMP EFFECT & RESISTANCE DENIAL
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
As we expected, Bitcoin reached the upper band of the falling channel (approximately $88,000), touched the red resistance circle and then experienced a strong rejection. The timing of this technical rejection is no coincidence.
Last night, former US President Donald Trump's announcement that he would impose new customs duties on all countries of the world created a risk-off mood in the markets . In particular, global uncertainty and protectionist policies triggered selling pressure in risk assets such as Bitcoin.
Technically:
🔸RSI still has no obvious negative mismatch.
🔸However, since the price cannot break the upper band of the falling channel, this region continues to work as a selling zone for now.
If this retracement movement deepens, the first major support level of $73.777 , followed by the $69.000 line may come to the agenda.
On the other hand, if the price manages to regain strength and break this zone in volume, there may be a rapid movement to the GETTEX:92K - $95K band.
In short, Technical resistance + Trump news effect combined, we can say that the market has stepped back for now. From now on, volume and news flow will be directional.
#btc #Bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency
BTC TARIFF TALKAs President Trump steps up on the stage to deliver his tariff plan BTC had a steady price rise going into the talk, a nice HH & HL LTF structure up into range high/ last weeks high, then as the speech began all of the progress made throughout the day wiped in less than 2 hours to reset BTC's price to Tuesdays low.
In the end the news event gave volatility as expected but ultimately the structure remains the same, rangebound. As the Tax year comes to an end it would be a hard ask for this choppy price action to shift bullish when institutions are going to be window dressing their portfolios for the next financial year.
In essence A continued LTF range with an overall HTF bearish trend looks to continue, this is compounded by yet another failed attempt at the 4H 200 EMA which had temporarily been broken but sent back below by the tariff announcements.
The SPX, DJI & NASDAQ Futures pre-market is looks dreadful so a revisit on the range low is probable on the cards at some stage today.
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)If we look at Bitcoin on hourly timeframes, we expect a rejection from the red zone. However, this rejection must be strong because if it is weak, Bitcoin may not be inclined to correct further or might at least enter a choppy corrective trend.
The substructure is also bearish, a trigger line has been lost, and ultimately, we have a bearish iCH on the chart.
Closing a 4-hour candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Chainlink LongAfter a few months of waiting on the sidelines we are back with a chainlink long after a deep retrace.
Link is showing bullish divergence on the lower timeframes after double bottoming at this crucial support and completing an 886 retracement of an informal Gartley. The support level can be seen across time below.
The only question would be to either wait until the end of the day for this support candle to print or to go in now before confirmation. We will go in with 50% of our ideal position size now and then allocate at the end of the day or tomorrow.
Check if it can rise along the rising trend line (2)
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We need to see if USDT and USDC can continue the gap uptrend.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
If BTC dominance rises above 62.47 and maintains or continues to rise, altcoins are likely to record a larger decline.
Therefore, you should think about how to respond to the altcoins you are trading.
If the uptrend continues, it is expected to rise to the Fibonacci ratio range of 0 (73.63) ~ 1 (77.07).
In order for the altcoin bull market to begin, it must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or show a downward trend.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
In order for the coin market to begin an upward trend, the USDT dominance must fall below 4.97 and be maintained or show a downward trend.
If it does not, and it rises, the coin market is likely to show a downward trend.
We need to see if it can meet resistance near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 and fall.
If not, the coin market will show a large downward trend as it rises to around 7.14.
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USDT is likely to continue to rise.
This is because it is the fund that supports the coin market.
Due to this, USDT dominance is also likely to continue its upward trend.
Therefore, rather than following the overall flow of USDT dominance, it is better to look at where it starts to decline.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart while maintaining the price above the upward trend line (2) and passing through April 4-6 is the key.
In order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above 89294.25, so if possible, we should also look at whether it can rise above 89294.25.
If it does not and falls along the downward trend line, it is possible that it will touch around 73499.86 during the volatility period around April 25.
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The most recently formed high-point trend line is trend line (3).
And, the recently formed low-point trend line is the (2) trend line.
Since these two trend lines are not moving in one direction, we can see that we are currently in the volatility zone.
If the StochRSI indicator rises this time and forms a peak in the overbought zone and then falls, the high-point trend line will draw an upward trend line like the low-point trend line.
When that happens, it seems likely that the trend will start.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether the two volatility periods in this April, around April 5 and around April 25, will become turning points.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC range.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Looking at the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Bitcoin- Short term recovery?As you know, I am bearish on Bitcoin in the long term. However, in the short term, the cryptocurrency could see a recovery.
Yesterday, the price tested the 81,000 support zone once again and rebounded from that level. Now, Bitcoin is pushing against the 83,500 resistance, and I believe a breakout is likely.
If that happens, we could see further gains, with 86,500 as the next key target for the bulls.
In conclusion, I’m bullish on BTC in the coming days and will be looking to buy dips.
Falling towards pullback support?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 81,250.81
1st support: 78,517.93
1st Resistance: 86,600.97
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86K for another short sellMorning folks,
So, not occasionally we said in previous 2-3 updates that BTC action doesn't look bullish and we suggest a new nosedive. Now we have bearish engulfing pattern on weekly chart . And consider these two Fib levels for another short entry attempt. Of course, 86K would be just perfect, but it could start earlier. One of the possible shapes we consider a downside butterfly.
In general, re-test of 70-73K area on average fits to our long-term view.
In a case if 86K will be broken, it could mean that market is tending to 93.5K target, based on daily AB=CD pattern . But we consider this scenario as less probable due on overall BTC heavy performance in a recent few weeks.
Thus, for now, if you want to make a scalp long trade, you could try, but better to set initial target not higher than 86K.
Our major scenario is bearish and we consider 84K and 86K Fib levels for accumulation of a bearish position, unless something extraordinary will happen.
Profit to everybody, Peace.
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE !!A downward trend line indicates resistance; the price is struggling to move above this line.
The green line at around 78,000 to 79,000 USDT is a crucial support level, providing a base for the price movement.
Recent fluctuations: The price shows a recent bounce, indicating a potential bullish reversal if it breaks the trend line.
Future forecast: The upward arrow indicates a bullish outlook; if the upward movement continues, then targets around 102,500 to 110,000 USDT can possibly be set.
If you have specific questions or need further analysis on certain aspects, feel free to ask!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BTCUSD: Conservative September Target $150kBitcoin remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 46.307, MACD = 1999.100, ADX = 44.501), firmly supported on top of the 1W MA50. On this analysis you see the Channel Up that dictated the price action of the last three Cycles. Since December 2023 BTC has traded solely inside the 0.382 - 0.618 Fibonacci Zone, the median zone of the Channel Up. The Theory of pre-Halving / post-Halving symmetry implies that the time range from the Cycle Bottom to the Halving is almost the same as the time from the Halving to the Cycle Top. Since on the current Cycle, the time from the Bottom to the Halving has been 76 weeks, in theory the Top should be another 76 weeks from the Halving. We take the worst case estimate of 74 weeks like the 2017 Top. That's the end of September. And with regards to the target, a conservative estimate is just over the 0.5 Fib at 150k, like the highs of December 2024 and March 2024.
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ADA Spot Trade Setup – Support Level OpportunityCardano (ADA) is currently sitting at a key support zone, presenting a solid risk-to-reward long opportunity if bulls can hold the level.
🛠 Trade Plan:
Entry: $0.63 – $0.70
Take Profit Targets:
$0.78 – $0.84 (First Target)
$0.96 – $1.02 (Extended Target)
Stop Loss: Just below $0.58
$BTC bullish / bearish uptrend trajectory The BTC is completing its 4th #ElliottWave on the weekly timeframe.
The 1W #MA50 still serves as historical #support, with Trump's #tariffs as a drag.
The optimistic scenario extends the 5th point to ~120K, while a pessimistic scenario expects a #retest of the ~55K support zone of the 200 Moving Average.
BTC Dominance Chart Analysis. 50-day MA: 61.94% (Notable Support Level)
200-day MA: 59.21% (Strong Support)
Trend: The chart shows a bullish trend in BTC dominance since the beginning of the year, with higher lows forming.
Resistance Level: A key resistance area lies around 63%, which the price is currently testing.
Support Level: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages provide solid support below current levels.
Update Points
Short-term outlook: If BTC dominance stays above 62%, it could reach 63% resistance.
Long-term indicators: Continued support at the moving averages suggests bullish sentiment if BTC can maintain its position.
Market Conditions: Monitor fluctuations in altcoin performance, which could impact BTC's dominance positively or negatively.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Can it hit 89,000 again?The price trend of BTC has once again become the focus of global investors' attention.
Previously, BTC experienced a period of consolidation, during which the bulls and bears engaged in repeated games. Now, the bulls of BTC have risen strongly, unleashing powerful upward momentum.
With a swift and fierce move, it has broken through the key resistance level of 85,000 at one stroke. This breakthrough is like a fuse igniting the market, and the upward trend has spread rapidly. It is expected that it will further challenge the range of 87,000-89,000 in the future.
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