BTC Consolidates Above Pivot – Bullish Momentum Toward 113,770?BITCOIN OVERVIEW
Crypto Breakout or Crash? Powell's July Message Becomes the Deciding Factor
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill has intensified the uncertainty surrounding risk assets.
He emphasized that while inflation has eased significantly since mid-2022, it remains “somewhat elevated”, and the Fed is in no rush to shift its policy stance.
This leaves markets with a binary outcome: crypto breakout or macro-driven pullback—and July may be the turning point.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – BTC/USD
Bitcoin remains in bullish momentum, having stabilized above the pivot level at 107,750.
The price is currently pushing toward the key resistance zone between 108,950 and 110,360.
A breakout above this zone would likely lead to continuation toward the next ATH target at 113,770.
However, consolidation is expected between 108,950 and 106,320 until a breakout occurs.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 107,750
Resistance: 108,950 → 110,360 → 113,770
Support: 106,320 → 104,150
BTC
110K, maybe 112K at the bestMorning folks,
So, previous setup is done perfect, and BTC even reached 108K area. Now we think that upside potential is limited, at least in short-term. Price is coming to resistance area around 110K and previous top. Some intraday targets point on 112K area as well, but I wouldn't count now on something more extended.
The point is US Dollar stands at record monthly Oversold. So, its weakness in short term is limited as well. Besides, we're coming to very bumpy period of tariffs negotiations from 9th of July, debt ceil discussion and BBB voting, as early as tomorrow...
So for now, uncertainty and risk overcome the upside potential on BTC.
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 103,943.66
1st Support: 101.141.44
1st Resistance: 108,761.68
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
1 Year of Bitcoin Bull Run Remaining? In the chart above, we’re analyzing Bitcoin’s historical cycles to see if the current cycle follows a similar pattern.
Bear Run (1 Year): In each of the last three cycles, Bitcoin experienced a bear market lasting exactly 1 year from the all-time high (ATH). This phase saw a significant drop in price as the market corrected.
Bull Run from Bottom (1,064 Days): In the last two cycles, once the bottom was established, Bitcoin entered a consistent bull market that lasted approximately 1,064 days. During this period, the price gradually climbed, eventually reaching new highs.
Current Bitcoin Cycle:
So far, the current cycle appears to be following the same pattern as previous cycles. We’ve already experienced a 1-year bear market after reaching the previous all-time high (ATH).
Currently, we have completed 2 years of a bull run from the bottom, aligning with the 1,064-day bull run observed in past cycles. Based on this historical pattern, we may have 1 year of bull run remaining, which could potentially push Bitcoin to new highs by late 2025.
If this trend continues, it suggests a strong opportunity for growth over the next year, mirroring the end phase of past cycles.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Regards
Hexa
SatochiTrader Expecting a huge BTC CRASH AFTER This..BTC Market Update by SatochiTrader
EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND.
Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash.
This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well.
We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections.
A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't.
The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview.
This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC.
Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
2/1/15I’ve found a fractal on Bitcoin. Today is June 25, 2025, 13:22 — I’m analyzing the 2-hour timeframe from the high on May 22 up to today, and the same pattern of pre-accumulation is forming as in 2024, from March 13 to July 29, 2024.
We are also inside a pattern I named “Dragon’s Wings.” It forms two peaks at the highs after a strong rally, and the shared low between them creates a deep retracement.
Whether this pattern leads to the beginning of a major drop and a bear cycle, or whether it’s a pre-accumulation structure in a buffer zone, depends on the area in which it forms.
In this case, the 93–74K zone is potentially a re-accumulation zone, with a reversal to the upside — possibly taking Bitcoin above $140,000.
GOLD Trading: trategy: Look to SELL at resistance zone,downtrend🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone (Sell Limit): 3,353 – 3,357 USD
Stop Loss (SL): 3,375 USD
Take Profit (TP): 3,280 – 3,283 USD
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3 → suitable for 2–4 session swing trades.
📊 Technical Analysis:
1. Overall Trend:
GOLD is clearly in a downtrend, confirmed by:
A descending trendline connecting recent lower highs.
Price consistently forming lower highs and lower lows.
2. Indicator-Based Analysis:
🔹 SMA 89 (Purple Line):
Price is trading below the 89-period SMA, confirming bearish momentum.
SMA89 acts as a dynamic resistance, and the 3,353–3,357 zone aligns with this resistance level.
🔹 BB20 (Bollinger Bands):
The upper band sits near 3,383, close to the SL zone → validating 3,375 as a proper stop.
Price is currently bouncing from the lower BB, so a rejection from the mid-to-upper band is likely, supporting a SELL setup.
🔹 Volume Analysis:
Volume is decreasing during this recent rebound, indicating:
Weak bullish pressure, typical of a corrective move.
The rally lacks conviction → strengthens the bearish case.
BTC/USD 1h Chart Analysis: BTFDBitcoin is showing a bullish structure on the 1h timeframe with a potential move towards $109,000.
On smaller timeframes, it exhibits a clear "buy the dip" profile.
Key Levels:
$109,000: Potential upside target.
$107,000: Resistance/Support zone to watch for rejection.
$105,000: Low Volume Node (LVN*) a possible good long entry zone.
$102,000 - $100,000: Support levels to monitor if $105,000 fails.
Currently it have bullish trend with a potential dip near $105,000 showing good entry point.
DEFI the Next Crypto Sleeper? Trump Jr. & O’Leary Back on Stage!Fundamental Bullish Case:
1. Huge Names Are Paying Attention
Earlier this year, De.Fi held a high-profile event attended by Donald Trump Jr. and Kevin O’Leary. Regardless of political views, this kind of exposure brings:
Mainstream visibility to a previously overlooked microcap.
Credibility among non-crypto retail investors.
The possibility of future partnerships or integrations with major capital players.
When figures like O’Leary (a former FTX critic turned crypto backer) show up, it means the project is on the radar.
2. De.Fi = A Web3 Security & Aggregator Suite
The DEFI token powers the De.Fi “super app”, which combines:
Smart contract security auditing (via their Scanner tool).
Cross-chain asset dashboard — track DeFi investments in one place.
Swap and bridge functionality — a unified DeFi experience.
In a post-FTX world, security + simplicity is the future of Web3 adoption — and De.Fi is positioning itself at that intersection.
3. Microcap with Moonshot Potential
Market cap under $3 million, fully diluted cap still under $30 million.
Token has already proven it can reach $1.00 — and even a partial recovery gives 100x potential from current prices.
Strong upside asymmetry compared to overbought majors.
4. 2025 = Altcoin Season Potential
As Bitcoin cools and liquidity rotates, microcaps historically outperform in the late-stage bull cycle. DEFI could ride this wave as attention flows from BTC to altcoins with good narratives and active dev teams.
Technical Analysis: Reversal in Progress?
All-Time Low was just 2 days ago ($0.0016).
Since then, price has jumped over 57%, showing early-stage accumulation and short-squeeze activity.
A move above $0.0030 could confirm a breakout from this capitulation bottom.
If momentum sustains, initial resistance targets are $0.006, $0.01, and $0.025 — still just a fraction of ATH.
Price Target Scenarios:
Target % Upside from $0.0026 Reasoning
$0.006 +130% Technical breakout level
$0.01 +280% Psychological + chart level
$0.10 +3,700% Mid-tier recovery, low float
$1.00 (ATH) +38,000% Full retrace (moonshot)
Final Thoughts:
DEFI is not a sure thing - it’s volatile, it’s tiny, and it was forgotten for months. But with renewed attention from major names, an actual working product in the DeFi space, and a chart that just bounced 50% off its lows, it may be gearing up for a new chapter.
If you're looking for an early-stage altcoin with real upside potential in this cycle, DEFI is one to watch.
BTCUSD – Major Decision Point at The Edge📍 By: MJTrading |||
Bitcoin has rallied sharply from ~$98K and is now testing a critical confluence zone — the top of the descending channel and a strong supply area, known as "The Edge."
EMAs are turning up, supporting bullish momentum
⏳ What’s Next?
At this stage, two scenarios emerge:
⚠️ This is a make-or-break zone:
🟩 Breakout above the channel signals trend reversal → next resistance: $111K
🟨 Rejection leads to a move back to the $103K or $100K levels
This setup offers a high-RR opportunity for both breakout traders and mean reversion players.
🧠 Trade the reaction at the edge, not the prediction.
Thanks for your attention...
Share your thoughts...
—
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TheEdge #BreakoutOrBounce #CryptoSetup #DescendingChannel #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SwingTrade #EMA #RiskReward #MJTrading #4hChart #TrendDecision #SupplyZone
Bitcoin is gearing up for 120K and 140K (1D)The flip zone has been reclaimed, but no proper pullback had occurred. The recent pullback came with a sweep of the all-time high (ATH), which has caused confusion and uncertainty among market participants.
In fact, this drop can be interpreted as a pullback to the flip zone, accompanied by an ATH hunt.
We expect the price, after touching the green zone and forming a base around this level, to move toward the targets of 120K and 140K — which we currently consider as Bitcoin’s final targets for this cycle.
A weekly candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTCUSDT – Rebound from trendline, targeting 115,300On the daily chart, BTCUSDT has bounced from a confluence support zone around 105,200, where the rising trendline meets the FVG, confirming that the bullish structure remains intact. The current price pattern suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with a short-term target at the 115,300 resistance zone — a level that has previously rejected price multiple times.
If this level is broken, momentum could extend toward the 120,000 area in the medium term. As long as the price holds above the trendline, the bullish outlook remains valid.
On the news front, market sentiment is improving as Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. show signs of renewed inflows, coupled with growing expectations that the Fed might pause rate hikes due to recent signs of economic weakness.
BTC/USD 1D Chart📊 1. Technical formation: Downtrend channel marked with orange lines
Upper trend line (resistance): ~108,200 – 110,000 USD
Lower trend line (support): ~98,455 – 97,000 USD
➡️ Such a formation usually ends with a breakout. The direction of the breakout will be key – currently, the price is testing the upper resistance line.
💵 2. Support and resistance levels
📈 Resistance:
108.202 – currently tested
112.037 – psychological level
114.816 – local top
📉 Support:
105.300 – SMA 50 + local support
103.424 – local lows
100.510 – key psychological support
98.455 – lower edge of the triangle
📉 3. Moving averages (SMA)
SMA 50 (green): currently as dynamic support (~105.300)
SMA 200 (blue): far below the price (~96.000), inactive in the short term
SMA 20 (red): price broke through it upwards – a signal of bullish strength
➡️ A bullish crossover took place between SMA 20 and SMA 50 → bullish signal.
📉 4. MACD (Momentum)
MACD line is approaching the intersection with the signal line from below.
The histogram is becoming less and less red → a potential intersection and a bullish crossover signal may occur any day now.
📉 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently: 57.19
RSI is rising and approaching the overbought zone (70), but it is not overheated yet.
Exceeding 60 would be a signal of further bullish strength.
🔍 6. Volume and context
There is no volume marking on the candles, but:
The current bullish candle is strong and breaks through the key averages (SMA 20, 50).
This indicates buyer activity with technical support.
🟢 Bullish scenario (if a breakout occurs up)
A breakout above 108.200 with a close of the daily candle could open the way to:
112.037 (next resistance)
then even 114.816
🔴 Bearish scenario (false breakout)
A rejection from 108.200 and a drop below 105.300 → a possible return to:
103.424 or even 98.455 (lower triangle line)
symmetrical triangle in progressBitcoin has been consolidating at this level for several weeks, easing some of the pressure in order to push above 120K. As of today, we have a clear formation—a large symmetrical triangle—which confirms the continuation of the upward trend and rules out any possibility of returning to lower levels.
UNEXPECTED RISK CRASH FREE FALL AFTER TREND DATA FOR TH NEXT 48HDepending on our study, BTC has a high chance of a new crash below 100K.
The next 48 hours are important for the trend change of BTC, which can allow the trend to free-fall below 100K
BTC is at a top, and it did recovery always recovered on the M volume top., We are now again on the same trend.
BTC can return below 100K as this update shows, with the possibility of targeting the main target 85K - This is the trend zone for new interest.
The reason for this crash is that BTC has not confirmed the cycle, which means the end of the cycle. There is always possibility that the market can act green, but we expect it can show an unexpected breakdown.
Bitcoin Reclaims Momentum: War Fears Fading, Bulls Eye $125K! MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN just delivered a powerful bounce right off the critical $100K level. A key psychological and technical support zone tested multiple times in recent sessions. This time, the bounce came with strong volume confirmation, signaling renewed buyer interest. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East begin to ease, market confidence is returning, fueling bullish sentiment across the board.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC now looks poised to retest the $110K resistance zone, where some short-term rejection could occur. However, a decisive breakout above $110K opens the gates for a potential rally toward the next major target at $125K. Stay sharp, always manage your risk, and don’t forget to set a proper stop loss. The trend is strong, and momentum is building!
Follow Our Tradingview Account for More Technical Analysis Updates, | Like, Share and Comment Your thoughts
Bitcoin - What's next ? BINANCE:BTCUSDT (12H CHART) Technical Analysis Update
Now that ceasefire is announced, bitcoin price has successfully recovered to the resistance level and currently trading at the resistance zone. It's critical that bitcoin breaks this resistance for it to hit the next resistance around 110K .
I'm expecting price to reach 110k this week and we can see some consolidation in that range before moving further up.
Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
A Disciplined Approach to BTC/USDT - Wait for the Right Set Up!Right now, I’m closely monitoring BTC/USDT — and what immediately jumps out is how aggressively this rally has pushed upward 🚀. We’ve seen price climb into a key external range high, taking out liquidity that was likely sitting just above those prior highs 💧.
This kind of move is often where institutional players step in to offload positions, as the liquidity makes it easier to find counterparts for previous accumulation phases 🏦. The way this price action is unfolding, I wouldn't be surprised to see a correction or retracement soon.
With the market this stretched, I’m not looking to get long here — especially not while BTC is trading at such a clear premium 🎯. No edge in chasing the highs.
Instead, I’ll be sitting back, waiting for a healthy pullback and a confirmed bullish structure shift before considering any entries 🔄📊. There’s no need to force trades in these conditions. Patience protects capital 🛡️.
⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just my current market perspective.
$BTC Update CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $106,586 resistance in effect and testing as of now, $104,987 current support. $103,093 key support from here, $107,461 support required to reattempt taking $110,423. Dropping volume on 1D, Previous daily closed trying to follow thru on a bullish engulfing from Monday's close, current 1W looking massive good but it's just the beginning of the week - Watch given S/R.
LINKUSD Paths on OfferPretty clear accumulation stages going on and so I am inclined to think we head towards the Bullish path to ~$100
Bears will want to buy LINK at massive discounts and so perhaps we do see some capitulation before our next mark-up phase.
However, the current Total Market cycle patterns, along with the BTC pairing, almost rule out the possibility of further downside, or at least major downside.
BTCUSD – Price Approaching The Edge of the Channel📍 BTCUSD – Price Approaching The Edge of the Channel
Bitcoin has surged sharply from the lower boundary of its descending channel and is now reaching another “Edge” — the upper resistance line.
🎯 Two Key Scenarios:
🟩 Bullish Breakout: A clear breakout above ~$108,000 with strong volume could initiate a new leg toward $111K and beyond
🟨 Bearish Rejection: Failure to break the channel may lead to a corrective wave back toward $103K or lower
This is a classic "decision point" — where market structure and momentum meet supply and resistance.
—
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TheEdge #ChannelTrading #EMA #BitcoinResistance #MJTrading #CryptoSetup #SwingTrade #MarketStructure #BreakoutOrRejection #KeyLevel #TrendWatch