BTC
BTCUSD - Will history repeats itself ?This post is just a correction from a post I made last month
I missed on identifying correctly the pattern because I thought the middle of the channel would act as a strong support
ended up being wrong on the timing of the next wave up - not a big deal tho
I also profit of this moment to update the fractal path that's BTC is doing, as you can see the asset is just copying move from last year (in violet) this is quite interesting because it did this the whole cycle, i don't remember seeing this before but maybe i'm wrong
so yeah the violet bar patterns says we go great wave up in a few days can you believe it ?
i'll start to take profit next month but not sure 100% id like to see what is going to do Pectra update on Eth's price
Here's a bigger picture i made in November still working very well :
not financial advice
Cheers
GBPCAD Signals a Shift: Key Moves to Watch This Week
In the GBPCAD market, all signs are pointing to a pivotal moment early this week. Monday and Tuesday present a strong likelihood of price rejection, potentially signaling a shift in direction. On higher timeframes, the bias suggests an imminent change, as the price approaches a key supply zone. Meanwhile, on the lower 1-hour chart, the story becomes even clearer—price action has already begun to hint at this transition, painting a picture of an anticipated reversal.
With the supply zone within reach, traders can expect a significant movement in the coming days. The bias indicates not just a brief fluctuation but a probabilities trend that could sustain momentum for at least two weeks. This week holds the potential for dynamic trading opportunities, setting the stage for a compelling narrative in the GBPCAD pair. Keep an eye on the charts—this could be the moment where preparation meets opportunity.
BTC - Steady... steady... almost there!BTC in the short term is looking very much like a WXYXZ is forming. We should therefore see a low, which could temporarily breach the lower trend line. In fact, it'd make for a bullish signal if it did - so watch this carefully. If we see it ping back within the channel, then the formation will likely complete. Next thing we'll need to look for us the breakthrough of the upper trend line. This would then lead to higher higher and the completion of wave 5 of 1 which we have long been looking for. I'm not going to take any actions here until either trend line is decisively broken leading to a trend change. Looks good though, follow for more.
Bitcoin Futures
Another week concludes for the Bitcoin futures market without closing above the all-time high. The RSI is in overbought territory, showing a bearish divergence. It might be prudent to close the futures gap and look for a bullish divergence before expecting further upward movement. The price might revert to the high of the RSI for support, which was around the 49k area.
Key to upcoming price action pathHere are 2024 September - November USDt rally metrics:
66 days, 4.6 Trillions volume.
The first sub wave of micro degree is 1.39 points or 20.85% length.
The third sub wave of micro degree is 2.32 points or 35.7%. Which led to +89% at BTC, from 52k to 99k.
The triangle in fourth position has 0.75 points - 16.77% min basement or 0.97 - 20.69% max height. Triangles usually precede the last wave in the direction of the main trend. The terminal point for this triangle may reach 3.15% dominance and last in approximately the next 80 days.
The dominance of USDt on RSI 2D TF signals a downward divergence.
I think the signal line could reach ~22% before meeting the support trend line and reversing. It is -18% from the current point.
These values coincide with trend lines on Bitcoin, about 155k, or +55% from the current point.
Dodgecoin in percentage terms does move about 2x further.
This is a third confirmation proving upcoming rise in all crypto assets.
keep in mind that there is always place for an alternative waves count, but i bet that the analysis results worth millions!
So, wish you safe trading, fat profits and see you again :)
Bitcoin TA Alert: Perfect $97K Long Setup Incoming?Bitcoin remains range-bound between $107K and $100K as we approach the weekend. Let’s break down the current key levels and trade setups based on the data available.
Support and Long Setup
The GETTEX:97K level emerges as a strong support zone for a long trade setup:
0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high aligns perfectly at GETTEX:97K
The POC (Point of Control) from the 70-day trading range also sits at this level, adding confluence
If the price reaches GETTEX:97K by Sunday or Monday, the trendline support will further strengthen this zone
A laddered long position can be placed around GETTEX:97K , with:
Stop-loss: Below $93K
Take Profit: around $113K
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4:1 - an attractive trade setup
Resistance and Short Setup
For the short trade setup, the current price around $106K offers an opportunity:
Enter a short trade targeting the GETTEX:97K level
Stop-loss: Above the all-time high (ATH) at $107K
Take Profit (TP): GETTEX:97K
R:R: 2:1 - reasonable given the tight risk management
27/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $109,555.48
Last weeks low: $99,643.66
Midpoint: $104,599.57
A new Bitcoin ATH as President Trumps second term officially begins! Just shy of $110K with a much tighter range of $10k from range low to high leaves Bitcoin in a very interesting place going into what has been called the first "pro-crypto" administration.
Now the weekly close is an interesting one as there is a clear sell-off that has continued at time of writing bringing the price down below the weekly low. This has been a common theme in recent weeks as either a bearish SFP of the weekly high early in the week resulting in a sell-off for the remaining days. Or the opposite were a sweep of the weekly low early on results in a recover rally for the rest of the week. As of right now the later is in play but what is causing this sell-off this time?
The AI issue:
The recent headlines have been that the US wants to win the AI war and be the dominant force in what is possibly the most important product of the future. OpenAI, Grok, Meta etc all have AI products and services and the US government hope that by backing these companies the US can be the victors of this race. However, the game has changed with the release of "DeepSeek R1" a chinese AI competitor with some remarkable attributes that has the US stock market very worried as reflected in the pre-market.
DeepSeek R1 was reportedly built for $6m, now this is a Chinese company and therefor any numbers should be taken with a pinch of salt but OpenAI has raised $17.9B for ChatGPT and many now see DeepSeek as a superior product in many ways:
- Less GPU intensive due to a more efficient and streamlined model, this is mainly why NVIDIA pre-market is down 11% at time of writing, investors are seeing that perhaps US companies have overblown the demand for GPU's as the product they are making is not optimised in comparison.
- Considerably cheaper due to this streamlined approach, personally this is a symptom of how America has been operating as a nation since the pandemic, a severe lack of efficiency made up for by throwing insane amounts of capital at the problem with no thought as to where the money comes from (printed via QE & tax payer funding). DeepSeek just proved why Trumps planned approach of getting value for money and increasing efficiency is a winning formula, anything else is unsustainable.
- Open source code, we would expect the company called OpenAI that was founded on the basis of transparency and the mission to do good as a non-profit would be the product that has publicly available code, but no that would be DeepSeek... This further compounds just how out of touch the US based AI companies have got, the quest for revenue has taken over as the mission goal, which in the case of AI is very dangerous.
To conclude the AI problem, the Chinese AI product is cheaper, more efficient and more transparent that current US based products and that is why indirectly BTC took a tumble.
On the data news this week FOMC is on Wednesday, the forecast is for interest rates to remain unchanged however the volatility of FOMC often leads to interesting price action, this could be another reason for the sell-off as de-risking takes place.
For this week I am looking at using the chaos to find goo d long entries, I still think that Feb-March looks good until I have reason to think otherwise. Weekly low is a key S/R level that will determine by bias in the short term until then.
TL;DR
- DeepSeek R1 worrying investors of US AI companies as the Chinese AI product is far cheaper, more efficient and more transparent. US stocks down on pre-market.
- FOMC midweek, first of Trump admin, volatility expected.
- Weekly low key S/R level for BTC
HelenP. I Bitcoin can drop from resistance level to $98K pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and started to trades close. A few moments later, BTC rebounded to 100K points, after which made a correction back to the 93500 support level and even fell to the support zone. After this, the price turned around and started to grow to a resistance level. When BTC reached this level, it rebounded, dropped back to the support zone, and even lowered to 91K points. Then the price tried to grow, but failed and declined to the trend line. But soon, the price turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, broke this level, and continued to move up. Bitcoin reached a new ATH and then made a correction back to the resistance area, where it some time traded and a not long time ago reached the trend line, broke it, and dropped below the 102700 level, breaking it too. So, in my mind, BTCUSDT will reach a resistance level and then rebound down. For this case, I set my goal at 98K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Anticipated ZEN Drop Hits Target – Long Now?The anticipated drop I was watching has played out, providing excellent long setups across many coins, including ZEN. ZEN retraced perfectly to the POC at $17.07, aligning with the fib retracement 0.85
This confluence makes it an ideal long setup, offering great potential gains
Long Entry: $17.3
Target 1: $21 (R:R 2.5)
Target 2: $27 (R:R 6)
Bitcoin’s Next Move: Long Setup or Deeper Correction Below $95K?As I expected , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued to fall to the Support zone($101,280-$99,500) , and it even seems that it has broken .
Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($101,280-$99,500) , a set of support lines , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave 3 and is completing the main wave 4 .
I expect Bitcoin to follow the Roadmap I outlined in my chart in the coming hours . Because Bitcoin is near the set of support parameters , I chose the label of this idea as LONG .
Note: Like the previous Mondays, the purchase MicroStrategy company continues buying Bitcoin=>"MicroStrategy Buys 10,107 Bitcoin For $1.1 Billion."
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $104,200, it will fill the CME Gap($105,500-$104,695) in the next step, and it is possible to form a new All-Time High(ATH).
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $95,000, we should expect more corrections from Bitcoin.
Has the main Correction of Bitcoin started!? Please share your ideas in the comments.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
#BTC Analysis: Historical High Achieved, Potential Rebound AheadIn the 6-hour Bitcoin chart, the price first moved toward liquidity zones below $90,000, completing a stop hunt and liquidity sweep. Following this, Bitcoin surged over 20%, reaching $109,400 and marking a new all-time high , hitting all announced targets.
Today, Bitcoin faced a 7% correction from $105,000 to $97,500, creating a significant liquidity void (LV). A further retracement toward the $94,400–$96,000 zone could attract renewed demand, potentially filling this LV and paving the way for a rebound.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Skyrexio | Scared Already? The Worst Is Coming!Hello, Skyrexians!
First of all we want you to make calm: BINANCE:BTCUSDT is still in huge bull run and $140k target is still actual. The main question, how it plans to reach this level. Now we have two scenarios and one of them you will now like.
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. The bad signal are two red dots at the top on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . It could be waves 3 and 5. In this case impulse of higher degree is finished and market is entering the major correction. If our assumption about bull run continuation is right, BTC usually tends to reach 0.38 Fibonacci level. Now this level is at $80k. This is the worst scenario. After that $140k is reachable target.
We also have not so painful scenario. Price now is at the local Fibonacci level. If $96k is going to be hold we can see the extended wave 5, which will reach $140 in the nearest future.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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WAGYUSWAP AT ALL TIME LOW - AMAZING OPPORTUNITY?Chart Pattern is Falling Wedge
Overview: The chart shows a clear falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal signal, indicating a potential breakout to the upside. This pattern is characterized by converging trendlines where the lower highs and lower lows gradually contract.
Breakout Potential: The pattern suggests an accumulation phase, with a possible breakout toward higher resistance levels.
Support and Resistance Levels
Current Price: ~$0.00058
Key Support Levels:
$0.00055 (local support, within wedge pattern)
$0.00050 (psychological and strong structural support)
Key Resistance Levels:
$0.00091 (local resistance post-breakout)
$0.00131 (mid-term resistance)
$0.00191 (long-term breakout target)
Indicators Analysis:
VMC Cipher (Momentum Oscillator):
Divergences indicate a potential momentum reversal.
Current green dots align with the wedge breakout narrative.
RSI (14):
Value: ~44.57 (neutral-to-oversold region).
RSI is rising slightly, indicating potential strength entering the market.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
Value: ~27.14 (oversold region).
Indicates potential for inflow of capital, supporting the bullish breakout hypothesis.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Value: 14.58 (oversold region).
A bullish crossover in this zone signals a potential upward move.
Spot Trading Plan for WAGYUSWAP
Objective:
Capitalize on the bullish breakout from the falling wedge pattern for mid-term gains.
1. Entry Strategy
Primary Entry: Enter within the current price zone ($0.00057–$0.00059).
Reason: Close to lower support of the wedge, minimizing downside risk.
Secondary Entry: Add more positions upon breakout confirmation above $0.00065 (confirmed by volume surge).
2. Take Profit Targets
Target 1: $0.00091 (short-term resistance after breakout, ~55% potential gain).
Target 2: $0.00131 (mid-term resistance, ~125% potential gain).
Target 3: $0.00191 (long-term breakout target, ~230% potential gain).
3. Stop-Loss Strategy
Stop-Loss 1: $0.00050 (below the lower support of the wedge).
Reason: Breakdown below $0.00050 invalidates the bullish thesis.
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (low risk with high reward potential).
4. Position Sizing
Risk a maximum of 2–5% of your trading capital per trade.
Use dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to manage entry points and reduce market exposure.
5. Monitoring
Watch for volume spikes to confirm breakout validity.
Continuously monitor RSI and MFI for signs of overbought conditions at resistance zones.
Exit partially at Target 1 and reallocate profits into mid- and long-term targets.
6. Risk Management
Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once price moves past $0.00091 to secure profits.
Avoid overleveraging; spot trading only to reduce risk exposure.
Possible Double Top? What to expect?So BINANCE:BTCUSDT hit and checked 105k-108k area twice in last month. That means it is Double Top pattern in either 4H and 1D timeframe. And there is another thing concerning me and it might lead to 75k. As you can see it is also possible that BINANCE:BTCUSDT made triple top too and MACD is making huge divergence, so we might see new low in next few weeks or months.
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin continue its upward trend?Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Capital outflows from Bitcoin ETFs or risk off sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to fall.
Bitcoin’s upward correction and its placement in the supply zone will allow us to resell it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand zone.
Donald Trump, the President of the United States, has signed an executive order establishing a task force on digital asset markets. The task force’s mission is to explore ways for the U.S. to lead in the cryptocurrency industry while evaluating the creation of a national strategic digital asset reserve.
Many who are familiar with cryptocurrencies recognize Bitcoin as “digital gold” due to its unique characteristics. According to a recent study, an increasing number of Americans now prefer Bitcoin over gold. ChainPlay, in collaboration with Storible, conducted a survey asking 1,428 Americans about their views and investments in cryptocurrencies.
The study reveals that over 68% of Americans currently own some form of cryptocurrency. Furthermore, 77% plan to increase their investments in the sector by 2025, while 60% believe the value of their assets will double by that year. Other sources indicate that only 13% of Americans owned cryptocurrency as of November 2024, though this discrepancy appears to depend on the methodology used.
Another survey revealed that Trump’s election victory significantly influenced public perception of cryptocurrencies, with 38% of respondents deciding to invest in crypto after the election results. Notably, 84% of these individuals made their first purchase following Trump’s win, viewing him as a pro-crypto candidate.
The idea of preferring Bitcoin over gold or stocks was once a marginal perspective during the bull market of 2017. Today, as governments worldwide announce plans to mine, store, or use Bitcoin for international payments, public opinion has shifted to view Bitcoin more favorably.
Additionally, statistics indicate that many investors have not only bought Bitcoin but have sold their traditional assets to allocate funds to the cryptocurrency. According to the survey, over 51% of these individuals are based in the U.S., reflecting unprecedented optimism toward Bitcoin as “digital gold.”
Mark Cuban, entrepreneur and TV personality, stated that Bitcoin has become a valuable asset and has reached a level of acceptance comparable to gold. Both he and Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy, emphasize that Bitcoin offers easier transportability and control compared to gold.
In the financial world, opinions on cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, remain divided. Some figures, like Warren Buffett, remain vocal critics of these assets.
Following Elon Musk’s advocacy, CZ, former CEO of Binance, also expressed support for the idea of recording government expenditures on blockchain. In a tweet, he said: “All governments should record their spending on blockchain, creating a public and immutable ledger. After all, government spending is public spending.”
According to a report from Street, Eric Trump, son of Donald Trump, recently stated that domestic cryptocurrency projects in the U.S., such as XRP and HBAR, will benefit from tax exemptions in the future, whereas foreign projects will face a 30% tax rate.
Additionally, Senator Cynthia Lummis, a Republican and Bitcoin advocate from Wyoming, has been appointed as the first chair of the Senate’s new Digital Assets Committee. Operating under the Senate Banking Committee, this new body aims to pass bipartisan legislation supporting the crypto industry and protecting investors.
Lummis announced that the committee will focus on three key areas:
1. Market Structure: Establishing a framework to improve the digital asset market structure.
2. Stablecoins: Regulating and supervising stablecoins as a crucial part of the crypto ecosystem.
3. Strategic Bitcoin Reserves: Strengthening the U.S. dollar by creating strategic Bitcoin reserves.
In a statement, Lummis said: “Digital assets are the future, and if the United States wants to maintain its position as a global leader in financial innovation, Congress must urgently pass comprehensive bipartisan laws to regulate this space and strengthen the U.S. dollar by creating strategic Bitcoin reserves.”
The committee will also oversee federal regulators to ensure compliance with laws and to prevent unjustified denial of banking services to legitimate participants.
Technical analysis of Btc/Usd pair. Should I PANIC?)A warm welcome to everyone!
A bit of fundamental:
The reason for the markets falling is attributed to the fact that Deepseek, a Chinese company of 200 people and a $6 million budget, created DeepSeek AI without having access to the latest Nvidia chips due to US sanctions.
Today DeepSeek AI overtook ChatGPT in the Chinese AppStore and can now compete with OpenAI, which caused bearish sentiment for the US stock market and Nvidia stock, and the market pulled down. Funny how this happened when most of us were asleep, isn't it?))
My thoughts:
“Gathered liquidity higher, now all that's left is to gather liquidity below ~$100k$”. My words from three days ago. A continuation of the locally bearish momentum all the way down to 95-97k$ is quite possible.
There is strong support there and the upper triangle line, which was previously the strongest resistance. And as we know, the stronger the pattern, the more involved the play will be at this point. I suppose you realize that my current notes are intended for the local trend only. In the medium term, within the framework of the final diagonal triangle, as I wrote earlier, I expect the upward movement to continue.
"Gold Approaches Key Resistance: Potential Sell Opportunity"The chart indicates that gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a resistance zone near the **2,800.000 level**. A "Possible to Sell Zone" is marked, suggesting this area could trigger selling pressure. The price has been trending upward, respecting the trendline, but now faces potential rejection from the resistance.
Key observations:
1. **Resistance Zone**: The area around **2,800.000** is a strong resistance where sellers might step in.
2. **First Target Spot**: If the price rejects the resistance, a pullback to the **2,725.000 level** (first spot) is anticipated.
3. **Trendline Break Potential**: A break of the upward trendline could accelerate bearish momentum toward the target.
**Outlook**:
- Watch for bearish price action near the resistance zone to confirm a selling opportunity.
- A strong rejection or trendline break would validate a short trade, with the first target being **2,725.000**.
BEL ANALYSIS🚀#BEL Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #BEL that there is a formation of "Falling Wedge Pattern". In a daily timeframe #BEL broke out the pattern. Expecting a bullish move in few days if #BEL retest the levels
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #BEL price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#BEL #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
ONDO 4H TRADE SETUP ONDO is a very exciting project with massive potential in the tokenization of real world assets, an aspect of crypto that has many very high profile interested parties, such as BlackRock and now the US Government via the Trump administration. World Liberty Financial (which is run by the Trump family) has an ONDO position currently and has been adding to it over time, so what is the future of ONDO?
For me the chart has some key points:
- Structurally ONDO been bearish since the later stages of December, retracing 50% from local high and losing the 4H 200 EMA in the process before bouncing off the bullish Orderblock that started the end of year rally in the first place, a very strong support area.
That bounce was capped off by the bearish orderblock zone with rejection in that zone on four separate occasions, so we now have a local range with a clear S/R level at the midpoint.
- Within that mini range we have higher lows constantly which forms a diagonal support as buyers put increasing pressure on price to break through the Bearish orderblock. The 4H 200 EMA has also been reclaimed and in a bullmarket this level is a key level to consider, more so during a trending phase and not chop but still important in this situation.
- That's the technical analysis but money is made in execution of the trade. For me a reclaim of the bearish orderblock would be a bullish trigger for ONDO to climb back up the hill towards local high with consideration to set SLs in stages. The trade would be invalidated on a loss of the bearish orderblock flip as this Swing fail pattern often leads to a further sell-off.
- In a bearish scenario, say BTC misbehaves or some bad news hits the timeline I would step away from the coin if diagonal support is lost. I would look to become a buyer at the bullish orderblock which would give a higher probability entry with the range midpoint and bearish orderblock as targets for price to reach.
BTC still runs the market currently with alts not getting much liquidity, I do believe that will change soon going into the second half of Q1. Once Bitcoin can get a trend going altcoins will follow in my view.