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ITS TIME , FINAL WAVE FOR BITCOIN HAS BEGAN The final wave for Bitcoin has officially started; 200k by September 2025 is the call. So far, since October 2024, we have been getting every macro move correct. Going to avoid repeating a lot of content from the previous two TAs; check it out below. The lower high on the RSI called the momentum shift on this one; it was clear. December 17th, 2024, calling for a pullback down to 82k for wave 4 to complete; it hit 77k, pretty close. So last time, I was wrestling with two different dates for a cycle top; the first one was May 2025, and the second was September 2025. It is clear to me now that mid to late September 2025, Bitcoin will peak at around 200k. It could go slightly higher, but the 185-200k region has a higher outcome. So, I've been using this small-time Fib, and last time when we hit the 0.618, it was the breakout week for Bitcoin from the long range. We're here again; this week is the big pivot and start of wave 5. The hash ribbon has confirmed a buy signal, and more importantly, it flashed buy in my Time Fibonacci week. Amazing. If you've been with me for years, you already know that this is the best signal for Bitcoin there is. It is so damn good; this gives so much more weight to my thesis. Stars seem to align again. They constantly try to shake you out; this is the game. Who is going to fade the hash ribbon buy? It's been the easiest play time and time again. Seriously, though, for just a moment—are you really going to fade the hash ribbon? :)
BNC:BLXLong
by Sporia
9
BTC Breakout or Breakdown: 83K to 87K or Bust to 73K?BTC’s standing at a fork in the road, and it’s itching to make a move! If it pushes past 83,121, we’re looking at a smooth jump to 84,600—like a quick win you can almost taste. Keep the good vibes going, and 87,000 might just be the big payoff. But hold up—if it stumbles below 81,300, things could get messy. The bears might crash the party, pulling us down to 80K, then 79,900. And if the slide keeps going? We’re talking 74,700, maybe even a rough landing between 73,600 and 73,000. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade Smarter Live Better
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Mindbloome-Trading
Can we be optimistic that this will come true?( road to 300k )I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!! Remmember Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
Do you think I'm joking ???Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to 130k . it might happen. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Sell Limit Trade IdeaTRADENATION:BTCUSD Bitcoin has formed a double top pattern, confirmed by a breakdown below 89,199, signalling potential for further downside. Additionally, a bearish flag breakdown in recent sessions suggests continuation lower. This morning’s gap down highlights market weakness, but a fill of this gap at $83,543 may offer an ideal entry for short positions. Trade Details Entry (Sell Limit): 83,543 Stop Loss: 87,992 Take Profit: 70,613 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.9:1 Key Levels Resistance: R1: $83,543 (Entry Point) R2: $85,819 R3: $88,767 Support: S1 : 76,590 S2: 70,531 S3: 63,411 Technical & Fundamental Factors ✅ Double Top Formation – Breakdown below 89,199 confirms bearish momentum. ✅ Bearish Flag Breakdown – Indicates continuation of the current downtrend. ✅ Gap Lower – Signals further weakness; gap fill at 83,543 offers a selling opportunity. ⚠️ Smart Money Not Buying – Commercial participants are selling Bitcoin, suggesting a lack of institutional support. Summary This setup offers a high-probability short opportunity at 83,543, targeting a move down to 70,613, with a stop at 87,992. The combination of technical breakdowns and weak institutional demand supports a bearish outlook. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by Signal_Centre1
THAT WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT BTC IN 2025Professional Technical Analysis & Trading Plan for BTC/USD (Hypothetical 2025 Data) --- 1. Technical Structure & Key Observations A. Price Context: - **Current Price:** ~84,197 (below SMA 81,998). - **SMA (Simple Moving Average):** 81,998 (likely 200-day SMA, acting as dynamic resistance). - **Volume:** 52K (low volume suggests consolidation; watch for spikes to confirm breaks). C. Key Levels (From Data): - **Resistance:** - Immediate: 81,998 (SMA). - Major: 90,000, 100,000, 130,000 (swing highs). - **Support:** - Near-term: 74,000 (psychological), --- 2. Advanced Indicator Analysis A. Momentum (RSI & MACD):** - **RSI (14):** Likely near 40–45 (neutral-bearish zone). A break below 30 signals oversold; above 55 confirms bullish momentum. - **MACD:** Bearish crossover possible (signal line above MACD line). Watch for reversal above SMA. B. Volume Profile: - **Low Volume (52K):** Indicates weak participation. A surge above 100K on a breakout/breakdown would validate direction. - **Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP):** If price trades above VWAP, bullish bias strengthens. --- 3. Trading Strategies Scenario : Bullish Reversal (30% Probability) - **Trigger:** Daily close above SMA (81,998) with volume >100K. - **Entry:** Long at 74,500 (confirmation of strength). - **Targets:** - TP1: 90,000 (8.5% move). - TP2: 100,000 (19% move). - **Stop Loss:** 71,500 --- 5. Sentiment & Catalyst Watch - **Bullish Catalysts:** Institutional ETF inflows, Fed rate cuts, Bitcoin halving momentum. - **Bearish Risks:** Regulatory crackdowns, exchange hacks, macro recession. -Conclusion BTC/USD is at a critical juncture. *Trade the SMA break/breakdown with volume confirmation*, and prioritize risk-reward ratios. Always cross-verify with real-time data and news. Disclaimer: Hypothetical analysis for educational purposes. Not financial advice.* 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ONE1iMPACT
Bitcoin - Where will Bitcoin go?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s downward trend and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. The continued rise of Bitcoin will also lead to testing of selling transactions from the supply zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. Since March 14, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have maintained a positive trend. For seven consecutive days, these ETFs have recorded net capital inflows without any outflows. This marks the first instance in 2025 of such a consistent streak of inflows into Bitcoin ETFs. The assets under management (AUM) of actively managed ETFs in the United States have surged over the past two years, surpassing $1 trillion—a more than threefold increase. This remarkable growth indicates a rising investor interest in strategies beyond index-based funds. Bitcoin had an overall positive week, whereas the S&P 500 and global equity markets suffered declines due to ongoing concerns over tariffs and persistent inflation. The S&P 500 closed the week lower, dropping to $5,580—just 1.2% above its recent low from March 13. Meanwhile, despite experiencing pullbacks, Bitcoin remains 9.3% above its previous low of $77,000, recorded on March 10. Strategy, following its latest acquisition, now holds 2.41% of the total global Bitcoin supply.Given that a significant portion of Bitcoin has either been lost or remains dormant in wallets, this stake represents nearly 4% of the actively circulating supply. About a month and a half ago, Eric Trump, son of former President Donald Trump, tweeted that it was the perfect time to buy Ethereum. Since that tweet, however, Ethereum’s price has dropped by approximately 35%. This highlights the risk of making investment decisions solely based on endorsements from well-known individuals. Trump Media & Technology Group, owned by U.S. President Donald Trump, has announced a partnership with the cryptocurrency exchange Crypto.com to launch a range of exchange-traded products (ETPs) and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This includes a multi-crypto ETF (the first of its kind) and ETPs comprising digital assets and securities from various sectors, including the energy industry. Crypto.com will provide the underlying technology, custodial solutions, and crypto asset management services. In the second half of March, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rebound, reigniting optimism among traders. However, historical analysis suggests that the crypto market often moves contrary to mainstream expectations. When bullish sentiment—such as the phrase “To the Moon”—becomes widespread on social media, it may signal an impending price drop. Conversely, when negative sentiments like “Crypto is dead” or “Bitcoin is a scam” become dominant, this could indicate a potential price surge. Therefore, investors should pay close attention to market sentiment and exercise caution in their decision-making. Recognizing that markets may move against the prevailing consensus can help in formulating more strategic investment approaches.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
BTC/USDT: Range-Bound Movement with Rebound Potential from Key SThe BTC/USDT market recently tested last week’s high but pulled back after encountering resistance near the 89,000 level. On the daily timeframe, the latest candle formed a doji, signaling weakening selling pressure. The price has reached the two-week low, where underlying liquidity may trigger a bounce—especially around the psychological 80,000 level. With the market consolidating after recent sell-offs, a move toward the 85,000 area is possible. A monthly doji close is also anticipated, reflecting the broader indecision. The next upside target is the resistance zone around 84,000
Long
by RTED_Investing
1
BITCOIN This is why it will make new ATH this year.The simplest explanation is perhaps sometimes the best. In this context, this is a simple yet powerful Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart, showing why the Bull Cycle hasn't peaked yet and why a new All Time High (ATH) is coming by the end of 2025. So, this is the 12M time-frame, essentially each BTC candle represents 1 whole year (12 months). If you are familiar with BTC's 4-year Cycles, which we've been discussing regularly and in-depth on this channel, then it makes perfect sense to see the market peak, then decline for 1 year and then spend the remaining 3 making a Bull Cycle that will ultimately peak on the 4th year. Practically each Cycle so far had 1 year of Bear Cycle and 3 years of Bull Cycle with the 3rd one always making a new All Time High (ATH) towards the end. 1 red candle followed by 3 green ones. Simplistic yet delivering a powerful message that since we are currently on Year 3 of the Bull Cycle, there are far more greater probabilities to end this 12M (1 year) candle in green as well and with a new ATH. So what do you think? Ae we getting this fat green 2025 yearly candle or this time will be different? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
20
86K for another short sellMorning folks, So, not occasionally we said in previous 2-3 updates that BTC action doesn't look bullish and we suggest a new nosedive. Now we have bearish engulfing pattern on weekly chart . And consider these two Fib levels for another short entry attempt. Of course, 86K would be just perfect, but it could start earlier. One of the possible shapes we consider a downside butterfly. In general, re-test of 70-73K area on average fits to our long-term view. In a case if 86K will be broken, it could mean that market is tending to 93.5K target, based on daily AB=CD pattern . But we consider this scenario as less probable due on overall BTC heavy performance in a recent few weeks. Thus, for now, if you want to make a scalp long trade, you could try, but better to set initial target not higher than 86K. Our major scenario is bearish and we consider 84K and 86K Fib levels for accumulation of a bearish position, unless something extraordinary will happen. Profit to everybody, Peace.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
BTC - Post Weekly Closure UpdateAgain, not an awful lot has changed since last week’s update. We’ve now closed a weekly candle yet again in no man’s land; in fact, one could argue it’s a bearish engulfing candle that closed below the previous week’s level, solidifying further bearish sentiment and likely continuation until key SH has been reclaimed. Like I mentioned in last week’s update - for now, we’re waiting for 65K–72K, a break of ATH, or at least a reclamation of HTF 🗝️ swings (95K minimum) to jump back into HTF trades. Until then, I’m exploiting LTF/MTF moves. Another thing to note: Everyone is so fixated on 72K being the potential bottom (if reached). It makes me wonder: will 72K happen soon (it will eventually), and if it does, will it hold? I personally think we’ll see a deeper pullback into the 2W demand at 68K, or potentially the 1W PHOB at 65K, which I’ve mentioned several times. On LTF/MTF - I’ve been updating every trade, and they’ve been playing out quite well so far. We failed to hold the 23H HOB at 83K, thereby breaking below the MTF SL at 83130, and now the same level is acting as an obstacle to higher prices. If accepted above, I expect 84K, potentially 86K, before a possible downward continuation. For us to see higher prices on MTF, we need to reclaim 88744, SH, to target 96K - potentially the 2D OB at 100K, which is also a psychological level and confluent with the volume drop in VRVP, as shown in the image above. If 88744 is reclaimed, followed by a pullback into newly formed liquidity or BB, I’d then look for a long to the above-mentioned levels. As long as we’re below 88,744, downward pressure remains.
by CryptoVan-HQ
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 84,019.80 1st Support: 72,880.23 1st Resistance: 91,396.07 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
1
The Road to $100k BitcoinBitcoin is most likely forming a left-translated 60-day cycle . Expect Bitcoin to trend downward for the next month, making a lower low in this 60-day cycle and fully scaring the market. People will start screaming “bear market” and panic-sell their coins to market makers, institutions, and patient investors. Once that’s done, Bitcoin will resume its bull market, heading toward a market top in Q2/Q3 2025. This would mirror 2021’s bull market behavior, align with the 4-year Bitcoin cycle, and leave enough time for the market to fully reset by late 2026.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TheStrategyMaster
Update about my previous warning about a crash of the SPX500📉 SPX500 Major Correction: Scenario 1 or 2? In my previous analysis, I explained a scenario that could mimic the 2022 crash (Scenario 1): 🔗 However, the price action dropped much faster than in 2022, accelerating the correction. Now, on the daily timeframe, we already have a bullish MACD crossover, signaling a potential bullish trend for several days: 🔗 Could This Invalidate the Bearish Trend? ✅ Yes, absolutely. In June 2023 (Scenario 2), a similar situation occurred: A bearish MACD reset was interrupted mid-course by a violent dump This triggered a strong rebound, breaking through resistance levels There are now strong signs that Scenario 2 might play out again. What Does This Mean for Crypto & TradFi? 📈 If this bullish reversal holds, it could sync Crypto & TradFi, with both gaining bullish momentum on the weekly timeframe, peaking around May 2025. Two Possible Outcomes: 1️⃣ Scenario 1 – The reversal collapses, and the correction continues 📉 2️⃣ Scenario 2 – The reversal holds, leading to a rally 📈 Let’s monitor this closely to see which scenario unfolds. 🔍 DYOR! #SPX500 #StockMarket #Crypto #Trading #BullishReversal #BearishTrend #MACD #MarketAnalysis #Investing
BLACKBULL:US500.F
by CryptoNikkoid
9
ETH - is the worst over ? Can we expect reversal ?As shown in the chart, ETH has reached the trendline support and is currently trading near a key support zone. This critical level will determine whether ETH initiates a reversal from its long-term downtrend that began last December. I anticipate this support to hold, leading to a strong rebound in ETH's price. If the reversal occurs from this zone, ETH could reach its peak around Q4 2025. Let’s see how it unfolds! Cheers, GreenCrypto
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by GreenCryptoTrades
Bitcoin: Watching For Reversal 78K AREA.Bitcoin bear flag has become in play over the previous week as I anticipated in my previous week's analysis. While there is a potential minor support in the 81 to 80K area, the lower high established at 88K implies a lower low is likely to follow which can unfold this week. This scenario could see price retesting the 76K area low. There are a couple of potential opportunities that can present themselves in this situation. The day trade long off the 81,500 area support (see thin rectangle and arrow). This would be appropriate for the smaller time frames like 30 min or lower. Waiting for price structure confirmations and looking for profit objectives that are proportionally within reason on your selected time frame (Trade Scanner Pro is ideal for this). Price may see smaller time frame reversal patterns between 81,500 and 80K numerous times. It is important to take proportional profits because there is NO guarantee the reversal will follow through especially in the face of a lower probability bounce (thanks to the lower high established at 88K). The opportunity for larger time frames (like swing trades) is between 78 to 76K. This is the previous low and a broader double bottom formation can develop here. The confirmation patterns are the same as previously explained, except the profit objective can be much greater because of the magnitude of the levels in question. For example, if a long confirms at 78,500, risk would be like 2K points, profit objective would be 4K at minimum. Scaling out of a swing trade can also be considered here like selling half at 83.5K, another quarter at 84.5K and closing what is left at 85.5K. Scaling is a more advanced concept, if you find it confusing, just stick to a simple R:R of 2:1 or more all in all out in high potential situations. While the broader trend in Bitcoin is still bullish, the short term structure is bearish until proven otherwise by price. Trying to piece together news, economic reports, etc., I find to be nothing but confusing and often counterintuitive to how the market actually reacts. This is why I rely ONLY on price structure and support/resistance levels. They are objective and help me align with the market intent (and why a lot of my anticipated scenarios happen to play out). The fact that the short term structure is bearish implies support levels have a greater chance of breaking. This helps to shape my expectations, and also why it is so important to wait for confirmation. The reason I prefer longs over shorts in this situation is because I do not lose site of the BIG picture. The 76K to 73K area is VERY relevant location of a broader higher low. This is why you need to have a very deep understanding of the time frames you are using along with the potential and risks presented by reach one. The larger the time frame, the more weight it carries. The short term bearish trend is nothing more than a retrace of a broader BULLISH structure that has been in play since the 15K low a few years ago. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
7