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BTC dell 120.000$📊 BTCUSDT Analysis: Current Price: $102,859.06 Sell Zone: Near $120,000.00 (🟢 Major resistance) Support Zone: $77,777.00 (🛡️ Key level for potential rebound) 🚨 Signal: Bearish Scenario: If BTC reaches $120,000.00, it’s a sell opportunity 📉. Bullish Scenario: In a strong bull trend (📈), you can buy dips around $77,777.00 (🚀 support area). 💡 Strategy: Take profits near $120,000.00 🎯 if already holding BTC. Watch for entries at $77,777.00 🔍 if BTC retraces. 📈 Trend: Overall Bullish unless support at $93,175 or $77,777 breaks (🔻). 🔐 Risk Management: Stop-loss for buys: Below $73,316.18 (⚠️ Critical level). Let me know if you need further clarification or tailored strategies!
Long
by ehsancrypto72
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period... BULL MARKET PULL BACKS Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels. The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE). We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post). ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING? As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market. CME GAP Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles. To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post. The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close. NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle. 21W EMA & 20W SMA Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC. ORANGE TREND LINE Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher. * Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top. * Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s). Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
CME:BTC1!
by Brodie
My FINAL Bitcoin chart and Idea (forever)Everyone is too busy focusing on the wrong Technicals. Fear and Greed, RSI, MACD, Stock Markets, etc. All of these are good tools but we have to remember a few things: 1. Zoom out (Bitcoin follows the same 4-year cycle every time... this time is NOT different) 2. Keep it Simple (I'm tired of messy charts, only put what you need for the current timeframe) 3. Avoid Leverage (These areas are too risky and much too volatile... liquidity is getting grabbed at almost every level) Stay safe. I expect Bitcoin to retrace to $57k and then bounce back up... clear skies ahead if we can break out of this pattern I have drawn up. (If not we keep ranging as follows until we break significantly above the previous ATH) Peace out! It's been fun... I may return to crypto one day (if ykyk)
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
Bitcoin's 2025 Price Action Mirrors 2017 - Is History Repeating?Bitcoin Halving & The Trump Factor: A Historical Parallel Bitcoin's price action in 2025 is eerily reminiscent of the post-halving rally of 2017. In both cases, BTC saw a prolonged accumulation phase before a massive markup period. What's even more intriguing is how macro-political events align: Trump was elected in November 2016 , just before BTC went parabolic in 2017, and once again, he's elected in November 2024 , right before Bitcoin enters its explosive post-halving markup phase. Could this be more than just coincidence? Accumulation Phase Ends – The Markup Begins From November 9, 2024 , to February 28, 2025 , Bitcoin was in a 107-day accumulation phase . This mirrors previous post-halving cycles, where BTC consolidates in the Green HPR band before entering the next stage. Now, it appears we are entering the Markup Phase, where I expect Bitcoin to rally towards $120K+ in the coming months. Applying the 2017 Cycle to 2025 The 2017 bull run followed a 59:156:360-day cycle (Accumulation → Markup → Distribution). Using the same ratio and expanding it for 2025, I’ve projected a 107:280:646-day cycle , where: ✅ 107 days Accumulation (Completed!) 📈 280 days Markup (Just Beginning!) 📉 646 days Distribution & Declining (Post-Top Phase) This fractal projection aligns well with historical price action, reinforcing the likelihood of Bitcoin repeating this structure. BitBo’s Rainbow Regression Chart Confirms the Setup Looking at BitBo’s Bitcoin Rainbow Halving Price Regression Chart , BTC briefly dipped into the blue band , just like in 2017’s first wave. However, in both cases, Bitcoin quickly recovered within days and launched into its Markup phase , which is exactly what we’re seeing now! 🔹 Key Takeaway: Bitcoin is following its historic halving cycle patterns, and if history continues to rhyme, the next 280 days could be a wild ride to six-figure BTC prices! 🚀 Don't forget, Patience is Paramount
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by PatienceIsParamount
UniversOfSignals | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #20Let's dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices, where I will, as usual, review the futures triggers for today's New York session. The market had an upward and corrective movement yesterday, rising from the support at 78,940. Today, I aim to examine the market conditions for you. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, the price has risen from the support at 78,940 and managed to exceed the area of 83,779. A V pattern has formed and has been activated, moving the price upward. It appears that the break of 83,779 so far was a fake break. 🔼 If 83,779 is broken again, you can enter a short position targeting 78,940, but keep in mind that since the price has already faked a break, there might be an upward momentum entering the market. If 82,770 breaks, you could consider taking the risk of opening a long position. ⚡️ Personally, I prefer to open a long position with the minimum risk allowed by my strategy, but if 83,779 breaks, I will open a short position with usual risk. As you can see, the price has also hit the SMA 99 and seems to be getting rejected from it. 📉 This could be another suitable confirmation for a short position, and if the price cannot stabilize above this SMA and gets rejected from this area, breaking 83,779, we could even expect the next bearish leg towards lower lows, although the first target for us would be 78,940. ✅ The RSI oscillator has also moved out of the oversell zone and above the 50 area. A break of the 50 zone could reintroduce bearish momentum into the market. 📊 Keep in mind that today is Saturday, considered a holiday, and the market volume is very low. I generally prefer the market to range on such days and then start moving afterward. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let's move on to analyzing Bitcoin dominance to see how Bitcoin's dominance over the market has changed compared to yesterday. As you can see, after being supported at 60.48 and breaking the 60.91 area, it's moving upwards again. 💫 As I mentioned, a range box has formed between 60.48 and 62.19, and I told you yesterday that if the dominance stabilizes above 60.91, it could start moving towards the box's ceiling. 🎲 As you can see, this movement has started, and so far, the dominance has reached 61.21. We need to see how the dominance reacts to this area. If this area breaks, the next resistance levels for dominance will be 61.49 and 62.19. 🧲 I have nothing more to say about Bitcoin dominance. It seems to be forming an upward structure, and if this upward structure coincides with the next bearish leg of Bitcoin, altcoins could provide very good short positions and experience sharp declines. 📅 Total2 Analysis Let's move on to analyze Total2 to see what the triggers for altcoins will be. As you can see, Total2 was supported from 1.01 and has moved upward to 1.09, where it is currently being rejected. 🔍 As you observe, the SMA 99 in Total2 has reached the price and the price has reacted to it. We have a very risky trigger for a short position on Total2, which is the break of 1.06; this position is very risky and can be opened as a scalp in lower timeframes. 🚀 The highest target I can consider for this position will be the area of 1.01. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let's move on to the analysis of Tether dominance. As you see, Tether's dominance was rejected from 5.50 and has moved downward, reaching back to 5.21. This index, like Bitcoin and Total2, has reached the SMA 99 and been supported from this area, and could perform its next bullish leg after breaking 5.21. 💥 In this case, you could confirm the bullish turn of Tether's dominance and validate this dominance for the next bearish leg of the price. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by UNIVERSOFSIGNALS
Bitcoin BTC Is Ready To Take Off!Hello, Skyrexians! Yesterday we pointed out that 0.5 Fibonacci has been reached at $80k and this dump will not continue. Today we have a great bounce above $85 and the great chart to be sure that our previous scenario is right. Let's take a look at the daily time frame. As usual we have the 5 Elliott wave cycle which has been started at GETTEX:49K and finished at $110k. Then the current correction has been started. Yesterday this ABC zigzag has reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and bounced back. The great thing is the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator inside the target zone. This gives us 90% probability that price has found the bottom and ready for the next huge wave to the upside. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
Next Volatility Period: Around March 4th (March 3rd-5th) Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) Since the RSI indicator has fallen below 30, if the price maintains or rises at the current position, the HA-Low indicator is expected to be generated. Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported near the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.24 (83646.12). In order to turn upward, it must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart. However, in order for a full-scale uptrend to begin, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and be maintained. In this regard, I think that the Fibonacci ratio range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0) is an important support and resistance range. - The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it has escaped the low range, so it can be used as a basis for creating a trading strategy. However, if it falls without support near the HA-Low indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend, so you should think about a countermeasure for this. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin Looks Good: Trading Cryptocurrency Talk TherapyTo me, Bitcoin looks really good. The month closed above $80,000. Soon we will have the weekly close. There can be some bearish action as it happened recently but when prices recover, all ends up being just noise. Truly noise when you consider what was being said in the press. "The correction is just getting started." "Bitcoin will go down for months, until May-June." "The bull-market is over." Some people are talking about risk management and whatnot when Bitcoin hits 80K. It is bad advice they say to tell people to hold. What is the right choice in this type of scenario? The basics require a strategy before trading, a plan. The plan is simply defining which actions you would take based on different scenarios. If you bought Bitcoin at $50,000 and failed to sell when Bitcoin was trading at $100,000 for more than two months, it is very unwise to talk about risk management or selling when Bitcoin hits bottom. Sell when the crash is on? Makes no sense to me. If you didn't sell on the way up, you didn't have a strategy, then the best move is to hold. Normally, we would sell portions at each resistance level until all of our coins are gone. When the correction comes, we buy at support. If you didn't sell when prices were high up, near resistance, then the opportunity is missed. Nothing happens but the right choice is to wait. This time around, prepare a plan beforehand, when to sell and how much? That's the question you need to answer before the bullish cycle reaches its end. Since the action is already on-going, Bitcoin traded sideways for more than two months, when the crash is on, the best choice is to hold. FOMO or panic anything won't produce any positive results. Selling at the bottom is a waste of time, energy and money, because whatever you sell will soon start to grow. All the other pairs are in the same situation. To avoid being in this position, plan ahead of time. There will be a new bullish cycle, a new advance and a new bullish wave. There will also be a new peak and a new correction, so plan now to avoid falling victim to the same mistakes. It is alright to get it wrong. It is not right to make the same mistakes over and over. Sell when prices are high, buy when prices are low. We buy when prices are trading at the bottom or near support. The Altcoins already hit bottom and that's our buy zone. Right now is the time to accumulate. If Bitcoin looks hard, there thousands of Altcoins that look ready to grow and strong. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
BTC Rebalance in Play? Key Retrace Setup Unfolding!Bitcoin has tapped into a bullish imbalance on the weekly timeframe—a natural move as the market seeks to rebalance. 🔄 We often see reactions around the midpoint of these levels. If price starts ranging sideways and breaks structure to the upside, we could consider a counter-trend trade on the retrace, then look for another sell opportunity as it pulls back. 📊 I’ll aim to follow up with a video over the weekend. Stay tuned! 🎥 Not financial advice. ⚠️
by fxtraderanthony
$BTC Critical Support Retest at 50WMA - Must Read!50WMA is a CRITICAL SUPPORT to watch for ₿itcoin. Historically, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC closes below it for more than one week, it signals the beginning of the BEAR MARKET. We’ve only seen BTC close beneath the 50WMA once in its history during a Post-Halving year, and that was in 2021, but then rallied to a new ATH. People often ask me what would invalidate my bull market thesis; this is one of them. I’ll be watching this support very closely, and if BTC closes below it for more than 2 weeks, i’m probably selling a good portion of my stack until we get more clarity in the market. However, this could very well have been the bottom of this correction. BTC is known to have a big Q1 drawdown in Post-Halving years. 2013 was a massive -82% correction over a week. 2017 gave us two. January -34% over 7 days. March -33% over 14 days. January 2021 gave us -31% over 14 days. The current correction we’ve seen with BTC has been the longest over 35 days with -28%. $75k would be a -31% correction, which would line up perfectly with the previous cycle. That’s the line in the sand for me. If we did see the bottom with this 28% correction, that would line up with the diminishing return theory.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
4
THAT WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT BTC IN 2025Professional Technical Analysis & Trading Plan for BTC/USD (Hypothetical 2025 Data) --- 1. Technical Structure & Key Observations A. Price Context: - **Current Price:** ~84,197 (below SMA 81,998). - **SMA (Simple Moving Average):** 81,998 (likely 200-day SMA, acting as dynamic resistance). - **Volume:** 52K (low volume suggests consolidation; watch for spikes to confirm breaks). C. Key Levels (From Data): - **Resistance:** - Immediate: 81,998 (SMA). - Major: 90,000, 100,000, 130,000 (swing highs). - **Support:** - Near-term: 74,000 (psychological), --- 2. Advanced Indicator Analysis A. Momentum (RSI & MACD):** - **RSI (14):** Likely near 40–45 (neutral-bearish zone). A break below 30 signals oversold; above 55 confirms bullish momentum. - **MACD:** Bearish crossover possible (signal line above MACD line). Watch for reversal above SMA. B. Volume Profile: - **Low Volume (52K):** Indicates weak participation. A surge above 100K on a breakout/breakdown would validate direction. - **Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP):** If price trades above VWAP, bullish bias strengthens. --- 3. Trading Strategies Scenario : Bullish Reversal (30% Probability) - **Trigger:** Daily close above SMA (81,998) with volume >100K. - **Entry:** Long at 74,500 (confirmation of strength). - **Targets:** - TP1: 90,000 (8.5% move). - TP2: 100,000 (19% move). - **Stop Loss:** 71,500 --- 5. Sentiment & Catalyst Watch - **Bullish Catalysts:** Institutional ETF inflows, Fed rate cuts, Bitcoin halving momentum. - **Bearish Risks:** Regulatory crackdowns, exchange hacks, macro recession. -Conclusion BTC/USD is at a critical juncture. *Trade the SMA break/breakdown with volume confirmation*, and prioritize risk-reward ratios. Always cross-verify with real-time data and news. Disclaimer: Hypothetical analysis for educational purposes. Not financial advice.* 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ONE1iMPACT
MicroStrategy $MSTR | MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Bet Sees 20% DropMicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR | MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Bet Sees 20% Drop Feb28'25 With recent downturns in the crypto market, Bitcoin's sharp drop has significantly impacted companies like MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR , which has heavily invested in crypto. I've kept this analysis updated for my students throughout the week and figured I'd post it publicly. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, spy, btc, bitcoin, mstr, micro, microstrategy, strategy, cryptocurrency, cryptodrop, cryptotrend, memecoins, crypto, digitalcurrency, digitalassets, mstrdrop, btcdrop, bitcoinidea, mstridea, mstranalysis, btcanalysis, cryptoanalysis, cryptotrades,
NASDAQ:MSTR
by TonyAiello
Bitcoin Finds Strong Support – Is a Reversal on the Horizon?hello guys Bitcoin recently completed a crown pattern, a bearish reversal formation that signaled a downward move. As expected, BTC followed the pattern structure and reached its target. Currently, the price has touched two critical technical levels: ✔ The balance line – A key horizontal support zone ✔ The ascending trendline – Acting as dynamic support from previous lows This confluence of support suggests that BTC might be at a potential reversal zone. However, while the conditions seem favorable for an upward movement, we need additional confirmation. Possible bullish signals to watch for include: A strong bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) Increased buying volume A break above the nearest resistance level If BTC maintains this support, we could see a recovery towards $90K+ levels in the short term. Otherwise, a breakdown below the trendline may trigger further downside.
by melikatrader94
2
BTC/USDTWe are currently experiencing a healthy correction in BTC. This is the worst-case scenario I mentioned earlier in my YouTube videos. We could still be pulled down to 76-71k. For spot holders – hold. For those in futures with large losses – it’s better to re-fix and look for a reasonable entry on spot. What’s next? Ideally, we need 2-3 weeks of consolidation and sideways movement, so by the end of March, we can make an ATH on some news, and altcoins will follow Bitcoin's lead. Moreover, LTC and ETH are showing good expectations according to smart money. The market will still move forward. The only question is which direction it will go. I think only specific sectors will move now. We’ll be watching the flow of capital from one sector to another
Long
by BITRAF_CRYPTO
Bitcoin’s Candlestick Pattern- Reversal Signal Confirmed?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall with the help of a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern . Bitcoin is moving near Support lines and the important Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have successfully completed its 5 downward impulse waves . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 5 is the Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys . Another sign of Bitcoin's reverse can be the Hammer Candlestick Pattern . Let's take some risks today and swim against the current, but please follow capital management and follow your strategy . I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500)(broken) after breaking the Resistance zone($88,200-$87,450) . Do you think Bitcoin can rise to at least $90,000 again? Note: If Bitcoin goes below $84,500, we can expect more dumps . Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
20