BTC vs USDT.D - Who Follows Whom?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
I always keep an eye on USDT.D to gauge the overall sentiment of the crypto market.
📚 Today, I want to demonstrate the correlation between BTC and USDT.D:
- A couple of weeks ago, BTC was rejected at the $108,000 zone, while USDT.D bounced off the 3.6% support.
- BTC is currently hovering around the lower bound of its rising wedge, while USDT.D is approaching the upper bound of its falling wedge.
- As long as BTC doesn't close a full day below the blue trendline and USDT.D doesn't close a full day above the upper red trendline, this phase can be considered a correction.
- Conversely, if both trendlines are breached, expect a momentum shift, potentially leading to a deeper bearish movement in the crypto market.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC
BITCOIN in a LIVERMORE FunnelThe accumulation and distribution volume matches the positive and negative money flows of the first 5 waves in a Jesse Livermore stock cylinder.
Will wave 6 see a rush of positive money flow into #Bitcoin into the end of the year?
Let's see
If it does
then that will further cement this pattern of accumulation , sideways movement then breakout with continuation of buying power into the Bull market top.
Let's observe this in real time shall we?
Should be a fun few months ahead of us after a long period of churn.
S/O to @arvine11 for bringing up the Livermore stock trend analysis.
Bitcoin can little correct and then continue to grow in rangeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price declined to the resistance line and rebounded at once and made impulse up. BTC rose to a support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, but firstly it made a small correction and some time traded below the 92500 level. Soon, the price broke this level, after which it started to trades inside the range, where it at once made a retest and tried to grow, but later corrected the support level. Next, the price continued to move up and reached the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, after which corrected the resistance line. After this movement, BTC at once rebounded and rose to the seller zone and even higher, breaking the 103500 level. But soon, the price turned around and dropped to the support level, breaking the resistance level with the resistance line. Then the price turned around and a not long time ago started to grow. For this reason, I think that Bitcoin make a small movement down to almost the support level and then continue to grow to the 103500 resistance level inside the range. That's why I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSDT Long - Short SqueezeFunding rate at its lows. I am expecting a short squeeze from the marked area. I'm bearish overall and will short around the marked levels (from 103k) based on the ETF inflows / outflows. Time / speed above 100k will tell which level will have the biggest chance of being the top.
Critical Bitcoin Support Levels: A Key Test for the FutureI was reviewing some of my old charts and came across this one because the patterns here are really interesting. Back on November 15th, I posted a head and shoulders pattern, but as you can see, it didn’t play out as expected. Every time Bitcoin made a new high, it got rejected and pulled back to the support level. This has happened multiple times Bitcoin goes up, makes a new high, and then retraces all the way back down to the same support level.
What’s different this time is that Bitcoin tried to push for new highs but failed, instead forming a lower high. Now, it’s testing a critical support level, marked by the two white trend lines on the chart. Bitcoin is currently at the support level, but the real test will come when it reaches that point of support. That’s the key support area that Bitcoin must hold.
Bitcoin really needs to maintain this support. If it breaks through, we could see a significant drop, potentially all the way down to $77,085.65. I don’t want to sound overly negative, but I’m just giving you a heads-up on what could unfold in 2025. All eyes will be on the $91,541.87 level this is the crucial support level. If Bitcoin can’t hold that area, it could trigger a further decline. Keep a close watch, as this could be a pivotal point for the next major move.
Potential bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 92,651.63
1st Support: 87,516.30
1st Resistance: 99,246.82
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After the volatility period around December 27th...
(Title) What will it look like after the volatility period around December 27th
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a good day today.
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USDT is currently showing a gap down, although small.
USDC is showing a gap up steadily.
The gap up of USDT and USDC means that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think the start of the altcoin bull market should be below 55.01 and maintained or show a downward trend.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
If it rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to experience a sharp decline and the coin market is likely to show a downward trend.
If USDC continues to fall, it is likely to fall to around 2.84.
After that, it is expected that the coin market will gradually show a downward trend while rising.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of being created at the 94742.35 point.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is generated, it is important to see if it can be supported near that area.
If it falls without being supported, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
Before meeting the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is necessary to check if it is supported near 87.8K-89K.
-
The Momentum indicator is showing a continuous downward trend.
We need to see if it shows an upward trend when a new candle is created.
-
Looking at the overall picture of BTC, it is still in the sideways section.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether it can rise above 97821.58-98892.0 by rising near 92K-93.5K.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Bitcoin still showing weakness despite 4h oversold conditionsBTC is struggling to find support, giving the market some really good opportunities to accumulate. Although the 4h oscillators look bottomed out, the daily keeps me critical of the current market conditions. The daily timeframe seems as if it wants to get its full reset, this would result in more downside across the crypto market. Are you ready?|
BTC enters the parabolic stage of the bullmarketPredicting the tops and bottoms of Bitcoin - in a macro sense - is not that easy. But some indicators can give us a clue or kind of sense of caution warning when to exit or enter the market.
One of them is the "MVRV Z" indicator. It is a chart indicator that uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where BTC is extremely over or undervalued relative to its "fair value".
Historically it has been very effective in identifying periods where market value is moving unusually high above realised value. It also shows when market value is far below realised value, highlighted by the green lines. Buying Bitcoin during these periods has historically produced outsized returns.
This chart indicator is generally useful for predicting Bitcoin price at the extremes of market conditions. It is able to forecast where price may need to pull back when the score enters the upper red hot periods and also when price may rally after spending time in the lower green band.
Historically it has picked major Bitcoin price highs to within 2 weeks.
So far BTC has done a great job holding in the middle value band. It's in the stage of taking the next leap breaking out of it to the upside completing the bullmarket, also referring to past historical breakouts which happenend in similar fashion after a long lasting bearmarket.
READY FOR A NEW ATH ❇️♨️ READY FOR A NEW ATH AND CYCLE COMPLETION? ♨️❇️
📊 Latest #Bitcoin Analysis by #Bersipa 📊
🔥 After months of detailed trend analysis, today—December 23, 2024—we bring you the latest update. The analysis suggests Bitcoin is heading toward a new All-Time High and the final cycle peak in the next year!
🔰 Suggested Plan:
✅ Buy Zone: Accumulate in the FWB:83K – GETTEX:92K range over multiple levels.
✅ Sell Zone: Sell 40% at $112K–$124K (two levels). Hold the remaining 20% at your own risk until $138K, then sell.
🔺️ Disclaimer:
⛔️ All trades are made at the trader's own risk.
⛔️ Futures trading based on this or any analysis is highly risky.
📌 Timeline:
While no exact dates can be guaranteed, we anticipate achieving the new ATH and completing the cycle within five months.
🚀 Stay tuned for more updates and trade responsibly!
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #ATH
DNX/USDT: Bottom Formation with 3-Wave 111% ExpansionHere's a professional TradingView analysis for Dynex/USDT:
DYNEX/USDT Analysis - Potential 111% Growth Setup
Pattern Setup:
• Bottom formation confirmed at 0.215
• Triple target structure identified
• 4H timeframe showing reversal signals
Key Price Levels:
🎯 Entry Zone: 0.2150-0.2200
🎯 TP1: 0.3250 (+50%)
🎯 TP2: 0.4000 (+80%)
🎯 TP3: 0.4750 (+100%)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 0.2000 (-8%)
Wave Structure:
1. First impulse targeting 0.32 zone
2. Second wave aiming for 0.40 resistance
3. Final wave projection to 0.47 area
Volume Analysis:
• Declining volume in downtrend
• Potential accumulation phase beginning
• Watch for volume confirmation on breakout
Risk Management:
• R:R Ratio for TP1: 1:6.25
• R:R Ratio for TP2: 1:9.5
• R:R Ratio for TP3: 1:13.9
Key Invalidation Points:
• Break below 0.20 invalidates setup
• Weekly close below entry zone cancels pattern
• Failure to break TP1 requires position review
Trade Management:
1. Scale in: 0.21-0.22 zone
2. Move stop loss to break even after TP1
3. Trail stops for remaining position
4. Take partial profits at each TP
Timeframe:
Position duration expected 4-6 weeks into early 2025
Note: This forecast based on technical analysis. Always manage risk appropriately and DYOR.
#Crypto #DYNEX #USDT #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading
BTC : All Time High IN - OR Multimonth Playout?Bitcoin has begun a steep drop, and it's likely that the ATH is priced in. This fits my previous idea that the ATH would either be just over or just under 100k.
There is, ofcourse, another option as well - a continuation over the next few months. This is likely if the price of BTC follows a fractal of the previous cycle. It would become likely if we see a strong bounce around the 81-82K zone, pushing us up into the 90's.
But, at the moment, I'm leaning towards the idea that the ATH is in.
It would also makes sense for the ATH to be in, from an Elliot Wave Theory perspective, since we've made a perfect 5 waves. If this is indeed the case, we can look forward to a few more rallies in the altmarket.
_______________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
doge long midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
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Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
BTC on 6h chart Hello, my dear friends!🫶 I’m so happy to see You here again! I’m especially grateful for Your feedback—some of You mentioned, that were waiting for me and missed me.🥲 Your words truly touched my heart—thank You so much!😊 I’m thrilled to be drawing charts for You once again; every post I share here holds a piece of my soul. Thanks for Your support—it means the world to me!💋
🔴 We’re currently sitting between a major resistance level (a trendline dating all the way back to 2017) and strong support at 72,000.🔴
The price is at a fascinating crossroads: if the 96–94–93 levels hold and the price consolidates there, we could see a climb toward the significant resistance zone (marked by the pink 🟣 dot) at 107–108k. From there, it’ll be crucial to watch closely—if the price breaks through those levels with ease, a rally could be in the cards.🚀
However, if the 96–94–93–92 levels fail to hold, we’re likely in for a deeper correction. In that case, we could see the price drop to the support zones at 86k, or possibly even lower, to 77k–73k.📉
Thank You for being part of this amazing community—it’s a privilege to share ideas and grow alongside You all. No matter what the charts look like, stay focused, stay patient, and keep believing in your abilities. Success belongs to those who persevere.
Always sincerely yours, Kateryna 💙💛
ADA - Gearing Up for a Breakout?After an impressive rebound from the trend-based Fibonacci extension 1:1 at $0.7655, ADA has been consolidating between $0.92 and $0.85 for the past two days. As the new week begins, today's wOpen at $0.8834 is a critical support level, perfectly aligning with the key level at $0.8806. Holding above these levels reinforces a bullish outlook.
Key Insights and Trade Setups:
Support Zones to Watch:
$0.8834 (wOpen) and $0.8806 (Key Level).
Maintaining above these levels keeps the bullish structure intact.
Long Setup Options:
A great long opportunity was from today’s wOpen ($0.8834).
Alternatively, wait for a retracement to the golden pocket at $0.8877 of this current wave.
R:R: 2.5, a solid potential reward for the risk taken.
Target for Long Trades:
Aim for the Fibonacci 0.618 level at $0.9448, which aligns with the daily resistance level.
This zone also represents a high-liquidity area where short sellers may be forced to exit positions.
Pattern Confirmation:
The potential formation of an Adam and Eve pattern strengthens the bullish case. Confirmation comes above $0.9155, suggesting further upside.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will little correct and then start to move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago price declined to the trend line and then started to grow, so, quickly later rose to the support level. this level was concerned with the support zone and soon BTC broke this level, after which made a retest and started to trades near this level. Later, the price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, after which made a correction to the support level and then in a short time backed up to the resistance level. Then the price continued to grow and soon reached the 103000 level and even broke it and then continued to move up. Bitcoin reached a new ATH and then turned around and made a correction movement, breaking the 103000 level one more time. Price fell to the trend line and then tried to grow, but failed and now continues to trades close to this line. In my opinion, BTCUSDT will decline below the trend line and then start to grow to the resistance zone. So, for this case, I set my goal at 105K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 VIEW FOR 2025
I'll analyze the key data points and patterns from this cryptocurrency market cap chart:
Key Market Data:
1. Opening Price Range: ~225.94B
2. High: ~338.55B
3. Low: ~117.39B
4. Current Price: ~329.83B
5. Change: +3.84B (+1.18%)
6. Volume: 32.33B
Historical Pattern Analysis:
2021:
- Started with steady uptrend
- Reached first major peak around May-September
- Volume during peak: 431.43B
- Price level: 343.46B (266.71% growth)
2022:
- Significant downtrend throughout the year
- Market bottomed out around mid-2022
- Consolidation phase began
2023:
- Marked by 343.46B level (464.19% reference)
- Generally sideways movement with gradual accumulation
- Started showing recovery signs in late 2023
2024:
- Strong upward momentum
- Current resistance level: 651.91B (marked as "SELL ATLS HERE PLEASE")
- Volume at recent peak: 73.16B
- Shows bullish trend with higher lows
Technical Indicators:
1. Major Resistance: 651.91B
2. Key Level: 343.46B (multiple touches)
3. Current Support: ~329.83B
4. Volume Profile: Decreasing from 2021 peak (431.43B) to current (73.16B)
Market Structure:
- Long-term downtrend line (yellow) from 2021 peak
- Current price action showing potential breakout
- 16-bar cycles marked at key points
- Market showing 107.62% growth potential to target
Future Projections (based on chart):
- Resistance target: 651.91B
- Time projection: Extended into 2025
- Potential breakthrough of long-term downtrend line
This analysis suggests we're in a significant accumulation phase with strong upward momentum, breaking previous resistance levels and showing signs of a potential larger market cycle beginning.
BITCOIN In Coming Days!As I mentioned in previous analyses, Bitcoin finally broke the wedge and the price turned bearish. However, now if the price can break the 0.618 Fibonacci line, it can rise up to 107k dollars.
previous analyses
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BETA/USDT: Descending Channel Setup | 575% Potential Return
BINANCE:BETA/USDT - 1W TIMEFRAME🎯
TRADE SETUP:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✦ CURRENT PRICE: $0.04446 (-2.92%)
✦ TARGET: $0.19071 (+575.85%)
✦ STOP LOSS: -10% (Marked in red)
✦ RISK:REWARD: 57:1
✦ VOLUME: 11.82M
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. PATTERN STRUCTURE:
• Trading within descending channel
• Double trend line resistance (black & blue)
• Clear support zone at channel bottom
• Potential reversal zone approaching
2. MARKET CONTEXT:
• Price near historical support
• Volume stabilizing at lows
• Channel compression point ahead
• Strong overhead resistance levels
3. PROJECTED MOVEMENT (White Line):
• Initial consolidation period
• Break above both trend lines
• Accelerated move to target zone
• Multiple retests expected
STRATEGY EXECUTION:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
ENTRY PLAN:
• Base entry near current levels
• Add on trend line breaks
• Final position on volume confirmation
RISK MANAGEMENT:
• Clear -10% stop loss defined
• Cut losses if channel support breaks
• Scale out at resistance levels
IMPORTANT DATES:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
• Pattern completion: Early 2025
• Target timeframe: Late 2025 - Early 2026
• Critical support test: Q1 2025
RISK DISCLOSURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Trading involves substantial risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
#BETA #TechnicalAnalysis #Crypto #TradingView #CryptoTrading
Tags: @TradingView
Note: The stop loss level is clearly defined at -10%, providing a precise risk management point for this high-reward setup.