BTC
Bitcoin to revisit $100k | Summer price target = $120kGeopolitical tension is causing fear in the markets. Today, Bitcoin fell from $107.7k to current price $105k with no sign of buyer support whatsoever, printing 11 consecutive H1 red candles intraday. Like a hot knife through butter.
At $105k, there is very little support. Sell volume absolutely overshadowed the tiny buy volume. Bulls have yet to close a green candle. I believe in the next few hours Bitcoin will be trading at $104k, followed by the first stop $102k.
$102k can serve as an entry point, depending on how price reacts. $100k is the optimal entry point for maximum profit, after mass liquidations. Retail traders are confident that the liquidity hunt is over after the initial tap, placing stops and liquidation levels at $100k.
Invalidation level will be beyond the 200SMA. The 200SMA have historically proven itself time and time again as a safe zone during rallies after golden crosses.
Another Edge - Decision time | Buy? or Sell? share your opinionTitle: BTCUSD: At The Edge – Decision Time Looms
Idea: Bitcoin is currently flirting with "The Edge"—a key decision zone near $98,000 where trend dynamics could shift sharply. After touching the lower boundary of a descending channel, BTC is testing support that could mark either a springboard for a bullish reversal or a trapdoor for further downside.
If bulls reclaim territory above the descending resistance line and push toward $104,000, we may see a trend breakout and renewed upside momentum. Confirmation with volume would strengthen the case for a long position, targeting the $111,917 level.
However, failure to hold "The Edge" could open the door to a swift move lower toward the $91,666 then $85,000 support zone, especially if accompanied by broader risk-off sentiment.
Trade Plan:
• Long above $100K with confirmation and strong volume;
target $111,917.
Stop below $97K.
• Short on breakdown below $97K with bearish momentum;
target $91,666.
Stop above $100K.
Watching: Volume spikes, macro news, and behavior around the channel boundaries.
🚀 Will Bitcoin bounce off the edge—or fall into the abyss?
#MJTrading #BTC #Bitcoin #Buy #long #chart #signal #forex
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis + trade planBitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – June 24, 2025
Pattern Identified: Bullish Flag Formation
A clear upward impulse leg followed by a downward-sloping consolidation (flag) indicates a continuation pattern.
The flag is bounded within a descending parallel channel, suggesting a potential breakout to the upside.
Break of Structure (BOS): Multiple BOS signals indicate strong market structure shifts favoring bullish continuation.
Change of Character (CHOCH): Minor CHOCH noted inside the flag, indicating local liquidity grabs but no trend reversal yet.
Key Levels
Current Price: ~$105,126
Flag Resistance: ~$105,291 (watch for breakout)
Major Supply Zone (Resistance): ~$115,000 (red zone)
Demand Zones (Supports):
$96,000 (minor)
$85,000 (medium strength)
$75,000 - $70,000 (strong low / high-confluence area)
Volume Analysis
Declining volume during flag formation supports the bullish flag hypothesis (low-volume pullback).
Anticipate increased volume on breakout for confirmation.
Indicators Summary
1. VMC Cipher B
Green dots signal potential local bottoms.
Wave trends support bullish reversal setup, though momentum still neutral.
2. RSI (14)
Current RSI: ~50.76
Neutral zone; not overbought/oversold – provides room for upside movement.
3. Money Flow Index (Art’y)
Positive inflow recovering, signaling accumulation phase.
4. Stochastic RSI
Blue line crossing above orange around 46. Indicates bullish crossover from the oversold region – early entry signal.
Bitcoin Trading Plan
Trading Bias: Bullish (Contingent on Flag Breakout)
Entry Plan
Breakout Entry: Enter long above $105,300 with confirmation (4H or daily candle close).
Aggressive Entry: Pre-breakout entry inside the flag at ~$104,000–$105,000, anticipating breakout.
Stop Loss
Conservative: Below $96,000 (below key support + 50 SMA).
Aggressive: Below $102,500 (inside flag, tighter stop).
Take Profit Levels
TP1: $110,000 (local high)
TP2: $115,000 (strong resistance zone)
TP3: $123,000–$125,000 (measured move from flag breakout target)
Measured Move Target: Height of the pole ($25K) added to the breakout zone ($105K) = Target zone: $130,000 (theoretical).
Alternative Scenario – Bearish Breakdown
If BTC breaks below $96,000, the bullish structure is invalidated.
In that case:
Look for short entries below $95,500.
Target zone: $85,000 – $75,000.
SL above $98,000.
Risk Management Guidelines
Risk per trade: 1–2% of capital
Use position sizing tools to determine trade size.
Monitor macroeconomic news (Fed, inflation, ETF flows) and crypto market sentiment.
To sum up things:
BTC is consolidating within a textbook bullish flag.
Momentum indicators align with a potential breakout.
Caution warranted until clear breakout occurs – volume confirmation is key.
Keep alert for fakeouts due to low summer volatility.
Is Bitcoin Signaling Risk-Off? Structure Breakdown Explained💥 BTC/USD Outlook – Is Bitcoin Losing Steam? 🧠📉
I'm keeping a close watch on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) this week, and the current price action is flashing some key signals.
🔍 Over the past several sessions, BTC has struggled to hold momentum, and we’re now seeing a shift in tone. On the 4-hour timeframe, the market structure is tilting bearish, with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows developing — a classic sign of weakness ⚠️📉.
📐 The most recent downside leg has caused a clear break in structure, and BTC is now retracing back into a potential supply zone, hovering around equilibrium of the recent move. This zone will be critical to watch for signs of seller re-entry.
⏳ On the 30-minute chart, I’m waiting for a decisive shift in structure — a break of local support or a failed rally that confirms bearish continuation. Should that play out, it could signal a high-probability short setup.
🪙 A breakdown in BTC often has broader implications — especially in the risk asset space. If we see weakness here, JPY pairs may strengthen as capital rotates into safer assets 💴🌐.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis and consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. 📚💼
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Price Testing Resistance after Morning StarBitcoin (BTCUSDT) price is currently testing the resistance zone of $105,000 to $110,000 (yellow lines).
A morning star candle pattern has formed above the 100 ema (orange line), which is also $100,000 price support.
Some bullish momentum is forming on the MACD Histogram, however, Bitcoin is still technically in a short-term downtrend for the past 30 days.
Bitcoin price needs to create a new uptrend on the daily chart, a series of higher-highs and higher-lows in the price, which could take several months.
At this time, Bitcoin is still reacting to global news and stock market correlations.
BTC is the champion our portfolio needs. BTC has some work to do. Either it will correct for a nice confrimatio low or strucure out for a bull fag. Either way, the price remains within a downward-sloping channel. That keeps me neutral bullish. But until I see a pivot point structure with signs of divergence in oversold conditions, it's difficult to get a proper RR.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
ADA | BTC | ET | Why ALTSEASON is COMING SOONAfter a -34% retracement, ADA is ready to go higher alongside with the rest of the alt market.
We see a very interesting phenomena here, were ADA also represents a large part of the larger alts: BTC pulls back, ETH is starting to increase or trades sideways (before the increase) whilst the alts dip.
This is actually BULLISH for alts, showing the very clear rotation between BTC, ETH and top 15 alts.
If we look at the macro of ANY of the alts I've been working through recently, a similar pattern appears - a clear bottom, followed by a sideways trade. This is usually the point just before the big ALTS season.
We actually see this pattern at the end of the 2018 rally, as well as after the 202- Covid dip:
The bottom line -
ADA and other alts are gearing up for their ALTSEASON. With patience, we will soon see some great gains across the markets.
ADAUSDT → Bear market. Support breakdownBINANCE:ADAUSDT.P is in the distribution phase after exiting consolidation. The coin continues to update local lows within a downtrend.
Technically, the cryptocurrency market is in stagnation/correction, as there is no bullish driver yet. Bitcoin is currently consolidating but continues to shoot local downward impulses, which generally has a negative impact on coins.
ADA is entering a distribution phase of accumulation formed in the range of 0.62 - 0.71. If the bears keep the price below 0.62-0.6, ADA may well test the intermediate bottom of 0.5364-0.51
Resistance levels: 0.61, 0.62
Support levels: 0.5993, 0.5364
Focus on 0.61 and the local level of 0.5993. Price consolidation below this zone could confirm the bearish nature of the market, which could lead to another decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSDT Update — Big Macro Forces In Play!!Hey Traders!
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Bitcoin once again testing key support levels as global tensions continue to fuel uncertainty in the markets.
Chart Overview:
BTC broke down from short-term resistance and is now retesting the major support zone between $102K–$103K. The structure still remains within a broader consolidation range, but this support zone is absolutely critical for bulls to defend.
Immediate Resistance: $106K → $110K
Immediate Support: $102K → $100K
A breakdown below $100K could trigger deeper liquidations towards $95K–$98K, while a successful defense here could push BTC back toward previous highs.
Geopolitical Impact:
Global headlines are heavily influencing risk assets right now:
🇮🇱 Israel-Iran tensions are escalating.
🇺🇸 The US is signaling stronger involvement diplomatically, adding more fear to markets.
📉 Traditional markets have already started to show signs of caution.
Bitcoin, as a risk asset, remains vulnerable to these global macro shocks in the short term.
The Game Plan Right Now:
If we see sustained support at $102K–$103K, there’s still room for a relief bounce towards $106K–$110K in the near term.
However, if global tensions escalate further, expect increased volatility with downside liquidity grabs.
Stay cautious with tight risk management. Macro headlines are still driving sudden sentiment shifts.
📊 My Bias:
Watching for potential sweep of $102K with possible reversal structure forming. Any clear reclaim of $105K may signal a local bottom.
📝 Key Takeaway:
Global narratives are bigger than technicals right now. The next few days could dictate whether BTC holds or faces another sharp liquidation event.
Stay patient. Stay disciplined. And most importantly: manage your risk.
👉 Follow for more real-time updates as we track both price action and macro headlines impacting crypto.
Bitcoin Breakout Incoming? Flash PMI & CME Gap in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall ( about -4%) after the news that the US was involved in the Middle East tension , but it has risen again with good momentum .
Do you think Bitcoin will go below the previous bottom($98,200) again on the 1-hour time frame?
Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zonezone($102,130-$100,700) and near the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that a Double Three Correction(WXY) has been completed near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, the first 5 microwaves of the Impulsive have now been completed .
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Bitcoin traders should monitor today’s Flash Manufacturing (expected 51.1) and Services PMI (expected 52.9) . Both forecasts are already lower than last month’s figures (51.3 and 54.8) , but I see a chance they come in even weaker.
Why weaker PMI is likely?
Slowing retail sales and softer labor data point to reduced consumer demand.
High interest rates are starting to pressure both the production and services sectors.
Regional Fed surveys already showed a cooling in business activity.
If the PMI prints below expectations, the market may anticipate a more dovish Fed, pushing the dollar( TVC:DXY ) down and giving Bitcoin a potential bullish boost.
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I expect Bitcoin to move towards filling the CME Gap($103,730-$102,275) after breaking the Resistance lines , and if the Resistance zone($104,380-$103,060) is broken, we should expect further increases.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $103,391-$103,934
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $100,800-$100,250
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $97,691-$97,241
Note: Increased tensions in the Middle East or new and important news surrounding this news can make the analysis invalid, so be more careful with capital management.
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $98,170 , we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin Tests Key Support-Healthy Correction Within Bull MarketHealthy Pullback, Strong Structure:
Bitcoin’s recent dip is a constructive correction within a broader bull trend, as it tests the critical $100,000–$105,000 support zone—a former resistance area from early 2025.
Institutional Demand Holds the Line:
Maintaining levels above the psychologically important $100,000 mark highlights continued institutional accumulation and reinforces the underlying strength of the trend.
Momentum Reset, Base Building:
This pullback has helped reset overbought conditions from the prior rally, laying the foundation for the next potential leg higher.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $100,000–$105,000
Breakout Trigger: A close above $108,000 would confirm uptrend continuation
Outlook: Bullish bias remains valid as long as support holds
Investor Opportunity:
With structure intact and downside contained, this consolidation presents a favorable risk-reward setup for long-term investors looking to position ahead of a potential breakout.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #BullMarket #RiskReward #InstitutionalBuying #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
Is Altseason Around the Corner? BTC.D looks tired AF!BTC dominance just hit the top of a rising wedge that has been building for over a year. Price is stalling at 65.64 percent, sitting right against long-standing resistance.
Momentum is weakening. Stochastic RSI is at 72 and starting to roll over. RSI is sitting just under 70 and showing early signs of fading.
The structure suggests we are close to a decision. If BTC dominance starts to fall from here, the conditions for an altcoin run are in place.
Key levels to the downside are already mapped. First is 59.97 percent. Then 58.70 percent. After that, 56.88 percent. The 100-week simple moving average is also sitting at 56.51 percent. If dominance breaks below that level, it opens the door for a larger shift in market flow.
Previous retracements in BTC dominance have aligned with strong moves in altcoins. This current setup is technically clean and nearing resolution.
It is not confirmed yet, but the signals are starting to stack. This is a moment worth watching.
₿itcoin: PullbackBitcoin has experienced significant selling since Friday, briefly slipping below the $100,000 mark. We previously mentioned that a sharper pullback wouldn't surprise us. Whether prices will drop a bit further remains to be seen for the moment. Ultimately, we still expect Bitcoin to climb into the upper blue Target Zone (coordinates: $117,553 – $130,891) before a broader C-wave sell-off occurs, pushing the price down to the lower blue Target Zone (coordinates: $62,395 – $51,323). There, we anticipate the low of the larger orange wave a, which should mark the start of another corrective upward move. Afterward, we're preparing for the last downward leg of blue wave (ii). However, if Bitcoin directly surpasses the resistance at $130,891 – and thus our upper blue Target Zone – we'll locate it still in blue wave alt.(i) (30% probability).
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
USDT.D LONG - MID TERM PLANUSDT.D is one of the best tools to understand what's happening in the crypto market.
It shows the dominance of USDT across the entire space — and has a strong inverse correlation with BTC and crypto assets.
Technicals:
USDT.D is approaching its long-term support trendline.
I expect a deviation below that line — possibly toward the 0.75 Fibonacci level — before a strong move up.
That move could last 1–3 months, which means more downside for alts during this time.
Plan:
Shorting altcoins — especially ETH-related tokens and memecoins.
Looking to buy back around early August.
BTC, Selling pressure below 100K, 23 JunePlan BTC today: 23 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Market capitalisation fell to $3.03 trillion over the weekend, likely due to speculators expecting a sell-off in response to US strikes on targets in Iran. However, the limited reaction from traditional financial markets brought buyers back to the crypto space, showing their willingness to buy at a discount and pushing market capitalisation back up to $3.12 trillion.
The cryptocurrency sentiment index dropped to 42 on Sunday, its lowest level in two months, but rebounded to 47 at the start of the new week, moving from the fear zone into neutral territory.
Bitcoin slipped to $98K over the weekend, briefly touching the classic support level at 61.8% of the April–May rally. However, by the start of the European trading session, it had already recovered to around $102K, compared to $102.7K at the beginning of Sunday. Still, last week’s sell-off broke the 50-day moving average support, weighed down by external factors. A breakout from the $96K–$105K range will likely determine the direction of the next major move
personal opinion:!!!
Selling pressure caused gold price to drop below 100k yesterday, macro economy has not changed much. Gold price continues to suffer selling pressure
Important price zone to consider :!!!
support zone : 100.800 ; 98.200
Sustainable trading to beat the market
BTC Textbook Elliot Waves!CRYPTOCAP:BTC local analysis hasn't changed in a few weeks.
Price printed another text book Elliot motif wave, with the wave 4 triangle terminal pattern ending in the usual thrust up with a poke above all time high.
Price is also printing a textbook ABC for wave 2 with 5 waves down for A, 3 waves up for B and a strong wave C down to finish. Wave C's are always the strongest.
Pattern suggests price has one more push lower to complete this corrective wave tapping the quadruple support: S1 daily pivot, ascending daily 200EMA, major support High Volume Node (HVN) and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 92-94k range.
Most investors are publicly calling for buys in this area so price may be front run by the whales! The consensus often do not get what they want.
Safe trading