BTC
HelenP. I Bitcoin can reach trend line and then start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price declined to the support level, after which it turned around and then rebounded and started to grow to resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Then, when the price reached the 101600 level and broke it, after which continued to grow to the trend line. After BTC reached the trend line, it dropped to the 101600 level and broke it, after which tried to back up and failed. Price continued to move down to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, after which rebounded, rose a little, and then fell back. Next, BTC repeated movement up, rose to 100K points, and then corrected to below the support level. After this movement, the price turned around and in a short time rose to the resistance zone, where it reached the trend line and then dropped, breaking the resistance level again. Then BTC fell to a support level, trades between it and later rose back to the trend line. At the moment price trades near the trend line and I expect that BTCUSDT will reach this line and then start to decline. In this case, I set my goal at a 94400 support level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin's Next Move: Weekend Trade Opportunities! Bitcoin has enjoyed an impressive rally over the past four days, but as we approach the weekend, price action is encountering some resistance levels, presenting potential short opportunities.
Resistance Zone and Short Setup:
The resistance zone lies between $104,464 (Fib 0.786 and Weekly Level) and $106,176 (Fib 0.886 and Daily Level). This range offers a low-risk shorting opportunity with clearly defined targets.
1.) Short Entry #1: Weekly Level at $104,464 (Fib 0.786)
Stop Loss: Above $107,000
Take Profit: Around $101,000 - $100,000 (Psychological Level)
Risk-Reward (R:R): ~1:1
2.) Short Entry #2: Daily Level at $106,176 (Fib 0.886)
Stop Loss: Above $107,000
Take Profit: Around $101,000 - $100,000 (Psychological Level)
Risk-Reward (R:R): ~4:1
Support Zone and Long Setup:
The support zone lies between $101,058 (Fib 0.618 of Current Wave) and $99,521 (Fib 0.382 of Entire Wave). Within this range, a laddered long position can be constructed for a high-probability trade setup.
Long Entry: Between $101,058 and $99,521
Stop Loss: Below $98,500
Take Profit: Around $103,000
Risk-Reward (R:R): ~2:1
Confluences for Support Zone:
Anchored VWAP: Projected support around $100K, reinforcing the psychological significance of this level.
Psychological Level: 100K
Fib Retracement: 0.618 + 0.382
Fib Speed Fan (0.5): The speed fan aligns with support near $100K, depending on timing.
Value Area High (VAH): The VAH of the range strengthens the case for the support zone and long setup.
Bitcoin & Gold: Weekly Options Trading Recap
Gold: 🌟 The entire past week saw a positive trend in gold trading, characterized by a continuous accumulation of vertical call spreads targeting $2925-$2950. On Friday, higher targets around $2990-$3000 were added, with expiration in August of this year. The sentiment remains positive. However, volatility increased last week and remains at a relatively high level, indicating potential turbulence in the precious metals market.
Bitcoin: 💰 Interesting portfolios aiming for $120,000-$140,000 have been observed in Bitcoin trading. These portfolios emerged on January 16 when Bitcoin was around $99,000. Within a couple of days, Bitcoin surged by 6.8% and broke the previous high around $102,500.
This or That? Is the Market Choosing This?Trading Family,
Similar patterns on the SPY and BTC chart. But there was also conflicting data on both. There was a bearish head and shoulders pattern on both charts, but there was also bullish data on both charts. The market is conflicted but it is now looking that they may choose to side with the bulls. Let's review the charts.
✌️ Stew
BTCUSDW pattern forming at resistance with a 15 point range (from 107 down to 92)
- Breakout of pattern takes BTC right to 122 which is the old weekly cup and handle pattern price target
- Trump inauguration and "crypto ball" coming with a possible announcement of bitcoin strategic reserve
- Also possible sovereign wealth fund
Breaking: Bitcoin Crosses $104,000 , Defying Market ExpectationsBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has achieved a significant milestone, breaking through the psychological resistance level of $100,000 and trading as high as $104,000. This 4.27% surge has positioned BTC as the focal point of global financial discussions. However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating overbought conditions, traders are left questioning whether the rally can sustain its momentum or if a correction is imminent.
Technical Analysis:
BTC’s move above the $100,000 resistance level highlights its bullish momentum. However, traders should remain cautious, as overbought signals from the RSI suggest the possibility of a near-term correction. Immediate support lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a critical technical zone that could act as a buffer against potential selling pressure.
Should CRYPTOCAP:BTC break below this support, the price may dip toward the one-month low of $90,000. Such a move could trigger a massive sell-off, further intensifying bearish sentiment. Conversely, maintaining the current momentum above $100,000 could pave the way for BTC to explore new all-time highs, fueled by increased institutional and retail interest.
Miners Bolster BTC Reserves
Recent data underscores the pivotal role of U.S.-based cryptocurrency miners in Bitcoin’s growth trajectory. As of December 2024, miners have doubled their BTC reserves to nearly 100,000 coins, raising over $3.7 billion since November to bolster their holdings.
Top players such as Marathon Digital Holdings (40,435 BTC), Riot Platforms (16,728 BTC), and CleanSpark (10,097 BTC) lead the charge. Their "HODL" strategy—holding rather than selling mined Bitcoin—has not only strengthened their balance sheets but also amplified investor confidence. This is reflected in rising stock valuations for these firms, showcasing the synergy between strategic asset accumulation and market sentiment.
Key Drivers Behind Miner Resilience
1. Market Conditions: Lower Bitcoin prices in early 2024 allowed miners to acquire BTC at discounted rates.
2. Technological Advancements: The adoption of efficient mining equipment and energy optimization strategies enabled miners to enhance profitability.
3. Price Recovery: The late 2024 Bitcoin rally increased the value of miners’ reserves, positioning them advantageously in the current market landscape.
Challenges on the Horizon
Despite their impressive growth, U.S.-based miners face mounting challenges. Rising global hash rates, driven by increased competition from international miners, are squeezing profit margins. Furthermore, the upcoming Bitcoin halving in April 2024—which will reduce mining rewards by 50%—poses an additional hurdle. Miners will need to innovate, optimize operations, and explore diversified revenue streams to remain competitive.
Market Sentiment and Macroeconomic Factors
Bitcoin’s latest surge also aligns with macroeconomic developments. The cryptocurrency has gained 7.85% in the past week, fueled by speculation around the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump on January 20. Market participants anticipate favorable regulatory policies under the new administration, further boosting confidence in digital assets.
Outlook
At a market cap exceeding $2 trillion, Bitcoin’s ascent to $104,000 signifies both the resilience of the crypto market and the strategic maneuvers of key industry players. However, the overbought RSI, coupled with potential resistance at higher levels, necessitates vigilance among traders and investors.
While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, near-term corrections could provide strategic entry points for those seeking to capitalize on its upward trajectory. As miners continue to accumulate reserves and innovate, their role in shaping Bitcoin’s future will be pivotal in navigating the challenges of an evolving crypto ecosystem.
Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) price action and technical analysis1. Trendlines
Green Ascending Trendline: Indicates an ongoing bullish trend, connecting higher lows and showing upward momentum.
Blue Long-Term Trendline: Suggests a stronger long-term support level that aligns with the overall bullish structure.
Black Descending Trendline: Marks a resistance zone from a previous downtrend, now broken, signaling a potential trend reversal.
2. Key Price Levels
Pink Horizontal Zone (Resistance Turned Support): Highlights a critical area around $102,000 to $104,000. This area acted as resistance but was broken and may now serve as support.
Current Price: The BTC/USD pair is trading around $105,000, showing strong bullish momentum.
3. Price Projection
Blue Arrows: Indicate a potential bullish continuation pattern, where the price could consolidate around the broken resistance ($102,000-$104,000) before making another upward move toward $110,000 or higher.
Consolidation Zones: Suggest minor corrections or pullbacks before the next upward push.
4. Market Sentiment
The break of the descending trendline and the successful retest of support levels signal a bullish outlook.
The chart suggests confidence in higher highs, with a steady uptrend intact.
BITCOIN PREDICTION - BTC GAME PLANI’d like to share my plan for BTC with you guys.
We’ve recently broken the bullish trendline that had been supporting the price for a while and maintaining the uptrend. This break occurred with strong momentum, which I consider a bearish signal.
However, there’s still a larger bullish daily trendline just below us. I expect a strong momentum push up from that level, so the current situation isn’t a major concern for me.
Here’s my outlook:
I anticipate a run on the equal lows just below the current price. This move should provide enough energy for the price to push up and retest the recently broken trendline.
That retest is likely to confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. If we fail to break above the trendline with momentum, I expect the price to fall below the December 5th wick and then get rejected.
This phase may create a ranging environment, potentially building momentum for altcoins.
Eventually, I anticipate testing the daily HTF bullish trendline, which should provide a strong rejection and begin the journey to new all-time highs.
This is my game plan based on my experience, and I’ll be monitoring the price closely to adapt if needed.
Key Notes:
I expect early January to bring strong bullish momentum across all crypto markets. For now, we’re in a choppy zone.
If BTC breaks back above the trendline we just lost, I’d expect the price to reach $99,500 and likely face rejection there.
Breaking above $100K would strongly signal a bullish trend. I’ll then watch closely for any rejection at the marked blue line and purple zone on the chart.
This is how I’m approaching the market. Manage your risk accordingly!
Etherium might surprise everyone. BINANCE:ETHUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
BINANCE:ETHUSD is showing strong bullish momentum after the BINANCE:BTCUSD breakout above 69K. However, the price of ETH is still in a trading range. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Second resistance: All-time high around 5000.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.