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Is Bitcoin Topping Out? Critical Levels to WatchSince the low of $15,476 on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has surged to an all-time high of $109,588 on January 20, 2025. That’s an incredible +608% increase over 791 days. We also hit the long-anticipated $100K mark. But for almost three months now, Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $90K and the all-time high, showing some indecision in the market. Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends Bitcoin spent over 250 days consolidating between $50K and $70K before finally breaking out in November 2024, right around the U.S. election. That breakout triggered a massive rally, pushing Bitcoin to 100K in just one month. Since then, bulls and bears have been battling it out, trying to establish control over this crucial psychological level. A look at the pitchfork tool shows that Bitcoin has been rejected at the 0.618, 0.666, and 0.786 levels multiple times while trying to push higher. Recently, we lost the median line of the pitchfork and dropped below 100K, suggesting bullish momentum is fading. The 233 SMA/EMA on the 4-hour TF as well as the 21 EMA/MA on the daily TF has also flipped into resistance, adding to the bearish pressure. Is February Shaping Up to Be a Bearish Month? If we compare the current cycle to the 2020 bull market, the price action looks similar, forming a top where Bitcoin struggles to break higher. February could bring a healthy correction before any new leg up. Key Support Zones & Confluences Here’s where we could see solid support: Unfilled CME Gap at $77,930 – Historically, Bitcoin tends to fill these gaps over time Pitchfork Lower Support Line (~$80K) – If Bitcoin drops, this level aligns with multiple confluences by late February or early March Fib Speed Fan (0.618 from $50K to ATH) – Perfectly lines up with the pitchfork lower support around $80K Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.618) – Another confluence at the $79K mark Fib Retracement (0.5 from $50K to ATH) – Adds more support at $79.3K Negative Fibonacci Retracement (-0.618) – Lands right at the open gap, reinforcing this zone Daily 233 EMA/MA – Sitting at $81.3K and $76.4K, further supporting this region Key Support Zone: $80K - $78K – With all these confluences, this is a strong area for a potential long setup Additional Support Zone: FWB:88K - $86K – Another important region to watch for a bounce Resistance Levels & Confluences Psychological Resistance at 100K – A major battle zone between bulls and bears Daily 21 EMA/MA (~$99.5K - 101K) – A key resistance level that could cap any upward movement 233 SMA/EMA on the 4H Timeframe – Now acting as resistance, adding pressure to the downside Potential Trade Setups Long Setup #1: A potential entry from FWB:88K - $86K Long Setup #2: $80K - $78K support zone with confirmation could present a high-probability trade Final Thoughts Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at 100K, with multiple technical indicators suggesting a possible pullback. While the bigger trend remains bullish, February might bring a correction, providing great long opportunities around the FWB:88K - $86K and $80K - $78K region. Keep an eye on key support zones and look for confirmation signals before jumping into trades. New Indicator Release The 4H, Daily, and Weekly support zones seen on the charts are from my new indicator, which I released for free a few days ago. Feel free to check it out and incorporate it into your analysis.
Long
by SiDec
3
DOGE vs BTC: MACD DivergenceHello, They may bothe be dropping against the inflated dollar, but this indicates that DOGE is becoming stronger in the battle of David vs Goliath. Thats me… im Dave, and Doge is the coin that I am manifesting will lead us into the 5D world of the new earth. I believe that BTC is grossly tied to the corrupt money markets… and that DOGE will remain the favor of crypto investor’s hearts. I believe that the crypto world will pull the biggest pump and dump of all time on the corporate / military industrial complex, and walk away from BTC, leaving them with an empty bag of old school blockchain tech. This double stacked MACD DIVErgence corroborates this awareness of hte future. I remember form last time (not in this linear life) that Doge bites BTC on the way off the cliff…. But let’s go and shakes free of the mammoth Goliath of crypto as it crumbles! I remember the way it felt before…. And i know im on a higher vibrational level this life. Surrendered to love. And Doge invokes the emotion of … Unconditional Love. As more of us gain these awareness, we will see a massive migration of wealth from BTC, and its evil little step sister ETH, over to DOGE. Cause it represents the hard earned work energy credit of the common person here on earth. There is not blood of war on the doge books. Oh… my MACD observations are color coded for you. If you want to see what DOGE is doing Ont eh long range… check the linked post i put up yesterday… ish…. Within the last sleep cycle or two anyhow. Sending Love, and a reminder of the only true universal law on earth: May All beings live happy and free and may you cause no harm by action or thought to to any living being, or their belongings.
Long
by DHLawrence
2
BTC on 6h chart Hello, my dear friends!🫶 I’m so happy to see You here again! I’m especially grateful for Your feedback—some of You mentioned, that were waiting for me and missed me.🥲 Your words truly touched my heart—thank You so much!😊 I’m thrilled to be drawing charts for You once again; every post I share here holds a piece of my soul. Thanks for Your support—it means the world to me!💋 🔴 We’re currently sitting between a major resistance level (a trendline dating all the way back to 2017) and strong support at 72,000.🔴 The price is at a fascinating crossroads: if the 96–94–93 levels hold and the price consolidates there, we could see a climb toward the significant resistance zone (marked by the pink 🟣 dot) at 107–108k. From there, it’ll be crucial to watch closely—if the price breaks through those levels with ease, a rally could be in the cards.🚀 However, if the 96–94–93–92 levels fail to hold, we’re likely in for a deeper correction. In that case, we could see the price drop to the support zones at 86k, or possibly even lower, to 77k–73k.📉 Thank You for being part of this amazing community—it’s a privilege to share ideas and grow alongside You all. No matter what the charts look like, stay focused, stay patient, and keep believing in your abilities. Success belongs to those who persevere. Always sincerely yours, Kateryna 💙💛
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RocketBomb
2
BTC: Lost Key Support! What’s Next?🚀 Hey Traders! If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥 🚨 BTC Breakdown Alert! BTC has lost the critical GETTEX:87K -$90K support in the daily timeframe—a level it held strong for over 3 months! Now, it's looking like a bearish retest, which could lead to another leg down. 📉 🔻 Next Major Support: $72K-$75K ✅ Bullish Reclaim? BTC must close above GETTEX:87K on the daily to confirm this as a fakeout—until then, the bias remains bearish. 🔥 What’s your take? Are we heading lower, or will BTC reclaim its lost ground? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️🔥
Short
by CoreCrypto1
INJ Long OpportunityMarket Context: INJ has retraced into a strong support zone, presenting a high-probability long trade for a potential rebound. Primary Trade Setup: Entry: $13.00 - $12.00 Take Profit Targets: $16.00 $18.00 Stop Loss: Below $11.30 Secondary Trade Setup (Deeper Support): Entry: $10.00 - $9.50 Take Profit: Adjust based on price action Stop Loss: Below $9.00 This setup targets a bounce from major support, with the potential for a stronger rally if bullish momentum returns. 🚀
Long
by Richtv_official
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trading PlanBitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trading Plan – February 28, 2025 Market Overview The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price is currently trading at $79,770, showing a -0.74% decline in the latest 4-hour candlestick. The chart illustrates a falling wedge trading pattern, which is considered a bullish reversal signal. The price is approaching the lower boundary of the wedge, signaling a potential breakout to the upside. Technical Indicators & Key Observations Falling Wedge Pattern: The price has been making lower highs and lower lows within a falling wedge formation (red and green trendlines). A breakout above the upper boundary of the wedge could trigger a strong bullish rally. Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate support: $76,665 Major support: $67,679 Key resistance levels: $88,671 $91,271 $95,497 $108,329 (Major long-term resistance) Momentum Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): 22.26 (oversold), indicating potential upward momentum. Stochastic Oscillator: 16.14, also in the oversold region, confirming a possible reversal. Money Flow Index (MFI): Showing weak inflow, but a reversal at these levels could indicate increasing buying pressure. Cipher_B Divergences: Potential bullish divergence forming, adding confluence to the breakout scenario. Professional Trading Plan Entry Strategy Aggressive Entry: If Bitcoin closes a 4-hour candle above the wedge's upper trendline (~$80,500), an early entry can be considered. Conservative Entry: Wait for confirmation above the $82,000 level with strong volume before entering a long position. Profit Targets First Target: $88,671 (previous local high) Second Target: $91,271 (psychological level) Third Target: $95,497 (strong resistance) Ultimate Target: $108,329 (major long-term resistance) Stop-Loss Strategy For aggressive traders: Below $76,500 (recent low) For conservative traders: Below $74,000 to reduce risk exposure Risk Management Risk-to-reward ratio: 1:3 or higher (entry should be calculated to maintain proper risk-reward) Position Sizing: Allocate 2-5% of capital to this trade, considering volatility. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently trading at a critical support level within a falling wedge. The RSI, Stochastic, and MFI indicators suggest oversold conditions, indicating a potential bullish breakout. Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout above the wedge with strong volume before entering a position. Targets remain between $88,000 and $108,000, with well-defined stop-loss levels to minimize risk. 💡 Recommendation: Monitor price action closely, especially in the next few 4-hour candles. If BTC breaks above the wedge, prepare for a bullish move towards resistance levels.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by elfabiiani
Bitcon currently filling the CME futures gapWe knew it was likely this would happen at some point in the near future from when the gap was formed and it appears like now is the time. Price action needs to dip as low as $77,920to fill the gap entirely. History tells us the correction should be over with not long after the gap is filled. The only way this isn’t the case is if the top of the bull market was indeed already in, which is a very minute probability but not impossible. *not financial advice*
CME:BTC1!
by DrDovetail
Market Update & Crypto OutlookMarket Update & Crypto Outlook Tariffs & Economic Impact Trump is leveraging tariffs as a negotiation tactic to pressure adversaries into deals. While Europe is reluctant to concede outright, they have little choice. These tariffs are shaking the markets, and we all know how sensitive elites are about their portfolios. By hitting them where it hurts—their wallets—Trump is forcing them to the table. In my opinion, this strategy will work. Over time, Europe, Ukraine, and even China will likely agree to compromises. As these agreements unfold, market uncertainty (FUD) will ease, restoring investor confidence. Inflation & Market Sentiment Markets are pricing in expected quantitative tightening , meaning no interest rate cuts for at least two years. However, I don’t believe tariffs will fuel inflation as much as feared. Reduced government spending and a stronger USD could offset price increases, maintaining purchasing power without printing money. Until markets realize this, we’ll see uncertainty, but inflation numbers may not be as catastrophic as expected , helping stabilize sentiment. Crypto & Market Cycle The bull market isn’t over, but Bitcoin finally experienced real consolidation —without heavy ETF purchases propping it up. The ETF FOMO is over , and that’s actually a good thing. Now, Bitcoin can continue its rally naturally , setting up for its final, most parabolic leg. Altcoins & The Spark for Altseason As I mentioned before, a strong dollar combined with the upcoming $5,000 stimulus checks will ignite true altseason . This influx of cash will likely fuel a major altcoin rally later this year , after the new administration distributes the payments. Conclusion Yes, it’s been painful—altcoins are bleeding, portfolios are down, and sentiment is low. But capitulation marks the bottom . Expect a bumpy March , but April and especially May* could be parabolic , making today’s struggles a distant memory. 🚀 (Everything is on the chart, check the arrows)
by CryptoNikkoid
4
BTC to $72k-$73k to test major supportWe tried to break out of this long term channel and we were rejected like a nerd on prom day. We were tracking a short/medium term descending channel and now we have broken out of that and fast heading for bottom of overarching ascending channel. another really bit of ominous sign is we lost our 200 day moving average, this also puts us at threat of a death cross over the next month or so. Also note the rest of the crypto market for the most part, looks worse than BTC, many are at multi year lows, many have broken their multi-year ascension, few charts look appealing in crypto right now... But we are still inside that long term ascending channel and therefore, still in a bullish trend overall but a lot of things are piling up against it. So we will look to catch support at around $72- FWB:73K and then hopefully climb back up this channel. If we break the bottom of this two year ascending channel the lows could be a lot lower. The only thing that makes this a little shaky right now is that Ethereum just broke its two year ascending pattern, could it be a sign of whats to come for BTC? Stay vigilant, personally I would not consider a long before we test that bottom of channel, and even there I would urge tight stop losses for those trying to take advantage of the situation. That also stands for any crypto, never trade any alts and such without also watching BTC, when BTC is unhappy, generally the rest of the market is even more unhappy. As always, my posts are informational, DYOR.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EncryptShawn
(BTC) bitcoin "its nothing"People are wasting their time with bugging out about the price of BTC losing. It's nothing. The price lost like -12%. If someone bought at the peak the price is down like -25%. Compared to all the super inconsistent tokens, memes, and thought bubbles of people creating small and micro cap strategies behind cryptocurrency others. Cryptocurrency has a problem with all the ideas following the movement and price of BTC. Either the people who invest in BTC are also heavily invested in alt coins, tokens and memes, or the real truth; there is no way large institutional banks are invested in most of the tokens. Tokens should not be so easily knocked down. How many years are we going to see the inconsistency of tokens and alt coins before the world of cryptocurrency investors remove the framework where people tend to believe BTC controls the prices and movements of all cryptocurrency. BTC lost a tiny amount compared to the larger losses continually accruing by miniscule cryptocurrency market caps.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
$BTC sideways for now, long-term uptrend intactI’m waiting for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to tap 102k again, or for the yearly open at 93k. Not much happening at the moment, but I see it moving higher. Most likely, we’ll trade within January’s candle and form an inside bar. The inflection point will be at the extremes of that candle for short-term trades. If it decides to break January’s low, I’d see that as a potential re-entry point. So, in short: Continuation above 102k First possible entry at the yearly open (I think many are watching that area) Second entry at January’s low (optimal for me) For now, it’s just consolidation.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ZelfTrade
2
Bitcoin: Wave 4 or Wave goodbye...to this variantIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Bitcoin Wave 4?: Key Levels & Critical Juncture Bitcoin’s recent price action has put traders on edge, as we continue to push into the deeper reaches of the Wave 4 territory. The market rejected 99-100K, aligning with expectations, but it took a deeper path than my bullish outlook preferred. While I caught the correct direction, this move is now at a critical juncture where bulls need to step up—this is their last chance to hold this count as a probability and regain momentum, IMO. Losing Ground on This Count A clean break above 99K never materialized, reinforcing bearish sentiment and increasing the likelihood of further downside. The bulls have struggled to gain control, and without a strong push, this count risks full invalidation. At this stage, I remain cautious, knowing that sticking to weak counts is a losing game. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 86.6K – Immediate obstacle for bulls to reclaim 📈 🔹 92K – The real test; a reclaim here would suggest bullish intent 🎯 🔹 75K – Next major support if bulls fail to hold structure ⚡ What Comes Next? If this variant is going to stay on the probability list, it has to prove itself now. It was cautiously at the top of the list, but has broken the key levels and ideal price action I was looking for to keep it there. Bitcoin is at a make-or-break moment—will it find strength, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know your thoughts in the comments. 🚀 Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoKnee
4 reasons that Gold may have peaked: Gold can thrive on uncertainty, and for the past three years, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been a key driver. However, recent developments hopefully suggest a possible shift toward peace. While a complete resolution is uncertain, the beginning of peace talks, no matter how flawed they appear, could weaken gold’s safe-haven appeal. Gold benefits from lower interest rates, as it competes with yield-bearing assets like bonds. Earlier in the year, markets expected the Federal Reserve to cut rates aggressively. However, recent economic data and Trump’s economic policies mean inflation could be a greater concern than initially thought. This has led to doubts about how quickly the Fed will ease policy. If rate cuts are delayed or scaled back, gold’s upside could be limited. Gold and Bitcoin are seen as alternative stores of value. Bitcoin has recently fallen about 20% from its highs. This could suggest a broader shift in risk sentiment, potentially impacting gold if investors move back into the U.S. dollar or other assets. Markets initially expected Trump to push aggressive tariffs, which would have fueled inflation and boosted gold. However, so far, his rhetoric has been more meandering than expected, with only a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. If markets believe that Trump’s trade policies will be less disruptive than previously thought, gold loses a key bullish narrative.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
BTC At Critical Support on 200DMA + RSI Way Oversold₿itcoin testing critical support on the 200DMA 🚨 Last time it closed under on July 4, 2024 it ranged for 101 days. RSI hasn't been this oversold since August, 2023. Last time BTC was at this RSI level and closed under the 200DMA it ranged for 60 days. HOWEVER, the only time BTC has ever closed under the 200DMA on a Post-Halving year was in May 2021, where it then went on to rally to another new ATH. I'm personally buying here 💯
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
Litecoin Could Triple Against Bitcoin (LTC/BTC)As much as crypto annoys me these days, I can't help but still pay attention to this wild market. There are some red flags - a lot of uncertainty and major paradigm shifts apparently looming on the horizon. Bitcoin has really slowed down, when it comes to price increases and volatility. It's also now associated with political polarization, as it has been predictably co-opted by wealthy interests, aimed at centralizing financial control and surveillance. Nevertheless, cryptocurrencies chug along. I'll admit, I've always liked Litecoin. Maybe it's because it was the first cryptocurrency I bought where I realized, hey, Bitcoin isn't the best at what it's supposed to do. It was a lot faster and cheaper, and remains a preferred medium of exchange for crypto transfers. This is evidenced by its growing number of active addresses, when compared with Bitcoin's stagnation. bitinfocharts.com bitinfocharts.com Bitcoin's growth has stagnated, when it comes to its use as a transfer of value, whereas Litecoin continues to grow slowly. Litecoin's active addresses are also only about 50% less when compared with Bitcoin, making its "adoption" not all too far behind. Of course, there are probably many flaws with Litecoin, as there are with cryptocurrencies as a payment method in general, but when you look at the current crypto market cap and how much Litecoin is actually used, it seems to be undervalued when compared to all the other fluff out there. It just works. Its max supply is also only 4x that of Bitcoin. It's unlikely to ever achieve a market cap similar, but even if it it goes 4x from here in USD terms (taking it just above its past ATH), its market cap would be the same as Dogecoin, around $37B. That's honestly pretty funny to me. The only thing I like about crypto is that it's marginally better than a lotto ticket. Maybe if things get even more dystopian, owning some crypto isn't a terrible idea. Things are absurd as it is. I don't like it, but that's how things have been going. For some quick technicals. Litecoin is on its strongest tear against ETH since 2018: Litecoin also broke down from a major uptrend against the USD a while ago, but if it gets back in (currently above $170ish), it could fuel a pretty explosive rally. Based on the above LTC/BTC chart, there is room for a pretty large upside correction. HOWEVER, it's important to keep in mind that markets are fragile overall right now. If Bitcoin makes a sizeable correction, back down to $70-80k or deeper, Litecoin may drop down to some lows not seen in some time. It's also important to remember that serious upside for Litecoin has previously occurred near market tops. This is not meant as financial advice! This represents my opinion and feelings about the markets, which are always evolving. -Victor Cobra
by VictorCobra