BTC
BTC - Bulls Charging... However!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the blue trendline support and has been bullish in the medium term. 📈
However, the overall sentiment remains bearish, as BTC is still trading within the falling channel marked in red. 📉
For the bulls to take over long term and initiate the next impulsive wave, a break above the $91,000 major high in blue is needed. 🔵
Meanwhile, BTC may still retest the blue trendline — where we’ll be looking for new short-term longs. 🎯
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AI Sector Watch – TAO Pullback OpportunityAI-related tokens are showing real strength lately, and TAO has led the charge with a series of green candles. However, the most recent candle suggests potential for a cool-off into support—which could form a higher low and provide a great entry opportunity.
📍 Entry Zone:
$279 (potential higher low formation)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $292
🥈 $317
🛑 Stop Loss:
Below $260 (look for daily close confirmation)
📊 Notes:
If price consolidates above $279 and bounces, it confirms strength.
Watch for volume drop during the pullback—bulls want a light retrace before resuming higher.
If TAO breaks and holds above $292 quickly, you may want to trail your stop.
BTC - 4H Bearish Bias Remains Active📉 BINANCE:BTCUSDT – Bearish Bias Remains Active 📉
COINBASE:BTCUSD continues to show strong bearish momentum, and the current structure suggests a likely drop from the $85K– GETTEX:87K zone.
🔍 Key Setup:
There's a resistance zone around $86,000, backed by favorable liquidity just above it.
This setup increases the probability of a liquidity grab and sharp rejection, which aligns with our bearish scenario.
Target zones are mapped near $79K and $76K, depending on how price reacts to the first support.
✅ We’re watching closely for price action confirmation before entering a short.
Also, check our previous Bitcoin idea, where we predicted the fall from FWB:83K to below $77K—it played out perfectly!
💡 Follow for real-time updates and don’t miss the next precision trade! 🚀
BTC Weekly Analysis (1W)First and foremost, keep in mind that this is a weekly analysis, and along the way, Bitcoin may experience upward bounces from daily or hourly support levels.
From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, Bitcoin started forming a diametric pattern, and with the recent drop, the bullish scenario has strengthened, canceling Bitcoin’s previous triangle formation.
The price has now entered wave F. The green zone is where wave F could potentially complete.
June is the month when this corrective wave (wave F) is expected to end.
Wave G is a bullish wave, and its target could be the red zone.
A weekly candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this outlook and analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin - Is Bitcoin on the way up?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and has broken out of its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s upward trend will depend on maintaining the drawn upward trend line.
A valid break of this trend line will cause Bitcoin’s price to correct to the 80,000 range. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Following the announcement of new trade tariffs by the United States, Bitcoin experienced a 16.7% drop in price. However, it partially recovered from its 26.7% plunge. The total global cryptocurrency market capitalization has now reached $2.74 trillion, marking a 1.71% increase compared to the previous day.
Over the past 24 hours, the total crypto market trading volume hit $60.7 billion, reflecting a 32.28% rise. Within this, DeFi transactions account for $5.25 billion, making up 8.65% of the total 24-hour market volume. Meanwhile, stablecoins have dominated trading activity with $55.84 billion in volume, representing 92% of the total market volume for the day.
When comparing Bitcoin’s performance to other major assets, gold leads with a 12.9% gain. In contrast, both silver and the U.S. Dollar Index saw a 4.8% decline. The S&P 500 fell by 13.8%, while the Nasdaq dropped 17.5%. Despite its volatility, Bitcoin sits between oil and the Nasdaq in performance, showing signs of partial recovery. However, its behavior still diverges from that of traditional safe-haven assets like gold.
On the political front, Hong Joon-pyo, a presidential candidate from South Korea’s conservative party, pledged that if elected, he would implement reforms in blockchain and cryptocurrency regulations. He also promised to integrate blockchain technology into public sector and administrative services. Additionally, Hong plans to invest at least 50 trillion Korean won (approximately $35.1 billion) over the next five years in research and development across artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and room-temperature superconductors. These initiatives are part of his broader strategy focused on growth driven by emerging technologies.
In Q1 2025, publicly traded companies collectively acquired 95,431 bitcoins, bringing their total holdings to 688,000 BTC. This amount represents 3.28% of Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins.
The Coinbase Premium Index, which tracks the difference in Bitcoin demand between U.S. markets and global exchanges, has shown reduced volatility since March 2024. It appears to be forming a pattern often seen before bullish market trends.
Robert Kiyosaki, renowned entrepreneur and author of the best-selling book Rich Dad Poor Dad, has forecasted that Bitcoin’s price could rise to between $180,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2025. Kiyosaki has long been an outspoken supporter of Bitcoin, portraying it as a safe hedge against inflation and economic instability.
BITCOIN Most POWERFUL Signal Activated—Former ATH IS NOW SUPPORTBitcoin (BTCUSD) completed two straight green 1W candles and has started off this week equally impressive, approaching 4-week Highs! This is a direct consequence of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holding as a Support, similar to what happened on the last two Higher Lows of the 3-year Channel Up on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023.
The hidden catalyst perhaps behind this strong move may be the fact that the April 07 2025 Low, besides the 1W MA50, it also rebounded on the former All Time High (ATH) Resistance Zone (red), which now turned into Support (green). This is the Zone that started with the November 08 2021 Cycle High and rejected BT on March 11 2024, April 08 2024, June 03 2024 and July 29 2024.
As long as this critical Support cluster (1W MA50, 2021 ATH Zone) holds, we are expecting the 1W MACD to form a new Bullish Cross, the first since October 14 2024, which technically confirmed the new Bullish Leg of the 3-year Channel Up.
In fact all previous 3 Bullish Legs got confirmed by a 1W MACD Bullish Leg and the minimum the rose by was +105.30%. As a result, after the Bullish Cross is confirmed, we will be expecting to see at least $150000 on this current bull run.
But what do you think? Can this hugely important Support cluster lead Bitcoin to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
21/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $86,492.19
Last weeks low: $83,112.72
Midpoint: $84,802.45
Is the market finally showing its hand?
After President Trumps escalation of the tariff trade war, BTC saw huge volatility swings in line with Tradfi, the panic led to de-risking and as a result BTC hit $74,500. Then after a small bounce another revisit of the exact same area resulted in a much more substantial reversal back up into the $80K's. A double bottom and rally despite the tariff situation ongoing suggests huge support/strength in that area on the HTF, I am now satisfied that BTC has closed the area of imbalance caused by the US election pump, confirming support. This event also coincided with SPX bouncing off the 1D 200 EMA.
Since then Bitcoin has rallied back to the upper limit of the downtrend channel (see my previous posts on this structure) which also has the 4H & 1D 200 EMA placed there. For a bullrun to sustain itself these moving averages are important to maintain momentum, time spent under these MA's kill the bullish trend and weaken sentiment around the move.
Last week we saw a very tight trading range of only 4%, that is compared to 15.4% the week previous. My theory was that this compression of price around a key area (4H & 1D 200 EMA + trend channel high) leads to a much bigger impulse move, the only question was in which direction?
The minute the weekly bar closed BTC exploded above both of these MA's and out of the downtrend, so it looks like the question is answered when it comes to direction of the impulse move. The next question is, will it stick?
I do find the timing of the move somewhat suspicious as the majority of Europe are on a public holiday, could this be a MM taking advantage of thin order books? the SPX pre-market is fairly neutral and so I believe tomorrow will tell the true story of where BTC really is.
BTCUSDT- a double hunting!hello guys!
Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined range, showing signs of consolidation after a sharp upward move. The price has recently broken below the range support (~$85,000), suggesting a liquidity hunt or fakeout scenario.
The sharp move down indicates a potential stop-loss sweep, targeting liquidity below the range. This is a classic "range bottom hunt" where smart money often drives the price lower to trigger retail stop-losses before a possible bounce back into the range or even continuation upwards.
📌 Key Zone to Watch:
– Support area around $83,000 – $82,500
– A strong reaction from this zone could confirm the liquidity grab and initiate a bullish reversal.
Outlook: Watching for a bottom wick and strong recovery as confirmation of a false breakdown. If buyers step in, we could see BTC reclaim the range and retest mid or upper boundaries.
88.5KHappy Easter,
So, our bullish trade is started well. But for now we wouldn't consider too extended targets. Based on AB=CD that we have on 4H chart , next extension is around 93K.
But here is a tricky moment exists and it relates to the H&S shape and strong 87-89K daily resistance. The point is that the right arm is yet to be formed, and it could be started right around 88.5K 1H chart targets.
That's why we're focused on just near standing targets. If Somehow, BTC will jump above 90K, then, the different scenario could appear. But for now we think it would be better to not take more risk and try to extract as much as good result from current positive position.
BTC - The power of fibonacci This is a textbook example of how institutional price delivery often unfolds when targeting liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. The current BTC 1H chart displays a high-probability short scenario developing after a liquidity sweep, combined with entry into a fair value gap (FVG) chain and Fibonacci-based premium pricing. Let’s break down the mechanics of this setup layer by layer.
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1. Liquidity Grab Above Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
The first major clue that institutional activity is at play is the clean sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) .
- A previous swing high acted as a magnet for liquidity, with stop-loss orders from short sellers and breakout entries from late longs accumulating above this level.
- Price pierced above it, only to immediately reverse—this is what we refer to as a liquidity grab , signaling engineered movement designed to fuel larger orders.
- This behavior often represents the conclusion of a bullish leg and the transition into a distribution phase or a bearish delivery sequence.
This sweep is not random; it's a deliberate market manipulation mechanism—classic of a “trap and reverse” pattern.
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2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Chain: Imbalance as a Magnet
After rejecting above the BSL, price began retracing downward, but left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . These are inefficiencies between price candles where institutional orders did not fully fill.
- These FVGs now form what we call a “chain” or cluster, providing a roadmap for price to return and rebalance.
- The current move upward is revisiting this chain of inefficiencies, offering a potential re-entry zone for institutions to offload positions accumulated earlier.
- FVGs in premium zones (above equilibrium) are particularly potent—they align with institutional interest to sell at value.
This aligns with the concept that price often returns to inefficiencies before continuing its true direction—especially when paired with a prior liquidity grab.
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3. Golden Pocket and the Premium Zone Confluence
The retracement found a reaction at the Golden Pocket level (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone) , which is significant not just for its mathematical roots but for how frequently smart money uses it for mitigation and continuation entries.
- The zone lines up directly with the FVG chain, creating a powerful confluence zone where institutional footprints are likely to reappear.
- This area is within a clear premium pricing territory , above the 0.5 Fibonacci mark—ideal for distribution in bearish re-accumulation setups.
This convergence of technical signals bolsters the case that the current move upward is a mere retracement, not a genuine trend reversal.
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4. Market Structure Context
From a structural point of view:
- Price has transitioned from a range into a lower high formation after the BSL sweep.
- The series of lower highs and lower lows began forming after the grab, which implies a potential shift in short-term order flow.
Combine this with the FVG chain and the premium pricing—it paints a narrative of bearish continuation rather than trend expansion to the upside.
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5. Institutional Narrative: Engineering, Repricing, and Continuation
This setup is less about indicators and more about understanding narrative:
- Institutions engineered a liquidity sweep to fill large sell orders at premium pricing.
- The imbalance left behind (FVGs) serves as a “pullback magnet” before full bearish delivery.
- Price is currently delivering into that inefficiency, likely forming a redistribution schematic.
The most probable scenario, given this context, is a rejection within this zone and a continuation to the downside as price seeks to break internal structure and move toward sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below.
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Conclusion:
This chart captures the essence of smart money price delivery:
- Sweep → Retrace → Mitigation → Continuation
The rejection from the FVG chain and golden pocket zone will be key to confirming this scenario. If price respects this confluence, expect bearish order flow to dominate the next sessions.
This is a high-quality setup based on narrative, structure, and liquidity—not random confluence, but a storyline of engineered movement and institutional footprints.
Bitcoin $200k in June 2025Despite the fact that US stocks look bleak, there is no better time for growth than the spring-summer of 2025. By the end of the year, the statistics will start to come out quite sad, and if you do All Time High, then only now. I am waiting for positive news
I estimate the probability of such a scenario at 65%
GBPCAD IS BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPCAD is currently presenting a high-probability bullish setup after a textbook inverse head and shoulders formation on the 12H chart. Price is now hovering around 1.8457 and has just broken out above the descending trendline acting as neckline resistance. This structural shift, combined with clean bullish price action, signals the potential beginning of a fresh upward leg toward the 1.8976 region, a prior key supply zone and the projected target based on the measured move technique from the pattern.
From a fundamental standpoint, the British Pound is supported by hawkish BoE rhetoric and stronger-than-expected UK inflation data. Sticky core CPI and a robust labor market are keeping interest rate expectations elevated, which strengthens GBP across the board. In contrast, the Canadian Dollar remains under pressure due to softer oil prices and the Bank of Canada's dovish stance as it flirts with rate cuts in upcoming meetings. This macro divergence is fueling the momentum in GBPCAD’s favor, making it a favored pair for swing longs.
Technically, the pair is forming higher lows with increasing volume, which adds confidence to the breakout. The risk is well defined below 1.8198, making this an attractive trade with a solid 1:2+ reward-to-risk profile. As price continues to respect bullish market structure, any pullback toward the neckline could offer a prime re-entry zone for continuation traders.
This setup aligns with highly searched price action strategies such as “inverse head and shoulders breakout,” “neckline retest,” and “GBP strength vs CAD weakness.” With both technical and fundamental confluence pointing in the same direction, GBPCAD is set up for a potentially profitable swing opportunity heading into May.
BTC SHORT TP:82,300 17-04-2025🚨 Time to go Short! The targets are set between 82,000 and 82,500, with the 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes indicating a bearish trend.
We anticipate this downward movement to unfold within the next 2 days. It’s crucial to enter at the right moment and consider averaging down to maximize your potential gains.
Keep an eye on market updates to adjust your strategy accordingly. Following me will ensure you stay informed about any changes and the latest insights. Let’s navigate this market together and aim for those profits! 📉💰
Bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 81,863.58
1st Support: 76,689.89
1st Resistance: 94,753.96
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Next Volatility Period: Around April 25-29
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the OBV Line indicator (84349.94) on the 1M chart and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
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(1D chart)
(Movement in a wide range)
If you look at the lines drawn with multiple lines, you can see that it is currently moving sideways within the section that the fingers are pointing to.
It may seem a bit complicated, but the key is in which direction the finger points out.
(Narrow range movement)
After the volatility period of around April 14-17, there is a possibility that the short-term trend will change.
The next volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30).
Therefore, the point of interest is whether it will fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and show a downward trend, or rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and show an upward trend.
In other words, you need to look at whether it will rise along the trend line (2) or fall along the trend line (4).
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As I said before, if the StochRSI indicator is above 50, it is better to focus on finding a selling point.
The reason is that even if it rises, the upward trend is likely to be limited.
If the trading volume increases explosively when it shows support at a certain support and resistance point or section, it is possible that it will lead to a large increase, but it is a rare case, so it is better to refrain from expecting it.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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