BTC
BITCOIN hit the MA200 (1d)! Massive Support, strong rebound veryBTCUSD is trading inside a Channel Down pattern, which almost hit today the MA200 (1d).
The last time Bitcoin traded on this level was October 14th 2024.
Technically, this is not just a short term Channel Down bottom buy signal but also a long term buy opportunity for the remainder of the Bull Cycle.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 99000 (+22.48% rise like the previous bullish wave).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is massively oversold, dipping below 30.00 for the first time since the August 5th 2024 bottom. This is a massive long term buy signal.
Please like, follow and comment!!
$BTC bearish outlook: $2B selling pressure incomingI am bearish on CRYPTOCAP:BTC for the following reasons:
1️⃣ The $Bybit hack resulted in a loss of $1.4B worth of $ETH. To continue trading, Bybit is currently bridging liquidity with Binance. However, this is only a temporary solution. Eventually, they will need to buy back $1.4B in ETH, and the only reserve asset large enough to cover this is Bitcoin. I expect at least SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B of BTC to be sold on the market to acquire the necessary ETH.
2️⃣ The hackers are liquidating their $1.4B in stolen ETH. Since smart contract-based assets can be traced and frozen, their best option is to swap to CRYPTOCAP:BTC , which is harder to track and cannot be frozen.
In total, Bitcoin faces a potential selling pressure of over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , which is enough to significantly impact its price.
📉 Given that Bitcoin is already in a consolidation phase, this pressure could push the price down to $93K or even $91K.
📊 Expect dead cat bounces, where traders can profit, but be cautious—this selling pressure is real. Bybit needs to resolve its liquidity issues quickly, and the hackers are racing to cash out ASAP.
⚠️ DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
NVDA Earnings - Must Watch EarningsNVDA Earnings Wednesday after market
This is crazy that 1 stock may be the pain or gain for the markets in 2025
Glass Half Full
-NVDA is a revenue monster
-Earnings trend continues to point higher
-Demand for chips remains high (minus DeepSeek scare and uncertainty)
-19% weight on SMH
-7% weight on SPY
-8% weight on QQQ
-NVDA bullish can single handedly lift the markets and renew optimism and risk appetite
Glass Half Empty
-NVDA is overvalued
-NVDA hasn't hit all-time highs since Nov 2024 (with fakeout in Jan 2025)
-NVDA's reign is over and competition is heating up in the chips space and AI arms race
-NVDA bearish can be the wave of risk off that confirms current market concerns and fears
It's a big deal - plan and trade accordingly. Thanks for watching!!!
BTC Weekly Analysis (1W)First and foremost, keep in mind that this is a weekly analysis, and along the way, Bitcoin may experience upward bounces from daily or hourly support levels.
From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, Bitcoin started forming a diametric pattern, and with the recent drop, the bullish scenario has strengthened, canceling Bitcoin’s previous triangle formation.
The price has now entered wave F. The green zone is where wave F could potentially complete.
June is the month when this corrective wave (wave F) is expected to end.
Wave G is a bullish wave, and its target could be the red zone.
A weekly candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this outlook and analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC touches $80,500 - and heading lowerBTC has touched $80,500 this morning. For anyone thinking its a buying opportunity, best to let the market sell off. There will be lower prices ahead. $73,500 - $72,500 is my 1st support area, but this is by no means the lowest prices possible. Not by any stretch. We have a lot of time to work off this sell off, and plenty of room for lower prices, and lots of missing support. Murrey Math, Elliotwave, and Kumarwave being used for analysis. Posts, comments, and DM's are always welcome. Good Luck.
$BTC - Bottom In, Time To BuyHello Friends,
For those of you looking to capitalize on Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time.
I posted 2 days ago saying to wait for $85,000 USD on CRYPTOCAP:BTC
As well back in December 4, 2024 I posted my ideal entry would be $85,000.
We now have our confirmation to Buy/Long
DOGE The Next To Die In This Flush Of Crap Down The ToiletDoge had an amazing run, those who made money and got out I applaud you. Those still holding these bags of coal are about to get wrecked. Memes are dying, no one cares about them anymore. People are beginning to realize that these things have ZERO utility and no future. No ETF will ever get approved, its too inflationary. Take a look at the Grayscale trust thats a great insight to how many institutional investors want this thing. Its Total assets under management are less than $2 million dollars. Thats laughable compared to their other holdings. So even in the slim chance this turd gets an ETF it'll be an epic failure.
Your messiah Elon has abandoned this thing, the onyl real hope you all had for real world utility. Litecoin miners are dumping this as soon as they get it. The meme coin frenzy has died down. In January alone this year there were 600,000 meme coins created thats an all time record for a single month. That meme bubble is about to collapse as people move toward more utility driven cryptos and this space gets wrangled in a bit. Many people including myself have made a bunch of money playing in the meme coin casino, it was fun when it first started. 100x's everywhere. Now its pretty much over. The future for Doge is a slow and steady decline back to NAV under a penny. It was a great pump and dump. Dont marry your investments especially ones that are just memes with no utility they are made to get in and out, make money and rotate into something of value to preserve your wealth.
None of this is financial advice, just my opinion.
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update to the analysis you can see below in the "Related Analyses" section.
Bitcoin remains bearish in our view.
After sweeping the marked liquidity pool on the chart, it made a bullish move, but the overall trend is still bearish.
From the marked area, it can move toward the demand zone lower on the chart.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
86K is holdingBitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $87,180, hovering near a key support level at $86,050.99. The price recently broke down from a rising wedge pattern, a bearish setup that often hints at further declines. That said, if buyers defend the $86,050.99 support, we could see a bounce toward the 50-hour moving average (MA) around $88,519, with a potential stretch to the next resistance at $96,177.18. On the flip side, a break below $86,050.99 with solid volume might send BTC tumbling toward $84,000. These levels are your guideposts... support acts like a floor, while resistance is the ceiling where price often reacts.
Technical indicators are tilting bearish but leave room for a shift. The RSI sits at 39.17, below the neutral 50 mark, showing momentum is soft. The MACD has a bearish crossover in play, pointing to downside pressure. However, BTC is playing with the 50-hour MA, and a strong move above it could turn things bullish. Volume’s holding steady, watch for a spike to confirm any breakout or breakdown. A rebound with rising volume and an RSI above 50 could signal strength, while heavier selling volume would lock in the bearish vibe.
Market sentiment feels cautious, with BTC stuck in a consolidation range between $86,000 and $96,000 lately. External factors like ETF approvals or regulatory news could jolt the market either way, good news might fuel a rally, bad news could deepen the dip. Set alerts at $86,050.99 and $96,177.18 to stay on top of it, and keep an eye on volume for confirmation. Volatility’s up, so protect your trades: use stop-losses below $86,050.99 if you’re long, or above $96,177.18 if you’re short. Wait for the market to tip its hand before jumping in.
Is the Bull Run Over? BTC to $70K? (#7)Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility in recent days, dropping to the first major support level at $85K. Let’s analyze the key fundamental drivers behind this decline, upcoming triggers, and finally, share a few words for those who faced liquidation or major losses.
Fundamental Factors Behind Bitcoin’s Decline
In recent days, Bitcoin has suffered a sharp correction, declining approximately 7.1% over the past week, falling from $99,244 to $86,776 . This February 25, 2025, market downturn—dubbed a “market bloodbath”—was driven by a combination of macroeconomic, geopolitical, and crypto-specific factors. Here’s a breakdown:
1. Capital Outflows from Bitcoin ETFs 📉
One of the primary reasons for Bitcoin’s recent decline has been significant capital outflows from Bitcoin ETFs. Reports indicate that over $1 billion exited these funds in the past two weeks, with the worst single-day outflow reaching $583 million . This reduced demand exerted downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
2. Strengthening US Dollar (DXY Index) 💵
The DXY index , a measure of the US dollar’s strength, has surged to 106.4385 , its highest level in recent years. Historically, a stronger dollar diminishes the appeal of risk-on assets like Bitcoin. This inverse correlation was a key factor in Bitcoin’s recent selloff.
3. Geopolitical Tensions & Economic Uncertainty 🌎
Recent decisions by Donald Trump’s administration , such as imposing trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico and investment restrictions on China, have fueled market uncertainty. As a result, investors are flocking to safe-haven assets, which has further pressured Bitcoin.
4. Broader Market Volatility & Crypto-Specific Events
Stock Market Turbulence: The S&P 500 recorded its worst week since Trump’s inauguration, and the Nasdaq is down 5% from its December 2024 highs. This increased risk aversion has negatively impacted Bitcoin.
Bybit Hack & Trust Issues: The recent Bybit hack , where $1.5 billion was stolen, has shaken confidence in centralized exchanges, prompting mass withdrawals.
Mass Liquidations: Over the past 24 hours, more than $650 million in leveraged positions were liquidated, amplifying the price drop.
Technical Analysis: Where is Bitcoin Headed?
1. Daily Time Frame Analysis 🕵️♂️
Bitcoin is now testing a key support zone at $85K. The next critical support lies at $80K–82K, which aligns with major demand zones and historical price action.
Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds above $85K, it could resume the major uptrend and reclaim higher levels.
Bearish Case: A break and close below $80K–82K would invalidate the bull run, shifting the major trend to bearish and signaling a deeper correction.
2. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) & Altcoin Market 📊
BTC.D remains elevated, meaning capital is concentrated in Bitcoin rather than altcoins. However, if BTC consolidates while BTC.D drops, it could trigger an altcoin season. In contrast, if Bitcoin breaks below $85K, short setups on altcoins become highly attractive.
3. Trading Strategy & Next Steps
For Bulls 🐂: Look for bullish confirmations above $85K with proper risk management.
For Bears 🐻: Wait for a confirmed breakdown below $80K–82K before entering short positions.
Altcoin Traders 💎: If BTC finds support, focus on potential altcoin bounces; if BTC breaks down, short weak altcoins.
Final Thoughts: A Message for Those Facing Losses
Many traders faced liquidations or heavy losses during this drop. If you’re among them, take a deep breath— this is part of the trading journey. Every successful trader has gone through periods of adversity. Learn from your mistakes, refine your risk management , and move forward smarter.
This is not the end—it’s just another phase of the market cycle. Stay patient, stay disciplined, and keep growing.
I’m Skeptic , and I’ll see you in the next analysis! 🔥
Bitcoin BTC price analysis😕 Yesterday's news of a higher-than-expected CPI increase seems to have been "digested" by the market.
We liked that most of the alts held up quite well (all compared to last week) - there was no more panic.
1️⃣ On the one hand, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is being pushed to the “critical triangle” below which the OKX:BTCUSDT price may go to close the CME GAP formed last year.
But BTC.D is also dropping, albeit reluctantly, a little bit.
2️⃣ On the other hand, maybe it's time to stop focusing on that bourgeois #Bitcoin ).
It's time for the altcoins to take "the pitchforks" into their own hands!)
😱 Some #CAKE and #Bake are showing good growth and even the “heavy” CRYPTOCAP:BNB is climbing despite them.... and all because #CZ decided to return to the “big” game and will present a photo of his dog in a few hours....
We are re-reading this sur and our eyes are twitching.... but these are the realities of the crypto world now...)
⁉️ So, what do you think, which memecoin from СZ will blow up the information space and pull all the market liquidity to itself in the coming hours/days?)
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Double Channel Down with Potential Reversal!Pair: BTC/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: $86,486 (-2.37%)
🔍 Market Overview
Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined double downward channel, indicating a period of correction. The price is approaching a key support level, which could act as a potential reversal point.
📊 Technical Analysis
1️⃣ Double Channel Down Formation
BTC has been moving within two parallel descending channels, confirming a short-term bearish trend.
The price is currently at the lower boundary of the second channel, where buying pressure may emerge.
2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels
🔹 Support Levels:
$85,500 - $86,000 (Lower channel boundary)
$83,800 (Key demand zone)
🔹 Resistance Levels:
$89,000 (Mid-channel resistance)
$92,500 (Upper channel resistance)
$96,892 (Major breakout target)
3️⃣ Possible Trading Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above the $85,500-$86,000 support zone, we could see a bounce back towards the mid-channel resistance (~$89,000).
A confirmed breakout above $92,500 would signal a trend reversal toward the $96,892 target.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to hold the $85,500 support, we could see a further drop toward $83,800 or even lower.
A confirmed breakdown would extend the bearish momentum, possibly towards $80,000.
📌 Trading Plan
✅ Long Entry:
Around $86,000 - $85,500 (Support Retest)
Stop Loss: Below $83,800
Target 1: $89,000
Target 2: $92,500
Target 3: $96,892
🚨 Short Entry (If Breakdown Occurs):
Below $85,500
Stop Loss: Above $88,000
Target 1: $83,800
Target 2: $80,000
BTC Bitcoin update 26 FEB 2025Memes sucked up all the liquidity.
At some point, a lot of crypto experts started screaming left and right that memes are mass adoption and a narrative for the future bull.
I've always said to be careful. That 99.98% of memes are casino, nothing more.
I've had many people start proving otherwise, but when I blow the question that stumps everyone, “If the token has no utility and no product, who will need to buy it when the buyer runs out? What happens to the token when the early investors start coming out ?” There is almost no one with a sensible answer to this.
Believe that everyone will hold the token, no one will lock in profits, and there will be an endless buyer.
To the question of whether you can make money? Yes, you can.
Statistics show that 7% are on the plus side, and 93% of holders are on the minus side. Are you sure you will not be that last buyer?
Today, I read an article about how one popular, successful influencer lost 700k in 3 weeks.
One by one :
TRUMP after Melania
Then crypto futures Ludomania.
After the apartment sale.
And lastly, LIBRA.
0 result, minus health, morals, and several years of life due to stress.
There are a lot of beautiful messages now that so-and-so wallet made so much on memes, so-and-so wallet made so much. Newcomers do not want to invest in fundamental projects; they want to get rich. As a result, they get into risky stories and lose their deposit completely.
Are there many among your acquaintances who have made good money on memes for their entire portfolio? I emphasize, on the whole portfolio of memes, and not once or twice catching the kush, which safely lost on the next bets?
There was leveraged futures trading that zeroed out newbies with no experience, now memes.
The alt season is a bit delayed because if you analyze the wallets, liquidity flows to the 1% of crypto people. And regular fundamental alts are not growing as there is trivially no buyer right now.
As I said earlier, when Bitcoin hits 120-140k.
130-150k, there will be massive profit taking, and more institutional capital will come in. Many people will start to move, and that's where the fundamentals will be bought up, which will cause the emergence of new retail on the crypto market.
But there's something else that needs to happen here.
The masses must be disappointed in memes and lose even more money so that the “new money” will go to the fundamental projects and not to phantoms.
Can I make money from memes? Yes, you can. But remember, you are not an investor here; you are just playing in a crypto casino.
Want more?
Everything is in the link below the chart
Best Regards EXCAVO