BTC MARKET ANALYSIS (4H(TF)) | Bitcoin Update BTC Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe)
As you can see on the chart, I’ve marked three key zones for BTC:
Strong Resistance – The current market structure’s upper boundary.
Central Zone – A critical area acting as a pivot point.
Strong Support – The lower boundary of the current structure.
Since breaking out of the 70-80 zone, BTC has established a new structure, which is clearly visible on the chart. Over the past few days, BTC has been circulating within this zone. Today, it tested the support level and showed a healthy reversal, which is a positive sign. This zone has historically acted as a strong support area, and the market has repeatedly reversed from here, as seen in the price action between 91,260 and 89,260.
For now, BTC is respecting this support level and following the current structure. A breakdown below this zone could lead to a bearish move, but as of now, the support is holding strong.
Central Zone: The Key Pivot Area
The Central Zone is a crucial part of the current structure, acting as both support and resistance (SR/Rs interchange). It provides valuable insights into BTC’s price action, indicating when the price is likely to test resistance or support.
Currently, BTC has faced minor rejection from the Central Zone. However, given the strong bounce from the support level, there’s a possibility that BTC could break through the Central Zone. If this happens, the price may move toward the resistance level again.
Supply and Demand Dynamics
From a supply and demand perspective, BTC is currently showing strong demand near the support level. This demand could push the price toward the resistance level. However, for this upward move to sustain, BTC needs to break the downtrend choch (swing high) between resistance and support. This break is likely to occur if the Central Zone is breached.
If the Central Zone breaks, the demand could fully play out, and BTC may retest the resistance level.
Needed Volume: A Critical Factor
At the bottom of the chart, I’ve marked the “needed volume” level. This is an important area that cannot be ignored. For the needed volume to fill, the market might retrace lower.
If the Central Zone breaks, the needed volume will likely fill after testing the resistance. However, if the Central Zone holds and rejects the price, BTC could retrace to fill the needed volume level. In this scenario, the market might also break the current structure, targeting the 89,000–91,000 zone.
Summary : Two Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: The Central Zone breaks, and BTC moves toward the resistance level.
Bearish Scenario: The Central Zone rejects the price, and BTC retraces to fill the needed volume level.
These are the two primary scenarios to watch for. The market is currently straightforward, and no additional complexities are at play.
Note: My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward.
Thank you!
Btcanalysis
BTC will have a Minor Top at 124k. Gameplan!In this follow-up video, I’m reviewing my Bitcoin $124K upside thesis and how price action has been unfolding currently exactly as expected! 🎯
📊 Key Highlights:
✅ BTC is on track toward the $124K target 📈
✅ Price followed the predicted path perfectly
✅ What happens after $124K? Looking for a bearish reversal 🔄
Watch the full breakdown and let me know your thoughts in the comments! 👇
Do you agree with the thesis?
Bitcoin 200 Week SMA As Market Top IndicatorI just re-created this study which I heard about today, showing that the new market top for Bitcoin is typically where the 200 Week SMA crosses above the prior market cycle high.
We'll also be watching the Pi Cycle Top signal, along with our 'Bear Market' confirmation signals which we developed last cycle (link in bio), which seem to signal programmatic selling...
But this study is a simple way to prepare for and help determine when it's time to get out.
The more signals pointing toward similar levels, the better.
Personally I believe we could push up close to $150k in Febuary / March, followed by a 30% - 50% correction into the summer... Then a rip roaring rally to $200k by October / November 2025.
Then it's Bear Market City.
What do you think?
Bitcoin’s Next Move: Long Setup or Deeper Correction Below $95K?As I expected , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued to fall to the Support zone($101,280-$99,500) , and it even seems that it has broken .
Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($101,280-$99,500) , a set of support lines , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave 3 and is completing the main wave 4 .
I expect Bitcoin to follow the Roadmap I outlined in my chart in the coming hours . Because Bitcoin is near the set of support parameters , I chose the label of this idea as LONG .
Note: Like the previous Mondays, the purchase MicroStrategy company continues buying Bitcoin=>"MicroStrategy Buys 10,107 Bitcoin For $1.1 Billion."
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $104,200, it will fill the CME Gap($105,500-$104,695) in the next step, and it is possible to form a new All-Time High(ATH).
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $95,000, we should expect more corrections from Bitcoin.
Has the main Correction of Bitcoin started!? Please share your ideas in the comments.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC Update (4H)Bitcoin seems to have made a strong bullish move, and an important knot has been cleared. This clearing will likely retrace downward but with a time correction.
The target is the green circle.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Accumulation to Breakout: BTC’s Next Target RevealedBitcoin Analysis
After a 47% surge from the first accumulation zone, the price entered a consolidation phase.
Breaking out of the next accumulation zone, Bitcoin rallied by 61%, showcasing strong bullish momentum.
Currently, the price is consolidating again, with a potential 40% upside if the bullish trend continues.
Previous breakout levels now act as key support for any pullbacks.
Bitcoin’s Next Movement=>Symmetrical Triangle!!!On January 24, 2025 , the latest U.S. Flash Manufacturing and Services PMI data was released, revealing mixed signals about the economy . These indicators often influence market sentiment and could drive volatility in Bitcoin and others.
Manufacturing PMI : Rose to 50.1 in January from 49.4 in December, signaling a slight improvement in manufacturing conditions.
Services PMI : Declined to 52.8 from 56.8 , marking the slowest growth in nine months .
Potential Impact on Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) :
The slowdown in the services sector may lead to increased market uncertainty, potentially driving investors toward alternative assets like Bitcoin. However, the modest uptick in manufacturing could offset some of this uncertainty.
Overall, Bitcoin might experience heightened volatility as markets react to these mixed economic signals.
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Regarding the news of the last 24 hours that came in the crypto , the news has been positive as in the past days and weeks:
President Trump signs an executive order for a national Bitcoin strategic reserve.
SEC Eases Rules for Banks to Safely Hold Bitcoin and Crypto.
In general, from Donald Trump's inauguration until Trump's speech , the crypto market has been very excited , and we even saw a bull trap in the Bitcoin chart.
Generally, the news can affect the trend , but we must also pay attention to the technical zones on the chart .
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Now, let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame .
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) near the upper lines of the Symmetrical Triangle .
Educational Tip : A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern where the price forms converging trendlines of lower highs and higher lows, indicating market indecision. A breakout usually follows, signaling the trend's direction.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to once again decline to at least the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle . In general, if any of the lines of the symmetrical triangle are broken, Bitcoin can continue in the same direction .
Note: In general, the Volume Trading on Saturday and Sunday is low, and if Bitcoin fails to break the upper lines of the symmetric triangle in the next few hours, we can expect Bitcoin to correct to the first target that I specified in the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $108,520, we can expect Bitcoin to increase at least to Cumulative Long liquidation Leverage($111,053-$109,594).
Can Bitcoin make a new All-Time High(ATH)!? Please share your ideas in the comments.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin is Ready to Pump againDonald Trump , the President of the United States , is set to deliver a speech today, January 23, 2025, at 4:00 PM GMT . The crypto community is eagerly watching to see if Trump will address cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, during his remarks. While any mention of crypto could have a significant impact on the market, a lack of commentary on the subject might leave crypto enthusiasts disappointed, especially those hoping for it to be a focal point in his agenda.
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As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has declined to near the Support zone($100,600-$99,530) .
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($103,400-$102,320) and Resistance lines .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $105,000 after breaking the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($103,400-$102,320) .
Cumulative Long liquidation Leverage: $100,807-$98,472
Note: If Bitcoin goes below 50_SMA(Daily), we can expect more falls.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Dear Bitcoin, is't about time...For over a month, Bitcoin's price action has been rather frustrating, as it has remained stuck in a range. The key support level is clearly at 90k, while resistance is around 108k.
Recently, the price tested the resistance level again and has since entered another consolidation phase.
On the positive side, this consolidation appears to be a buildup, potentially signaling an imminent breakout above 110k.
As long as the price holds above 100k, we can reasonably expect this breakout to happen sooner rather than later.
As I’ve mentioned before, the target level for this move is around 130k.
Bitcoin’s Rollercoaster Ride:Trump Effect or Market Speculation?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has experienced strong ups and downs in the last 48 hours . One of the main reasons could be the inauguration of Donald Trump as the President of the United States , in which people and the crypto community expected Trump to talk about the crypto market in his speech .
In one of the first steps, Donald Trump appoints pro-Bitcoin Mark Uyeda to replace Gary Gensler as Chair of the SEC . But we have to see how Mark Uyeda will behave in reality .
Bitcoin's rise and fall over the past 48 hours created a new All-Time High(ATH) for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($107,200-$105,500) .
The possibility of forming an Ascending Channel for Bitcoin in the 15-minute time frame and the upper line can be a Resistance line .
I expect Bitcoin to fal l to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($107,632-$105,869) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $100,807-$99,382
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $108,300, we should expect a new All-time High(ATH).
What do you think about the next movements of Bitcoin? Can Bitcoin make a new All-time High(ATH) again?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC Intraday Market Analysis (Thesis Prediction)1. Current Market Position:
Price: $101,645.39, down -1.9% in the last few hours.
Support: $101,000 | Resistance: $103,000.
Trend: Short-term bearish; BTC has failed to sustain key support levels but shows signs of possible stabilization on hourly charts.
2. Technical Indicators:
RSI: 30.04, oversold territory, suggesting a possible short-term bounce or consolidation.
MACD: Bearish signal with MACD line at -46.82 below the signal line at -193.45. The narrowing histogram (-146.63) hints at diminishing bearish momentum.
VWMA: Current price below VWMA at $102,847.77, signaling strong bearish sentiment. A move above this could suggest a reversal.
3. On-Chain Insights:
Exchange Balances: No significant inflows or outflows (1.81M BTC held on exchanges), indicating stable liquidity.
Open Interest:
Longs: Down -27.39% to $3.78B.
Shorts: Up +47.47% to $6.26B, reinforcing bearish bias.
Funding Rates: Low (Binance: 0.0100%), reflecting minimal cost for holding short positions and bearish sentiment.
4. Financial and Sentiment Analysis:
Trading Volume: Down -29.68% to $81.58B, signaling reduced activity or market consolidation.
Fear & Greed Index: Dropped -10.71% to 75 (closer to neutral), indicating waning speculative enthusiasm.
Market News: Reports on declining altcoins and BTC slipping below $102K from Cointelegraph could contribute to bearish sentiment.
5. Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (Confidence: 60%)
Conditions: Persistent bearish sentiment, outflows from exchanges, and low funding rates suggest further selling pressure.
Outcome: BTC could test $100,000 or lower, driven by technical and sentiment-based momentum.
Bullish Scenario (Confidence: 25%)
Conditions: Recovery if RSI moves out of oversold territory or positive sentiment emerges from news or trader behavior (e.g., increased long positions).
Outcome: BTC might bounce to $102,000 or $103,000, especially if it breaks above the VWMA, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Sideways Scenario (Confidence: 15%)
Conditions: Mixed market sentiment with consolidation around current levels, lacking strong catalysts.
Outcome: BTC likely trades in a narrow range between $101,000–$102,000, awaiting clearer direction.
6. Trading Strategies:
Contrarian Play: With RSI in oversold, cautious long entries near $101,000 could target $102,000 or higher, but require tight risk management.
Bearish Continuation: Align with the current trend by shorting on failed recoveries, targeting $100,000 with stop-losses above $103,000.
7. Conclusion:
BTC’s short-term outlook remains bearish, but oversold indicators suggest potential for a bounce or consolidation. Traders should monitor VWMA, funding rates, and news updates to gauge momentum shifts. With market volatility elevated, maintaining strict risk controls and staying updated on sentiment is crucial for navigating the current conditions.
BTC/USD Bullish Setup | Order Flow Breakout Targeting $118,000+📈 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is showing strong bullish momentum after breaking key resistance levels. After a period of accumulation and sideways movement, BTC has shown clear signs of fresh buying pressure, supported by a clean Order Flow setup . We are targeting a move towards $118,000 as we see continuation in the current bullish trend.
Key Levels:
ATH Resistance at $109,350$ (All-Time High).
Order Flow Confirmation near $105,000 - $106,000.
Entry Zone: The green demand zones are marked as strong areas to enter long positions.
Price Target: We are aiming for a continuation towards $118,000 , which aligns with both the market structure and order flow.
🔍 Analysis:
Multiple Order Flow setups have formed around the $105,000-$106,000 region, confirming that buyers are in control.
The price is breaking above key resistance zones, and the current consolidation suggests a strong potential for price continuation.
Support Areas: The green zones on the chart represent potential areas where price could dip to before continuing upward.
Entry Strategy: Look for price action confirmation in these demand zones, with a focus on bullish candlestick formations and strong volume.
💬 Drop your thoughts and analysis in the comments below! Let's discuss where Bitcoin is headed next!
🔔 Follow for more insights on Bitcoin & Altcoin setups."
Bitcoin at Resistance: Expanding Triangle Hold=>Last Chance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($104,700-$101,920) , near the upper lines (resistance role) of the Expanding Triangle Pattern , Monthly Resistance(1) , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to be moving in an Expanding Triangle Pattern during the last 30 days . If the upper line is validly broken, this pattern will be failed.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin can move in an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) in the 4-hour time frame . Bitcoin is currently completing microwave 5 of the main wave C . If Bitcoin touches $107,000 , the possibility of this corrective pattern being failed is very high.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,000 .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $107,000, we can expect BTC to make a new All-time High(ATH).
Note: There is also the possibility of Bulltrap formation.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin's Bullish Surge: Is a New All-Time High Imminent?BTC/USDT has successfully broken out of a descending triangle, reclaiming momentum and trading above a key resistance level, which has now turned into strong support.
Supported by the ascending trendline, Bitcoin is showing a bullish trajectory and appears poised to test the all-time high (ATH) zone.
Key Insights from the BTC Market Analysis1. Market Overview
BTC Price: $102,624.90, up +3.83%.
Market Cap: $2.03T, with 24h Volume at $103.12B (+13.99%), signaling robust trading activity.
Dominance: 56.34% (+0.43%), showing BTC’s growing share of the market.
2. Indicators of Sentiment
Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 75, indicating strong "Greed" and bullish market sentiment.
Exchange Balances: BTC exchange balance slightly decreased (-0.06%), suggesting hodling and reduced selling pressure.
3. Derivatives Insights
Open Interest (OI): Up +5.39% to $149.62B, showing new positions are opening, potentially setting up larger moves.
Funding Rates: Positive across major exchanges, indicating more bullish positions.
Long/Short Ratio: Mixed sentiment with Binance net long (1.66) and OKX net short (0.67), which may lead to pockets of volatility.
4. Technical Indicators
Support: $101k–$101.5k, deeper support near $100k if a pullback occurs.
Resistance: $103k–$103.3k. Breaking above this could push BTC toward $105k.
RSI: Cooling slightly (~58–60), signaling consolidation or potential pullback after recent gains.
5. Short-Term Scenarios
Bullish: A reclaim of $103k could push BTC to $105k.
Neutral: Consolidation between $100k and $103k.
Bearish: Profit-taking near $103k might drop BTC to $100k or lower.
6. Confidence Level
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish.
Positives: Increasing OI, reduced exchange balances, and bullish funding rates.
Cautions: Slightly cooling RSI and large options OI increase (+45.30%) suggest potential for high volatility.
Final Thoughts
BTC remains in a strong position as long as it holds above $101k. A breakout above $103k could lead to further upside, but cautious risk management is essential given mixed sentiment across derivatives and short-term cooling indicators.
Bitcoin Pushes Higher: Is $104K the Next Stop?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in the previous post and even made the correction .
Bitcoin is breaking the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) , and I expect this zone to be broken soon, and then Bitcoin is ready to attack the Next Resistance zone($104,200-$101,320) .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 in the 1-hour time frame .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($104,200-$101,320) .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $96,320, we can expect more fall.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC NEW Update (4H)Considering that Bitcoin is in a trading range, has swept the lower liquidity pools, repeatedly tested a support knot, and has a liquidity pool above the trading range, it is expected that this bullish move will either be absorbed into the higher liquidity pool on the chart or that pool will be swept.
After these two scenarios, it is expected that the price will drop and then bullish again from a support knot that has not yet been tested with a bearish wave.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
This perspective is applied to Bitcoin.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
From Bear Trap to Breakout: Bitcoin RoadmapBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise again( with a high momentum )
yesterday after failing to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) ( Bear Trap formation).
Educational Tip: Its quick return after exiting the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) with high volume was one of the signs of a bear trap.
Regarding Elliott wave theory , it seems Bitcoin successfully completed a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) yesterday and is currently completing the next five impulsive waves . Likely, Bitcoin is still in correction waves .
I expect Bitcoin to start correcting from the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) , 50_SMA(Daily) , and Monthly Pivot Point and start to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and attack the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000), we should expect a fall with high momentum (it is unlikely that another Bear Trap will be created).
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes below the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , there is a high possibility that Bitcoin will break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000).
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Thought about BTC chart analysisBelow is a structured, step-by-step technical analysis of the shared BTC/USDT chart (on a 30-minute timeframe) along with a possible short-term (next 12 hours) outlook. Please note this is not financial advice but rather a technical perspective for informational purposes.
1. Identify the Overall Context
Timeframe: The chart is set to the 30-minute interval, indicating short-term price action and intraday volatility.
Current Price Region: BTC appears to be trading in the mid/upper 98,000 range (as shown on the screenshot).
Recent Movement: Price fell sharply from around 102,000–103,000 down to approximately 97,000, and then recovered slightly to the 98,000–99,000 zone.
2. Key Indicators Visible
Bollinger Bands (Purple Area)
Bands are relatively wide, suggesting increased volatility.
Price is near or below the middle band, indicating slight bearish pressure in the short term.
Moving Averages
There appear to be at least two commonly used MAs:
A shorter-term MA (possibly 50-period) in yellow/orange.
A longer-term MA (possibly 200-period) in blue.
The price has fallen below the shorter-term MA, which can be a short-term bearish signal.
The price is hovering around or slightly under the longer-term MA (the 200 MA in blue), which typically acts as a stronger support or resistance.
Volume Profile (SVP HD Up/Down)
Shows volume-by-price bars on the right side.
Notable high-volume nodes around 99,000–100,000, suggesting a strong interest level where price may consolidate or reverse.
Another cluster of volume near 97,000, possibly acting as short-term support if price revisits that zone.
Volume Bars (Below the Chart)
A significant spike in volume during the sharp move downward from ~102,000 to ~97,000.
Post-drop volume appears moderate, suggesting some stabilization but not an aggressive recovery.
3. Short-Term Momentum Evaluation
Price Action Relative to Moving Averages
Trading below the 50-period MA often indicates short-term weakness.
If the price fails to reclaim the 50 MA, the market may remain under bearish pressure for the next few candles (each candle = 30 minutes).
Bollinger Band Position
If candles close near or below the lower Bollinger Band, oversold bounces are likely but not guaranteed.
If candles remain compressed below the midpoint of the bands, it tends to confirm near-term bearish or sideways sentiment.
Possible Divergence Signals
Without direct MACD/RSI data on the screenshot, we rely on the advanced divergence indicator “MIS Adv Div.” If it’s showing bullish divergence (not fully clear from the image), there could be a short-term bounce. If it’s showing bearish continuation, the downward trend may persist.
4. Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance
Around 99,000–99,500: This area aligns with the lower side of a high-volume zone and the short-term MA.
Around 100,000–101,000: A psychologically significant level and also near the previous swing highs and volume node.
Immediate Support
Around 97,000: Where price found an initial bounce on the large sell-off.
Around 95,000: The next potential zone if 97,000 breaks.
5. Short-Term (Next 12 Hours) Price Outlook
Likely Scenario (Sideways to Slight Rebound)
The price may range between 97,000 (support) and 99,500 (local resistance).
If buyers step in at 97,000 again, expect a mild recovery toward the 99,000–100,000 region.
Bullish Breakout
If BTC reclaims the 99,500–100,000 zone with strong buying volume, it could target 100,500–101,000 next.
Watch for a 30-min candle close above the 50 MA to confirm potential upside momentum.
Bearish Continuation
If price fails to hold 97,000, a deeper retracement to 95,000 or lower may occur.
Sustained trading below the 200 MA would reinforce near-term bearish momentum.
BTC on the Edge Falling Wedge Breakout & CPI Impact Awaited !The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, moving within a falling wedge pattern
The falling wedge pattern is a bullish continuation/reversal formation, where the price compresses within converging trendlines. BTC has been respecting the pattern's boundaries, suggesting a potential breakout. The immediate resistance zone at $97,200 has been tested multiple times, but the price has faced consistent rejections, indicating strong selling pressure in this area.
For a bullish breakout, we need a 4-hour candle close above $97,200. If this happens, it could trigger a strong upward momentum, with a target potentially extending towards the $104,000 region, aligning with previous highs.
The presence of CPI (Consumer Price Index) data release today adds an external factor of volatility. Economic data like CPI can significantly impact the market sentiment, especially in crypto, as it reflects inflation levels and can influence risk-on or risk-off market behavior.
Traders should exercise caution and consider these key factors
Monitor the wedge breakout closely.
Await a confirmed 4-hour candle close above $97,200 before entering a long position.
Use proper risk management, as the market is expected to be volatile due to the CPI data.
BTC is on the verge of a potential breakout. However, external factors like CPI data can amplify volatility. Wait for confirmation and trade cautiously.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Descending Scallop Pattern!!!As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) again attacked the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) .
Bitcoin is trying to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) . What do you think? Can Bitcoin finally break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) or not!?
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be in the next five downward waves after completing the corrective pattern , and these five waves can break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) .
From the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin is forming a Descending Scallop Pattern to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) , which can cause the break of this heavy zone .
Looking at the chart of USTD.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ), we can see the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern that can cause USTD.D% to increase , which in turn causes Bitcoin and other tokens to decrease .
I expect Bitcoin to soon break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) given the above description, and Bitcoin will fall to the Targets I have specified on my chart.
My medium-term view of Bitcoin on the chart I shared with you on January 7, 2025. 👇
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $94,500, we can expect more Pumps.⚠️.
⚠️Note: There is a possibility that Bitcoin will drop sharply and make a long shadow.⚠️.
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC.D Death Cross Formation:
The “death cross” occurs when the short-term moving average (50-day MA) crosses below the long-term moving average (200-day MA).
This is considered a bearish signal, often indicating a potential decline in the market.
In your chart, the highlighted circle represents this potential crossover or the situation after it.
The narrow trendline indicates a symmetrical triangle or wedge formation, where the price consolidates before the breakout.
The breakout direction appears to be initially upward, breaking above resistance but eventually moving downward.
The blue horizontal line at around 59.21% dominance is a key resistance area.
Bitcoin dominance has broken above the triangle for some time but may struggle to remain above resistance.
After initial upward movement, the chart suggests a downward trajectory, possibly retesting lower dominance levels (towards the 55.50% and 54% areas).
This implies a potential altcoin resurgence or broader market uncertainty if BTC.D declines.
The red and green moving averages are important in defining the current trend.
A bearish cross between these moving averages aligns with the death cross narrative and signals caution.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA