Btcd
BTC.D When ALT season?BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Updated Technical Outlook
The BTC Dominance chart reflects Bitcoin's performance relative to the altcoin market. Here’s an analysis:
Key Levels and Observations:
1. Resistance at 58.47% and 61.31%:
- BTC.D attempted to breach the 58.47% resistance but faced rejection, leading to a pullback.
- The 61.31% level, marked as a key Fibonacci retracement, remains a significant hurdle for further upside momentum.
2. Support at 55.76% and 54.57%:
- The first notable support lies around 55.76%, aligning with a historical horizontal support zone and the yellow trendline.
- If this level is breached, the next support at 54.57% may come into play, potentially leading to increased altcoin strength.
3. Trendlines and Channels:
- BTC.D continues to respect the rising yellow trendline, indicating that the long-term bullish trend is intact.
- The dotted red channel lines act as a dynamic resistance zone for future attempts to reclaim dominance above 60%.
4. Volume Trends:
- Volume levels show declining momentum during the recent pullback, which could indicate temporary weakness rather than a full reversal.
- A volume breakout above 58.47% would confirm renewed dominance for Bitcoin.
5. Long-Term Perspective:
- BTC.D has maintained a higher-high, higher-low structure, suggesting bullish market sentiment for Bitcoin dominance over the medium term.
- However, consolidation between the 55.76% and 58.47% range could signal indecision before the next significant move.
Potential Scenarios to Watch:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- A breakout above the 58.47% resistance would open the door for BTC.D to challenge the 61.31% level.
- Sustained dominance above 61.31% would likely indicate Bitcoin outperforming altcoins across the board.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If BTC.D loses the 55.76% support and breaks below the rising trendline, it could shift momentum in favor of altcoins.
- Key downside targets would then include 54.57% and the stronger support zone at 52.97%.
#BTC Dominance: This is when ALTS will start Rallying!!BTC Dominance Update by Cryptorphic
🚨 Crossover Alert 🚨
Looking at the current BTC Dominance chart, we can see that the 21 WMA (Blue) and the 50 WMA (Red) are moving almost parallel to each other. A key moment to watch for is when the 21 WMA crosses below the 50 WMA. This will be a strong confirmation of a potential trend reversal.
🔴 Historical Context:
- The previous crossover led to a significant drop in BTC dominance, triggering altcoins to rally.
- The current market structure shows BTC dominance at a crucial resistance level. We are looking for a possible rejection at this level, which could signal an entry point for altcoins.
📈 Price Action:
- BTC Dominance is currently testing the upper boundary of the rising channel.
- A rejection around 64.25% to 65.66% is expected, and the best entry for altcoins would likely come on that rejection.
🚀 Next Move:
Keep an eye on the crossover between the 21 WMA and 50 WMA for confirmation. A downward crossover will likely signify the start of a broader altcoin rally.
If you like this update, please support it with your likes and share your feedback/requests in the comments section.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC Dominance: We Warned You And It's HappeningHello, Skyrexians!
A lot of hating comments we received under our recent CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D analysis. Now we sure that market always go against the crowd. This is the super valuable experience and we want to say thanks to all haters. Now let's update this idea, try to understand the structure on the wave 5 drilling into lower time frame.
Let's take a look at 12h time frame. We can see that after the spike in the wave 3 price retraced with the ABC zigzag and started the new wave 5. Waves 1 and 2 inside this wave have been finished. Wave 2 reached exactly 0.61. Now we can measure wave 3 target. 1 and 1.61 are the potential target. The most realistic one is 64.7%. Then we expect the wave 4 and the last leg up into subwave 5. Always look at the divergence on the Awesome Oscillator to measure the trend end.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Mid-February, Btc.d peaks and the altcoin rally may start.Trust fibonacci.
It is clear from Fibonacci extensions that we are close to the peaks in Bitcoin dominance.
Fibonacci circles also give us ideas of both resistances and time periods.
In my opinion, Bitcoin dominance will peak in mid-February and the altcoin bullrun may begin. Bitcoin dominance will bottom at the end of May 2026.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
Bitcoin Dominance Nearing Major Resistance – Big Move Incoming!Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has been in a strong uptrend and is now approaching a key resistance zone between 65% - 75%. Historically, this level has acted as a major turning point, leading to significant shifts in market dynamics.
✅ BTC.D has broken above long-term trendline resistance.
✅ The 62%-65% zone is a strong supply area where dominance previously reversed.
✅ A fakeout above resistance could trigger a sharp rejection, leading to a decline in BTC dominance.
✅ The projected drop in BTC.D (expected in Q3 2025) aligns with potential altcoin strength, signaling an upcoming altseason.
🔸 BTC dominance could push toward 75% before a rejection.
🔸 This move could coincide with Bitcoin reaching $100K+ levels
🔸 If BTC.D gets rejected at resistance, a sharp drop toward 50% or lower could fuel a massive altcoin rally in Q3 2025.
🔸 This scenario aligns with past cycles, where BTC.D peaked before capital rotated into altcoins.
⚡️ BTC dominance is nearing a make-or-break level – a rejection could mark the start of altseason 2025, while a breakout could further strengthen BTC’s dominance.
💬 What do you think? Will BTC.D break higher, or is altseason around the corner? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Cheers
GreenCrypto
WARNING! Sell Your Altcoins, They Will Go To Zero!Hello, Skyrexians!
We had some doubts in this scenario, but now price action clarified it. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has finally decided to pump in the wave 5 and this wave can be even extended. Altcoins Will lose 70% of their value and never pump after that to cover your losses.
Let's take a look at the daily chart. We have already shown you this Elliott waves picture. Earlier we mentioned that may be wave 5 was shortened, but not, it has finally decided to reach new highs at 66% at least, in case of normal wave 5, but just imagine if it will reach 70%, the extended target. Your portfolio will be -70% from the current price. We need to be honest with you, altseason never comes and we have to forget about it.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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ALTSEASON 2025Dear investors and traders, members of the Horban Brothers community!
Today I come to you not with a warning of an impending crisis, but with the certainty that we are on the threshold of significant changes. The cryptocurrency market, which has been wavering in uncertainty for a long time, is finally entering a phase of active growth. Yes, you heard me right - from this moment, from today, we see all the signs that cryptocurrency is ready to take off.
All the data points to this: institutional investment in cryptocurrency is up 400% year-on-year, regulation is becoming clearer, leading to increased confidence among the big players, and most importantly, technological innovation in blockchain continues to convince even the most skeptical.
Make no mistake, the volatility of the cryptocurrency market will not go away, but those who are willing to accept these risks can expect rewards that are rarely seen in traditional markets. I'm not suggesting you rush out to buy everything, but carefully analyze those assets that show fundamental strength and technological resilience.
Now is not the time to be passive. Check your portfolios, reassess your strategies. If you're still standing on the sidelines of cryptocurrencies, now is the time to get in on the action. But remember, this is not for the faint of heart - this is a game for those who are willing to study, analyze and act.
This market, like any other, requires discipline and knowledge. Don't get caught up in emotions, don't fall for the hype, evaluate each project critically. But if you see that the project has potential, do not be afraid to invest.
Remember that cryptocurrencies are not just tokens; they are the foundation of the future financial world. And that world is already beginning to take shape.
Regards CFO Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
Is altseason soon?Hi, traders 👋
I’d like to share my thoughts and observations regarding Bitcoin dominance and the timing of the long-awaited altseason.
In general, I like to determine the phase altcoins are in by analyzing one of the oldest representatives of this group — Litecoin.
Like other financial instruments, cryptocurrency tends to follow certain patterns. Although each cycle comes with its own unique characteristics, historical similarities are often present.
Let’s take a look at the Litecoin chart.
When reviewing the chart, we can see a number of similarities with the previous cycle. Based on this, and if we assume that markets are cyclical and certain chart patterns and behaviors tend to repeat, it appears we are currently either in the equivalent of March or September 2020.
The case for March is supported by the fact that we haven’t yet seen a final liquidity sweep according to the Wyckoff model — the so-called “spring” phase. On the other hand, the case for September is supported by the timing following the end of the previous bear market phase.
Now, let’s take a look at the Bitcoin dominance chart.
In this cycle, the dominance chart has been showing clear and reliable chart patterns.
The pattern that has been forming since November 21, 2024, could potentially be either a Wolfe wave or an ending diagonal triangle according to Elliott Wave theory. At the moment, waves 1, 2, and 3 are clearly visible, and wave 4 is currently in the process of forming. There is also a clear alternation between waves 2 and 4, which strengthens this observation.
If the assumption about the Wolfe wave pattern is correct, we should still see one final push higher in Bitcoin dominance as part of wave 5. This would likely lead to a further decline in altcoins. In that case, referring back to the Litecoin chart analysis, it would confirm that we are currently in the equivalent of March 2020.
I’m glad to share my observations with you.
66% Is About To Cancelled For Bitcoin DominanceHello, everyone!
Earlier we made analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D where pointed out that it can reach 66% before altseason or reverse from 62.5%. Now it looks like we can see the second scenario because momentum is almost gone and we are about to see the second confirmation of trend change.
Let's take a look at the weekly chart. Like the previous time we still have active red dot signal on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . We have the great angulation with the alligator. This time we also have the double divergence with Awesome Oscillator which has been almost confirmed. We wanna see the three red columns in a row and this reversal is going to be strongly confirmed. The minimum target is 0.5-0.61 Fibonacci zone, but in case of true altcoin season we can see the new all time low.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Potential Path of the Altcoin Market?Trading Family,
To say that our altcoin market has been disappointing would be the understatement of the year. While there definitely have been some winners (I have held Solana through the $8 low), the majority have been a large disappointment. In fact, the last I read, only 42 altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin since the bear market bottom was put in. This is an incredible stat to think about and very telling. Altcoin traders have a difficult task in beating the BTC hodl'ers for sure.
However, recently there have been some hidden indications that our altcoin market will soon increase our odds of success.
First of all, Bitcoin's low fees. Low fees on the Bitcoin blockchain is often a hidden health indicator for the coin signaling weak demand. People often see low fees as a positive thing. But what's actually happening here is that there is low demand for transacting on the chain, therefore, in order to increase the demand, transaction fees are forced down.
Weaker demand does seem to correlate with what the BTC dominance chart is showing us.
You can see from the chart that we have a large sell side liquidity block that has formed, indicating large sell side volume in dominance. Additionally, my indicator has flashed a red dot, signaling that it is time for dominance to drop. We also have our RSI and Macd, crossing down. And if we break from that channel, dominance drop momentum should accelerate.
This brings me to our TOTAL3 chart which is all altcoins excluding Ethereum. The chart is showing us that we have reached an extremely critical support trendline. Price is currently bouncing from it. Additionally, there are large volumes of buyers at this point. You can observe this by the VRVP candles and the liquidity blocks indicator. But contrary to BTC.D in which the RSI and Macd were crossing down, TOTAL3 shows our RSI and Macd crossing up! This is bullish for alts.
Finally, it is a great sign to see that our "M" pattern has looked to have completed right at our point of support.
I have drawn a projected pathway from here. In the first part of our next week, we may see a bit more pump. News of the passing continuing resolution here in the U.S. is still trickling out. Monday, as stock traders jump back in, I would imagine we see more pump as traders feel good about the averted gov't shutdown. This may trickle into Tuesday. But then Wed. is the Fed's day. We are expecting further pause to interest rate. Everyone will be listening to the Fed speak and parsing every syllable that is uttered from J. Pow's tongue. What is says and the bias that is interpreted will be key. I am expecting mostly a non-event here. Which means that bullish bias may wane once again. Crypto, mostly altcoins, really only pump on good news. But negative and even neutral news is a sell to sideways event. Thus, I expect we may hit another local top around Wed. afternoon at which point the altcoin market starts to sell a bit again OR it simply continues sideways again for a few more weeks. Sooner or later though, I believe we are headed towards that 1.3 trillion resistance. It is worthwhile considering to stay in a holding pattern unless we drop below our all-important support. Watch this line closely and draw it on your charts. It will be key!
✌️Stew
Bitcoin Dominance Says That Bear Market Is Almost Over For Alts!Hello, Skyrexians!
We hope you enjoy our yesterday Bitcoin analysis which is now playing out. Daily candle closed great, but this reversal is still unconfirmed. So, we are still in danger. Today we will take a look at the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D again, this chart is annoying, but is finally approaching its reversal point.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Here we can see the 3 red dots on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . Now we will try to learn now to ignore the false signals. The first dot formed on the very weak bar with no angulation with Alligator. We can's use this. The next bar was great, but it was just the wave 3. The best signal is the last one. We have angulation, bearish divergence with AO and the potential wave 5. This reversal has been confirmed.
Expect the reversal from the current percent because price is inside the Fibonacci 0.61, or in the worst case earlier mentioned 66%. This is going to be wave 5 in 5.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Bitcoin Dominance Moving Lower (Altcoins—Bitcoin Moving Higher)Bitcoin Dominance going lower means that the Altcoins will be rising. The Altcoins rising means that Bitcoin is bullish and ready to grow.
Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, thanks a lot for your continued support.
I was wondering, does the Bitcoin Dominance index chart supports a bullish Bitcoin? This index is bearish and set to move lower.
Before we go any further, Bitcoin Dominance index was bearish between November and December 2024, at the time when Bitcoin produce a major advance from $80,000 toward $110,000. Which means that a bearish BTC.D chart can support a Bitcoin rise.
The session 3-Feb long upper-shadow is a classic top signal. The top implies that lower prices follow. This is also a rejection. Current price action is happening below the November 2024 peak reading.
All in all, Bitcoin Dominance is bearish. This index being bearish supports a bullish wave, a strong advance, developing across the Cryptocurrency market space.
When BTC.D went bearish last year, the entire market grew between 300% and 600%. This time, the growth phase will be much bigger and extended. The 2025 bull-market.
BTC.D supports higher prices based on this analysis and my interpretation of the signals.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
If you disagree, comment and follow.
If you agree, leave a comment and a follow to show your support.
Namaste.
DXY (Bitcoin - Alt Season - Bullish) everyone suddenly started posting DXY chart so I figured I should give my 2 cents on it as well.
People are finding hopes in DXY but main charts are still BTC.D and USDT.D
Monthly Chart has the whole picture
Weekly Chart (above) is what interests us
Breaking that Green Macro Trendline will be the 1st step towards success!
remember how yesterday everyone and their mothers were bearish except me?
This drama will continue, ignore the noise...
66% Is Actual Again For Bitcoin Dominance Hello, Skyrexians!
Sad news, pump on Sunday was a huge fake. If you remember our last CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D analysis we pointed out that if we will see 60% breakdown there is. great chance to see altseason right now. But Dominance started to grow again and finally we have no doubts that shakeout will happen.
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. Here we can see the clearest Elliott waves structure. Wave 3 has the max AO as usual, and wave 4 was a flat correction which found support at 0.5 Fibonacci. Now we can see that final wave 5 to the 66% target. Don't pay attention to the red dots on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator , they are not important inside the range and can be counted a signal only at the potential end of wave 5 in conjunction with the divergence.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Bitcoin Final UpdateEverything on the charts...
Up to you now... Yes... I believe it's just Reaccumulation
Look at the previous posts for more explanation and all perspectives
I'm holding and I'm bullish...We will witness an alt season this year (those saying we won't will be proven wrong...)
BTC.D will fall and strong alts will rise (with massive returns)
Until Next Time...
USDT.D Macro Update ( Alt Season ? )everything on the charts
I'm still holding my alts
For traders, this is one of the best charts in town (to find local tops and bottoms for potential swing opportunities)
This tells the whole story
If Invalidation occurs, I'll reconsider all my traders.
(not in the mood of writing much, check out the previous posts for more explanation + everything's on the chart)
BTC.D - Alt Season (Rotation from BTC to ALTS about to begin)only 3 charts you should care about from now = BTC.D , USDT.D and Total 2 (/3/others)
strong utility tokens will win from here
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is weak, (IT WILL DEFINITELY HAS ITS LAST RALLY THOUGH - check out my EW count and the target I've been speaking since 5th Aug)
either it consolidates here and complete its subwave 5 of macrowave 5 later or do it now and distributes later, the time for alts to shine has come...
Few more weeks of pain left. I don't recommend selling here, keep the HODL
but rotation has almost started... whales are taking profits on Bitcoin and time for our shitcoins to outperform from here...
PS. We might see new lows (than 3rd Feb) but the RR is not worth it, never sell in the middle (unless you are invalidated)
Look at the Macro chart for in-detailed analysis on BTC.D I did a few weeks ago
$BTC Macrolast idea remains intact—we are still bullish. Alts have held strong while BTC plunged. (I don’t own any BTC, and neither should you above $100K.)
I predicted the exact $15.5K bottom on X, as well as the August 5th crash and bottom. Unfortunately, I wasn’t on the charts in December and missed the biggest, clearest signal on USDT.D for a potential local top, which otherwise would have 2x'd my current portfolio but mistakes were made)
BTC taking the hits while alts hold steady is a strong sign that whales are taking profits from Bitcoin and preparing for "rotation".
Most traders believe the cycle is over—and there are valid reasons for that (some of them are):
- A monthly bearish engulfing candle
- A structure resembling the 2021 top, suggesting one last rally before the bear market
- Worst of all, double bearish divergence on the monthly, which worries me too
However, there are strong counterarguments.
The biggest? The cycle has never topped with BTC.D this weak. That’s why I’m still leaning toward a bullish scenario until proven otherwise.
Update on the above chart:
The parabola is intact with a beautiful reaction. That doesn’t mean we can’t still visit the red box—there’s only air between them—but I’m holding, and that remains my primary scenario.
Alts can make new lows, but RR isn’t worth it. As I’ve said before, the time to sell spot bags has passed. You don’t sell in between unless invalidation occurs.
Timing is everything. We failed to time this market, assuming it would mimic past cycles—but everyone was wrong. Traders won this cycle, while investors (except BTC holders) struggled... until now, at least.
ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOTH SCENARIOS (MENTIONED ON CHART) FOR ALTS?
You have to wait way longer on the second scenario but both would take us to our goal.
Worst case? We break and HTF close on USDT.D - last hope, officially ending bull market!