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Bitcoin Dominance Long-Term · 1,000 Days Long Uptrend BreaksBitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D) has been on an uptrend since September 2022, an uptrend more than 1,000 days long. This uptrend produced a rising wedge pattern and this pattern is as bearish as it gets. During the entire time, from September 2022 until June 2025, BTC.D never ever produced more than 3 consecutive weeks red. Now, in July 2025, we are witnessing the fourth consecutive red week, a major bearish signal. The start of a new downtrend. The last time BTC.D went bearish was December 2020. The index, as Bitcoin grew to new all-time highs, produced a drop from a high of 74% to a low of 39%. Reflecting strong demand for the altcoins and a very strong rising altcoins market. We are about to witness something similar, better or the same. As Bitcoin Dominance moves down, the entire altcoins market will move up. Bitcoin will grow together with the altcoins. Everything—Crypto—will grow. Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MasterAnanda
6
Bullish Altcoins · BTC.D Highest Bearish Volume Since Feb 2021The altcoins market is about to have its strongest and biggest bullish cycle since 2021, or possible ever. We are entering the strongest altcoins season in the history of the Cryptocurrency market. Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day. Bitcoin will continue growing, that's old news but let's start by getting this out of the way. The altcoins are already waking up from major lows and all-time lows and what follows is something hard to comprehend. The hottest bull market ever for the altcoins. Bitcoin is already far ahead. On the 14th of July BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance Index) produced the highest volume bar in more than three years, since February 2021. This happened after a double-top and only after a drop was already confirmed. In this way this signal carries extra-strength. The 14th of July session ended up closing red. We all know that Bitcoin Dominance Index goes down only when the altcoins move up. The fact that we have the highest volume in years on a daily basis signals the start of the altcoins market major bull-run. Sustained growth for months and months and months. Get ready and be prepared. The confirmation is already in place. The altcoins market is heating up. Crypto is going up. The wait is over. Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MasterAnanda
BTC.D – Distribution Confirmed. Is the Final Altseason Next?Over the past couple of months, I’ve been tracking the development of a potential high time frame (HTF) Wyckoff distribution range forming on BTC Dominance (BTC.D), and it’s now looking like that structure is starting to break down. Back on June 14th, I noted that while we hadn’t confirmed a trend shift yet, BTC.D was showing strength and likely to push into the 65% region, with altcoin weakness to follow. The very next day, I shared my idea of a potential Wyckoff distribution forming — and since then, it’s followed that path almost perfectly. 🧠 What’s Happened Since? ✅ Sweep of the HTF range high at ~65% ✅ Second deviation of the highs ✅ Volume divergence into supply — declining volume + strong rejection candles ✅ Formation of a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) ✅ 1D bearish market structure break after the sweep ✅ Price now back inside the range This is textbook distribution behaviour — even if it doesn’t follow the Wyckoff schematic to the letter, the key elements are present: deviation, volume drop-off, and structural breakdown. 🔮 What Comes Next? BTC.D is currently holding inside a prior unmitigated daily demand, but given the structural shift, I’m expecting: A pullback to 65–65.5% (daily supply + range high retest) Then a continuation bearish, targeting: 🔸 49% (prior accumulation range high) 🔻 46% (FVG fill + range breakout retest) These lower targets align with where I expect altcoins to top out — so as BTC.D breaks down, I expect capital to rotate hard into ETH and alts, triggering the final phase of altseason before the macro cycle top. ⚠️ Why This Matters This distribution range has been developing since late 2024, and with BTC.D now showing bearish market structure, combined with: - ETH.D flipping bullish - OTHERS.D pushing higher - Stablecoin dominance pairs breaking down …we’re seeing confluence across the board for a risk-on altcoin environment. I believe this is the setup that leads to the final euphoric altcoin rotation before the 4-year cycle top prints later this year. 📌 Watch for the retest. Watch for the rejection. The breakdown will be fast. This is the window — time to stay sharp. Let me know in the comments if you’ve been tracking this too, or drop your altcoin rotation picks. — Marshy 🔥 1D: 3D: 1W: 1M:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by marshyyy
Do you believe in miracles?Others dominance is crazily undervalued way beyond anyone's imagination, it's been a crazy 4 year bear market for alts. Big question is, when will it end. Can't fathom this industry getting killed by exchanges, just look at others.d go man, crazy low. If this were the equivalent to 2019/2020 and 2015/2016, any buy in this range is a one in a lifetime opportunity. If this is like December 2016, well, that would save us years of struggle. Hard to tell what's going to happen but I still believe Trump will give us an extended bullrun that will peak when the FIFA world cup is on somewhere around July 4th 2026. Great depression? this goes way beyond that, what more of a great depression do you want. Just brutal.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D
by axelrodd
3
Bitcoin dominance chart ready to dump?Bitcoin dominance aka the btc.d chart has been in these 2 rising channels now for a long long tie, after ust recently being rejected down fro the top trendline of the neon yellow channel, there seems to be an opportunity here for it to potentially head down to retest the bottom trendline of that channel as well. If this occurs this could lead to an altcoin season. Price is right now combating the 50ma(in orange) and trying to maintain it as support. If this moving average flips to solidified resistance that greatly increases the chances of price going down to retest that bottom yellow trendline. Being that both of these channels are rising channels probability favors price action eventually breaking down from them instead of up so I have arbitrarily placed the measure move break down target of the yellow channel in a random spot below roughly where price could break down from the channel were it to be rejected strongly enough here by the 50ma. It’s retested this bottom trendline multiple times in the past and has always found away to avoid the breakdown thus far though so a breakdown there is definitely not guaranteed if it does retest the trendline, but even heading back down to retest the trendline in the first place may provide enough momentum for an alt season *not financial advice*
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by DrDovetail
Bitcoin Dominance, RSI Bearish Divergence & Decreasing VolumeThis is a classic signal and we are going to be looking at it on two different timeframes, daily and weekly. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is producing a strong bearish divergence with the RSI. The weekly timeframe is very pronounced and I will show you the details below. This type of signal tends to support a change of trend. It appears before the reversal happens but sometimes it can take years before it goes into effect. » BTC.D Weekly RSI Here you can see the RSI peaked October 2023. Then a lower high October 2024, then again in April 2025 and finally last month. As the RSI produces lower highs BTC.D is producing higher highs. This signal is supported by decreasing volume. Bitcoin Dominance continues to climb higher while trading volume continues to drop. Both signal support a change of trend soon and together they become stronger. » BTC.D Daily RSI The daily RSI peaked June 2023 but we will focus on the short-term as we already have a strong signal coming from the weekly. Here we have a peak in May 2025 and a strong lower high in June. Needless to say, BTC.D peaked 27-June thus the divergence but the action is clearly weak. » Bitcoin daily There is a long-term rising wedge on the weekly timeframe and this pattern can also support a reversal. All these signals are bearish but not very strong, still, there is some weakness on the bearish side for this index. This means that the action can turn bearish tomorrow or it can continue rising for weeks or months before turning red. These signals are pointing to a reversal but they do not give us a specific date. Can happen next week, next month or in seven months. If we focus on the altcoins, the way they are looking and how long will it take for them to grow, then this index can turn bearish within 2-4 weeks. Bitcoin will also grow as the altcoins market grow. Everything Crypto will grow in late 2025. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MasterAnanda
14
Bitcoin Dominance Daily Bullish Altcoins ConfirmedThere is an interesting signal here on the daily Bitcoin Dominance index chart. Four days red. This signal has not happen since February and it is most certainly bearish. After 26-June the index went red four days after hitting the highest reading since January 2021. This highest reading ended up producing a rounded top and the action moved back below the 7-May top which was the previous highest reading since 2021. Now notice the purple line on the chart. This is the 7-May peak price. Yesterday, BTC.D was trading above this level but moved below today. The candle ended as a Doji, lower high and today turning bearish signals growing bearish momentum. You can check the weekly timeframe for additional signals including the MACD and RSI. You can find it by visiting my profile @MasterAnanda (Make sure to follow.) In November 2024 BTC.D went extremely bearish and the entire altcoins market produced a major advance; Bitcoin also moved forward, the same can happen today. It is not certain the specific date, can be tomorrow, in a weeks time or within months... What is certain is that the bullish wave won't last as little as in April-May 2025 nor November-December 2024, both instances lasted only one month, this time around the bullish wave can last between 3-6 months. Some pairs will grow straight up for months. Others will experience strong volatility but with a bullish bias. Marketwide bullish action. Bitcoin and the altcoins. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MasterAnanda
3
BTC Dominance Nearing Breaking Point – What It Means for Alts🚨📈 BTC Dominance Nearing Breaking Point – What It Means for Alts ⚠️🧩 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is climbing — and fast. As of now, we're at 64.13% , officially in the “ Bad for Alts ” zone. Historically, this level has meant one thing for altcoins: trouble ahead . But what if we go further? 🔵 The chart tells the full story: Above 73% dominance, we're not just bad — it's disaster territory for altcoins. The biggest alt bull runs in history started when BTC dominance reversed from these high levels . But now? We're riding a rising channel with no sign of slowing, and a potential peak at 71.34% could be next. 📉 If dominance hits that upper wedge, altcoins may face an extinction-level drawdown — especially if meme coins, scams, and greedy behavior continue to dominate the space. 🧠 As the chart says: “The END of Alts would be back here…” (not a valid scenario in my opinion but it exists) Unless fundamentals and real utility make a comeback, we may be heading for a cleansing phase — where only the strongest survive . And that's Bitcoin only. 🔎 Key Zones: >73% = 🚫 Disaster for Alts 64–73% = ❌ Bad for Alts 54–62% = ⚖️ Neutral / Good for select alts <45% = ✅ Historically Great for Altcoins 💬 What do you think? Is this a final dominance pump before reversal? Or are we witnessing the long-awaited re-centralization of crypto around BTC? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by FX_Professor
6
Bitcoin Dominance Nearing a Top — Altseason Incoming in JULYBitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is approaching overbought levels on several key oscillators across multiple timeframes. While the 1-Week chart still shows momentum that could push BTC.D slightly higher over the next few weeks, the indicators are signaling an upcoming shift. 📅 Timing the Rotation: We're eyeing mid to late July as the likely window for a rotation into altcoins. This would mark the beginning of a potential mini altseason, where top-performing altcoins could outpace Bitcoin for a limited but lucrative period. 💼 Strategy Insight: This could present a strong opportunity to trim or exit older alt positions from earlier in 2024—especially if they rally hard during this period of temporary dominance weakness. 🔍 Watch the oscillators and volume trends closely. The BTC.D reversal could be subtle at first but may lead to outsized moves in select alts.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by TheStrategyMaster
2
Mr. Rusell (Small Cap index) & Altseason go hand in hand. That's right it does. Why? Because small businesses employ nearly half of the workforce of the United States. So when financial conditions exist for confidence to grow at this level of the economy expressed via hiring and expansion of said businesses the ripple effects are huge. Which can be seen during Altcoin boom's (banana zones) This cycle especially as one whole Bitcoin is out of reach for the common man. When Retail hot money does return to crypto expect small cap low numerical valued coins to really start outperforming BTC
TVC:RUT
by BallaJi
Altseason isn’t cancelled, it’s just delayed. Here's WHY!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance Update: Altseason isn’t cancelled, it’s just delayed. The key zone to watch is 69.5%–73% dominance. That’s where we’re likely to see a strong rejection if it doesn't start soon, which seems unlikely given the current circumstances. The longer it takes to reach that level, the stronger the altcoin rally will be once it hits. This isn’t hope, it’s exactly what the charts are showing. Historically, 70% dominance has acted as a major reversal zone. If there are signs of reversal before this level, I'll let you know beforehand. So follow me if you don't and share this chart with your crypto friends. Do not forget to keep cash/stables! Let me know what you think in the comments. Thank you #PEACE
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Cryptorphic
15
BTC.D - Could it be Wyckoff Distribution DevelopingJust toying with ideas of what may be developing here so dont take the chart as what i think will happen perfectly as shown. With the strength seen from BTC.D atm, it looks more and more likely it may go for the highs again and into the higher levels above 65%. I still see this as a very large range from the february high and lows that got put in and the prior high was a deviation of the larger range resulting in the reaction we seen. We could expect to see a further deviation of the range highs and this wouldn't be uncommon in the development of a wyckoff distribution range. Im still looking for a HTF reversal bearish from these supply levels and my bias doesnt change right now as we continue to develop this range until proven otherwise. That being said, we could see some further weakness in altcoins until this tops out and gives us the right confirmations of a trend shift bearish. 1D:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by marshyyy
2
Bitcoin Dominance Will Drop To 60% SoonGood Morning Trading Family, I really don't have much to say on this post. My last post on Ethereum showed us an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which plays out over 85% of the time. This is a clear sign that altcoins may rally within the next week or two. And here, on our Bitcoin dominance chart, you can see that the patterns are clear, BTC dom cannot last at this level much longer before a breakdown to 61% or lower occurs. Be prepared. FOMO will get real. Best, Stew
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by stewdamus
Altseason Index Proxy (TOTAL3 / BTC.D) Weekly TF Symbol & Timeframe: * **Symbol**: CRYPTOCAP\:TOTAL3 / CRYPTOCAP\:BTC.D * **Timeframe**: Weekly (1W), * **Purpose**: A clean, data-driven proxy for detecting altseason momentum Technical Structure: ✅ Key Support Zones * **13.47B (61.8% Fib)**: Critical golden zone; current price consolidation area * **12.45B (50.0% Fib)**: Lower bound of golden zone * **11.00B**: Historical support zone * **8.15B (0.0%)**: Absolute bottom of retracement range 🔹 Hidden Bullish Divergence * **MACD Histogram & Signal Lines** show hidden bullish divergence * Price action forming **higher lows** while MACD makes **lower lows** * Indicates trend continuation potential 🔢 Fibonacci Targets TP1: 16.8B (100.0%) TP2: 22.2B (161.8%) TP3: 30.7B (261.8%) 🔄 Expected Path * Potential short-term correction toward 12.4B followed by a breakout * Bullish continuation path sketched with progressive Fib targets 📈 Macro & Fundamental Confluence 📉 Liquidity and Monetary Easing * Global monetary policy is easing (e.g., Fed pivot expected mid-2025) * Increased liquidity historically precedes strong altcoin rallies BTC Dominance Decline * BTC.D rolling down from long-term highs * Signals beginning of capital rotation into altcoins 🚀 Emerging Narratives * Rise of L2s (e.g., Base, zkSync), AI tokens, real-world asset protocols * Fresh narratives tend to amplify altseason rotations 💼 Institutional Tailwinds * Spot ETH ETF approvals pave way for alt ETF flows * Regulatory clarity expected to reduce uncertainty in late 2025 Related Reference Charts: 🌐 TOTAL3 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding BTC & ETH) 📊 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) These charts offer standalone confirmation of: Altcoin strength forming on TOTAL3 BTC dominance facing structural resistance Composite Altseason Thesis: 1. Liquidity injections + halving = BTC rally 2. BTC.D breakdown + TOTAL3 support = altcoin strength 3. Technical confirmations: hidden divergence, fib confluence 4. Narrative and regulatory catalysts = widespread rotation **Conclusion**: We are entering a prime zone for altseason acceleration. Price reclaim above 13.47B and continued BTC.D drop will validate bullish thesis. Monitor closely for breakouts past TP1 and momentum into TP2/TP3. 📌 Current status: - Price rebounding in the 12.45–13.47B Fibonacci zone (50–61.8%) - Hidden bullish divergence on MACD + ascending price structure - BTC.D has rolled off 65% resistance — suggesting capital rotation 📊 Altseason Thesis: 1. Post-halving BTC rally → profit dispersion into altcoins 2. Macro conditions (Fed pivot, record liquidity) enabling risk-on environment 3. Technical confirmation via index momentum and fib structure 4. Narrative tailwinds: Layer-2 adoption, AI-crypto, altcoin ETF catalysts 📈 Targets: - TP1 @ 16.8B (100% Fib) - TP2 @ 22.2B (161.8% Fib) - TP3 @ 30.7B (261.8% Fib) 🟢 Key support: 12.45–13.47B zone; breakout + BTC.D collapse = altseason trigger.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by BitonGroup
$BTC.D Dominance forecast: update May 2025📉 BTC Dominance (%BTC.D) Update – At Resistance, Altseason in the Balance Back on April 5th, I published a forecast highlighting the critical 65% resistance level on BTC Dominance. That analysis still holds: BTC.D reached 65% and got rejected, pulling back to 62% as of now. ⚔️ What’s Happening? Bitcoin dominance is compressing, and we're approaching a make-or-break moment: 🔹 Resistance confirmed at 65% 🔹 We bounced down to 62% — not up 🔹 Market is hesitating, and the next move will shape the short-term direction for alts 🔍 The Bigger Picture Bitcoin pumped hard recently, mostly due to: MACD reversal on the weekly Oversold conditions now turning bullish Renewed institutional interest in risk-on assets But let’s be clear: 🚫 We’re not in a full altseason yet. What we’re seeing is cautious altcoin rotation, not a blow-off alt rally. 📊 Tech Indicators MACD: Overheated RSI: Still has room to move up So technically, BTC.D could still break out above 65% — but it hasn’t yet. ⚠️ What to Watch: If BTC.D breaks out above 65%, expect: ➡️ Altcoin bloodbath ➡️ BTC.D could head toward 70%, crushing the mini-altseason But if BTC.D continues to drop from here? ➡️ Altseason starts to heat up 🔮 Outlook A true altseason might not arrive until September/October. For now, the market is stuck in a range of uncertainty. Keep your eyes on: BTC.D reaction at 62%–65% TradFi stress (bond markets, macro fears) Bitcoin strength and ETH/BTC ratio 🧠 Take profits when you can. Protect your capital. 📌 Follow me for future updates—and don’t forget to DYOR. 📎 Original forecast:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CryptoNikkoid
6
Bullish Altcoins: Bitcoin Dominance In Correction ModeHere BTC.D is still moving within a classic ABC correction. The peak happened 7-May. After 14-May there was a bounce but this bounce ended in a lower high. The correction is not over. As this index moves lower, the Altcoins market will grow. When Bitcoin turns sideways, retraces or consolidates, it is an opportunity for the smaller Altcoins to move forward. This is the scenario we are entering right now. » Bitcoin sideways. Altcoins bullish. Long-term growth. The 2025 bull market is only starting now. Prepare for growth until late 2025 or beyond (early 2026). Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MasterAnanda
6
WARNING! Sell Your Altcoins, -40% Drop AheadHello, Skyrexans! The title of this article is made specially for haters. I see euphoria on each small drop of CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and understand that altseason now will not happen. People are still holding and dreaming Lambos. This is very bad for potential growth, so I expect only dump on risky alts with the new dominance push! Look at the 4h time frame. As you remember from my previous analysis I expect the global wave 5. In my opinion waves 1 and 2 have been finished already. Wave 2 represented as an irregular ABC correction. Target at 0.38 Fibonacci has been reached. Now it's time for wave 3 which will reach 67%. During this dump on altcoins I wanna see total disappointment of moon boys and selling on every local bounce. I will repeat once more, market shall be cleared from the crowd to go up. I am not an altseason hater. I am also holding some altcoins, but it's important to understand the real picture and have the right exaltations. Otherwise you will be disappointed and go out from rocket. I wish for clever, patient and realistic people to earn on the altseason, but first of all market need to persuade greedy and disrespectful people to escape altcoins. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Skyrexio
65
What is Bitcoin Dominance, and When Can We Expect Altseason?What is Bitcoin Dominance, and When Can We Expect Altseason? ✅ In the fast-paced and ever-changing world of digital currencies, traders and investors are continually seeking signs and tools to aid them in making informed decisions. One key sign is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D). Understanding this and examining its chart can provide us with important clues about what the market might do next, especially regarding when Altseason (the period of growth for altcoins) might begin. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D What is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)? Simply put, Bitcoin Dominance indicates the percentage of the total value of all digital currencies that is held by Bitcoin. For example, if the total value of all digital currencies is $1 trillion and Bitcoin's value is $600 billion, then Bitcoin's Dominance is 60%. This number is very important because: It shows market feeling: When Bitcoin Dominance goes up, it usually means money is moving to Bitcoin as a safer option, and people are less willing to take risks. When Bitcoin Dominance goes down, it can mean people are more confident in altcoins and are ready to take more risks for bigger profits. It shows money flow: Changes in BTC.D show how money is moving between Bitcoin and altcoins. ❓ What is Altseason? Altseason is a time in the digital currency market when altcoins (digital currencies other than Bitcoin) do much better than Bitcoin, and their prices go up a lot. During Altseason, money often flows from Bitcoin to altcoins, and many altcoins can see their prices increase many times over. Looking at the Current Bitcoin Dominance Chart and forecasting Altseason If we look at the provided chart for Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), we can see a few key things: Long-term upward channel: The chart shows that Bitcoin Dominance has been in a long-term upward path. The bottom of this path is marked by a blue support line , and the top is marked by a red resistance line . This means that, in the bigger picture, Bitcoin's control over the market has been growing. Broken short-term upward trend: There was a shorter-term upward trend line (shown in black on the image) that the price broke below on May 9th . This break could be an early warning sign that Bitcoin's dominance might be weakening in the short term, and its dominance might start to fall. ⚠️ But here is a very important point: We cannot be sure that Altseason has definitely started until the price clearly breaks below the main support line of the channel (the blue line) and stays below it. The break of the short-term upward trend line (black line) is an early signal. However, to confirm a change in the trend and the possible start of a significant Altseason, we need to see stronger support levels, like the blue support line on the chart, get broken. ⏳ So, When Should We Expect Altseason? Based on the chart analysis and the points mentioned: Early Sign: The break of the short-term upward trend line (black) on May 9th might make people pay more attention to altcoins, but it's not enough on its own. Key Condition for Altseason: The most important signal for the start of a real Altseason would be if the Bitcoin Dominance price breaks below the blue support line of the long-term upward channel. As long as Bitcoin Dominance stays above this support line, Bitcoin will likely keep its relative strength in the market, and altcoins might only see limited growth or could even face selling pressure. Conclusion: Analyzing Bitcoin Dominance is a useful tool for understanding how the digital currency market works and for predicting possible trends. Right now, because the short-term trend line has been broken, the market is at a sensitive point. However, traders and investors should watch the BTC.D price movements very carefully and wait for stronger confirmations, especially a possible break of the blue support line, before announcing the start of Altseason.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DEducation
by Navid_Jafarian
46
Altseason Will NOT Start While You Are Holding Altcoins!Hello, Skyrexians! Time for the negative article about CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D which is our favorite topic recently because I see now the euphoria again that altseason has been started. The answer is no, it has not and the main reason is the crowd which still holding altcoins. I told many times - sell altcoins and altseason will be started. Let's go to Elliott waves. As I told you wave 4 has been finished at 0.38 Fibonacci level and with the Awesome Oscillator cross of the zero line. Now it's time for wave 5. Target is the same equals 67%. Only when we see this price and the double divergence we have a chance that liquidity will transfer from Bitcoin to altcoin. Next 2 weeks will be disaster for all altcoins holders. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Skyrexio
42