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BTC.D - Alt Season (Rotation from BTC to ALTS about to begin)only 3 charts you should care about from now = BTC.D , USDT.D and Total 2 (/3/others) strong utility tokens will win from here CRYPTOCAP:BTC is weak, (IT WILL DEFINITELY HAS ITS LAST RALLY THOUGH - check out my EW count and the target I've been speaking since 5th Aug) either it consolidates here and complete its subwave 5 of macrowave 5 later or do it now and distributes later, the time for alts to shine has come... Few more weeks of pain left. I don't recommend selling here, keep the HODL but rotation has almost started... whales are taking profits on Bitcoin and time for our shitcoins to outperform from here... PS. We might see new lows (than 3rd Feb) but the RR is not worth it, never sell in the middle (unless you are invalidated) Look at the Macro chart for in-detailed analysis on BTC.D I did a few weeks ago
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by SaadFiaz
15
$BTC Macrolast idea remains intact—we are still bullish. Alts have held strong while BTC plunged. (I don’t own any BTC, and neither should you above $100K.) I predicted the exact $15.5K bottom on X, as well as the August 5th crash and bottom. Unfortunately, I wasn’t on the charts in December and missed the biggest, clearest signal on USDT.D for a potential local top, which otherwise would have 2x'd my current portfolio but mistakes were made) BTC taking the hits while alts hold steady is a strong sign that whales are taking profits from Bitcoin and preparing for "rotation". Most traders believe the cycle is over—and there are valid reasons for that (some of them are): - A monthly bearish engulfing candle - A structure resembling the 2021 top, suggesting one last rally before the bear market - Worst of all, double bearish divergence on the monthly, which worries me too However, there are strong counterarguments. The biggest? The cycle has never topped with BTC.D this weak. That’s why I’m still leaning toward a bullish scenario until proven otherwise. Update on the above chart: The parabola is intact with a beautiful reaction. That doesn’t mean we can’t still visit the red box—there’s only air between them—but I’m holding, and that remains my primary scenario. Alts can make new lows, but RR isn’t worth it. As I’ve said before, the time to sell spot bags has passed. You don’t sell in between unless invalidation occurs. Timing is everything. We failed to time this market, assuming it would mimic past cycles—but everyone was wrong. Traders won this cycle, while investors (except BTC holders) struggled... until now, at least. ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOTH SCENARIOS (MENTIONED ON CHART) FOR ALTS? You have to wait way longer on the second scenario but both would take us to our goal. Worst case? We break and HTF close on USDT.D - last hope, officially ending bull market!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SaadFiaz
Supply & Demand for BTC.d <---> ETHBTCA notable change may be occurring in the market dynamics surrounding Bitcoin dominance, which reflects BTC’s share of the overall cryptocurrency market. Recently, it has displayed a shooting star candle, indicating a potential decline in BTC’s market influence. These signs point towards the beginning of an alt season, a time when alternative cryptocurrencies tend to outperform Bitcoin. With BTC stabilising around the significant $100k mark, the environment appears ripe for altcoins to attract investor interest. The upcoming weeks will be crucial in assessing whether this trend will gain traction, possibly transforming the market landscape for 2025. Bitcoin experienced an impressive 2024, achieving new milestones and reinforcing its status as the market frontrunner. As we move into 2025, BTC remains robust, yet a shift in market dynamics may be imminent. Historically, Bitcoin’s dominance tends to wane when altcoins start to gain momentum, and this year might follow that pattern. As Bitcoin finds stability around crucial price points, we often see liquidity shifting towards altcoins, sparking what many refer to as an alt season. Historically, during these times, altcoins tend to surpass Bitcoin in performance, offering significant returns for those investors ready to explore beyond BTC. With TOTAL3 approaching new price discovery and Bitcoin's dominance on the decline, the potential for altcoins to take center stage is becoming more apparent. The crucial factor for BTC.d to unlock is how ETH performs against BTC. With the ETH/BTC ratio below 0.03, it appears appealing, but until it begins to rise, the alt season will be postponed. Alt season typically arises when Bitcoin dominance is high, not when it's low. Typically, Bitcoin dominance tends to decrease in the years following a halving event. Therefore, I suspect that by the end of the year, dominance will be in the negative. However, up to this point, we have seen an increase in dominance this year.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by BallaJi
If This Happens For BTC Dominance, Shakeout Is CancelledHello, Skyrexians! As you remember we have the previous analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D where we pointed out the target at 66% and the shakeout. But we were sure that it will happen in the upcoming week, but Dominance retraced again below 61% and current wave doesn't look like the wave 5. This move increased probability of more positive scenario for altcoins. Let's take a look at 12h time frame. We can see that candles were able only to touch the 62.5% and then retested the recent low. It gives us an idea that the probability that this is wave 5 decreased. Here we have two scenarios. The first one is that we are in wave 4, which is more complicated that we supposed and candles will finally reach 66%. But the second scenario now has even more than 50% probability. This pump could be already shortened wave 5. Unfortunately, Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator can't catch such waves, but Awesome Oscillator tells us that wave 4 has been finished and we can see the divergence, which could already happened if dominance touch 66%. Now AO is reversing and this is the sign that this impulse to the upside will not continue. The clear breakdown of 60% will confirm this idea. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Skyrexio
2
Bitcoin dominance is ready to dieRetail thinks this cycle is going to play out like 2021 because most weren't here to witness 2017 and now tradingview free version doesn't allow you to see any data before May 2021, so everyone is going to be so scared and traumatized in March, that they'll think it's better to tether 50% and buy Bitcoin only, then you'll see Bitcoin Dominance drop dramatically starting April, all through May with some chop first week and finally an alts peak on June 14th. Some Alts will pull off a sweet 2000% The big obstacle for retail is many no longer have access to 2017 data. Pay attention to Litecoin, it looks identical to its own price action of April end of 2017. Shorters are going to get super rekt because they are over confident now, they are getting wet and over horny here calling the great depression too early. Most will get sidelined and double rekt on the upside due to the PTSD of 2019, 2020, 2022, 2023 and 2024. Also pay attention to Bitcoin pairs, top 50 alts are green right now, OTHERS.D has more than bottomed and is ready too. Altseason is very close, but I suspect March will start with a relief pump and will then be boring flat month. Start of April will kickstart true alt season. May will be euphoric Better sell by or before June 14th. That's the top for altcoins. Bitcoin top is hinting a July 4th peak. Other low alts will moon in August.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by axelrodd
10
Alt-season is near?BINANCE:BTCUSDT continues to decline, but despite the significant drop, there is no panic in the market. Most altcoins are already near local lows, which may play in favor of the upcoming altcoin season. However, high market volatility makes it difficult to make effective trading decisions: shorting is risky, and longing overvalued projects is inappropriate. A double top may form on the bitcoin-dominance chart ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ), which in the past has already led to a shift of capital into altcoins. So far, this scenario remains unconfirmed (a descending pattern should form), but if it materializes, the market may enter an active phase of altcoin growth. It is important to remember that even if bitcoin dominance reverses, overbought altcoins may continue to decline, so we will continue to hold the accumulated hedge shorts. Liquidity is more likely to flow into undervalued assets that have not yet undergone an active growth phase. In this context, special attention should be paid to coins with long accumulation, as coins from our investment portfolio, so that perhaps at the final formation of the downward pattern we will add the investment part up to 50% to those clients who connected to us after Q2 2024. The situation remains dynamic and it is important to wait for confirmations before making decisions. However, the long-awaited alt season, which Influencers have been talking about all year and we have been skeptical that it hasn't started yet, may indeed be on the doorstep and finally starting soon.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by TSFC
WARNING! Big Altcoins Shakeout Is Starting Right NowHello, Skyrexians! If you remember, we warned you just before the February 3 crash. Now we can see almost the same situation on the market looking at CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D . This chart can predict all crushes. On the 12 hours time frame we can see enough candles to analyze the current 5 Elliott waves impulse. If you remember dominance currently is in final global wave 5 and you can see it that it's almost over looking at the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator at the weekly time frame. Now we are looking inside this wave. Look how perfectly wave 2 retraced to 0.61 Fibonacci of the wave 1. Then Wave 3 has been finished inside the target area as well. Wave 4 retraced to 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci area. At the same time the Awesome Oscillator showed us the bearish turn. It means wave 4 has been finished and now Dominance is preparing for the leg up in wave 5. The target is 66%, but the max pain target is 69%. This is unlikely but keep in mind. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Skyrexio
11
Are you watching closely?Don't listen to all those dramatic fools screaming and shouting at the top of their lungs so that you give up here. Would you dare to give up here? Benjamin Cowen keeps crying stating he would prefer not to have a 2nd wave of inflation like it happened in the 70s because his children would suffer. Come now, while he's telling people he wishes for altcoins to die, technicals suggest otherwise. This is the part where almost everyone gives up, will you give up? I most certainly won't.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.DLong
by axelrodd
1
BTC Dominance Drops: Is the Alt Season About to Begin?Hello, Traders! After its recent rise to 64%, BTC.D started to decline slowly and currently dropped below 61%. In order to resume alt season, BTC.D needs to drop at least below 57% and hold below that mark for a prolonged period of time. Ideally, it should break below 54% to make a lower low and confirm a sustained downward trend. Historically, when BTC.D enters a clear downtrend, liquidity flows into altcoins, leading to significant rallies across the board. I don’t think that even if the alt season really takes off, we will see BTC.D much below 48%—perhaps 45%, but not lower. At that level, the market typically starts rotating back into BTC, capping further dominance declines. However, if BTC stagnates while liquidity continues flowing into alts, a deeper drop isn’t entirely out of the question. One of the potential catalysts for a BTC.D decline and the start of the alt season is Ethereum’s upcoming Pectra upgrade. Historically, ETH has shown strong performance ahead of major network upgrades, often doubling in price in anticipation. If history repeats itself, we could see increased demand for ETH, driving capital into the broader altcoin market. The Pectra upgrade is scheduled for April 8, meaning we might see altcoins gaining momentum in the next couple of weeks. If BTC remains stable and ETH starts outpacing it, this could create the perfect conditions for the much-anticipated alt season. Keep an eye on ETH/BTC as well—it could serve as an early indicator of the shift. 🚀 Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Real_CryptoRoy
15
APT Update - Who else was a great painter?After the brutal 3rd Feb drop (explanation in USDT.D chart - link at the end of post), the downward wedge failed but EW count is still valid) After the brutal 3rd Feb drop (explanation in USDT.D chart - link at the end of post), the downward wedge failed but EW count is still valid I've explained in detail what I'm expecting in this year. Please refer to the previous posts for in-depth analysis and thoughts. Too tired to write anything now :) TLDR for the lazy ones: Late Feb-April, I'm expecting a massive rally. 100% loaded here personally!
Long
by SaadFiaz
1
Is Altcoin Season STILL About to Begin in 2025?Looking at CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , before the 2021 altseason kicked off, there were 3 key stages: ▍Stage 1: A steep rounded top formed. ▍Stage 2: Along the neckline of the rounded top, a rounded bottom developed. ▍Stage 3: BTC.D dropped sharply, triggering a crazy altseason. For 2025, it seems we're about to enter Stage 3: ▍Stage 1: Again, a steep rounded top formed. ▍Stage 2: Just like before, a rounded bottom appeared along the neckline. What’s different this time? BTC.D just retested the neckline resistance zone for the second time yesterday. After touching it, BTC.D formed a long lower wick, signaling strong rejection. Now, it's all about watching the next moves. If BTC.D mirrors Stage 3 from the last cycle, we could see a sharp drop soon. And if that happens, the crazy altseason might start before anyone is ready. 🔴 for more future script "guesses" like this! 🔥 I've dropped another 2 analyses for the 2025 altseason on the right hand side if you're using computer, and scroll down a bit to see the link if you're using mobile.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Harold_123
10
BTC.D Update = What happened to the ALT SEASON?I had this possibility on the back of my mind but didn't think it'd play out since things are much different this time I obviously missed the last downward movement (even though I had it marked on USDT.D + some alts) PS. Trust me, BS news you see is just an excuse. It's almost always in the chart (in this case, tariffs) = This is how I was able to predict 5th August bottom (in that case, it was the Japanese Yen news but in reality, it's all in the chart but I missed it this time and I'll accept it, I was too busy so never looked at it.. the reason I stopped posting after November) It would be wonderful if you guys interact and keep things on your panel too!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by SaadFiaz
USDT.D (how to find local reversals? no alt season this cycle?) sorry I forgot to post it here a week ago after the crash I had that shit marked (small green box for a powerful reversal), which hit in the first week of December, but I forgot to check it out—lol, was too busy with other things = can anyone at least remind me or everyone's a lazy ass like me, these days? Anyway, it was a perfect local top indication (USDT.D along with other macro charts are the best possible indicators for local top/bottom. One must capture these beautiful reversals where you have at least 80% of confidence, to accumulate more and more of your favorite tokens) Trust me, BS news you see is just an excuse. It's almost always in the chart (in this case, tariffs) = This is how I was able to predict 5th August bottom (in that case, it was the Japanese Yen news but in reality, it's all in the chart but I missed it this time and I'll accept it, I was to busy so never looked at it.. the reason I stopped posting after November) Good thing we still haven't reclaimed the macro trendline. and look what happens after such long wicks into resistances ... (5th August one, 22nd Jan, and last year's) and CT getting bearish? I get it that normie retails are fearful but good big CTs ??? This cycle really is different... LOWER it now !!! (obviously there are many other confluences I've found but I'm too lazy to mention all that here) PS. Yes, there will be an alt season and it will catch many off guard since most have lost hope and capitulated already. It would be wonderful if you guys interact and keep things on your panel too, so we don't miss any market movements!!! I don't Trade full time, it's just 1/4 of my gigs
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by SaadFiaz
9
The Exact Target When Altseason Will Be Started Revealed!Hello, Skyrexians! Recently we have already made analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D where pointed out that this Bitcoin season finally is about to end. Today we share with you our precise analysis of last dominance growth to understand when there is going to be the final reversal. Let's take a look at 12 hours time frame. Here we can see that Elliott waves structure. It has pumped to the wave 3 target at 1.61 Fibonacci and then retraced in the wave 4. We expect consolidation between 61% and 62% for some time before the final growth in the wave 5. This wave will be finished approximately at 65%. The red dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator and the bearish divergence with Awesome Oscillator are going to be the reversal confirmation factors. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Skyrexio
8
BTC dominance .... Bitcoin: The King, But Not Everything!Crypto is More Than Just Bitcoin; Just Like Automobiles Are More Than One Brand! In the world of digital currencies, many newcomers have only heard of "Bitcoin" and assume that the entire crypto market revolves around it. However, just as the automobile industry is not limited to a single brand, the crypto world is also filled with innovative projects and diverse digital assets, each with its own unique applications and features. Bitcoin: The King, But Not Everything! Bitcoin is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. It is considered digital gold and serves as a store of value. But that's not the whole story! If we compare Bitcoin to brands like "Ferrari" or "Lamborghini," which are luxurious and powerful, other cryptocurrencies can be likened to different car brands, each with its own unique functionalities and purposes. Altcoins: The Major Players in the Crypto World Ethereum (ETH): If Bitcoin is Ferrari, Ethereum is like Tesla—a platform that has paved a new path in blockchain technology. Smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps) run on its network. Polkadot (DOT): Polkadot is like a versatile car, such as the BMW X5, allowing interoperability between different blockchain networks and enhancing cross-chain communication. Chainlink (LINK): Chainlink is akin to a secure and smart car like Volvo, acting as an oracle in the blockchain space, connecting real-world data to smart contracts. Solana (SOL): This cryptocurrency is like a sports car, such as Porsche—fast, scalable, and with low fees, making it highly popular among developers. Cardano (ADA): Cardano can be compared to Toyota or Honda—stable, secure, and equipped with innovative technologies aiming to solve blockchain scalability issues. Is Altseason Coming? Altseason is a term referring to a period in the crypto market where altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) experience significant growth. This typically happens after Bitcoin stabilizes or when investors feel that Bitcoin has reached a short-term price peak. Some signs of an approaching altseason include: Bitcoin dominance rising and then declining (indicating a shift of capital from Bitcoin to altcoins) Explosive growth in certain altcoins, signaling increased investor interest in alternative projects Improved macroeconomic conditions and increased liquidity in the market Just as the automotive world is not dominated by a single brand, the crypto market extends beyond Bitcoin. Major projects like Ethereum, Cardano, Solana, Polkadot, Chainlink, and many others offer diverse use cases worth exploring and investing in. Given current market indicators, we may soon witness a powerful altseason where altcoins experience substantial growth. Therefore, it's essential to look beyond Bitcoin and view the market from a broader perspective! good luck
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by mehdi_kb
6