BTC DOMINANCE (4H) UpdateThis analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, Bitcoin dominance correction has started.
After completing wave A, the price entered wave B.
Wave B appears to be a diametric, and we are currently in wave f of this diametric.
It seems that one wave g of this diametric remains, which could extend until December 31, 2024. From January 1, 2025, this index may experience a decline. This date aligns with when Trump takes office, bringing various plans for the crypto market.
If a weekly candle closes below the green zone, this scenario will be invalidated, and Bitcoin dominance will likely experience a more significant drop.
For now, this is our perspective on Bitcoin dominance.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Btcdominance
Return Of The Alts Season. Wait For It!Macro scenario shows falling RSI for Bitcoin Dominance , BTC.D . We may be welcoming a return of the Alts Season that seemed to go on a pause when CRYPTOCAP:BTC went to 92k.
I foresee a near support level where it will bounce a bit, hit a near-resistance and continue downward. The overall daily trend is already bearish.
Some major alt coins have completed their correction and can't wait to go parabolic. Coins like CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , CRYPTOCAP:LTC , CRYPTOCAP:SOL and others.
See d rawings on the chart it's as clear as day!
Comment and like if you disagree. Merry Christmas 🎄
BTC.D Crumbles: Is the Ultimate Altseason About to Begin ?!!?1. **BTC.D Drops → Altcoins Rise**:
- BTC.D measures Bitcoin's market share relative to the entire cryptocurrency market. A falling BTC.D typically means capital is flowing from Bitcoin into altcoins, signaling increased altcoin strength.
2. **Recent BTC.D Context**:
- The **rejection at 59.23% resistance** and breakdown below support (57.48%) indicate Bitcoin dominance is weakening. This often coincides with:
- A **rotation into altcoins**, as traders seek higher ROI opportunities.
- Altcoin outperformance during periods of bullish market sentiment or when Bitcoin consolidates.
3. **Supporting Indicators**:
- **Volume Shift**: Rising altcoin volume (lower BTC.D) is a common precursor to an altcoin rally.
- **RSI & CMF on BTC.D**: Weak momentum and capital inflow into altcoins align with BTC.D's bearish setup.
4. **Scenarios**:
- **Altcoin Rally Catalyst**: If BTC.D continues breaking down, altcoins could capitalize, especially large-cap alts.
- **Key Levels to Watch**: BTC.D support at 56.00%. If breached, altcoin dominance may rise sharply.
Summary
The current BTC.D setup hints at an ongoing **altcoin season** if dominance continues falling, provided overall market sentiment remains bullish.
BTC.D Chart: A Bullish Signal for Altcoin HoldersRight now, I can't find a better example of a rising wedge breakdown and retest on the weekly timeframe than on the BTC dominance chart. This is incredibly promising for anyone holding altcoins
Six months to glory for our alts !!
ETHBTC to the moon in Q1
Bitcoin DominanceMaximum suffering is nearing completion for #alts
While the major correction that occurred in #Bitcoin recently will cause a major upward phase for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , it will also be left behind as a healthy RETEST for the supply zone lost on a monthly basis and the rising wedge.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance confirms retest for retracement on monthly basis heikin ashi candles!
BTC.D When ALT season?BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Updated Technical Outlook
The BTC Dominance chart reflects Bitcoin's performance relative to the altcoin market. Here’s an analysis:
Key Levels and Observations:
1. Resistance at 58.47% and 61.31%:
- BTC.D attempted to breach the 58.47% resistance but faced rejection, leading to a pullback.
- The 61.31% level, marked as a key Fibonacci retracement, remains a significant hurdle for further upside momentum.
2. Support at 55.76% and 54.57%:
- The first notable support lies around 55.76%, aligning with a historical horizontal support zone and the yellow trendline.
- If this level is breached, the next support at 54.57% may come into play, potentially leading to increased altcoin strength.
3. Trendlines and Channels:
- BTC.D continues to respect the rising yellow trendline, indicating that the long-term bullish trend is intact.
- The dotted red channel lines act as a dynamic resistance zone for future attempts to reclaim dominance above 60%.
4. Volume Trends:
- Volume levels show declining momentum during the recent pullback, which could indicate temporary weakness rather than a full reversal.
- A volume breakout above 58.47% would confirm renewed dominance for Bitcoin.
5. Long-Term Perspective:
- BTC.D has maintained a higher-high, higher-low structure, suggesting bullish market sentiment for Bitcoin dominance over the medium term.
- However, consolidation between the 55.76% and 58.47% range could signal indecision before the next significant move.
Potential Scenarios to Watch:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- A breakout above the 58.47% resistance would open the door for BTC.D to challenge the 61.31% level.
- Sustained dominance above 61.31% would likely indicate Bitcoin outperforming altcoins across the board.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If BTC.D loses the 55.76% support and breaks below the rising trendline, it could shift momentum in favor of altcoins.
- Key downside targets would then include 54.57% and the stronger support zone at 52.97%.
BTC.D Analysis: Retest of Key Area Highly LikelyBitcoin Dominance Looking
Bitcoin dominance looks very strong but BTC has entered the range. So I think dominance may follow a calmer course for a while, a few coins that have separated from the herd may make good moves in these few days, but it is too early to claim that the general atmosphere is completely bullish, because SP500 seems to be making a deep correction and is giving signals of this. I do not buy anything during the New Year, and I will not buy, but then I will spend all of these corrections with buying because I believe that 2025 will be good.
A retest of this area in BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) seems very possible based on current market behavior. This level holds significance as a potential reaction zone for further movements.
Also, I see no point in saying that this view of dominance supports the blue box analysis I shared here:
Because when BTC goes down to blue box we will see an upside move on dominance then we blue box of dominance chart will support the price, we will see an upmove on both.
Key Points:
Current Setup: BTC.D is approaching a critical area of interest.
Retest Likelihood: Market dynamics suggest a probable revisit to this zone.
Focus: Monitoring the reaction at this level for future directional clarity.
If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message.
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When and Where this Bull Market Ends / BTC.D and TOTAL3 BehaviorCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Bitcoin Dominance and Alt Season Trigger:
The chart indicates that when Bitcoin Dominance reaches around 59%-64%, there’s a high chance of an BTC dominance market correction. This level often signals the end of a Bitcoin rally and the start of funds flowing into altcoins.
You can use this dominance level as a timing signal to anticipate the start of the next alt season.
Historical Patterns and Timelines:
Key vertical markers show important dates from past cycles, such as 2018, 2021, and projected points for 2025. These points highlight recurring patterns that can help forecast the end of the current Bitcoin rally.
TOTAL3 Index Trends Relative to BTC:
The TOTAL3 index (all altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) shows that after Bitcoin Dominance declines, TOTAL3 often experiences a sharp rise. This pattern has repeated in previous cycles, hinting at a potential similar move in the upcoming alt season.
Bitcoin Price Rallies and Corrections:
The lower chart shows Bitcoin's bullish and bearish phases, typically lasting between 450 to 550 days. This timeframe can help estimate the remaining duration of the current Bitcoin rally.
Future Predictions:
Based on the chart, Bitcoin Dominance is expected to reach critical levels again in 2025, potentially marking the start of the next major alt season. While this timeline depends on market conditions and investor behavior, it offers a general framework.
#CHRISTMAS RALLY INCOMING OR JUST A TRAP?CRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance is Finally Seeing a Rejection!
The upcoming weekly close will be critical for ALTCOINS.
The rejection looks good and it's important for BTC to stay stable for the altcoins to pump.
The weekend is here and you don't decide on a trend on the weekend, you must wait for a weekly close and how traditional markets open.
So more clarity will be seen on Monday.
Is this the start of the altcoin rally you've been waiting for?
Or is there more pain ahead?
The answers will reveal themselves soon.
So make sure you follow me on all socials.
More updates will be posted on confirmation!
I’ve shared 13 altcoins on request in my TG, and they’re already up 10%-25% in the last 4 hours.
Also, do not forget to hit that like button and share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC Dominance Chart - BITCOIN DOMINANCEBTC Dominance is the most important chart to follow to understand whether the crypto market is in an altcoin or Bitcoin season.
"We had a great projection regarding the Bitcoin Dominance bearish shift around the 60% level, and it played out perfectly. I’ve linked that projection to this post for reference.
Currently, Bitcoin Dominance is testing the weekly supply zone as a bearish retest. This aligns with the premium side of the Fibonacci, adding to my conviction that we’re likely to see a bearish reversal from here, forming a lower high. This lower high could potentially trigger another leg down in dominance, setting the stage for a strong altcoin season.
I expect this shift to happen very soon.
"ALTCOINS: HOLD OR SELL? BTC Dom at a Critical Turning Point!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If this analysis resonates with you, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for premium setups that actually deliver results! 💹🔥
🔥 Market Recap
Last night, we witnessed a massive liquidation cascade across the entire crypto market. Altcoins took a heavy hit, with many dropping 20-30% overnight, wiping out billions of dollars.
🔑 Key Takeaway:
This is why I always stress—never trade leverage without a stop-loss. Protect your capital first. Hope you all followed this golden rule!
📊 Market Outlook: Where Are We Heading?
BTC Dominance:
Breaking down from a rising wedge on the weekly time frame—a classic bearish signal.
Currently retesting the breakdown zone, indicating a potential sharp decline ahead.
🌟 What This Means:
If dominance drops further, spot altcoin holdings will likely surge.
This is the time to accumulate, not panic-sell.
💎 Opportunities Ahead
Many altcoins are retesting key support levels after breaking out on the daily time frame:
FET, W, PEPE, LTC, APT, RENDER, and more.
Patience is key here. Hold onto your spot bags and use this dip as an opportunity to accumulate strong projects.
🚀 The Road Ahead
Over the next few days, we anticipate a strong recovery across the market, with alts pumping hard. Stay calm, stick to your strategy, and ride this wave.
💬 Your Move:
What’s your strategy for this phase? Are you accumulating or waiting for more clarity? Drop your thoughts in the comments below—we’re in this together! 🌊🔥
👉 Follow us for more timely updates and winning trade setups. Let’s crush it! 💪
The exact timing of the Altcoin season !As you know, with the drop in Bitcoin dominance, altcoins yield higher returns compared to Bitcoin. Conversely, when Bitcoin dominance rises, Bitcoin yields higher returns compared to altcoins.
From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems that the bearish waves of Bitcoin dominance have begun.
Wave A has been completed, and we are now in Wave B.
Currently, it appears we are in Wave B/X, which is a diametric pattern.
After this diametric, we expect Bitcoin dominance to enter Wave C, which is a bearish wave.
We anticipate that the altcoin season will begin from a high supply level.
This is our perspective on Bitcoin dominance.
Before altcoins undergo further correction, there will be a recovery in wave e of this dominance.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Entering the volatility period
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If USDT and USDC continue their gap uptrend, I think it is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or continue to fall.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator or Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (57.95) on the 1W chart.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
The USDT dominance is expected to touch around 2.84 at the most.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near 3.99-4.16.
If the USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to show a sharp decline.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend.
--------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
If BTC continues to rise like this, I also hope so.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is maintained at 100 and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching 100, BTC will eventually show a downward trend.
Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it will touch the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and show a downward trend.
The StochRSI indicator does not tell us how much the fluctuation will occur.
If it starts to decline,
1st: 87.8K-89K
2nd: 79.9K-80.9K
There is a possibility that it will touch the 1st and 2nd areas above.
If not, and it shows a sideways pattern, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The volatility period on the 1W chart is around the week including December 23rd.
Therefore, it can be seen that the volatility period is from December 16th to January 5th.
If the BW(100) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created during the volatility period, it is important to see if it can be supported near it.
-
(1D chart)
I will update after a new candle is created.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
These Top 30 AltCoins have GOOD setups against BTC The Analysis of Benjamin Cowen
Benjamin Cowen , a well-known cryptocurrency analyst, has pointed out that many cryptocurrencies that exhibit a double bottom against Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) have experienced HIGH price increases, we have examples like CRYPTOCAP:SOL ($225.05 - 211.31% return (1y)) in the middle of 2023 when it did a double bottom against CRYPTOCAP:BTC and recently with CRYPTOCAP:XRP ($2.62 - 323.88% return (1y)) in early November, both outperforming BTC ($106,726.68 - 155.86% return (1y)) this year.
Source vid: The EXACT Date You Should Go ALL IN on Altcoins! at 42:00
BTC Dominance
When BTC's dominance rises relative to other cryptocurrencies, ppl often shift into BTC in search of stability, aiming to capture the secure upside that altcoins may not provide. During this period of increasing BTC dominance, altcoins can bleed or just go sidewaves while BTC goes up, meaning their value decreases in relation to BTC. But, these altcoins I'm gonna show you seem to have double bottomed against their BTC pair and it might be the start of a huge upside in the USD pair too.
Double Bottom Pattern
The double bottom pattern indicates that selling pressure has bottomed out and can signal a bullish move. Recognizing this pattern in the context of BTC dominance offers a valuable setup and great expectations for price since it tends to follow an upside movement.
So🤔¿Are you wondering which AltCoins have a similar setup? 👀
I just wanted to point out coins in the Top 30, while all crypto market implies risk, the ones in this top 30 have high marketcap and are well known projects so you're kinda in safer.
Chainlink ( CRYPTOCAP:LINK )
Avalanche ( CRYPTOCAP:AVAX )
AAVE ( CRYPTOCAP:AAVE )
DOGE ( CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ) Doge is already on the move but it has the checkbox, could go higher in this pair
Which ones are on the way to get this setup?
CRYPTOCAP:NEAR AMEX:APT CRYPTOCAP:DOT CRYPTOCAP:ADA - All these 4 are on the way to get it, but remember it's just a good setup IT DOES NOT MEAN they're not gonna go up in the altseason cuz they're probably still gonna do it since they're really big L1's. One thing for sure that has been talked about it's the concern that we had like a mini altseason and ofc we can't say for sure it's coming the big one, but BTC 4 year cycles has repeated till this date so it might come anyway.
That's it for the post, these are the top 30 altcoins that could outperform BTC from now, thank you for your time and remember DYOR (Do your own research)
The Calm Before the Altcoin Storm: Prepare for the Biggest Run!!#Bitcoin Dominance Update:**
Bitcoin dominance has started to dump, breaking the support that has held since November 2022. It faced rejection at a long-term resistance level, which has been a key barrier since May 2017.
Historically, when this happens, we’ve seen alt season kick-off and last for 6 to 8 months.
When does the real alt season begin?**
It starts when ETH/BTC begins pumping, and other altcoins follow suit.
Trending Narratives for the Next Few Months:
🚀 AI
🚀 RWA (Real World Assets)
🚀 Memecoins (MEMES)
🚀 Layer 1s (L1)
These sectors are likely to perform exceptionally well. The key is to position yourself early and buy any dips. This is how you build generational wealth this season!
What to Buy?
Make sure you follow me and join all my socials!
I’ll be sharing the top altcoin picks over the next few weeks.
Stay tuned and let’s make it happen !🚀
Please hit that like button if you like it and share your views in the comments section.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC/USDT SHORT TERM TARGET AND IMPORTANT SUPPORT LEVELS!!!Bitcoin's surge towards $112,000 excites investors, but caution is warranted. Strong weekly closes fuel optimism, yet corrections loom. Support levels at $92,690, $92,551, $83,470, and $74,541 offer potential buying opportunities. The 5EMA suggests short-term strength, with prices above the moving average.
However, this rally presents a problem for altcoins. Bitcoin's non-bearish dominance stifles their growth potential. Typically, altcoins thrive when Bitcoin's dominance wanes or stabilizes. This creates a dilemma for diversified crypto portfolios.
The solution? Monitor Bitcoin's dominance closely. A shift could spark altcoin momentum. Meanwhile, focus on Bitcoin's journey, using support levels as guideposts. If breached, watch $55,017 for a possible trend reversal. Adapt strategies as market dynamics unfold.