Two Ideal Scenarios for AltsThe weekly uptrend was lost, it is showing some signs of exhaustion, and may correct soon in a way that could be beneficial to alts.
Scenario # 1 - Bitcoin Dom gets stopped for the 3rd time at 54.1%, and moves down to make a final / higher low above 48.7 (still a lower low from its recent weekly low). Then it turns up hard to break through 54.1 on its 4th attempt after showing strength above 48.7-50%.
- this situation means a more immediate run for alts, but it won't last nearly as long and btc will quickly dominate again.
Scenario # 2 - we see a temporary break above 54.1 that goes near the center of weekly resistance and the bottom of the white diagonal trendline drawn on the chart. It gets rejected here and then follows the same path as Scenario 1 from there.
- alts would have to wait a bit longer to get a slightly longer and stronger run vs. btc before it dominates again.
Note that it is also possible that dominance turning down just means a correction for the market, instead.
Btcdominance
Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D in Englisdh and French
Bitcoin Dominance chart ( BTC.D)
It exaplains itself really but the ALT Season, where ETH based and other "ALT Coins" run better than Bitcoin, has historicaly run AFTER the Halving and is shown on the chart as GREEN areas.
These are the 2 main ALT SEASONS we have seen.
After Halving, The Bitcoin PA ( price ) tends to flatten out ( on average) for a whioe..this allows the ALTS to push higher but after a while, the BTC Price beginsd to accelerate.
It will be very interesting to see if this happens again this cycle.
Graphique de domination Bitcoin ( BTC.D)
Cela s'explique vraiment, mais la saison ALT, où les pièces basées sur l'ETH et d'autres « pièces ALT » fonctionnent mieux que Bitcoin, s'est historiquement déroulée APRÈS la réduction de moitié et est affichée sur le graphique sous forme de zones VERTES.
Ce sont les 2 principales SAISONS ALT que nous avons vues.
Après la réduction de moitié, le Bitcoin PA (prix) a tendance à s'aplatir (en moyenne) pendant un certain temps... cela permet à l'ALTS de pousser plus haut, mais après un certain temps, le prix BTC commence à accélérer.
Il sera très intéressant de voir si cela se reproduit ce cycle.
BTC.D : ALT SEASON = Dominance Hi Guys ,
Bitcoin dominance chart shows that it has been in an ascending channel for a long time and after hitting the ceiling of the channel, it is now ready to fall with the change of structure. We can expect a good altcoin season.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 19/FEB /24
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
USDT.DTeather dominance is used as gauge to inverse the prices of CRYPTOCAP:BTC & #altcoins. When CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D drops it is bullish for the entire crypto space and when it pumps it is bearish.
Right now the downtrend is breaking below a channel that I have marked off since 2018. That means this channel has been in play 6 years. Right now the candles are breaking below the bottom TL in what I have labeled a 5 wave bearish declining sequence. The significance of this is move is important.
The bottom TL has been the top of all bull markets since 2018 and we are currently breaking below that level with no real support in sight until 4% then 2%. This means that the bears have officially lost. It's game over now. Bull market is here and it looks big since this channel has been bear market support since 2018.
BigMike loves you all let the party begin.
BTC.D 1DIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to check the situation of BTC's capital domination over the rest of the market. We will start by identifying the downtrend channel where we can see that the chart is moving.
Looking at the current growth, it is worth spreading the trend based fib extension grid, thanks to which we can determine significant resistance at the level of 53%, and further significant resistance at the level of 54.47%.
It is worth looking at the EMA Cross 10 and 30 indicator here, because you can see on the chart how the red line 10 is approaching the intersection of the green line 30 from below, which may give an impulse for another increase and taking capital from the market.
Looking the other way, we can designate supports in a similar way. And here you can see how strong support at the level of 51% maintained the decline, but it is still worth keeping in mind the level of 50.19%.
When we look at the RSI indicator, we will see that we are staying below the downward trend line, with some room left. However, the STOCH indicator remains above the upper limit, which should lead to a change in the trend and the transfer of capital to the rest of the market.
BTC.D WILL NEVER REACH 58% EVER AGAIN AND/OR HOLD IT.The statement is made to stablish what I believe is obvious, but considering what I've been learning from all on CT, this is my opinion of course, not financial advice.
BTC market share around 10T Total Market Cap would reach maybe 3.3 on present cycle, where ETH may reach 1.1 with SOL.D above it by small % maybe reaching 14% on a very tiny window.
All behaviour of Altcoins Dominance regardas past cycles is suggestion the market share is going to expand (logic) and the race would be to hold above 10% and for BTC to hold AND sustain, above 25%.
I Believe BTC will touch the base of the Fib Channel, around 14% meanwhile the window closes and the market shuffle is over.
Happy Harvest.
USDT : Breaking away from the downtrend by increasing the gapHello traders!
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(USDT chart)
(1D chart)
It appears that the gap decline that started on January 19th has stopped and a larger gap rise has occurred.
Due to this gap increase, the reported price (ATH) was renewed again.
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(USDC chart)
It is still on the rise.
The key is whether USDC can continue its gap upward trend above 26.525B.
I believe that the gap between USDT and USDC shows the inflow and outflow of funds into the coin market.
Therefore, the gap rise can be interpreted as funds flowing into the coin market.
Since the movements of USDT or USDC through transactions are expressed as candles, I think the occurrence of gaps should be distinguished.
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(BTC.D chart)
You need to check in which direction it deviates from the 51.17-51.98 section.
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(USDT.D chart)
(1D chart)
USDT dominance is entering a period of volatility from January 22-27.
Accordingly, after the volatility period has passed, you need to check which direction it deviates based on the 5.89-6.39 range.
When a gap rises in USDT, a gap rise in USDT dominance also occurs.
Accordingly, USDT or USDT dominance is likely to show an upward trend.
However, USDT dominance can be seen decreasing through trading.
A decline in USDT dominance means that buying power has increased through many transactions in the USDT market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance falls, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
Even though USDT is renewing its new high (ATH), USDT dominance overall is showing a downward trend.
In order for this downward trend to turn into an upward trend, it is expected that it will have to rise above 7.14.
The most important question is whether the coin market becomes more active and more transactions occur, leading to a continued downward trend in USDT dominance.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Comprehensive analysis : short-term decline in fundsHello traders!
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Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
(1D chart)
The most recent decline was on August 8, 2023.
Before that, a precursor to a downward trend occurred starting on June 18th.
Currently, the gap has begun to decline since January 19th and has fallen below the HA-High indicator.
If the gap decreases due to this movement and falls below the MS-Signal indicator, it is expected to record a downward trend for a while.
(1M charts)
However, this decline is likely to be a short-term adjustment of about a month, such as in August 2023.
In order to record the downward trend that started in May 2022, large gap declines must occur in succession, so we still need to monitor the situation.
Therefore, I don't think there is any need to have much fear just yet.
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(USDC chart)
While USDT has begun to gap down, USDC continues to gap up.
If the gap continues to rise above 26.525B, it is expected that USDC will likely continue its upward trend.
I believe that this gap increase is evidence that funds are flowing into the coin market.
Therefore, it is expected that a new market will begin to change hands.
This is because USDC is viewed as a leading funding channel for American investment institutions and investors.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT chart)
(1W chart)
The main question from this week will be whether there is support or resistance near the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart.
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart was created at 42141.24.
Therefore, if the price is maintained above the 42141.24-43823.59 range, you can be considered to be at the starting line of the major upward trend.
Therefore, it corresponds to a major bull market, that is, a buying period for a full-fledged uptrend.
It is the movement of altcoins that allows us to piecemeal know whether these movements are correct.
All you have to do is check whether the altcoins show signs of rising in unison when they rise above the 42141.24-43823.59 range.
(BTC.D chart)
As mentioned in the USDT explanation above, this decline is expected to last about a month in the short term, so we need to check whether the BTC dominance rises by more than 61% or falls below 50%.
In order for a major bull market to begin, it is expected that BTC dominance must rise by more than 61% and then begin to decline.
This is because it is expected that an altcoin bull market will begin when BTC dominance falls below 50%.
Therefore, if the BTC price maintains the price above the 42141.24-43823.59 range and the BTC dominance rises by more than 61% and then begins to fall, the coin market is expected to begin a major bull market.
A major bull market refers to a bull market in which most coins (tokens) are likely to renew their all-time highs (ATH).
An altcoin bull market refers to a bull market in which you can make a profit no matter which altcoin you buy.
--------------------------------------
It is said that price and volume are important when trading in the stock market, and in fact they are important.
However, trading volume in the coin market has less meaning than in the stock market.
This is because trading volume is spread across multiple exchanges.
Therefore, I believe that transaction volume in the coin market should be judged by the flow of funds.
Therefore, I believe that the gap between USDT and USDC has important implications.
Changes in USDT or USDC due to transactions are expressed as candles.
Therefore, the inflow and outflow of funds is expressed as the occurrence of a gap.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
#BTCD #BITCOIN #DOMINANCE #Crypto #Market #DUMP #Soon #Eddy#BTCD #BITCOIN #DOMINANCE #Crypto #Market #DUMP #Soon #Eddy
(("My analysis of BTCD"BITCOIN DOMINANCE" is like this, from my point of view, it is possible to track the position of short selling transactions on most currencies in the market."))
- What do you think? Have you checked BTCD in this time frame? Write me in the comments!
- My confirmations are based on Wykoff's review of Bitcoin in multi-time frame, as well as Bitcoin and Tether's Dominance review.
Its about Wyckoff ;-)
Also My Short Setup is Activated ;-) (( BTC/USD )) latest published chart link :
BTC DOMINANCE READY TO FLY !!!HELLO TRADERS !!!
As i can see BTC.D has hold the strong support zone its time to load you bags for a new bull run rally after a small retrace EFT got approved and many big companies and banks are soon getting in this digital money system..... Its just an trade idea for incoming BTC rally Stay Tuned for more updates .............
BTC DominanaceHello everyone, I invite you to every Friday's review of the leading cryptocurrencies, let's start by checking the situation regarding BTC's dominance over the rest of the market. We will start by defining, using the yellow line, a local upward trend that was dynamically interrupted by a sudden capital flow.
Moving forward, we will unfold the Fib Retracement mesh to check potential support locations. And here we can see that even the level of 0.618 golden FIB point was quickly broken, and currently the closest support is at 51%. However, if this support is broken, we may observe further capital flow and, consequently, a return to the area of the next important support at the level of 48.47%.
When we unfold the fib retracement in the second direction, we can mark the main resistance zone from 54.45% to 55.37%, which effectively stops the inflow of capital into BTC.
We can also switch to a one-day time frame, and after zooming out the chart, we can determine the main downward trend line using the white line.
BTC.D at its support. May rise soon, Alts dump is expected!BTC Dominance is at its major support and is expected to rise soon from this level, if this happens then we will witness a major drop in alt coins from 20% to 50% retracement.
major drop in some coins like MATIC, XRP, FTM, DYDX, LUNA could be seen in few days.
2023 Key Resistance for BTCThe price of bitcoin rose to start the week, extending gains from the previous week helped by optimism about a bitcoin exchange-traded fund and a flight to safety.
Treasury bonds interest rates are also retreating from their recent highs.
Bitcoin was trading about 5% higher at $ 31'518, according to Monday trades, and coming off its best week since June. It has touched $30,000 at several points in 2023 but has struggled to sustain that level or move meaningfully higher with the U.S. regulatory crackdown on crypto weighing on liquidity and trading volumes.
Investors are expecting the approval of a bitcoin ETF to change that between the end of the year and the first half of 2024. Several firms have also amended their filings in the past couple weeks to address earlier concerns by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which investors are taking as a positive sign that the agency is engaging positively with the firms.
This publication is quick and simple as well as all other articles by @Pandorra
Patience.. Patience.. and once again Patience..
52-weeks highs resistance is very important, and in case of breaking out, it can open an opportunity to further upside price action, to BITSTAMP:BTCUSD historical highs.
ETHBTC LongI think ETHBTC has bottomed, if not will bottom this month.
that in turn means that BTC.D has topped
which means alts will have more legroom.
Can go on binance and long the ETHBTC Perp in futures.. best average entry is .0513 with daily SSL (soft stop loss) on .04949
Could be more than a couple years until we see ETHBTC or BTC.D at these levels.
📈BTC.D analysis, ready to pullback📉CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Hello Traders, please check out my previous ideas.
As indicated in the chart, Bitcoin Dominance can return to the yellow range, near the pitchfork midline.
BTC.D can reach Bollinger-midline then starts its downward trend.
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CrazyS✌
BTC.D up, ALTS downBTC.D is made a retest but failed to create a lower low, instead given a break and close above of the Resistance Area. Alts were dumping aggressively right now, as #BTC make short-term aggressive moves, and money started flowing into it. Dominance Reached towards the Resistance area of 54.5%. Still, there's index reached area, so alts will react and might jump a little bit.
Bitcoin is reminding us who’s the KING
BTC grinding towards 45k while ETH stays at 2250
BTC dom keep going up after testing weekly EMA200 while sucking alts blood
ETHBTC about to break down
ETF or not, make sure you have enough exposure to BTC instead of 100% alts
Alts will have there time when BTC dom hits ~57%
Look for pairs that go strong against BTC not USDT
BTC.D (W)
Inverse ETHBTC (2W)
HAPPY TRADING!
BTCD - Triple Bottom - TIME TO SWITCH ALTS TO BITCOINThe Triple Bottom has emerged in BTC.D. A Triple Bottom is a reversal pattern so I would suggest if you are holding Alts, turn it to BTC.
What is Triple bottom?
The triple bottom is formed after a period of a downtrend and is formed after the price movement of the stock went lower three times, but found support each time around the same level.
After the third bounce off of the support level and then a break through the resistance level, the trend reverses and the stock moves higher.
If you find any value in this idea, give it a thumbs up!
Ehsan.F