BTC Dominance 1D IntervalHello everyone, I invite you to checking the current situation of BTC's Dominance over the rest of the cryptocurrency market. At the beginning, we will mark the downtrend with the yellow line, which ended with an uptrend and a transition to the uptrend channel indicated with the help of the blue lines. As we can see, we have a sideways breakout from the channel, at this point it is worth watching whether we will see a return to the designated channel or a larger downward move.
When we turn on the EMA Cross 200, we see that the opmination is still above the 200 trailing, which confirms that it remains in a strong uptrend.
Going further, we can use the trend based fib extension tool to determine support on the chart and here we will first mark the visible support zone from 48.56% to 47.42%, then support at 46.30%, and then the second strong support zone from 44.68% to 42.61%.
Looking the other way, we will similarly mark the zones that should be a significant resistance in taking over the market dominance and here in the first place there is a strong resistance zone from 52.05% to $ 54.04, when we leave it above we will move towards the second zone from 55, 62% to 57.21%.
Please note the CHOP index which indicates that the collected energy is used to decrease dominance, on the RSI we have a return to the lower part of the range, however looking at the STOCH index we can see that the energy indicates impending depletion which may slow down further decline.
Btcdominance
BITCOIN DOMINANCE(BTC.D) will go down.
* 1D
The long-term upward trend line has been broken.
Therefore, the possibility of further declines seems high.
First of all, the important point is whether the 48.80% range, which is an important support line, is broken.
If this section is broken, it is likely to continue to fall.
Based on this, Alts bull market is coming.
A rise above 83.318B with a gap signals a trend reversalHello?
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(USDT chart)
What is important in the market cap chart is whether a gap has occurred.
In a market that operates 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, the occurrence of a gap means that funds are moving rapidly.
In that sense, I think the rise in the gap is the basis for the inflow of new funds.
On the contrary, I believe that the gap decline is evidence that funds have flowed out of the coin market.
Accordingly, the key is whether the gap can rise above 83.318B.
I do not think that the movement of candlesticks has much to do with the inflow and outflow of funds on the basis that trading is actively taking place.
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(USDC chart)
The gap is showing an increase above 26.143B.
The key is whether the gap can rise above the HA-Low indicator (26.212B) on the 1D chart and be maintained.
What is important is whether this gap increase can serve as an opportunity to change the trend.
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(BTC.D chart)
BTC dominance is located around 50.
It can be interpreted that funds were moved from the altcoin side to BTC.
This trend is expected to continue until around 61-68.
This trend is expected to take place due to the BTC Halving next year.
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(USDT.D chart)
If it shows support around 8.03, it is expected to renew the new high (ATH).
The section that begins to be considered a bullish market will be felt as it falls below 6.6.
Accordingly, what you should focus on now is BTC or ETH.
Since altcoins have fallen a lot now, you might think that if you buy now and wait, you can make big profits.
However, the waiting is quite tedious and dangerous.
This is because psychological anxiety can increase due to fear of not knowing when the trend will turn to an upward trend.
Therefore, below BTC 29K, you need to focus on BTC or ETH and increase the number of coins you hold.
Also, it is a good idea to make the first purchase of a coin (token) among altcoins that you think is worth trading in the mid to long term.
The reason for making the first purchase is so that you can feel the price changes directly.
Secondary buying of altcoins can begin when BTC rises above 32K.
However, secondary purchases of altcoins can be made slowly since the range is currently quite large, up to 43K.
In order to trade, we need to have a trading strategy in mind.
As mentioned above, this trading strategy must be gradually developed into a detailed trading strategy based on a mid- to long-term trading strategy.
What is important here is that the mid- to long-term perspective, that is, the big-picture trading strategy, should not change.
This is because if you frequently change the big picture trading strategy and are unable to match the detailed strategy accordingly, you may proceed with trading in the wrong direction.
Day trading is a good trading method in that respect.
However, day trading may be less profitable than mid- to long-term trading, so it is recommended to combine it with mid- to long-term trading.
The obvious coins for mid- to long-term transactions are BTC or ETH.
So, I am saying that the current position is a time to focus on BTC or ETH.
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** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
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BTC Dominance: is a (small) drop in dominance coming?Did a short (Fib-)analyses on bitcoin dominance (BTC.D).
Marked out the bigger yearly, quarterly and monthly levels as well.
Bitcoin dominance has been in an upward trending channel for about 45 weeks.
Just recently it fell through the bottom of the channel.
It is now below the former weekly support level and the former Low of Week level.
I've drawn a downward trendline (dotted white) that seems to be forming.
Is a (small) drop in dominance coming. And if so, are we falling back to ca. 44%.
That would mean a drop of 12%.
Too early to call altseason, but I'm keeping my eye on the dominance the coming days and weeks.
BTC Dominance: Overbought Altcoins and Reversion to the MeanWith many altcoins appearing overbought in relation to Bitcoin (BTC), as evidenced by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) across multiple timeframes and lengths, there is a strong possibility of a reversion to the mean (a BTC Dominance bounce up from around the physiological 50% level).
Most often it is argued to not use the RSI as an oversold/overbought indicator but I have always found it very useful when used in confluence with many lengths and timeframes, as a mean reversion indicator. (as seen in this chart)
Although I don't have a predefined profit target or stop-loss in this scenario, the chart suggests a potential reversion to the mean for BTC gaining strength over the rest of the cryptocurrencies.
Significant volatility period: starting around September 6hello?
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(USDT chart)
It touched around 82.959B on the falling candlestick.
Therefore, the rise and fall of candlesticks that do not gap should be interpreted as triggering trades.
That's why you don't have to be afraid of falling candlesticks.
What you should be afraid of is when it drops, creating a gap.
This is because it is seen as a phenomenon of outflow of funds from the coin market.
Around August 7th, we can see that funds have flowed out of the coin market as the gap down begins.
When the take profit period is over, we expect it to start moving sideways and then start to rise.
I don't think there will be a downturn in the coin market unless USDT falls below 80.986B.
However, there is only a slight pain in waiting.
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(USDC chart)
USDC is likely to be funds from US-based investment companies or institutions.
Therefore, when USDC shows an upward trend, I think good news will start to come from the US side.
If the gap rises above 26.525B and is maintained, good news is likely to emerge.
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(BTC.D chart)
Altcoins are bouncing as BTC dominance falls below 50.
However, it is only exciting, but it seems to be returning to its original place.
Therefore, in order to trade altcoins, a quick response is required through day trading or short-term trading.
I think the section where you start to think that the pumping of altcoins has started is when it drops below the 47.64-48.81 section.
The pumping of these altcoins is highly likely to cause a strong downtrend in the coin market soon, so caution is required.
In order to welcome a proper altcoin bull market, BTC dominance must rise above at least 55.01 and then start to decline.
For now, I expect it to rise to around 61.73-68.72.
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(USDT.D chart)
A big rise occurred as it rose above 7.14-7.39.
An increase in USDT dominance means that the coin market is likely to go down.
If it remains above 8.12, it is expected to renew the new high (ATH).
Unless USDT dominance shows a decline, the coin market as a whole will draw a downward trend.
(1D chart)
Accordingly, it is expected that it will be important how it behaves during the volatility period between about 6th and 16th September.
At this time, if it does not fall below the minimum of 7.62, USDT dominance is expected to maintain an upward trend in the end, so caution is required.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** The trading volume indicator is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
Display method (in order of boldest)
More than 3x 10EMA trading volume > 2.5x > 2.0x > 1.25x > trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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Bitcoin Dominance: Key Insights for TradersGreetings dear traders, let's analyze Bitcoin Dominance chart!
The Bitcoin Dominance chart is currently perched just above the crucial 49% mark, a pivotal level recognized for its significance as both support and resistance over the long term.
Delving deeper into the analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reveals an intriguing development—a notable oversold signal. This could potentially be indicative of an impending price rebound.
Zooming out, our attention is drawn to the nearest resistance point, situated around the downtrend channel resistance. This obstacle aligns closely with the 50% dominance threshold. The convergence of these factors presents a compelling scenario: a potential rebound from this resistance could spark altcoin season.
🎯BTC in full season nowAlmost a year ago I called the b eginning of winter time for altcoins -
While we needed the FTX crash to start the process, Bitcoin dominance has reached the first target of 48% few months ago and even pushed higher for a while just to retrace back to same level recently.
In all this time the dominance continued to put in higher highs and higher lows.
I strongly believe that we are still in the middle of the altcoin reckoning process and still expect Bitcoin's dominance to move higher and reach 58% in the upcoming months.
What's worth noting is that TOTAL2 (all crypto except BTC) minus stablecoins is in a downtrend since January '22.
Considering the last cycle's pivots and evolution, and including this cycle's Fibonacci areas, I expect TOTAL2 minus stablecoins to bottom in the same area as 4 years ago, albeit a bit later. This, in my opinion, is due to the excessive monetary mass that is currently still circulating in the markets.
However, as the bear market continues, liquidity is moved from more risky assets to less risky assets. For crypto, this means money flows back from very risky alts -> to less risky alts -> to ETH -> to BTC.
Special mention about ETH - while it seems to be holding really well for the last year, if history is of any relevance we will see it crumble under Bitcoin's domination in the next 6 months. Currently ETH's USD pair is testing the uptrend line that was built from June through November last year. However, on the BTC pair ETH has been putting lower highs all the way since January '22. It's only a matter of time until it will retest previous supports.
So what does this all mean for you?
Firstly , stay away from altcoins for a while . Look at their BTC pair and acknowledge when they bottom against it - only then it becomes worthwhile to consider switching to / buying that altcoin.
Secondly , if you are knees deep into altcoins, consider switching them for Bitcoin . As they deteriorate against BTC you will be able to switch back to them getting a bigger share.
Thirdly , if you consider ETH to be a good investment today, also consider the greater risk you expose yourself to - ETH's valuation against BTC is still pretty high and it's more likely that it will revisit previous lows. Waiting for ETH to bottom against BTC will give you a greater risk to reward ratio.
💎 Looking forward for your questions below. If this idea provided you value, follow for more.
The Key Is Whether USDT Can Convert To Gap RiseHello?
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(USDT chart)
We need to see if it can rise above 83.333B.
If not,
1st: 82.959B
2nd: 81.839B
You need to make sure that it is supported in the vicinity of the 1st and 2nd above.
(USDC chart)
We need to see if it can rise above 26.525B.
(BTC.D chart)
We need to see if it can fall below 47.64-48.81.
(USDT.D chart)
Regardless of whether the size of funds changes or where the flow of funds is concentrated, the most important thing is that USDT dominance must decline.
Otherwise, the coin market cannot continue its upward trend.
If USDT dominance remains above 8.12, it is expected to renew the new high (ATH).
Therefore, the key question is whether a decline can be achieved around 7.14-7.39.
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(USDT 1D chart)
After gapping down around June 17th, BTC surged.
It remains to be seen if funds flow into the coin market through USDT after this drop.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** The trading volume indicator is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
Display method (in order of boldest)
More than 3x 10EMA trading volume > 2.5x > 2.0x > 1.25x > trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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Unlocking the Potential Bitcoin's Dominance could DecreaseIn the world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin has always held a commanding position as the pioneer and leader. However, recent market dynamics have signaled a notable shift in the landscape, with Bitcoin's dominance could drop from 53% to 43%. This could open the doors for altcoins to shine
Volatility occurs in funds in the coin markethello?
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(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
(BTC.D 1D chart)
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The volatility shown 2 days ago has been corrected and appears to be displayed correctly.
In this way, market cap charts are often displayed properly after at least 1-2 days have elapsed.
- USDT turned from falling to rising,
- USDC is still on a downtrend,
- BTC dominance shifted from gap down to up,
- USDT dominance also shifted from falling to rising in the gap.
We believe that gaps in the USDT and USDC charts are caused by the inflow or outflow of funds into the coin market.
BTC dominance and USDT dominance can also cause gaps.
However, the dominance chart believes that trends are more important than the occurrence of gaps.
Accordingly,
The upward trend in BTC dominance means that the money in the coin market is concentrating towards BTC.
When funds are concentrated towards BTC
1. When funds are concentrated as the BTC price rises
2. If the BTC price falls, but the fall of the altcoin is greater than the fall
Cases 1 and 2 above.
Therefore, I believe that BTC dominance shows the movement of funds in altcoins rather than movements in BTC.
Therefore, it can be inferred that BTC dominance must be in a downtrend to buy an altcoin.
BTC dominance is expected to rise to around 61.73 from a mid- to long-term perspective, so caution is required when trading altcoins.
USDT dominance must show an unconditional downward trend, so the coin market as a whole is likely to show an upward trend.
Therefore, it is time to start trading when USDT dominance begins to decline.
No matter how much the USDT dominance continues to rise, it creates waves, so trading is possible according to the waves.
Currently, USDT dominance is showing a rise above 7.14-7.39.
So, a support around 7.39 could lead to a rise above 8.12.
Changes in the trend of the coin market are expected as we have seen changes in the money in the coin market.
We would appreciate it if you could refer to the BTC chart description for the timing of the change.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** The trading volume indicator is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
Display method (in order of boldest)
More than 3x 10EMA trading volume > 2.5x > 2.0x > 1.25x > trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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BTC Dominance BTC Dominance
The 52% level is a critical critical resistance level.
I shared this chart many months ago and this is an updated one. Its interesting that RSI continues to let us know when a pull back is likely.
It is a very simple chart but it might explain the current price action, we can still threaten the 52% very quickly at any stage but something tells me it might take a fair but of pressure to break through it.
PUKA
BTC Dominance - RSI is under the trendline - ALT SEASON?Let me dream a little!
You can see the BTC.D chart has broken down on the RSI and is under the trendline.
This trendline acts as a resistance if price goes back to it.
Could the Bitcoin dominance have topped at 52%?
I would LOVE to think so!
Ben Cowen is expecting dominance to reach 60% before ALTS start outperforming BTC.
Maybe... Time will tell!
📈BTC.D analysis, ready to fall below the📉CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Hello Traders, please check out my previous ideas.
As indicated in the chart, Bitcoin Dominance can return to the yellow range before moving upwards.
✌💥If you are satisfied with my analytical content, please share my ideas💥✌
✍🐱👤Otherwise, make sure you leave comments and let me know what you think.🐱👤✍
🤑🍾Thank you for your support. I hope you will gain profit by following my analyses.🍾🤑
CrazyS✌
USDT is looking to enter a new phaseHello?
Traders, welcome.
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Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day.
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(USDT chart)
The OBV, indicated by the 'Vol & Trend' indicator, is about to turn from buying to selling.
Therefore, the possibility of volatility in the coin market is increasing.
Similar to the present situation,
It looks similar to the chart above.
Therefore, if USDT starts to decline, it is expected to show a similar flow to the previous chart when it is supported and rises around 82.959B-83.333B.
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(USDC chart)
If USDC remains below 26.129B or continues to fall, it is expected that a crisis in investment products or stocks related to the stock market will occur.
Therefore, caution is required if you are investing in investment products or items that are related to the stock market and coin market.
Since the funds leading the coin market are likely to be funds inflow through USDT, the continued decline in USDC is not expected to have a significant impact on the coin market.
However, since USDC's continued decline causes the stock market and the coin market to separate, the coin market itself is highly likely to show a different look from the stock market.
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(BTC.D chart)
It is expected that BTC dominance should fall below 47.64-48.80 for the altcoin bull market to start.
Therefore, when BTC dominance shows a decline until then, quick trading is needed from a short-term and day trading perspective.
BTC dominance is expected to rise in the 56.78-61.73 range and form a new trend afterwards.
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(USDT.D chart)
USDT dominance is rising above the 6.85-7.27 range.
Therefore, the coin market is more likely to show a downward trend.
A large trend in the coin market is expected to form when USDT dominance breaks out of the 6.21-8.25 zone.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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HBAR To Gain in Crypto Market DominanceHBAR's market dominance looks like it wants to move towards 0.9 -> 1%. This would be a pretty massive increase in its position in the crypto total market.
Weekly dominance has held around the same levels for quite some time now, with a previous breakout that moved back down to support. It has since broken out a 2nd time.
RSI and MACD indicated this divergence before it occurred, and MACD has recently flipped green.
The overall weekly trend can be placed within a parallel channel, in which its move back up from support began at channel bottom. This could mean HBAR dominance is about to move back towards the top of its channel, gaining significantly in market dominance - up to approximately 450%.
It is possible we see HBAR making a move to take its place within the top 10-20 cryptocurrencies in marketcap and market dominance.
Also, a strong chance we at least see a move back towards the center of the channel above, which would still approach 230%
Keep an eye on CRYPTOCAP:HBAR
TOTAL2 Hi Folks,
What is TOTAL2?
🔺For our new members:
--Total: It is the data that shows the total value of the entire cryptocurrency market.
--Total2: It is the data that shows the total value of all altcoins (excluding Bitcoin).
🔺Our Total2 data reached a record high of $1.70 trillion during the previous rally, followed by a sell-off wave that led to a drop to a local low of $435 billion.
🔺During this period, we witnessed many altcoins being delisted from the market or experiencing drpos of up to 90% in value, which was quite painful to watch.
🔺Technically speaking, we can say that this data set, which broke the downtrend, exhibited a consolidation performance in the first half of 2023.
🔺While tracking TOTAL2, we should not forget about stablecoins. It would be overly optimistic to say that the money exiting Bitcoin will flow into altcoins because we are currently not in a "bull rally" phase. The money leaving Bitcoin can also enter stablecoins.
🔺In the previous paragraph, I want to convey the following: It is now overly optimistic to say that if BTC.D (Bitcoin dominance) decreases, altcoins will rise. The money leaving Bitcoin may enter stablecoins, which could cause an increase in the TOTAL2 data, but it does not necessarily mean that altcoins will increase.
Things to Know Before Investing
🔺In the second part of this article, we will discuss what needs to be known before making investments.
🔺First and foremost, we are currently in a consolidation zone from a technical standpoint, as you can see on the chart. The decisions of the Federal Reserve (Fed) will directly affect this consolidation process. Especially on the day this article was written, there is an 80% probability of a 0.25 basis point interest rate hike at the next Fed meeting.
🔺Even if the Fed ends the interest rate hike process, experts predict that interest rates will remain high until 2024, and 10-year bond yields are already above 3.50%. While interest rates are at such high levels, it is still too early to expect a significant bull season for risk assets.
🔺As if the Fed alone is not enough trouble, we also have the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) going after altcoins. In recent days, the SEC filed lawsuits against both Binance US and Coinbase. However, to understand these lawsuits most simply, it is necessary to look at the Ripple case, which has been fighting against the SEC for years. The outcome of this case is likely to set a precedent.
🔺There is one important thing not to be forgotten: Even ETH was distributed/sold at very cheap prices to raise the necessary funds during its initial sale (approximately 16%). Unfortunately, this harsh reality exists for altcoins, and unreliable projects are prone to failure. Bitcoin, on the other hand, stands apart from altcoins as it never had an initial sale. We will address this topic again in another article.
Technical Data
🔺Altcoins haven't died; they are struggling to survive and providing buy-and-sell opportunities with high-profit margins to investors who use the right channels.
🔺Looking at TOTAL2, we can see that the downtrend was broken in January 2023, and it is consolidating and gathering strength before the next bull rally.
🔺$1.06 trillion is a critical pivot (fib 0.5). If there are closing prices above this level, we can say that the bull market has arrived. Otherwise, it will still present reasonable profit opportunities but will remain a reaction rally.
🔺Additionally, during the 2017-2018 rally, there were around 1,000 (let's leave the exact number to those who remember) altcoins, whereas currently there are over 25,000 altcoins. Choosing the right altcoin is crucial when there is a significant amount of money in the market. The number of slices in the cake has increased at least 25 times.
🔺Currently, the TOTAL2 data is testing the "AlphaTrend Sell Zone" resistance at $540 billion. If there are no closing prices above this level, selling pressure could increase.
🔺While the MACD generates buy signals, the RSI is struggling to break the 50-point resistance on the daily chart. If the RSI can close above 50 points, we can anticipate an acceleration in the upward momentum; otherwise, we expect increased selling pressure.
Bonus Chart 1: BTC.D 1W
🔺Bitcoin dominance continues to increase. Closing prices above 50.15 points can push Bitcoin dominance up to 54 points, which is expected to hinder the strengthening of the TOTAL2 data.
Bonus Chart 2: BTC.D vs ETH.D (Last 1 Month)
🔺In the past month, we witnessed Bitcoin dominance surpassing Ethereum dominance. But why?
🔺In its simplest form, we can say that the applications for spot ETFs for Bitcoin have played a role in this.
Dear reader, if you have read this far, I'm sure you have enjoyed it. You can give me feedback by liking and commenting. And if you happen to click on the share button, you can share this knowledge with people in your circle and together we can become stronger.
BTC Dominance ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation of BTC Dominance over the cryptocurrency market. first of all, we will mark the local downtrend channel in which we are moving, and what is more, we are approaching its upper limit.
Now we can move on to marking the places of support in the event of a correction. And here it is worth marking two support zones. The first zone starts at 49.88% and continues to 49.50%, then we have the second support zone from 48.87% to 48.45%.
Looking the other way, in a similar way using the fib retracement tool, we will mark the resistances that BTC dominance has to face, and here we first have resistance at 50.79%, then we have a strong resistance zone from 51.53% to 52, 11%, followed by resistance at 52.73% and further at 53.56%.
When we look at the RSI indicator, we see a strong increase and room for further upward movement, but the STOCH indicator gives information that the energy in this movement is running out, which may stop the current upward movement.
The key is whether USDT dominance can fall below 6.85-7.27hello?
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day.
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(USDT chart)
A rise in the gap broke the previous latest high.
USDT is renewing all-time highs.
(USDC chart)
If USDC continues to gap down below 26.129B, there could be problems with investment products launched for the coin.
Therefore, caution is required if you are investing in coin-related investment products released on the stock market.
(BTC.D chart)
It needs to fall below 47.64-48.80 to trigger an altcoin bull run.
If not, you need to be careful when trading altcoins.
For Altcoins, when BTC is below 29K, the first round of purchases will be made.
In the second round of buying, BTC buys in the 32K-43K range.
I think the time to buy in earnest is when BTC's HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is supported and trying to rise.
Depending on your investment period and trading strategy, short-term trading is possible by selling the first purchase in the second purchase period.
For reference, BTC dominance is expected to touch around 56.78-61.73.
(USDT.D chart)
During this volatility period of USDT dominance, around July 5th-August 2nd, it is finally showing a rise above 7.27.
In the big picture, USDT dominance is expected to break out of the 6.21-8.25 zone before a new trend is formed.
Therefore, it is likely to deviate from the 6.85-7.27 section and in the direction of movement.
For reference, USDT dominance must fall to indicate an upward trend in the coin market.
The next period of volatility is around August 21-28.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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