Supply & Demand for BTC.d <---> ETHBTCA notable change may be occurring in the market dynamics surrounding Bitcoin dominance, which reflects BTC’s share of the overall cryptocurrency market. Recently, it has displayed a shooting star candle, indicating a potential decline in BTC’s market influence. These signs point towards the beginning of an alt season, a time when alternative cryptocurrencies tend to outperform Bitcoin. With BTC stabilising around the significant $100k mark, the environment appears ripe for altcoins to attract investor interest. The upcoming weeks will be crucial in assessing whether this trend will gain traction, possibly transforming the market landscape for 2025.
Bitcoin experienced an impressive 2024, achieving new milestones and reinforcing its status as the market frontrunner. As we move into 2025, BTC remains robust, yet a shift in market dynamics may be imminent. Historically, Bitcoin’s dominance tends to wane when altcoins start to gain momentum, and this year might follow that pattern.
As Bitcoin finds stability around crucial price points, we often see liquidity shifting towards altcoins, sparking what many refer to as an alt season. Historically, during these times, altcoins tend to surpass Bitcoin in performance, offering significant returns for those investors ready to explore beyond BTC. With TOTAL3 approaching new price discovery and Bitcoin's dominance on the decline, the potential for altcoins to take center stage is becoming more apparent.
The crucial factor for BTC.d to unlock is how ETH performs against BTC. With the ETH/BTC ratio below 0.03, it appears appealing, but until it begins to rise, the alt season will be postponed. Alt season typically arises when Bitcoin dominance is high, not when it's low.
Typically, Bitcoin dominance tends to decrease in the years following a halving event. Therefore, I suspect that by the end of the year, dominance will be in the negative. However, up to this point, we have seen an increase in dominance this year.
Btcdominance
Are you watching closely?Don't listen to all those dramatic fools screaming and shouting at the top of their lungs so that you give up here. Would you dare to give up here?
Benjamin Cowen keeps crying stating he would prefer not to have a 2nd wave of inflation like it happened in the 70s because his children would suffer. Come now, while he's telling people he wishes for altcoins to die, technicals suggest otherwise.
This is the part where almost everyone gives up, will you give up?
I most certainly won't.
New ratio chart: $TOTAL2/$BTCToday we are looking at a new ratio chart where we plot the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 (Crypto market cap without Bitcoin) vs CRYPTOCAP:BTC market cap. As we see from the chart the ratio chart as we see is making lower lows and lower highs. ALTCOINS are bleeding against the CRYPTOCAP:BTC in this Crypto market cycle. The long-awaited ALTCOIN rally is still missing in this crypto market cycle.
With TVC:US10Y holding onto the 4.5% level there is very little respite from the pressure on the ALTCOIN market. The recent meltdown of the meme coin market is also adding pain to the $CRYPTOCAP:TOATAL2 Market cap.
If we plot the Fib retracement level from the top to the bottom in the ratio chart, then we see that the chart is @ 0.236 level. The chart pattern is not bullish, and it is still below the 0.236 Fib level. The chart is bearish and maybe the Ratio CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 / CRYPTOCAP:BTC touches 0.36. May be by then the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D @ 66% as predicted in my blog on 9th Feb 2025.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #8👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let's delve into the Bitcoin analysis. Today is Monday, the start of the week, so let's check out the weekly and daily timeframes for Bitcoin to see what happened last week and how the weekly candle closed.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
The scenario I mentioned before still stands in the weekly timeframe. If the price stabilizes below 93,419, we can expect further corrections. The initial correction targets remain at 82,000 and then 71,000, which are still relevant.
🔍 On the other hand, if the ATH area, which is a resistance at 105,000 in the weekly timeframe, is broken, the price could start its next bullish leg. If this resistance breaks, I will update the analysis as usual and include Bitcoin’s next ATH targets.
📊 The market volume is still decreasing. The candles are also becoming smaller and smaller. As you can see, last week's candle hardly showed any fluctuation, indicating very minimal price range.
✨ That covers everything for the Bitcoin analysis in the weekly timeframe. Since the RSI hasn't activated any triggers yet, it's better to move on to the daily timeframe to see what has happened there over the past seven days.
📅 Daily Timeframe
The main supports and resistances in the daily timeframe are at 92,470 and 106,212, unchanged from last week.
🧩 However, the change is in the support at 96,312, which I mentioned last week could be a good area for the price to form a higher low and move towards the ceiling. This support has slightly shifted and is now at 95,601, which is still a significant support for the price. If supported at this level, and if it forms a higher low relative to 92,470, the price could move towards the ceiling of 106,200. In this case, if it can form a higher ceiling, the likelihood of breaking 106,212 will increase.
🔼 The early trigger for opening a long position that we discussed last week worked out well, and in the daily timeframe, if the price can stabilize above 98,061, we can expect it to form a higher low and move towards the main resistance at 106,212.
💥 The market volume, as I mentioned in previous analyses, has decreased significantly and has reached its minimal possible state. When the market volume decreases, the chart can move more easily. So, again, as I mentioned in the previous analysis, be ready behind the chart in these few days because movements after such low-volume ranges can be very volatile and can help you open profitable positions.
⚡️ Now that we've reviewed the weekly and daily timeframes, let's move on to lower timeframes and identify suitable futures triggers.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
We have an expanding triangle in the four-hour timeframe, and the price has been reacting well to it. Yesterday, it was rejected from the triangle's ceiling, which could have provided a good position. I will show you this position in the one-hour timeframe.
👀 The support at 95,108 remains very important, and I suggest that if the price reaches this area and you want to break it, have a short position ready. For long positions, I still believe that the triangle's trendline must be broken from above, and in that case, the triggers at 98,482 and 99,946 would be suitable.
🚀 The first target for these positions, as a scalp, is 101,819, and their main target is 105,928. The short position target could be the bottom of the triangle or the area at 92,702.
🔑 The market volume has increased slightly in this timeframe. As you see, and as I mentioned yesterday, after the volume reaches its minimum, the price will definitely make a move in one direction, which I will specify in the one-hour timeframe how we could have taken our position.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Let's move to the one-hour timeframe. First, I want to review the position the market gave us yesterday, and then we'll see what today's trigger will be.
🔄 About an hour after I published the analysis yesterday, the support at 97,110 broke, and with this break, we could have opened a short position that could still remain open, and I suggest you make it risk-free because, as I said yesterday, this position is very risky and the maximum target we can consider for it is 95,308.
📈 However, I personally would save the profit and not allow it to remain open any longer because it was opened as a scalp. The trigger for the long position at 97,816 was not reached and was not activated.
🔽 But today, I don't have a special trigger for a short position, and 95,108 is the only trigger that we were waiting for last week to be broken, but this did not happen. Here in the market volume, we can see in more detail that after breaking the 97,110 area, it increased significantly, and currently, with the price starting to range again, the market volume has decreased again.
✅ For long positions, first wait for the price to return above 97,110 and see which area it reacts to, and we can specify our next trigger tomorrow. But if the price comes up unidirectionally, you can open a short position with the breaking of 97,816 or 98,482.
🧲 Be careful because the price moved a bit yesterday, it might range today. So make sure you only open positions with triggers you are sure about, not risky triggers.
📅 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to Bitcoin dominance. We specified a very good resistance for Bitcoin dominance yesterday at 60.95, and as you see, Bitcoin dominance reacted very well to it, hitting this area several times with a shadow point and then dropping again, and it is now back to its support at 60.48, which is very important. If 60.48 breaks, the dominance could drop to 59.84, as mentioned in previous analyses, and in this case, if short positions are activated, their triggers within Bitcoin could allow us to open a very good short position on Bitcoin.
💣 But if at the same time as the activation of these triggers, the dominance increases and the resistance of 60.95 breaks, short positions on altcoins would be better than on Bitcoin.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let's move on to the Total2 analysis to see what suitable triggers will be for opening positions on altcoins.
🛎 The Total2 trigger was activated yesterday as you see at 1.24, which I said you could open a position with it riskily. However, as you see, the price has engulfed all the downward movements and returned up. However, I had said that this position was to be opened riskily and as a scalp, and if you opened a position with the trigger, quickly close your position.
📚 However, as you saw, Bitcoin still has a better bearish structure compared to Total2, and the reason is that Bitcoin dominance was bearish simultaneously with breaking the bearish areas, and if you had opened a position on Bitcoin, you would have made more profit, and now the position would still be open, but Total2 has returned all its upward movement and seems to want to form an upward structure. For now, I won’t change the 1.24 area and want to see what structure the price creates today and which ceiling it reacts to, and tomorrow I will change the location of this area for you.
📉 For short positions, you can open a position with the breaking of 1.23, but be aware, as you saw yesterday, altcoins did not drop much compared to Bitcoin, so if Bitcoin dominance is rising, you can open positions on altcoins. Otherwise, if the dominance is bearish, the short position you open on Bitcoin will give more profit.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Yesterday’s trigger for Tether dominance at 4.48 was activated, and Tether dominance had an upward move or leg, which was not very strong in terms of upward momentum and does not seem to be continuing.
💫 We can draw a trend line in this chart that the price has currently hit and seems to have been rejected. In this case, if the 4.48 area, which is now acting as support, is broken again, the price could drop to 4.24. Otherwise, if the price can break the downward trendline, we can expect Tether dominance to move up to 4.62.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #7👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Today, we are going to review Bitcoin's futures triggers for the New York session. The market hasn't moved much since yesterday, but we have a risky trigger that might serve as a good opening for today's positions.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As mentioned, we're observing a long-term range box that started in early February, and currently, Bitcoin is oscillating within an expanding triangle. Yesterday, the price reacted strongly to this triangle, validating it as a critical zone for setting positions.
🔍 Because of this, I've added a risky long trigger at 97,816, which could precede the 98,482 trigger. This is risky because if the price is rejected at 98,482 after breaking 97,816, your stop-loss is likely to be hit. Enter this position with the understanding that you are anticipating the 98,482 break. If this resistance isn't broken, your position might not yield profits.
🔽 For shorts, the 97,110 trigger mentioned yesterday hasn't activated yet. This trigger is still valid for shorts but remember, like the long position at 97,816, it's risky and targets the range box bottom, so manage your risks carefully. The main triggers remain at 98,482 for longs and 95,108 for shorts.
📊 Market volume has decreased significantly, suggesting a sharp price movement is impending. Stay alert and ready to act on the triggers as the market will likely make a decisive move soon.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
As forecasted, if Bitcoin dominance managed to stabilize above 60.71, we expected a further upward correction and deeper pullback, which has occurred. The price broke through this area, pulling back up to 60.95 and forming a significant ceiling.
🧩 If this area is breached, we can take an early sign of a rising Bitcoin dominance, but the main trigger remains at 61.10. The best trigger for a continued downtrend is still 60.48; breaking this could herald the next bearish leg in Bitcoin dominance.
📅 Total2 Analysis
As stated yesterday, breaking 1.24 would have been a cue for a risky short position, but the price has not consolidated below this level and has twice rebounded off this support.
✨ Thus, this level has become a more critical threshold for shorts. Should this area break, it could be a good time to enter a short position, particularly if Bitcoin dominance is also rising, suggesting a potential downturn for altcoins as well.
📈 The main long position remains with the breakout at 1.28, and there are no other significant long triggers in the chart. For risky shorts, levels 1.2 and 1.19 are suitable, with the primary short trigger still at 1.16.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
As mentioned yesterday, a breakout at 4.47 could lead to increased Tether dominance, but I've adjusted this trigger to 4.48 today due to unclear price action around the former level.
🔑 This remains a high-risk trigger, and the potential for it being displaced again is considerable. Be ready to adjust this line yourself if the price near this area shows significant reaction.
⚡️ Still, a definitive bullish signal for Tether dominance will only be confirmed above 4.62, while a decisive bearish turn would be confirmed by breaking below 4.40, which has become a significant support following substantial price reactions. If this level is breached, the target will be 4.24.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #6👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Today, we're diving into Bitcoin's analysis, focusing on appropriate futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ Hourly Time Frame
1-Hour Timeframe As mentioned in previous analyses, Bitcoin remains in a crucial range box. Yesterday, we saw a fake breakout of the expanding triangle's upper edge, but the trigger at 98,482 was not activated, and the price did not stabilize above this area but was rejected.
🔍 Currently, our long position triggers remain the same at 99,946 and 101,819. However, a new short trigger has been added. The first short trigger is at 97,110, which is considered very risky and should not hold high expectations.
🔽 If you initiate a short position upon breaking this area, your target could be 95,108. As previously discussed, the main short trigger remains at 95,108. If you open a position at this level, the target could be the bottom of the expanding triangle or the area around 92,702.
📊 The market volume continues to decrease, indicating that a sharper and more significant price movement is imminent.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin dominance has broken the curve trendline, but currently, there is no significant upward momentum observed. If the price breaks and stabilizes above 60.71, we can take this as the first sign of a bullish trend. The main trigger remains at 61.10.
🧩 For a continued fall, an excellent trigger is at 60.48. If this trigger is broken, we can hope for dominance to reach 59.84.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 Analysis As discussed yesterday, if the price pulls back to 1.24, we can open a long position. This scenario occurred, and many altcoins moved upward. However, as mentioned, the target for this position was relatively small because it was opened as a scalp position. The main long trigger remains at 1.28.
🔽 For those who are risk-takers, you can enter a short position if the price breaks 1.24. But be cautious, this trigger is very risky. Other risky triggers are at 1.2 and 1.19.
⚡️ The main short position remains at 1.16. Keep in mind, Bitcoin's dominance shows more signs of falling, so if you are considering opening a short position, Bitcoin might perform better than altcoins.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT.D Analysis Let's look at the Tether dominance. We have an adjustment in the dominance support, which was previously at 4.44 but has been moved to 4.40 due to a strong price reaction yesterday. Currently, the main support for Tether dominance is at 4.40, and breaking this area could validate a long position.
💫 There is a very risky short trigger at 4.47, similar to the 1.24 trigger in Total2. If these two align, you might accept the risk and enter a short position with the minimum risk defined in your strategy. The target for this position is 4.62, while the target for a long position remains 4.24, which is also the main trigger for a trend change.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BITCOON DOMINANCE at a decision point (12H)Bitcoin dominance has reached a key resistance level at the top and is currently in a critical zone. If it gets rejected from the red box, we could see a green market this month.
Let's see what happens!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #4👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Today, I'll be conducting a deep analysis of Bitcoin, often referred to as the king of crypto due to its significant market dominance and cap. We'll be exploring suitable futures triggers for the New York session and examining the effects of the recently released U.S. inflation rates, which have favored the U.S. dollar.
⏳ Hourly Time Frame
As you can see, the long trigger we set yesterday was activated and has already yielded profits. The price approached our target resistance at 98482 but is currently being rejected from this area and is moving back down towards the support level at 95108.
🔍 This 95108 trigger remains robust, and if this area breaks, we can open a position. This support was effective yesterday, as you might have noticed—even though the news favored the U.S. dollar, this support prevented further price decline. Therefore, a break below this could likely initiate the next bearish leg for Bitcoin, with the first short position target at 92802.
📊 Excluding the news release time, market volume has generally been ranging and is progressively decreasing, indicating that a significant move is imminent. For long positions, the 98482 trigger remains suitable. The second long trigger is at 99946, with the primary trend-changing trigger still firmly at 101819.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
As I mentioned yesterday, I observed significant bearish momentum in the BTC.D chart, with the 61.10 support now breached. The next nearest support for Bitcoin dominance is at 59.84.
👀 With Bitcoin's dominance declining, if the market moves upwards, the Total2 triggers I will identify could be more suitable than the long triggers for Bitcoin itself. However, if this breach proves to be a fakeout and dominance returns to its box and moves towards its upper boundary, it could inject strong bullish momentum into Bitcoin's dominance, making a long position in Bitcoin more favorable.
✅ If the market falls and Bitcoin's dominance continues to decrease, Bitcoin positions will likely be more profitable. Conversely, if Bitcoin's dominance rises, altcoins will drop more than Bitcoin.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2, you can see that despite the decline in Bitcoin's dominance, Total2 has maintained its position better than Bitcoin itself. Notice that Bitcoin has reached its primary support, whereas Total2 has only retracted from a recent high at 1.24.
✨ The ceiling of 1.24 remains a suitable trigger for long positions, though it should be approached as a scalp to a target of 1.28. The main breakout trigger is the breach of 1.28, which would confirm a trend change. For short positions, the risky position at 1.19 and the main position at 1.16 remain valid, targeting 1.1.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, let’s touch on USDT.D. This index could not maintain its position above its resistance, effectively causing the entire market to hold strong at support levels yesterday, contributing to the rejection of USDT.D from this area.
💥 Our triggers on USDT.D haven't changed significantly. For long positions, breaking 4.44 would be suitable as it would decrease Tether's dominance and potentially favor a market downturn; for short positions in a falling market, 4.62 is optimal, increasing Tether's dominance and potentially leading to a market decline.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
When Alt-Season? Here's the Key FactorAlt-Season = BTC.D going down, but liquidity is king.
Right now, I don’t believe we’ll see a true alt-season until the Fed starts QE.
At the last FOMC meeting, Powell confirmed that QT will continue, meaning there is no reason to expect QE soon.
For QE to return, something needs to break—whether in the stock market or the broader economy.
Right now:
- Stock indices are at all-time highs
- The economy remains resilient
But cracks could form later this year
Possible triggers for QE:
- A stock market correction
- A credit event (bank failures, debt crisis)
- A sudden economic downturn
Why QE Matters for Crypto
- QE (Quantitative Easing) = Fed buys assets → Lowers interest rates → Pumps risk assets.
- QT (Quantitative Tightening) = Fed sells assets → Raises interest rates → Drains liquidity.
Crypto thrives in QE environments—that’s why we had the last alt-season in 2021, during extreme money printing.
In the chart, BTC.D is overlaid with Total Fed Assets.
- When the Fed’s balance sheet expands (QE) → BTC.D drops → Alts pump.
- When the Fed’s balance sheet contracts (QT) → BTC.D rises → BTC dominance increases.
Bottom Line:
For altcoins to outperform, we likely need another QE cycle. Without it, liquidity remains tight, and BTC.D stays high.
What’s your take? Will QE return in 2024, or will the Fed hold the line?
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #3👋Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into Bitcoin analysis. As usual, I will review the best futures triggers for the New York session. The U.S. inflation report has just been released, so we can consider its impact when opening positions.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday’s analysis activated the short trigger at 97218, leading the price to the first target at 95979, where it found new support at 95108. I hope you took advantage of yesterday’s trigger and profited from the market movement.
🔍 Today, we have valid triggers for opening positions, as an interesting structure has formed for both long and short trades. If 95108 support breaks, you can enter a short position with a target at 92702.
📊 Market volume has been decreasing since reaching 95108, and we need to see which direction volume enters next. If bearish volume increases along with the support break, bearish momentum will strengthen, potentially initiating the next downward leg.
🔼 The long trigger is at 96394, with momentum confirmation coming from an RSI break above 50. This setup is considered risky and should be entered with minimal risk. The main long trigger is at 98482, which has become a strong resistance, and its targets could be 99946 and 101819.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Yesterday’s BTC.D triggers were not activated, and the dominance is currently ranging.
💥 A curved trendline is visible on the chart. If it breaks, the trigger for confirmation will be at 61.49, signaling an increase in Bitcoin dominance.
✔️ Support at 61.10 is a key level, and considering the current market momentum, it is likely that this support will break, leading to a trend shift.
⌛️ Total2 Analysis
Yesterday’s Total2 short trigger was activated alongside Bitcoin’s short trigger, so if you opened short positions on altcoins, you should currently be in profit.
🔑 Today, we also have valid triggers for trading. The short trigger is at 1.19, but this level is quite risky. The main short trigger is at 1.16. However, as seen earlier, Bitcoin’s trigger is much cleaner, and if Bitcoin dominance drops, a short position on Bitcoin will likely be better than on altcoins.
📈 For long positions, 1.24 is a valid trigger, but the price is still far from it. If this level breaks, we could open a long position with a target at 1.28.
⌛️ USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance triggers have not yet been activated, but the key levels have been updated. Here are the new triggers:
🔽 If 4.62 breaks (which is already happening and may complete within this candle), USDT dominance will increase, confirming our short positions.
💫 For long positions, the trigger is at 4.44. If this level breaks, USDT dominance could drop to 4.24.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Is Altcoin Season STILL About to Begin in 2025?Looking at CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , before the 2021 altseason kicked off, there were 3 key stages:
▍Stage 1: A steep rounded top formed.
▍Stage 2: Along the neckline of the rounded top, a rounded bottom developed.
▍Stage 3: BTC.D dropped sharply, triggering a crazy altseason.
For 2025, it seems we're about to enter Stage 3:
▍Stage 1: Again, a steep rounded top formed.
▍Stage 2: Just like before, a rounded bottom appeared along the neckline.
What’s different this time?
BTC.D just retested the neckline resistance zone for the second time yesterday.
After touching it, BTC.D formed a long lower wick, signaling strong rejection.
Now, it's all about watching the next moves.
If BTC.D mirrors Stage 3 from the last cycle, we could see a sharp drop soon.
And if that happens, the crazy altseason might start before anyone is ready.
🔴 for more future script "guesses" like this!
🔥 I've dropped another 2 analyses for the 2025 altseason on the right hand side if you're using computer, and scroll down a bit to see the link if you're using mobile.
TradeCityPro | BTC.D The Best Way to Find Alt Season!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go together to one of my favorite charts, which is actually a topic that has made the crypto market easier, and if it weren't for these dominances, I would probably go to analyze Forex together.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly time frame, Bitcoin dominance has had a very good upward trend and after the 39.40 to 47 percent box exit, this upward trend has begun, and I must also say that supply and demand There is no demand for this chart and many lines cannot be interpreted in it
After the resistance level of 54.20 was broken, we were bullish the entire time and this chart was practically telling us that it is better to go and pay attention to Bitcoin itself than to be involved in buying baskets and other things and Bitcoin itself is going to give more profit during this period
And another argument arises that if you pay attention, most altcoins are at their bottoms, while Bitcoin is completely above its ceiling of $69,000 compared to previous bull runs and only altcoins that were in a good position compared to Bitcoin were profitable, such as solbtc, and this shows that the time for strange profits for most altcoins has not yet come
When will this happen? When the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance starts to fall and money flows from Bitcoin itself into other altcoins, and that is when altcoins are just starting to come alive and make a good move, like in 2021.
See the chart above, there is a chart that shows the fall of Bitcoin dominance in the weekly time frame, while the market has made a short correction and is going to record a new high again, and now the reaction of altcoins in this space is interesting.
Now we have the chart of this event. We see that during the fall of Bitcoin dominance, it was the time when the majority of the charts started to move, and altcoins experienced a Sharpe rise, and money flowed from Bitcoin into altcoins, and the btc altcoin pair became bullish, and this shows that we are witnessing alt season.
Now what happens? On the chart, I would say that we have entered the alt season? Weekly engulfing of Bitcoin dominance or a sharp decline and rest. On the other hand, I think we are at the end of the uptrend because there is really more money on altcoins and other events, and this money is staked, so we probably won't see any other numbers. On the other hand, when we reach 40%, we can say that our alt season is over!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #2👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let’s analyze Bitcoin and identify suitable futures triggers for the New York session.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
If you entered a position yesterday on the price pullback to the 97218 zone, you're now in profit. If your position has a risk-to-reward ratio of 2 or higher, I recommend securing some profits. Otherwise, if you want to keep your position open, watch the 98903–99946 range, and if the price gets rejected from this area, secure your profits.
🔍 We also have new trade setups for today, with two triggers for long and two for short, either of which could activate. For a long position, a breakout of 98903 or 99946 is suitable. The 98903 breakout is riskier since we’d be entering a long position within a resistance zone, while the 99946 breakout may be difficult to enter as it might not provide a strong confirmation candle but is a safer long entry.
🔼 The key resistance above these two triggers is 101819, which can be used as a target. A breakout above 64.74 in the RSI would also serve as a momentum confirmation.
📉 For short positions, the first trigger is a breakdown of 97218, which has acted as a strong minor support. If we see a reaction here, this level will be confirmed, and on a second test, we can enter a short position. A breakdown of the 50 level in the RSI would confirm this setup. However, this is a risky trade, so it should be taken with minimal exposure.
✔️ The next key level is 95797, which has seen multiple price reactions. If the price forms a lower high below 101819, the chances of breaking this level increase. The target for this short setup is 92700.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Yesterday, I mentioned that if Bitcoin dominance stabilized below 61.34, long positions on altcoins would be more logical, which played out as altcoins outperformed Bitcoin.
✨ Today, if BTC.D remains below 61.06, it could indicate a trend shift in higher timeframes. Conversely, if it reclaims 61.34, Bitcoin could once again be the better choice for long positions in a bullish market.
⌛️ Total2 Analysis
Total2 triggered its setup alongside Bitcoin and is now testing the 1.24 zone. The only long trigger at the moment is a breakout of 1.24. However, keep in mind that the primary trigger was at 1.22, and the next major trigger is at 1.28, making any long entry now quite risky. Personally, I wouldn’t take this trade.
💫 For short positions, wait for the price to drop back below 1.22, then use Dow Theory and a break of the newly formed low as a short entry trigger.
⌛️ USDT.D Analysis
Now, let’s analyze USDT.D. This index began its decline after breaking 4.51 and retesting it. The next trigger is at 4.41, and if it breaks, we can expect a further drop to 4.22.
🧩 On the other hand, if it reclaims 4.51 and moves toward 4.64, it could increase the likelihood of Bitcoin’s 97218 short trigger being activated. If USDT dominance rises, the target will be 4.64.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own analysis before opening any position.
BTC Dominance is bearish (4H)Bitcoin dominance has hit a very strong supply zone, and we should not forget this.
From this point or after touching the supply, it may move toward the specified TP levels.
Since a large number of sell orders have been accumulated, we expect a deeper drop.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT Dominance Chart AnalysisUSDT dominance broke out of a long-term descending channel.
However, it is showing signs of rejection at nearly 4.60% and could head back towards support.
21-day MA (black line): Previously acted as resistance, but now provides some support.
100-day MA (purple line): Was breached, but is now being retested as support.
A red candle after the recent breakout suggests a possible failed breakout scenario.
The green arrow indicates a potential decline towards 4.20% or even lower.
Support: 4.20% (previous resistance, now potential support).
Low Support: 4.00%
Resistance: 4.60%
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DYOR. NFA
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #1👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
This is the first analysis in the Bitcoin series on the channel, which will be uploaded daily. In this series, we will analyze futures triggers that can provide us with positions on the same day. Therefore, most of the analyses will be conducted in lower timeframes.
✨ However, in today’s analysis, I will also cover Bitcoin in higher timeframes since this is the first analysis and needs to be comprehensive.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, we see a strong uptrend where the last leg started from the 54,900 bottom and moved up to the 104,700 resistance. The candle volume has been mostly bullish, aligning with the uptrend.
🔍 Currently, the price is resting below the 104,700 resistance, and the last weekly candle, which closed just yesterday, resembles a rolling pin, indicating indecision among buyers and sellers as the price moved both up and down but ultimately closed in a range.
💥 In RSI, there are two crucial support levels. The first is at 61.85, which RSI is currently near, and if it reacts positively to this level, a new bullish momentum could enter the market. The next support is at 43.90, a critical level for market momentum. As long as RSI stays above this level, bullish momentum remains in the market.
🔼 For the next bullish leg to start, RSI likely needs to enter the overbought zone, attracting more buyers and initiating the next wave. In terms of price action, breaking the 104,700 resistance would be the best trigger for the next move.
⚡️ On the other hand, the price has so far corrected to the 0.236 Fibonacci level near 90,000 and still has the potential for further corrections. If it continues, the next support levels are at the 0.382 and 0.618 Fibonacci zones, which overlap with 81,800 and 70,000, respectively.
📣 Since this series will have daily updates and we will analyze the weekly timeframe after each weekly candle closes, I won’t discuss lower supports or higher resistances until the time is right.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, the price is ranging between 91,925 and 106,612. As seen, the price has been rejected from the range high for the second time and has dropped to 96,312.
🧩 Bearish momentum has been decreasing since reaching the 96,312 support, and a rounding formation is gradually forming. A positive aspect is that if Bitcoin establishes a bottom in this zone and moves toward the range high again, it will create a higher low compared to the 91,925 support, increasing the chances of a breakout to the upside.
📊 The volume of the last red candles in the bearish leg has been quite low. In the two recent green candles from yesterday and today, the volume is also very low, meaning the price might soon start its movement. So, it’s best to move to lower timeframes to find a suitable futures trigger.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
In this timeframe, I won’t analyze much but will instead focus on identifying futures triggers.
🔽 For a short position, the setup is quite clear. There is a solid trigger at 95,798, which the price has tested multiple times, making it a reliable trigger. Since this short position is being opened within the range and near the range low, it should be taken quickly and secured at low risk-to-reward ratios like 2 or 3. It is not an ideal trigger for a long-term trade.
📈 For a long position, the first trigger was the breakout of 97,304, which has already happened, and the price has confirmed above this level. If you haven’t taken a position on this breakout, you can enter on a pullback if a suitable candle forms or if there’s a trigger in lower timeframes. Keep in mind that this trigger is the riskiest, so enter with minimal risk.
✔️ The next long trigger is at 98,937, which is more reliable. If the price stabilizes above this level, we can expect a bullish leg toward the range high.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
In this timeframe, as seen, the price is pulling back to the 97,304 level while engulfing the previous red candles. RSI is also stabilizing above 64.12. If the candle closes as it is, a long position will be suitable. The key resistance level is at 99,730.
📉 For a short position, the trigger remains similar to the 4-hour timeframe. However, since the price has faked this level in this timeframe, we should wait for another reaction at this area to confirm the actual trigger point.
⭐️ Now, let's analyze the dominance charts. A full dominance analysis will be provided separately. The Total2 analysis will be posted tonight, and the USDT.D and BTC.D analyses will be done tomorrow, but for now, they will be reviewed in the 1-hour timeframe.
⌛️ BTC.D Analysis
In the 1-hour timeframe, we see Bitcoin dominance increasing after reaching the 61.34 bottom, which has contributed to Bitcoin’s recovery following the fake breakdown at 95,798.
👑 If dominance stabilizes above 62%, more money will flow into Bitcoin. In this scenario, if the market moves upward, Bitcoin will rise more than most altcoins, and if the market drops, Bitcoin will decline less than others. The main resistance is at 62.66.
💫 On the other hand, if dominance falls below 61.34, less money will enter Bitcoin. In a bullish market, Bitcoin will underperform altcoins, and in a bearish market, Bitcoin will drop more significantly.
⌛️ Total2 Analysis
In the 1-hour timeframe, the 1.22 level in Total2 overlaps with 97,304 in Bitcoin. However, as seen, Total2 is still below this support and hasn’t confirmed above it yet. The reason is the increasing Bitcoin dominance, causing altcoins to move less than Bitcoin.
☀️ The main resistance in Total2 at this timeframe is 1.28, which is also the key long trigger.
🔽 For a short position, Total2 offers a better trigger than Bitcoin. If Total2 breaks below 1.16 while Bitcoin dominance increases, shorting altcoins will be a better option than Bitcoin.
⌛️ USDT.D Analysis
As seen, the candle has closed below the 4.51 support in this index, and it has more overlap with Bitcoin than Total2.
✔️ The trigger for an increase in USDT dominance is 4.64, which would lead to a market decline. The alignment of this trigger with the short triggers in Total2 and Bitcoin could provide strong confirmation for those trades.
🔑 For a long position, breaking below the 4.40 support in this index would be a good signal. The main support is currently at 4.22, and if this level is broken, the market could begin its next bullish leg.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Will 2025 Bring an Altcoin Season or Continued Divergence?
🔷 BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance)
Trend momentum has been strongly bullish since late 2022 and shows no signs of slowing on higher time frames (6M, 12M). When BTC.D trends higher, the market tends to concentrate capital in BTC, making it difficult for many altcoins to rally. Any short-term dips in BTC.D on daily or weekly charts could temporarily release some capital into altcoins, but overall, the dominant uptrend remains intact.
🔸 ETHBTC
The ratio has been signaling a SELL bias since late 2023, continuing throughout 2024. It reflects ETH’s weakness relative to BTC. On the 3M chart, ETHBTC is in a downtrend; any upward corrections are likely just retracements before further declines. There’s no clear sign that ETHBTC has bottomed across the monthly, 3-month, 6-month, or yearly cycles.
✔️ Conclusion
BTC.D may see short-term corrections in 2025 but is expected to continue rising overall. ETHBTC, on the other hand, will likely continue its downward trajectory, with occasional small rebounds along the way. This suggests no broad Altcoin Season in 2025; instead, expect ongoing fragmentation within the altcoin market. Capital will rotate selectively based on each sector or individual coin’s structure.
💡 Strategy
Use caution when rotating funds from altcoins to BTC to optimize returns. Carefully select altcoins that show genuine growth potential in 2025, and avoid emotional allocation. Emphasize short-term strategies—buy for the short term, take profits quickly—to navigate a market where altcoins remain highly divergent.
Bitcoin Dominance | Leading Alt Season? Or Continuation Decline?| CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D | 🔎 Weekly Analysis
As you may know. alt seasons depend on a decline in BTC.D.
BTC.D is calculated as the ratio of Bitcoin’s market capitalization to the total market capitalization of the digital asset space. When BTC.D falls, it indicates that capital is flowing out of Bitcoin into altcoins or stablecoins such as USDT, USDC, RLUSD and others.
••• BTC Dominance (BTC.D) during past alt season.
⏪ Now that we understand what BTC.D is, let's examine its behavior during previous alt season. As marked in the chart, BTC.D has experienced an uptrend. After a breakout, it pushed to new high within the upward channel, and as expected, a reversal occurred! (Price Action Rules)
••• Current state of BTC.D.
▶️ After a significant spike, it is currently following an upward channel.
A spike followed by a channel pattern is a common price action occurrence.
As Marked in the chart, similar to previous alt seasons, BTC.D has experienced a breakout from the upward channel and has pushed to new high. Therefore, we can expect a potential reversal!
🔳 Final words
Is it time to buy some altcoins? If you ask me, it's not yet time to invest. We cannot predict whether a reversal is happening or not. Since we avoid taking unnecessary risks, we should wait for clear sign of reversal in the BTC.D
❤️🔥 Thanks for reading my idea!
What does the BTC's dominance say to us?CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
👨🏫 Analyst Alex Kelly: Bitcoin dominance looks very promising to change the trend and create a long-awaited Altseason.
✍️ Crossing the intersection of the trend line and the middle zone, along with the ascending corner pattern, confirms this move.
🚀 It's time to buy altcoins.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Bitcoin Dominance Pumping , Is the Altcoin Market in Trouble ?Bitcoin dominance has broken a significant resistance level, signaling a shift in market dynamics. The previous double top formation has completely failed, and dominance is now sustaining above the prior highs. This development has bearish implications for altcoins, as Bitcoin's growing market share typically leads to capital outflows from the altcoin sector.
Key Points on the Chart
Double Top Failure & Breakout Confirmation
The market was previously forming a double top pattern, a classic reversal setup that often signals a potential decline.
However, BTC dominance not only broke the double top resistance but has held above it for multiple days, confirming bullish continuation.
A failed double top often results in a strong move upward, as short-sellers covering their positions add to the momentum.
Ascending Channel Structure
The chart shows BTC dominance moving within a rising wedge/ascending channel formation.
The breakout above the mid-channel resistance suggests an acceleration in trend strength, increasing the likelihood of BTC dominance rising further. As long as dominance stays within this structure, Bitcoin will likely outperform the altcoin market.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
56.44% level was a major resistance in the past and is now a confirmed support zone.
61.91% (current level) marks the breakout region, now acting as new support.
If dominance continues its uptrend, the next potential resistance area could be 66%–68%, marking the upper boundary of the trend.
Impact on Altcoins
Altcoin Weakness Likely to Continue
Historically, when BTC dominance increases, altcoins tend to bleed as capital rotates toward Bitcoin. Many altcoins may struggle to gain momentum unless BTC dominance reverses from this region.
Conditions for Altcoin Recovery
For altcoins to regain strength, BTC dominance must decline from this breakout zone.
A rejection from the upper trendline (~64%–66%) could create a temporary relief rally in altcoins.
Altcoin Seasonal Trends
Typically, altcoins start recovering once BTC dominance peaks and shows weakness.
Until then, Bitcoin remains the safer bet, while altcoins carry higher risk.
Trading Considerations & Strategy
For BTC holders: The breakout suggests strong dominance continuation, meaning Bitcoin may remain the best-performing asset in the short term.
For altcoin traders: Monitor Bitcoin dominance closely a drop back below 60% would be the first sign of relief for altcoins.
For market timing: If BTC dominance approaches 64%–66%, a potential rejection could provide entry points for altcoins.
Bitcoin dominance has broken a crucial structure, signaling altcoin weakness and Bitcoin strength. Until BTC dominance reverses or consolidates, altcoins may struggle to gain momentum. Watch the 64%–66% zone for signs of exhaustion if BTC dominance starts rejecting from there, it could mark the beginning of an altcoin resurgence.