BTC dominance 2024-2025(prodolzhenie prognoza po dominacii bitkoina 2023-2024)
Proshlyj prognoz otrabotal prakticheski ideal'no, nemnogo promazal po vremeni (uskorilsya), nemnogo oshibsya s metodikoj raschyota dominacii (uchyol al'tkoiny - podrobno v obnovleniyah na proshlom prognoze po dominacii). Odnako v celom prognoz pravil'nyj!
Nakaplivat' bitkoin bylo bolee pravil'nym resheniem nezheli otkupat' al'tkoiny.
Podavlyayushchee bol'shinstvo al'tkoinov obnovilo svoi minimumy k bitkoinu.
Teper' prishla pora razvorota. Tyazhelo sprognozirovat' tochku razvorota (kak eto bylo s proshlym prognozom) kak po vremeni tak i po urovnyu, odnako ya sklonyayus' k variantu chto eto proizojdyot ot 55-65% vo vremennom promezhutke konca2024 achala2025 goda. I ustremitsya v blok 35-45% k koncu 2025 goda.
!!! Etot prognoz bolee kak prodolzhenie v popytke najti mesto razvorota, a ne kak samostoyatel'nyj predydushchij prognoz. Ya by ne stavil mnogoe na nego, odnako tendenciya dolzhna byt' yasna - gryadyot al'tsezon.
Btcdominance
The Rising Trend in Bitcoin Dominance Has Been Broken!On the weekly chart, Bitcoin dominance has fallen below a critical support level for the first time in 693 days. Could this give altcoins some breathing room?
The answer is short: yes.
The negative divergence present in the dominance RSI has played out. Additionally, RSI has dropped below the 50-point mark on the weekly chart, which is significant for the continuation of the downtrend. When we analyze ADX DI, we see signals that support the downward trend in dominance. Furthermore, BTC.D has broken the ascending trendline (marked in red), which had persisted for 98 weeks.
As a bonus, our AlphaTrend indicator's ascending trend support is at the 58.50% level. If BTC.D closes below this level, AlphaTrend is set to generate a sell signal for the first time in approximately 123 weeks. The weakening of dominance has already started reflecting positively on altcoins. However, there’s no need to get overly excited yet; we must continue making data-driven decisions.
A decline in dominance alone does not guarantee an altcoin rally. However, the potential end of Bitcoin's market hegemony is a highly positive signal for altcoin investors.
Thank you for reading!
Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin PerformanceAs anticipated in our previous analysis, Bitcoin dominance has encountered resistance at around 61%, subsequently declining to its current level of 55.6%, where it is now testing a significant support zone.
At this juncture, we may observe a potential bounce at the current support level. However, should the downward trend in dominance persist, the next critical support level to monitor is approximately 51%.
While we are witnessing substantial gains in altcoins, attributed to the recent decline in Bitcoin dominance, it is important to note that we are still in the early stages of this market shift. Current indicators suggest that a full-fledged altseason has yet to materialize, although we are moving in a positive direction.
In summary, the key support levels to watch are as follows:
55.6% (current level)
51%
The 2022 lows at 39%
We will continue to provide updates and further analysis as the market situation evolves.
BTC Dominance Update (1D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The previous support level analysis has underperformed. It appears that Bitcoin's dominance may drop to a lower support level.
This means that altcoins could continue to pump further, and for now, no price correction is expected!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Is It Really Happening: When Altseason Will Begin?Hello, Skyrexians!
Today we will observe the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart, this is the chart which shows the Bitcoin dominance on the crypto market. During last 2 years it has growing slowly, but permanently. It caused to this strange cycle where Bitcoin has broken ATH, while some altcoins set the new low every month. Is this nightmare really finished or altcoins will continue suffering? Let's discuss today.
On the chart you can see weekly time frame which showed two completed altcoin seasons: in 2017 and 2021. Last altseason has started after reaching 0.618 Fibonacci level from the previous altseason. Then we saw the big drop to 40%. Let's notice that this altseason has been started after flashing the signal on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
Currently this indicator has been flashed 2 bearish reversal bars in the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement zone. If today weekly candle closes with this signal and next week there will be the confirmation - 58% breakdown, there is a high chance that real altseason come the market.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BTC dominance is falling, capital is flowing into altcoins!Hello everyone, as we can see, for a very long time, BTC's dominance over the rest of the market was gaining strength, but now we can see how the level of dominance has broken out of the upward trend channel, which is causing a rebound and the transfer of capital into altcoins.
The flow of capital gives clear and significant increases on the market, and therefore many cryptocurrencies benefit from an increase in price.
It is worth looking at the RSI indicator, which also indicates that the energy used is used to flow capital into the rest of the market, and what is more, it can be seen that there is still room for a stronger decline to the support places indicated on the chart.
BTC DOMINANCE Update (1D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous analysis, the price didn’t reach the red zone and experienced a heavy drop, exactly as expected. This highlights the importance of this level.
However, before anything else, you should know that from the green zone, we anticipate a significant pump in Bitcoin dominance, which will lead to an altcoin correction. When this zone is reached, you should sell your altcoins to be able to buy them back at the bottom.
Stay with us to capitalize on the altcoin season!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Btc Dom - There's still a long way to goCRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance 1W;
Below is my chart of the Bitcoin Dom chart, which I have been pointing to 61.61% for a long time and I expect it to rise to a maximum of 62%. With the return from 61.53%, the market has now started to smile.
What's next?
There is strong weekly support at 56%. This level drops to 55% on the monthly.
This is a strong support and with its theme, it will make a retracement upwards.
I know you don't even want to hear anything negative when everything is going well, but if we ignore the facts, what's the difference from emotional thinking?
There is a quote by David Hume that I love and use as an example in my life: “ If we stop here and go no further, why have we come this far? ”
In short, I want to say that there is still a long way to go for Btc Dom. I will not be surprised if this bull period happens again if we see the 72% level that I have been pointing to for a long time.
Of course, we are talking about probabilities here. That's why all charts have a 50% margin of error. If one day you see someone or some people telling you something that is 100% certain, stay away from them.
#Btc #Bitcoin #dominance #bullish
USDT dominance on the 4-hour timeframe.The price is trading within a clearly defined descending channel.
The current movement indicates rejection near the upper trendline, which suggests continued bearish momentum.
The 50-period EMA (red line) acts as a dynamic resistance.
The recent retest and failure to close above it confirms the bearish bias.
The chart suggests a move towards the channel's lower trendline, around 3.85%- 3.90%, as the next support area.
The lack of breakout volume indicates continued selling pressure.
If USDT dominance breaks below 3.90%, it could signal strength in crypto assets, with altcoins seeing a rise.
A breakout above the 50 EMA and upper channel trendline could reverse the trend.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Bitcoin Dominance Down and Alts PUMP!Bitcoin dominance or BTC.D has been on a rip for a while now but as we start to see more altcoins pump its fair to see the correlation of bitcoin dominance dropping. Sideways is also good, but if this looses the major support and starts to drop I expect to see further liquidity moving into altcoins at speed.
Now it could bounce back up and continue higher, which would indicate the move for bitcoins not nearly over. I am keeping lots of alt-positions, taking profit in part on pumps but leaving some moon bags for when BTC.D eventually drops and alts go wild.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Happy trading
The Line That Define Your Upcoming Generational Wealth [BTC.D]Since Q3 this year, the VWAP line has been acting as a fairly strong support level. This maybe indicates that crypto market participants are closely watching this indicator as an important reference point for Bitcoin's positioning relative to other cryptos.
If this line gets breached, it could signal a broader shift in market sentiment. A breakdown of this support could open the door for a more dominant altcoin movement, with capital flowing from Bitcoin to the wider crypto ecosystem.
This could provide a valuable technical clue to help answer the $420trillion question : 'wen altszn?' .
Thanks for reading 😊
🚀🚀🚀
Bitcoin Dominance: Elliott Wave and Harmonics ComboBitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D) is giving a fantastic trading setup.
It's preparing a BIG Bullish Swing.
From an Elliott Wave point of view, a bullish Impulse Wave is about to start.
In this case I'm talking about Super-Cycle (C) (turquoise).
Moving on to Harmonic Patterns, there are two:
The smaller one is the Bullish Shark, which is preparing its completion.
The second one, and the bigger view, is the Cypher Pattern, which will commence one the Shark is done.
So, bottom line: BTC.D is gonna start flying, and will push the Crypto market into a fantastic Bull Cycle.
Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D ) Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Impulse: Super-Cycle (C) (turquoise)
* Harmonic Pattern: Bullish Shark
* Harmonic Pattern: Bullish Cypher
* Double Bottom
* Bullish Divergence
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* 61.8% Fibonacci Extension
* Demand Zone
Conclusion: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is and always will be the one and only driver of the Crypto Markets.
Altseason Starts SoonThe Chart above show Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) over time, with highlighted patterns and cycles that may be tied to Bitcoin halvings and market trends. Here’s my analysis based on the chart's structure:
Key Observations:
Repeated Patterns:
The chart highlights similar phases of Bitcoin dominance decline across three separate cycles, lasting roughly 231 days.
Each phase seems to correspond to a bearish period for Bitcoin dominance, where altcoins gain relative strength.
Halving Impact:
Vertical lines mark Bitcoin halving dates (green lines), which historically have a significant impact on the crypto market.
Following halvings, BTC dominance often rises as Bitcoin leads the market in initial rallies.
Projection:
The chart projects a decline in dominance after the current rally, extending into mid-to-late 2024.
A potential drop to ~44%-46% dominance is outlined, indicating a possible altcoin season or broader market rotation.
Support and Resistance:
The chart highlights a resistance zone around 62% dominance, which Bitcoin dominance seems to have tested recently.
A bearish breakout is suggested, aligning with a downward trend in the future.
Possible Interpretation:
Short-Term View: Bitcoin dominance might continue upward for a while but could face resistance near 60%-62%. If this area holds, a reversal could lead to dominance declining, benefiting altcoins.
Medium-Term View: If the projection holds, BTC dominance could see a prolonged decline lasting nearly a year, dropping below 50%. This scenario typically coincides with altcoin seasons where altcoins outperform Bitcoin in relative gains.
Risk Factors:Bitcoin dominance does not always drop due to bullish altcoins; it can also decline during a market-wide sell-off where Bitcoin loses less than altcoins. Macroeconomic factors, regulatory changes, and adoption rates could alter the outcome.
Possible Top for BTC/ETHI can see a possible top on the BTC vs ETH chart. It has clearly gone up alot and if you combine that with the divergence on the RSI + BTC Dominance about to fall the possibility for this to happen gets stronger!
This means that Ethereum is about to go for a run and if that happens alot of projects based on ETH will have a big rally.