The Calm Before the Altcoin Storm: Prepare for the Biggest Run!!#Bitcoin Dominance Update:**
Bitcoin dominance has started to dump, breaking the support that has held since November 2022. It faced rejection at a long-term resistance level, which has been a key barrier since May 2017.
Historically, when this happens, we’ve seen alt season kick-off and last for 6 to 8 months.
When does the real alt season begin?**
It starts when ETH/BTC begins pumping, and other altcoins follow suit.
Trending Narratives for the Next Few Months:
🚀 AI
🚀 RWA (Real World Assets)
🚀 Memecoins (MEMES)
🚀 Layer 1s (L1)
These sectors are likely to perform exceptionally well. The key is to position yourself early and buy any dips. This is how you build generational wealth this season!
What to Buy?
Make sure you follow me and join all my socials!
I’ll be sharing the top altcoin picks over the next few weeks.
Stay tuned and let’s make it happen !🚀
Please hit that like button if you like it and share your views in the comments section.
Thank you
#PEACE
Btcdominance
BTC/USDT SHORT TERM TARGET AND IMPORTANT SUPPORT LEVELS!!!Bitcoin's surge towards $112,000 excites investors, but caution is warranted. Strong weekly closes fuel optimism, yet corrections loom. Support levels at $92,690, $92,551, $83,470, and $74,541 offer potential buying opportunities. The 5EMA suggests short-term strength, with prices above the moving average.
However, this rally presents a problem for altcoins. Bitcoin's non-bearish dominance stifles their growth potential. Typically, altcoins thrive when Bitcoin's dominance wanes or stabilizes. This creates a dilemma for diversified crypto portfolios.
The solution? Monitor Bitcoin's dominance closely. A shift could spark altcoin momentum. Meanwhile, focus on Bitcoin's journey, using support levels as guideposts. If breached, watch $55,017 for a possible trend reversal. Adapt strategies as market dynamics unfold.
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The price reached the green zone and is now pumping. We anticipate the start of a drop and an alt-season from the upper red zone.
Note that, in terms of price, we consider this area to be the peak of Bitcoin dominance. However, in terms of timing and the number of times this level is tested, there is no certainty. This means that when Bitcoin dominance reaches the upper red level, you can enter altcoins. However, altcoin fluctuations might increase, and it could take some time, as the market maker might cause some turbulence before the main move.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Could there there be NO real ALT season this cycle ? Why ?Not many people Will like this idea, including me but as someone who will ALWAYS try and look to Both sides of possibilities that exist , technical and Macro, I am beginnign to think that the ALT seasons we have seen previously may become History.
And in fact, some evidence of that already exists in the Way Some ALTS ran Hot right from the start, like INJ
BUT, I hear some of you say, You ..YOU posted a chart, OTHERS.D chart that suggests ALT season may have begun...
I refer you to yhr beginning of this post.
It is ALWAYS best to see Both sides.
And so..Why could an Alt season not really happen this time.?
Let see Why an ALT season is definded by.
If we look back over previous Cycles, ALT Seasons have begun just under a year from the Halving. At thsi poinrt, the BTC Dominacne seems to Fall and yet the BTC PA continues to Rise, to a New ATH
The Crux is the BTC DOMINANCE needs to fall.
The chart above is the BTC.D chart that could point towards an ALT Season beginning. See how PA here falls, ATH are created and ALTS run fast
~BUT in NONE of these previsou seasons have we had the Corporate uptake of Bitcoin and the use of Bitcoin in Trusts and ETF trading
My question being, " Why will BTC.D Drop" if so many are Buying thr coins ?
A decrease in BTC. D suggests that capital is rotating out of Bitcoin and into altcoins. This is where altseason potential lies. Strong altcoins with solid fundamentals and clear narratives often lead this phase with explosive gains.
BUT Why would the Corporations Sell the BTC coins to invest in to a more volatile substitute and possibly have to rebuy the BTC at a higher price ?
Just look how structured that Rise in BTC.D looks..NEVER happened before. And while it has just dropped off its line of support, it has landed on another Strong line.
We need to pay very VERY Close attention this this right now.
This is Not saying ALTS will not run but maybe, Not as explosively as once or twice before.
Or maybe they will
Att he end of the day, GREED can do increadable things to people.
Trade safe and have a good one..and lets see how the next 12 months unfold
BTC.D Analysis - Dominance Faces 200-Day MA ResistanceTrend Indicator:
- **PSAR**: Turned green, indicating a potential recovery attempt, but the rejection at the **200-day MA** dampens the bullish outlook.
Key Observations:
1. **200-Day MA (~57.1%)**: Rejection here underscores strong resistance, halting the recent upward momentum.
2. **Fibonacci Levels**:
- **0.382 Fib (~60%)** remains the primary upper resistance.
- **0.236 Fib (~50.5%)** acts as the key lower support, aligning with a potential consolidation zone.
Oscillators:
- **OBV**: Declining, reflecting weaker buying pressure and increasing distribution.
- **RSI**: At 38.8, moving downward toward oversold conditions, suggesting bearish momentum persists.
- **MACD**: Bearish crossover confirmed, with the histogram in negative territory, indicating increased selling pressure.
Volume:
Selling volume has increased, reinforcing the rejection narrative at the **200-day MA**.
Outlook:
The rejection at the **200-day MA** signals potential continued downside, with the **0.236 Fib level (~50.5%)** emerging as a critical support. If this level holds, dominance could attempt another recovery. However, failure to maintain this support may lead to further downside momentum. Keep an eye on the oscillators for oversold signals as they may indicate a reversal opportunity.
Optimistic Altseason Outlook
The rejection at the **200-day MA** and declining BTC.D suggest a possible shift in market sentiment. Historically, such dominance pullbacks often signal the onset of **altseason**, where capital rotates into high-performing altcoins. With BTC dominance stalling below 57%, altcoins may find a chance to outperform.
As dominance approaches the **0.236 Fib level (~50.5%)**, altcoins may experience renewed interest, particularly if BTC consolidates or retraces further. Combined with oversold oscillator signals and declining BTC-centric volume, this creates an environment ripe for altcoin rallies.
Keep an eye on BTC.D's movement near key support levels and watch for strong volume shifts into altcoins. A breakout in key altcoin leaders could confirm the start of altseason. Stay diversified and ready to capitalize on the opportunities ahead! 🚀
Need to check support near the new high point
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
It seems that funds have flowed into the coin market through USDT and USDC.
(BTC.D 1D chart)
The point to watch is whether it can meet resistance near the MS-Signal indicator and fall below 55.01.
If BTC dominance rises, it means that funds are concentrated on BTC, so altcoins are likely to show a downward trend.
However, you cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC prices based on the rise or fall of BTC dominance.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The movement of USDT dominance can be used to roughly estimate the overall trend of the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance falls, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend, and if it rises, it is likely to show a downward trend.
Therefore, the movement of prices can be identified by the movement of USDT dominance.
Therefore, you can roughly estimate the movement of funds with BTC dominance and the trend with USDT dominance.
------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Although the StochRSI indicator has fallen below 50, the price of BTC is actually showing an upward trend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether the StochRSI indicator turns upward again and whether it turns into a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
It is currently showing an upward trend near 101109.59, which is the BW(100) indicator point.
Accordingly, whether there is support near 101109.59 is the key.
If the StochRSI indicator fails to turn into a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and shows a downward trend, it is expected to fall again to the 95904.28-98892.0 range.
-
Therefore, what we should consider important in the current movement is whether we can reset the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart while maintaining the price around the newly formed high point range of 97821.58-101109.58 until around December 27th.
Based on the high point range of 97821.58-101109.58, this means that 101109.58 or higher is the high point.
Therefore, it is better to interpret the high point range as a high point boundary range.
Therefore, if it rises above the high point range and then falls below the high point range, it is highly likely that it will lead to an additional decline, and we should consider countermeasures for this.
When the decline begins, the downtrend will stop as it finally creates a low point range (low point boundary range).
That is, when it meets the HA-Low indicator and BW(0) indicator, it will create a low point section.
If it creates a low point section and then creates a bottom section, an upward trend will begin.
If we organize this movement,
1. It rises in the section composed of the HA-Low, BW(0) indicator and most of the movement appears within the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicator.
That is, the HA-Low, BW(0) section ~ HA-High, BW(100) section forms a sideways, box section.
2. If it falls in the section composed of the HA-Low, BW(0) indicator, it is highly likely to create a downward wave and show a stepwise downward trend.
However, since this step-down trend will eventually play a role in creating a bottom section, if the HA-Low, BW(0) indicators show a rise higher than the previous HA-Low, BW(0) indicators, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility that a bottom section will be formed at that time.
3. If it rises in the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicators, it is highly likely that it will create an upward wave and show a step-up trend.
Therefore, it is recommended to set a stop loss point when trading because there is a high possibility that it will turn into a downtrend when it falls above the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicators.
However, it is necessary to check the correlation with the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Bitcoin Dominance Broken Down: Time to shift to holding alts..The crypto market historically tends to move in cycles/phases, with BTC first pumping followed by higher market cap OG tokens, before the capital flows to the midcaps and eventually the microcaps and meme coins (which then marks the time to sell).
The BTC.D weekly chart had finally broken down below the red long-term support trendline, suggesting capital shifting into altcoins. Need another ~3 days for the current weekly candle to close below to confirm.
The Fusiongap {50/15} had also registered "bearish" on the BTC.D chart, which further supports this thesis.
Hence this suggest that it is safe to continue to DCA into mid-cap altcoins such as KASPA (KAS) with many higher mcap OG coins having already pumped close to their previous cycle ATH. Will start DCAing out of the market once the micro-caps and a kinds of memecoins start pumping, probably approx. in a year time.
Btc Dominance appears to be getting rejected from channel retestBitcoin dominance chart just recently bounced back up in an attempt to climb back inside the ascending channel it recently broke under and as of now both candles that sent a wick back inside the channel upon the current retest both closed their candle bodies with the channel still as resistance. Since then we are now seeing the current candle appear to head lower again suggesting the bottom trendline of the channel will be confirmed as solidified resistance, in which case price action has a much higher probability at this point of validating the breakdown and dumping to the 53% target. If this occurs we are very likely to see alt season really tart too kick in here soon. *not financial advice*
BTC DOMINANCE- BEARISH AFLife and Trading: Decisions Shape Outcomes
Life can shift dramatically in a single day—either for the better or worse. Everything boils down to the decisions you make, whether in heated moments or calm reflection. When chaos and panic dominate, your best refuge lies in creativity, knowledge and balls.
During the recent shakeout, I stayed silent—not because I lacked an opinion, but because moments like these require clarity. It’s like a car crash—you first ensure your safety before analyzing the damage. So, I distanced myself from the noise and dove deep into the charts.
Key Observations: Bitcoin Dominance
Bitcoin dominance, a critical indicator during altcoin crashes, was rising but met resistance at significant levels. Bearish arguments at that time included:
Weekly Bearish FVG respected
Daily Bearish FVG respected
Trendline retest confirming the break
Current Bearish Arguments:
PMH & PML respected
PWH & PWL respected
Weekly and Daily Bearish FVG respected
4H swing highs/lows respected
4H Bearish FVG respected
Strategy:
Given these signals, it’s tempting to go all-in on altcoins. However, I anticipate a ranging market until Christmas, followed by a dip below the 50% level—a precursor to a true altcoin bull market.
Be cautious: I expect another shakeout around December 18 or 23, where I plan to take significant positions. Always have a clear entry and exit plan to navigate these volatile waters.
Follow me to stay updated, and remember—this market rewards patience and preparation.
God bless you.
-Jay
The fall of Bitcoin dominance and the dawn of AltcoinsAltseason is about to begin! Hope you're on the last type finished accumulating your altcoins. According to blockchain data, the market maker has distributed its Bitcoin and finished accumulating altcoins. The chart shows an Adam and Eve top and a double bottom at the bottom. In my last forecast I was a bit wrong with the scale, but the point was correct and the target was reached! Dominance <53% is on the way!
Watching whether it can rise above 98821.58
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
It's the same idea as the previous one.
The key is whether it can maintain the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart until around December 27.
In order for the uptrend to start, it is expected to start by rising above 97821.58 and showing support.
If it fails to rise above 97821.58, it will eventually fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore, the 95904.28-98892.0 section is an important support and resistance section.
-------------------------------------------
USDT, USDC are still showing an upward trend.
(BTC.D 1D chart)
The point of interest is whether it can fall below 55.01 by falling near the MS-Signal indicator.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The point of interest is whether it can meet resistance near the 3.92-4.31 range and maintain a downward trend.
-
I think the gap increase of USDT, USDC is a trace of funds flowing into the coin market.
On the other hand, I think the gap decrease is a trace of funds flowing out of the coin market.
If BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to decline, an altcoin bull market is expected to begin.
USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 2.84 and maintain an upward trend in the coin market.
Accordingly, if it touches around 2.84 and rises, the coin market is likely to face a sharp decline.
Also, if it rises above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a bear market.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The point to watch is whether it can receive support and rise around the important support and resistance area of 95904.28-98892.0.
The next period of volatility is expected to be around December 27, so we need to check whether it can continue sideways until then.
This movement can be seen as a task to reduce the gap of the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts or to reset the StochRSI indicator.
If it falls below the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, if the HA-Low and BW(0) indicators are generated, the key is whether there is support around that area.
-
When the StochRSI indicator falls below the 50 point range, if it shows resistance below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is necessary to first check whether there is support around 87.8K-89K.
In order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above 97821.58 and show support.
Therefore, if it fails to rise above 97821.58, it will eventually fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
BTC.D Update (1D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Based on the previous analysis, we anticipated an upward movement in Bitcoin dominance.
Now, considering recent candlestick patterns, the movement path can be identified more clearly.
Soon, there may be a slight recovery in altcoins, but Bitcoin dominance could rise again to the 59 level before the expected altcoin season begins.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC dominance update
The pullback i expected from the market finally happened & caused a massive sell off in the market
The momentum of this move is so strong that i can say that it may even go to higher levels after allowing some recovery in altcoins
So don't forget risk management in open positions
Possibility of sideways until the next volatility period
(Title) The key is whether sideways can occur until the next volatility period
------------------------------
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
(BTC.D 1D chart)
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The point to watch for USDT and USDC is whether they can maintain their upward trend.
BTC dominance failed to fall below 55.01 and is showing signs of touching the MS-Signal indicator.
The key is whether it can meet resistance near the MS-Signal indicator and fall.
The key is whether USDT dominance can meet resistance near the 3.92-4.31 range and fall.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance needs to fall below 55.01 and remain there or continue to fall.
For the coin market itself to maintain an upward trend, I think that USDT dominance needs to remain below 4.97 or continue to fall.
Therefore, we need to check whether the content I mentioned above is maintained or whether it satisfies the content for BTC.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
As I mentioned yesterday, there has been a movement in BTC dominance and USDT dominance.
However, I think that for the trend to change, it depends on how BTC moves around 95904.28-98892.0.
That is, if the price is maintained around 95904.28-98892.0 until around December 27, I think it is highly likely that the StochRSI indicator will be reset and the upward trend will continue.
Otherwise, if it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, that is, below the MS-Signal indicator, and shows resistance, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
This movement can be seen as a pull back due to profit taking to relieve fatigue from the upward trend that has continued so far.
I think this can be seen as profit taking for the upward trend that started in 2023.
-
Due to this decline, the BW(100) indicator is showing signs of being created at the 101109.59 point and the HA-High indicator at the 97821.58 point.
Accordingly, we can see that the high point section has risen.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator is generated at the 97821.58 point, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around this area.
In any case, what we need to look at importantly is whether it can be supported and rise around the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart.
The key is whether it can be maintained until the next volatility period, around December 27th.
To do so, I think funds should flow out of altcoins and the price of BTC should be defended.
I think it is currently showing that pattern, but I will have to wait and see a little longer.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
ETH All Time High is NOT YET IN A fractal, a Fibonacci pattern, and Crypto logic tells me that the Ethereum all time high is still coming.
This could take some time - but the month of December seems likely as this is a period of euphoria around the world, and BTC is notoriously bullish over Decembers. Ultimately, it all depend son how long BTC can hold and trade range - This is when altcoins continue to rally.
What we need to monitor closely now, is the BTC market cap (to watch the liquidity) and the Bitcoin Dominance Chart. A hard drop in BTC.D signifies the "beginning of the end" for the BTC bull cycle, but also the last impulse of Altseason.
More on that HERE:
________________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:ETHUSDT
The point of interest is whether BTC.D can fall below 55.01
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTC.D 1D chart)
If it falls below 55.01 this time and fails to maintain, it is possible that it will touch the MS-Signal indicator.
Since the BTC dominance is rising, it means that funds are concentrated toward BTC, so altcoins are likely to move sideways or show a downward trend.
-
(USDT.D 1D chart)
As USDT dominance falls below 4.97, it can be seen that the coin market has started an upward trend.
Therefore, in this upward trend, USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 2.84.
We can see that support and resistance points are concentrated in the 3.92-4.31 range of USDT dominance.
Therefore, the point of observation is whether it can meet resistance in this range and continue the downward trend.
If USDT dominance touches around 2.84 and rises or rises above 4.97, the coin market is expected to show a sharp decline.
If it rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to be in a downward trend.
If it touches around 2.84 and rises, I think the coin market is likely to show a movement to form a high range.
Therefore, it is expected to form a high point while shaking up and down and start a downtrend.
--------------------------------------------------------------
1W chart will be updated after a new candle is created.
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise near the important support and resistance area of 95904.28-98892.0.
If it falls below the important support and resistance area, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
If the price maintains near the 95904.28-98892.0 area during the period for the StochRSI indicator to reset, it is expected to start an uptrend to rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 2.24 (116940.43).
Accordingly, the point of interest is whether the price can be maintained around the 95904.28-98892.0 range until the next volatility period, around December 27th.
-
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 56204.13 point.
If the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is generated when the decline proceeds below the 95904.28-98892.0 range this time, I think the key point will be whether there is support around that area.
-
Whether ETH can renew the ATH when moving sideways until the next volatility period of BTC is also a point of interest.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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It's the king's turn, and it wants market cap dominance. Bitcoin is poised to regain market capitalization dominance. This usually means that (the majority of) altcoins will initially start losing in their sats value.
It is now a well-known phenomenon that venture capital will first pour into Bitcoin. Once people start skimming their profits, it often flows to the other top 10 coins, then the midcap coins and finally the low caps after this. That is, until the cycle is complete again and people move their capital from the low caps back to Bitcoin or eventually to fiat.
I have unfolded the Tom DeMark Sequential on this, and it flashes a 9 and even a 13, which usually means there will be a course change.
Harmony (ONE)📊 Comprehensive Analysis of Harmony (ONE)
🔍 Overview: Harmony, after experiencing significant trading volume, successfully broke out of its descending channel. The breakout of the weekly resistance zone (yellow area) in the weekly timeframe opens new opportunities for upward movement.
🕰 Technical Analysis:
Current Situation: The price, having surpassed the weekly resistance, is poised to target Fibonacci levels of 1.618 and 2.618.
RSI Analysis:
RSI is encountering a critical resistance level that could temporarily halt the upward momentum.
A breakout above this resistance could push RSI into the Over-Extended zone, which may trigger a sharp price surge.
🎯 Recommendations and Entry Points:
Layered Entry Strategy:
First Entry: At the current price zone.
Second Entry: After a correction and pullback to the yellow zone (previously broken resistance).
📌 Key Considerations:
Risk Management: Proper capital management and risk allocation are crucial.
Market Volatility: Sudden market reactions can lead to unexpected losses. Failing to adhere to effective risk management could result in significant setbacks.