Bitcoin Dominance Broken Down: Time to shift to holding alts..The crypto market historically tends to move in cycles/phases, with BTC first pumping followed by higher market cap OG tokens, before the capital flows to the midcaps and eventually the microcaps and meme coins (which then marks the time to sell).
The BTC.D weekly chart had finally broken down below the red long-term support trendline, suggesting capital shifting into altcoins. Need another ~3 days for the current weekly candle to close below to confirm.
The Fusiongap {50/15} had also registered "bearish" on the BTC.D chart, which further supports this thesis.
Hence this suggest that it is safe to continue to DCA into mid-cap altcoins such as KASPA (KAS) with many higher mcap OG coins having already pumped close to their previous cycle ATH. Will start DCAing out of the market once the micro-caps and a kinds of memecoins start pumping, probably approx. in a year time.
Btcdominance
Btc Dominance appears to be getting rejected from channel retestBitcoin dominance chart just recently bounced back up in an attempt to climb back inside the ascending channel it recently broke under and as of now both candles that sent a wick back inside the channel upon the current retest both closed their candle bodies with the channel still as resistance. Since then we are now seeing the current candle appear to head lower again suggesting the bottom trendline of the channel will be confirmed as solidified resistance, in which case price action has a much higher probability at this point of validating the breakdown and dumping to the 53% target. If this occurs we are very likely to see alt season really tart too kick in here soon. *not financial advice*
BTC DOMINANCE- BEARISH AFLife and Trading: Decisions Shape Outcomes
Life can shift dramatically in a single day—either for the better or worse. Everything boils down to the decisions you make, whether in heated moments or calm reflection. When chaos and panic dominate, your best refuge lies in creativity, knowledge and balls.
During the recent shakeout, I stayed silent—not because I lacked an opinion, but because moments like these require clarity. It’s like a car crash—you first ensure your safety before analyzing the damage. So, I distanced myself from the noise and dove deep into the charts.
Key Observations: Bitcoin Dominance
Bitcoin dominance, a critical indicator during altcoin crashes, was rising but met resistance at significant levels. Bearish arguments at that time included:
Weekly Bearish FVG respected
Daily Bearish FVG respected
Trendline retest confirming the break
Current Bearish Arguments:
PMH & PML respected
PWH & PWL respected
Weekly and Daily Bearish FVG respected
4H swing highs/lows respected
4H Bearish FVG respected
Strategy:
Given these signals, it’s tempting to go all-in on altcoins. However, I anticipate a ranging market until Christmas, followed by a dip below the 50% level—a precursor to a true altcoin bull market.
Be cautious: I expect another shakeout around December 18 or 23, where I plan to take significant positions. Always have a clear entry and exit plan to navigate these volatile waters.
Follow me to stay updated, and remember—this market rewards patience and preparation.
God bless you.
-Jay
The fall of Bitcoin dominance and the dawn of AltcoinsAltseason is about to begin! Hope you're on the last type finished accumulating your altcoins. According to blockchain data, the market maker has distributed its Bitcoin and finished accumulating altcoins. The chart shows an Adam and Eve top and a double bottom at the bottom. In my last forecast I was a bit wrong with the scale, but the point was correct and the target was reached! Dominance <53% is on the way!
Watching whether it can rise above 98821.58
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It's the same idea as the previous one.
The key is whether it can maintain the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart until around December 27.
In order for the uptrend to start, it is expected to start by rising above 97821.58 and showing support.
If it fails to rise above 97821.58, it will eventually fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore, the 95904.28-98892.0 section is an important support and resistance section.
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USDT, USDC are still showing an upward trend.
(BTC.D 1D chart)
The point of interest is whether it can fall below 55.01 by falling near the MS-Signal indicator.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The point of interest is whether it can meet resistance near the 3.92-4.31 range and maintain a downward trend.
-
I think the gap increase of USDT, USDC is a trace of funds flowing into the coin market.
On the other hand, I think the gap decrease is a trace of funds flowing out of the coin market.
If BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to decline, an altcoin bull market is expected to begin.
USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 2.84 and maintain an upward trend in the coin market.
Accordingly, if it touches around 2.84 and rises, the coin market is likely to face a sharp decline.
Also, if it rises above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a bear market.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The point to watch is whether it can receive support and rise around the important support and resistance area of 95904.28-98892.0.
The next period of volatility is expected to be around December 27, so we need to check whether it can continue sideways until then.
This movement can be seen as a task to reduce the gap of the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts or to reset the StochRSI indicator.
If it falls below the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, if the HA-Low and BW(0) indicators are generated, the key is whether there is support around that area.
-
When the StochRSI indicator falls below the 50 point range, if it shows resistance below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is necessary to first check whether there is support around 87.8K-89K.
In order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above 97821.58 and show support.
Therefore, if it fails to rise above 97821.58, it will eventually fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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BTC.D Update (1D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Based on the previous analysis, we anticipated an upward movement in Bitcoin dominance.
Now, considering recent candlestick patterns, the movement path can be identified more clearly.
Soon, there may be a slight recovery in altcoins, but Bitcoin dominance could rise again to the 59 level before the expected altcoin season begins.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC dominance update
The pullback i expected from the market finally happened & caused a massive sell off in the market
The momentum of this move is so strong that i can say that it may even go to higher levels after allowing some recovery in altcoins
So don't forget risk management in open positions
Possibility of sideways until the next volatility period
(Title) The key is whether sideways can occur until the next volatility period
------------------------------
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
(BTC.D 1D chart)
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The point to watch for USDT and USDC is whether they can maintain their upward trend.
BTC dominance failed to fall below 55.01 and is showing signs of touching the MS-Signal indicator.
The key is whether it can meet resistance near the MS-Signal indicator and fall.
The key is whether USDT dominance can meet resistance near the 3.92-4.31 range and fall.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance needs to fall below 55.01 and remain there or continue to fall.
For the coin market itself to maintain an upward trend, I think that USDT dominance needs to remain below 4.97 or continue to fall.
Therefore, we need to check whether the content I mentioned above is maintained or whether it satisfies the content for BTC.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
As I mentioned yesterday, there has been a movement in BTC dominance and USDT dominance.
However, I think that for the trend to change, it depends on how BTC moves around 95904.28-98892.0.
That is, if the price is maintained around 95904.28-98892.0 until around December 27, I think it is highly likely that the StochRSI indicator will be reset and the upward trend will continue.
Otherwise, if it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, that is, below the MS-Signal indicator, and shows resistance, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
This movement can be seen as a pull back due to profit taking to relieve fatigue from the upward trend that has continued so far.
I think this can be seen as profit taking for the upward trend that started in 2023.
-
Due to this decline, the BW(100) indicator is showing signs of being created at the 101109.59 point and the HA-High indicator at the 97821.58 point.
Accordingly, we can see that the high point section has risen.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator is generated at the 97821.58 point, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around this area.
In any case, what we need to look at importantly is whether it can be supported and rise around the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart.
The key is whether it can be maintained until the next volatility period, around December 27th.
To do so, I think funds should flow out of altcoins and the price of BTC should be defended.
I think it is currently showing that pattern, but I will have to wait and see a little longer.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
ETH All Time High is NOT YET IN A fractal, a Fibonacci pattern, and Crypto logic tells me that the Ethereum all time high is still coming.
This could take some time - but the month of December seems likely as this is a period of euphoria around the world, and BTC is notoriously bullish over Decembers. Ultimately, it all depend son how long BTC can hold and trade range - This is when altcoins continue to rally.
What we need to monitor closely now, is the BTC market cap (to watch the liquidity) and the Bitcoin Dominance Chart. A hard drop in BTC.D signifies the "beginning of the end" for the BTC bull cycle, but also the last impulse of Altseason.
More on that HERE:
________________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:ETHUSDT
The point of interest is whether BTC.D can fall below 55.01
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTC.D 1D chart)
If it falls below 55.01 this time and fails to maintain, it is possible that it will touch the MS-Signal indicator.
Since the BTC dominance is rising, it means that funds are concentrated toward BTC, so altcoins are likely to move sideways or show a downward trend.
-
(USDT.D 1D chart)
As USDT dominance falls below 4.97, it can be seen that the coin market has started an upward trend.
Therefore, in this upward trend, USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 2.84.
We can see that support and resistance points are concentrated in the 3.92-4.31 range of USDT dominance.
Therefore, the point of observation is whether it can meet resistance in this range and continue the downward trend.
If USDT dominance touches around 2.84 and rises or rises above 4.97, the coin market is expected to show a sharp decline.
If it rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to be in a downward trend.
If it touches around 2.84 and rises, I think the coin market is likely to show a movement to form a high range.
Therefore, it is expected to form a high point while shaking up and down and start a downtrend.
--------------------------------------------------------------
1W chart will be updated after a new candle is created.
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise near the important support and resistance area of 95904.28-98892.0.
If it falls below the important support and resistance area, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
If the price maintains near the 95904.28-98892.0 area during the period for the StochRSI indicator to reset, it is expected to start an uptrend to rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 2.24 (116940.43).
Accordingly, the point of interest is whether the price can be maintained around the 95904.28-98892.0 range until the next volatility period, around December 27th.
-
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 56204.13 point.
If the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is generated when the decline proceeds below the 95904.28-98892.0 range this time, I think the key point will be whether there is support around that area.
-
Whether ETH can renew the ATH when moving sideways until the next volatility period of BTC is also a point of interest.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
It's the king's turn, and it wants market cap dominance. Bitcoin is poised to regain market capitalization dominance. This usually means that (the majority of) altcoins will initially start losing in their sats value.
It is now a well-known phenomenon that venture capital will first pour into Bitcoin. Once people start skimming their profits, it often flows to the other top 10 coins, then the midcap coins and finally the low caps after this. That is, until the cycle is complete again and people move their capital from the low caps back to Bitcoin or eventually to fiat.
I have unfolded the Tom DeMark Sequential on this, and it flashes a 9 and even a 13, which usually means there will be a course change.
Harmony (ONE)📊 Comprehensive Analysis of Harmony (ONE)
🔍 Overview: Harmony, after experiencing significant trading volume, successfully broke out of its descending channel. The breakout of the weekly resistance zone (yellow area) in the weekly timeframe opens new opportunities for upward movement.
🕰 Technical Analysis:
Current Situation: The price, having surpassed the weekly resistance, is poised to target Fibonacci levels of 1.618 and 2.618.
RSI Analysis:
RSI is encountering a critical resistance level that could temporarily halt the upward momentum.
A breakout above this resistance could push RSI into the Over-Extended zone, which may trigger a sharp price surge.
🎯 Recommendations and Entry Points:
Layered Entry Strategy:
First Entry: At the current price zone.
Second Entry: After a correction and pullback to the yellow zone (previously broken resistance).
📌 Key Considerations:
Risk Management: Proper capital management and risk allocation are crucial.
Market Volatility: Sudden market reactions can lead to unexpected losses. Failing to adhere to effective risk management could result in significant setbacks.
AltSeason is approaching.This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
A sharp drop occurred after hitting the red box, indicating a post-pattern movement.
A structural change has occurred in higher timeframes, and the trendline has been lost. We do not expect a higher high (H) from Bitcoin dominance.
With a pullback to higher areas, it could experience more drops, considering that Bitcoin has been solidifying around important supply zones. With the decline in Bitcoin dominance, we expect a good altseason in crypto.
The timeframe is 3 days, and this altseason could last for several months.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Alt Season is Right Around the CornerBitcoin dominance has been growing in the past few days as it outperforms the rest of the cryptocurrency market after the sharp drop last week. Many things are pointing towards Bitcoin continuing to outperform in the short term as we gear up for the next parabolic bull market.
However, alt season is very close and, once BTC confirms it's breakout towards 100k, a lot of the large caps like Ethereum and Solana will begin to go up very quickly. This is based on my cyclical analysis of alt seasons. To get a better idea of the cyclicality of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, and alt seasons, check out my previous post which predicts the next parabolic rise in November:
An important thing to note when referring to alt seasons is that they don't last long (only a few months). So understand your timeframe when investing over the coming weeks. Another important idea is how money tends to flow during this period. It historically starts with Bitcoin breaking its all time high and beginning to rise. During this time, altcoins tend to underperform. But once BTC consolidates and begins to go sideways, that's when the rest of the market has time to catch up. In the chart I show 4 key points:
Bitcoin
This is when BTC makes a significant breakout whether that's from a significant resistance level or its ATH. This is where BTC is outperforming 99% of the market.
Ethereum & Large Caps
BTC will begin to slow down and a lot of the major altcoins will see a big increase. This is where you can find great trade setups on the BTC pairs like ETHBTC, SOLBTC, etc.
BTC Consolidates
BTC will start to go sideways, cooling off and preparing for its next rise. From here you might see some pumps in mid-low caps. These tend to be volatile and hard to predict.
Small caps - Quick and fast
As BTC continues to go sideways, some small caps might experience quick pumps in price. Similarly, these tend to be even more volatile and hard to predict.
After this, the pattern repeats back up to Bitcoin until we reach a peak and begin a new bear market.
The cryptocurrency bull market is brewing up and alt season can offer some incredibly profitable opportunities. Plan ahead, and don't overtrade.
BTC | BITCOIN ATH | ALTSEASON A comprehensive analysis today on my take regarding Bitcoin , BTC All time High, and for how long we can still expect to see altseason.
When I say altseason, what I am referring to is hard pumps and large increases, scattered across the altcoin market.
In the previous BTC update, I considered an ATH between 99k and 105k. More on that here :
Today's main "concern" is really whether or not the alt-rallies are finished - and I say, not yet .
___________________
BINANCE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Bitcoin will complete the Elliott?Hello people i hope you doing well.
This is my personal opinion and analysis. In all markets, anything can happen. So before making any decision, please consider risk management, capital management, and emotion management in your trading.
Here we have btc chart with some magic waves! Im always analyse technically first.
In 1month timeframe we can have a nice Elliott Pattern waves.
We had wave 1 and 2 done before and as picture we are on the middle of wave 3!
This is just an imaginary and forecast
But it works sometimes you should forecast the people's next move! Specially the big ones like Whales and miners.
The targets are near than the Supporting areas haha.the 125k is not much for 85% of wave3.and the end of wave we can have 150k btc.
Wave 4 can give btc some rest and correction wave!
And we can have 83k as the biggest Liquidity support and the best area to get the money and get the people who lost the last train of pump!In this upping channel(wave3) the lowest price is 73k!
So be aware and quite fast if your money lost:))
And the volume can tell you there is nothing happened to Btc and the Crypto market and its still baby!i bet this wave can make you reach if it happens:)
Always remember to have plan!dont enter the market with 100% money and please have stop loss and have plan to quit and dont be greedy!!
Good luck
BTC dominance 2024-2025(prodolzhenie prognoza po dominacii bitkoina 2023-2024)
Proshlyj prognoz otrabotal prakticheski ideal'no, nemnogo promazal po vremeni (uskorilsya), nemnogo oshibsya s metodikoj raschyota dominacii (uchyol al'tkoiny - podrobno v obnovleniyah na proshlom prognoze po dominacii). Odnako v celom prognoz pravil'nyj!
Nakaplivat' bitkoin bylo bolee pravil'nym resheniem nezheli otkupat' al'tkoiny.
Podavlyayushchee bol'shinstvo al'tkoinov obnovilo svoi minimumy k bitkoinu.
Teper' prishla pora razvorota. Tyazhelo sprognozirovat' tochku razvorota (kak eto bylo s proshlym prognozom) kak po vremeni tak i po urovnyu, odnako ya sklonyayus' k variantu chto eto proizojdyot ot 55-65% vo vremennom promezhutke konca2024 achala2025 goda. I ustremitsya v blok 35-45% k koncu 2025 goda.
!!! Etot prognoz bolee kak prodolzhenie v popytke najti mesto razvorota, a ne kak samostoyatel'nyj predydushchij prognoz. Ya by ne stavil mnogoe na nego, odnako tendenciya dolzhna byt' yasna - gryadyot al'tsezon.
The Rising Trend in Bitcoin Dominance Has Been Broken!On the weekly chart, Bitcoin dominance has fallen below a critical support level for the first time in 693 days. Could this give altcoins some breathing room?
The answer is short: yes.
The negative divergence present in the dominance RSI has played out. Additionally, RSI has dropped below the 50-point mark on the weekly chart, which is significant for the continuation of the downtrend. When we analyze ADX DI, we see signals that support the downward trend in dominance. Furthermore, BTC.D has broken the ascending trendline (marked in red), which had persisted for 98 weeks.
As a bonus, our AlphaTrend indicator's ascending trend support is at the 58.50% level. If BTC.D closes below this level, AlphaTrend is set to generate a sell signal for the first time in approximately 123 weeks. The weakening of dominance has already started reflecting positively on altcoins. However, there’s no need to get overly excited yet; we must continue making data-driven decisions.
A decline in dominance alone does not guarantee an altcoin rally. However, the potential end of Bitcoin's market hegemony is a highly positive signal for altcoin investors.
Thank you for reading!