Ethereum (ETH) - ATH Break-Out - Bullish CycleMARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM gave me a whooping 170% #Profit on the #Bullish Swing.
I went #Long on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD from the 1.6K Mark, on the #Break-Out.
I cashed it all in on the 3.5-4K Range.
* see related idea for details.
Unlike MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN , CRYPTOCAP:ETH did not deliver a new #ATH.
In fact, it all leads to the fact that it's waiting for something.
With the $BitcoinDominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) showing signs of an up-coming #Correction, I believe this will pave the way for #Altcoins to shine, thus the #Altseason to start.
Crypto Market Cap ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 & CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 ) are about to burst on the #Bullish side.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT will play a major role in this.
* see related ideas for details.
What's the Play for MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM ?
I see a strong #ETH #Bull in Cycle Wave C (turquoise).
This can easily reach 5K, but can also tag the 7K Mark.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD #TechnicalAnalysis
- #ElliottWave Cycle Wave C (turquoise)
- Inverted #HeadandShoulders
- #RunningFlat
My CRYPTOCAP:ETH #BUY Levels
- Entry @ 3.1K
- SL @ 2K
- TP @ 5K
Btcdominance
Bitcoin Overshoot - Last Bullish Swing - 5th WaveMARKETSCOM:BITCOIN #trading was good to me.
I was able to predict and ride the #Bullish #Cycle like a pro.
Trade Recap
From the $17K I was actively looking for buys.
Also entered BITSTAMP:BTCUSD #Long from the GETTEX:25K mark, on the #Break-out.
At the Wave 4 Completion and 5th Wave Break-Out, I went Long again on $BTC.
At $100K Milestone I cashed it all in, I was a bit weary...
All well documented in the previous #Bitcoin Idea.
What's Next For MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN ?
I am entering the Last Long, to ride the 5th of 5th Wave.
After this #Bull #Swing I am expecting a considerable #Correction.
After the push, some wild moves will occur, and that's because of the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D (BTC Dominance).
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D Correction in Wave 2 will pave the way for $Altcoins (#Altcoins), thus the $Altseason (#AltSeason) to start.
Yes, MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN shall fall, while the CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 ) would most likely grow in #TotalMarketCap.
* You can see the related ideas for more clearance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD / BINANCE:BTCUSDT - #TechnicalAnalysis
- Elliott Wave: #Impulse Confirmed (5th Wave)
- Mar '20 - Apr '21 #Fractal (orange)
- #ATH Break-Out & #Support
My Levels For Longs
- Entry @ $100K
- SL @ $85K
- TP @ $145K
* After this move, I will take a break and look for #Short set-ups.
This is because of the #Bearish #Fractal (red).
TOTAL3 - ALT SEASON - Bull Swing CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 is ready for the Alt Season.
#Altcoins will be rockin' the boat in '25.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is running out of steam, thus opening the door for #AltSeason to start.
The correction on MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN Dominance is the key to #Alts to shine.
1.13T MC has been touched, previous #ATH.
Now CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 is in a Wave 4 (#ElliottWave Triangle), with Wave 5 of the Larger Degree C Wave about to shoot.
Targets between the #Fibonacci Extensions 200-261.8%.
That's the 1.5T to 1.8T range.
Bitcoin Dominance Makes Its Re-Test Perfect Today!Trading Fam,
Our retest here on the Bitcoin Dominance chart couldn't have gotten any more perfect. Does this mean that the altcoin/memecoin sell-off is finally nearing an end? Me thinks it does. And with Trump releasing his and his family's memecoins just days before his inauguration, this is a clear sign that he supports the market.
Of course, the TRUMP memecoin did suck millions in market cap away from other tokens, as traders arbitraged into the $TRUMP coin. But we could see a bit of a sell-the-news event on this token after his inauguration is complete. Then, traders may sell their profits and move back into older positions again. If you believe this as a possibility, it may be time to start picking up some of your favorite memecoins and alts again.
✌️ Stew
BTC.D : Alt -season 2025Hi friends,
As you can see on the Bitcoin Dominance chart on the weekly time frame, I would like to remind you of the start of the 2025 Alt Season.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 19/Jan /25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
BTC Dominance UPDATE (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Market makers always do things to prevent retail traders from identifying the next direction. The support from the previous analysis has been engulfed, but this bounce is for order accumulation.
Based on the data available for this index, it seems we have a triangle instead of a diagonal wave B. The red zone is where candles could be rejected to the downside, and altcoins may perform better compared to Bitcoin.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would completely negate this outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Dominance Is About Give a New Life To Altcoins!Hello, Skyrexians!
We have already mentioned the importance of different crypto assets dominance analysis. Today we are goin to update the main one CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D . Last month it makes us nervous with the potential intention to set the new high. Current formation looks like a triangle - trend continuation pattern and it scares many traders. Is this nightmare is going to be true, or altseason is coming?
Let's take a look at weekly time frame. Now we use the combination of our hand made indicators: Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator and Fractal Trend Detector . Trend detector started printing the red candles, the bearish trend late in 2023, but those time this tendency shift failed. This time we have seen two red dot on other indicator and after that trend change. In our opinion this is much stronger confirmation that altseason is really coming.
You probably already know that predicted earlier the dominance drop to 27%, but today we are talking about short term forecast, 0.61 Fibonacci level below 50% is the target for February.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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another IHS on BTC.D? Chop chop more?We have successfully completed an IHS on a lower time frame (see my other chart)
Now we seem to have the beginnings of what could be another IHS on a higher time-frame?
Another scary pump of Bitcoin dominance incoming?
Interesting, let's see
(the chart is inverted)
BTC.D Testing Confluence Zone: Will It Break Below?BTC dominance (BTC.D) is currently trading at a critical confluence zone, where the support of a rising channel intersects with a horizontal support level.
Many investors are closely watching this area for clarity on the next directional move. If the marked red zone (area of confluence) is broken, we could witness another leg of altseason as BTC.D trends lower.
BTC - Dominance Rise puts ALT Season on IceThe CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D index has developed an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern on the 2H timeframe, which points to further trouble ahead until we get some certainty and clarity with how the new administration decides to move.
The recent shakedown on ALTs has been driven by higher than expected inflation and repricing of FED reserve rate cut expectations, with no rate cut expected in the next FOMC. Wednesday is a key macro day as the CPI, a key gauge of inflation is due to be released. This data ultimately shapes policy and a hot print could spell more trouble for risk assets.
Having said that, we're only a week a way from the most crypto friendly White House administration taking office.
Will the crypto friendly policies turn the page to enable Risk Assets to surge higher despite inflation woes?
BTC.D Death Cross Formation:
The “death cross” occurs when the short-term moving average (50-day MA) crosses below the long-term moving average (200-day MA).
This is considered a bearish signal, often indicating a potential decline in the market.
In your chart, the highlighted circle represents this potential crossover or the situation after it.
The narrow trendline indicates a symmetrical triangle or wedge formation, where the price consolidates before the breakout.
The breakout direction appears to be initially upward, breaking above resistance but eventually moving downward.
The blue horizontal line at around 59.21% dominance is a key resistance area.
Bitcoin dominance has broken above the triangle for some time but may struggle to remain above resistance.
After initial upward movement, the chart suggests a downward trajectory, possibly retesting lower dominance levels (towards the 55.50% and 54% areas).
This implies a potential altcoin resurgence or broader market uncertainty if BTC.D declines.
The red and green moving averages are important in defining the current trend.
A bearish cross between these moving averages aligns with the death cross narrative and signals caution.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
BTC.D; LONG TERM ANALYSIS (read the description)First of all sorry that my chart is not looking too messy and there are no weird indicators nor anything.
We have only two possible scenarios for bitcoin’s dominance.
1) The bearish pattern you can clearly see is broken after 2 years so two things might happen here: 1-1: BTC.D can have 60% touched in the coming days as a pullback to the broken resistance but what happens afterwards will be important.
1-1: if the pullback is confirmed ethereum will finally shine along with many altcoins.
the target for the dominance will be 45-48%.
What can happen afterwards: the price will keep moving in the pattern until a real breakout happens which will likely result in new lows for the dominance.
2) If the pullback is ruined and we see the support lost it will mean the pattern had a fake breakout & that would mean this current pattern is not a reversal one:
2-1: we can see new highs for the dominance if this is confirmed,
The target will be 70-72%. If bitcoin price falls too the market will bleed.🩸
But what can happen afterwards, two scenarios again:
1) Since the price will touch the top of the long-term trading range we can see the dominance moving towards the bottom again.
2) A double bottom will be confirmed, depending on the situation then, if dominance fails to break the shoulder at around 57% we can see even new highs but the chance of this happening is below 10% lol unless ethereum is destroyed lol.
So that’s all. I recommend yall to wait if you want to buy anything. And note that btc.d can go up and the price can still fall so beware and dyor.
Thanks for reading this.
Get ready for ALT-SEASON!We got confirmation on breaking uptrend channel downwards in last few weeks and we all know what that means. More CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D goes down better for alt-coins. 47-51% is the range I am looking for. There are few alt-coins haven't made major moves in last year, I will post about it soon. Keep posted!
USDT Dominance Falls, BTC Rises: What It Means for TradersThe chart highlights the inverse relationship between BTC/USDT and USDT.D (Tether Dominance). When USDT.D drops, capital flows out of stablecoins into Bitcoin, driving BTC’s price higher.
Conversely, a rise in USDT.D signals increased caution, often leading to BTC price declines. This correlation helps traders gauge market sentiment and identify potential trend shifts.
Bitcoin’s Deja Vu: A Bullish Flag Unfolds Towards a Historic ATHIn March 202 0, ( COINBASE:BTCUSD ) Bitcoin reached a low on Friday the 13th , forming a bullish flag pattern that initiated a new upward cycle.
A similar formation appeared on August 5, 2024 , indicating the continuation of this bullish trend.
Currently, Bitcoin is at the PR3 price level, establishing a base support around $108,923 .
The next resistance is at QR1, approximately $197,491 . Upon reaching this level, a slight correction to around $145,669 is anticipated before continuing to the final all-time high (ATH) at QR2, set near $281,216 . From this peak, a significant correction to the correction support level (CS2) at $145,669 is expected.
Analysts are optimistic about Bitcoin's trajectory. H.C. Wainwright forecasts a rise to $225,000 by the end of 2025 , considering historical price patterns and potential favorable regulatory changes under the Trump administration.
Additionally, Standard Chartered projects Bitcoin could reach $150,000 in 2025, aligning with historical trends of major rallies post-U.S. presidential elections and following halving events.
However, Bitcoin's inherent volatility remains a concern. Predictions suggest potential corrections of 15% to 30% during the bull run before reaching higher price targets.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's current market structure and historical patterns indicate a bullish trajectory with potential significant price levels and corrections. Investors should remain vigilant and consider market volatility when making investment decisions.
BTC.D: Critical Triangle Breakdown | Alt Season Signal?Current: 57.98% |
Pattern: Large descending triangle since November peak
Technical Analysis:
1. Macro Structure
- Multi-month descending trendline resistance
- Double rejection at 60% level
- Key support at 56% zone
- Volume profile decreasing in consolidation
2. Key Levels
- Major resistance: 60%
- Current resistance: 58%
- Critical support: 56%
- Target zone: 52-54%
3. Signals
- Triple rejection at descending line
- Volume decreasing in triangle
- Weak bounces from support
- Bearish RSI divergence forming
Trading Scenario:
- Targets:
T1: 56% (initial support)
T2: 55% (measured move)
T3: 54% (max target)
Market Implications:
- BTC.D drop typically signals alt season
- Monitor top 10 alts for rotation
- ETF approval could affect dominance
DYOR - Not financial advice. High-risk market period with ETF decisions approaching. Size positions accordingly.
BTC dominance reveals how to navigate crypto cyclesHello everyone,
this one is for patient (long-term) traders/investors, not for those chasing daily gains or short term swings.
We are looking at BTC dominance chart. BTC dominance is currently at 60%, which is pretty high.
Everyone who follows cryptos for some time should know how crypto cycles work. BTC is king and always leads the way. BTC if the first one to start the bull run, altcoins follow. When BTC is near its peak, money transfers into ALTs --> start of ALTSEASON.
The first peak of altcoin season was January 2018. BTC dominance was at 35%. After Jan 2018 we went into a bear market. BTC dropped in value, ALTCOINS dropped even more. Consequently, BTC dominance went up.
BTC dominance reached top at 74% in Jan 2021. That is when ALTSEASON started.
THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT BTC REACHED TOP in Jan 2021.
BTC rose from 40k to 70k between Jan 2021 and Nov 2021, but ALTs in this period made bigger gains.
BTC dominance in this period plummeted from 74% to 40%, creating a base for future.
From Jan 2023 BTC has been rising and increasing its dominance, currently sitting at 60%. I am positive it will not break high of Jan 2018. Next strong resistance is in the area of 64-67%, I expect dominance to reverse in this area.
BTC has already made a new ATH, but total crypto market space is not at an ATH yet. So ALTs are lagging in comparison to previous cycle.
I believe we are at the start of ALT season and I will be looking into ALTs for my last gains this cycle. Check my other posts to see which ALTS I am considering. I will also be posting some other ALTs in coming days/weeks, so subscribe to stay notified.
Good luck to everyone.
Total 3 Crypto Market Cap multi year base BreakoutTotal 3 Crypto Market Cap excluding #BTC and #ETH trying to breakout of the previous highs of Oct 2021 during the prior Alt season. Already did try a failed breakout once. Will it succeed the next time ? For this to happen the big caps #SOL , #BNB and #XRP have to outperform.