BTCEUR key resistance levelsBTCEUR - in slightly downside biased range and currently addressing top of the 4-8hr range, likely pullback occurs before more .
In case of converting red zone in to support - likely our daily red zone opens up for the taking.
The green arrows up are buy bottom buy signals - while small red arrow is sell the bounce signal - they're automatically generated by the emaflow pro indicator.
Emaflow has a special range feature that projects where market will be oversold and overbought in the future - recent total cap projections were spot on:
BTCEUR
Bitcoin - Brace for another 30% decline!Over the past week, the situation in the cryptocurrency market has not changed much. The price of Bitcoin continued to be choppy, trading mostly between 22 000 USD and 24 000 USD. The inability of BTCUSD to break above the immediate resistance hints at even more weakening bullish momentum. Indeed, the same is implied by several technical indicators and the presence of low volume.
In addition to that, bearish fundamental factors continue to persist. We view higher interest rates and economic tightening as two main elements driving the U.S. economy into a deeper recession toward the end of 2022, and during 2023. Since such periods are accompanied by risk-off sentiment, we expect this to negatively affect the price of BTC, resulting in a new low over time.
Therefore, we still maintain a bearish view on Bitcoin with the price target of 17 500 USD, which is our medium-term price target. However, today, we would also like to set a new long-term price target at 15 000 USD.
Illustration 1.01
The illustration above shows the daily chart of BTCUSD during the downtrend in 2017/2018. Bear market rallies are indicated by green dashed lines. The picture illustrates how big moves up can occur during the bear market rally when people flock into the market chasing the asset because of so-called “FOMO - fear of missing out”. As we previously stated, Bitcoin is up approximately 40% from its lows, however, it does not mean that the trend of higher degree has changed to bullish.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is neutral. MACD lost momentum and strives to reverse to the downside. Stochastic turned bearish. DM+ and DM- are bullish, however, the trend is very weak. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral.
Illustration 1.02
Due to the choppy price action of BTCUSD, the setup we introduced recently remains valid.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are neutral. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BTCEUR - Head & shoulder?Possible head & shoulder pattern on BTCEUR on the Daily.
Green line = neckline. Measured distance from head to necline is shown and copied to indicate the target to the downside.
Fib-levels (0.382 up to 0.786) are displayed on the chart for possible targets in case of a short.
First target (based on the H&S), around EU20.500 is in between the 0.500 and the 0.618 Fib.
On the 4H there's a bullish orderblock in that same area.
The 50DMA is also around this level.
Lower targets (possible wicks) are around the 0.786Fib (EU19.000 - EU19500) and the 0.886Fib (Eu18.000 - 18.500)
Bitcoin - Deceitful rally Despite yesterday's move up in Bitcoin, we remain very skeptical about the prospect of rally continuation. That is mainly due to the FED moving toward a more hawkish stance in regard to its monetary policy. Indeed, now, it projects another 75bps rate hike for September 2022. As a result, we expect this to negatively affect the U.S. economy as well as the cryptocurrency market. Due to the persistence of these bearish fundamental factors, we have no reason to change our medium-term and long-term assessment of BTCUSD.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the trade setup we introduced recently; it consists of two alternative scenarios. Additionally, there are several technical developments displayed on the chart. The bullish trigger occurred when the price moved above 21 868 USD. Despite that, we are skeptical about this move. We are looking for the bearish trigger, which will take place once 21 868 USD is retraced to the downside. Low volume after the most recent breakout hints at a declining number of buyers between 22 000 USD and 24 000 USD.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
MACD, Stochastic, and RSI all show signs of stalling. DM+ and DM- are bullish; however, ADX contains a relatively low value. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bullish. MACD is neutral. Stochastic is bullish but stays in the lower zone. DM+ and DM- remain bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame sends mixed signals.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BEATCOIN to 10KMy last chart on "BEATCOIN"
Personally I think is not worth trading. Reasons... there is not a serious/real exchange yet.
They can do laterally whatever they want, not only block your account-margin-investment, but make sure you ever get your money back.
Couldn´t believe when I saw it.
Several teams of hustlers for each "exchange" paid a percentage for every deposit, with the mandatory order to never withdraw.
Those people can sell their own mother to get a percentage.
Ask yourself, how many friends do you know that they made it with crypto.
There is a reason why, cause is has nothing to do with trading.
"BEATCOIN" may be worth a lot more in the future, but statistically speaking you have more chances in a casino ;DDD
Have fun.
Be wise don´t work for the money, make money work for you.
Bitcoin - Rip or dip The setup we introduced recently remains valid. We will have our eyes on the FOMC meeting today. We expect volatility to be elevated throughout the day. We will update the idea after the FED decision.
Our thoughts are detailed in the attached ideas.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI paused its fall and became neutral. MACD is also neutral. Stochastic is bearish. DM+ and DM- are also bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.01
We showed the chart above before. Structurally, Bitcoin continues to develop like during prior corrections of the current downtrend.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI strives to reverse to the downside. MACD is neutral. Stochastic is bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bitcoin - Systemic cracks have started to appear During the current week, Bitcoin gained slightly, and in the process, it constituted a new high at 24 280.30 USD. However, since then, it has started to move sideways and struggled to move higher. Because of that, we will continue to pay close attention to the volume and technical indicators.
We think BTCUSD might continue a little bit higher in the short-term; however, in the medium and long term, we remain bearish. That is mainly due to bearish fundamental factors like higher interest rates, economic tightening, and looming recession. We expect these factors to weigh on the U.S. economy and stock market, eventually dragging the price of cryptocurrencies lower.
Furthermore, systemic cracks are appearing in the cryptocurrency sector, beginning with the recent fallout of the Luna stablecoin token, followed by the bankruptcy of Celsius Network, and the spill-over effect into other institutions.
The list of affected companies by restrictions on withdrawals of funds/cryptocurrencies and bankruptcies continues to grow. Voyager, Sky-Bridge Capital, and CoinFlex now welcome the latest addition to the list: Zipmex. These are, however, just a few to name. We expect the list to grow in the future with many cryptocurrency projects going bust.
Besides these issues, we also foresee more threats from the U.S. regulator, which will further complicate the situation by tightening market conditions via setting new rules for stablecoins and token issuance. These are several reasons why we are very careful with calling the bottom. Indeed, we think it would be premature.
Illustration 1.01
Above is the setup we introduced to our readers a while ago; it still remains valid.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
Stochastic performed a bearish crossover; however, it stays in the upper area. MACD strives to break through the midpoint, further bolsters the bullish case. RSI is bullish. DM+ and DM- are bullish too. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish.
Illustration 1.02
The daily chart shows Bitcoin struggling to move higher; simultaneously, a declining volume can be observed. This development suggests buyers are harder to find after the recent bullish breakout and BTC trading between 23 000-24 000 USD.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bullish. MACD strives to reverse to the upside. Stochastic points to the upside but remains in the bearish area. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral/slightly bullish.
Illustration 1.03
Interestingly, the price of BTCUSD fully retraced to its medium-term moving average. That hints at a strong correction of the downtrend in progress.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Exact BTC fractal monitoring 2.0I decided to post the same chart on Regular scale and 4 hour time frame for out better view. ( ... Yesterdays was Logarithmic chart ).
This purple fractal is much same as Saturdays, however not so extreme when compare. Nobody can't determine, which should end up better.
Better than post into comment section as in previous idea. Also Fibo levels are better visible.
So let's get the answers . I think, it will be interesting to watch...
Sometimes, it is not only about any divergences or volumes. You should go far beyond.
Good luck and always save some money.
Emvo.
*This is not any financial advice.
As Bitcoins downtrend ageing.Hello again, as uptrend channel broke in advance of my previous TA, bearish Wickoff developing and DXY is stronger than ever we imagined,
let's see how low this bullish Falling wedge oscillate before breakdown.
I am rather staying neutral on sideways ...I do not think, Stock market bottomed so let's see what near future bring. This will create great long-term opportunities to all of us.
In my opinion, uptrend won't start until September ending. Maybe... Here's some major Fibo levels to watch.That 's why I used 4h chart to monitor.
Take care, Emvo.
*This is not any financial advice.
Bitcoin - Not worth the current priceOver the past few days, Bitcoin drifted lower toward the 19 000 USD price tag. Because of the persistence of bearish fundamental and technical factors we maintain our price target for BTCUSD at 17 500 USD and 15 000 USD.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the weekly chart of BTCUSD. Two moving averages, 20-week SMA and 50-week SMA, continue to confirm the medium-term/long-term bearish trend.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
The weekly time frame coincides with the daily time frame. RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bullish Scenarios for Bitcoin going into Fed Announcement After the CPI Report was released this morning, everything dumped. However, BTC fully recovered back above support within the bear flag. Most trader sentiment is short and given the oversold conditions, this makes for an ideal contrarian long play until the Fed announcement on July 26th. I have three price areas that I am targeting.
TP 1: $23,000 - top of the bear flag
TP 2: $24,000-$26,000 - Most traders will be holding for $30k, so a reversal here could leave a lot of bag holders
TP 3: $28,000 - $30,000 - The ideal outcome for the bulls. I will probably cash out a little before $30k
The Fed is expected to announce a substantial rate hike to curb inflation, which will likely send all markets tanking. I will be out of this long trade before the 26th. But if BTC fails to this support level, I will exit. We are at an inflection point here at $20k so whichever way we decide to go, we should move quickly.
Nostradamus 101: BTC EUR 3 months aheadThis is an update to the previous forecast see link below.
Based on what we have seen, we are now effectively in a battleground. The same 'big' holders who are on the verge of selling their crypto assets are the same people asking us to HODL.
Bitcoin, I believe in you, but, you are not worth your money. You are worth our money, just not this much, and as the environmental implications become more imposing, so will the
need for regulation, taxation and audit of miners; so will the need for celebrities to turn our attention to another crypto gimmick; so will the need for other distractions cloud our
judgement as those who have pre-mined" spill their guts. Good for them. You got us. Why all this mad nonsense you ask? Because, we are a second away from midnight when it
comes to BTC (in particular), and hopefully it stays "your crazy to say that", but am I? are we? Haven't we read all the books, watched all the movies, seen all the news, learned
about all the shady after 50 years of declassified documents? Haven't we? "You're a conspirator!" Relax, facts are facts, just like the fact that there are closed "open meetings
that happen in Switzerland once a year under a mountain that control the majority of our everyday lives "Haha" You say? One Jeff Bezos will make millions of teens squirm. One Jeff.
And this meeting is no Jeff, possibly worst, possibly better, who knows, what we know, is that we're not in the club, because if we were, money would never be an issue.
Watch out guys, safe trading. Good luck have fun. Peace.
Nostradamus 101: BTC EUR 1 year aheadI made this observation for myself to see what a year in crypto really looks like, let's see how right or wrong one can be, tread carefully. Personally, see it going to 30k, but that is speculation. Safe trading.
#Theywillwanttoflushthemarketbeforerealadoption
#Nothingiseverwhatitseemswhenbigmoneyisinvolved
Divide it all.
Nostradamus 101: BTC Correction goes Brrr until Jan 2023?A global recession is right around the corner fellas (any weekend now we will have a repeat of 2008, but worst), because this time around we all went out of our minds.
We all signed up to the "earnings don't justify the valuation" gig, and now the big boys are cashing out. Same shit different year, different people murdered in the background, but the same ol play.
Nothing is ever what it seems. Watch out. Metals, Food and Energy are possibly your safest bet. DYOR. This is not financial advice. This chart I make for myself to reflect upon.
Looks like correction followed by 3-6 months of sideways action. We'll see. Safe trading.
How BTC Gets To $500k - BE PREPARED MartyBoots here. I have been trading for 16 years and I am here to share my ideas with you to help the Crypto space.
This is how BTC gets to $500k, This will also be when its amazing to accumulate ALTs
BE PREPARED and DO NOT MISS THIS OPPORTUNITY
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BTC Hitting Confluence of Support - Possible Reversal AreaTaking a look at the weekly chart for BTC, you can see that Bitcoin is hitting a confluence of support from 1) the 2017 all-time high and 2) long-term uptrend originating from Jan 2015. We are also repeating the same price action fractal from 2017-2020. If this support holds, this could be the ideal entry point for the next bull run. However, a breach of this support area could be very bad for the crypto space. Get your buys ready on the chance we bounce here. Otherwise, I will be looking to re-load much lower.
Bitcoin - BTCUSD due to revisit lows once the rally endsBitcoin's bear market rally shows the first signs of weakness and exhaustion. We still pay close attention to 20-day and 50-day SMAs; in the short-term, BTCUSD may attempt to retrace toward these levels (before breaking down and revisiting lows). Accordingly, we remain neutral/slightly bullish in the short-term. However, in the long-term, we remain bearish. Therefore, we will look for clues hinting at the rally's end.
Fundamental factors
Bearish fundamental factors continue to persist. The prospect of another rate hike by the FED in July 2022 diminishes the chances of Bitcoin's rally continuation. In fact, it threatens global markets and risk assets like cryptocurrencies. The same applies to the economic tightening, which will put substantial pressure on the economy and drag it lower. In addition to that, the upcoming regulation of cryptocurrencies will tighten the market conditions even further. We view mentioned factors as very damaging to the price of Bitcoin.
Illustration 1.01
Volume has declined over the past few days. That is positive for BTCUSD as it hints at the cooling off within the selling pressure. In the short-term, the price will likely attempt to retrace toward its 20-day and 50-day SMAs, representing a correction of the downtrend.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bullish. MACD points to the upside. DM+ and DM- are flatenning. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral/slightly bullish.
Illustration 1.02
The total cryptocurrency market-cap remains below 1 trillion USD in valuation.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is in oversold territory. MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame stays bearish.
Illustration 1.03
The picture shows simple support and resistance levels for BTCUSD.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bitcoin - Not bullish yetAfter hitting a low near 17 500 USD and reversing back above 21 000 USD, Bitcoin has been trading mostly sideways. So far, it has failed to move above the 22 000 USD price tag, which hints at a loss of momentum within the bear market rally. Despite that, we remain neutral and abstain from setting a price target for BTCUSD. However, we are growing inclined toward the notion that Bitcoin has not formed a bottom yet. Therefore, we will monitor its price action closely and look for more clues as to the resumption of the selling pressure.
Fundamental factors
We foresee bearish fundamental factors like higher interest rates and less money printing as damaging for the U.S. economy and cryptocurrencies. As a result, we expect these issues to weigh on the price of Bitcoin and drag it lower.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows simple support and resistance levels for BTCUSD.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bullish. MACD points to the upside as it remains in the bearish zone. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral/slightly bullish.
Illustration 1.02
The idea above shows the potential setup for BTCUSD.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame stays bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bitcoin - The best time to start taking profits off the tableOver the weekend, on Saturday, Bitcoin dropped as low as 17 592.78 USD, missing our price target by 92.78 USD. Then, within 24 hours, Bitcoin erased its losses and dropped below 20 000 USD again. Currently, it trades slightly below the 20 000 USD price tag. At the moment, we are not entirely sure where BTCUSD is headed next; as a result, we would like to abandon 17 500 USD. We expect a relief in the stock market and cryptocurrencies; however, what we are seeing now in the market might be actually it. In our opinion, now is the best time for investors to take profits off the table if they went short Bitcoin and exploited the trend. Although, we have to note that fundamental factors weighing on BTC did not change. Therefore, we speculate it is possible we still have not seen a bottom in the price of BTCUSD. We will monitor the price action closely and update our thoughts soon.
Illustration 1.01
The picture shows Bitcoin reaching the 2018 price level.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The declining volume hints at a cooling off in the selling pressure. In our opinion, that might foreshadow a temporary rally toward the 20-day SMA.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bitcoin - The downfall of the cryptocurrency marketNews outlets report that institutions are selling their assets at a record pace and Bitcoin made a new low at 20 074.50 USD. Nevertheless, we continue to maintain our short-term price target of 20 000 USD. Additionally, we would like to set a medium-term price target at 17 500 USD. Our reasoning is detailed below and in the attached articles.
Fundamental factors
Today, the FED is likely to raise interest rates by 75-100 bps. If it proceeds with 100bps, then that would be the biggest rate hike since the 1990s. We expect this to weigh on the economy and drag it lower. Additionally, we expect the same from the reduction of the FED's balance sheet. As a result, this will lead to risk aversion and a subsequent drop in the price of cryptocurrencies.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Another threat on the horizon
The post above is our previous idea on Tether and the issue with Bitfinex and the backing of their token.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.